hybrid model

混合模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    白内障是全球失明的主要原因,做出准确的诊断和有效的手术计划至关重要。然而,对晶状体核的严重程度进行分级是具有挑战性的,因为使用ImageNet预训练的深度学习(DL)模型在直接应用于医疗数据时表现不佳,这是由于标记的医学图像的可用性有限和类间相似性高。自我监督预训练通过规避对成本密集型数据注释和弥合领域差异的需求来提供解决方案。在这项研究中,为了应对智能分级的挑战,我们提出了一种称为核白内障掩模编码器网络(NCME-Net)的混合模型,利用自我监督的预训练对核性白内障严重程度进行四类分析。共有792张核性白内障图像被归类到训练集(533张图像),验证集(139个图像),和测试集(100张图像)。NCME-Net在测试集上实现了91.0%的诊断准确率,与性能最佳的DL模型(ResNet50)相比提高了5.0%。实验结果证明了NCME-Net区分白内障严重程度的能力,特别是在样本有限的情况下,使其成为智能诊断白内障的有价值的工具。此外,研究了不同的自监督任务对模型捕获数据内在结构的能力的影响。研究结果表明,图像复原任务显着增强了语义信息提取。
    Cataracts are a leading cause of blindness worldwide, making accurate diagnosis and effective surgical planning critical. However, grading the severity of the lens nucleus is challenging because deep learning (DL) models pretrained using ImageNet perform poorly when applied directly to medical data due to the limited availability of labeled medical images and high interclass similarity. Self-supervised pretraining offers a solution by circumventing the need for cost-intensive data annotations and bridging domain disparities. In this study, to address the challenges of intelligent grading, we proposed a hybrid model called nuclear cataract mask encoder network (NCME-Net), which utilizes self-supervised pretraining for the four-class analysis of nuclear cataract severity. A total of 792 images of nuclear cataracts were categorized into the training set (533 images), the validation set (139 images), and the test set (100 images). NCME-Net achieved a diagnostic accuracy of 91.0 % on the test set, a 5.0 % improvement over the best-performing DL model (ResNet50). Experimental results demonstrate NCME-Net\'s ability to distinguish between cataract severities, particularly in scenarios with limited samples, making it a valuable tool for intelligently diagnosing cataracts. In addition, the effect of different self-supervised tasks on the model\'s ability to capture the intrinsic structure of the data was studied. Findings indicate that image restoration tasks significantly enhance semantic information extraction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:流感,急性传染性呼吸道疾病,提出了重大的全球卫生挑战。准确预测流感活动对于减少其影响至关重要。因此,本研究旨在开发一种混合卷积神经网络-长短期记忆神经网络(CNN-LSTM)模型,以预测河北省流感样疾病(ILI)发生率的百分比,中国。旨在为流感防控措施提供更精准的指导。
    方法:使用来自河北省28家国家哨点医院的ILI%数据,从2010年到2022年,我们使用Python深度学习框架PyTorch来开发CNN-LSTM模型。此外,我们利用R和Python开发了其他四种常用于预测传染病的模型。在构建模型之后,我们使用这些模型来进行回顾性预测,并使用平均绝对误差(MAE)比较了每个模型的预测性能,均方根误差(RMSE),平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE),和其他评估指标。
    结果:根据河北省28家国家级哨点医院的历史ILI%数据,季节性自回归指数移动平均线(SARIMA),极端梯度提升(XGBoost),卷积神经网络(CNN)构建长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)模型。在测试集上,所有模型都有效地预测了ILI%趋势。随后,这些模型被用来预测不同的时间跨度。在各个预测期间,CNN-LSTM模型表现出最佳的预测性能,其次是XGBoost模型,LSTM模型,CNN模型,和SARIMA模型,表现出最差的表现。
    结论:混合CNN-LSTM模型比SARIMA模型具有更好的预测性能,CNN模型,LSTM模型,和XGBoost模型。这种混合模型可以提供更准确的河北省流感活动预测。
    BACKGROUND: Influenza, an acute infectious respiratory disease, presents a significant global health challenge. Accurate prediction of influenza activity is crucial for reducing its impact. Therefore, this study seeks to develop a hybrid Convolution Neural Network-Long Short Term Memory neural network (CNN-LSTM) model to forecast the percentage of influenza-like-illness (ILI) rate in Hebei Province, China. The aim is to provide more precise guidance for influenza prevention and control measures.
    METHODS: Using ILI% data from 28 national sentinel hospitals in the Hebei Province, spanning from 2010 to 2022, we employed the Python deep learning framework PyTorch to develop the CNN-LSTM model. Additionally, we utilized R and Python to develop four other models commonly used for predicting infectious diseases. After constructing the models, we employed these models to make retrospective predictions, and compared each model\'s prediction performance using mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and other evaluation metrics.
    RESULTS: Based on historical ILI% data from 28 national sentinel hospitals in Hebei Province, the Seasonal Auto-Regressive Indagate Moving Average (SARIMA), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Convolution Neural Network (CNN), Long Short Term Memory neural network (LSTM) models were constructed. On the testing set, all models effectively predicted the ILI% trends. Subsequently, these models were used to forecast over different time spans. Across various forecasting periods, the CNN-LSTM model demonstrated the best predictive performance, followed by the XGBoost model, LSTM model, CNN model, and SARIMA model, which exhibited the least favorable performance.
    CONCLUSIONS: The hybrid CNN-LSTM model had better prediction performances than the SARIMA model, CNN model, LSTM model, and XGBoost model. This hybrid model could provide more accurate influenza activity projections in the Hebei Province.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    集成活性污泥模型的并行混合常微分方程(ODE)。2d(ASM2d)和人工神经网络(ANN)被开发用于模拟生物除磷(BPR),具有高精度和可解释性。引入了两个新奇事物;首先,所涉及的支持数据(即,磷酸盐释放活性)作为输入并入ANN中。第二,ANN的输出是有选择性的。使用不同的人工神经网络输出实现了三个模型,在厌氧/好氧序批式反应器操作的磷酸盐估算方面,所有三个指标均优于ASM2d。特别是,由于捕获了不断增加的积累磷酸盐的生物(PAO),因此将负责BPR的四个变量纳入ANN可实现最高的性能(R2=0.93)。具有支持数据的ANN通过添加适当的PAO来令人满意地补偿ASM2d,导致磷酸盐估算的改善。新型并联混合ODE可以模拟BPR,同时保持物理意义。
    A parallel hybrid ordinary differential equation (ODE) integrating the Activated Sludge Model No. 2d (ASM2d) and an artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to simulate biological phosphorus removal (BPR) with high accuracy and interpretability. Two novelties were introduced; first, the involved supporting data (i.e., phosphate-release activity) were incorporated as an input in the ANN. Second, the outputs of the ANN were selective. Three models were implemented using different ANN outputs, and all three outperformed ASM2d in phosphate estimation for anaerobic/aerobic sequencing batch reactor operation. In particular, the incorporation of four variables responsible for BPR into the ANN enabled the highest performance (R2 = 0.93) owing to the capture of increasing phosphate-accumulating organisms (PAOs). The ANN with the supporting data worked satisfactorily to compensate for ASM2d by adding proper PAOs, resulting in improvement in phosphate estimation. The novel parallel hybrid ODE can simulate BPR while maintaining physical meaning.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    数学建模在理解和管理城市供水系统(UWS)中起着至关重要的作用。机械模型通常作为其设计和操作的基础。尽管被广泛收养,机械模型受到动态过程的复杂性和高计算要求的挑战。数据驱动的模型带来了捕捉系统复杂性并降低计算成本的机会,通过利用传感器技术的最新进展提供的丰富数据。然而,可解释性和数据可用性阻碍了它们的广泛采用。本文主张在UWS上下文中应用数据驱动模型的范式转变。将现有的机械知识集成到数据驱动的建模中提供了一种独特的解决方案,可以降低数据需求并增强模型的可解释性。知识知情方法在模型复杂性与数据集大小之间取得平衡,在UWS中实现更高效和可解释的建模。此外,机械和数据驱动模型的集成提供了UWS动力学的更准确表示,解决挥之不去的不确定性,提高建模能力。本文提出了开发和实现知识信息数据驱动建模的观点和概念框架,强调他们在数字时代改善UWS管理的潜力。
    Mathematical modeling plays a crucial role in understanding and managing urban water systems (UWS), with mechanistic models often serving as the foundation for their design and operations. Despite the wide adoptions, mechanistic models are challenged by the complexity of dynamic processes and high computational demands. Data-driven models bring opportunities to capture system complexities and reduce computational cost, by leveraging the abundant data made available by recent advance in sensor technologies. However, the interpretability and data availability hinder their wider adoption. This paper advocates for a paradigm shift in the application of data-driven models within the context of UWS. Integrating existing mechanistic knowledge into data-driven modeling offers a unique solution that reduces data requirements and enhances model interpretability. The knowledge-informed approach balances model complexity with dataset size, enabling more efficient and interpretable modeling in UWS. Furthermore, the integration of mechanistic and data-driven models offers a more accurate representation of UWS dynamics, addressing lingering uncertainties and advancing modelling capabilities. This paper presents perspectives and conceptual framework on developing and implementing knowledge-informed data-driven modeling, highlighting their potential to improve UWS management in the digital era.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)进行及时和公正的评估对于为受影响的个人提供持久的益处至关重要。然而,传统的ASD评估在很大程度上依赖于主观标准,缺乏客观性。最近的进步提出了现代流程的整合,包括基于人工智能的眼动追踪技术,早期ASD评估。尽管如此,目前ASD的诊断程序通常涉及既耗时又昂贵的专门调查,严重依赖专家的熟练程度和所采用的技术。为了解决提示的迫切需要,高效,和精确的ASD诊断,提出了能够自动化疾病分类的复杂智能技术的探索。这项研究利用了一个可自由访问的数据集,包括547个眼睛跟踪系统,可用于扫描328个典型新兴儿童和219个自闭症儿童的路径。为了防止过装配,采用了最先进的图像重采样方法来扩展训练数据集。利用深度学习算法,特别是MobileNet,VGG19、DenseNet169和MobileNet-VGG19的混合,自动分类器,有望提高诊断的准确性和有效性,已开发。与现有系统相比,MobileNet模型表现出卓越的性能,实现了令人印象深刻的100%的准确度,而VGG19模型达到了92%的准确率。这些发现证明了眼动追踪数据在帮助医生有效和准确地筛查自闭症方面的潜力。此外,报告的结果表明,深度学习方法优于现有的事件检测算法,达到与手动编码相似的精度水平。用户和医疗保健专业人员可以利用这些分类器来提高ASD诊断的准确率。这些基于深度学习算法的自动分类器的开发有望提高ASD评估的诊断精度和有效性。解决了对迅速的迫切需要,高效,和精确的ASD诊断。
    Timely and unbiased evaluation of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is essential for providing lasting benefits to affected individuals. However, conventional ASD assessment heavily relies on subjective criteria, lacking objectivity. Recent advancements propose the integration of modern processes, including artificial intelligence-based eye-tracking technology, for early ASD assessment. Nonetheless, the current diagnostic procedures for ASD often involve specialized investigations that are both time-consuming and costly, heavily reliant on the proficiency of specialists and employed techniques. To address the pressing need for prompt, efficient, and precise ASD diagnosis, an exploration of sophisticated intelligent techniques capable of automating disease categorization was presented. This study has utilized a freely accessible dataset comprising 547 eye-tracking systems that can be used to scan pathways obtained from 328 characteristically emerging children and 219 children with autism. To counter overfitting, state-of-the-art image resampling approaches to expand the training dataset were employed. Leveraging deep learning algorithms, specifically MobileNet, VGG19, DenseNet169, and a hybrid of MobileNet-VGG19, automated classifiers, that hold promise for enhancing diagnostic precision and effectiveness, was developed. The MobileNet model demonstrated superior performance compared to existing systems, achieving an impressive accuracy of 100%, while the VGG19 model achieved 92% accuracy. These findings demonstrate the potential of eye-tracking data to aid physicians in efficiently and accurately screening for autism. Moreover, the reported results suggest that deep learning approaches outperform existing event detection algorithms, achieving a similar level of accuracy as manual coding. Users and healthcare professionals can utilize these classifiers to enhance the accuracy rate of ASD diagnosis. The development of these automated classifiers based on deep learning algorithms holds promise for enhancing the diagnostic precision and effectiveness of ASD assessment, addressing the pressing need for prompt, efficient, and precise ASD diagnosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预测水质变化的流域水质建模是制定流域内有效管理策略的重要工具。基于过程的模型(PBM)通常用于模拟水质建模。在利用PBM的分水岭建模中,通过适当设置模型参数,有效反映流域的实际情况至关重要。然而,参数校准和验证是耗时的过程,具有固有的不确定性。应对这些挑战,本研究旨在解决PBMs校准和验证过程中遇到的各种挑战。混合模型的发展,提出了将未校准的PBM与深度学习算法等数据驱动模型(DDM)相结合的方法。该混合模型旨在通过整合PBM和DDM的优势来增强流域建模。混合模型是通过将未校准的土壤和水评估工具(SWAT)与长短期记忆(LSTM)耦合起来构建的。特警,有代表性的PBM,是使用地理信息和永山河流域的5年观测数据构建的。未校准SWAT的输出变量,比如水流,悬浮固体(SS),总氮(TN),和总磷(TP),以及当天和前一天观察到的降水,用作深度学习模型的训练数据,以预测TP负载。为了比较,对传统的SWAT模型进行了校准和验证,以预测TP负荷。结果表明,混合模型模拟的TP负荷比校准的SWAT模型预测的TP更好。此外,混合模型反映了TP负荷的季节性变化,包括高峰事件。值得注意的是,当应用于其他子盆地时,没有特别的训练,混合模型的性能始终优于校准的SWAT模型。总之,SWAT-LSTM混合模型的应用可以减少模型校准中的不确定性并提高流域建模中的整体预测性能。实践要点:我们旨在增强流域水质建模的基于过程的模型。土壤和水评估工具-长期短期记忆混合模型的预测和总磷(TP)与观察到的TP相匹配。当应用于其他子盆地时,它表现出优越的预测性能。混合模型将克服常规建模的约束。它还将实现更有效和高效的建模。
    Watershed water quality modeling to predict changing water quality is an essential tool for devising effective management strategies within watersheds. Process-based models (PBMs) are typically used to simulate water quality modeling. In watershed modeling utilizing PBMs, it is crucial to effectively reflect the actual watershed conditions by appropriately setting the model parameters. However, parameter calibration and validation are time-consuming processes with inherent uncertainties. Addressing these challenges, this research aims to address various challenges encountered in the calibration and validation processes of PBMs. To achieve this, the development of a hybrid model, combining uncalibrated PBMs with data-driven models (DDMs) such as deep learning algorithms is proposed. This hybrid model is intended to enhance watershed modeling by integrating the strengths of both PBMs and DDMs. The hybrid model is constructed by coupling an uncalibrated Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). SWAT, a representative PBM, is constructed using geographical information and 5-year observed data from the Yeongsan River Watershed. The output variables of the uncalibrated SWAT, such as streamflow, suspended solids (SS), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP), as well as observed precipitation for the day and previous day, are used as training data for the deep learning model to predict the TP load. For the comparison, the conventional SWAT model is calibrated and validated to predict the TP load. The results revealed that TP load simulated by the hybrid model predicted the observed TP better than that predicted by the calibrated SWAT model. Also, the hybrid model reflects seasonal variations in the TP load, including peak events. Remarkably, when applied to other sub-basins without specific training, the hybrid model consistently outperformed the calibrated SWAT model. In conclusion, application of the SWAT-LSTM hybrid model could be a useful tool for decreasing uncertainties in model calibration and improving the overall predictive performance in watershed modeling. PRACTITIONER POINTS: We aimed to enhance process-based models for watershed water-quality modeling. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Long Short-Term Memory hybrid model\'s predicted and total phosphorus (TP) matched the observed TP. It exhibited superior predictive performance when applied to other sub-basins. The hybrid model will overcome the constraints of conventional modeling. It will also enable more effective and efficient modeling.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    提高传染病传播预报的准确性,最近引入了一种混合模型,在该模型中,通过机器学习(ML)模型从强制缓解政策数据中积极估计通常假定的恒定疾病传播率,然后将其馈送到扩展的易感感染-恢复模型,以预测感染病例数.只测试一个ML模型,也就是说,梯度增强模型(GBM),这项工作还没有完成,其他ML模型是否会表现得更好。这里,我们比较了GBM,线性回归,k-最近的邻居,和贝叶斯网络(BNs)根据未来35天的政策指数预测美国和加拿大各省的COVID-19感染病例数。这些ML模型在组合数据集上的平均绝对百分比误差没有显著差异[H(3)=3.10,p=0.38]。在两个省,观察到显著差异[H(3)=8.77,H(3)=8.07,p<0.05],然而,posthoc测试显示,在成对比较中没有显着差异。然而,在大多数训练数据集中,BNs的表现明显优于其他模型。结果表明,ML模型总体上具有相等的预测能力,和BNs最适合数据拟合应用。
    To improve the forecasting accuracy of the spread of infectious diseases, a hybrid model was recently introduced where the commonly assumed constant disease transmission rate was actively estimated from enforced mitigating policy data by a machine learning (ML) model and then fed to an extended susceptible-infected-recovered model to forecast the number of infected cases. Testing only one ML model, that is, gradient boosting model (GBM), the work left open whether other ML models would perform better. Here, we compared GBMs, linear regressions, k-nearest neighbors, and Bayesian networks (BNs) in forecasting the number of COVID-19-infected cases in the United States and Canadian provinces based on policy indices of future 35 days. There was no significant difference in the mean absolute percentage errors of these ML models over the combined dataset [H(3)=3.10,p=0.38]. In two provinces, a significant difference was observed [H(3)=8.77,H(3)=8.07,p<0.05], yet posthoc tests revealed no significant difference in pairwise comparisons. Nevertheless, BNs significantly outperformed the other models in most of the training datasets. The results put forward that the ML models have equal forecasting power overall, and BNs are best for data-fitting applications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    健康的生活方式可能是预防或至少延迟痴呆发作的重要先决条件。然而,大量不从事身体活动的成年人强调,需要制定和评估旨在提高坚持身体活动生活方式的干预方法.在这方面,混合体能训练,它通常结合了中心和家庭为基础的体育锻炼课程,并且在康复环境中被证明是成功的,可以提供一种有希望的方法来保护老年人的认知健康。尽管有潜力,这一领域的研究是有限的,因为混合体能训练干预措施在促进健康认知衰老方面未得到充分利用。此外,对于混合体能训练干预措施,缺乏普遍接受的定义或分类框架,这对未来在这一方向上的进展构成了挑战.为了解决这个差距,本文通过提供不同类型的定义和分类方法,向读者介绍混合体能训练,讨论它们的具体优点和缺点,并为未来的研究提供建议。具体来说,我们专注于应用数字技术来提供基于家庭的练习,因为它们的使用具有接触服务不足和边缘化群体的巨大潜力,例如生活在农村地区的行动不便的老年人。
    A healthy lifestyle can be an important prerequisite to prevent or at least delay the onset of dementia. However, the large number of physically inactive adults underscores the need for developing and evaluating intervention approaches aimed at improving adherence to a physically active lifestyle. In this regard, hybrid physical training, which usually combines center- and home-based physical exercise sessions and has proven successful in rehabilitative settings, could offer a promising approach to preserving cognitive health in the aging population. Despite its potential, research in this area is limited as hybrid physical training interventions have been underused in promoting healthy cognitive aging. Furthermore, the absence of a universally accepted definition or a classification framework for hybrid physical training interventions poses a challenge to future progress in this direction. To address this gap, this article informs the reader about hybrid physical training by providing a definition and classification approach of different types, discussing their specific advantages and disadvantages, and offering recommendations for future research. Specifically, we focus on applying digital technologies to deliver home-based exercises, as their use holds significant potential for reaching underserved and marginalized groups, such as older adults with mobility impairments living in rural areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    线性回归对于数据建模至关重要,尤其是对科学家来说。然而,有了大量的高维数据,有数据的解释变量比观测数量多。在这种情况下,传统的方法失败了。本文以海藻大数据为用例,提出了一种改进的稀疏回归模型,解决了异质性问题。改进的岭异质性模型,使用LASSO和Elasticnet对数据进行建模。稳健估计M双平方,M汉佩尔,MHuber,使用MM和S。根据结果,之前的稀疏回归混合模型,之后,并且具有45个高排序变量和2-sigma限制的改进的异质性稳健回归可以有效地减少异常值。所获得的结果证实,与其他现有方法相比,针对45个高排序参数的M双方估计器的改进稀疏LASSO的混合模型性能更好。
    The linear regression is critical for data modelling, especially for scientists. Nevertheless, with the plenty of high-dimensional data, there are data with more explanatory variables than the number of observations. In such circumstances, traditional approaches fail. This paper proposes a modified sparse regression model that solves the problem of heterogeneity using seaweed big data as a use case. The modified heterogeneity models for ridge, LASSO and Elastic net were used to model the data. Robust estimations M Bi-Square, M Hampel, M Huber, MM and S were used. Based on the results, the hybrid model of sparse regression for before, after, and modified heterogeneity robust regression with the 45 high ranking variables and a 2-sigma limit can be used efficiently and effectively to reduce the outliers. The obtained results confirm that the hybrid model of the modified sparse LASSO with the M Bi-Square estimator for the 45 high ranking parameters performed better compared with other existing methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    缺血性脑中风是由于大脑血流阻塞而发生的严重医疗状况,通常由血栓或动脉阻塞引起。早期发现对于有效治疗至关重要。这项研究旨在通过引入一种新的方法来提高临床环境中缺血性脑中风的检测和分类,集成深度学习,和智能病变检测和分割模型。所提出的混合模型使用10,000个计算机断层扫描的数据集来训练和测试。采用了25倍交叉验证技术,虽然使用准确性评估了模型的性能,精度,召回,F1得分。研究结果表明,当使用具有对比度限制的自适应直方图均衡设置为4的SPEM模型进行增强时,笔划图像的不同阶段的准确性显着提高。具体来说,超急性卒中图像的准确性显着提高(从0.876提高到0.933);急性卒中图像的准确性从0.881提高到0.948,从0.927到0.974的亚急性中风图像,慢性中风图像从0.928到0.982。因此,该研究显示了缺血性脑中风的检测和分类的重要前景。需要进一步的研究来验证其在更大数据集上的性能,并增强其与临床环境的整合。
    Ischemic brain strokes are severe medical conditions that occur due to blockages in the brain\'s blood flow, often caused by blood clots or artery blockages. Early detection is crucial for effective treatment. This study aims to improve the detection and classification of ischemic brain strokes in clinical settings by introducing a new approach that integrates the stroke precision enhancement, ensemble deep learning, and intelligent lesion detection and segmentation models. The proposed hybrid model was trained and tested using a dataset of 10,000 computed tomography scans. A 25-fold cross-validation technique was employed, while the model\'s performance was evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The findings indicate significant improvements in accuracy for different stages of stroke images when enhanced using the SPEM model with contrast-limited adaptive histogram equalization set to 4. Specifically, accuracy showed significant improvement (from 0.876 to 0.933) for hyper-acute stroke images; from 0.881 to 0.948 for acute stroke images, from 0.927 to 0.974 for sub-acute stroke images, and from 0.928 to 0.982 for chronic stroke images. Thus, the study shows significant promise for the detection and classification of ischemic brain strokes. Further research is needed to validate its performance on larger datasets and enhance its integration into clinical settings.
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