目的:本研究旨在分析“一带一路”倡议(BRI)国家1990年至2019年归因于高体重指数(DB-hBMI)的疾病负担的时空格局,鉴于全球hBMI患病率增加。
方法:该研究是对2019年全球疾病负担(GBD2019)的二次分析,分析了(使用Joinpoint回归分析)数字和年龄标准化的死亡率和残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)hBMI引起的疾病及其1990年至2019年和最后十年的趋势。
方法:BRI国家的GBD2019研究数据按国家/地区分类,年龄,性别,和疾病。
方法:GBD2019年数据用于分析BRI国家的DB-hBMI。
结果:2019年,中国,印度,俄罗斯报告的死亡率和DALY在“一带一路”倡议国家中最高。从1990年到2019年,东南亚和南亚的年龄标准化DALYs增加,而许多欧洲国家出现了下降。值得注意的是,孟加拉国,尼泊尔,越南表现出最快的增长,AAPC值为4.42%,4.19%,和4.28%,(均P<0.05)。相比之下,以色列,斯洛文尼亚,波兰经历了大幅削减,APCC值为-1.70%,-1.63%,和-1.58%,(均P<0.05)。男性增长最快的是越南,尼泊尔,孟加拉国,而乔丹,波兰,斯洛文尼亚的女性下降最快。在大多数BRI国家/地区,与hBMI相关的糖尿病和肾脏疾病的负担呈显着上升趋势。
结论:DB-hBMI因地区而异,年龄,性别,和BRI国家的疾病类型。它可能对公众健康构成重大威胁。
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyse the spatial and temporal patterns of disease burden attributed to high BMI (DB-hBMI) from 1990 to 2019 in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries, in light of increasing hBMI prevalence worldwide.
METHODS: The study was a secondary analysis of Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019) that analysed (using Joinpoint regression analysis) numbers and the age-standardised rate of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) of hBMI-induced diseases and their trends from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade.
METHODS: GBD 2019 study data for BRI countries were categorised by country, age, gender and disease.
METHODS: GBD 2019 data were used to analyse DB-hBMI in BRI countries.
RESULTS: In 2019, China, India and Russia reported the highest mortality and DALY among BRI countries. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardised DALY increased in Southeast Asia and South Asia, whereas many European countries saw declines. Notably, Bangladesh, Nepal and Vietnam showed the steepest increases, with average annual percentage change (AAPC) values of 4·42 %, 4·19 % and 4·28 %, respectively (all P < 0·05). In contrast, Israel, Slovenia and Poland experienced significant reductions, with AAPC values of -1·70 %, -1·63 % and -1·58 %, respectively (all P < 0·05). The most rapid increases among males were seen in Vietnam, Nepal and Bangladesh, while Jordan, Poland and Slovenia recorded the fastest declines among females. Across most BRI countries, the burden of diabetes and kidney diseases related to hBMI showed a significant uptrend.
CONCLUSIONS: DB-hBMI varies significantly by region, age, gender and disease type across BRI countries. It can pose a substantial threat to public health.