gastrointestinal illness

胃肠道疾病
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    众所周知,市政饮用水可能是胃肠道疾病(GII)爆发的原因,但目前尚不清楚饮用水在多大程度上有助于地方性GII。为了探索这个,我们在瑞典五个城市的6,955名成年人中进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,通过SMS(短消息服务)收集每月GII发作和平均每日冷饮用水消耗量。当饮用水消耗与GII(所有症状)和急性胃肠道疾病(AGI,呕吐和/或在24小时期间的三个稀便)进行评估,有迹象表明这种关联偏离了线性,遵循单峰形状。在地表水区的消费者中,GII和AGI的最高风险通常出现在普通消费者中,而在地下水消费者中却看到了相反的情况。然而,该协会似乎也受到邻近社区的影响。研究结果表明,饮用水消耗与地方性GII之间确实存在关联,但是这种联系的性质是复杂的,可能会受到多种因素的影响,例如,家庭中的水源类型和其他来源的饮用水暴露程度。
    It is well known that municipal drinking water may be the cause of gastrointestinal illness (GII) outbreaks, but it is still unclear to what extent drinking water contributes to endemic GII. To explore this, we conducted a prospective cohort study among 6,955 adults in five municipalities in Sweden, collecting monthly GII episodes and mean daily cold drinking water consumption through SMS (Short Message Service). When the association between drinking water consumption and GII (all symptoms) and acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI, vomiting and/or three loose stools during a 24-h period) were assessed, there were indications that the association departed from linearity, following a unimodal shape. Among consumers in surface water areas, the highest risk of GII and AGI was generally seen among the average consumers, while the opposite was seen among groundwater consumers. The association however also seemed to be affected by neighbouring communities. The results of the study indicate that there is indeed an association between drinking water consumption and endemic GII, but the nature of this association is complex and likely affected by multiple factors, for example, water source type in the home and degree of exposure to drinking water from additional sources.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肠道感染是发病和死亡的重要原因,然而,临床监测是有限的。基于废水的流行病学(WBE)已用于研究单个肠道病毒和呼吸道疾病小组的社区循环,但是研究一组重要肠道病毒的并发传播的工作有限。在位于加利福尼亚的两个污水处理厂进行了WBE回顾性研究,美国。使用数字液滴聚合酶链反应(PCR),我们测量了人腺病毒F组的浓度,肠病毒,诺如病毒基因组I和II,在2021年2月至2023年4月中旬之间,每周两次,持续26个月(n=459个样品)。开发了一种新型的基于探针的PCR测定法,并对腺病毒进行了验证。我们比较了提交给当地临床实验室的临床标本中病毒感染的病毒核酸浓度与阳性率,以评估数据集之间的一致性。我们检测到废水固体中的所有病毒靶标。在两个污水处理厂,在最高浓度(中值浓度大于105拷贝/g)检测到人腺病毒F组和诺如病毒GII核酸,而轮状病毒RNA的检测浓度最低(中位数约为103拷贝/g)。轮状病毒,腺病毒F组,诺如病毒核酸浓度与临床标本阳性率呈正相关。测试的病毒核酸浓度与SARS-CoV-2和废水中的其他呼吸道病毒核酸表现出复杂的关联,暗示了不同的传播模式。重要提示本研究为在基于废水的流行病学计划中使用废水固体敏感检测肠道病毒靶标提供了证据,旨在更好地了解肠道疾病在局部的传播,社区水平没有与测试许多个人相关的限制。废水数据可以为临床提供信息,公共卫生,以及旨在减少肠道疾病传播的个人决策。
    Enteric infections are important causes of morbidity and mortality, yet clinical surveillance is limited. Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has been used to study community circulation of individual enteric viruses and panels of respiratory diseases, but there is limited work studying the concurrent circulation of a suite of important enteric viruses. A retrospective WBE study was carried out at two wastewater treatment plants located in California, United States. Using digital droplet polymerase chain reaction (PCR), we measured concentrations of human adenovirus group F, enteroviruses, norovirus genogroups I and II, and rotavirus nucleic acids in wastewater solids two times per week for 26 months (n = 459 samples) between February 2021 and mid-April 2023. A novel probe-based PCR assay was developed and validated for adenovirus. We compared viral nucleic acid concentrations to positivity rates for viral infections from clinical specimens submitted to a local clinical laboratory to assess concordance between the data sets. We detected all viral targets in wastewater solids. At both wastewater treatment plants, human adenovirus group F and norovirus GII nucleic acids were detected at the highest concentrations (median concentrations greater than 105 copies/g), while rotavirus RNA was detected at the lowest concentrations (median on the order of 103 copies/g). Rotavirus, adenovirus group F, and norovirus nucleic acid concentrations were positively associated with clinical specimen positivity rates. Concentrations of tested viral nucleic acids exhibited complex associations with SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory viral nucleic acids in wastewater, suggesting divergent transmission patterns.IMPORTANCEThis study provides evidence for the use of wastewater solids for the sensitive detection of enteric virus targets in wastewater-based epidemiology programs aimed to better understand the spread of enteric disease at a localized, community level without limitations associated with testing many individuals. Wastewater data can inform clinical, public health, and individual decision-making aimed to reduce the transmission of enteric disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:综合多重PCR检测是基于医生指导的请求表格的传统粪便检测的替代方法。这项研究的目的是比较基于医生指导的要求表格的常规微生物测试的病因学产量与快速综合症测试的病因学产量。此外,临床医生订购的充分性,这是诊断管理的重要组成部分,进行了评估。
    方法:医师指导的常规微生物学测试和快速诊断胃肠炎试剂盒的广泛分子综合征测试对1238个样本进行并行评估,以评估多重面板对胃肠炎诊断过程的贡献。
    结果:通过标准微生物学测试在18.4%的粪便样本中以及使用综合征组测试的41.3%的粪便样本中鉴定出潜在的致病病原体。只有15.1%的申请表可以被认为是成功的,其中88.2%的申请表被标记为不充分。传统的基于医师指导的测试在32.3%的标本中(不包括萨波病毒和星状病毒)错过了病因诊断。从理论上讲,细菌感染不会被遗漏,因为所有粪便样本都需要细菌粪便培养,但在28.6%的病例中,没有分离物可以恢复。在36.9%的病毒病原体检测呈阳性的样本中,我们没有要求进行病毒检测.此外,所有寄生虫阳性样品中有72.5%被医生临床怀疑。
    结论:这项研究表明,与基于临床表现的医师指导的实验室检测相比,综合多重PCR检测是胃肠炎患者病原体检测的更好策略。
    BACKGROUND: Syndromic multiplex PCR testing is an alternative to conventional stool testing based on physician-directed request forms. The objective of this study was to compare the etiologic yield of conventional microbiological testing based on physician-directed request forms with that of rapid syndromic testing. In addition, the adequacy of the clinician ordering, which is an important piece of the diagnostic stewardship, was evaluated.
    METHODS: Physician-directed conventional microbiological testing and extensive molecular syndromic testing with the Fast Track Diagnostics Gastroenteritis Kit were performed in parallel on 1238 samples to evaluate the contribution of a multiplex panel to the diagnostic process of gastroenteritis.
    RESULTS: A potential causative pathogen was identified in 18.4% of stool samples by standard microbiological testing and in 41.3% of stool samples tested using the syndromic panel. Only 15.1% of the request forms could be considered successful of which 88.2% were labeled inadequate. Conventional physician-directed based testing missed the etiologic diagnosis in 32.3% of the specimens (excluding sapovirus and astrovirus). Bacterial infections were theoretically not missed as bacterial stool culture was requested on all stool samples, but in 28.6% of the cases, no isolate could be recovered. In 36.9% of the samples testing positive for a viral pathogen, no viral testing was requested. In addition, 72.5% of all samples positive for a parasite were clinically suspected by the physician.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that syndromic multiplex PCR assays are a better strategy for pathogen detection in patients with gastroenteritis than physician-directed laboratory testing based on the clinical presentation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人口老龄化是大多数国家面临的社会问题。
    目的:应用国家早期预警评分(NEWS)对胃肠外科住院老年患者的生命体征和意识进行预警,通过研究NEWS值与病情严重程度变化的相关性,为早期发现老年患者病情严重程度变化提供参考。
    方法:我们招募了2020年6月至2021年5月在贵州省某三级甲等医院胃肠外科住院的528名老年患者,分析NEWS最大值与疾病严重程度的相关性,并使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线获得潜在危重和危重老年患者的最佳NEWS临界值。
    结果:不同严重程度的老年患者NEWS值差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。NEWS值与疾病严重程度呈正相关(r=0.605,P<0.001)。根据ROC曲线,用于新闻识别潜在危重病的预警触发值,重症和绝症老年患者分别为6、7和8。潜在危重病的曲线下面积(AUC),重症和绝症老年患者分别为0.907、0.921和0.939。在AUC中,新闻在检测患者疾病严重程度方面比改良早期预警评分(MEWS)表现更好,灵敏度,特异性,和Youden\的索引,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。
    结论:使用NEWS对住院老年患者的生命体征和意识进行预警,有助于医务人员提前发现老年患者的病情严重程度变化,及时治疗,从而显著降低疾病恶化的风险。
    UNASSIGNED: Population aging is a social problem that is being faced in most countries.
    UNASSIGNED: To apply the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) for an early warning on the vital signs and consciousness of elderly patients who are hospitalized in the gastrointestinal surgical department and to provide a reference for early detection of changes in illness severity in elderly patients by studying the correlation between NEWS value and changes in illness severity.
    UNASSIGNED: We enrolled 528 elderly patients who were hospitalized in the gastrointestinal surgical department of a tertiary grade A hospital in Guizhou Province between June 2020 and May 2021, to analyze how NEWS max value correlates with illness severity and obtain the optimal NEWS cutoff value for both potentially critically ill and critically ill elderly patients using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
    UNASSIGNED: There were statistically significant differences in NEWS values between elderly patients with various illness severities (P< 0.05). NEWS values correlated positively with illness severity (r= 0.605, P< 0.001). Based on the ROC curve, early warning trigger values for NEWS to identify potentially critically ill, critically ill and terminally ill elderly patients were 6, 7 and 8, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for potentially critically ill, critically ill and terminally ill elderly patients was 0.907, 0.921 and 0.939, respectively. NEWS performed better in detecting patient illness severity than Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) in AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and Youden\'s index, with statistically significant differences (P< 0.05).
    UNASSIGNED: An early warning on the vital signs and consciousness of hospitalized elderly patients using NEWS can facilitate advanced detection of changes in illness severity of elderly patients by medical staff and enable timely treatment, thus significantly lowering the risks of illness deterioration.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    荟萃分析尚未检查口服益生菌的预防性使用,益生元,或合生元用于预防成人人群中各种病因的胃肠道感染(GTI),尽管有证据表明这些针对肠道微生物群的干预措施可以有效治疗某些GTI。本系统综述和荟萃分析旨在评估预防性使用口服益生菌的效果。益生元,和合生元对GTI发病率的影响,持续时间,以及非老年人的严重程度,非住院的成年人。中部,PubMed,Scopus,和WebofScience在2022年1月进行了搜索。英语语言,同行评审的随机出版物,安慰剂对照研究测试口服益生菌,益生元,或任何剂量的合生元干预≥1周的成人谁没有住院,免疫抑制,或服用抗生素也包括在内。使用意向治疗(ITT)和完整病例(CC)队列的随机效应荟萃分析对结果进行分析。通过亚组meta分析和meta回归来探索异质性。使用CochraneRoB2工具评估偏倚风险。17篇出版物报道了20项益生菌研究(n=16),益生元(n=3),和合生元(n=1)被鉴定(n>6,994名受试者)。在CC和ITT分析中,益生菌(CC分析:风险比=0.86[95CI:0.73,1.01])和益生元(风险比=0.80[95CI:0.66,0.98])可降低GTI≥1的风险.未观察到对GTI持续时间或严重程度的影响。异质性的来源包括研究人群和施用的益生菌菌株的数量,但往往无法解释,在大多数研究中观察到高偏倚风险.由于缺乏确证研究,无法评估单个益生菌菌株和益生元类型的特定作用。研究结果表明,口服益生菌和益生元,相对于安慰剂,两者均显示出对降低非老年人GTI风险的适度益处.然而,由于研究数量少,结果应谨慎解释,偏见的高风险,和无法解释的异质性,可能包括益生菌菌株或益生元特异性效应。PROSPERO注册:CRD42020200670。
    Meta-analyses have not examined the prophylactic use of orally ingested probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics for preventing gastrointestinal tract infections (GTIs) of various etiologies in adult populations, despite evidence that these gut microbiota-targeted interventions can be effective in treating certain GTIs. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the effects of prophylactic use of orally ingested probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics on GTI incidence, duration, and severity in nonelderly, nonhospitalized adults. CENTRAL, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched through January 2022. English-language, peer-reviewed publications of randomized, placebo-controlled studies testing an orally ingested probiotic, prebiotic, or synbiotic intervention of any dose for ≥1 wk in adults who were not hospitalized, immunosuppressed, or taking antibiotics were included. Results were analyzed using random-effects meta-analyses of intention-to-treat (ITT) and complete case (CC) cohorts. Heterogeneity was explored by subgroup meta-analysis and meta-regression. The risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias 2 tool. Seventeen publications reporting 20 studies of probiotics (n = 16), prebiotics (n = 3), and synbiotics (n = 1) were identified (n > 6994 subjects). In CC and ITT analyses, risk of experiencing ≥1 GTI was reduced with probiotics (CC analysis-risk ratio: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.73, 1.01) and prebiotics (risk ratio: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.98). No effects on GTI duration or severity were observed. Sources of heterogeneity included the study population and number of probiotic strains administered but were often unexplained, and a high risk of bias was observed for most studies. The specific effects of individual probiotic strains and prebiotic types could not be assessed owing to a lack of confirmatory studies. Findings indicated that both orally ingested probiotics and prebiotics, relative to placebo, demonstrated modest benefit for reducing GTI risk in nonelderly adults. However, results should be interpreted cautiously owing to the low number of studies, high risk of bias, and unexplained heterogeneity that may include probiotic strain-specific or prebiotic-specific effects. This review was registered at PROSPERO as CRD42020200670.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景弯曲杆菌是食物和水传播疾病的主要原因。监测和模拟鸡肉鸡养殖场的弯曲杆菌,结合天气模式监测,可以帮助即时预报人类胃肠道(GI)疾病暴发。与卫生当局近乎实时地共享数据和模型结果可以帮助提高潜在的疫情响应能力。目的利用肉鸡养殖场的天气和弯曲杆菌数据,为可能的人类弯曲杆菌暴发建立风险模型,并与卫生当局进行风险评估。方法我们开发了一个时空随机效应模型,用于挪威城市每周胃肠道疾病咨询,使用2010年第30周至2022年11周的弯曲杆菌监测和天气数据,以提供胃肠道疾病暴发的1周近期预测。该方法将季节性调整的GI疾病的市政随机效应基线模型与与该基线的峰值偏差的第二模型相结合。通过一个互动网站:SykdomspulsenOneHealth,将模型结果传达给国家和地方利益相关者。结果滞后温度和降水协变量,以及肉鸡2周滞后的弯曲杆菌阳性采样,与更高水平的胃肠道咨询有关。观察到爆发nowcast的显着城市间差异。结论肉鸡弯曲杆菌监测可用于胃肠道疾病暴发的即时预报。沿着从环境到疾病的潜在途径对弯曲杆菌进行监测,例如通过水系统监测,可以改善临近预报。OneHealth系统可向卫生专业人员传达近实时的监测数据和即时预报风险变化,从而促进了弯曲杆菌暴发的预防,并减少了对人类健康的影响。
    BackgroundCampylobacter is a leading cause of food and waterborne illness. Monitoring and modelling Campylobacter at chicken broiler farms, combined with weather pattern surveillance, can aid nowcasting of human gastrointestinal (GI) illness outbreaks. Near real-time sharing of data and model results with health authorities can help increase potential outbreak responsiveness.AimsTo leverage data on weather and Campylobacter on broiler farms to build a risk model for possible human Campylobacter outbreaks and to communicate risk assessments with health authorities.MethodsWe developed a spatio-temporal random effects model for weekly GI illness consultations in Norwegian municipalities with Campylobacter monitoring and weather data from week 30 2010 to 11 2022 to give 1-week nowcasts of GI illness outbreaks. The approach combined a municipality random effects baseline model for seasonally-adjusted GI illness with a second model for peak deviations from that baseline. Model results are communicated to national and local stakeholders through an interactive website: Sykdomspulsen One Health.ResultsLagged temperature and precipitation covariates, as well as 2-week-lagged positive Campylobacter sampling in broilers, were associated with higher levels of GI consultations. Significant inter-municipality variability in outbreak nowcasts were observed.ConclusionsCampylobacter surveillance in broilers can be useful in GI illness outbreak nowcasting. Surveillance of Campylobacter along potential pathways from the environment to illness such as via water system monitoring may improve nowcasting. A One Health system that communicates near real-time surveillance data and nowcast changes in risk to health professionals facilitates the prevention of Campylobacter outbreaks and reduces impact on human health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    弯曲杆菌病,食源性疾病,是世界上胃肠道疾病的主要原因之一。这项研究调查了人类弯曲杆菌病与空肠弯曲杆菌潜在污染食品的消费之间的联系。从人类身上收集了三百六十份样本,鸡肉泄殖腔,生鸡肉,未经巴氏灭菌的牛奶,和蔬菜。这些鸡只获自持牌及非持牌屠房,只研究了脖子和翅膀。在微氧条件下富集样品,然后在改良的木炭头孢哌酮脱氧胆酸盐琼脂上培养。通过染色鉴定细菌,生化检测,并通过聚合酶链反应对毒力基因进行分子鉴定;hipO,asp,dnaJ,cadF,cdtA,cdtB,和cdtC。通过血清学Penner测试和脉冲场凝胶电泳(PFGE)评估了人和鸡分离株之间空肠弯曲杆菌的基因组同质性。在蔬菜和巴氏杀菌牛奶中未检测到弯曲杆菌,虽然,根据形态推测,仅有20株来自鸡和临床样本的分离株为弯曲杆菌.生化试验证实5个分离株为大肠杆菌,15个分离株是空肠杆菌,包括两个来自人类的分离株,剩下的是鸡。与从非许可屠宰场获得的(33.3%)相比,从许可屠宰场获得的鸡的脖子上的空肠弯曲杆菌定殖明显较低(6.66%)。药敏试验表明,所有鉴定出的空肠弯曲杆菌对抗生素均具有耐药性,大多数分离株(53.5%)对六种抗生素表现出耐药性,虽然,所有分离株均对环丙沙星耐药,四环素,还有氨曲南.Penner检验显示P:21为人类分离株的优势血清型,脖子,还有Cloaca.人类分离株和鸡颈中空肠弯曲杆菌的血清同源性,翅膀,泄殖腔占71%,36%,78%,分别。限制性内切酶Smal对DNA片段化模式的PFGE分析显示,与与泄殖腔分离株的部分同源性相比,空肠弯曲杆菌人分离株和鸡颈具有完全的基因型同源性。该研究提请注意需要有效的干预措施,以确保商业食物链供应的安全家禽生产的最佳做法,以限制食源性病原体的感染,包括弯曲杆菌.
    Campylobacteriosis, a foodborne illness, is one of the world\'s leading causes of gastrointestinal illness. This study investigates the link between human campylobacteriosis and the consumption of potentially contaminated food with Campylobacter jejuni. Three hundred sixty samples were collected from humans, chicken cloaca, raw chicken meat, unpasteurized milk, and vegetables. The chickens were obtained from licensed and non-licensed slaughterhouses, and only the necks and wings were studied. Samples were enriched under microaerobic conditions then cultured on the modified charcoal cefoperazone deoxycholate agar. Bacteria was identified by staining, biochemical testing, and molecular identification by the polymerase chain reaction for the virulence genes; hipO, asp, dnaJ, cadF, cdtA, cdtB, and cdtC. The genomic homogeneity of C. jejuni between human and chicken isolates was assessed by the serological Penner test and the pulse field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Campylobacter was not detected in the vegetables and pasteurized milk, though, only twenty isolates from chickens and clinical samples were presumed to be Campylobacter based on their morphology. The biochemical tests confirmed that five isolates were C. coli, and fifteen isolates were C. jejuni including two isolates from humans, and the remaining were from chickens. The colonization of C. jejuni in chickens was significantly lower in necks (6.66%) obtained from licensed slaughterhouses compared to those obtained from non-licensed slaughterhouses (33.3%). The antimicrobial susceptibility test showed that all identified C. jejuni isolates were resistant to antibiotics, and the majority of isolates (53.5%) showed resistance against six antibiotics, though, all isolates were resistant to ciprofloxacin, tetracycline, and aztreonam. The Penner test showed P:21 as the dominant serotype in isolates from humans, necks, and cloaca. The serohomology of C. jejuni from human isolates and chicken necks, wings, and cloaca was 71%, 36%, 78%, respectively. The PFGE analysis of the pattern for DNA fragmentation by the restriction enzyme Smal showed a complete genotypic homology of C. jejuni human isolates and chicken necks compared to partial homology with cloacal isolates. The study brings attention to the need for effective interventions to ensure best practices for safe poultry production for commercial food chain supply to limit infection with foodborne pathogens, including Campylobacter.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了在应急响应计划(ERP)的内容中提供缓解措施,有必要建立一个关于娱乐区空气中病原病毒暴露及其相应健康影响的定量模型。这里,本研究使用定量微生物风险评估(QMRA)模型对与水雾公园空气中的轮状病毒(RoV)和诺如病毒(NoV)暴露相关的健康风险进行了评估.为此,实时逆转录酶聚合酶链反应(实时RT-PCR)用于测量12个月内RoV和NoV的浓度水平。感染的可能性,使用QMRA和Monto-Carlo模拟技术估算了RoV和NoV对工人和访客造成的胃肠道疾病(GI)的疾病和疾病负担。喷水公园采样空气中RoV和NoV的年平均浓度分别为20和1754。%95置信区间(CI)计算的RoV(工人:2.62×10-4-2.62×10-1,访客:1.50×10-5-2.42×10-1)和NoV(工人:5.54×10-3-2.53×10-1;访客:5.18×10-4-2.54×10-1)的年度DALY指标显着高于WHO-PPY6和US-EPA(10根据敏感性分析,作为暴露于RoV和NoV的后果,暴露剂量和每例疾病负担(DBPC)被发现是对疾病负担影响最大的因素,分别。有关DALY和QMRA的全面信息可以帮助参与风险评估和娱乐行动的当局采取适当的方法和缓解行动,以最大程度地减少健康风险。
    A quantitative model on exposure to pathogenic viruses in air of recreational area and their corresponding health effects is necessary to provide mitigation actions in content of emergency response plans (ERP). Here, the health risk associated with exposure to two pathogenic viruses of concern: Rotavirus (RoV) and Norovirus (NoV) in air of water spray park were estimated using a quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) model. To this end, real-time Reverse Transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (real-time RT-PCR) was employed to measure the concentration levels of RoV and NoV over a twelve-month period. The probability of infection, illness and diseases burden of gastrointestinal illness (GI) caused by RoV and NoV for both workers and visitors were estimated using QMRA and Monto-Carlo simulation technique. The annual mean concentration for RoV and NoV in sampling air of water spray park were 20and 1754, respectively. The %95 confidence interval (CI) calculated annual DALY indicator for RoV (Workers: 2.62 × 10-4-2.62 × 10-1, Visitors: 1.50 × 10-5-2.42 × 10-1) and NoV (Workers: 5.54 × 10-3-2.53 × 10-1; Visitors: 5.18 × 10-4-2.54 × 10-1) were significantly higher the recommended values by WHO and US EPA (10-6-10-4 DALY pppy). According to sensitivity analysis, exposure dose and disease burden per case (DBPC) were found as the most influencing factors on disease burden as a consequences of exposure to RoV and NoV, respectively. The comprehensive information on DALY and QMRA can aid authorities involved in risk assessment and recreational actions to adopt proper approach and mitigation actions to minimize the health risk.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    饮用水分配网络的缺陷,例如交叉连接,可能导致饮用水污染,并对消费者构成严重的健康风险。交叉连接和回流被认为是分销网络中最严重的公共卫生风险之一。本文的目的是提供一个框架,用于估计交叉连接和回流事件的感染风险。弯曲杆菌,诺如病毒,选择隐孢子虫作为本研究的参考病原体。基于故障树分析方法构建了理论框架。国家汇总的交叉连接事件数据用于计算瑞典网络中发生污染事件的概率。评估了三个风险病例:地方性,升高,和极端。定量微生物风险评估(QMRA)用于评估国家平均估计的每日感染风险。还使用哥德堡网络的本地数据对该框架进行了评估。对于所有参考病原体和模型病例,瑞典网络中交叉连接和回流事件的每日感染风险通常高于可接受的目标水平10-6;哥德堡系统的例外是风险低于10-7。使用爆发案例研究来验证框架结果。对于爆发案例研究,使用水力模型(EPANET)模拟了网络中的污染物传输,并使用QMRA计算风险估计值。爆发模拟预测了97到148个有症状的感染,而在疫情爆发期间进行的流行病学调查报告了179例病例。使用爆发案例研究成功验证了故障树分析框架,尽管在哥德堡的例子中表明,性能良好的系统仍然需要本地数据。该框架可以帮助为饮用水供应商提供微生物风险评估,特别是在这方面资源和专业知识有限的人。
    Deficiencies in drinking water distribution networks, such as cross-connections, may lead to contamination of the drinking water and pose a serious health risk to consumers. Cross-connections and backflows are considered among the most severe public health risks in distribution networks. The aim of this paper was to provide a framework for estimating the risk of infection from cross-connection and backflow events. Campylobacter, norovirus, and Cryptosporidium were chosen as reference pathogens for this study. The theoretical framework was constructed based on the fault tree analysis methodology. National aggregated cross-connection incident data was used to calculate the probability of a contamination event occurring in Swedish networks. Three risk cases were evaluated: endemic, elevated, and extreme. Quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) was used to assess daily risk of infection for average national estimates. The framework was also evaluated using local data from the Gothenburg network. The daily risk of infection from cross-connection and backflow events in Swedish networks was generally above an acceptable target level of 10-6 for all reference pathogens and modelled cases; the exception was for the Gothenburg system where the risk was lower than 10-7. An outbreak case study was used to validate the framework results. For the outbreak case study, contaminant transport in the network was simulated using hydraulic modelling (EPANET), and risk estimates were calculated using QMRA. The outbreak simulation predicted between 97 and 148 symptomatic infections, while the epidemiological survey conducted during the outbreak reported 179 cases of illness. The fault tree analysis framework was successfully validated using an outbreak case study, though it was shown on the example of Gothenburg that local data is still needed for well-performing systems. The framework can help inform microbial risk assessments for drinking water suppliers, especially ones with limited resources and expertise in this area.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    有900万头猪,北卡罗来纳州(NC)是美国第二大生猪生产商。大多数猪被饲养在集中的动物饲养操作(CAFO),数百万吨的猪废物会污染空气和水,粪便病原体会导致腹泻,呕吐,和/或恶心(称为急性胃肠道疾病(AGI))。我们使用NC的ZIP代码级急诊科(ED)数据来计算AGIED访视率(2016-2019年)和猪许可证数据来估计猪暴露。病例暴露被估计为从每个猪CAFO到普查区块质心的距离的倒数,用高斯衰减和每个CAFO的粪肥量加权,然后使用人口权重聚合为邮政编码。我们将猪暴露的上四分位数(“高猪暴露”)的邮政编码与没有猪暴露的邮政编码进行了比较。使用治疗加权的逆概率,我们创建了一个与高生猪暴露人群人口统计学特征相似的对照,并使用准泊松模型计算了比率.我们使用调整后的模型检查了乡村和种族的效果度量修改。与没有猪暴露的地区相比,在高猪暴露地区,我们观察到AGI比率增加了11%(95%CI:1.06,1.17),特别是在农村地区增加了21%(95%CI:0.98,1.43).如果仅限于农村地区,我们发现美洲印第安人(RR=4.29,95%CI:3.69,4.88)和布莱克(RR=1.45,95%CI:0.98,1.91)居民的AGI率增加。在大雨后的一周内(RR=1.41,95%CI:1.19,1.62)以及同时存在家禽和猪CAFO的地区(RR=1.52,95%CI:1.48,1.57),该关联更强。居住在CAFOs附近可能会增加AGIED访问率。猪CAFO在北卡罗来纳州的黑人和美洲印第安人农村社区附近不成比例地建造,并且在这些人群中与AGI的增加最为相关。
    With 9 million hogs, North Carolina (NC) is the second leading hog producer in the United States. Most hogs are housed at concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs), where millions of tons of hog waste can pollute air and water with fecal pathogens that can cause diarrhea, vomiting, and/or nausea (known as acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI)). We used NC\'s ZIP code-level emergency department (ED) data to calculate rates of AGI ED visits (2016-2019) and swine permit data to estimate hog exposure. Case exposure was estimated as the inverse distances from each hog CAFO to census block centroids, weighting with Gaussian decay and by manure amount per CAFO, then aggregated to ZIP code using population weights. We compared ZIP codes in the upper quartile of hog exposure (\"high hog exposed\") to those without hog exposure. Using inverse probability of treatment weighting, we created a control with similar demographics to the high hog exposed population and calculated rate ratios using quasi-Poisson models. We examined effect measure modification of rurality and race using adjusted models. In high hog exposed areas compared to areas without hog exposure, we observed a 11% increase (95% CI: 1.06, 1.17) in AGI rate and 21% increase specifically in rural areas (95% CI: 0.98, 1.43). When restricted to rural areas, we found an increased AGI rate among American Indian (RR = 4.29, 95% CI: 3.69, 4.88) and Black (RR = 1.45, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.91) residents. The association was stronger during the week after heavy rain (RR = 1.41, 95% CI: 1.19, 1.62) and in areas with both poultry and swine CAFOs (RR = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.48, 1.57). Residing near CAFOs may increase rates of AGI ED visits. Hog CAFOs are disproportionally built near rural Black and American Indian communities in NC and are associated with increased AGI most strongly in these populations.
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