背景:胆囊癌(GBC)是一种侵袭性恶性肿瘤,通常在晚期诊断。先前的数据显示GBC在美国的发病率增加。然而,对诊断时每个阶段GBC的种族/民族特异性发病率和死亡率趋势知之甚少.因此,我们的目的是对按种族/民族和诊断阶段分类的GBC发病率和死亡率进行时间趋势分析.
方法:使用SEER*Stat软件从美国癌症统计数据库(2001年至2020年覆盖约98%的美国人口)和NCHS(2000年至2020年覆盖约100%的美国人口)数据库计算年龄调整后的GBC发病率和死亡率,分别。种族/族裔是非西班牙裔白人(NHW),非西班牙裔黑人(NHB),西班牙裔,非西班牙裔亚洲/太平洋岛民(NHAPI),和非西班牙裔美国人印第安人/阿拉斯加原住民(NHAIAN)。诊断阶段是所有阶段,早期,区域,遥远的阶段。Joinpoint回归用于生成时间趋势[年百分比变化(APC)和平均APC(AAPC)],并进行参数估计和双侧t检验(p值截止0.05)。
结果:76,873例患者被诊断为GBC,除了NHB在2001年至2014年期间呈上升趋势(APC=2.08,p<0.01)和之后的趋于稳定(APC=-1.21,p=0.31);(AAPC=1.03,p=0.03)。在早期肿瘤(9927例患者)中,发病率仅在西班牙裔(AAPC=-4.24,p=0.006)中下降,而在其他种族/民族中稳定(NHW:AAPC=-2.61,p=0.39;NHB:AAPC=-1.73,p=0.36).对于区域分期肿瘤(29,690例),GBC发生率仅在NHW中降低(AAPC=-1.61,p<0.001),而在其他种族/民族中稳定(NHB:AAPC=0.73,p=0.34;西班牙裔:AAPC=-1.58,p=0.24;NHAPI:AAPC=-1.22,p=0.07)。对于远处阶段的肿瘤(31,735名患者),NHB发病率增加(AAPC=2.72,p<0.001),西班牙裔下降(AAPC=-0.64,p=0.04),在NHW(AAPC=0.07,p=0.84)和NHAPI(AAPC=0.79,p=0.13)中稳定。除NHB外,所有种族/民族的GBC均有43,411例死亡,死亡率均呈下降趋势(AAPC=0.25,p=0.25)。
结论:过去二十年的全国数据表明,NHB患者在2001年至2014年期间GBC发病率增加,随后发病率稳定。这种增加是由晚期肿瘤驱动的,发生在第一个十年。NHB也经历了未改善的GBC死亡率,与死亡率下降的其他种族和族裔群体相比。这可能是由于缺乏及时获得医疗保健,导致诊断延迟和更糟糕的结果。未来的研究有必要调查对所揭示的种族和族裔差异的贡献,尤其是在NHB,改善早期检测。
BACKGROUND: Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an aggressive malignancy that is usually diagnosed at a late stage. Prior data showed increasing incidence of GBC in the US. However, little is known about race/ethnic-specific incidence and mortality trends of GBC per stage at diagnosis. Therefore, we aimed to conduct a time-trend analysis of GBC incidence and mortality rates categorized by race/ethnicity and stage-at-diagnosis.
METHODS: Age-adjusted GBC incidence and mortality rates were calculated using SEER*Stat software from the United States Cancer Statistics database (covers ~98% of US population between 2001 and 2020) and NCHS (covers ~100% of the US population between 2000 and 2020) databases, respectively. Race/Ethnic groups were Non-Hispanic-White (NHW), Non-Hispanic-Black (NHB), Hispanic, Non-Hispanic-Asian/Pacific-Islander (NHAPI), and Non-Hispanic-American-Indian/Alaska-Native (NHAIAN). Stage-at-diagnoses were all stages, early, regional, and distant stages. Joinpoint regression was used to generate time-trends [annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC)] with parametric estimations and a two-sided t-test (p-value cut-off 0.05).
RESULTS: 76,873 patients were diagnosed with GBC with decreasing incidence rates in all races/ethnicities except NHB who experienced an increasing trend between 2001 and 2014 (APC = 2.08, p < 0.01) and plateauing afterward (APC = -1.21, p = 0.31); (AAPC = 1.03, p = 0.03). Among early-stage tumors (9927 patients), incidence rates were decreasing only in Hispanic (AAPC = -4.24, p = 0.006) while stable in other races/ethnicities (NHW: AAPC = -2.61, p = 0.39; NHB: AAPC = -1.73, p = 0.36). For regional-stage tumors (29,690 patients), GBC incidence rates were decreasing only in NHW (AAPC = -1.61, p < 0.001) while stable in other races/ethnicities (NHB: AAPC = 0.73, p = 0.34; Hispanic: AAPC = -1.58, p = 0.24; NHAPI: AAPC = -1.22, p = 0.07). For distant-stage tumors (31,735 patients), incidence rates were increasing in NHB (AAPC = 2.72, p < 0.001), decreasing in Hispanic (AAPC = -0.64, p = 0.04), and stable in NHW (AAPC = 0.07, p = 0.84) and NHAPI (AAPC = 0.79, p = 0.13). There were 43,411 deaths attributed to GBC with decreasing mortality rates in all races/ethnicities except NHB who experienced a stable trend (AAPC = 0.25, p = 0.25).
CONCLUSIONS: Nationwide data over the last two decades show that NHB patients experienced increasing GBC incidence between 2001 and 2014 followed by stabilization of the rates. This increase was driven by late-stage tumors and occurred in the first decade. NHB also experienced non-improving GBC mortality, compared to other race and ethnic groups who had decreasing mortality. This can be due to lack of timely-access to healthcare leading to delayed diagnosis and worse outcomes. Future studies are warranted to investigate contributions to the revealed racial and ethnic disparities, especially in NHB, to improve early detection.