extreme heat event

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在2021年夏天,一场致命的,前所未有的多天热穹顶吞没了加拿大西部。由于这种极端高温事件(EHE),紧急调度员收到了无与伦比的911救护车电话,警察,和消防(作为急救人员)服务,以照顾数百名屈服于高温的热脆弱社区成员。在此EHE期间,打破了103项历史高温记录,室内温度接近40°C,参加这些电话的第一响应者面临着广泛的工作需求和极具挑战性的运营条件。初步调查已经探索了卫生系统层面的影响;然而,几乎没有做什么来探索对第一响应者本身的影响。因此,本研究旨在提高我们对EHEs对急救人员操作能力和健康影响的理解,特别是警察,火,救护车,和调度服务。
    方法:对加拿大2021年热穹顶上发表的媒体文章进行了系统化的回顾和内容分析(n=2909),并开发了四个基于媒体的复合叙述,突出了警察,火,救护车,和调度服务。工作需求-资源(JD-R)模型被用作职业倦怠的理论框架。
    结果:基于媒体的复合叙述强调,第一响应者面临破纪录的呼叫量,与心理健康相关的索赔增加,和力竭的热相关的生理应激。使用JD-R模型作为职业倦怠的理论框架,我们确定了三种压力工作需求的衡量标准:工作过载(例如,通话量激增,消防员应对医疗紧急情况),情感需求(例如,严重的医疗紧急情况,突然死亡,反应迟钝的病人,心烦意乱的家庭成员),和物理需求(例如,个人防护设备的复苏,与热有关的疾病)。
    结论:所描述的经验强调了在极端高温条件下工作期间支持第一响应者的重要性。这些发现对于解决公共卫生危机期间和之后的职业倦怠率上升具有重要意义。比如EHEs,这个问题越来越被认为是对加拿大公共医疗系统的威胁。
    BACKGROUND: During the summer of 2021, a deadly, unprecedented multiday Heat Dome engulfed western Canada. As a result of this extreme heat event (EHE), emergency dispatchers received an unparalleled increase in incoming 911 calls for ambulance, police, and fire (as first responders) services to attend to hundreds of heat-vulnerable community members succumbing to the heat. With 103 all-time heat records broken during this EHE and indoor temperatures of nearly 40°C, the first responders attending these calls faced extensive job demands and highly challenging operating conditions. Initial investigations have explored the health system-level impacts; however, little has been done to explore the impact on the first responders themselves. Therefore, this study aimed to improve our understanding of EHEs\' impacts on the operational capabilities and health of first responders, specifically police, fire, ambulance, and dispatch services.
    METHODS: A systematized review and content analysis of media articles published on the 2021 Heat Dome in Canada was conducted (n = 2909), and four media-based composite narratives were developed highlighting police, fire, ambulance, and dispatch services. The Job Demands-Resources (JD-R) model was applied as a theoretical framework for occupational burnout.
    RESULTS: The media-based composite narratives highlighted that first responders faced record-breaking call volumes, increased mental-health-related claims, and exhaustive heat-related physiological stress. Using the JD-R model as a theoretical framework for occupational burnout, we identified three measures of stressful job demand: work overload (e.g., the surge in call volume, firefighters responding to medical emergencies), emotional demands (e.g., severe medical emergencies, sudden deaths, unresponsive patients, distraught family members), and physical demands (e.g., resuscitation in personal protective equipment, heat-related illness).
    CONCLUSIONS: The experiences described underscore the importance of supporting first responders during work in extreme heat conditions. These findings have important implications for addressing rising rates of burnout during and following public health crises, such as EHEs, a problem that is increasingly being recognized as a threat to the Canadian public healthcare system.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    高温事件会增加早产(PTB)的风险,确定与风险相关的事件阈值有助于建立孕妇早期预警系统并指导其公共卫生应对措施。然而,导致风险的事件阈值尚不清楚.我们旨在调查不同强度和持续时间定义的热事件对整个怀孕期间PTB的影响。并确定高风险热事件的阈值。
    使用基于人群的出生队列数据,我们纳入了2014-2018年中国八个省份的210,798例单胎活产。每日气象变量和反距离加权方法用于以1km×1km的分辨率估算暴露。一系列截止温度强度(第50-97.5百分位数,或18°C-35°C)和持续时间(至少连续1、2、3、4或5天)用于定义热事件。Cox回归模型用于估计热事件对整个怀孕期间不同孕周PTB的影响。和事件阈值通过计算群体归因分数确定。
    热事件暴露对PTB的危害比范围为1.07(95%CI:1.00,1.13)至1.43(1.15,1.77)。在妊娠第1-4周,第21-32周和分娩前4周发现了热事件暴露的不良反应。热事件阈值被确定为分布的第90百分位数的每日最高温度或持续至少一天的30°C。如果孕妇能够避免由这些阈值触发的预警系统的热暴露,大约15%或17%的PTB病例是可以避免的.
    当热事件超过特定强度和持续时间阈值时,暴露于热事件会增加PTB的风险,特别是在孕前四周,在第21周和最后四周之间。这项研究为孕妇热健康预警系统的开发提供了令人信服的证据,该系统可以大大减轻PTB的风险。
    中国国家重点研发计划(编号:2018YFA0606200),国家自然科学基金(编号:42175183),深圳市医药三明项目(编号:SZSM202111001)。
    UNASSIGNED: Heat events increase the risk of preterm birth (PTB), and identifying the risk-related event thresholds contributes to developing early warning system for pregnant women and guiding their public health response. However, the event thresholds that cause the risk remain unclear. We aimed to investigate the effects of heat events defined with different intensities and durations on PTB throughout pregnancy, and to determine thresholds for the high-risk heat events.
    UNASSIGNED: Using a population-based birth cohort data, we included 210,798 singleton live births in eight provinces in China during 2014-2018. Daily meteorological variables and inverse distance weighted methods were used to estimate exposures at a resolution of 1 km × 1 km. A series of cut off temperature intensities (50th-97.5th percentiles, or 18 °C-35 °C) and durations (at least 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 consecutive days) were used to define the heat events. Cox regression models were used to estimate the effects of heat events on PTB in various gestational weeks during the entire pregnancy, and event thresholds were determined by calculating population attributable fractions.
    UNASSIGNED: The hazard ratios of heat event exposure on PTB ranged from 1.07 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.13) to 1.43 (1.15, 1.77). Adverse effects of heat event exposure were prominently detected in gestational week 1-4, week 21-32 and the four weeks before delivery. The heat event thresholds were determined to be daily maximum temperature at the 90th percentile of the distribution or 30 °C lasting for at least one day. If pregnant women were able to avoid the heat exposures from the early warning systems triggered by these thresholds, approximately 15% or 17% of the number of total PTB cases could have been avoided.
    UNASSIGNED: Exposure to heat event can increase the risk of PTB when thermal event exceeds a specific intensity and duration threshold, particularly in the first four gestational weeks, and between week 21 and the last four weeks. This study provides compelling evidence for the development of heat-health early warning systems for pregnant women that could substantially mitigate the risk of PTB.
    UNASSIGNED: National Key R&D Program of China (No. 2018YFA0606200), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42175183), Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen (No. SZSM202111001).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近电网故障事件与极端温度同时发生,加剧了极端天气事件的人口健康风险。这里,我们结合美国3个大城市历史热浪事件期间的模拟热暴露数据,评估热相关死亡率和发病率对同时发生的电网故障事件的响应程度.我们开发了一种新颖的方法来估计个人经历的温度,以近似个人水平的热暴露在每小时的基础上变化,同时考虑室外和建筑内部暴露。我们发现,伴随热浪条件的多日停电事件的并发性是所有三个城市与热有关的死亡率估计的两倍以上,在当前和未来的时间段内,需要对城市总人口的3%(亚特兰大)至50%(凤凰城)进行医疗护理。我们的结果强调了增强电网弹性的必要性,并支持在空间上更广泛地使用树冠和高反照率屋顶材料,以减少复合气候和基础设施故障事件期间的热暴露。
    The recent concurrence of electrical grid failure events in time with extreme temperatures is compounding the population health risks of extreme weather episodes. Here, we combine simulated heat exposure data during historical heat wave events in three large U.S. cities to assess the degree to which heat-related mortality and morbidity change in response to a concurrent electrical grid failure event. We develop a novel approach to estimating individually experienced temperature to approximate how personal-level heat exposure changes on an hourly basis, accounting for both outdoor and building-interior exposures. We find the concurrence of a multiday blackout event with heat wave conditions to more than double the estimated rate of heat-related mortality across all three cities, and to require medical attention for between 3% (Atlanta) and more than 50% (Phoenix) of the total urban population in present and future time periods. Our results highlight the need for enhanced electrical grid resilience and support a more spatially expansive use of tree canopy and high albedo roofing materials to lessen heat exposures during compound climate and infrastructure failure events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    热是一种危险的危险,会导致急性热病,慢性疾病恶化,不良妊娠结局,和一系列的伤害。极端高温事件(EHE)期间风险最高,挑战卫生系统和其他关键基础设施的能力。EHEs变得越来越频繁和严重,气候变化正在推动越来越多的与热相关的死亡率,需要在健康保护方面进行更多投资。适应气候的卫生系统更适合EHE,EHE准备是减少灾害风险的一种形式。备灾活动通常采取热行动计划(HAP)的形式,有许多不同行政规模的例子。HAP活动可分为初级预防,最重要的是在事件前阶段;二级预防,EHE早期降低风险的关键;三级预防,在事件阶段的后期很重要。行动后报告和其他事后评估活动对于这种对气候敏感的危害的适应性管理至关重要。预计《公共卫生年度回顾》的最终在线发布日期,第44卷是2023年4月。请参阅http://www。annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates的订正估计数。
    Heat is a dangerous hazard that causes acute heat illness, chronic disease exacerbations, adverse pregnancy outcomes, and a range of injuries. Risks are highest during extreme heat events (EHEs), which challenge the capacity of health systems and other critical infrastructure. EHEs are becoming more frequent and severe, and climate change is driving an increasing proportion of heat-related mortality, necessitating more investment in health protection. Climate-resilient health systems are better positioned for EHEs, and EHE preparedness is a form of disaster risk reduction. Preparedness activities commonly take the form of heat action plans (HAPs), with many examples at various administrative scales. HAP activities can be divided into primary prevention, most important in the pre-event phase; secondary prevention, key to risk reduction early in an EHE;and tertiary prevention, important later in the event phase. After-action reports and other postevent evaluation activities are central to adaptive management of this climate-sensitive hazard.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    系统地了解城市环境中的气候适应力对于提高应对极端天气事件的适应能力至关重要。尽管城市建筑环境会影响气候恢复能力,文献中很少有关于建筑环境和城市气候适应力之间关联的经验证据。在这项研究中,城市热恢复力(HR)测量为正常和极端热事件之间给定城市区域的地表温度(LST)差异,并进一步探讨了二维(2D)和三维(3D)城市建筑环境特征对人力资源的影响。使用空间回归,我们发现日照和水密度是决定地表温度的主要因素。然而,它们似乎不会显着影响HR。结果表明,在极端高温事件中,植被和城市孔隙度对于减少LST和改善HR至关重要。这项研究强调了2D和3D城市建筑环境特征在改善HR以适应极端高温事件方面的重要性。
    Systematic understanding of climate resilience in the urban context is essential to improve the adaptive capacity in response to extreme weather events. Although the urban built environment affects climate resilience, empirical evidence on the associations between the built environment and urban climate resilience is rare in the literature. In this study, urban heat resilience (HR) is measured as the land surface temperature (LST) difference in a given urban area between normal and extreme heat event, and it further explores the impact of two-dimensional (2D) and three-dimensional (3D) urban built environment features on HR. Using spatial regression, we find that solar insolation and water density are the dominant factors in determining land surface temperature. However, they do not appear to influence HR significantly. Results indicate that vegetation and urban porosity are crucial both in reducing LST and improving HR during extreme heat events. This study highlights the importance of 2D and 3D urban built environment features in improving HR to extreme heat events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Attributing individual deaths to extreme heat events (EHE) in Canada and elsewhere is important for understanding the risk factors, protective interventions, and burden of mortality associated with climate change. However, there is currently no single mechanism for identifying individual deaths due to EHE and different agencies have taken different approaches, including (1) vital statistics coding based on medical certificates of death, (2) probabilistic methods, and (3) enhanced surveillance. The 2018 EHE in Montréal provides an excellent case study to compare EHE deaths identified by these different approaches. There were 353 deaths recorded in the vital statistics data over an 8-day period, of which 102 were potentially attributed to the EHE by at least one approach and 251 were not attributed by any approach. Only nine of the 102 deaths were attributed to the EHE by all three approaches, 23 were attributed by two approaches, and 70 were attributed by only one approach. Given that there were approximately 50 excess deaths during the EHE, it remains unclear exactly which of the total 353 deaths should be attributed to the extreme temperatures. These results highlight the need for a more systematic and cooperative approach to EHE mortality in Canada, which will continue to increase as the climate changes.
    RéSUMé: L’attribution des décès individuels aux épisodes de chaleur accablante (ECA) au Canada et ailleurs est importante pour comprendre les facteurs de risque, les interventions de protection et le fardeau de la mortalité associés aux changements climatiques. Cependant, il n’existe actuellement aucun mécanisme unique pour identifier les décès individuels dus à l’ECA et différentes agences ont adopté différentes approches, notamment (1) le codage des statistiques de l’état civil basé sur les certificats médicaux de décès, (2) des méthodes probabilistes et (3) une surveillance renforcée. L’ECA 2018 à Montréal fournit une excellente étude de cas pour comparer les décès ECA identifiés par ces différentes approches. Il y a eu 353 décès enregistrés dans les données des statistiques de l’état civil sur une période de 8 jours, dont 102 ont été potentiellement attribués à l’ECA par au moins une approche et 251 n’ont été attribués par aucune approche. Seuls neuf des 102 décès ont été attribués à l’ECA par les trois approches, 23 ont été attribués par deux approches et 70 ont été attribués par une seule approche. Étant donné qu’il y a eu environ 50 décès supplémentaires pendant l’ECA, on ne sait pas exactement lequel des 353 décès au total doit être attribué aux températures extrêmes. Ces résultats soulignent la nécessité d’une approche plus systématique et coopérative de la mortalité ECA au Canada, qui continuera d’augmenter à mesure que le climat change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化驱动的极端高温事件(EHE)和极端降水事件(EPE)的频率增加正在导致传染病和非传染病负担。特别是在城市中心。虽然城市人口的份额继续增长,缺乏对受这些威胁影响的人口的全面评估。利用气象站的数据,气候模型,以及1980-2017年的城市人口增长,我们证明了EHE频率的同时上升,EPE,在世界150个人口最多的城市中,城市人口导致暴露于EHE和EPE的个人增加了500%以上。由于未来几十年的人口增长预计将发生在低收入和中等收入国家的城市中心,迫切需要熟练的早期预警和针对社区的应对策略,以最大程度地减少公共卫生影响和对全球经济的相关成本。
    Climate change driven increases in the frequency of extreme heat events (EHE) and extreme precipitation events (EPE) are contributing to both infectious and non-infectious disease burden, particularly in urban city centers. While the share of urban populations continues to grow, a comprehensive assessment of populations impacted by these threats is lacking. Using data from weather stations, climate models, and urban population growth during 1980-2017, here, we show that the concurrent rise in the frequency of EHE, EPE, and urban populations has resulted in over 500% increases in individuals exposed to EHE and EPE in the 150 most populated cities of the world. Since most of the population increases over the next several decades are projected to take place in city centers within low- and middle-income countries, skillful early warnings and community specific response strategies are urgently needed to minimize public health impacts and associated costs to the global economy.
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