epidemiological control

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Amebiasis,这是由溶组织内阿米巴(E.组织溶解),是全球寄生虫相关死亡的第二大原因。它表现为从无症状携带者到严重的临床状况,比如结肠炎和肝脓肿.阿米巴病在发展中国家很常见,由于卫生条件差,水和食物很容易被粪便污染。然而,许多发达国家最近面临的一个挑战是国内作为性传播感染的侵袭性阿米巴病(STIamebiasis)病例的增加.与发展中国家的溶组织大肠杆菌的食源性/水源性传播相反,性传播感染阿米巴病直接通过人与人的性接触发生(例如,与男人发生性关系的男人和从事口交的人);在这种情况下,无症状感染者是溶组织大肠杆菌的主要宿主。开发无症状的溶组织大肠杆菌感染的早期诊断筛查方法是流行病学控制的关键。此外,严重病例的诊断延迟(例如,暴发性阿米巴病)甚至在发达国家也会导致死亡。在临床环境中提高对国内传播的STI阿米巴病的临床认识也很重要。这篇综述考虑了性传播感染阿米巴病的流行病学和临床表现的变化,最后讨论了未来更好的实践策略。
    Amebiasis, which is caused by Entamoeba histolytica (E. histolytica), is the second leading cause of parasite-related death worldwide. It manifests from asymptomatic carriers to severe clinical conditions, like colitis and liver abscesses. Amebiasis is commonly seen in developing countries, where water and food are easily contaminated by feces because of the poor sanitation. However, a recently challenge in many developed countries is the increase in domestic cases of invasive amebiasis as a sexually transmitted infection (STI amebiasis). In contrast to food-/ waterborne transmission of E. histolytica in developing countries, transmission of STI amebiasis occurs directly through human-to-human sexual contact (e.g., men who have sex with men and people who engage in oral-anal sex); in this setting, asymptomatic infected individuals are the main reservoir of E. histolytica. The Development of screening methods for the early diagnosis of asymptomatic E. histolytica infection is the key to epidemiologic control. Moreover, delay in diagnosis of severe cases (e.g., fulminant amebiasis) leads to death even in developed countries. It is also important to increase clinical awareness of domestically transmitted STI amebiasis in the clinical settings. This review considers the changing epidemiology and clinical manifestations of STI amebiasis, and finally discusses the future strategies for the better practice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    需要疾病控制计划来确定蚊子的繁殖地点,传播疟疾和其他疾病,以便针对干预措施和识别环境风险因素。非常高分辨率的无人机数据的日益增加的可用性提供了新的机会来发现和表征这些媒介繁殖地点。在这项研究中,来自布基纳法索和科特迪瓦两个疟疾流行地区的无人机图像是使用开源工具组装和标记的。我们使用基于感兴趣区域的深度学习方法开发并应用了工作流程,以从非常高分辨率的自然彩色图像中识别与矢量育种点相关的土地覆盖类型。使用交叉验证对分析方法进行了评估,对于植被和非植被水体,最大Dice系数分别为0.68和0.75。分别。该分类器一致地识别出与繁殖地点相关的其他土地覆盖类型的存在,获得0.88的耕作和作物的骰子系数,建筑物为0.87,道路为0.71。这项研究建立了一个开发深度学习方法的框架,以识别媒介育种点,并强调需要评估结果将如何被控制程序使用。
    Disease control programs are needed to identify the breeding sites of mosquitoes, which transmit malaria and other diseases, in order to target interventions and identify environmental risk factors. The increasing availability of very-high-resolution drone data provides new opportunities to find and characterize these vector breeding sites. Within this study, drone images from two malaria-endemic regions in Burkina Faso and Côte d\'Ivoire were assembled and labeled using open-source tools. We developed and applied a workflow using region-of-interest-based and deep learning methods to identify land cover types associated with vector breeding sites from very-high-resolution natural color imagery. Analysis methods were assessed using cross-validation and achieved maximum Dice coefficients of 0.68 and 0.75 for vegetated and non-vegetated water bodies, respectively. This classifier consistently identified the presence of other land cover types associated with the breeding sites, obtaining Dice coefficients of 0.88 for tillage and crops, 0.87 for buildings and 0.71 for roads. This study establishes a framework for developing deep learning approaches to identify vector breeding sites and highlights the need to evaluate how results will be used by control programs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在巴西,蚊子伊蚊(Segogomyia)埃及伊蚊被认为是登革热的主要媒介,基孔肯雅,和寨卡病毒传播。最近在巴西南部进行的流行病学研究显示,登革热的发病率有所上升,引起人们对流行病控制的关注,监测,和调查。因此,这项研究旨在对Ae进行历史时空分析。过去19年巴西南部的埃及房屋指数(HI)。由于媒介侵染与气候和环境变量有关,来自巴西卫生部的HI数据,来自Giovanni基于Web的应用程序的气候数据,和来自Mapbiomas项目的环境数据被用于这项研究。我们的结果表明,在确认媒介存在的市政当局中,HI调查的数量有明显的增加,与2017年相比。环境变量,比如城市基础设施,降水,温度,和湿度,与Ae呈正相关。埃及人嗨.这是第一个分析Ae的研究。埃及伊蚊HI在巴西南部城市的调查,我们的发现有助于制定和规划疾病控制策略,以改善公共卫生。
    In Brazil, the mosquito Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti is considered the main vector of the dengue, chikungunya, and Zika arbovirus transmission. Recent epidemiological studies in southern Brazil have shown an increase in the incidence of dengue, raising concerns over epidemiological control, monitoring, and surveys. Therefore, this study aimed at performing a historical spatiotemporal analysis of the Ae. aegypti house indices (HI) in southern Brazil over the last 19 years. As vector infestation was associated with climatic and environmental variables, HI data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, climate data from the Giovanni web-based application, and environmental data from the Mapbiomas project were used in this study. Our results showed an expressive increase in the number of HI surveys in the municipalities confirming the vector presence, as compared to those in 2017. Environmental variables, such as urban infrastructure, precipitation, temperature, and humidity, were positively correlated with the Ae. aegypti HI. This was the first study to analyze Ae. aegypti HI surveys in municipalities of southern Brazil, and our findings could help in developing and planning disease control strategies to improve public health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:对于许多新出现或重新出现的病原体,人类的病例是由引入物(通过动物水库的人畜共患溢出或流行地区的地理溢出)和继发的人与人之间传播引起的。旨在减少这些感染发生率的干预措施可以侧重于防止溢出或减少人与人之间的传播,或者有时两者同时,并且通常受资源约束的制约,需要决策者做出选择。尽管越来越重视使用数学模型来指导疾病控制政策,很少注意在动物-人类界面指导合理的疾病控制。
    方法:我们引入了一个建模框架来分析不同疾病控制策略的影响,重点关注在人类之间表现出亚临界传播的病原体(即无法建立持续的人与人之间传播的病原体)。我们量化了减少溢出的措施(例如减少与动物宿主的接触)的相对有效性,人与人之间的传播(例如病例隔离),或两者同时(例如疫苗接种),在一系列流行病学背景下。
    结果:我们提供了指南,用于选择在不同的流行病学情景中优先考虑哪种控制模式,并考虑不同的资源水平和相对成本。我们将我们的分析与当前的人畜共患病原体和其他亚临界病原体联系起来,比如消灭麻疹后,和已应用的控制策略。
    结论:我们的工作提供了基于模型的,理解和指导亚临界人畜共患病政策的理论基础,以符合“一个健康”原则的方式跨学科和物种边界进行整合。
    BACKGROUND: For many emerging or re-emerging pathogens, cases in humans arise from a mixture of introductions (via zoonotic spillover from animal reservoirs or geographic spillover from endemic regions) and secondary human-to-human transmission. Interventions aiming to reduce incidence of these infections can be focused on preventing spillover or reducing human-to-human transmission, or sometimes both at once, and typically are governed by resource constraints that require policymakers to make choices. Despite increasing emphasis on using mathematical models to inform disease control policies, little attention has been paid to guiding rational disease control at the animal-human interface.
    METHODS: We introduce a modeling framework to analyze the impacts of different disease control policies, focusing on pathogens exhibiting subcritical transmission among humans (i.e. pathogens that cannot establish sustained human-to-human transmission). We quantify the relative effectiveness of measures to reduce spillover (e.g. reducing contact with animal hosts), human-to-human transmission (e.g. case isolation), or both at once (e.g. vaccination), across a range of epidemiological contexts.
    RESULTS: We provide guidelines for choosing which mode of control to prioritize in different epidemiological scenarios and considering different levels of resource and relative costs. We contextualize our analysis with current zoonotic pathogens and other subcritical pathogens, such as post-elimination measles, and control policies that have been applied.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our work provides a model-based, theoretical foundation to understand and guide policy for subcritical zoonoses, integrating across disciplinary and species boundaries in a manner consistent with One Health principles.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Personal protection measures, such as bed nets and repellents, are important tools for the suppression of vector-borne diseases like malaria and Zika, and the ability of health agencies to distribute protection and encourage its use plays an important role in the efficacy of community-wide disease management strategies. Recent modelling studies have shown that a counterintuitive diversity-driven amplification in community-wide disease levels can result from a population\'s partial adoption of personal protection measures, potentially to the detriment of disease management efforts. This finding, however, may overestimate the negative impact of partial personal protection as a result of implicit restrictive model assumptions regarding host compliance, access to and longevity of protection measures. We establish a new modelling methodology for incorporating community-wide personal protection distribution programmes in vector-borne disease systems which flexibly accounts for compliance, access, longevity and control strategies by way of a flow between protected and unprotected populations. Our methodology yields large reductions in the severity and occurrence of amplification effects as compared to existing models.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    已经提出了多种抗性部署策略来解决病原体克服植物抗性的进化潜力。特别是,许多基于景观的策略依赖于在农业景观中部署抗性和易感品种作为马赛克。然而,此类策略的设计并不容易,因为针对流行病学或进化结果的策略可能不相同.使用随机空间显式模型,我们研究了景观组织(由抗病品种种植的田地比例及其空间聚集定义)和关键病原体生活史特征对三种疾病控制措施的影响。我们的结果表明,当在低聚集条件下种植高比例抗性品种的景观时,短期流行病学动态得到了优化。重要的是,相反的情况是最佳的电阻耐久性。最后,良好混合的景观(低聚集的平衡比例)对于长期进化平衡(此处定义为长期病原体适应水平)是最佳的。这项工作为景观组织对疾病管理的不同目标的对比影响提供了一个视角,并强调了病原体生活史的作用。
    A multitude of resistance deployment strategies have been proposed to tackle the evolutionary potential of pathogens to overcome plant resistance. In particular, many landscape-based strategies rely on the deployment of resistant and susceptible cultivars in an agricultural landscape as a mosaic. However, the design of such strategies is not easy as strategies targeting epidemiological or evolutionary outcomes may not be the same. Using a stochastic spatially explicit model, we studied the impact of landscape organization (as defined by the proportion of fields cultivated with a resistant cultivar and their spatial aggregation) and key pathogen life-history traits on three measures of disease control. Our results show that short-term epidemiological dynamics are optimized when landscapes are planted with a high proportion of the resistant cultivar in low aggregation. Importantly, the exact opposite situation is optimal for resistance durability. Finally, well-mixed landscapes (balanced proportions with low aggregation) are optimal for long-term evolutionary equilibrium (defined here as the level of long-term pathogen adaptation). This work offers a perspective on the potential for contrasting effects of landscape organization on different goals of disease management and highlights the role of pathogen life history.
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