epidemic

流行病
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于诊断的人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)护理连续体为衡量HIV护理质量提供了完善的框架。它被政府机构使用,社区组织,和医疗保健机构“指导国家对艾滋病毒的反应”,并评估从艾滋病毒诊断到病毒抑制的艾滋病毒护理。我们的目标是介绍退伍军人健康管理局(VHA)的HIV护理连续体,评估大流行后与大流行前的表现,并将VHA的表现与疾病控制和预防中心公布的数据进行比较。
    我们进行了一项全国范围的回顾性队列分析,检查了2019年与2022年VHA护理中HIV感染者(PWH)的护理连续性。测量包括与护理的联系,接受护理,保留在护理中,和病毒抑制。我们使用病毒学抑制的多变量逻辑回归来确定与病毒抑制相关的因素。
    在2019年的VHA中,83%的新诊断为HIV的个体与护理有关,84%的PWH接受了护理,76%被保留在护理中,而HIV感染者中的病毒抑制率为76%,病毒载量(VL)感染者中的病毒抑制率为93%.2022年,74%的人与护理有关。79%接受护理,67%被保留在护理中,病毒抑制在HIV感染者中占70%,在VL结果中占94%。
    VHA在具有VL结果的那些中实现了>90%的病毒抑制。在所有PWH中,在2019年至2022年期间,病毒抑制绝对下降了5.2%。VHA在HIV护理连续体中的表现超过了疾病控制和预防中心报告的全国HIV护理连续体。
    UNASSIGNED: The diagnosis-based Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Care Continuum offers a well-established framework for measuring HIV care quality. It is used by the government agencies, community organizations, and health care institutions to \"guide the nation\'s response to HIV\" and assesses HIV care from the time of HIV diagnosis through viral suppression. Our objective is to present the Veteran Health Administration\'s (VHA) HIV Care Continuum, assess postpandemic versus prepandemic performance, and compare VHA performance to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention-published data.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted a nationwide retrospective cohort analysis examining the care continuum for people with HIV (PWH) in VHA care in 2019 versus 2022. Measurements included linkage to care, receipt of care, retention in care, and viral suppression. We used multivariable logistic regression of virological suppression to identify factors associated with viral suppression.
    UNASSIGNED: In VHA in 2019, 83% of individuals newly diagnosed with HIV were linked to care, 84% of PWH received care, 76% were retained in care, and viral suppression was 76% among those with HIV and 93% of those with viral load (VL) results. In 2022, 74% were linked to care, 79% received care, 67% were retained in care, and viral suppression was 70% among those with HIV and 94% of those with a VL result.
    UNASSIGNED: VHA has achieved >90% viral suppression among those with a VL result. Among all PWH, viral suppression decreased an absolute 5.2% between 2019 and 2022. VHA\'s performance on the HIV Care Continuum exceeds the national HIV Care Continuum reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:法国每年的细支气管炎和流感样疾病流行通常涉及高发病率和高死亡率,严重影响医疗保健。流行病由法国国家公共卫生研究所根据初级保健和急诊科(ED)的综合征监测宣布,使用基于统计的警报。尽管有效繁殖数(Rt)用于监测流行病的动态,在法国,它从未被用作毛细支气管炎或流感样疾病流行的预警工具。我们通过将Rt与流行病学家目前用于宣布流行阶段的工具(MASS)进行比较,来评估Rt是否可用于检测季节性流行病。
    方法:我们使用了2010年至2022年法国法兰西岛地区的匿名ED综合征数据。我们估计了Rt,并将加速传播(Rt>1)的指示与MASS流行病警报时间点进行了比较。我们计算了这两个时间点之间的差异,时间到流行高峰,以及在首次适应症和高峰记录的每日病例。
    结果:Rt提供了流感样疾病和细支气管炎流行的警报,分别,6天(IQR[4;8])和64天(IQR[52;80])-中位数-比MASS提供的警报早。
    结论:Rt检测到毛细支气管炎和流感样疾病流行的早期信号。使用这一预警指标与其他指标相结合来宣布年度流行病,可以为改善医疗保健系统的准备情况提供机会。
    BACKGROUND: Yearly bronchiolitis and influenza-like illness epidemics in France often involve high morbidity and mortality, which severely impacts healthcare. Epidemics are declared by the French National Institute of Public Health based on syndromic surveillance of primary care and emergency departments (ED), using statistics-based alarms. Although the effective reproduction number (Rt) is used to monitor the dynamics of epidemics, it has never been used as an early warning tool for bronchiolitis or influenza-like illness epidemics in France.We assessed whether Rt is useful for detecting seasonal epidemics by comparing it to the tool currently used (MASS) by epidemiologists to declare epidemic phases.
    METHODS: We used anonymized ED syndromic data from the Île-de-France region in France from 2010 to 2022. We estimated Rt and compared the indication of accelerated transmission (Rt >1) to the MASS epidemic alarm time points. We computed the difference between those two time points, time to epidemic peak, and the daily cases documented at first indication and peak.
    RESULTS: Rt provided alarms for influenza-like illness and bronchiolitis epidemics that were, respectively, 6 days (IQR[4;8]) and 64 days (IQR[52;80]) - in median - earlier than the alarms provided by MASS.
    CONCLUSIONS: Rt detected earlier signals of bronchiolitis and influenza-like illness epidemics. Using this early-warning indicator in combination with others to declare an annual epidemic could provide opportunities to improve healthcare system readiness.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:云南省与缅甸接壤,老挝,还有越南,它是中国最长的边界之一。我们旨在确定2018年至2022年云南省青少年(12-18岁)中COVID-19的患病率和对抑郁症状的影响,中国西南。
    目的:我们评估了COVID-19流行对青少年心理健康的影响,为了减少心理紧急综合症的影响并促进健康,快乐的青春期成长。
    方法:这种纵向,观察性研究使用了2018年至2022年(COVID-19之前和期间)云南青少年抑郁症状的学生健康调查数据。我们使用了多级,2018年在3个县分层抽样,2019年至2022年在16个县分层抽样。在每个县,研究人群按性别和居住地(城市或农村)分类,每组大小相等。根据流行病学研究中心抑郁量表(CES-D)评分诊断抑郁症状。我们使用方差分析来评估按性别分层的平均CES-D得分的差异,年龄,residence,grade,和种族。卡方检验用于比较不同变量的抑郁症状。为了可比性,以2010年中国人口普查为标准人群计算年龄标准和性别标准人群患病率.使用无条件逻辑回归分析确定COVID-19与抑郁症状标准化患病率风险之间的关联。
    结果:所有参与者的抑郁症状的标准化患病率为32.98%:2018年为28.26%,2019年为30.89%,2020年为29.81%,2021年为28.77%,2022年为36.33%。在COVID-19之前,患病率为30.49%,在COVID-19早期为29.29%,在COVID-19大流行期间为36.33%。与COVID-19之前相比,早期COVID-19发生抑郁症状的风险高0.793(95%CI0.772-0.814)倍,比COVID-19期间高1.071(95%CI1.042-1.100)倍。抑郁症状平均每年增加1.61%。在疫情期间,女生抑郁症状患病率(36.87%)高于男生(28.64%),女孩的加速速度比男孩快。按年龄组划分的抑郁症状患病率和加速率如下:27.14%和1.09%(12-13岁),33.99%和1.8%(14-15年),36.59%和1.65%(16-18年)。汉族(32.89%)和少数民族(33.10%)之间的患病率没有差异。然而,前者的加速度比后者快。高中生的比率最高(34.94%)。然而,职业高中学生的加速率最快(2.88%),其次是初中生(2.32%)。农村居民(35.10%)的患病率高于城镇居民(30.16%)。
    结论:从2018年到2022年,云南省青少年抑郁症状患病率持续上升,中国,特别是在COVID-19大流行期间。这代表了应给予更多关注的紧急公共卫生问题。有效,应采取综合的心理和生活方式干预措施,以降低青少年心理健康问题的患病率。
    BACKGROUND: Yunnan province borders Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam, giving it one of the longest borders in China. We aimed to determine the trends in prevalence and impact of COVID-19 on depressive symptoms among adolescents (12-18 years) from 2018 to 2022 in Yunnan, southwest China.
    OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on adolescents\' mental health, with the aim of reducing the effect of psychological emergency syndrome and promoting healthy, happy adolescent growth.
    METHODS: This longitudinal, observational study used Students\' Health Survey data on adolescents\' depressive symptoms from 2018 to 2022 (before and during COVID-19) in Yunnan. We used multistage, stratified sampling in 3 prefectures in 2018 and 16 prefectures from 2019 to 2022. In each prefecture, the study population was classified by gender and residence (urban or rural), and each group was of equal size. Depressive symptoms were diagnosed based on Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale (CES-D) scores. We used ANOVA to assess the differences in mean CES-D scores stratified by gender, age, residence, grade, and ethnicity. Chi-square tests were used to compare depressive symptoms by different variables. For comparability, the age-standard and gender-standard population prevalences were calculated using the 2010 China Census as the standard population. The association between COVID-19 and the risk of a standardized prevalence of depressive symptoms was identified using unconditional logistic regression analysis.
    RESULTS: The standardized prevalence of depressive symptoms for all participants was 32.98%: 28.26% in 2018, 30.89% in 2019, 29.81% in 2020, 28.77% in 2021, 36.33% in 2022. The prevalences were 30.49% before COVID-19,29.29% in early COVID-19, and 36.33% during the COVID-19 pandemic. Compared with before COVID-19, the risks of depressive symptoms were 0.793 (95% CI 0.772-0.814) times higher in early COVID-19 and 1.071 (95% CI 1.042-1.100) times higher than during COVID-19. The average annual increase in depressive symptoms was 1.61%. During the epidemic, the prevalence of depressive symptoms in girls (36.87%) was higher than that in boys (28.64%), and the acceleration rate of girls was faster than that of boys. The prevalences of depressive symptoms and acceleration rates by age group were as follows: 27.14% and 1.09% (12-13 years), 33.99% and 1.8% (14-15 years), 36.59% and 1.65% (16-18 years). Prevalences did not differ between Han (32.89%) and minority (33.10%) populations. However, the acceleration rate was faster for the former than for the latter. The rate for senior high school students was the highest (34.94%). However, the acceleration rate for vocational high school students was the fastest (2.88%), followed by that for junior high school students (2.32%). Rural residents (35.10%) had a higher prevalence and faster acceleration than urban residents (30.16%).
    CONCLUSIONS: From 2018 to 2022, there was a significant, continuous increase in the prevalence of depressive symptoms among adolescents in Yunnan, China, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. This represents an emergency public health problem that should be given more attention. Effective, comprehensive psychological and lifestyle intervention measures should be used to reduce the prevalence of mental health issues in adolescents.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    有大量关于数字作为治理工具的文献。但是,有关语料库的注意力几乎完全集中在量化的理性属性上。这篇文章表明,按数字计算的政府也是,不可分割地,政府的感情。Covid-19大流行也是一个数据概念,因为数字在公共领域填充和传播。我们专注于三个案例。死亡人数与恐惧有关,免疫接种率与希望有关,10万人死亡的门槛被认为具有象征意义。这篇文章,根据法国的情况,检查像这样的数据,经常被视为客观证据,同时可以成为情感参与的来源,因此,用于在危机时期为公共治理模式提供信息。
    There is a rich body of literature on numbers as tools of governance. But the attention of the corpus in question is almost entirely on the rational properties of quantification. This article shows that government by numbers is also, and inseparably, a government by feelings. The Covid-19 pandemic was also a datademic in the sense that numbers populated and spread through the public sphere. We focus on three cases. Death tolls were associated with fear, immunization rates were linked to hope, and the threshold of 100,000 deaths was credited with symbolic significance. This article, based on the French case, examines how data like these, frequently perceived as objective evidence, can at the same time be a source of emotional engagement and, as such, be used to inform modes of public governance in times of crises.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生活在美国的拉丁裔移民极易受到新冠肺炎大流行带来的健康和经济后果的影响。我们使用工作场所尊严的概念框架,基于工作职责的履行而承认的价值,探索拉丁裔移民在大流行前几个月的经历。对LaClínicadelPueblo(LaClínica)进行了定性研究,为低收入拉丁裔移民提供服务的社区卫生中心。从2020年6月到12月,我们对29名拉丁裔移民客户进行了深入的视频采访,以探讨与大流行相关的挑战。包括工作场所的变化,歧视性的经验,以及对健康的影响。我们使用Dedoose软件进行了主题分析。将近一半的参与者是无证移民。大多数参与者因大流行而失业或就业不足,年龄在26-49岁之间;三分之一仍在工作,四分之一是50岁或以上。大约一半是顺性女性,两个是变性女性。就业参与者由于在工作中被社会孤立和污名化而缺乏尊严;他们的额外劳动或病假得不到补偿;并经历歧视性劳动做法。失业的参与者在没有政府支持的情况下成为第一个失去工作的人时缺乏尊严;失去自尊;没有被重新雇用。参与者将否认尊严与健康状况恶化以及焦虑和抑郁增加联系起来。我们的研究表明,通过失业来否认工作场所的尊严,就业不足,以及恶劣的工作条件-与拉丁裔移民的不良健康结果有关。更多的研究应该认识到工作场所的尊严是健康的重要社会决定因素。
    Latino immigrants living in the United States were highly vulnerable to the health and economic consequences brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. We use the conceptual framing of workplace dignity, worth that is acknowledged based on performance of job responsibilities, to explore Latino immigrants\' experiences during the early months of the pandemic. A qualitative study was conducted with La Clínica del Pueblo (La Clínica), a community health center serving low-income Latino immigrants. From June to December 2020, we conducted in-depth video interviews with 29 Latino immigrant clients to explore pandemic-related challenges, including workplace changes, discriminatory experiences, and effects on health. We conducted thematic analysis using Dedoose software. Nearly half of participants were undocumented immigrants. Most participants were unemployed or underemployed due to the pandemic and 26-49 years of age; one-third were still working, and one-quarter were 50 years or older. About half were cisgender women and two were transgender women. Employed participants experienced a lack of dignity through being socially isolated and stigmatized at work; receiving no compensation for their extra labor or for sick leave; and experiencing discriminatory labor practices. Unemployed participants experienced a lack of dignity in being the first to lose their jobs without government support; losing self-esteem; and not being rehired. Participants associated denial of dignity with worsening health conditions and increased anxiety and depression. Our study suggests that denial of workplace dignity-through job loss, underemployment, and poor working conditions-is linked to adverse health outcomes for Latino immigrants. More research should recognize workplace dignity as an important social determinant of health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    腰果枯萎病(CFWD)的流行一直是腰果养殖中的一个持续焦点挑战,在坦桑尼亚。限于疫情作为其流行的主要因素,本研究旨在评估栖息地与疾病的关系。从2019年到2023年,在东南部地区的四个景观中进行了涉及疾病患病率和栖息地组成评估的目的性调查。研究结果表明,CFWD在具有不同栖息地特征的多种景观中普遍存在,主要是成熟腰果的耕地,褐色砂质壤土,草地或灌木植被,季节性河流流线和天然水井。疾病发病率和严重程度最高的地区是Nachingwea/Masasi平原(99.28:88.34%),其次是Liwale内陆平原(98.64:89.3%),海岸带(72.72:59.83%)和东杜鲁解剖平原(62.13:54.54%)。除了沿海地区的村庄之间(0.71-Jaccard指数)外,景观中的栖息地特征非常相似(0.86-Jaccard指数)。横跨风景,Nachingwea/Masasi平原和沿海地区与Tunduru解剖平原非常相似(0.63-1.0-Jaccard指数),但与Liwale内陆平原强烈不同(0.67-0.70-Jaccard距离)。此外,揭示了整个景观中存在大于0.5的适宜性指数,Liwale内陆平原的适宜性指数最强,为0.743,其次是沿海地区(0.681),Tunduru解剖了平原(0.617)和Nachingwea/Masasi平原。重要的是,栖息地的适宜性指数增加了0.1,与疾病患病率呈正相关,触发疾病发生率为13.9%,严重程度为31.4%。这项研究首次揭示了东南部的疾病患病率与景观栖息地特征之间存在关联,坦桑尼亚;为将栖息地作为腰果枯萎病流行的驱动力之一的包容性思维铺平了道路。建议进一步研究跨景观的尖孢镰刀菌的遗传协同进化,以加强腰果行业的疾病风险管理。
    Epidemic of Cashew Fusarium wilt disease (CFWD) has been a continuous focal challenge in the cashew farming, in Tanzania. Limited to edaphic conditions as a major factor in its epidemic, the current study aimed to assess the habitat-disease relationship. Purposive surveys involving assessment of disease prevalence and habitat compositions were conducted across four landscapes of southeastern zone from 2019 to 2023. Findings revealed a widespread of CFWD across diversified landscapes possessing varying habitat characteristics, mainly cultivated land with mature cashew, brownish sand loamy soils, grassland or shrub vegetation, seasonal river streamlines and natural water wells. The highest disease incidence and severity were noted at Nachingwea/Masasi plain (99.28:88.34%) followed by Liwale inland plain (98.64:89.3%), Coastal zone (72.72:59.83%) and Tunduru dissected plain (62.13:54.54%). The habitat characteristics were strongly similar within the landscape (0.86-Jaccard index) except between villages of the coastal zone (0.71-Jaccard index). Across landscapes, Nachingwea/Masasi plains and the Coastal zone were strongly similar to Tunduru dissected plain (0.63-1.0-Jaccard index), but strongly dissimilar with the Liwale inland plain (0.67-0.70- Jaccard distance). Furthermore, the presence of greater than 0.5 suitability indices across landscapes were revealed, with Liwale inland plain having strongest suitability index of 0.743 followed by Coastal zone (0.681), Tunduru dissected plain (0.617) and Nachingwea/Masasi plain. Significantly, the habitats had an increase of 0.1 suitability index, and positively correlated with disease prevalence by triggering disease incidence of 13.9% and severity of 31.4%. The study for the first time revealed the presence of an association between disease prevalence and landscape habitat characteristics of southeastern, Tanzania; paving the way to inclusive thinking of habitat as one of the drivers in the prevalence of fusarium wilt disease of cashews. Further research on the genetic coevolution of Fusarium oxysporum across landscapes to strengthen disease risk management in the cashew industry is recommended.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们扩展了Lamprinakou等人提出的非结构化均匀混合传染病模型。(2023年)到按年龄段分层的有限人口。我们使用潜在的标记的Hawkes过程对实际未观察到的感染进行建模,并将报告的聚集感染作为由潜在的Hawkes过程驱动的随机数量进行建模。我们应用内核密度粒子滤波器(KDPF)来推断标记的计数过程,每个年龄组的瞬时繁殖数,并预测疫情在不久的将来的轨迹。考虑到个体年龄的不均匀性,与提出的算法的成本相比,提出的推理算法的计算成本没有显着增加。我们证明,考虑到年龄的个体异质性,我们可以得出每个年龄组的瞬时复制数,这些数字可以实时测量相关群体的干预措施和行为变化。我们说明了所提出的推理算法在英国各个地方当局的合成数据集和COVID-19报告病例上的性能,并将我们的模型作为非结构化均匀混合流行病模型的基准。我们的论文是一种方法的“演示”,该方法可能适用于年龄以外的分层因素。
    We extend the unstructured homogeneously mixing epidemic model introduced by Lamprinakou et al. (2023) to a finite population stratified by age bands. We model the actual unobserved infections using a latent marked Hawkes process and the reported aggregated infections as random quantities driven by the underlying Hawkes process. We apply a Kernel Density Particle Filter (KDPF) to infer the marked counting process, the instantaneous reproduction number for each age group and forecast the epidemic\'s trajectory in the near future. Taking into account the individual inhomogeneity in age does not increase significantly the computational cost of the proposed inference algorithm compared to the cost of the proposed algorithm for the homogeneously unstructured epidemic model. We demonstrate that considering the individual heterogeneity in age, we can derive the instantaneous reproduction numbers per age group that provide a real-time measurement of interventions and behavioural changes of the associated groups. We illustrate the performance of the proposed inference algorithm on synthetic data sets and COVID-19-reported cases in various local authorities in the UK, and benchmark our model to the unstructured homogeneously mixing epidemic model. Our paper is a \"demonstration\" of a methodology that might be applied to factors other than age for stratification.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Q热是一种重要的人畜共患疾病,在世界范围内分布。Q热的爆发是不可预测的,可以影响许多人,对公众健康造成重大负担。该疾病的流行病学是复杂的,需要大量的努力来了解和控制Q发烧爆发。这项研究的目的是系统地回顾以前的疫情调查,并总结重要的流行病学特征。这将提高对导致Q热爆发的因素的认识,并协助决策者实施缓解策略。对四个电子数据库的搜索确定了1990年至2022年间以英语发表的94篇合格文章,这些文章与81次独特的人类Q热暴发有关。据报道,27个国家爆发了疫情,大部分发生在工业化国家。记录的Q热暴发在规模(2至4107例)和持续时间(4至1722天)上有所不同。大多数暴发(43/81)发生在传统危险职业环境之外的社区,并且经常与居住在牲畜附近有关(21/43)。通过环境污染间接传播,风源传播或粪便是最常见的感染途径,特别是对于大型社区爆发。暴露于反刍动物和/或其产品被确认为感染的主要危险因素,以绵羊(28/81)为最常见的来源,其次是山羊(12/81)和牛(7/81)。人类和动物卫生当局之间的合作和数据共享对于使用公共卫生和兽医措施进行疫情调查和控制非常有价值。但是这种多部门方法很少应用(14/81)。提高卫生专业人员和公众对Q热的认识,可能有助于及早发现非职业性新爆发的疫情,社区中的环境暴露。
    Q fever is an important zoonotic disease with a worldwide distribution. Outbreaks of Q fever are unpredictable and can affect many people, resulting in a significant burden on public health. The epidemiology of the disease is complex and substantial efforts are required to understand and control Q fever outbreaks. The purpose of this study was to systematically review previous investigations of outbreaks and summarise important epidemiological features. This will improve knowledge of the factors driving the occurrence of Q fever outbreaks and assist decision makers in implementing mitigation strategies. A search of four electronic databases identified 94 eligible articles published in English between 1990 and 2022 that related to 81 unique human Q fever outbreaks. Outbreaks were reported across 27 countries and mostly in industrialised nations. Documented Q fever outbreaks varied in size (2 to 4107 cases) and duration (4 to 1722 days). Most outbreaks (43/81) occurred in communities outside of traditional at-risk occupational settings and were frequently associated with living in proximity to livestock holdings (21/43). Indirect transmission via environmental contamination, windborne spread or fomites was the most common route of infection, particularly for large community outbreaks. Exposure to ruminants and/or their products were confirmed as the principal risk factors for infection, with sheep (28/81) as the most common source followed by goats (12/81) and cattle (7/81). Cooperation and data sharing between human and animal health authorities is valuable for outbreak investigation and control using public health and veterinary measures, but this multisectoral approach was seldom applied (14/81). Increased awareness of Q fever among health professionals and the public may facilitate the early detection of emerging outbreaks that are due to non-occupational, environmental exposures in the community.
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