environmental burden of disease

疾病的环境负担
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:该研究估计了由于人口长期暴露于德国硬煤和褐煤发电厂的二氧化氮(NO2)和细颗粒物(PM2.5)排放而造成的环境负担(EBD)2015年。方法:使用化学迁移模型对燃煤电厂对总空气污染物浓度的贡献进行建模,然后将其与人口数据相结合以评估相应的人口暴露。我们计算了生命损失的年份(YLL),多年的残疾生活,或不同健康结局的残疾调整寿命年,有强有力的证据表明与暴露相关。结果:褐煤PM2.5排放的疾病负担是硬煤排放的1.2倍(7,866YLL比6,412YLL)。褐煤的NO2排放,造成的疾病负担是硬煤NO2排放的2.3倍(13,537YLL与5,906YLL相比)。这两种污染物的EBD主要是心血管系统疾病。结论:放弃燃煤电厂发电将降低德国的疾病负担。
    Objectives: The study estimated the environmental burden of disease (EBD) attributable to a long-term exposure of the population to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) emissions from hard coal- and lignite-fired power plants in Germany for the year 2015. Methods: The contribution of coal-fired power plants to the total air pollutant concentration was modelled using a chemical transport model and then combined with population data to assess the corresponding population exposure. We calculated years of life lost (YLL), years of life with disability, or disability-adjusted life years for different health outcomes with a strong evidence for an association with the exposure. Results: The burden of disease from PM2.5 emissions from lignite is 1.2 times higher than that from hard coal emissions (7,866 YLL compared to 6,412 YLL). NO2 emissions from lignite, cause a burden of disease 2.3 times higher than hard coal NO2-emission (13,537 YLL compared to 5,906 YLL). The EBD for both pollutants is dominated by diseases of the cardiovascular system. Conclusion: Abandoning energy generation by coal-fired power plants would lower the burden of disease in Germany.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:运输中的噪声污染是欧洲环境疾病负担的主要贡献者之一。我们提供了一个国家内这些健康影响的空间变化的新评估,以英国为例。
    方法:我们估计了烦恼的负担(非常烦恼),睡眠障碍(高度睡眠干扰),缺血性心脏病(IHD),中风,和糖尿病可归因于2018年英格兰成年人口的长期交通噪声暴露,直至地方当局水平(平均成年人口:136,000)。要得出估计值,我们结合了文献信息的暴露-反应关系,有了关于噪声暴露的人口数据,疾病,和死亡率。来自道路的长期平均噪声暴露,铁路和飞机来自战略噪音测绘,Lden和Lnight的较低暴露阈值为50dB(分贝)。
    结果:40%,英格兰4.5%和4.8%的成年人暴露在道路上,rail,飞机噪音超过50dBLden。我们估计由于道路交通而损失了近十万(〜97,000)残疾调整寿命年(DALY),~13,000来自铁路,和17000来自飞机噪音。这排除了一些噪声-结果对,因为可用的研究太少,无法提供可靠的暴露-响应估计。烦恼和睡眠障碍占DALY的大多数,接下来是中风,IHD,和糖尿病。伦敦,东南部,西北地区失去的道路交通DALY数量最多,而63%的飞机噪音DALY是在伦敦发现的。战略噪音地图并不包括所有道路,可能仍然有大量的交通流量。在使用伦敦所有道路的建模噪声进行的敏感性分析中,DALYs高出1.1倍至2.2倍。
    结论:在英格兰,交通噪声暴露导致了显著且不平等的环境疾病负担。从噪声暴露模型中省略次要道路会导致对疾病负担的低估。
    Noise pollution from transportation is one of the leading contributors to the environmental disease burden in Europe. We provide a novel assessment of spatial variations of these health impacts within a country, using England as an example.
    We estimated the burden of annoyance (highly annoyed), sleep disturbance (highly sleep disturbed), ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, and diabetes attributable to long-term transportation noise exposures in England for the adult population in 2018 down to local authority level (average adult population: 136,000). To derive estimates, we combined literature-informed exposure-response relationships, with population data on noise exposures, disease, and mortalities. Long-term average noise exposures from road, rail and aircraft were sourced from strategic noise mapping, with a lower exposure threshold of 50 dB (decibels) Lden and Lnight.
    40 %, 4.5 % and 4.8 % of adults in England were exposed to road, rail, and aircraft noise exceeding 50 dB Lden. We estimated close to a hundred thousand (∼97,000) disability adjusted life years (DALY) lost due to road-traffic, ∼13,000 from railway, and ∼ 17,000 from aircraft noise. This excludes some noise-outcome pairs as there were too few studies available to provide robust exposure-response estimates. Annoyance and sleep disturbance accounted for the majority of the DALYs, followed by strokes, IHD, and diabetes. London, the South East, and North West regions had the greatest number of road-traffic DALYs lost, while 63 % of all aircraft noise DALYs were found in London. The strategic noise mapping did not include all roads, which may still have significant traffic flows. In sensitivity analyses using modelled noise from all roads in London, the DALYs were 1.1x to 2.2x higher.
    Transportation noise exposures contribute to a significant and unequal environmental disease burden in England. Omitting minor roads from the noise exposure modelling leads to underestimation of the disease burden.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    欧洲人类生物监测倡议的目标之一,HBM4EU,为在人类健康风险评估(RA)中有效使用人类生物监测(HBM)数据提供了示例和良好做法。对此类信息的需求迫在眉睫,正如之前的研究表明,监管风险评估人员通常缺乏在RA中使用HBM数据的知识和经验。通过认识到专业知识上的这种差距,以及将HBM数据纳入RA的附加值,本文旨在支持将HBM整合到监管RA中。根据HBM4EU的工作,我们提供了将HBM纳入RA和疾病环境负担(EBoD)估计的不同方法的示例,所涉及的好处和陷阱,关于需要考虑的重要方法论方面的信息,以及如何克服障碍的建议。这些例子来自根据HBM4EU对以下HBM4EU优先物质的RA或EBoD估计:丙烯酰胺,苯胺家族的邻甲苯胺,非质子溶剂,砷,双酚,镉,二异氰酸酯,阻燃剂,六价铬[Cr(VI)],铅,水银,全氟化/多氟化化合物的混合物,杀虫剂的混合物,邻苯二甲酸酯的混合物,霉菌毒素,多环芳烃(PAHs),和UV过滤剂二苯甲酮-3。虽然这里介绍的RA和EBoD工作并不打算对监管产生直接影响,结果可能有助于提高人们对可能需要的政策行动的认识,由于HBM4EU关于当前欧盟人口暴露的新生成的HBM数据已用于许多RA和EBoD估计。
    One of the aims of the European Human Biomonitoring Initiative, HBM4EU, was to provide examples of and good practices for the effective use of human biomonitoring (HBM) data in human health risk assessment (RA). The need for such information is pressing, as previous research has indicated that regulatory risk assessors generally lack knowledge and experience of the use of HBM data in RA. By recognising this gap in expertise, as well as the added value of incorporating HBM data into RA, this paper aims to support the integration of HBM into regulatory RA. Based on the work of the HBM4EU, we provide examples of different approaches to including HBM in RA and in estimations of the environmental burden of disease (EBoD), the benefits and pitfalls involved, information on the important methodological aspects to consider, and recommendations on how to overcome obstacles. The examples are derived from RAs or EBoD estimations made under the HBM4EU for the following HBM4EU priority substances: acrylamide, o-toluidine of the aniline family, aprotic solvents, arsenic, bisphenols, cadmium, diisocyanates, flame retardants, hexavalent chromium [Cr(VI)], lead, mercury, mixture of per-/poly-fluorinated compounds, mixture of pesticides, mixture of phthalates, mycotoxins, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), and the UV-filter benzophenone-3. Although the RA and EBoD work presented here is not intended to have direct regulatory implications, the results can be useful for raising awareness of possibly needed policy actions, as newly generated HBM data from HBM4EU on the current exposure of the EU population has been used in many RAs and EBoD estimations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    环境颗粒物(PM2.5)污染是人类健康的重要威胁。这项研究的目的是估计2010年至2018年德国与PM2.5暴露相关的德国人口的环境疾病负担(EBD)。采用EBD法对相关指标进行量化,例如,残疾调整寿命年(DALYs),并采用生命表法估算长期PM2.5暴露导致的预期寿命缩短。评估了不同假设和输入数据的影响。从2010年到2018年在德国,年人口加权PM2.5浓度从13.7微克/立方米下降到10.8微克/立方米。所有疾病结局的年度PM2.5可归因于DALYs的估计值呈下降趋势。2018年,缺血性心脏病的EBD估计最高(101.776;95%不确定度区间(UI)62,713-145,644),其次是肺癌(60,843;95%UI43,380-79,379)。德国的估计数与其他机构提供的估计数不同。这主要与输入数据的巨大差异有关,使用特定的德国国民预期寿命和选定的相对风险。输入数据的透明描述,计算步骤,和假设对于解释EBD研究的不同结果至关重要,以提高方法的可信度和对结果的信任。此外,不同的计算指标应谨慎解释和解释。
    Ambient particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution is an important threat to human health. The aim of this study is to estimate the environmental burden of disease (EBD) for the German population associated with PM2.5 exposure in Germany for the years 2010 until 2018. The EBD method was used to quantify relevant indicators, e.g., disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and the life table approach was used to estimate the reduction in life expectancy caused by long-term PM2.5 exposure. The impact of varying assumptions and input data was assessed. From 2010 to 2018 in Germany, the annual population-weighted PM2.5 concentration declined from 13.7 to 10.8 µg/m3. The estimates of annual PM2.5-attributable DALYs for all disease outcomes showed a downward trend. In 2018, the highest EBD was estimated for ischemic heart disease (101.776; 95% uncertainty interval (UI) 62,713-145,644), followed by lung cancer (60,843; 95% UI 43,380-79,379). The estimates for Germany differ from those provided by other institutions. This is mainly related to considerable differences in the input data, the use of a specific German national life expectancy and the selected relative risks. A transparent description of input data, computational steps, and assumptions is essential to explain differing results of EBD studies to improve methodological credibility and trust in the results. Furthermore, the different calculated indicators should be explained and interpreted with caution.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评估了伊朗通过饮用水和食品接触无机砷(iAs)引起的健康风险和疾病负担。通过对三个国际数据库(PubMed,Scopus,和WebofScience)和荟萃分析。根据系统评价和荟萃分析的结果,全国饮用水和所有食品类别中的平均iAs水平低于最大允许水平。就危害指数(HI)而言,饮食中暴露于iAs的总平均非致癌风险为3.4。对于皮肤癌,饮食暴露于iAs的平均终生癌症风险(ILCR)值被确定为1.5×10-3。1.0×10-3用于肺癌,膀胱癌为4.0×10-4。超过三分之二的饮食暴露于iAs的非致癌和致癌风险归因于面包和谷物,饮用水,和米饭。癌症的年总发病率,死亡,残疾调整寿命年(DALYs),死亡率,和DALY率(每100,000人)被评估为3347(95%不确定区间:1791至5999),1302(697至2336),72,606(38,833至130,228),1.6(0.87至2.9),91(49至160)。死亡率在可归因疾病负担中的贡献率为95.1%。肺癌在疾病归因负担中的贡献为72%,16%为膀胱癌,皮肤癌占12%。由于严重的疾病负担,国家和国家以下各级行动计划,包括多学科方法,用于饮食暴露于iA的风险管理,特别是对于全国含砷量较高的地区和高危人群,建议。
    The health risk and burden of disease induced by exposure to inorganic arsenic (iAs) through drinking water and foodstuffs in Iran were assessed. The iAs levels in drinking water and foodstuffs (15 food groups) in the country were determined through systematic review of three international databases (PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science) and meta-analysis. Based on the results of the systematic review and meta-analysis, the average iAs levels in drinking water and all the food groups at the national level were lower than the maximum permissible levels. The total average non-carcinogenic risk of dietary exposure to iAs in terms of hazard index (HI) was 3.4. The average incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) values of dietary exposure to iAs were determined to be 1.5 × 10-3 for skin cancer, 1.0 × 10-3 for lung cancer, and 4.0 × 10-4 for bladder cancer. Over two-thirds of the non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risk of dietary exposure to iAs was attributed to bread and cereals, drinking water, and rice. The total annual cancer incidence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), death rate, and DALY rate (per 100,000 people) were assessed to be 3347 (95 % uncertainty interval: 1791 to 5999), 1302 (697 to 2336), 72,606 (38,833 to 130,228), 1.6 (0.87 to 2.9), and 91 (49 to 160). The contribution of mortality in the attributable burden of disease was 95.1 %. The contributions of the causes in the attributable burden of disease were 72 % for lung cancer, 16 % for bladder cancer, and 12 % for skin cancer. Due to the significant attributable burden of disease, national and subnational action plans consisting of multi-disciplinary approaches for risk management of dietary exposure to iAs, especially for the higher arsenic-affected areas and high-risk population groups in the country are recommended.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在葡萄牙,由于现有数据系列的简短和不规则性,未报告归因于家庭和环境空气污染的死亡率数据,因此,在减少暴露于多种污染物的空气污染造成的死亡和疾病数量方面,国家进展的披露是不完整的。本工作描述了WHO开发的AirQ模型的应用,以计算葡萄牙各个城市人口长期暴露于大气中的NO2,PM2.5和O3的特定健康结果的多少。从2010年到2019年。线性混合模型用于数据分析,表明(i)每年约有5000例死亡归因于暴露于NO2和PM2.5的混合物;(ii)归因于NO2,PM2.5和O3的死亡比例的空间分布显示出不同位置之间的显着差异,(iii)AirQ+是有效制定公共卫生政策和报告国家执行2030年议程进展情况的有用工具。
    In Portugal, data on mortality rate attributed to household and ambient air pollution are not reported due to shortness and irregularity of the available data series, and therefore, the disclosure of the national progress in reducing the number of deaths and illnesses from air contamination in exposures to multiple pollutants is incomplete. The present work describes the application of the AirQ+ model developed by the WHO to calculate how much of specific health outcomes is attributable to long-term exposure to atmospheric NO2, PM2.5, and O3 in the population of various municipalities in Portugal, from 2010 to 2019. Linear Mixed Models were used for data analysis and have shown that (i) approximately 5000 deaths per year are attributable to exposure to mixtures of NO2 and PM2.5; (ii) the spatial distribution of the proportion of deaths attributable to NO2, PM2.5 and O3 shows significant differences between locations, and (iii) that AirQ+ is a useful tool for the purpose of effective Public Health policymaking and reporting on the national progress to implement the 2030 Agenda.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The burden of disease attributable to exposure to heavy metals via drinking water in Iran (2019) was assessed at the national and regional levels. The non-carcinogenic risk, carcinogenic risk, and attributable burden of disease of heavy metals in drinking water were estimated in terms of hazard quotient (HQ), incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR), and disability-adjusted life year (DALY), respectively. The average drinking water concentrations of arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), lead (Pb), mercury (Hg), and nickel (Ni) in Iran were determined to be 2.3, 0.4, 12.1, 2.5, 0.7, and 19.7 μg/L, respectively, which were much lower than the standard values. The total average HQs of heavy metals in drinking water in the entire country, rural, and urban communities were 0.48, 0.65 and 0.45, respectively. At the national level, the average ILCRs of heavy metal in the entire country were in the following order: 1.06 × 10-4 for As, 5.89 × 10-5 for Cd, 2.05 × 10-5 for Cr, and 3.76 × 10-7 for Pb. The cancer cases, deaths, death rate (per 100,000 people), DALYs, and DALY rate (per 100,000 people) attributed to exposure to heavy metals in drinking water at the national level were estimated to be 213 (95% uncertainty interval: 180 to 254), 87 (73-104), 0.11 (0.09-0.13), 4642 (3793-5489), and 5.81 (4.75-6.87), respectively. The contributions of exposure to As, Cd, Cr, and Pb in the attributable burden of disease were 14.7%, 65.7%, 19.3%, and 0.2%, respectively. The regional distribution of the total attributable DALY rate for all heavy metals was as follows: Region 5> Region 4> Region 1> Region 3> Region 2. The investigation and improvement of relatively high exceedance of As levels in drinking water from the standard value, especially in Regions 5 and 3 as well as biomonitoring of heavy metals throughout the country were recommended.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在GranLaPlata的三个区域监测了环境空气中PM10和PM2.5两种成分的悬浮颗粒物(PM)水平:工业,城市,和住宅(2017-2019年)。还确定了与PM相关的多环芳烃(PAHs)和硝基多环芳烃(NPAHs),并确定了可能的排放源。实现了对PM暴露和相关化合物的健康风险评估。结果表明,在研究期间,每个地区的PM10水平均有所下降,尤其是在工业区。多年来,城市和居民区的PM2.5水平也有所下降,尽管趋势不像PM10水平那么明显。然后,工业区的PM2.5水平几乎保持不变。89%的PM10和PM2.5年平均值超过WHO参考值。发现所研究的16种美国EPA优先PAHs中的大多数存在,检测频率大于60%,并且有可能确定车辆排放作为PAH排放的主要来源的重要性。根据一生中感染癌症的风险(LCR)的计算,在成年人的情况下,工业和城市地区以及PM的两个部分都没有遵守美国EPA的限制。从疾病负担(EBD)的评估来看,计算出的相对死亡率风险在研究地区非常相似,拉普拉塔的相对风险略低,大约3-5%,比贝里索和恩塞纳达的人还多.
    Levels of suspended particulate matter (PM) of both fractions PM10 and PM2.5 in ambient air were monitored in three areas of Gran La Plata: industrial, urban, and residential (2017-2019). Associated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and nitropolycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (NPAHs) to PM were also determined and possible emission sources were identified. Assessment of health risk to PM exposure and associated compounds was realized. Results showed a decrease in levels of PM10 in each area along the period studied, especially in the industrial area. Decreases in PM2.5 levels were also observed in urban and residential areas over the years, although the trend is not as marked as with PM10 levels. Then, PM2.5 levels in the industrial area have remained practically constant. The 89% of both PM10 and PM2.5 annual mean exceeds the WHO reference values. The presence of most of the 16 US EPA priority PAHs studied was found with a detection frequency greater than 60% and it was possible to identify the importance of the contributions of vehicular emissions as predominant sources of PAH emission. From the calculations of the risk of contracting cancer throughout life (LCR), in the case of adults, the US EPA limits were not complied in the industrial and urban areas and in both fractions of PM. From the evaluation of the burden of disease (EBD), the calculated relative risks of mortality were very similar for the studied districts, being the relative risk in La Plata slightly lower, about 3-5%, than those in Berisso and Ensenada.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    几项研究发现,孕妇暴露于颗粒物污染与不良分娩结局有关。包括婴儿死亡率和早产。在这种情况下,我们的研究旨在量化巴黎早产并发症和婴儿死亡导致的空气污染负担,特别关注生活在最贫困的人口普查区的人们。婴儿死亡和早产的数据可从出生和死亡证明中获得。母亲新生儿的邮政地址被转换为人口普查区块号。在人口普查区块一级建立了社会经济剥夺指数。使用ESMERALDA大气建模系统在人口普查区块水平上对PM10的年平均环境浓度进行了建模。由于接触PM10而导致的婴儿死亡人数以生命损失的年数表示。我们使用三步房室模型来评估早产幸存者的神经发育障碍。我们估计,每100,000例活产中有12.8例婴儿死亡可能归因于PM10暴露,这些婴儿中约有三分之一生活在贫困的人口普查区。此外,我们发现大约4.8%的早产可归因于PM10暴露,这些婴儿中约有1.9%死亡(相当于每100,000活产中约有5.75例死亡)。在地方一级量化与环境危害有关的儿童健康影响对于优先考虑干预措施至关重要。我们的研究表明,需要额外的努力来降低与空气污染相关的并发症和死亡风险,尤其是在早产中。由于广泛暴露在空气污染中,通过旨在减少整个人口接触的监管干预措施,可以实现显著的健康益处,尤其是最脆弱的人,如儿童和孕妇。
    Several studies have found maternal exposure to particulate matter pollution was associated with adverse birth outcomes, including infant mortality and preterm birth. In this context, our study aims to quantify the air pollution burden of disease due to preterm birth complications and infant death in Paris, with particular attention to people living in the most deprived census blocks. Data on infant death and preterm birth was available from the birth and death certificates. The postal address of mother\'s newborn was converted in census block number. A socioeconomic deprivation index was built at the census block level. Average annual ambient concentrations of PM10 were modelled at census block level using the ESMERALDA atmospheric modelling system. The number of infant deaths attributed to PM10 exposure is expressed in years of life lost. We used a three-step compartmental model to appraise neurodevelopmental impairment among survivors of preterm birth. We estimated that 12.8 infant deaths per 100,000 live births may be attributable to PM10 exposure, and about one third of these infants lived in deprived census blocks. In addition, we found that approximately 4.8% of preterm births could be attributable to PM10 exposure, and approximately 1.9% of these infants died (corresponding to about 5.75 deaths per 100,000 live birth). Quantification of environmental hazard-related health impacts for children at local level is essential to prioritizing interventions. Our study suggests that additional effort is needed to reduce the risk of complications and deaths related to air pollution exposure, especially among preterm births. Because of widespread exposure to air pollution, significant health benefits could be achieved through regulatory interventions aimed at reducing exposure of the population as a whole, and particularly of the most vulnerable, such as children and pregnant women.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    暴露于空气污染和其他环境危害的死亡率影响通常由“过早”或“可归因”死亡的估计数量以及暴露减少的经济价值来描述,这是“统计生命的估计”的产物。保存”和每个统计寿命的值。“这些术语可能会误导,因为暴露导致的死亡人数无法仅从死亡率数据中确定,无论是流行病学还是随机试验(没有统计学鉴定)。“归因于”暴露的死亡分数通常作为危险分数(R-1)/R得出,其中R是高和低暴露水平之间的相对死亡风险。暴露导致的死亡比例(“病因学”比例)可以更大或更小:可以大到1,小到危险比例的1/e(≈0.37)倍(如果关联是因果关系,否则为零)。最近的文献揭示了对这些概念的误解。由于暴露而导致的人口总寿命损失可以估计,但不能按年龄或死亡原因分类。无法了解病因性死亡比例的影响,不会影响人口与暴露相关的死亡风险变化的经济评估。当无法识别面临较大或较小死亡风险变化的个体时,人口危害的平均变化足以进行评估;否则,经济价值可以取决于风险降低的分布。
    Mortality effects of exposure to air pollution and other environmental hazards are often described by the estimated number of \"premature\" or \"attributable\" deaths and the economic value of a reduction in exposure as the product of an estimate of \"statistical lives saved\" and a \"value per statistical life.\" These terms can be misleading because the number of deaths advanced by exposure cannot be determined from mortality data alone, whether from epidemiology or randomized trials (it is not statistically identified). The fraction of deaths \"attributed\" to exposure is conventionally derived as the hazard fraction (R - 1)/R, where R is the relative risk of mortality between high and low exposure levels. The fraction of deaths advanced by exposure (the \"etiologic\" fraction) can be substantially larger or smaller: it can be as large as one and as small as 1/e (≈0.37) times the hazard fraction (if the association is causal and zero otherwise). Recent literature reveals misunderstanding about these concepts. Total life years lost in a population due to exposure can be estimated but cannot be disaggregated by age or cause of death. Economic valuation of a change in exposure-related mortality risk to a population is not affected by inability to know the fraction of deaths that are etiologic. When individuals facing larger or smaller changes in mortality risk cannot be identified, the mean change in population hazard is sufficient for valuation; otherwise, the economic value can depend on the distribution of risk reductions.
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