end-of-life

报废
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Although many large Chinese cities have begun to implement hospice services, hospice care is still a relatively new concept in many parts of the country, especially in smaller cities. The purpose of this study was to gain a better understanding of health care providers\' (physicians and nurses) perceptions of the facilitators and barriers to hospice care implementation in a fourth-tier city. Using a qualitative descriptive approach, semi-structured, open-ended interviews were conducted with 15 health care providers. Two major categories for developing hospice care were identified: (a) prospective facilitators and (b) perceived barriers. In addition, there is currently much ambiguity regarding what agency should oversee hospice services if implemented, who should be responsible for payment, the importance of developing interdisciplinary care teams and concerns about worker shortages. Future research is encouraged to investigate attitudes towards hospice care across various local healthcare systems and to promote the development of local hospice care support.
    尽管中国许多大城市已经开始提供安宁疗护服务,但在国内众多地区,特别是较小的城市,安宁疗护仍然是一个相对新颖的概念。本研究旨在更深入地了解医护工作者(包括医生和护士)对四线城市实施安宁疗护所面临的促进因素和障碍因素的看法。通过采用定性描述方法,我们对15名医护工作者进行了半结构化、开放式的访谈。研究结果表明,安宁疗护的发展存在两个主要类别:一是潜在的促进因素,二是感知到的障碍因素。此外,目前在安宁疗护服务领域,关于监督机构的设置、支付责任的界定、跨学科照护团队的重要性认识,以及实际存在的人员短缺问题,都还存在较大的模糊性。因此,我们鼓励未来的研究进一步调查各地方医疗系统对安宁疗护的态度,并推动地方安宁疗护支持体系的开发。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:术语终末期肾病(ESRD)是指慢性肾病的最终阶段。并非所有ESRD患者都适合透析治疗,尽管它有优势,并非没有风险。在这个阶段,共同的肾病医生-患者决策可能是有益的,然而,人们对以色列的这种做法知之甚少。这项研究旨在研究以色列肾病学家和ESRD患者之间的共享决策(SDM)实践。在探索相关冲突的同时,伦理困境,和考虑。
    方法:本研究中采用的描述性定量方法包括对肾病学家进行验证的问卷,基于Emanual和Emanual(1992)。调查,通过社交媒体平台和雪球采样分发,由169名肾脏病学家完成。数据分析包括独立样本的t检验,方差分析的f检验,以及独立性的t检验和f检验。描述性分析检查了ESRD患者临终关怀中对SDM的态度。
    结果:研究结果表明,研究样本不包括通常按照家长式决策风格行事的肾病学家。相反,53%的受访者被发现行为符合信息决策风格,47%的人按照解释性决策风格行事。几乎70%的受访者报告他们与患者讨论生活质量;63.4%提供预后评估;61.5%询问患者期望的死亡地点;58.6%询问预先指示或授权书;57.4%询问临终治疗中的文化和宗教信仰。此外,信息丰富的肾脏病学家倾向于促进患者对健康的自主权(P<0.001);他们也赞成保守治疗,与家长式和解释性肾病学家相比,并且使用比其他肾脏科医师更少侵入性的方法(P=0.02)。
    结论:以色列的肾脏病学家仅部分追求SDM模型,这有可能提高ESRD患者及其家人的护理质量。应制定和实施SDM计划,以增加肾病医师的此类实践,从而扩大了在生命终结时提供保守护理的可能性。
    BACKGROUND: The term end-stage renal disease (ESRD) refers to the final stage of chronic kidney disease. Not all ESRD patients are suitable for dialysis treatment, which despite its advantages, is not without risks. Shared nephrologist-patient decision-making could be beneficial at this stage, yet little is known about such practices in Israel. This study aimed at examining the practice of shared decision-making (SDM) between nephrologists and ESRD patients in Israel, while exploring related conflicts, ethical dilemmas, and considerations.
    METHODS: The descriptive-quantitative approach applied in this study included a validated questionnaire for nephrologists, based on Emanual and Emanual (1992). The survey, which was distributed via social-media platforms and snowball sampling, was completed by 169 nephrologists. Data analysis included t-tests for independent samples, f-tests for analysis of variance, and t-tests and f-tests for independence. Descriptive analysis examined attitudes towards SDM in end-of-life care for ESRD patients.
    RESULTS: The findings show that the research sample did not include nephrologists who typically act according to the paternalistic decision-making style. Rather, 53% of the respondents were found to act in line with the informative decision-making style, while 47% act according to the interpretive decision-making style. Almost 70% of all respondents reported their discussing quality-of-life with patients; 63.4% provide prognostic assessments; 61.5% inquire about the patient\'s desired place of death; 58.6% ask about advance directives or power-of-attorney; and 57.4% inquire about cultural and religious beliefs in end-of-life treatment. Additionally, informative nephrologists tend to promote the patients\' autonomy over their health (P < 0.001); they are also in favor of conservative treatment, compared to paternalistic and interpretive nephrologists, and use less invasive methods than other nephrologists (P = 0.02).
    CONCLUSIONS: Nephrologists in Israel only partially pursue an SDM model, which has the potential to improve quality-of-care for ESRD patients and their families. SDM programs should be developed and implemented for increasing such practices among nephrologists, thereby expanding the possibilities for providing conservative care at end-of-life.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:许多研究表明,癌症患者的临终关怀姑息治疗干预措施可以降低医疗保健的实用性。在台湾,需要机械通气的患者中有20-25%使用长期机械通气(PMV);然而,只有有限数量的研究探讨了临终关怀姑息治疗对这些患者的有效性.这项研究调查了临终关怀姑息治疗对使用PMV的受试者医疗利用的影响。
    方法:通过使用全国人群研究的健康保险数据库,我们确定了机械通气时间>21d的受试者,在2009年至2017年期间,年龄≥18岁,并接受了临终关怀姑息治疗。对照组在排除参加姑息治疗<15d或>181d的患者后,通过倾向评分进行1:1匹配。我们使用条件logistic回归分析来调查ICU入院的发生率,急诊科介绍,并在死亡前14d内进行心肺复苏。
    结果:2009年至2017年期间,共有186,533名新受试者接受年龄≥18岁的PMV。此外,接受姑息治疗的受试者数量逐年增加,从2009年的0.6%上升到2017年的41.33%。急诊科就诊(比值比[OR]0.68,95%CI0.63-0.74),ICU入院(OR0.59,95%CI0.53-0.66),心肺复苏(OR0.40,95%CI0.35-0.46),和总住院费用($1,319.91±$1,821.66与$1,544.37±$2,309.27[$USD],P<.001)在姑息治疗组中显著较低。
    结论:在接受临终关怀姑息治疗的同时接受PMV的受试者的总住院费用显着降低,ICU入院,心肺复苏,和死亡前14天内的医疗费用。
    BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have demonstrated that hospice palliative care interventions for cancer patients can reduce health care utilzation. In Taiwan, 20-25% of patients who require mechanical ventilation are using prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV); however, only a limited number of studies have addressed the effectiveness of hospice palliative care for these patients. This study investigated the impact of hospice palliative care utilization on medical utilization among subjects using PMV.
    METHODS: By using the health insurance database of a nationwide population-based study, we identified subjects who had been on mechanical ventilation for > 21 d, were age ≥18 y between 2009 and 2017, and had received hospice palliative care. The control group was formed through 1:1 matching by using propensity scoring after excluding patients who had participated in palliative care for <15 d or for >181 d. Furthermore, we used a conditional logistic regression analysis to investigate the incidence of ICU admission, emergency department presentation, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation within 14 d before death.
    RESULTS: A total of 186,533 new subjects receiving PMV age ≥ 18 y were admitted between 2009 and 2017. In addition, the number of subjects receiving palliative care increased annually, rising from 0.6% in 2009 to 41.33% in 2017. The emergency department visits (odds ratio [OR] 0.68, 95% CI 0.63-0.74), ICU admission (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.53-0.66), cardiopulmonary resuscitation (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.35-0.46), and total hospitalization cost ($1,319.91 ± $1,821.66 versus $1,544.37 ± $2,309.27 [$USD], P < .001) were significant lower in the palliative care group.
    CONCLUSIONS: Subjects undergoing PMV while receiving hospice palliative care experienced significant reductions in total hospitalization costs, ICU admissions, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, and medical expenses within 14 d before death.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:法国有关临终医疗实践的法律禁止安乐死,并确认患者接受深度和持续镇静直至死亡的权利。文化传统和医疗保健提供方面的差异,就像在法国海外一样,可能会限制此类法律的执行,并修改报废医疗实践。
    目的:本研究旨在描述法国海外的临终医疗决定,并与法国大陆描述的决定进行比较。
    方法:对在2020年3月至2021年2月期间死亡的成年患者进行了一项随机抽样的回顾性研究,该研究在法国的四个海外部门进行。要求证明死亡的医生在问卷中描述临终护理和医疗决定。
    结果:在发出的8730份问卷中,共分析了1815例死亡。扣留治疗是最常见的决定(41%),三分之一的患者加强了疼痛或症状的治疗,在13.3%的病例中实施了深度和持续的镇静直至死亡。在1.3%的死亡中提到使用药物故意终止生命。在61.6%的死亡中至少做出了一个决定。在可预测的死亡之前,做出了更多可能加速死亡的决定。2022年疼痛和症状治疗的加剧比2010年更频繁。2016年,法律引入了深度和持续的镇静,而不影响其他决定。
    结论:法国海外的医生最近对报废法律进行了修改,包括深度和持续的镇静。与2010年法国大陆调查的比较显示,2022年姑息治疗的实施效果更好,拒绝治疗的比例更高。
    BACKGROUND: French laws governing end-of-life medical practices forbid euthanasia and affirm patients\' right to deep and continuous sedation until death. Cultural traditions and disparities in health care provision, as in overseas France, could limit the enforcement of such laws and modify end-of-life medical practices.
    OBJECTIVE: This research aims to describe end-of-life medical decisions in overseas France and to compare with those described in mainland France.
    METHODS: A retrospective study of a random sample of adult patients who died between March 2020 and February 2021 was conducted in four overseas French departments. Physicians who certified the deaths were asked to describe end-of-life care and medical decisions in a questionnaire.
    RESULTS: A total of 1815 deaths were analysed over 8730 questionnaires sent. Withholding treatments was the most frequent decision (41%), treatment for pain or symptoms was intensified for a third of patients, Deep and continuous sedation until death was implemented in 13.3% cases. The use of drugs to deliberately end life was mentioned in 1.3% deaths. At least one decision was made in 61.6% deaths. More decisions that may hasten death were made before predictable deaths. Intensification of pain and symptoms treatment was more frequent in 2022 than in 2010. Deep and continuous sedation was introduced by law in 2016 without prejudice to other decisions.
    CONCLUSIONS: Physicians in overseas France have implemented recent changes in end-of-life laws, including deep and continuous sedation. Comparisons with 2010 mainland France survey show a better implementation of palliative medicine in 2022, with higher proportions of treatment withholding.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:自2016年加拿大医疗救助合法化以来,护士越来越面临新的和不断发展的沟通挑战,因为患者在不同的环境和环境中考虑他们的临终选择。
    目的:这项研究的目的是:1)从注册护士的角度了解与MAID相关的沟通的细微差别和挑战,and2)todrawontheinsightsarisingfromthisanalysistoreflectontheevolutionofMAIDcommunicationfornurseswithtime.
    方法:本研究是对两个主要定性数据集的二次分析,包括:对加拿大注册护士的74次访谈,他们在临床实践中自我识别为接触过MAID;以及受访者自愿提出的47项叙述性反思,以解决针对护士的在线MAID反思指南中提出的问题。
    结果:护士描述了与患者介绍和参与MAID主题相关的不断发展的复杂性,帮助患者浏览MAID评估,管理与MAID周围的观点和信念相关的家庭和社区动态,支持病人对MAID死亡的计划,并在MAID时刻为患者及其家人服务。
    结论:MAID通信非常复杂,个性化,和特定于上下文的。很明显,许多护士在快速发展的立法背景下,围绕其细微差别,已经发展出令人印象深刻的舒适度和技能。很明显,所有医疗保健环境中的注册护士都需要进行专门的基本和持续的MAID沟通教育。
    BACKGROUND: Since legalization of Medical Assistance in Dying in Canada in 2016, nurses are increasingly faced with new and evolving communication challenges as patients in a diversity of settings and contexts contemplate their end-of-life options.
    OBJECTIVE: The purposes of this study were: 1) to develop an understanding of the nuances and challenges associated with MAID-related communication from the perspective of registered nurses, and 2) to draw on the insights arising from this analysis to reflect on the evolution of MAID communication for nurses over time.
    METHODS: This study represented a secondary analysis of two primary qualitative data sets, including: 74 interviews of Canadian registered nurses self-identifying as having some exposure to MAID in their clinical practice; and 47 narrative reflections volunteered by respondents to questions posed in an online MAID reflective guide for nurses.
    RESULTS: Nurses described evolving complexities associated with introducing and engaging with the topic of MAID with their patients, helping patients navigate access to MAID assessment, managing family and community dynamics associated with opinions and beliefs surrounding MAID, supporting patients in their planning toward a MAID death, and being there for patients and their families in the moment of MAID.
    CONCLUSIONS: MAID communication is highly complex, individualized, and context-specific. It is apparent that many nurses have developed an impressive degree of comfort and skill around navigating its nuances within a rapidly evolving legislative context. It is also apparent that dedicated basic and continuing MAID communication education will warranted for registered nurses in all health care settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:高容量设施(HVF)的治疗与接受治愈性治疗的HNC患者的预后改善有关。这一系统性因素是否会影响接受姑息治疗的HNC患者的生存结局尚不清楚。
    目的:研究姑息性治疗机构容量对头颈部肿瘤患者总生存期(OS)的影响。
    方法:对2004年至2018年国家癌症数据库中接受姑息治疗的HNC患者进行回顾性查询。
    方法:根据治疗机构体积百分位数对患者进行分层。实施多变量二元logistic和Cox比例风险回归模型。
    结果:纳入8682例患者,1661(19.1%)在容量≥80百分位数的设施接受了姑息性治疗。在972个设施中,643(66.2%),182(18.7%),85(8.8%),44(4.5%),和18(1.9%)的交易量<20,20-40岁,40-60岁,60-80岁,≥80百分位数,分别。在容量<20的设施中接受姑息治疗的患者的5年OS率,20-40岁,40-60岁,60-80岁,≥80百分位数为11%,13%,11%,14%,23%,分别(P<.001)。设施数量≥80百分位数与多变量Cox回归的较高5年OS相关(aHR0.34,95%CI0.16-0.69,P<.001)。手术治疗(aOR1.34,95%CI1.07-1.68,P=.012)与在容量≥80百分位数的设施中接受治疗相关。
    结论:在HVF接受姑息治疗与HNC中的较高OS相关。在临终管理中,应结合其他患者和设施特征,仔细考虑高设施容量带来的生存益处。特别强调以患者为导向的护理目标。
    BACKGROUND: Treatment at high-volume facilities (HVF) has been associated with improved prognosis of HNC patients undergoing curative treatment. Whether this systemic factor influences survival outcomes of patients with HNC undergoing palliative treatment is unknown.
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of palliative treatment facility volume on overall survival (OS) in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC).
    METHODS: The 2004 to 2018 National Cancer Database was queried retrospectively for patients with HNC undergoing palliative treatment.
    METHODS: Patients were stratified based on treatment facility volume percentile. Multivariable binary logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models were implemented.
    RESULTS: Of 8682 patients included, 1661 (19.1%) underwent palliative therapy at facilities with volume ≥80th percentile. Among 972 facilities included, 643 (66.2%), 182 (18.7%), 85 (8.8%), 44 (4.5%), and 18 (1.9%) had volume <20th, 20-40th, 40-60th, 60-80th, and ≥80th percentiles, respectively. 5-year OS rates of patients undergoing palliative therapy at facilities with volume <20th, 20-40th, 40-60th, 60-80th, and ≥80th percentile was 11%, 13%, 11%, 14%, and 23%, respectively (P < .001). Facility volume ≥80th percentile was associated with higher 5-year OS on multivariable Cox regression (aHR 0.34, 95% CI 0.16-0.69, P < .001). Surgical treatment (aOR 1.34, 95% CI 1.07-1.68, P = .012) was associated with undergoing treatment at facilities with volume ≥80th percentile.
    CONCLUSIONS: Undergoing palliative treatment at HVFs is associated with higher OS in HNC. The survival benefit derived from high facility volume should be carefully considered in the context of other patient and facility characteristics in end-of-life management, with specific emphasis on patient-directed goals of care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在我们之前的研究中,我们使用士气低落量表(DS)分析了235例终末期癌症患者的士气低落的患病率。调查结果显示,50.2%的参与者表示经历了中等程度的士气低落。从原始DS观察到的主要子维度是无助,Dissheartenment,和失败感,我们将其归类为“情绪困扰和无法应对”。这项研究的目的是定性调查一组晚期癌症患者对此因素的主观体验。
    方法:使用七个开放式问题对30名患者进行了访谈,分为3类:无助,沮丧和失败感。进行内容分析。
    结果:信仰和祈祷,社会支持和保持自主性是样本使用的主要应对策略,并被归类为希望的来源。悲伤,愤怒,死亡焦虑,恐惧,疾病是最常见的情绪表达。信仰,社会支持,自主性,战斗精神被确定为主要的应对策略。
    结论:这项研究可以更好地了解患者对士气低落子维度的主观体验。主题的深化可以增加个性化的临床干预措施,根据病人的需要。
    OBJECTIVE: In our previous study we analyzed the prevalence of demoralization in a sample of 235 end-of-life cancer patients using the Demoralization Scale (DS). The findings revealed that 50.2% of the participants reported experiencing a moderate level of demoralization. The main sub-dimensions observed from the original DS were Helplessness, Disheartenment, and Sense of Failure, which we have categorized as \"Emotional Distress and Inability to Cope\". The aim of this study was to qualitatively investigate the subjective experience of this factor among a group of terminal cancer patients.
    METHODS: A sample of 30 patients was interviewed using seven open-ended questions, divided into 3 categories: helplessness, disheartenment and sense of failure. Content analysis was performed.
    RESULTS: Faith and prayer, social support and preserving autonomy were the principal coping strategies used by the sample and have been classed as sources of hope. Sadness, anger, death anxiety, fear, and sickness were the most commonly expressed emotions. Faith, social support, autonomy, and fighting spirit were identified as the primary coping strategies.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study allowed a better understanding of the patient\'s subjective experience of the demoralization sub-dimension. The deepening of the topic can increase personalized clinical interventions, according to the patient\'s needs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:预测挑战导致癌症患者临终期(EOL)的提前护理计划(ACP)延迟。
    目的:检查质量改进死亡率预测算法干预措施对ACP文档和EOL护理的影响。
    方法:我们为从杜克大学医院急诊科(ED)进入专门的实体恶性肿瘤病房的实体恶性肿瘤患者实施了一个有效的死亡率风险预测机器学习模型。当患者被确定为高风险时,临床医生收到一封电子邮件。我们比较了通知干预前后的ACP文档和EOL护理结果。我们排除了在最初24小时内入住重症监护病房(ICU)的患者。比较涉及卡方/Fisher精确检验和Wilcoxon秩和检验;由医师专业分层的比较采用Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel检验。
    结果:干预前和干预后队列包括88名和77名患者,分别。大多数是白人,非西班牙裔/拉丁裔,并且结婚了.ACP对话记录了2.3%的住院干预前与干预后80.5%(p<0.001),如果被通知的主治医生是姑息治疗专家(4.1%vs.84.6%)或肿瘤学家(0%vs.76.3%)(p<0.001)。两组之间的住院时间(LOS)没有差异,临终关怀转诊,代码状态更改,ICU入院或LOS,再入院30天,30天ED访问,住院和30天死亡。
    结论:通过机器学习识别癌症患者和高死亡风险导致记录的ACP对话大幅增加,但不影响EOL护理。我们的干预显示出改变临床医生行为的希望。该模型在临床实践中的进一步整合正在进行中。
    BACKGROUND: Prognostication challenges contribute to delays in advance care planning (ACP) for patients with cancer near the end of life (EOL).
    OBJECTIVE: Examine a quality improvement mortality prediction algorithm intervention\'s impact on ACP documentation and EOL care.
    METHODS: We implemented a validated mortality risk prediction machine learning model for solid malignancy patients admitted from the emergency department (ED) to a dedicated solid malignancy unit at Duke University Hospital. Clinicians received an email when a patient was identified as high-risk. We compared ACP documentation and EOL care outcomes before and after the notification intervention. We excluded patients with intensive care unit (ICU) admission in the first 24 hours. Comparisons involve chi-square/Fisher\'s exact tests and Wilcoxon rank sum tests; comparisons stratified by physician specialty employ Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel tests.
    RESULTS: Pre-intervention and post-intervention cohorts comprised 88 and 77 patients, respectively. Most were White, non-Hispanic/Latino, and married. ACP conversations were documented for 2.3% of hospitalizations pre-intervention vs. 80.5% post-intervention (p<0.001), and if the attending physician notified was a palliative care specialist (4.1% vs. 84.6%) or oncologist (0% vs. 76.3%) (p<0.001). There were no differences between groups in length of stay (LOS), hospice referral, code status change, ICU admissions or LOS, 30-day readmissions, 30-day ED visits, and inpatient and 30-day deaths.
    CONCLUSIONS: Identifying patients with cancer and high mortality risk via machine learning elicited a substantial increase in documented ACP conversations but did not impact EOL care. Our intervention showed promise in changing clinician behavior. Further integration of this model in clinical practice is ongoing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:虽然家庭经常被表达为绝症癌症患者最喜欢的死亡地点(PoD),各种因素影响这一愿望的实现。在没有医疗保健系统整合的姑息和支持治疗的国家中,癌症患者PoD的决定因素尚未得到研究。这项研究旨在通过在伊朗接受家庭姑息治疗的患者中开发可靠的预测模型来确定患有晚期癌症的患者的PoD的预测因子,作为独立提供姑息治疗服务的国家的代表。
    方法:在一项横断面研究中,在伊朗癌症控制中心(MACSA)姑息性住院计划中注册的4083名晚期癌症患者的电子记录,在2018年2月至2020年2月之间死亡的人被找回。多变量二元逻辑回归分析以及亚组分析(位置,性别,婚姻状况,和肿瘤地形图),以确定PoD的预测因子。
    结果:在纳入的2398例中(平均年龄(SD)=64.17(14.45)岁,1269(%52.9)男性),1216例(50.7%)患者在家中死亡。年纪大了,过去两周医疗家庭护理的存在和强度以及该计划在德黑兰站点的注册与在家中死亡有关(P<0.05)。妇科或血液癌症,在过去的2周内,远程姑息治疗病房的呼入和呼入强度是医院死亡的预测因素(p<0.05).该模型经过内部和外部验证(AUC=0.723(95%CI=0.702-0.745;P<0.001)和AUC=0.697(95%CI=0.631-0.763;P<0.001))。
    结论:我们的模型强调了人口统计,在有零散的姑息治疗的社区中,PoD的疾病相关和环境决定因素。它还敦促决策者和服务提供者确定并考虑死亡地点的当地决定因素,以使姑息和支持服务的目标与患者的偏好相匹配。
    BACKGROUND: While home is frequently expressed as the favorite place of death (PoD) among terminally ill cancer patients, various factors affect the fulfillment of this wish. The determinants of the PoD of cancer patients in countries without healthcare system-integrated palliative and supportive care have not been studied before. This study aimed at identifying the predictors of the PoD of patients who suffer from advanced cancer by developing a reliable predictive model among who received home-based palliative care in Iran as a representative of the countries with isolated provision of palliative care services.
    METHODS: In a cross-sectional study, electronic records of 4083 advanced cancer patients enrolled in the Iranian Cancer Control Center (MACSA) palliative homecare program, who died between February 2018 and February 2020 were retrieved. Multivariable binary logistic regression analysis as well as subgroup analyses (location, sex, marital status, and tumor topography) was performed to identify the predictors of PoD.
    RESULTS: Of the 2398 cases included (mean age (SD) = 64.17 (14.45) year, 1269 (%52.9) male), 1216 (50.7%) patients died at home. Older age, presence and intensity of medical homecare in the last two weeks and registration in the Tehran site of the program were associated with dying at home (P < 0.05). Gynecological or hematological cancers, presence and intensity of the calls received from the remote palliative care unit in the last two weeks were predictors of death at the hospital (p < 0.05). The model was internally and externally validated (AUC = 0.723 (95% CI = 0.702-0.745; P < 0.001) and AUC = 0.697 (95% CI = 0.631-0.763; P < 0.001) respectively).
    CONCLUSIONS: Our model highlights the demographic, illness-related and environmental determinants of the PoD in communities with patchy provision of palliative care. It also urges policymakers and service providers to identify and take the local determinant of the place of death into account to match the goals of palliative and supportive services with the patient preferences.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:慢性肺病(CLDs)患者,定义为进行性和限制生命的呼吸系统疾病,随着病情的发展,经历了沉重的症状负担,但姑息性转诊率低且晚。预后工具可以帮助临床医生识别处于恶化高风险的CLD患者,以进行需求评估和转诊姑息治疗。由于当前的预后工具可能无法在所有CLD条件下很好地推广,我们的目标是开发和验证一个通用模型,以预测任何CLD患者的1年死亡率.
    方法:对2016年7月至2017年10月在公立医院诊断为CLD的患者进行回顾性队列研究。感兴趣的结果是诊断后一年内的全因死亡率。从CLD的预后研究综述中确定了潜在的预后因素,数据是从电子病历中提取的。缺失的数据是通过链式方程使用多重插补来估算的。使用变量选择方法建立Logistic回归模型,并在2018年1月至2019年12月的患者中进行验证。辨别能力,评估了模型的校准和临床有用性.模型系数和性能在所有估算的数据集中汇总并报告。
    结果:在1000名患者中,122人(12.2%)在一年内死亡。患者患有慢性阻塞性肺疾病或肺气肿(55%),支气管扩张(38%),间质性肺病(12%),或多重诊断(6%)。通过正向逐步变量选择选择的模型具有最高的AUC(0.77(0.72-0.82)),并由10个预后因素组成。验证队列的模型AUC为0.75(0.70,0.81),校准截距和斜率分别为-0.14(-0.54,0.26)和0.74(0.53,0.95)。将预测死亡风险超过0.30的患者分类为高风险,该模型将正确识别出10名死者中的3名和10名幸存者中的9名。
    结论:我们使用常规可用的管理数据开发并验证了CLD患者一年死亡率的预后模型。该模型将支持临床医生识别各种CLD病因中存在恶化风险的患者,以进行基本的姑息治疗评估,以确定未满足的需求并触发早期转诊姑息治疗。
    背景:不适用(回顾性研究)。
    BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic lung diseases (CLDs), defined as progressive and life-limiting respiratory conditions, experience a heavy symptom burden as the conditions become more advanced, but palliative referral rates are low and late. Prognostic tools can help clinicians identify CLD patients at high risk of deterioration for needs assessments and referral to palliative care. As current prognostic tools may not generalize well across all CLD conditions, we aim to develop and validate a general model to predict one-year mortality in patients presenting with any CLD.
    METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of patients with a CLD diagnosis at a public hospital from July 2016 to October 2017 was conducted. The outcome of interest was all-cause mortality within one-year of diagnosis. Potential prognostic factors were identified from reviews of prognostic studies in CLD, and data was extracted from electronic medical records. Missing data was imputed using multiple imputation by chained equations. Logistic regression models were developed using variable selection methods and validated in patients seen from January 2018 to December 2019. Discriminative ability, calibration and clinical usefulness of the model was assessed. Model coefficients and performance were pooled across all imputed datasets and reported.
    RESULTS: Of the 1000 patients, 122 (12.2%) died within one year. Patients had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or emphysema (55%), bronchiectasis (38%), interstitial lung diseases (12%), or multiple diagnoses (6%). The model selected through forward stepwise variable selection had the highest AUC (0.77 (0.72-0.82)) and consisted of ten prognostic factors. The model AUC for the validation cohort was 0.75 (0.70, 0.81), and the calibration intercept and slope were - 0.14 (-0.54, 0.26) and 0.74 (0.53, 0.95) respectively. Classifying patients with a predicted risk of death exceeding 0.30 as high risk, the model would correctly identify 3 out 10 decedents and 9 of 10 survivors.
    CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a prognostic model for one-year mortality in patients with CLD using routinely available administrative data. The model will support clinicians in identifying patients across various CLD etiologies who are at risk of deterioration for a basic palliative care assessment to identify unmet needs and trigger an early referral to palliative medicine.
    BACKGROUND: Not applicable (retrospective study).
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