discriminative ability

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:确定临床环境中常用的体能测量是否可以区分跌倒和非跌倒,并预测患有痴呆症的老年人的跌倒。
    方法:系统评价和荟萃分析。
    方法:居住在社区的老年痴呆症患者,医院,和住宅护理设施。
    方法:MEDLINE,Embase,PsycINFO,CINAHL,SPORTDiscus,Cochrane图书馆,和PEDro数据库从开始到2023年12月27日进行搜索(PROSPERO注册号:CRD42022303670)。回顾性或前瞻性研究评估了老年人痴呆症的身体表现指标与跌倒之间的关系。随机效应模型用于计算跌倒者和非跌倒者之间每个身体表现指标的标准化平均差(SMD)和95%CI。对纵向研究进行了敏感性分析,以确定物理性能指标预测未来跌倒的能力。
    结果:本综述纳入28项研究(n=3542)。5次椅台试验[SMD=0.23(0.01,0.45)],Berg平衡量表[SMD=-0.52(-0.87,-0.17)],站在地板上[SMD=0.25(0.07,0.43)]和泡沫表面[SMD=0.45(0.25,0.66)]时的姿势摇摆,短物理性能电池总分[SMD=-0.46(-0.66,-0.27)]可以区分跌倒者和非跌倒者。敏感性分析表明,在纵向队列研究中,步态速度可以预测未来的跌倒[SMD=-0.29(-0.49,-0.08)]。亚组分析显示,步态速度[SMD=-0.21(-0.38,-0.05)]和TimedUpandGo测试[SMD=0.54(0.16,0.92)]可以识别留在住宅护理设施或医院的跌倒者。
    结论:5次椅子站立测试,伯格平衡量表,站在地板和泡沫表面上时的姿势摇摆,短体能电池可用于预测老年痴呆症患者的跌倒。步态速度和TimedUpandGo测试可用于预测住院的老年痴呆症患者的跌倒。建议临床医生使用这些身体表现指标来评估患有痴呆症的老年人的跌倒风险。
    OBJECTIVE: To determine whether physical performance measures commonly used in clinical settings can discriminate fallers from nonfallers and predict falls in older adults with dementia.
    METHODS: Systematic review and meta-analysis.
    METHODS: Older adults with dementia residing in the community, hospitals, and residential care facilities.
    METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, SPORTDiscus, the Cochrane Library, and the PEDro databases were searched from inception until December 27, 2023 (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022303670). Retrospective or prospective studies that evaluated the associations between physical performance measures and falls in older adults with dementia were included. A random effects model was used to calculate the standardized mean difference (SMD) and 95% CI for each physical performance measure between fallers and nonfallers. Sensitivity analyses were conducted on the longitudinal studies to determine the ability of physical performance measures to predict future falls.
    RESULTS: Twenty-eight studies were included in this review (n = 3542). The 5-time chair stand test [SMD = 0.23 (0.01, 0.45)], the Berg Balance Scale [SMD = -0.52 (-0.87, -0.17)], postural sway when standing on the floor [SMD = 0.25 (0.07, 0.43)] and on a foam surface [SMD = 0.45 (0.25, 0.66)], and the Short Physical Performance Battery total score [SMD = -0.46 (-0.66, -0.27)] could discriminate fallers from nonfallers. Sensitivity analyses showed that gait speed could predict future falls in longitudinal cohort studies [SMD = -0.29 (-0.49, -0.08)]. Subgroup analyses showed that gait speed [SMD = -0.21 (-0.38, -0.05)] and the Timed Up and Go test [SMD = 0.54 (0.16, 0.92)] could identify fallers staying in residential care facilities or hospitals.
    CONCLUSIONS: The 5-time chair stand test, the Berg Balance Scale, postural sway when standing on the floor and a foam surface, and the Short Physical Performance Battery can be used to predict falls in older adults with dementia. Gait speed and the Timed Up and Go test can be used to predict falls in institutionalized older adults with dementia. Clinicians are recommended to use these physical performance measures to assess fall risk in older adults with dementia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们评估了纤维肌痛综合征(FMS)的体感时间辨别(SSTD)评估工具的重测可靠性和辨别能力,并确定疼痛相关变量是否与SSTD表现相关。在间隔7至10天的两个疗程中评估了25名FMS妇女和25名无症状妇女。计算正确响应的比例(范围0-100)。收集两组的社会人口统计信息。FMS的参与者还完成了广泛的疼痛指数和简短的疼痛清单。通过计算组内相关系数验证了重测可靠性。辨别能力通过使用t检验的组间分数比较来验证。使用Pearson或Spearman相关系数测试SSTD评分与疼痛变量之间的关联。SSTD评分的重测信度在无症状组是优秀的(ICC>0.9,CI:0.79-0.96),在FMS组是良好的(ICC:0.81,95%CI:0.62-0.91)。FMS84.1(71-88)和无症状91.6(83.4-96.1)组之间的SSTD评分中位数(Q1-Q3)测试会话SSTD评分差异显着(p<0.001)。只有疼痛持续时间与SSTD评分相关。总之,新的SSTD测试对于FMS患者来说似乎是可靠的,并且是有区别的。进一步的研究应检查其对变化的敏感性以及与其他SSTD测试的相关性。
    We assessed the test-retest reliability and discriminative ability of a somatosensory temporal discrimination (SSTD) assessment tool for fibromyalgia syndrome (FMS) and determined if pain-related variables were associated with SSTD performance. Twenty-five women with FMS and twenty-five asymptomatic women were assessed during two sessions 7 to 10 days apart. The proportion of correct responses (range 0-100) was calculated. Sociodemographic information was collected for both groups. The participants with FMS also completed the widespread pain index and the Brief Pain Inventory. Test-retest reliability was verified by calculating intraclass correlation coefficients. Discriminative ability was verified by a between-group comparison of scores using a t-test. Associations between SSTD score and pain variables were tested using Pearson or Spearman correlation coefficients. The test-retest reliability of the SSTD score was excellent (ICC > 0.9, CI: 0.79-0.96) for the asymptomatic group and good for the FMS group (ICC: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.62-0.91). The median (Q1-Q3) test session SSTD score differed significantly between the FMS 84.1 (71-88) and the asymptomatic 91.6 (83.4-96.1) groups (p < 0.001). Only pain duration was associated with the SSTD score. In conclusion, the new SSTD test seems reliable for people with FMS and is discriminative. Further studies should examine its sensitivity to change and correlations with other SSTD tests.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:构建融合特征降维技术和人工神经网络分类器的机器学习诊断模型,开发临床血常规指标对卵巢癌辅助诊断的价值。
    方法:收集我院明确诊断为卵巢癌的患者作为病例组(n=185)。和三组其他恶性耳鼻咽喉肿瘤患者(n=138),良性耳鼻咽喉疾病患者(n=339)和体检正常的患者(n=92)作为整体对照组。在本文中,为了提高肿瘤分割结果的可重复性,同时有效减轻放射科医师的负担,提出了一种全自动化的卵巢癌磁共振图像分割网络.使用预先训练的ResNet50对三个边缘输出模块进行融合以获得最终的分割结果。将所提出的网络架构的分割结果与基于U-net的网络架构的分割结果进行比较,并分析了不同损失函数和感兴趣区域大小对所提出网络分割性能的影响。
    结果:平均骰子相似系数,平均灵敏度,提出的网络分割结果的平均特异性(specificity)和平均Hausdorff距离达到83.62%,89.11%,分别为96.37%和8.50%,优于基于U网的分割方法。对于含有肿瘤组织的ROI,尺寸越小,分割效果越好。几个损失函数差别不大。机器学习诊断模型的ROC曲线下面积达到0.948,敏感性为91.9%,特异性为86.9%,其诊断效能明显优于传统的单独检测CA125的方法。该模型能够准确诊断不同疾病阶段的卵巢癌,并在所有三个对照亚组中对卵巢癌表现出一定的辨别能力。
    结论:使用机器学习整合多项常规检测指标可有效提高卵巢癌的诊断效能,为卵巢癌的智能辅助诊断提供了新的思路。
    OBJECTIVE: To construct a machine learning diagnostic model integrating feature dimensionality reduction techniques and artificial neural network classifiers to develop the value of clinical routine blood indexes for the auxiliary diagnosis of ovarian cancer.
    METHODS: Patients with ovarian cancer clearly diagnosed in our hospital were collected as a case group (n = 185), and three groups of patients with other malignant otolaryngology tumors (n = 138), patients with benign otolaryngology diseases (n = 339) and those with normal physical examination (n = 92) were used as an overall control group. In this paper, a fully automated segmentation network for magnetic resonance images of ovarian cancer is proposed to improve the reproducibility of tumor segmentation results while effectively reducing the burden on radiologists. A pre-trained Res Net50 is used to the three edge output modules are fused to obtain the final segmentation results. The segmentation results of the proposed network architecture are compared with the segmentation results of the U-net based network architecture and the effect of different loss functions and region of interest sizes on the segmentation performance of the proposed network is analyzed.
    RESULTS: The average Dice similarity coefficient, average sensitivity, average specificity (specificity) and average hausdorff distance of the proposed network segmentation results reached 83.62%, 89.11%, 96.37% and 8.50, respectively, which were better than the U-net based segmentation method. For ROIs containing tumor tissue, the smaller the size, the better the segmentation effect. Several loss functions do not differ much. The area under the ROC curve of the machine learning diagnostic model reached 0.948, with a sensitivity of 91.9% and a specificity of 86.9%, and its diagnostic efficacy was significantly better than that of the traditional way of detecting CA125 alone. The model was able to accurately diagnose ovarian cancer of different disease stages and showed certain discriminative ability for ovarian cancer in all three control subgroups.
    CONCLUSIONS: Using machine learning to integrate multiple conventional test indicators can effectively improve the diagnostic efficacy of ovarian cancer, which provides a new idea for the intelligent auxiliary diagnosis of ovarian cancer.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:足月出生小于胎龄(SGA)会增加不良健康结局的风险。我们检查了足月出生的SGA和非SGA成年人之间自我报告的心理健康是否存在差异,并可用于筛查精神病诊断。
    方法:我们使用优势和困难问卷收集了68名SGA出生的参与者和88名非SGA对照组的数据,平均年龄为26.5岁。通过线性回归分析组间差异。我们计算了曲线下的面积和灵敏度,精神病诊断的特异性和预测值。
    结果:出生SGA的参与者的平均总困难评分高1.9分(95%置信区间0.4-3.5分)。他们还报告了更多的内化和情绪问题(p<0.05)。SGA组和对照组曲线下面积分别为0.82和0.68,分别。在SGA出生的参与者中,第90百分位数截止值的敏感性为0.38,特异性为0.93,阳性和阴性预测值为0.75和0.71.第80百分位数截断值具有较高的灵敏度和较低的特异性。
    结论:出生SGA的成年人比非SGA对照组报告了更多的心理健康困难。使用第90百分位数截止值的低灵敏度表明应考虑较低的截止值。
    Being born small for gestational age (SGA) at term increases the risk of adverse health outcomes. We examined whether self-reported mental health differed between adults born SGA and non-SGA at term and could be used to screen for psychiatric diagnoses.
    We used the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire to gather data from 68 participants born SGA and 88 non-SGA controls at a mean age of 26.5 years. Group differences were analysed by linear regression. We calculated the area under the curve and the sensitivity, specificity and predictive values for psychiatric diagnoses.
    The mean total difficulties score was 1.9 (95% confidence interval 0.4-3.5) points higher for participants born SGA. They also reported more internalising and emotional problems (p < 0.05). The areas under the curve were 0.82 and 0.68 in the SGA and control groups, respectively. Among participants born SGA, the 90th percentile cut-off had a sensitivity of 0.38, a specificity of 0.93 and positive and negative predictive values of 0.75 and 0.71. The 80th percentile cut-off had higher sensitivity and lower specificity.
    Adults born SGA reported more mental health difficulties than non-SGA controls. The low sensitivity using the 90th percentile cut-off suggests that a lower cut-off should be considered.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预后营养指数(PNI)被广泛认为是营养筛查工具。我们回顾性检查了PNI对慢性肝病患者的影响(CLD,n=319,中位年龄=71岁,153例肝细胞癌(HCC)患者)作为一项观察性研究。还检查了与PNI<40相关的因素。PNI与白蛋白-胆红素(ALBI)评分和ALBI等级密切相关。PNI≥40(n=225)和PNI<40(n=94)患者的1年累积总生存率分别为93.2%和65.5%,分别(p<0.0001)。在有(p<0.0001)和无(p<0.0001)HCC的患者中,发现了类似的趋势。在多变量分析中,血红蛋白(p=0.00178),肝癌的存在(p=0.0426),ALBI评分(p<0.0001)是与PNI<40相关的独立因素。基于PNI的存活的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析产生0.79的ROC曲线下面积,灵敏度为0.80,特异性为0.70,最佳截止点为42.35。总之,PNI可以预测CLD患者的营养状况。<40的PNI可用于预测CLD患者的预后。
    The Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) is widely recognized as a screening tool for nutrition. We retrospectively examined the impact of PNI in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD, n = 319, median age = 71 years, 153 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients) as an observational study. Factors associated with PNI < 40 were also examined. The PNI correlated well with the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and ALBI grade. The 1-year cumulative overall survival rates in patients with PNI ≥ 40 (n = 225) and PNI < 40 (n = 94) were 93.2% and 65.5%, respectively (p < 0.0001). In patients with (p < 0.0001) and without (p < 0.0001) HCC, similar tendencies were found. In the multivariate analysis, hemoglobin (p = 0.00178), the presence of HCC (p = 0.0426), and ALBI score (p < 0.0001) were independent factors linked to PNI < 40. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis based on survival for the PNI yielded an area under the ROC curve of 0.79, with sensitivity of 0.80, specificity of 0.70, and an optimal cutoff point of 42.35. In conclusion, PNI can be a predictor of nutritional status in CLD patients. A PNI of <40 can be useful in predicting the prognosis of patients with CLD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    SARC-F是一种公认的肌少症筛查工具。据报道,1点的SARC-F值在识别肌肉减少症中比4点(推荐的截止点)更具鉴别力。研究了SARC-F评分对肝病患者预后的影响(LD,n=269,中位年龄=71岁,96例肝细胞癌(HCC)。还检查了与SARC-F≥4分和SARC-F≥1分相关的因素。在多变量分析中,年龄(p=0.048),老年营养风险指数(GNRI)评分(p=0.0365)是与SARC-F≥1分相关的重要因素。在我们的LD患者中,SARC-F评分与GNRI评分有很好的相关性.SARC-F≥1(n=159)和SARC-F0(n=110)患者的1年累积总生存率分别为78.3%和90.1%(p=0.0181)。排除96例HCC病例后,发现了相似的趋势(p=0.0289).在基于SARC-F评分预后的受试者工作曲线(ROC)分析中,ROC下的面积为0.60。敏感度为0.57,特异度为0.62,SARC-F评分的最佳截止点为1。总之,LDs中的肌肉减少症可能受到营养条件的影响。SARC-F评分≥1分比4分更有助于预测LD患者的预后。
    SARC-F is a well-accepted screening tool for sarcopenia. A SARC-F value of 1 point is reported to be more discriminating in identifying sarcopenia than 4 points (recommended cutoff point). The prognostic impact of the SARC-F score was investigated in patients with liver disease (LD, n = 269, median age = 71 years, 96 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases). Factors associated with SARC-F ≥ 4 points and SARC-F ≥ 1 point were also examined. In the multivariate analysis, age (p = 0.048), and Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) score (p = 0.0365) were significant factors linked to SARC-F ≥ 1 point. In our patients with LD, the SARC-F score is well correlated with the GNRI score. The 1-year cumulative overall survival ratio in patients with SARC-F ≥ 1 (n = 159) and SARC-F 0 (n = 110) was 78.3% and 90.1% (p = 0.0181). After excluding 96 HCC cases, similar tendencies were found (p = 0.0289). In the receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis based on the prognosis for the SARC-F score, the area under the ROC was 0.60. The sensitivity was 0.57, the specificity was 0.62, and the optimal cutoff point of the SARC-F score was 1. In conclusion, sarcopenia in LDs can be affected by nutritional conditions. A SARC-F score of ≥1 is more useful than a score of 4 in predicting the prognosis of patients with LD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    关于哮喘控制水平和生活质量的研究对于哮喘儿童在其生长阶段至关重要。因此,有必要编制一份可用于监测和评估中国哮喘患儿疾病控制效果和生活质量的问卷,并对其可靠性进行初步评估,有效性,和辨别能力。
    问卷是通过文献综述和针对目标人群的定性访谈创建的。在之前的工作基础上,30名哮喘儿童的看护人和5名经验丰富的儿科医生回顾并讨论了一系列项目。然后,对72个项目进行筛选,形成问卷草案。经过三轮调查(240、503和360名参与者,分别),根据评价结果建立最终问卷。通过验证性因素分析探讨了问卷的结构。在前两轮调查的基础上,采用探索性因素分析和变异性分析。可靠性,构造效度,并在第三轮调查的基础上对判别能力进行了评价。
    问卷包含6个维度和34个项目,总累积方差贡献率为54.96%;Cronbach'sα系数为0.91;分半信度系数为0.75,重测信度系数为0.74。孩子们的年龄,性别,residence,过去三个月哮喘发作,护理人员的教育背景,每名护理人员的月收入与患者报告的哮喘患儿结局相关.
    问卷似乎具有良好的可靠性,构造效度,中国哮喘患儿的辨别能力。
    UNASSIGNED: Research on asthma control levels and quality of life is essential for children with asthma during their growth stage. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a questionnaire that can be used for monitoring and evaluating the disease control effectiveness and quality of life of children with asthma in China and to conduct a preliminary evaluation for its reliability, validity, and discriminative ability.
    UNASSIGNED: The questionnaire was created through a literature review and qualitative interviews for a targeted population. Based on the previous work, 30 caregivers of children with asthma and 5 experienced pediatricians reviewed and discussed a collection of items. Then, 72 items were screened and selected to form the draft questionnaire. After three rounds of investigation (with 240, 503, and 360 participants, respectively), the final questionnaire was established according to the evaluation results. The structure of the questionnaire was explored through confirmatory factor analysis. Exploratory factor analysis and variability analysis were applied based on the first two rounds of investigation. Reliability, construct validity, and discriminative ability were evaluated based on the third round of investigation.
    UNASSIGNED: The questionnaire contains 6 dimensions and 34 items, and the total cumulative variance contribution rate was 54.96%; Cronbach\'s α coefficient was 0.91; the split-half reliability coefficient was 0.75, and the test-retest reliability coefficient was 0.74. The children\'s age, gender, residence, asthma attack in the last three months, caregivers\' education background, and monthly income per caregiver were correlated with patient-reported outcomes of children with asthma.
    UNASSIGNED: The questionnaire appeared to have good reliability, construct validity, and discriminative ability in children with asthma in China.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经评估:据报道,坐姿(STS)测试是评估功能适应性的可行替代方法,但尚未报道这些测试在冠心病(CAD)患者中的可靠性。本研究探讨了重测可靠性,五次的收敛和已知群体有效性,30秒和1分钟静坐试验(FTSTS试验,CAD患者分别进行30-sSTS测试和1-minSTS测试)。还研究了应用这些测试来区分CAD患者心血管事件风险水平的可行性。
    UNASSIGNED:稳定型CAD患者在同一天以随机顺序进行了6MWT和3STS测试。使用STS测试数据进行受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析,以根据6MWT覆盖的距离>或≤419m确定的风险水平来区分心血管事件的低或高风险患者。第二天,30名患者重复了3次STS测试。
    未经评估:112名诊断为动脉粥样硬化或经皮冠状动脉介入治疗后的受试者,或急性心肌梗死后(AMI后)参加了有效性分析。所有3个STS测试均显示与6MWT具有中等和显着的相关性(FTSTS的系数值r,30-sSTS和1-minSTS测试分别为-0.53、0.57和0.55)。左心室射血分数(LVEF)与所有STS测试之间以及6MWT与LVEF之间的相关性较弱(r值范围为0.27至0.31)。亚组分析显示,与非心肌梗死(非MI)组相比,AMI后组中的参与者在所有测试中的表现均较差。FTSTS的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.80(灵敏度:75.0%,特异性:73.8%,最佳截止:>11.7秒),和AUC,灵敏度,30-sSTS和1-minSTS检验的特异性和最佳临界值分别为0.83、75.0%,76.2%,≤12次重复和0.80,71.4%,73.8%,分别≤23次重复。FTSTS重复测量的组内相关系数(ICC),30-sSTS和1-minSTS测试分别为0.96、0.95和0.96,最小可检测变化(MDC95)计算为1.1秒,分别为1.8次重复和3.9次重复。
    未经评估:所有STS测试均表现出良好的测试-重测可靠性,收敛和已知群体有效性。STS测试可以区分冠心病患者心血管事件的低风险和高风险。
    UNASSIGNED: Sit-To-Stand (STS) tests are reported as feasible alternatives for the assessment of functional fitness but the reliability of these tests in people with coronary artery disease (CAD) has not been reported. This study explored the test-retest reliability, convergent and known-groups validity of the five times, 30-sec and 1-min sit-to-stand test (FTSTS test, 30-s STS test and 1-min STS test respectively) in patients with CAD. The feasibility of applying these tests to distinguish the level of risk for cardiovascular events in CAD patients was also investigated.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with stable CAD performed a 6MWT and 3 STS tests in random order on the same day. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were conducted using STS test data to differentiate patients with low or high risk of cardiovascular events based on the risk level determined by distance covered in the 6MWT as > or ≤ 419 m. Thirty patients repeated the 3 STS tests on the following day.
    UNASSIGNED: 112 subjects with diagnoses of atherosclerosis or post-percutaneous coronary intervention, or post-acute myocardial infarction (post-AMI) participated in the validity analysis. All 3 STS tests demonstrated moderate and significant correlation with the 6MWT (coefficient values r for the FTSTS, 30-s STS and 1-min STS tests were-0.53, 0.57 and 0.55 respectively). Correlations between left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and all STS tests and between 6MWT and LVEF were only weak (r values ranged from 0.27 to 0.31). Subgroup analysis showed participants in the post-AMI group performed worse in all tests compared to non-myocardial infarction (non-MI) group. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.80 for FTSTS (sensitivity: 75.0%, specificity: 73.8%, optimal cut-off: >11.7 sec), and the AUC, sensitivity, specificity and optimal cut-off for 30-s STS and 1-min STS test were 0.83, 75.0%, 76.2%, ≤ 12 repetitions and 0.80, 71.4%, 73.8%, ≤ 23 repetitions respectively. The intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) for repeated measurements of the FTSTS, 30-s STS and 1-min STS tests were 0.96, 0.95 and 0.96 respectively, with the minimal detectable change (MDC95) computed to be 1.1 sec 1.8 repetitions and 3.9 repetitions respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: All STS tests demonstrated good test-retest reliability, convergent and known-groups validity. STS tests may discriminate low from high levels of risk for a cardiovascular event in patients with CAD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED:运动里程碑的延迟实现可能是运动困难的早期指标。家长报告的问卷可以作为一种有效的,低成本筛查,以确定需要进一步临床评估的婴儿,因此,在繁忙的医疗保健中心是一个有用的工具。
    未经评估:为了检查年龄和阶段问卷的能力,第二版(ASQ-2),以婴儿运动概况(IMP)作为参考标准来指示婴儿的运动困难。
    UNASSIGNED:应用横断面设计来检查ASQ-2的父母报告数据与使用IMP的物理治疗师评估数据之间的相关性。包括432名主要来自初级保健的3-12个月低风险婴儿。
    未经评估:总的来说,ASQ-2总体和精细运动评分与IMP总分或域评分没有很好的相关性。ASQ-2总运动切点(低于平均值>2SD),使用IMP性能域的第15百分位数作为参考标准,显示出34.3%的敏感性和96.7%的特异性。表明运动困难的阳性预测值为48%。
    UNASSIGNED:ASQ-2的运动域识别有运动困难的婴儿的能力较差,如他们在低风险婴儿中的IMP评分所示。
    UNASSIGNED: Delayed achievement of motor milestones may be an early indicator of motor difficulties. Parent-reported questionnaires may serve as an efficient, low-cost screening to identify infants in need of further clinical assessment, and thus be a helpful tool in busy health care centers.
    UNASSIGNED: To examine the ability of the Ages and Stages Questionnaire, second edition (ASQ-2) to indicate motor difficulties in infants using the Infant Motor Profile (IMP) as the reference standard.
    UNASSIGNED: A cross-sectional design was applied to examine the correlation between parent-reported data of the ASQ-2 and data from physiotherapist assessment using IMP. Included were 432 mainly low-risk infants aged 3-12 months from primary care.
    UNASSIGNED: Overall, ASQ-2 gross and fine motor scores did not correlate well with the IMP total or domain scores. The ASQ-2 gross motor cut point (> 2SD below the mean), showed 34.3% sensitivity and 96.7% specificity using the 15th percentile from IMP performance domain as reference standard. The positive predictive value to indicate motor difficulties was 48%.
    UNASSIGNED: The motor domains of ASQ-2 have poor ability to identify infants with motor difficulties as indicated by their IMP scores in low-risk infants.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:跌倒风险评估很复杂。根据目前的科学证据,多因素方法,包括对物理性能的分析,步态参数,以及外在和内在的风险因素,强烈推荐。基于智能手机的应用程序旨在评估个人跌倒风险,并使用先前列出的决定因素将多个跌倒风险因素结合到一个综合指标中。
    目的:本研究对设计的跌倒风险评分进行了描述性评估,并根据实际数据对应用程序的辨别能力进行了分析。
    方法:回顾性分析242名老年人的匿名数据。数据是在2018年6月至2019年5月之间使用跌倒风险评估应用程序收集的。首先,我们提供了基础数据集的描述性统计分析.随后,多学习模型(Logistic回归,高斯朴素贝叶斯,梯度提升,支持向量分类,和随机森林回归)在数据集上进行训练,以获得最佳决策边界。受试者工作曲线及其相应的曲线下面积(AUC)和灵敏度是用于评估跌倒风险评分区分跌倒者和非跌倒者能力的主要性能指标。为了完整起见,特异性,精度,并为每个模型提供了总体准确性。
    结果:在242名平均年龄为84.6岁(SD6.7)的参与者中,139(57.4%)报告之前没有下跌(非下跌),而103(42.5%)报告了先前的下跌(下跌)。平均跌倒风险为29.5点(SD12.4)。Logistic回归模型的性能指标为AUC=0.9,灵敏度=100%,特异性=52%,准确度=73%。高斯朴素贝叶斯模型的性能指标为AUC=0.9,灵敏度=100%,特异性=52%,准确度=73%。梯度提升模型的性能指标为AUC=0.85,灵敏度=88%,特异性=62%,准确度=73%。支持向量分类模型的性能指标为AUC=0.84,灵敏度=88%,特异性=67%,准确度=76%。随机森林模型的性能指标为AUC=0.84,灵敏度=88%,特异性=57%,准确率=70%。
    结论:提供数据集的描述性统计作为比较和参考值。跌倒风险评分表现出很高的辨别能力,可以区分跌倒者和非跌倒者,与评估的学习模型无关。这些模型的平均AUC为0.86,平均灵敏度为93%,平均特异性为58%。平均总体准确率为73%。因此,跌倒风险应用程序有可能支持看护者轻松进行有效的跌倒风险评估。跌倒风险评分的前瞻性准确性将在前瞻性试验中得到进一步验证。
    BACKGROUND: Fall-risk assessment is complex. Based on current scientific evidence, a multifactorial approach, including the analysis of physical performance, gait parameters, and both extrinsic and intrinsic risk factors, is highly recommended. A smartphone-based app was designed to assess the individual risk of falling with a score that combines multiple fall-risk factors into one comprehensive metric using the previously listed determinants.
    OBJECTIVE: This study provides a descriptive evaluation of the designed fall-risk score as well as an analysis of the app\'s discriminative ability based on real-world data.
    METHODS: Anonymous data from 242 seniors was analyzed retrospectively. Data was collected between June 2018 and May 2019 using the fall-risk assessment app. First, we provided a descriptive statistical analysis of the underlying dataset. Subsequently, multiple learning models (Logistic Regression, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Classification, and Random Forest Regression) were trained on the dataset to obtain optimal decision boundaries. The receiver operating curve with its corresponding area under the curve (AUC) and sensitivity were the primary performance metrics utilized to assess the fall-risk score\'s ability to discriminate fallers from nonfallers. For the sake of completeness, specificity, precision, and overall accuracy were also provided for each model.
    RESULTS: Out of 242 participants with a mean age of 84.6 years old (SD 6.7), 139 (57.4%) reported no previous falls (nonfaller), while 103 (42.5%) reported a previous fall (faller). The average fall risk was 29.5 points (SD 12.4). The performance metrics for the Logistic Regression Model were AUC=0.9, sensitivity=100%, specificity=52%, and accuracy=73%. The performance metrics for the Gaussian Naive Bayes Model were AUC=0.9, sensitivity=100%, specificity=52%, and accuracy=73%. The performance metrics for the Gradient Boosting Model were AUC=0.85, sensitivity=88%, specificity=62%, and accuracy=73%. The performance metrics for the Support Vector Classification Model were AUC=0.84, sensitivity=88%, specificity=67%, and accuracy=76%. The performance metrics for the Random Forest Model were AUC=0.84, sensitivity=88%, specificity=57%, and accuracy=70%.
    CONCLUSIONS: Descriptive statistics for the dataset were provided as comparison and reference values. The fall-risk score exhibited a high discriminative ability to distinguish fallers from nonfallers, irrespective of the learning model evaluated. The models had an average AUC of 0.86, an average sensitivity of 93%, and an average specificity of 58%. Average overall accuracy was 73%. Thus, the fall-risk app has the potential to support caretakers in easily conducting a valid fall-risk assessment. The fall-risk score\'s prospective accuracy will be further validated in a prospective trial.
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