detection probability

检测概率
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The soft tick Ornithodoros turicata Duges (Acari: Argasidae) is a potential vector of African swine fever virus (ASFV). We evaluated the efficacy of two methods to collect soft ticks rapidly and efficiently from gopher tortoise (Gopherus polyphemus) burrows, which are ubiquitous throughout large regions of the southeastern United States and their burrows are a known microhabitat of O. turicata. Burrow vacuuming was an effective and efficient tick collection method; no tick was captured employing CO2 trapping. Using an occupancy modelling framework, we estimated that the probability of detecting ticks from an infested burrow each time a sample was taken with this method was 58% and increased with the average relative humidity. With the occupancy model, we estimated that 70% of the burrows in the study area were infested with O. turicata. Manual sifting of the burrow material yielded more ticks (6.6 individuals/sample) than using a set of three sieves (2.9 individuals/sample), yet the probability of detecting the species was not different between the two methods (Pval = 0.7). These methods can inform the development of ASF vector surveillance and outbreak response plans in areas of high risk for ASFV introduction in the region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Monitoring programs are pivotal to establishing sound management. Due to economic, logistic, and time limitations, monitoring programs often overlook differences among life-history stages. However, species occurrence does not necessarily mean population viability, and it is unclear to what extent monitoring programs that do not consider separately adult presence and reproduction provide effective management indications. Unfortunately, collecting data on certain life stages requires high sampling effort, leading to a trade-off between model reliability and resources needed for monitoring. We collected data on presence and reproduction of amphibians by monitoring 207 waterbodies in Lombardy (northern Italy) in 2017-2022. We then used multistate occupancy models to test whether certain environmental features, namely, pond area, hydroperiod, forest cover, shade, aquatic vegetation, and predators\' presence, differentially affected adult occurrence and breeding probabilities of multiple amphibian species. To assess optimal sampling efforts, we modeled the detection probabilities of adults and reproduction across multiple species. Finally, we identified the optimal monitoring strategy under different scenarios of resource availability, comparing adult-only monitoring versus joint assessment of the occurrence of adults and reproduction. In many cases, the main drivers of adult occurrence and reproduction did not coincide because most investigated ecological variables affected one life stage or the other. Forest area, for instance, increased occurrence probabilities of adults of the endemic Rana latastei but showed no effect on their reproduction probabilities. Quantitative estimates of the sampling effort showed that occurrence of adults was easier to spot in 4 out of 7 species. Multicriteria decision analyses showed that when resources were scarce, monitoring adults was the optimal strategy for those 4 species. Conversely, with more resources, monitoring both adults and reproduction emerged as the best strategy for all the considered species. Integrated monitoring of adults and reproduction is essential to comprehensively identify effective conservation measures for amphibians.
    Integración de datos de presencia adulta y de reproducción para identificar medidas de conservación para los anfibios Resumen Los programas de monitoreo son fundamentales para establecer una gestión adecuada. Debido a limitaciones económicas, logísticas y de tiempo, los programas de seguimiento suelen pasar por alto las diferencias entre las distintas fases del ciclo de vida. Sin embargo, la presencia de especies no significa necesariamente la viabilidad de la población, y no está claro hasta qué punto los programas de seguimiento que no consideran por separado la presencia de adultos y la reproducción proporcionan indicaciones eficaces para la gestión. Desgraciadamente, la recolección de datos sobre etapas determinadas del ciclo de vida requiere un gran esfuerzo de muestreo, lo que lleva a un compromiso entre la fiabilidad del modelo y los recursos necesarios para el seguimiento. Recopilamos datos sobre la presencia y reproducción de anfibios mediante el monitoreo de 207 cuerpos de agua en Lombardía (norte de Italia) entre 2017 y 2022. Después utilizamos modelos de ocupación multiestado para comprobar si determinadas características ambientales (superficie de los estanques, hidroperiodo, cubierta forestal, sombra, vegetación acuática y presencia de depredadores) afectaban de forma diferencial la presencia de adultos y a las probabilidades de reproducción de múltiples especies de anfibios. Para evaluar los esfuerzos de muestreo óptimos, modelamos las probabilidades de detección de adultos y reproducción de múltiples especies. Por último, identificamos la estrategia de seguimiento óptima en diferentes escenarios de disponibilidad de recursos y comparamos el seguimiento exclusivo de adultos frente a la evaluación conjunta de la presencia de adultos y reproducción. En muchos casos, los principales factores en la presencia de adultos y en la reproducción no coincidían, ya que la mayoría de las variables ecológicas investigadas afectaban a una u otra etapa del ciclo. La cubierta forestal, por ejemplo, aumentó la probabilidad de presencia de adultos de la especie endémica Rana latastei pero no mostraron un efecto sobre su probabilidad de reproducción. Las estimaciones cuantitativas del esfuerzo de muestreo mostraron que la presencia de adultos era más fácil de detectar en cuatro de las siete especies. Los análisis de decisión multicriterio mostraron que, cuando los recursos eran escasos, el seguimiento de los adultos era la estrategia óptima para esas cuatro especies. Por el contrario, con más recursos, el seguimiento tanto de los adultos como de la reproducción resultó ser la mejor estrategia para todas las especies consideradas. El seguimiento integrado de los adultos y la reproducción es esencial para identificar de forma exhaustiva medidas de conservación eficaces para los anfibios.
    【摘要】 监测计划对于建立健全的管理制度至关重要。由于经济、后勤和时间等方面的限制, 监测计划往往忽略了生物不同生活史阶段之间的差异。然而, 物种出现并不一定意味着种群具有生存力, 因此目前还不清楚那些不单独考虑成体存在和繁殖的监测计划能在多大程度上提供有效的管理依据。遗憾的是, 收集某些生活史阶段的数据需要很大的取样工作量, 这就需要在模型可靠性和监测所需资源之间进行权衡。本研究通过2017‐2022年间对伦巴第(意大利北部)207个水体的监测, 收集了两栖动物的存在与繁殖数据。我们利用多状态占域模型检验了特定环境特征(即池塘面积、水文周期、森林覆盖率、遮荫度、水生植被和捕食者的存在)是否会对多种两栖动物的成体出现概率和繁殖概率产生不同影响。为了评估最佳取样力度, 我们建立了多个物种的成体出现和繁殖监测概率的模型。最后, 我们确定了不同资源可用性情景下的最佳监测策略, 比较了仅监测成体与综合评估成体出现和繁殖的情况。在许多情况下, 成体出现和繁殖的主要驱动因素并不一致, 因为大多数调查的生态变量仅会影响生活史的一个阶段。例如, 森林面积增加了特有种拉塔斯蛙(Rana latastei)的成体出现概率, 但对其繁殖概率没有影响。对取样力度的定量估计显示, 在七个物种中, 有四个物种的成体更容易被发现。多标准决策分析结果表明, 在资源稀缺的情况下, 监测成体是这四个物种的最佳监测策略。相反, 在资源较多的情况下, 同时监测成体和繁殖情况是对所有研究物种最佳的策略。我们提出, 整合成体出现和繁殖情况的监测对于全面确定两栖动物的有效保护措施至关重要。【翻译:胡怡思;审校:聂永刚】.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这篇评论批评了方法论,对结果的解释,以及Jarčuška等人的一项研究的更广泛含义。(2024)。我们认为,该研究的设计和分析未能最终证明太阳能公园与鸟类多样性或群落组成之间的任何因果关系。此外,只关注物种多样性和群落组成,这项研究忽略了功能多样性和功能结构的社区在评估太阳能公园对农业生态系统的生态影响的重要性。通过揭露这些缺点,并为未来的研究推荐完善的方法,我们的目标是确保进行有力和翔实的研究,以指导保护和所有利益相关者的平衡决策。
    This commentary critiques the methodology, interpretation of results, and broader implications of a study by Jarčuška et al. (2024). We argue that the study\'s design and analysis fail to conclusively demonstrate any causal link between solar parks and bird diversity or community composition. Furthermore, focusing solely on species diversity and community composition, the study overlooks the importance of functional diversity and functional structure of communities in assessing the ecological impacts of solar parks on agricultural ecosystems. By exposing these shortcomings and recommending well-established methods for future research, we aim to ensure robust and informative studies that guide balanced decision-making for conservation and all stakeholders.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    量化替代抽样方法的成本效益对于有效监测生物多样性和检测人口趋势至关重要。在这项研究中,我们比较了三种新颖的采样方法的成本效益,用于检测考拉(Phascolarctoscinereus)占有率的变化:热无人机,被动录音机和相机捕获。具体来说,我们将单季节入住率检测模型拟合到新南威尔士州八个生物区46个地点记录的数据,澳大利亚,2018年至2022年。我们探索了天气变量对每种方法的每日检测概率的影响,使用这些估计,计算出检测30%的统计能力,考拉入住率下降了50%和80%。我们计算了站点(1-200)和重复调查(2-40)的不同组合的功率,并开发了一个成本模型,该模型发现了最便宜的调查设计,可实现80%的检测变化的能力。平均而言,与25公顷的无人机调查飞行(0.28,95%0.15,0.48)或24小时由6台摄像机组成的摄像机捕捉(0.019,95%CI:0.014,0.025)相比,考拉在24小时的声学调查(0.32,95%CI:0.26,0.39)中的可探测性最高。我们发现了所有三种方法的检测概率与气温之间的负二次关系。我们的电力和成本分析表明,对148个地点进行了14天的声学记录仪的调查,这将是最便宜的方法,可以充分检测到80%电力的占用率下降30%。与摄像机或无人机相比,我们建议将被动声音记录器作为监测考拉占用情况的最有效采样方法。当监测目标是检测考拉丰度随时间的变化时,需要进一步的比较研究来比较这些方法和其他方法的相对有效性。
    Quantifying the cost-effectiveness of alternative sampling methods is crucial for efficient biodiversity monitoring and detection of population trends. In this study, we compared the cost-effectiveness of three novel sampling methods for detecting changes in koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) occupancy: thermal drones, passive acoustic recorders and camera trapping. Specifically, we fitted single-season occupancy-detection models to data recorded from 46 sites in eight bioregions of New South Wales, Australia, between 2018 and 2022. We explored the effect of weather variables on daily detection probability for each method and, using these estimates, calculated the statistical power to detect 30%, 50% and 80% declines in koala occupancy. We calculated power for different combinations of sites (1-200) and repeat surveys (2-40) and developed a cost model that found the cheapest survey design that achieved 80% power to detect change. On average, detectability of koalas was highest with one 24-h period of acoustic surveys (0.32, 95% CI\'s: 0.26, 0.39) compared to a 25-ha flight of drone surveys (0.28, 95% 0.15, 0.48) or a 24-h period of camera trapping consisting of six cameras (0.019, 95% CI\'s: 0.014, 0.025). We found a negative quadratic relationship between detection probability and air temperature for all three methods. Our power and cost analysis suggested that 148 sites surveyed with acoustic recorders deployed for 14 days would be the cheapest method to sufficiently detect a 30% decline in occupancy with 80% power. We recommend passive acoustic recorders as the most efficient sampling method for monitoring koala occupancy compared to cameras or drones. Further comparative studies are needed to compare the relative effectiveness of these methods and others when the monitoring objective is to detect change in koala abundance over time.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    森林覆盖率的扩大和农业的集约化是对丛林板球Sagapedo的主要威胁,目前被世界自然保护联盟列为全球弱势群体,并被列入《欧洲联盟生境指令》附件四。由于其丰度低和局部分布,因此收集有关其生态和种群规模的信息具有挑战性。此外,该物种的难以捉摸和隐秘的行为降低了其检测的可能性,可能导致人口低估。因此,在这项研究中,我们的目标是(1)估计S.pedo种群数量与环境变量和猎物可用性的关系;(2)预测我们研究区域中S.pedo的丰度,以便将来在附近地区进行监测。我们发现,在我们的研究区域中,S.pedo的种群由197(±115)个个体组成,检测概率为21.01%(±11.09)。S.pedo的检测概率在大风天进一步降低。此外,我们发现调查的S.pedo种群占据次优区域,这不仅突出了预测的丰度,而且突出了S.pedo和其他直翅目亚科之间的关联,这些亚科在生态学上与我们的目标物种非常遥远,并且主要与嗜温生物群落有关。我们观察到的大多数个体都完全集中在木质基质中的小空隙中,因此彼此隔离。根据我们的结果,森林向开阔草地的扩张可能是对这些人口的主要威胁,将空地和干燥草甸(S.pedo与之相连)转化为小而零散的斑块,这些斑块是次优的,不足以容纳可行的种群。
    The expansion of forest cover and intensification of agriculture represent the main threats to the bush cricket Saga pedo, currently listed as Vulnerable globally by the IUCN and included in Annex IV of the European Union Habitats Directive. Gathering information on its ecology and population size is challenging due to its low abundance and localized distribution. Additionally, the elusive and cryptic behavior of this species reduces the likelihood of its detection, potentially resulting in population underestimations. Thus, in this study, we aimed to (1) estimate S. pedo population size in relation to environmental variables and prey availability and (2) predict abundance of S. pedo in our study area for future monitoring in nearby territories. We found that the population of S. pedo in our study area consists of 197 (±115) individuals with a detection probability of 21.01% (±11.09). Detection probability of S. pedo further decreases on windy days. Moreover, we found that the investigated population of S. pedo occupies suboptimal areas, as highlighted not only by the predicted abundances but also by the association between S. pedo and other subfamilies of orthoptera that are ecologically very distant from our target species and mostly linked to mesophilic biotopes. Most of the individuals we observed are concentrated in small clearings completely within wooded matrices and therefore isolated from each other. Based on our results, it is possible that forest expansion toward open meadows represents the main threat to this population, transforming the clearings and xeric meadows (to which S. pedo is linked) into small and fragmented patches that are suboptimal and insufficient to host viable populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Ixodid(硬)蜱具有重要的生态系统作用,并通过蜱传播疾病和寄生引起的生理应激对动物和人类健康产生重大影响。滴答发生,丰度,活动,关键的生活史特征受到宿主可用性的高度影响,天气,小气候,和景观特征。因此,环境的变化会对蜱产生深远的影响,他们的主人,和疾病的传播。研究人员认识到,空间和时间因素会影响活动和丰度,并试图通过在滴答任务期间进行重复采样来解释两者。然而,众所周知,普通场方法低估了丰度,目前尚不清楚tick研究如何(或是否)模拟影响活动和丰度的因素的混杂效应。这一步是关键的,因为检测中的未计差异可能导致发生和丰度的偏倚估计。我们进行了描述性审查,以评估在建模滴答数据时研究在多大程度上考虑了检测过程。我们还对通常用于模拟滴答数据的分析类型进行了分类。我们使用分层模型(HMs)来分析模拟和经验滴答数据,证明当建模过程中不考虑检测概率时,推理是混乱的。我们的评论表明,412篇论文中只有5篇(1%)明确说明了建模tick时检测不完善。通过将HM与用于建模滴答数据的最常见方法进行比较(例如,ANOVA),我们发现,当使用非HMs时,模拟数据和经验数据的人口估计偏差较低,并且由于没有明确建模影响检测和丰度的因素而发生混淆。我们对模拟和经验数据的回顾和分析表明,重要的是要考虑我们使用不完美检测的现场方法检测蜱的能力。不这样做会导致对发生和丰度的偏倚估计,这可能会使我们对寄生虫-宿主关系和蜱传疾病传播的理解复杂化。我们重点介绍了可用于学习HM方法并将其应用于分析滴答数据的资源。
    Ixodid (hard) ticks play important ecosystem roles and have significant impacts on animal and human health via tick-borne diseases and physiological stress from parasitism. Tick occurrence, abundance, activity, and key life-history traits are highly influenced by host availability, weather, microclimate, and landscape features. As such, changes in the environment can have profound impacts on ticks, their hosts, and the spread of diseases. Researchers recognize that spatial and temporal factors influence activity and abundance and attempt to account for both by conducting replicate sampling bouts spread over the tick questing period. However, common field methods notoriously underestimate abundance, and it is unclear how (or if) tick studies model the confounding effects of factors influencing activity and abundance. This step is critical as unaccounted variance in detection can lead to biased estimates of occurrence and abundance. We performed a descriptive review to evaluate the extent to which studies account for the detection process while modeling tick data. We also categorized the types of analyses that are commonly used to model tick data. We used hierarchical models (HMs) that account for imperfect detection to analyze simulated and empirical tick data, demonstrating that inference is muddled when detection probability is not accounted for in the modeling process. Our review indicates that only 5 of 412 (1 %) papers explicitly accounted for imperfect detection while modeling ticks. By comparing HMs with the most common approaches used for modeling tick data (e.g., ANOVA), we show that population estimates are biased low for simulated and empirical data when using non-HMs, and that confounding occurs due to not explicitly modeling factors that influenced both detection and abundance. Our review and analysis of simulated and empirical data shows that it is important to account for our ability to detect ticks using field methods with imperfect detection. Not doing so leads to biased estimates of occurrence and abundance which could complicate our understanding of parasite-host relationships and the spread of tick-borne diseases. We highlight the resources available for learning HM approaches and applying them to analyzing tick data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人口密度和结构对于自然保护和虫害管理至关重要。传统的采样方法,如捕获-标记-重新捕获和捕获-努力,标记,或者移除个人是不可行的。N混合模型使用重复计数数据根据检测概率估计种群丰度。近年来,它们在野生动物调查中被广泛采用,以解释不完善的检测。然而,它在昆虫学中的应用相对较新。在本文中,我们描述了N混合模型在人口研究中从数据收集到模型拟合和评估的一般程序。使用该田间7个地点的28个地块的Delicatula卵质量调查数据,我们发现检测概率(p)与胸高树径(DBH)呈负相关,在第1和第3个样本期之间的范围为0.516[95%CI:0.470-0.561]至0.614[95%CI:0.566-0.660]。此外,卵质量丰度(λ)与样本单位(单树)的基础面积(BA)呈正相关,在天堂树(TOH)树上有更多的卵质量。在TOH地块中,其他物种的树木也有望获得更多的卵质量。TOH地块的预测卵质量密度(质量/100m2)范围为5.0(95%CI:3.0-16.0)(Gordon)至276.9(95%CI:255.0-303.0)(Susquehannock),非TOH地块为11.0(95%CI:9.00-15.33)(戈登)至228.3(95%CI:209.7-248.3)(伯灵顿)。与观察到的最大计数相比,来自N混合物模型的特定站点丰度估计值通常更高。氮混合物模型在未来的农业和林业昆虫种群调查中可能具有巨大的潜力。
    Population density and structure are critical to nature conservation and pest management. Traditional sampling methods such as capture-mark-recapture and catch-effort can\'t be used in situations where catching, marking, or removing individuals are not feasible. N-mixture models use repeated count data to estimate population abundance based on detection probability. They are widely adopted in wildlife surveys in recent years to account for imperfect detection. However, its application in entomology is relatively new. In this paper, we describe the general procedures of N-mixture models in population studies from data collection to model fitting and evaluation. Using Lycorma delicatula egg mass survey data at 28 plots in seven sites from the field, we found that detection probability (p) was negatively correlated with tree diameter at breast height (DBH), ranged from 0.516 [95 % CI: 0.470-0.561] to 0.614 [95 % CI: 0.566-0.660] between the 1st and the 3rd sample period. Furthermore, egg mass abundance (λ) was positively associated with basal area (BA) for the sample unit (single tree), with more egg masses on tree of heaven (TOH) trees. More egg masses were also expected on trees of other species in TOH plots. Predicted egg mass density (masses/100 m2) ranged from 5.0 (95 % CI: 3.0-16.0) (Gordon) to 276.9 (95 % CI: 255.0-303.0) (Susquehannock) for TOH plots, and 11.0 (95 % CI: 9.00-15.33) (Gordon) to 228.3 (95 % CI: 209.7-248.3) (Burlington) for nonTOH plots. Site-specific abundance estimates from N-mixture models were generally higher compared to observed maximum counts. N-mixture models could have great potential in insect population surveys in agriculture and forestry in the future.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    预测野生动物的空间发生是生态学和管理的主要挑战。在拉丁美洲,对吸血蝙蝠栖息地的数量和位置的了解有限,无法在知情的情况下分配旨在防止狂犬病蔓延到人类和牲畜的措施。通过将对数高斯Cox过程模型拟合到秘鲁三个地区的563个栖息地的位置,我们推断了吸血鬼蝙蝠栖息地的空间分布,同时考虑了观测工作和环境影响。我们的模型解释了观察到的栖息地分布中45%的方差,并确定了栖息地建立的环境驱动因素。当校正不均匀的观察努力时,我们的模型估计了2340个栖息地,表明未被发现的栖息地(76%)比已知的栖息地(24%)高出三倍。在无狂犬病地区未被发现的栖息地的预测热点揭示了未来病毒入侵的高风险地区。使用预测的栖息地分布为狂犬病溢出到牲畜的空间模型提供信息,确定了漏报率不成比例的地区,并表明狂犬病负担比以前认识到的要高。我们提供了一种可转移的方法来推断大部分未观察到的蝙蝠水库的分布,该方法可以提供策略以防止重要的人畜共患病的再次出现。
    Predicting the spatial occurrence of wildlife is a major challenge for ecology and management. In Latin America, limited knowledge of the number and locations of vampire bat roosts precludes informed allocation of measures intended to prevent rabies spillover to humans and livestock. We inferred the spatial distribution of vampire bat roosts while accounting for observation effort and environmental effects by fitting a log Gaussian Cox process model to the locations of 563 roosts in three regions of Peru. Our model explained 45% of the variance in the observed roost distribution and identified environmental drivers of roost establishment. When correcting for uneven observation effort, our model estimated a total of 2340 roosts, indicating that undetected roosts (76%) exceed known roosts (24%) by threefold. Predicted hotspots of undetected roosts in rabies-free areas revealed high-risk areas for future viral incursions. Using the predicted roost distribution to inform a spatial model of rabies spillover to livestock identified areas with disproportionate underreporting and indicated a higher rabies burden than previously recognized. We provide a transferrable approach to infer the distribution of a mostly unobserved bat reservoir that can inform strategies to prevent the re-emergence of an important zoonosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    从通过轻型飞机上的人类观察员进行海洋野生动物调查过渡到许多好处,使用无人机捕捉航拍图像。然而,重要的是要保持长期数据系列的有效性,同时从观察者过渡到图像调查。我们需要了解图像中目标物种的检测率与从飞行员飞机上的观察者收集的检测率相比,以及影响各平台检出率的因素。我们对鲨鱼湾的儒艮进行了ScanEagle无人机试验调查,西澳大利亚,覆盖无人机射程的全部范围(~100公里),在观察员调查的同时,无人机在驾驶飞机的上方或后方飞行。我们旨在测试以下假设:当受到相同环境条件的影响时,无人机图像可以提供与人类观察者相当的儒艮检测率。总的来说,儒艮目率(即,无人机图像的个体儒艮计数)比观察者高1.3倍(95%CI[0.98-1.84])。两个平台的团体目击率相似,然而,在无人机图像中检测到的组大小明显大于观察者记录的组大小,这解释了目击率的总体差异。云覆盖似乎是影响两个平台的唯一协变量;云层覆盖的发生率导致两个平台都检测到较小的组大小,但与无人机图像中检测到的组大小(14%(95%CI[-28-57])相比,观察者组大小的下降幅度更大(与无云相比下降了71%(95%CI[-28-57])).水能见度和波弗特海况也影响了儒艮数量和群体规模,但对两个平台都是一样的。这是在飞行员飞机和无人机上的观察者的目击之间的首次直接同时比较,并证明了在大空间范围内进行无人机调查的潜力。
    There are many advantages to transitioning from conducting marine wildlife surveys via human observers onboard light-aircraft, to capturing aerial imagery using drones. However, it is important to maintain the validity of long-term data series whilst transitioning from observer to imagery surveys. We need to understand how the detection rates of target species in images compare to those collected from observers in piloted aircraft, and the factors influencing detection rates from each platform. We conducted trial ScanEagle drone surveys of dugongs in Shark Bay, Western Australia, covering the full extent of the drone\'s range (∼100 km), concurrently with observer surveys, with the drone flying above or just behind the piloted aircraft. We aimed to test the assumption that drone imagery could provide comparable detection rates of dugongs to human observers when influenced by same environmental conditions. Overall, the dugong sighting rate (i.e., count of individual dugongs) was 1.3 (95% CI [0.98-1.84]) times higher from the drone images than from the observers. The group sighting rate was similar for the two platforms, however the group sizes detected within the drone images were significantly larger than those recorded by the observers, which explained the overall difference in sighting rates. Cloud cover appeared to be the only covariate affecting the two platforms differently; the incidence of cloud cover resulted in smaller group sizes being detected by both platforms, but the observer group sizes dropped much more dramatically (by 71% (95% CI [31-88]) compared to no cloud) than the group sizes detected in the drone images (14% (95% CI [-28-57])). Water visibility and the Beaufort sea state also affected dugong counts and group sizes, but in the same way for both platforms. This is the first direct simultaneous comparison between sightings from observers in piloted aircraft and a drone and demonstrates the potential for drone surveys over a large spatial-scale.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当动物通过相机的视野但未被记录时,相机陷阱数据是有偏差的。使用无源红外传感器操作的相机依赖于它们检测来自物体表面的热能的能力。因此,最佳的相机部署取决于传感器阵列和动物之间的关系。这里,我们描述一个将军,实验方法来评估由于相机和动物之间的相互作用而产生的检测误差。我们调整了距离采样模型,并估计了距离的综合影响,相机模型,镜头高度,和垂直角度对检测到三种不同体型代表温带哺乳动物的概率的影响,北方,北极生态系统。检测概率最好通过半正常逻辑混合物来解释,并受到所有实验协变量的影响。当代理距离摄像机≥6m时,检测单调下降;然而,模型表明,机身尺寸和相机模型介导了距离对检测的影响。虽然不是我们研究的重点,我们发现,由太阳位置引起的未建模的异质性有可能使动物运动随时间变化的推断产生偏差。在设计和分析相机陷阱研究时,了解异质检测概率很有价值。我们提供了一个通用的实验和分析框架,生态学家,公民科学家,其他人可以使用和适应各种野生动物物种和社区的相机协议。应用我们的框架可以帮助生态学家评估距离之间相互作用产生的权衡,摄像头,和正文大小,然后将资源提交到字段数据收集。
    Camera trap data are biased when an animal passes through a camera\'s field of view but is not recorded. Cameras that operate using passive infrared sensors rely on their ability to detect thermal energy from the surface of an object. Optimal camera deployment consequently depends on the relationship between a sensor array and an animal. Here, we describe a general, experimental approach to evaluate detection errors that arise from the interaction between cameras and animals. We adapted distance sampling models and estimated the combined effects of distance, camera model, lens height, and vertical angle on the probability of detecting three different body sizes representing mammals that inhabit temperate, boreal, and arctic ecosystems. Detection probabilities were best explained by a half-normal-logistic mixture and were influenced by all experimental covariates. Detection monotonically declined when proxies were ≥6 m from the camera; however, models show that body size and camera model mediated the effect of distance on detection. Although not a focus of our study, we found that unmodeled heterogeneity arising from solar position has the potential to bias inferences where animal movements vary over time. Understanding heterogeneous detection probabilities is valuable when designing and analyzing camera trap studies. We provide a general experimental and analytical framework that ecologists, citizen scientists, and others can use and adapt to optimize camera protocols for various wildlife species and communities. Applying our framework can help ecologists assess trade-offs that arise from interactions among distance, cameras, and body sizes before committing resources to field data collection.
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