UNASSIGNED: Cotton yield estimation is crucial in the agricultural process, where the accuracy of boll detection during the flocculation period significantly influences yield estimations in cotton fields. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are frequently employed for plant detection and counting due to their cost-effectiveness and adaptability.
UNASSIGNED: Addressing the challenges of small target cotton bolls and low resolution of UAVs, this paper introduces a method based on the YOLO v8 framework for transfer learning, named YOLO small-scale pyramid depth-aware detection (SSPD). The method combines space-to-depth and non-strided convolution (SPD-Conv) and a small target detector head, and also integrates a simple, parameter-free attentional mechanism (SimAM) that significantly improves target boll detection accuracy.
UNASSIGNED: The YOLO SSPD achieved a boll detection accuracy of 0.874 on UAV-scale imagery. It also recorded a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.86, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 12.38 and a relative root mean square error (RRMSE) of 11.19% for boll counts.
UNASSIGNED: The findings indicate that YOLO SSPD can significantly improve the accuracy of cotton boll detection on UAV imagery, thereby supporting the cotton production process. This method offers a robust solution for high-precision cotton monitoring, enhancing the reliability of cotton yield estimates.

Estimation of cotton yield before harvest offers many benefits to breeding programs, researchers and producers. Remote sensing enables efficient and consistent estimation of cotton yields, as opposed to traditional field measurements and surveys. The overall goal of this study was to develop a data processing pipeline to perform fast and accurate pre-harvest yield predictions of cotton breeding fields from aerial imagery using machine learning techniques. By using only a single plot image extracted from an orthomosaic map, a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier with four selected features was trained to identify the cotton pixels present in each plot image. The SVM classifier achieved an accuracy of 89%, a precision of 86%, a recall of 75%, and an F1-score of 80% at recognizing cotton pixels. After performing morphological image processing operations and applying a connected components algorithm, the classified cotton pixels were clustered to predict the number of cotton bolls at the plot level. Our model fitted the ground truth counts with an R 2 value of 0.93, a normalized root mean squared error of 0.07, and a mean absolute percentage error of 13.7%. This study demonstrates that aerial imagery with machine learning techniques can be a reliable, efficient, and effective tool for pre-harvest cotton yield prediction.