consensus value

共识价值
  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    许多统计方法(估计器)可用于估计实验室间研究或荟萃分析中的共识值(或平均效应)和异质性方差。这些估计器都是有效的,因为它们是从某些统计原理发展而来的或得到某些统计原理的支持。然而,任何估计器都不可能是完美的,必须有误差或不确定性(称为估计器不确定性)。对于给定的数据集,不同估计量给出的一致性值和异质性方差通常会有显著差异。因此,不同估计量的选择会影响实验室间研究或荟萃分析的结论.然而,在一组候选估计器中,没有普遍接受的度量来确定哪个估计器是最优的。而不是选择和使用单个估计器,本文提出了一种估计平均方法来组合一组个体估计。最终的平均估计器是各个估计器的线性组合,这说明了三个不确定因素的来源,包括估计器的不确定因素。进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,以检查四个单独估计器和建议的平均估计器的长期性能。一个案例研究:给出了牛顿引力常数的确定,其中使用所提出的估计平均方法组合了十个单独的估计器(八个频率加权平均方法和两个贝叶斯方法)。本文受版权保护。保留所有权利。
    Many statistical methods (estimators) are available for estimating the consensus value (or average effect) and heterogeneity variance in interlaboratory studies or meta-analyses. These estimators are all valid because they are developed from or supported by certain statistical principles. However, no estimator can be perfect and must have error or uncertainty (known as estimator uncertainty). For a given dataset, the consensus value and heterogeneity variance given by different estimators can often differ significantly. Consequently, the choice of different estimators can affect the conclusion of an interlaboratory study or meta-analysis. However, there is no universally accepted metric for determining which estimator is optimal among a set of candidate estimators. Instead of selecting and using a single estimator, this paper proposes an estimator-averaging approach to combine a set of individual estimators. The final averaged estimator is a linear combination of individual estimators, which accounts for three sources of uncertainties including the estimator uncertainty. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to examine the long-run performance of four individual estimators and the proposed averaged estimators. A case study: the determination of the Newtonian constant of gravitation is presented, where 10 individual estimators (eight frequentist weighted average methods and two Bayesian methods) are combined using the proposed estimator-averaging approach.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    According to the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM), a result of measurement consists of a measured value together with its associated standard uncertainty. The measured value and the standard uncertainty are interpreted as the expected value and the standard deviation of a state-of-knowledge probability distribution attributed to the measurand. We discuss the term metrological compatibility introduced by the International Vocabulary of Metrology, third edition (VIM3) for lack of significant differences between two or more results of measurement for the same measurand. Sometimes a combined result of measurement from multiple evaluations of the same measurand is needed. We propose an approach for determining a combined result which is metrologically compatible with the contributing results.
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  • 文章类型: Comparative Study
    Tritium emissions are one of the main concerns with regard to CANDU reactors and Canadian nuclear facilities. After the Fukushima accident, the Canadian Nuclear Regulatory Commission suggested that models used in risk assessment of Canadian nuclear facilities be firmly based on measured data. Procedures for measurement of tritium as HTO (tritiated water) are well established, but there are no standard methods and certified reference materials for measurement of organically bound tritium (OBT) in environmental samples. This paper describes and discusses an inter-laboratory comparison study in which OBT in three different dried environmental samples (fish, Swiss chard and potato) was measured to evaluate OBT analysis methods currently used by CANDU Owners Group (COG) members. The variations in the measured OBT activity concentrations between all laboratories were less than approximately 20%, with a total uncertainty between 11 and 17%. Based on the results using the dried samples, the current OBT analysis methods for combustion, distillation and counting are generally acceptable. However, a complete consensus OBT analysis methodology with respect to freeze-drying, rinsing, combustion, distillation and counting is required. Also, an exercise using low-level tritium samples (less than 100 Bq/L or 20 Bq/kg-fresh) would be useful in the near future to more fully evaluate the current OBT analysis methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Petersplus综合征是一种罕见的隐性常染色体疾病,包括眼前节发育不全,身材矮小,手部异常和独特的面部特征。它仅与13q12.3区域中B3GALTL基因的突变有关。在这项研究中,我们使用离体方法对B3GALTL基因内的新型c.597-2A>G剪接突变进行了首次功能分析。结果表明,B3GALTLcDNA中外显子8完全跳跃,它改变了突变体转录本的开放阅读框,并在外显子9内产生了PTC。该发现潜在地引起无义mRNA被NMD降解(无义介导的mRNA衰变)。剪接位点突变的理论后果,用生物信息学工具HumanSpliceFinder预测,进行了与离体结果相关的调查和评估。研究结果证实了B3GALTL基因在典型的Peters-plus综合征中的关键作用,以及mRNA分析的实用性,以了解这种突变的主要影响和疾病的表型。
    Peters plus syndrome is a rare recessive autosomal disorder comprising ocular anterior segment dysgenesis, short stature, hand abnormalities and distinctive facial features. It was related only to mutations in the B3GALTL gene in the 13q12.3 region. In this study, we undertook the first functional analysis of a novel c.597-2 A>G splicing mutation within the B3GALTL gene using an ex-vivo approach. The results showed a complete skipping of exon 8 in the B3GALTL cDNA, which altered the open reading frame of the mutant transcript and generated a PTC within exon 9. This finding potentially elicits the nonsense mRNA to degradation by NMD (nonsense-mediated mRNA decay). The theoretical consequences of splice site mutations, predicted with the bioinformatics tool Human Splice Finder, were investigated and evaluated in relation to ex-vivo results. The findings confirmed the key role played by the B3GALTL gene in typical Peters-plus syndromes and the utility of mRNA analysis to understand the primary impacts of this mutation and the phenotype of the disease.
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