complex systems

复杂系统
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基因调控网络(GRN)的电路构建块已通过基础生物图的纤维化对称性得到鉴定。这里,我们分析了在这些网络中作为功能和同步构建块出现的六个电路。其中,锁定,拨动开关,Smolen振荡器,前馈光纤和斐波那契光纤电路出现在生物体中,特别是大肠杆菌;第六,压制者,是一种合成的GRN。我们考虑由纤维化对称性(或平衡着色)确定的同步稳态,并从此类状态确定局部分叉的分析条件,原则上可以是稳态或Hopf分叉。我们确定了表征第一个分叉的条件,唯一能在分叉点附近稳定的。我们根据两个变量对每个基因的状态进行建模:mRNA和蛋白质浓度。我们考虑所有可能的“可容许”模型-与网络结构兼容的模型-然后将这些一般结果专门用于基于Hill函数和线性退化的简单模型。结果使用图对称性系统地分类这些电路的复杂性和动力学,这与理解天然和合成细胞的功能有关。
    Circuit building blocks of gene regulatory networks (GRN) have been identified through the fibration symmetries of the underlying biological graph. Here, we analyse analytically six of these circuits that occur as functional and synchronous building blocks in these networks. Of these, the lock-on, toggle switch, Smolen oscillator, feed-forward fibre and Fibonacci fibre circuits occur in living organisms, notably Escherichia coli; the sixth, the repressilator, is a synthetic GRN. We consider synchronous steady states determined by a fibration symmetry (or balanced colouring) and determine analytic conditions for local bifurcation from such states, which can in principle be either steady-state or Hopf bifurcations. We identify conditions that characterize the first bifurcation, the only one that can be stable near the bifurcation point. We model the state of each gene in terms of two variables: mRNA and protein concentration. We consider all possible \'admissible\' models-those compatible with the network structure-and then specialize these general results to simple models based on Hill functions and linear degradation. The results systematically classify using graph symmetries the complexity and dynamics of these circuits, which are relevant to understand the functionality of natural and synthetic cells.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着卫生和医疗保健系统继续面临从地方到全球福祉的巨大挑战,了解导致人类健康改善或恶化的过程已经包含了从基因到民族文化的广泛力量。尽管有许多努力来部署一个大规模捕获不同驱动因素的通用框架,常见的缺失因素是缺乏灵活的机制,可以指导层面内和跨层面的研究。这阻碍了知识的积累和多种干预措施的科学基础的发展。然而,使用各种方法和措施的跨学科研究已经集中在“连通性”上,这对于理解因素在健康领域的运作至关重要。更正式,重点关注网络结构和关键要素内容的关键作用以及它们如何相互作用,而不仅仅是元素本身,提供了水平内积极因素的广义理论和理论化跨水平的相互作用的潜力。一个关键的当代健康危机,自杀,部署是为了说明网络嵌入式共生框架。涉及网络的广泛的健康和医疗保健研究支持了其潜力,但也警告说,不可避免的限制将需要创造性的理论和数据协调才能向前发展。
    As health and health care systems continue to face massive challenges from local to global well-being, understanding the processes that lead to improvement or deterioration in human health has embraced a broad range of forces from genes to national cultures. Despite the many efforts to deploy a common framework that captures diverse drivers at scale, the common missing element is the absence of a flexible mechanism that can guide research within and across levels. This hinders both the cumulation of knowledge and the development of a scientific foundation for multiplex interventions. However, studies across disciplines using a wide variety of methods and measures have converged on \"connectedness\" as crucial to understanding how factors operate in the health space. More formally, a focus on the critical role of the network structure and content of key elements and how they interact, rather than just on the elements themselves, offers both a generalized theory of active factors within levels and the potential to theorize interactions across levels. One critical contemporary health crisis, suicide, is deployed to illustrate the Network Embedded Symbiome Framework. The wide range of health and health care research where networks have been implicated supports its potential but also cautions against inevitable limits that will require creative theorizing and data harmonization to move forward.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    作物繁荣是突然的,新作物的非线性和强烈扩张。尽管影响很大,繁荣与萧条的动态还没有得到很好的理解;繁荣在很大程度上是不可预测的,一旦展开就很难控制。基于土地政权转变和作物繁荣之间惊人的相似之处,我们应用复杂系统理论,强调政权更迭的可能性,提供关于作物繁荣动态的新见解。我们分析了老挝北部两个森林边境地区橡胶和香蕉人工林扩展的定性和定量数据。我们证明了先决条件,包括以前的繁荣,解释繁荣的发生(为什么),政策和市场变化等触发因素解释了它们的时机(何时)。然而,繁荣最重要的特征,它们的强度和非线性(如何),强烈依赖于内部的自我强化反馈。我们确定了内置的反馈(邻里效应和模仿)和紧急反馈(土地抢购),并表明它们本质上是社会性的,从地块到区域的多尺度,并受制于阈值。我们建议这些是繁荣的常规特征,并提出对作物繁荣的定义和因果机制解释,研究繁荣与政权更迭之间的重叠以及边界的作用。然后,我们在之前确定管理干预的机会,繁荣期间和之后。
    A crop boom is a sudden, nonlinear and intense expansion of a new crop. Despite their large impacts, boom-bust dynamics are not well understood; booms are largely unpredictable and difficult to steer once they unfold. Based on the striking resemblances between land regime shifts and crop booms, we apply complex systems theory, highlighting the potential for regime shifts, to provide new insights about crop boom dynamics. We analyse qualitative and quantitative data of rubber and banana plantation expansion in two forest frontier regions of northern Laos. We show that preconditions, including previous booms, explain the occurrence (why) of booms, and triggers like policy and market changes explain their timing (when). Yet, the most important features of booms, their intensity and nonlinearity (how), strongly depended on internal self-reinforcing feedbacks. We identify built-in feedbacks (neighbourhood effects and imitation) and emergent feedbacks (land rush) and show that they were social in nature, multi-scale from plot to region and subject to thresholds. We suggest that these are regular features of booms and propose a definition and causal-mechanistic explanation of crop booms, examining the overlap between booms and regime shifts and the role of frontiers. We then identify opportunities for management interventions before, during and after booms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文全面回顾了建模计算方法的最新进展,模拟,以及材料工程中复杂系统的优化,机械工程,和能源系统。我们确定了主要趋势,并强调了人工智能(AI)与传统计算方法的集成。引用的一些作品以前在主题中发表过:“计算方法:建模,模拟,和复杂系统的优化“;因此,本文汇编了该领域的最新报告。这项工作介绍了先进计算算法的各种当代应用,包括AI方法。它还介绍了能源系统领域内材料生产和优化方法的新策略。优化能源材料的性能至关重要。我们的研究结果表明,在准确性和效率方面有了显著的提高,为研究人员和从业者提供有价值的见解。这篇综述通过综合最先进的发展并提出未来研究的方向,为该领域做出了贡献。强调这些方法在推进工程和技术解决方案中的关键作用。
    This paper provides a comprehensive review of recent advancements in computational methods for modeling, simulation, and optimization of complex systems in materials engineering, mechanical engineering, and energy systems. We identified key trends and highlighted the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with traditional computational methods. Some of the cited works were previously published within the topic: \"Computational Methods: Modeling, Simulations, and Optimization of Complex Systems\"; thus, this article compiles the latest reports from this field. The work presents various contemporary applications of advanced computational algorithms, including AI methods. It also introduces proposals for novel strategies in materials production and optimization methods within the energy systems domain. It is essential to optimize the properties of materials used in energy. Our findings demonstrate significant improvements in accuracy and efficiency, offering valuable insights for researchers and practitioners. This review contributes to the field by synthesizing state-of-the-art developments and suggesting directions for future research, underscoring the critical role of these methods in advancing engineering and technological solutions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这篇文章中,我们认为,具有裂变聚变(FF)动力学的社会系统在复杂自适应系统(CAS)框架内具有最佳特征。我们讨论了不同的内生和外生因素如何在时间上驱动规模相关的网络属性,空间和社会领域。重要的是,这种观点将动力学本身视为研究对象,而不是迄今为止在行为生态学中主导思维的静态“社会群体”的各种定义的概念。CAS方法使我们能够在不符合更传统的社会性概念的分类单元中询问FF动力学,并鼓励我们提出有关社会系统稳定和变化来源的新型问题,将常规变化与会导致系统级重组的变化区分开来。本文是主题问题的一部分,“互联互动:通过空间和社会互动丰富食物网研究”。
    In this article, we argue that social systems with fission-fusion (FF) dynamics are best characterized within a complex adaptive systems (CAS) framework. We discuss how different endogenous and exogenous factors drive scale-dependent network properties across temporal, spatial and social domains. Importantly, this view treats the dynamics themselves as objects of study, rather than variously defined notions of static \'social groups\' that have hitherto dominated thinking in behavioural ecology. CAS approaches allow us to interrogate FF dynamics in taxa that do not conform to more traditional conceptualizations of sociality and encourage us to pose new types of questions regarding the sources of stability and change in social systems, distinguishing regular variations from those that would lead to system-level reorganization. This article is part of the theme issue \'Connected interactions: enriching food web research by spatial and social interactions\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    因果多元时间序列分析,结合网络理论,为研究复杂的生态相互作用提供了强大的工具。然而,这些方法在用于生态系统的图形建模时经常被低估。在这篇观点文章中,我研究了用于描述因果网络的形式逻辑方法与其固有的统计和认识论局限性之间的关系。我认为,虽然这些方法提供了有价值的见解,它们受到公理假设的限制,统计约束和我们知识的不完整性。为了证明这一点,我首先认为因果网络是正式的系统,根据模态逻辑定义因果关系并形式化它们的公理,并使用生态反例来质疑公理。我还强调了使用多变量时间序列分析和格兰杰因果关系来开发生态网络时的统计局限性,包括其他数据特征之间虚假相关性的可能性。最后,我利用哥德尔的不完全性定理来强调将复杂网络完全理解为正式系统的固有局限性,并得出结论,因果生态网络受初始规则和数据特征的约束,作为任何正式的系统,永远不会完全捕捉到它们所代表的系统的复杂复杂性。本文是主题问题的一部分,“互联互动:通过空间和社会互动丰富食物网研究”。
    Causal multivariate time-series analysis, combined with network theory, provide a powerful tool for studying complex ecological interactions. However, these methods have limitations often underestimated when used in graphical modelling of ecological systems. In this opinion article, I examine the relationship between formal logic methods used to describe causal networks and their inherent statistical and epistemological limitations. I argue that while these methods offer valuable insights, they are restricted by axiomatic assumptions, statistical constraints and the incompleteness of our knowledge. To prove that, I first consider causal networks as formal systems, define causality and formalize their axioms in terms of modal logic and use ecological counterexamples to question the axioms. I also highlight the statistical limitations when using multivariate time-series analysis and Granger causality to develop ecological networks, including the potential for spurious correlations among other data characteristics. Finally, I draw upon Gödel\'s incompleteness theorems to highlight the inherent limits of fully understanding complex networks as formal systems and conclude that causal ecological networks are subject to initial rules and data characteristics and, as any formal system, will never fully capture the intricate complexities of the systems they represent. This article is part of the theme issue \'Connected interactions: enriching food web research by spatial and social interactions\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:探讨如何使用变化点方法分析复杂的纵向数据,并检测康复过程中何时发生有意义的变化(变化点)。
    方法:本设计是一项前瞻性的单病例观察性研究,研究对象是一名职业俱乐部的足球运动员,该运动员在高速跑步训练中出现急性下肢肌肉损伤。康复计划是在俱乐部医疗团队的监督下在足球俱乐部完成的。在受伤之前收集了四个健康指标和5个跑步表现指标,直到球员恢复比赛为止。
    结果:收集了超过130天的数据。在单变量分析中,压力的变化点,睡眠,心情,和酸痛分别位于第30、47、50和50天。总距离的变化点,加速度,最大速度,减速,和高速运行分别位于第32、34、37、41和41天。多变量分析导致健康指标和运行绩效指标的单个变化点,分别在第50天和第67天。
    结论:单变量方法提供了有关变化点的序列和时间点的信息。多变量方法为多个指标提供了一个共同的变化点,这些信息将使临床医生对康复过程中的变化有一个广泛的概述。临床医生可能会考虑使用变化点方法来整合和可视化来自多个来源的数据,以评估运动员沿重返运动连续体的进展。
    OBJECTIVE: To explore how the change-point method can be used to analyze complex longitudinal data and detect when meaningful changes (change points) have occurred during rehabilitation.
    METHODS: This design is a prospective single-case observational study of a football player in a professional club who sustained an acute lower-limb muscle injury during high-speed running in training. The rehabilitation program was entirely completed in the football club under the supervision of the club\'s medical team. Four wellness metrics and 5 running-performance metrics were collected before the injury and until the player returned to play.
    RESULTS: Data were collected over 130 days. In the univariate analysis, the change points for stress, sleep, mood, and soreness were located on days 30, 47, 50, and 50, respectively. The change points for total distance, acceleration, maximum speed, deceleration, and high-speed running were located on days 32, 34, 37, 41, and 41, respectively. The multivariate analysis resulted in a single change point for the wellness metrics and running-performance metrics, on days 50 and 67, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: The univariate approach provided information regarding the sequence and time point of the change points. The multivariate approach provided a common change point for multiple metrics, information that would benefit clinicians to have a broad overview of the changes in the rehabilitation process. Clinicians may consider the change-point method to integrate and visualize data from multiple sources to evaluate athletes\' progression along the return-to-sport continuum.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    到什么程度是自然发展的系统限制在他们的潜在多样性(即\“有界\”)与不受限制(\“开放式\”)?矿物提供了一个定量模型演进系统,通过数十亿年的行星演化的多个阶段,矿物多样性的增加有据可查。最近的框架统一了生物和非生物进化系统的行为,认为所有此类系统的特征都在于受选择的组合丰富度。就矿物而言,组合丰富度来自化学元素的可能组合及其公式\'系数的排列。观察到的矿物种类,它们被选择用于通过深度时间来坚持,表示所有可能的元素配置的极小部分。此外,这个模型预测,随着行星系统的发展,稳定的矿物成为“可能性空间”中越来越小的一部分。\“一个假设是\”功能信息,\“定义为该分数的负log2,必须随着系统的发展而增加。我们通过估计从矿物演化的一个阶段到下一个阶段观察到的所有可能的化学式的分数来检验矿物的这一假设,基于不同元素的数量和矿物演化的九个按时间顺序的每个阶段的最大化学式复杂性。通过这九个阶段,我们发现矿物功能信息单调增加,结果与假设一致。此外,对矿物化学公式的分析表明,现代地球可能正在接近天然矿物系统功能信息的最大极限,这一结果表明矿物演化不是开放式的。
    To what extent are naturally evolving systems limited in their potential diversity (i.e. \"bounded\") versus unrestricted (\"open-ended\")? Minerals provide a quantitative model evolving system, with well-documented increases in mineral diversity through multiple stages of planetary evolution over billions of years. A recent framework that unifies behaviors of both biotic and abiotic evolving systems posits that all such systems are characterized by combinatorial richness subject to selection. In the case of minerals, combinatorial richness derives from the possible combinations of chemical elements coupled with permutations of their formulas\' coefficients. Observed mineral species, which are selected for persistence through deep time, represent a miniscule fraction of all possible element configurations. Furthermore, this model predicts that as planetary systems evolve, stable minerals become an ever-smaller fraction of the \"possibility space.\" A postulate is that \"functional information,\" defined as the negative log2 of that fraction, must increase as a system evolves. We have tested this hypothesis for minerals by estimating the fraction of all possible chemical formulas observed from one stage of mineral evolution to the next, based on numbers of different essential elements and the maximum chemical formula complexity at each of nine chronological stages of mineral evolution. We find a monotonic increase in mineral functional information through these nine stages-a result consistent with the hypothesis. Furthermore, analysis of the chemical formulas of minerals demonstrates that the modern Earth may be approaching the maximum limit of functional information for natural mineral systems-a result demonstrating that mineral evolution is not open-ended.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    浮游植物群落是水生生态系统的重要组成部分,因为它们是高度互动的,它们总是形成复杂的网络。然而,我们对交互式浮游植物网络在不断变化的环境条件下如何随时间变化的理解是有限的。使用太湖29年(339个月)的长期数据集,中国,我们使用“扩展局部相似性分析”构建了一个包含月度子网络的时间网络,并评估了富营养化气候变化,恢复工作影响了网络复杂性和稳定性的时间动态。浮游植物的网络结构随着环境的变化而表现出强烈的动态变化。我们的研究结果揭示了富营养化和气候变化通过网络复杂性的变化对浮游植物网络稳定性的级联影响。浮游植物的网络稳定性随平均程度而增加,模块性,和嵌套性,并随着连通性而减少。富营养化(增加氮)稳定了浮游植物网络,主要是通过提高其平均程度,而气候变化,即,变暖和风速降低通过直接增加浮游植物群落的凝聚力和间接减少网络的连通性来增强其稳定性。浮游植物网络复杂性的时间动态的显著转变和大幅下降(平均程度,嵌套)和稳定性(鲁棒性,持久性)是在2007年实施了许多富营养化缓解努力(并非全部成功)后检测到的,导致浮游植物网络简化,稳定性降低。我们的发现为亚热带浅水湖泊在富营养化(或再营养)和气候变化下的浮游植物网络组织提供了新的见解。
    Phytoplankton communities are crucial components of aquatic ecosystems, and since they are highly interactive, they always form complex networks. Yet, our understanding of how interactive phytoplankton networks vary through time under changing environmental conditions is limited. Using a 29-year (339 months) long-term dataset on Lake Taihu, China, we constructed a temporal network comprising monthly sub-networks using \"extended Local Similarity Analysis\" and assessed how eutrophication, climate change, and restoration efforts influenced the temporal dynamics of network complexity and stability. The network architecture of phytoplankton showed strong dynamic changes with varying environments. Our results revealed cascading effects of eutrophication and climate change on phytoplankton network stability via changes in network complexity. The network stability of phytoplankton increased with average degree, modularity, and nestedness and decreased with connectance. Eutrophication (increasing nitrogen) stabilized the phytoplankton network, mainly by increasing its average degree, while climate change, i.e., warming and decreasing wind speed enhanced its stability by increasing the cohesion of phytoplankton communities directly and by decreasing the connectance of network indirectly. A remarkable shift and a major decrease in the temporal dynamics of phytoplankton network complexity (average degree, nestedness) and stability (robustness, persistence) were detected after 2007 when numerous eutrophication mitigation efforts (not all successful) were implemented, leading to simplified phytoplankton networks and reduced stability. Our findings provide new insights into the organization of phytoplankton networks under eutrophication (or re-oligotrophication) and climate change in subtropical shallow lakes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在社区人群水平上预防和管理糖尿病的方法受到阻碍,因为当前的策略与社区系统的结构和功能不一致。我们描述了基于本地数据和快速原型设计的社区驱动过程,作为创建适合每个社区的糖尿病预防和护理管理解决方案的替代方法。我们报告了该过程,并为一项为期3年的案例研究计划提供了基线数据,以改善内布拉斯加州两个农村社区的糖尿病结局。
    方法:我们基于以下假设开发了一个迭代设计过程:使用本地数据反馈和监视的分散决策将导致本地可持续解决方案的创新。联盟充当社区创新中心,每月开会,通过便利的设计过程开展工作。在项目过程中,将使用社区诊所的电子健康记录作为整个社区的代理来跟踪六个核心糖尿病指标。
    结果:基线数据表明,根据年龄和体重指数,两个社区中三分之二的人口都有糖尿病前期风险。然而,只有一小部分(35%和12%)的高危人群接受了筛查.这些信息导致两个联盟都专注于提高其社区的筛查率。
    结论:为了使复杂系统朝着最佳状态移动(例如,改善糖尿病结局),利益相关者必须能够获得准确的持续反馈,相关信息,以便做出明智的决定。实施循证干预的传统方法并不能促进这一过程。
    BACKGROUND: Approaches to prevent and manage diabetes at a community population level are hindered because current strategies are not aligned with the structure and function of a community system. We describe a community-driven process based on local data and rapid prototyping as an alternative approach to create diabetes prevention and care management solutions appropriate for each community. We report on the process and provide baseline data for a 3-year case study initiative to improve diabetes outcomes in two rural Nebraska communities.
    METHODS: We developed an iterative design process based on the assumption that decentralized decision-making using local data feedback and monitoring will lead to the innovation of local sustainable solutions. Coalitions act as community innovation hubs and meet monthly to work through a facilitated design process. Six core diabetes measures will be tracked over the course of the project using the electronic health record from community clinics as a proxy for the entire community.
    RESULTS: Baseline data indicate two-thirds of the population in both communities are at risk for prediabetes based on age and body mass index. However, only a fraction (35% and 12%) of those at risk have been screened. This information led both coalitions to focus on improving screening rates in their communities.
    CONCLUSIONS: In order to move a complex system towards an optimal state (e.g., improved diabetes outcomes), stakeholders must have access to continuous feedback of accurate, pertinent information in order to make informed decisions. Conventional approaches of implementing evidence-based interventions do not facilitate this process.
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