community outbreak

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    台湾2003年在严重急性呼吸道综合症冠状病毒(SARS-CoV)方面的经验指导了其在2020年制定防御SARS-CoV-2的战略,从而成功控制了2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例从2020年到2021年3月。然而,2021年4月下旬,进口Alpha变种开始在台湾引起COVID-19异常爆发。在这项研究中,我们的目的是确定哪些流行病学条件使SARS-CoV-2Alpha变异株在疫情激增期间成为主导株并随后下降.结合接触者追踪调查,我们使用了生物信息学软件,CoVConvert和IniCoV,分析101个台湾α菌株的全基因组序列。单变量和多变量回归分析揭示了与病毒优势相关的流行病学因素。单因素分析显示,通过密集的人与人接触,在激增的震中(p=0.0024)优先选择了优势的Alpha菌株,并保持了1.5个月的优势,直到实施零COVID政策。多变量回归发现,流行期(p=0.007)和震中(p=0.001)是与社区中优势病毒株传播相关的两个重要因素。这些优势病毒株出现在疫情的震中,人与人接触频繁,疫苗接种覆盖率低。三级限制和零COVID政策成功控制了社区的疫情,没有城市封锁。我们的综合方法可以识别具有不断增加的流行病学潜力的新兴优势病毒的流行病学条件,并支持决策者使用针对快速传播的病毒株的公共卫生措施来迅速遏制疫情爆发。
    Taiwan\'s experience with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) in 2003 guided its development of strategies to defend against SARS-CoV-2 in 2020, which enabled the successful control of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases from 2020 through March 2021. However, in late-April 2021, the imported Alpha variant began to cause COVID-19 outbreaks at an exceptional rate in Taiwan. In this study, we aimed to determine what epidemiological conditions enabled the SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant strains to become dominant and decline later during a surge in the outbreak. In conjunction with contact-tracing investigations, we used our bioinformatics software, CoVConvert and IniCoV, to analyze whole-genome sequences of 101 Taiwan Alpha strains. Univariate and multivariable regression analyses revealed the epidemiological factors associated with viral dominance. Univariate analysis showed the dominant Alpha strains were preferentially selected in the surge\'s epicenter (p = 0.0024) through intensive human-to-human contact and maintained their dominance for 1.5 months until the Zero-COVID Policy was implemented. Multivariable regression found that the epidemic periods (p = 0.007) and epicenter (p = 0.001) were two significant factors associated with the dominant virus strains spread in the community. These dominant virus strains emerged at the outbreak\'s epicenter with frequent human-to-human contact and low vaccination coverage. The Level 3 Restrictions and Zero-COVID policy successfully controlled the outbreak in the community without city lockdowns. Our integrated method can identify the epidemiological conditions for emerging dominant virus with increasing epidemiological potential and support decision makers in rapidly containing outbreaks using public health measures that target fast-spreading virus strains.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在2017年10月至11月期间,在帕尔马诺瓦的旅游区(Mallorca,西班牙)。大多数病例由欧洲疾病预防和控制中心(ECDC)报告为军团病(TALD)的旅行相关病例。大多数情况属于不同的酒店集群警报。居住在该地区的当地居民中没有报告病例。公共卫生检查员对与一个或多个TALD病例相关的所有旅游场所进行了检查和采样。对检测到的所有相关气溶胶排放源进行了调查和采样。核实了受影响地区没有主动式冷却塔,通过文件和现场。该研究包括位于该地区一家酒店顶层公寓露台上的私人热水浴缸样本。极高的浓度(>106CFU/l)的嗜肺军团菌,包括爆发的菌株,在这家酒店空房的热水浴缸中发现,从而确定了可能的感染源。气象形势可能促成了此次疫情的地理分布格局。总之,在调查不明来源的军团病社区暴发时,应考虑室外私人使用的热水浴缸。
    During the period October-November 2017, an outbreak of Legionnaires\' disease involving 27 cases occurred in the tourist area of Palmanova (Mallorca, Spain). The majority of cases were reported by the European Centre of Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) as travel associated cases of Legionnaires\' disease (TALD). Most cases belonged to different hotel cluster alerts. No cases were reported among the local population residing in the area. All tourist establishments associated with one or more TALD cases were inspected and sampled by public health inspectors. All relevant sources of aerosol emission detected were investigated and sampled. The absence of active cooling towers in the affected area was verified, by documents and on-site. Samples from hot tubs for private use located on the terraces of the penthouse rooms of a hotel in the area were included in the study. Extremely high concentrations (> 106 CFU/l) of Legionella pneumophila, including the outbreak strain, were found in the hot tubs of vacant rooms of this hotel thus identifying the probable source of infection. Meteorological situation may have contributed to the geographical distribution pattern of this outbreak. In conclusion, hot tubs for private use located outdoors should be considered when investigating community outbreaks of Legionnaires\' disease of unclear origin.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自2022年1月以来,严重急性呼吸道综合症冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)Omicron变体BA.2亚谱系在欧洲和亚洲迅速增加。这里,我们报告了在一个住宅区爆发的大型单一来源BA.2的流行病学和基因组分析。
    我们分析了BA.2社区暴发(STY暴发)的流行病学信息。我们使用OxfordNanoporeMinION设备进行了全病毒基因组测序。我们计算了一个住宅区内疫情的倍增时间。
    截至2022年2月5日,STY疫情共涉及768人,其中包括432名居民。访客,或来自单一屋(KC屋)的员工(56.3%)。KC庄园的疫情倍增时间短,为1.28天(95%置信区间:.560-1.935)。随着住宅区内3栋建筑的封锁,疫情得到了迅速控制。对STY爆发的133例患者进行了全基因组测序,包括KC庄园的106名居民。STY爆发的所有133个序列都属于BA.2亚谱系,系统发育分析表明这些序列聚集在一起。STY簇中的所有个体都具有独特的突变C12525T。
    我们的研究强调了Omicron变种BA.2亚谱系在香港异常高的传播性,作为消除战略的一部分,实施了严格的措施。连续基因组监测对于监测流行病学上重要的Omicron亚谱系的出现至关重要。
    The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron variant BA.2 sublineage has increased rapidly in Europe and Asia since January 2022. Here, we report the epidemiological and genomic analysis of a large single-source BA.2 outbreak in a housing estate.
    We analyzed the epidemiological information on a community outbreak of BA.2 (STY outbreak). We performed whole viral genome sequencing using the Oxford Nanopore MinION device. We calculated the doubling time of the outbreak within a housing estate.
    The STY outbreak involved a total of 768 individuals as of 5 February 2022, including 432 residents, visitors, or staff (56.3%) from a single housing estate (KC Estate). The outbreak at the KC Estate had a short doubling time of 1.28 days (95% confidence interval: .560-1.935). The outbreak was promptly controlled with the lockdown of 3 buildings within the housing estate. Whole-genome sequencing was performed for 133 patients in the STY outbreak, including 106 residents of the KC Estate. All 133 sequences from the STY outbreak belonged to the BA.2 sublineage, and phylogenetic analysis showed that these sequences cluster together. All individuals in the STY cluster had the unique mutation C12525T.
    Our study highlights the exceptionally high transmissibility of the Omicron variant BA.2 sublineage in Hong Kong, where stringent measures are implemented as part of the elimination strategy. Continual genomic surveillance is crucial in monitoring the emergence of epidemiologically important Omicron sublineages.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Since severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 was first eliminated in New Zealand in May 2020, a total of 13 known coronavirus disease (COVID-19) community outbreaks have occurred, 2 of which led health officials to issue stay-at-home orders. These outbreaks originated at the border via isolating returnees, airline workers, and cargo vessels. Because a public health system was informed by real-time viral genomic sequencing and complete genomes typically were available within 12 hours of community-based positive COVID-19 test results, every outbreak was well-contained. A total of 225 community cases resulted in 3 deaths. Real-time genomics were essential for establishing links between cases when epidemiologic data could not do so and for identifying when concurrent outbreaks had different origins.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近年来,荷兰军团病的发病率有所上升。在大多数情况下,从未确定感染源。先前已将两个荷兰污水处理厂(WWTP)确定为当地居民中军团病(LD)爆发的源头。这项研究的目的是检查荷兰的LD患者是否比对照组更多地暴露于源自WWTP的气溶胶。
    使用大气扩散模型来生成荷兰776个WWTP的全国气溶胶暴露图。包括市政污水处理厂和工业污水处理厂。比较了LD病例和对照在住宅地址的暴露情况,在使用条件逻辑回归的匹配病例对照设计中。在荷兰,2013-2018年期间,病例被告知有疾病发作的LD病例(n=1604)。
    气溶胶散布在荷兰的大部分地区,但据估计,模拟浓度在靠近污水处理厂的地方会升高。LD与源自WWTP的计算出的年平均气溶胶浓度之间存在统计学上的显着关联(比值比:1.32(1.06-1.63))。当两个与爆发相关的WWTP从分析中删除时,这种关联仍然很重要(比值比:1.28(1.03-1.58))。
    LD病例比对照组更多地暴露于来自WWTP的气溶胶。这表明,在2013-2018年期间,生活在污水处理厂附近的居民暴露于污水处理厂分散的气溶胶会导致退伍军人病。为了调查WWTP的哪些特征与LD风险增加相关,应更新WWTP数据库,需要更多关于雾化军团菌存在和存活的数据,以改善军团菌扩散模型。此外,建议进一步研究如何有效减少污水处理厂的气溶胶扩散,以降低潜在的健康风险。
    Legionnaires Disease incidence has risen in the Netherlands in recent years. For the majority of the cases, the source of infection is never identified. Two Dutch wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) have previously been identified as source of outbreaks of Legionnaires Disease (LD) among local residents. The objective of this study is to examine if LD patients in the Netherlands are more exposed to aerosols originating from WWTPs than controls.
    An atmospheric dispersion model was used to generate nationwide exposure maps of aerosols from 776 WWTPs in the Netherlands. Municipal sewage treatment plants and industrial WWTPs were both included. Exposure of LD cases and controls at the residential address was compared, in a matched case-control design using a conditional logistic regression. Cases were notified LD cases with onset of disease in the period 2013-2018 in the Netherlands (n = 1604).
    Aerosols dispersed over a large part of the Netherlands, but modelled concentrations are estimated to be elevated in close proximity to WWTPs. A statistically significant association was found between LD and the calculated annual average aerosol concentrations originating from WWTPs (odds-ratio: 1.32 (1.06-1.63)). This association remained significant when the two outbreak-related WWTPs were removed from the analysis (odds-ratio: 1.28 (1.03-1.58)).
    LD cases were more exposed to aerosols from WWTPs than controls. This indicates that exposure to aerosols dispersed from WWTPs caused Legionnaires Disease in residents living near WWTPs in the period 2013-2018. In order to investigate which characteristics of WWTPs are associated with an increased LD risk, the WWTP database should be updated and more data is needed on the presence and survival of aerosolized Legionella bacteria to improve the Legionella dispersion modelling. Furthermore, it is recommended to further investigate how aerosol dispersion of WWTPs can effectively be reduced in order to reduce the potential health risk.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Initial cases of coronavirus disease in Hong Kong were imported from mainland China. A dramatic increase in case numbers was seen in February 2020. Most case-patients had no recent travel history, suggesting the presence of transmission chains in the local community. We collected demographic, clinical, and epidemiologic data from 50 patients, who accounted for 53.8% of total reported case-patients as of February 28, 2020. We performed whole-genome sequencing to determine phylogenetic relationship and transmission dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections. By using phylogenetic analysis, we attributed the community outbreak to 2 lineages; 1 harbored a common mutation, Orf3a-G251V, and accounted for 88.0% of the cases in our study. The estimated time to the most recent common ancestor of local coronavirus disease outbreak was December 24, 2019, with an evolutionary rate of 3.04 × 10-3 substitutions/site/year. The reproduction number was 1.84, indicating ongoing community spread.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:9种COVID-19(冠状病毒病,在广州市一个社区观察到2019年)病例。所有案例都生活在一栋建筑物的三个垂直对齐的单元中,共享相同的管道系统,这为检查SARS-CoV-2的传播方式提供了一个独特的机会。
    方法:我们采访了有旅行和密切接触史的患者。收集所有病例的呼吸道样本进行病毒系统发育分析。然后进行了建筑物中的模拟实验和类似建筑物中的并行控制实验,以研究通过空气传播的可能性。
    结果:索引住在15-b公寓的患者有在武汉旅行的病史,住在25-b和27-b公寓的四例病例随后被诊断出来。系统发育分析表明,所有患者的病毒均来自同一病毒株。索引案例与其他系列之间没有紧密接触,表明传输可能不会通过液滴和紧密接触发生。气流检测和模拟实验表明,冲洗厕所可以提高管道中气流的速度,并将气流从公寓15-b传输到25-b和27-b。受感染建筑物中废气流量的降低可能导致了疫情的爆发。
    结论:该社区COVID-19的爆发在很大程度上可以通过空气传播来解释,未来预防感染的努力应考虑通过空气传播的可能性。在建筑设计中应考虑断开的马桶排水管和排气管,以防止可能的病毒通过空气传播。
    BACKGROUND: Nine COVID-19 (Corona Virus Disease, 2019) cases were observed in one community in Guangzhou. All the cases lived in three vertically aligned units of one building sharing the same piping system, which provided one unique opportunity to examine the transmission mode of SARS-CoV-2.
    METHODS: We interviewed the cases on the history of travelling and close contact with the index patients. Respiratory samples from all the cases were collected for viral phylogenetic analyses. A simulation experiment in the building and a parallel control experiment in a similar building were then conducted to investigate the possibility of transmission through air.
    RESULTS: Index patients living in Apartment 15-b had a travelling history in Wuhan, and four cases who lived in Apartment 25-b and 27-b were subsequently diagnosed. Phylogenetic analyses showed that virus of all the patients were from the same strain of the virus. No close contacts between the index cases and other families indicated that the transmission might not occur through droplet and close contacts. Airflow detection and simulation experiment revealed that flushing the toilets could increase the speed of airflow in the pipes and transmitted the airflow from Apartment 15-b to 25-b and 27-b. Reduced exhaust flow rates in the infected building might have contributed to the outbreak.
    CONCLUSIONS: The outbreak of COVID-19 in this community could be largely explained by the transmission through air, and future efforts to prevent the infection should take the possibility of transmission through air into consideration. A disconnected drain pipe and exhaust pipe for toilet should be considered in the architectural design to help prevent possible virus spreading through the air.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    In nursery schools, influenza outbreaks have occurred every year. However, influenza characteristics of its diffusion among nursery schools, within each nursery school, and among classes of different ages in nursery schools remains unclear. This paper presents an examination of these matters using the Nursery School Absenteeism Surveillance System (NSASSy). All nursery schools in ward A in Tokyo introduced to the NSASSy in 2015. The study period was November 2015 through March 2016. The data of influenza patients were extracted from NSASSy. We examined four definitions of \'starting date of community outbreak\' (SDCO) of influenza: 1) the first recorded day of influenza patients (SDCO1), 2) the last day of influenza patients recorded for two consecutive days (SDCO2), 3) three consecutive days (SDCO3), and 4) four consecutive days (SDCO4). We evaluated those four definitions by duration of the initial case at each nursery school from SDCO and evaluated the proportion of nursery schools at which the initial case occurred before SDCO. The average durations of initial cases at respective nursery schools from SDCO1-4 were 40.3, 26.3, 23.1 and 13.3 days. The respective proportions of nursery schools at which the initial case occurred before SDCO1-4 were 3.1%, 6.4%, 9.4% and 40.6%. Results demonstrate that SDCO3 is an appropriate definition of SDCO. Robustness checks for other areas, seasons, and population size constitute the next challenge for research in this area.
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  • DOI:
    文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: Leishmaniasis is a zoonotic disease, widely spread all over the world, and an endemic disease in some Spanish regions. Within the Autonomous Region of Madrid, some south populations were affected by an outbreak from 2009. This outbreak had special features and implications related to epidemiology, reservoir and environment intervention. An increased rate in rural areas bordering the outbreak area was detected by epidemiological surveillance. This area has the same environment characteristics. The objective of this study was to research and analyze the evolution of leishmaniasis cases declared in a rural area and their comparison with the cases of the outbreak area.
    METHODS: The cases declared to Epidemiology Surveillance Network have been used. Kulldorff´s tools were used for the cluster analysis. A hot spot analysis (Getis-Ord Gi*) was made. Leporidae and vector information of the area was related to the location of cases.
    RESULTS: The number of observed cases exceeded the number of expected cases in this area (epidemic index 7.8 in 2013), after the outbreak. This showed a relation between both incidence rates. It seemed to be spatial correlation when the number of cases was analyzed by census sections and grids (Moran´s I 0,208; z= 9,336). Using the hot-spot analysis, a higher incidence of the study area could be observed, and within Health Basic Area of Griñón after the outbreak years. A spatial relation between cases and a greater presence of vectors and leporidae was found.
    CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of leishmaniasis cases, in the period and study area suggests a link between the community outbreak and the increase of cases in the study area last years, overall in the rural area. It would be useful to strengthen surveillance and it should apply effective measures used in the bordering area if they were necessary. These measures can help to control the spread of the outbreak.
    UNASSIGNED: La leishmaniasis en una enfermedad zoonótica muy extendida a nivel mundial y es endémica en algunas regiones de España. Desde 2009 un brote de leishmaniasis ha afectado a algunos municipios del sur de Madrid con características e implicaciones especiales en cuanto a epidemiología, reservorio e intervención medioambiental. Se ha observado un aumento de casos en las zonas rurales adyacentes con características ambientales similares. El objetivo de este trabajo fue estudiar y analizar la evolución de los casos de leishmaniasis declarados en una zona rural colindante y compararlos con el brote comunitario.
    UNASSIGNED: Se utilizó la información de los casos declarados a la Red de Vigilancia Epidemiológica de la Comunidad de Madrid en la zona de estudio desde 2001-2017 y se compararon las tasas de incidencia con las del área del brote. Se realizó un análisis espacial de los casos y de los conglomerados para cuatro unidades espaciales. Se realizó análisis de conglomerados según la técnica de Kulldorff y análisis de puntos calientes según Gi* de Getis-Ord. Se relacionó la información disponible de lepóridos y vectores con la ubicación de los casos.
    UNASSIGNED: Los casos observados en el área de estudio superaron a los esperados tras al inicio del brote (índice epidémico 7,8 en 2013) mostrándose una relación gráfica entre las tasas de incidencia. Existió una autocorrelación espacial cuando se analizaron el número de casos por secciones censales y por cuadrículas (índice de Moran de 0,208; z= 9,336). En el análisis de puntos calientes se pudo apreciar una mayor incidencia en el área de estudio en el periodo posterior al brote, en particular en la Zona Básica de Salud de Griñón. Se constató una relación espacial entre casos y zonas de mayor presencia de lepóridos y vectores.
    UNASSIGNED: La distribución de casos de leishmaniasis en el periodo y área de estudio sugiere que puede existir una asociación entre el brote comunitario y el aumento de casos de los últimos años en el área de estudio, específicamente en la zona rural, por lo que sería necesario reforzar la vigilancia y aplicar medidas de control ambiental en caso necesario, lo cual puede contribuir a limitar la extensión del brote.
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