climate mitigation policies

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    极端温度对陆地生态系统产生重大影响,但是,这些极端情况引发植被生产力不利变化的确切水平仍然难以捉摸。在这项研究中,我们得出了两个临界阈值,使用生长季节温度和基于卫星的植被生产力的标准偏差(SD)作为关键指标。我们的发现表明,平均而言,在2001年至2018年期间,当温度异常超过平均温度以上1.45SD时,植被生产力会受到快速抑制。此外,在超过平均值2.98SD的温度下,我们观察到最大程度的抑制,特别是对最极端的高温事件的反应。当地球系统模型由未来的中等排放情景驱动时,他们预测,平均温度将分别在2050年和2070年左右超过这两个关键阈值。然而,重要的是要注意,这些阈值交叉的时间表现出空间变化,并且在热带地区将出现得更早。我们的发现强调,将全球变暖限制在1.5°C可以使植被生长的安全区域增加13%,而允许变暖达到工业化前水平以上2°C。这种缓解策略有助于避免暴露于违反这些阈值的有害极端温度。我们的研究强调了气候缓解政策在气候变暖的世界中促进陆地生态系统可持续发展的关键作用。
    Temperature extremes exert a significant influence on terrestrial ecosystems, but the precise levels at which these extremes trigger adverse shifts in vegetation productivity have remained elusive. In this study, we have derived two critical thresholds, using standard deviations (SDs) of growing-season temperature and satellite-based vegetation productivity as key indicators. Our findings reveal that, on average, vegetation productivity experiences rapid suppression when confronted with temperature anomalies exceeding 1.45 SD above the mean temperature during 2001-2018. Furthermore, at temperatures exceeding 2.98 SD above the mean, we observe the maximum level of suppression, particularly in response to the most extreme high-temperature events. When Earth System Models are driven by a future medium emission scenario, they project that mean temperatures will routinely surpass both of these critical thresholds by approximately the years 2050 and 2070, respectively. However, it is important to note that the timing of these threshold crossings exhibits spatial variation and will appear much earlier in tropical regions. Our finding highlights that restricting global warming to just 1.5°C can increase safe areas for vegetation growth by 13% compared to allowing warming to reach 2°C above preindustrial levels. This mitigation strategy helps avoid exposure to detrimental extreme temperatures that breach these thresholds. Our study underscores the pivotal role of climate mitigation policies in fostering the sustainable development of terrestrial ecosystems in a warming world.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Urban areas account for the majority of global greenhouse gas emissions, and increasingly, it is city governments that are adopting and implementing climate mitigation policies. Many municipal governments have joined two different global city networks that aim to promote climate policy development at the urban scale, and there is qualitative evidence that such networks play an important role in motivating cities to adopt climate policies and helping them to implement them. Our study objective is to test this proposition quantitatively, making use of a global database on cities\' environmental policy adoption, and also taking into account a large number of other factors that could play a role in climate policy adoption. Controlling for these other factors, we find that network membership does make a significant difference in the number of different measures that city governments adopt. We also find that there are significant differences between the two different networks, suggesting that the nature of the services that such networks offer their members can play an important role. Our findings lead to the provision of a set of global mitigation strategies: First of all, joining the city networks can lead to a generation of global strategies which can result into climate mitigation benefits. However, cities are required to select the network which provides proper tailor made policies. Second, in the absence of concrete international commitments at the local level, city networks lay the ground for global governance and enable cities to adopt policies independently and proactively. Third, consideration of co-benefits of climate policies can optimize the development of global strategies.
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