cause-specific mortality

病因特异性死亡率
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    瓦加杜古市的物理扩张,布基纳法索的首都和最大城市,在政府禁止促进非正规地区增长和巩固的土地投机活动之后,2015年平息。政府随后实施了社会政策,如为孕妇和5岁以下儿童提供免费保健。在这种背景下,我们测试了2010年至2019年间该市正式和非正式地区5岁以下儿童死亡率趋势的趋同;涵盖该时期的数据来自瓦加杜古健康和人口监测系统(HDSS).分析包括计算所有原因和特定原因的死亡率,泊松回归模型的实现,和相互竞争的风险模型。在学习期间,正规地区的儿童死亡率低于非正规地区的儿童。然而,由于非正规地区死亡率下降速度加快,不平等差距随着时间的推移而缩小。这种下降的原因是疟疾和包括败血症在内的其他原因导致的死亡迅速下降,艾滋病毒/艾滋病,麻疹,脑膜炎,和脑炎。追求非正规地区的升级和针对最贫穷者的社会政策的执行可能会加速瓦加杜古总体死亡率的下降。
    The physical expansion of the city of Ouagadougou, the capital and largest city of Burkina Faso, subsided in 2015 after the government banned land speculation that contributed to the growth and entrenchment of informal areas. The government subsequently implemented social policies such as free health care for pregnant women and children under 5 years of age. Against this background, we tested the convergence of under-5 mortality trends between formal and informal areas in the city between 2010 and 2019; data covering that period came from the Ouagadougou Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS). The analyses included the calculation of all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates, the implementation of a Poisson regression model, and competing risk models. Over the study period, children in formal areas had lower mortality than those in informal areas. However, the inequality gap decreased over time due to a faster mortality decline in informal areas. This decline was explained by a rapid decline in deaths from malaria and other causes including sepsis, HIV/AIDS, measles, meningitis, and encephalitis. The pursuit of upgrading informal areas and the implementation of social policies targeting the poorest are likely to accelerate the mortality decline in Ouagadougou overall.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    与毒品/酒精/自杀有关的美国死亡率上升的标签“绝望死亡”似乎暗示了情绪困扰是原因。然而,Durkheimian方法认为,潜在的结构因素塑造了个体的行为和情绪。尽管关于绝望死亡的文献越来越多,没有研究直接比较痛苦和结构性因素对绝望死亡和其他死亡原因的影响。使用来自美国Midlife研究的数据,进行了大约26年的死亡率随访,我们评估了心理或经济上的困扰,就业状况,与其他原因相比,社会融合与药物/酒精/自杀死亡率的相关性更强.Cox危险模型,针对潜在的混杂因素进行了调整,几乎没有证据表明心理或经济困扰与药物/酒精/自杀相关的死亡率比其他原因引起的死亡率更密切相关。虽然求救措施适度,但与这些死亡密切相关,对于许多其他类型的死亡率,这种关联在程度上相似.相比之下,脱离劳动力和较低的社会融合都与药物/酒精/自杀死亡率密切相关,超过许多其他类型的死亡率。25岁至65岁之间因绝望而死亡的估计百分比差异更大的是就业状况(既未就业也未退休的个人为2.0%,而目前就业的仅为0.6%)和社会融合(低融合率为1.9%,高融合率为0.7%)比负面影响(高影响为1.2%,无负面影响为0.8%)。困扰与药物/酒精/自杀死亡率之间的大多数关联似乎是由于与结构因素和先前存在的健康状况相混淆,这些因素可能会影响对困扰和死亡风险的感知。虽然绝望的死亡是由自我毁灭行为造成的,我们的结果表明,结构因素可能是比主观痛苦更重要的决定因素。
    The label \"deaths of despair\" for rising US mortality related to drugs/alcohol/suicide seems to implicate emotional distress as the cause. However, a Durkheimian approach would argue that underlying structural factors shape individuals\' behavior and emotions. Despite a growing literature on deaths of despair, no study has directly compared the effects of distress and structural factors on deaths of despair versus other causes of mortality. Using data from the Midlife in the United States study with approximately 26 years of mortality follow-up, we evaluated whether psychological or economic distress, employment status, and social integration were more strongly associated with drug/alcohol/suicide mortality than with other causes. Cox hazard models, adjusted for potential confounders, showed little evidence that psychological or economic distress were more strongly associated with mortality related to drugs/alcohol/suicide than mortality from other causes. While distress measures were modestly, but significantly associated with these deaths, the associations were similar in magnitude for many other types of mortality. In contrast, detachment from the labor force and lower social integration were both strongly associated with drug/alcohol/suicide mortality, more than for many other types of mortality. Differences in the estimated percentage dying of despair between age 25 and 65 were larger for employment status (2.0% for individuals who were neither employed nor retired versus only 0.6% for currently employed) and for social integration (1.9% for low versus 0.7% for high integration) than for negative affect (1.2% for high versus 0.8% for no negative affect). Most of the association between distress and drug/alcohol/suicide mortality appeared to result from confounding with structural factors and with pre-existing health conditions that may influence both the perception of distress and mortality risk. While deaths of despair result from self-destructive behavior, our results suggest that structural factors may be more important determinants than subjective distress.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:科雷亚的级联,包括慢性非萎缩性胃炎,萎缩性胃炎,肠上皮化生,和发育不良,代表了公认的非贲门胃癌发展途径。关于Correa级联胃部病变患者的全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率的基于人群的研究很少。
    方法:我们编制了一个由340744名符合条件的患者组成的队列,这些患者在1979-2011年期间接受了内窥镜检查并进行了活检以确定非恶性适应症,随访至2014年。具有95%置信区间(CI)的标准化死亡率(SMR)提供了相对风险的估计,以一般瑞典人口为参考。Cox回归模型用于估计死亡风险比(HRs)以进行内部比较。
    结果:最终分析共纳入306117例患者,累计3,049,009人年随访。在研究期间观察到总共106,625例死亡。与普通人群相比,在所有亚组中都注意到总死亡率的超额风险,正常粘膜组的SMR范围从1.11(95%CI1.08-1.14)到异型增生组的1.54(95%CI1.46-1.62)。对于特定原因的死亡率,胃癌死亡率沿着Correa的级联逐渐增加,过度风险从慢性胃炎患者的105%上升到异型增生组的600%以上。这些结果在与正常粘膜组的比较中得到证实。对于非癌症疾病,与普通人群相比,各种疾病的死亡风险增加,尤其是胃癌前病变较严重的患者。但结果仅在“传染病和寄生虫病”中得到证实,“呼吸系统疾病”,和“消化系统疾病”,当使用正常粘膜组作为参考。
    结论:胃癌死亡率增加提示胃癌前病变的早期识别和干预可能对患者有益。由于非癌症疾病导致的超额死亡率应谨慎解释,和未来的研究是有必要的。
    BACKGROUND: The Correa\'s cascade, encompassing chronic non-atrophic gastritis, atrophic gastritis, intestinal metaplasia, and dysplasia, represents the well-recognized pathway for the development of non-cardia gastric cancer. Population-based studies on all-cause and cause-specific mortalities among patients with gastric lesions in Correa\'s cascade are scarce.
    METHODS: We compiled a cohort of 340 744 eligible patients who had undergone endoscopy with biopsy for non-malignant indications during the period 1979-2011, which was followed up until 2014. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) provided estimation of the relative risk, using the general Swedish population as reference. Cox regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of death for internal comparison.
    RESULTS: A total of 306 117 patients were included in the final analysis, accumulating 3,049,009 person-years of follow-up. In total 106,625 deaths were observed during the study period. Compared to the general population, excess risks of overall mortality were noted in all subgroups, with SMRs ranging from 1.11 (95% CI 1.08-1.14) for the normal mucosa group to 1.54 (95% CI 1.46-1.62) for the dysplasia group. For cause-specific mortalities, mortality from gastric cancer gradually increased along Correa\'s cascade, with excess risk rising from 105% for patients with chronic gastritis to more than 600% for the dysplasia group. These results were confirmed in the comparison with the normal mucosa group. For non-cancer conditions, increased death risks were noted for various diseases compared to the general population, especially among patients with more severe gastric precancerous lesions. But the results were confirmed only for \"infectious diseases and parasitic diseases\", \"respiratory system diseases\", and \"digestive system disease\", when using the normal mucosa group as reference.
    CONCLUSIONS: Increased mortality from gastric cancer suggests that early recognition and intervention of gastric precancerous lesions probably benefit the patients. Excess mortality due to non-cancer conditions should be interpreted with caution, and future studies are warranted.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:尽管甘油三酸酯-葡萄糖(TyG)指数是胰岛素抵抗和心脏代谢疾病的可靠指标,其预测死亡风险的有效性尚未得到充分验证.我们旨在调查普通人群中TyG相关指数与全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率之间的关系。
    方法:从1999年至2018年的国家健康和营养检查调查(NHANES)中纳入了27,642名个体。构建了三个指标,包括TyG指数,TyG结合腰围与身高比(TyG-WHtR),和TyG结合腰围(TyG-WC)。死亡率数据是通过将NHANES数据与国家死亡指数记录联系起来获得的。使用加权Cox比例风险模型来估计TyG相关指数与死亡率之间的独立关联。使用受限三次样条探索了非线性关联。
    结果:多变量调整模型显示,在TyG相关指数的四分位数中,全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率逐渐增加。与TyG指数的最低四分位数相比,最高四分位数调整后的全因死亡率风险比为1.26(95%CI1.04-1.52),1.38(1.04-1.74)心血管死亡率,和1.23(1.01-1.50)的非心血管死亡率,分别。对于TyG-WHtR索引,相应的危险比为1.60(1.25-2.05),1.86(1.26-2.50),和1.48(1.10-1.99),分别。对于TyG-WC指数,相应的危险比为1.42(1.11-1.75),1.48(1.04-1.96),和1.38(1.05-1.72),分别。三个与TyG相关的指数与所有原因之间的关联,心血管和非心血管死亡率呈J形.相互作用测试表明,随着年龄的变化,低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C)水平,和他汀类药物的使用(所有P值<0.05)。
    结论:在普通人群中,TyG相关指数是全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率的独立预测因子。年轻人应该特别警惕,而低LDL-C水平和他汀类药物的使用具有潜在的保护作用.
    BACKGROUND: Although triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a reliable indicator of insulin resistance and cardiometabolic disease, its effectiveness in predicting mortality risk has not been adequately validated. We aimed to investigate the association between the TyG-related indices and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population.
    METHODS: A total of 27,642 individuals were included from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2018. Three indicators were constructed, including the TyG index, TyG combined with waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR), and TyG combined with waist circumference (TyG-WC). Mortality data was acquired through the linkage of NHANES data with National Death Index records. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the independent association between the TyG-related indices and mortality. Nonlinear associations were explored using restricted cubic splines.
    RESULTS: Multivariable adjusted models showed a progressive increase in all-cause and cause-specific mortality across quartiles of the TyG-related indices. Compared with the lowest quartile of the TyG index, the highest quartile had adjusted hazard ratios of 1.26 (95% CI 1.04-1.52) for all-cause mortality, 1.38 (1.04-1.74) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.23 (1.01-1.50) for non-cardiovascular mortality, respectively. For the TyG-WHtR index, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.60 (1.25-2.05), 1.86 (1.26-2.50), and 1.48 (1.10-1.99), respectively. For the TyG-WC index, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.42 (1.11-1.75), 1.48 (1.04-1.96), and 1.38 (1.05-1.72), respectively. The associations between the three TyG-related indices and all-cause, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality were J-shaped. Interaction tests revealed significant effect modification by age, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level, and statin use (all P values < 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: The TyG-related indices were independent predictors of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population. Young individuals should be particularly vigilant, whereas low LDL-C levels and statin use are potentially protective.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    富含甘油三酯的脂蛋白中携带的胆固醇,也称为残余胆固醇,越来越被认为是动脉粥样硬化的重要因果危险因素。残余胆固醇升高,以血浆甘油三酯升高为标志,与动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病的风险增加有因果关系。然而,与全因死亡率和特定于原因的死亡率之间的关系尚无定论.这项研究旨在检验残余胆固醇水平和血浆甘油三酯与全因死亡率和心血管疾病死亡率增加相关的假设。癌症,和其他原因。
    使用当代基于人口的队列,纳入了2003-2015年国家健康和营养检查调查(NHANES)中年龄超过40岁的7,962人。在长达109.2(±1.44)个月的随访期间,1,323人死亡:385人死于心血管疾病,290来自癌症,80来自脑血管疾病,568来自其他原因。与中间三元残留胆固醇水平相比,多变量校正后的全因死亡率风险比为1.20(95%置信区间1.02-1.40).对于最高的三元残留胆固醇水平,多变量校正后的死亡率风险比为1.21(95%置信区间1.05,1.40).我们的结论在亚组分析中保持稳定。对死亡原因子类别的探索性分析显示,对于较低残留胆固醇的个体,非心血管和非脑血管死亡的风险比为1.25(1.13-1.38),1.47(1.01-2.15)对于较低残留胆固醇(RC)个体的癌症死亡,较高RC个体的癌症死亡为1.80(1.36-2.38)。
    RC水平与U型全因死亡率相关。RC与非心血管疾病死亡率相关,非脑血管,和癌症,但不是心血管原因。这一新颖的发现应该在其他队列中得到证实。
    UNASSIGNED: Cholesterol carried in triglyceride-rich lipoproteins, also called remnant cholesterol, is increasingly acknowledged as an important causal risk factor for atherosclerosis. Elevated remnant cholesterol, marked by elevated plasma triglycerides, is associated causally with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. However, the association with all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality is inconclusive. This study aimed to test the hypothesis that remnant cholesterol levels and plasma triglycerides are associated with increased all-cause mortality and mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and other causes.
    UNASSIGNED: Using a contemporary population-based cohort, 7,962 individuals from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) aged over 40 years at baseline in 2003-2015 were included. During up to 109.2 (± 1.44) months of follow-up, 1,323 individuals died: 385 individuals died from cardiovascular disease, 290 from cancer, 80 from cerebrovascular disease, and 568 from other causes. Compared with the middle tertile remnant cholesterol level, multivariable-adjusted mortality hazard ratios were 1.20 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.40) for all-cause mortality. For the highest tertile remnant cholesterol level, multivariable-adjusted mortality hazard ratios were 1.21 (95% confidence interval 1.05,1.40). Our conclusions remained stable in subgroup analyses. Exploratory analysis of the cause of death subcategories showed corresponding hazard ratios of 1.25 (1.13-1.38) for Non-cardiovascular and Non-cerebrovascular Death for lower remnant cholesterol individuals, 1.47 (1.01-2.15) for cancer death for lower remnant cholesterol (RC) individuals, and 1.80 (1.36-2.38) for cancer death for higher RC individuals.
    UNASSIGNED: RC levels were associated with U-shaped all-cause mortality. RC was associated with mortality from non-cardiovascular, non-cerebrovascular, and cancer, but not from cardiovascular causes. This novel finding should be confirmed in other cohorts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    南非(SA)极易受到干旱对环境的影响,经济,和社会。然而,其对人类健康的影响尚不清楚。了解与不同人口群体中不同类型的干旱相关的死亡风险以及具体原因将有助于澄清所涉及的潜在机制。该研究旨在全面评估不同时间尺度的干旱对特定原因死亡率的影响(所有;传染性和寄生虫性;内分泌,营养,和代谢;心血管;呼吸)在SA中(从2009年至2016年),并根据性别和年龄确定更易受攻击的概况。我们还评估了城市化和地区级社会经济剥夺作为潜在风险调节剂。我们采用了两阶段时间序列研究设计,在积累的1、6、12和15个月时计算每周标准化降水-蒸散指数(SPEI),以识别不同持续时间的干旱(分别为SPEI1、6、12、15)。我们应用了通过平均温度调整的准Poisson回归,以评估SA所有地区城市中每种类型的干旱与每周死亡率之间的关系,然后将估计值汇集在一个元回归模型中。我们报告了干旱严重程度增加一个单位的相对风险(RR)。总的来说,我们发现干旱(不考虑时间尺度)与分析的所有死亡原因之间呈正相关.干旱事件持续时间更长(RR[95CI]:1.027[1.018,1.036](SPEI1);1.035[1.021,1.050](SPEI6);1.033[1.008,1.058](SPEI12);1.098[1.068,1.129](SPEI15))和呼吸死亡率(RISRs从1.037[1.021,1.053]变化。在最短的干旱中,年轻人发现了更大的脆弱性,老年人因中期和长期干旱,和儿童长期干旱。然而,差异不显著。需要进一步证明城市化以及人口和社会经济条件作为潜在风险调节剂的相关性。
    South Africa (SA) is highly vulnerable to the effects of drought on the environment, economy, and society. However, its effect on human health remains unclear. Understanding the mortality risk associated with different types of droughts in different population groups and by specific causes would help clarify the potential mechanisms involved. The study aims to comprehensively assess the effect of droughts of varying time scales on cause-specific mortality (all; infectious and parasitic; endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic; cardiovascular; respiratory) in SA (from 2009-2016) and identify more vulnerable profiles based on sex and age. We also evaluated the urbanicity and district-level socioeconomic deprivation as potential risk modifiers. We used a two-stage time-series study design, with the weekly standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI) calculated at 1, 6, 12, and 15 months of accumulation to identify droughts of different duration (SPEI1, 6, 12, 15, respectively). We applied a quasi-Poisson regression adjusted by mean temperature to assess the association between each type of drought and weekly mortality in all district municipalities of SA, and then pooled the estimates in a meta-regression model. We reported relative risks (RRs) for one unit increase of drought severity. Overall, we found a positive association between droughts (regardless the time scale) and all causes of death analyzed. The strongest associations were found for the drought events more prolonged (RR [95%CI]: 1.027 [1.018, 1.036] (SPEI1); 1.035 [1.021, 1.050] (SPEI6); 1.033 [1.008, 1.058] (SPEI12); 1.098 [1.068, 1.129] (SPEI15)) and respiratory mortality (RRs varied from 1.037 [1.021, 1.053] (SPEI1) to 1.189 [1.14, 1.241] (SPEI15)). An indication of greater vulnerability was found in younger adults for the shortest droughts, in older adults for medium-term and long-term droughts, and children for very long-term droughts. However, differences were not significant. Further evidence of the relevance of urbanicity and demographic and socioeconomic conditions as potential risk modifiers is needed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:过量饮酒对代谢功能障碍相关性脂肪肝(MAFLD)预后的影响尚不清楚。我们根据亚洲MAFLD患者的饮酒量调查了全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率。
    方法:这项全国性的回顾性研究包括996,508名40-79岁的成年人,他们在2009年至2012年间接受了健康检查。参与者按酒精消费分类-非酒精,适度酒精,和重度酒精组(男性≥30克/天,女性≥20g/天)以及是否存在MAFLD的组合。肝脏脂肪变性定义为脂肪肝指数≥30。Cox分析用于分析饮酒和MAFLD与全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率之间的关系。
    结果:MAFLD显著增加了所有原因,肝脏-,和癌症相关的死亡率。与非MAFLD和非酒精组相比,MAFLD和重度饮酒的个体在肝脏相关死亡率中表现出最高的死亡风险(调整后的风险比(HR),9.8;95%置信区间(CI),8.20-12.29)。不管MAFLD,大量饮酒会增加肝脏和癌症相关死亡的风险.
    结论:MAFLD和大量饮酒增加了所有原因,肝脏-,和癌症相关的死亡率。大量饮酒和MAFLD协同增加肝脏相关死亡率。
    BACKGROUND: The effects of excessive alcohol consumption on the prognosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) remain unclear. We investigated all-cause and cause-specific mortality according to the amount of alcohol consumed by Asian individuals with MAFLD.
    METHODS: This nationwide retrospective study included 996,508 adults aged 40-79 years who underwent health check-ups between 2009 and 2012. Participants were categorized by the alcohol consumption-non-alcohol, moderate alcohol, and heavy alcohol group (≥ 30 g/day for men, ≥ 20 g/day for women) and by the combination of the presence or absence of MAFLD. Hepatic steatosis was defined as the fatty liver index ≥ 30. Cox analyses were used to analyze the association between alcohol consumption and MAFLD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.
    RESULTS: MAFLD significantly increased all-cause, liver-, and cancer-related mortality. Individuals with both MAFLD and heavy alcohol consumption expressed the highest mortality risk in liver-related mortality compared to non-MAFLD and non-alcohol group (adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 9.8; 95% confidence interval (CI), 8.20-12.29). Regardless of MAFLD, heavy alcohol consumption increased the risk of liver- and cancer-related mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD and heavy alcohol consumption increased all-cause, liver-, and cancer-related mortality. Heavy alcohol consumption and MAFLD synergistically increase liver-related mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目前尚不清楚风险因素与不同年龄的死亡和死亡负担之间的年龄特异性关联。在全港回顾性队列中,确定了1,012,228名患有高血压的成年人。包括糖尿病在内的合并症,慢性肾脏病(CKD),心血管疾病(CVD),心力衰竭,和癌症,和危险因素,包括当前吸烟和血压控制欠佳(BP),定义了葡萄糖和低密度脂蛋白胆固醇.评估了各年龄组(18-54、55-64、65-74和≥75岁)的合并症/危险因素与全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率的关系。人口归因分数也进行了量化。在10.7年的中位随访中,244,268名(24.1%)患者死亡,肺炎(7.2%),癌症(5.1%),心血管疾病(4.2%)是主要原因。尽管死亡人数随着年龄的增长而增加,与合并症/危险因素相关的相对死亡风险随年龄增长而降低;原因特异性死亡率的模式相似.评估的危险因素占24.0%(95%CI22.5%,25.4%)死亡,在最年轻的组中比例最高(33.5%[28.1%,38.5%]在18-54年对19.4%[17.0%,21.6%]≥75年)。对于死亡负担,CKD是总体主要风险因素(12.7%[12.4%,12.9%]),老年患者的比例更高(≥65岁时为11.1-13.1%),而糖尿病是年轻患者的主要危险因素(18-54岁为15.9-13.5%)。在年轻的高血压患者中,合并症或危险因素与死亡率的关联更强。尽管年轻患者的绝对死亡率低于老年人。主要风险因素因年龄而异,突出针对性和精准性风险管理的重要性。
    It remains unclear the age-specific associations of risk factors with deaths and mortality burden attributable across age. In a territory-wide retrospective cohort, 1,012,228 adults with hypertension were identified. Comorbidities including diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), heart failure, and cancer, and risk factors including current smoking and suboptimal control of blood pressure (BP), glucose and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were defined. Associations of comorbidities/risk factors with all-cause and cause-specific mortality across age groups (18-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years) were assessed. Population attributable fractions were also quantified. During a median follow-up of 10.7 years, 244,268 (24.1%) patients died, with pneumonia (7.2%), cancer (5.1%), and CVD (4.2%) being the leading causes. Despite increasing deaths with age, relative risk of mortality related to comorbidities/risk factors decreased with age; similar patterns were found for cause-specific mortality. The assessed risk factors accounted for 24.0% (95% CI 22.5%, 25.4%) deaths, with highest proportion in the youngest group (33.5% [28.1%, 38.5%] in 18-54 years vs 19.4% [17.0%, 21.6%] in ≥75 years). For mortality burden, CKD was the overall leading risk factor (12.7% [12.4%, 12.9%]) with higher proportions in older patients (11.1-13.1% in ≥65 years), while diabetes was the leading risk factor in younger patients (15.9-13.5% in 18-54 years). The association of comorbidities or risk factors with mortality is stronger in younger patients with hypertension, despite lower absolute mortality in young patients than in the elderly. Leading risk factors differed across age, highlighting the importance of targeted and precise risk management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:这项研究调查了2020年和2021年COVID-19大流行期间12个国家的特定原因死亡率。
    方法:我们每周收集呼吸道疾病的特定原因死亡率数据,肺炎,来自国家重要统计数据库的心血管疾病(CVD)和癌症。我们计算了呼吸系统疾病的超额死亡率(不包括COVID-19代码),肺炎,2020年和2021年的CVD,根据历史数据(2015-2019年)将每周观察到的死亡率与预期死亡率进行比较,考虑季节性趋势。我们使用多水平回归模型来调查国家一级大流行相关变量与特定原因死亡率之间的关系。
    结果:在2020年和/或2021年观察到呼吸道疾病和肺炎的累积死亡率显着降低,格鲁吉亚除外,北爱尔兰,哈萨克斯坦,乌克兰,表现出一种或两种原因的超额死亡率。澳大利亚,奥地利,塞浦路斯,格鲁吉亚,北爱尔兰在2020年和/或2021年经历了超过累积的CVD死亡率。澳大利亚,奥地利,巴西,塞浦路斯,格鲁吉亚,北爱尔兰,苏格兰和斯洛文尼亚,与前几年相比,2020年和/或2021年期间经历了粗累积癌症死亡率的增加。在与大流行相关的变量中,报告的COVID-19发病率与癌症死亡率增加呈负相关,呼吸过度,(2020年)和肺炎(2021年)死亡率,与呼吸和心血管疾病死亡率呈正相关(2021年)。严格的控制措施与过度呼吸道疾病呈负相关,CVD,癌症死亡率增加(2021年)。
    结论:这项研究提供了心血管疾病导致大量超额死亡率的证据,在这两年中,大多数被调查国家的呼吸道疾病和肺炎都显著减少。我们的研究还强调了严格的控制措施在减少2021年大多数原因导致的超额死亡率方面的有益影响。
    BACKGROUND: This study investigated cause-specific mortality rates in 12 countries during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021.
    METHODS: We collected weekly cause-specific mortality data from respiratory disease, pneumonia, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer from national vital statistic databases. We calculated excess mortality for respiratory disease (excluding COVID-19 codes), pneumonia, and CVD in 2020 and 2021 by comparing observed weekly against expected mortality based on historical data (2015-2019), accounting for seasonal trends. We used multilevel regression models to investigate the association between country-level pandemic-related variables and cause-specific mortality.
    RESULTS: Significant reductions in cumulative mortality from respiratory disease and pneumonia were observed in 2020 and/or 2021, except for Georgia, Northern Ireland, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine, which exhibited excess mortality for one or both causes. Australia, Austria, Cyprus, Georgia, and Northern Ireland experienced excess cumulative CVD mortality in 2020 and/or 2021. Australia, Austria, Brazil, Cyprus, Georgia, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Slovenia, experienced increased crude cumulative cancer mortality during 2020 and/or 2021 compared to previous years. Among pandemic-related variables, reported COVID-19 incidence was negatively associated with increased cancer mortality, excess respiratory, (2020) and pneumonia (2021) mortality, and positively associated with respiratory and CVD mortality (2021). Stringency of control measures were negatively associated with excess respiratory disease, CVD, and increased cancer mortality (2021).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence of substantial excess mortality from CVD, and notable reductions in respiratory disease and pneumonia in both years across most countries investigated. Our study also highlights the beneficial impact of stringent control measures in mitigating excess mortality from most causes in 2021.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生物多样性被认为是人类健康和福祉的积极贡献者。心血管疾病和癌症是全球最重要的两个健康负担。了解它们与生物多样性的关系是促进生物多样性保护和人类健康的重要一步。
    鸟类的物种丰富度是生物多样性的常见指标,鉴于他们数量众多,独特的分布,和对环境干扰的急性敏感性。这项生态研究利用了来自eBird数据库的鸟类观测数据,来自国际卫生计量和评估的人类健康数据,和县级统计,包括人口特征,社会经济学,医疗保健服务,居住环境,以及2014年的地理和气候特征。我们的目标是广泛探索生物多样性之间的个体关联(即,鸟类物种丰富度)和年龄标准化的原因特定死亡率在美国(US)的不同类型的癌症(29种疾病)和心血管疾病(10种疾病)。
    我们对多种社会人口统计学和地理因素进行调整的多元回归分析显示,鸟类稀有物种丰富度的增加与五种最常见癌症中三种的死亡率降低有关。即,气管,支气管,肺癌,乳腺癌(仅限女性),还有结肠癌和直肠癌.对于心血管疾病,在缺血性心脏病和脑血管疾病这两个最常见的死亡原因中也观察到了相似的关系.这项研究提供了有关生物多样性对人类健康有益影响的扩展细节。
    Biodiversity has been recognized as a positive contributor to human health and wellbeing. Cardiovascular disease and cancer are the two most significant global health burdens, and understanding their relationship with biodiversity forms an essential step toward promoting biodiversity conservation and human health.
    The species richness of birds is a common indicator of biodiversity, given their vast numbers, distinctive distribution, and acute sensitivity to environmental disturbances. This ecological study utilized avian observation data derived from the eBird database, human health data from the International Health Metrics and Evaluation, and county-level statistics, including population characteristics, socio-economics, healthcare service, residential environment, and geographic and climatic characteristics in 2014. We aimed to extensively explore the individual associations between biodiversity (i.e., avian species richness) and age-standardized cause-specific mortalities for different types of cancers (29 conditions) and cardiovascular diseases (10 conditions) across the United States (US).
    Our multiple regression analyses that adjusted for a variety of socio-demographic and geographical factors showed that increased rarefied species richness of birds was associated with reduced mortality rates for three of the five most common cancers, namely, tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer, breast cancer (in women only), and colon and rectal cancer. For cardiovascular conditions, a similar relationship was observed for ischemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease-the two most frequent causes of mortality. This study provided extended details regarding the beneficial effects of biodiversity on human health.
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