causation

因果关系
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这份手稿总结了第一作者在2024年卡尔文·施瓦贝兽医流行病学和预防医学终身成就奖研讨会上发表的演讲,授予JanSargeant博士.流行病学研究在理解暴露与健康结果之间的复杂关系中起着至关重要的作用。然而,从这些调查中得出的结论的准确性取决于对暴露变量的精心选择和测量。适当的暴露变量选择对于了解疾病病因至关重要,但通常情况下,我们无法直接测量感兴趣的风险敞口变量,而是使用代理度量来评估风险敞口。不适当地使用代理措施可能会导致对真正的利益暴露做出错误的结论。这些错误可能导致对风险敞口和结果之间关联的估计有偏差。这种偏见的后果超出了研究的关注,因为可以根据有缺陷的证据做出健康决定。认识到并减轻这些偏见对于提供可靠的证据来指导卫生政策和干预措施至关重要。最终有助于改善人口健康结果。为了应对这些挑战,研究人员必须采用严格的方法进行暴露变量选择和验证研究,以最大程度地减少测量误差。
    This manuscript summarizes a presentation delivered by the first author at the 2024 symposium for the Calvin Schwabe Award for Lifetime Achievement in Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, which was awarded to Dr. Jan Sargeant. Epidemiologic research plays a crucial role in understanding the complex relationships between exposures and health outcomes. However, the accuracy of the conclusions drawn from these investigations relies upon the meticulous selection and measurement of exposure variables. Appropriate exposure variable selection is crucial for understanding disease etiologies, but it is often the case that we are not able to directly measure the exposure variable of interest and use proxy measures to assess exposures instead. Inappropriate use of proxy measures can lead to erroneous conclusions being made about the true exposure of interest. These errors may lead to biased estimates of associations between exposures and outcomes. The consequences of such biases extend beyond research concerns as health decisions can be made based on flawed evidence. Recognizing and mitigating these biases are essential for producing reliable evidence that informs health policies and interventions, ultimately contributing to improved population health outcomes. To address these challenges, researchers must adopt rigorous methodologies for exposure variable selection and validation studies to minimize measurement errors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    泛心理主义和二元论的复兴是现代神经科学中正在进行的辩论。尽管形而上学上充满敌意,泛心理学和二元论都坚持在意识科学中,因为前者被提出作为将意识融入物理现实结构的问题的直接答案,而后者提出了一个简单的解决方案,通过赋予意识与因果权力作为道德责任的先决条件,自由意志的问题。我将综合信息理论(IIT)视为意识理论(ToC)的范例,该理论在统一的框架内致力于泛心理主义和二元论。这些特征不是,然而,独特的IIT。每当他们努力提出意识的普遍定义时,许多ToCs都隐含地倾向于某种程度的泛心理主义,与一种或另一种已知现象有关。然而,那些可以被定性为强烈涌现的拓扑结构有成为二元论的风险。在生命的进化理论中可以找到一种针对隐秘的二元论和不舒服的泛灵论推论的补救措施,这里称为“生物原心理学”,并在自体生成和自由能原理方面进行了概括。生物原心理学通过将弱紧急意识状态的流与大脑的大量信息(最佳猜测)相关联,为极简主义的意识方法提供了生物学启发的基础,从事无意识的预测处理。
    A resurgence of panpsychism and dualism is a matter of ongoing debate in modern neuroscience. Although metaphysically hostile, panpsychism and dualism both persist in the science of consciousness because the former is proposed as a straightforward answer to the problem of integrating consciousness into the fabric of physical reality, whereas the latter proposes a simple solution to the problem of free will by endowing consciousness with causal power as a prerequisite for moral responsibility. I take the Integrated Information Theory (IIT) as a paradigmatic exemplar of a theory of consciousness (ToC) that makes its commitments to panpsychism and dualism within a unified framework. These features are not, however, unique for IIT. Many ToCs are implicitly prone to some degree of panpsychism whenever they strive to propose a universal definition of consciousness, associated with one or another known phenomenon. Yet, those ToCs that can be characterized as strongly emergent are at risk of being dualist. A remedy against both covert dualism and uncomfortable corollaries of panpsychism can be found in the evolutionary theory of life, called here \"bioprotopsychism\" and generalized in terms of autopoiesis and the free energy principle. Bioprotopsychism provides a biologically inspired basis for a minimalist approach to consciousness via the triad \"chemotaxis-efference copy mechanism-counterfactual active inference\" by associating the stream of weakly emergent conscious states with an amount of information (best guesses) of the brain, engaged in unconscious predictive processing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    石棉是一种致癌物质,可导致肺癌。怀疑肺癌诊断可能与接触石棉有关,这与治疗无关。然而,将个人的肺癌归因于石棉暴露具有重要的法医学意义,并可能影响公共卫生措施和政策。同时暴露于其他致癌物(如烟草烟雾,二氧化硅和许多其他)在试图回答因果关系问题时增加了复杂性。制定赫尔辛基标准是为了帮助将肺癌归因于以前的石棉暴露。可以使用替代标记物,包括石棉沉着症和胸膜斑块的体征。最广泛使用的标准是通过光学显微镜检查与2个或更多石棉体/1cm2组织切片结合的间质纤维化。石棉体的鉴定为石棉诊断提供了重要的手段。然而,纤维化可能是微妙的,石棉体的分布在整个肺部并不均匀,某些类型的石棉纤维具有低生物持久性,并非所有类型的石棉都容易形成石棉体。其他标准需要了解接触史,病理学家通常不知道,但孤立依赖形态学可能导致间质性肺病错误分类为特发性。虽然与吸烟有关的肺癌特征已经出现,与石棉相关的肺癌特征尚未确定。在这篇综述中,我们将讨论外科病理学家的实践要点。
    Asbestos is a carcinogen that can cause lung cancer. The suspicion that a lung cancer diagnosis may be associated with exposure to asbestos has no bearing on treatment. However, attributing an individual\'s lung cancer to asbestos exposure has important medicolegal implications and may impact public health measures and policy. Simultaneous exposure(s) to other carcinogens (such as tobacco smoke, silica and many others) adds complexity while trying to answer the causation question. The Helsinki criteria were formulated to assist attributing lung cancer to previous asbestos exposure. Surrogate markers can be used and include signs of asbestosis and pleural plaques. The most widely used criterion for the presence of asbestosis is interstitial fibrosis in conjunction with 2 or more asbestos bodies/1 cm2 tissue section by light microscopy. Identification of asbestos bodies ty light pr electron microscopy provides an important element for asbestos diagnosis. However, fibrosis may be subtle, and the distribution of asbestos bodies is not uniform throughout the lungs, some types of asbestos fibres have low biopersistence, and not all types of asbestos readily form asbestos bodies. Additional criteria require knowledge of exposure history, which is often unknown to pathologists, but reliance on morphology in isolation may lead to mis-classification of interstitial lung disease as idiopathic. While a smoking-related lung cancer signature has emerged, an asbestos-related lung cancer signature has not yet been identified. In this review we will discuss practice points for the surgical pathologist.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    海藻在世界海岸线上发挥着强大的生态和经济作用,他们支持行业(例如,水产养殖,生物产品)和基本生态系统服务(例如,生物多样性,渔业,碳捕获)。来自野生和养殖海藻的证据表明,微生物在其健康和功能中起着至关重要的作用,这促使人们需要将海藻及其微生物组视为一个连贯的实体或“完整的生物”。“在这里,我们表明,在过去的二十年中,研究海藻宿主及其微生物组的研究数量有所增加。这可能反映了对微生物对真核宿主的重要性的认识的增加,用于表征它们相互作用的改进的分子方法,以及对海藻的商业用途越来越感兴趣。然而,虽然越来越多,大多数对海藻的研究集中在(i)一些具有生态或商业意义的海藻物种,(ii)仅涉及细菌的相互作用,和(iii)描述性而非实验性方法。相对较少的实验研究主要集中在操纵非生物因素以检查海藻及其微生物组的反应。在少数直接操纵微生物以研究其对海藻的影响的研究中,大多数是在实验室或水族馆完成的。我们强调需要超越对模式的描述,转向理解因果关系和机制的实验方法。我们认为,这样的实验方法对于更好地理解海藻完整蛋白是必要的,对于野生和栽培海藻的管理行动,并更好地将对海藻的研究与更广泛的海藻生态学和生物学领域相结合,具有很强的实验性。
    Seaweeds play a strong ecological and economical role along the world\'s coastlines, where they support industries (e.g., aquaculture, bioproducts) and essential ecosystem services (e.g., biodiversity, fisheries, carbon capture). Evidence from wild and cultured seaweeds suggests that microorganisms play crucial roles in their health and functioning, prompting the need for considering seaweeds and their microbiome as a coherent entity or \"holobiont.\" Here we show that the number of studies investigating seaweed hosts and their microbiome have increased in the last two decades. This likely reflects the increase in the appreciation of the importance of microbiomes for eukaryotic hosts, improved molecular approaches used to characterize their interactions, and increasing interest in commercial use of seaweeds. However, although increasing, most studies of seaweed holobionts have focused on (i) a few seaweed species of ecological or commercial significance, (ii) interactions involving only bacteria, and (iii) descriptive rather than experimental approaches. The relatively few experimental studies have mostly focused on manipulating abiotic factors to examine responses of seaweeds and their microbiome. Of the few studies that directly manipulated microorganisms to investigate their effects on seaweeds, most were done in laboratory or aquaria. We emphasize the need to move beyond the descriptions of patterns to experimental approaches for understanding causation and mechanisms. We argue that such experimental approaches are necessary for a better understanding of seaweed holobionts, for management actions for wild and cultivated seaweeds, and to better integrate studies of seaweed holobionts with the broader fields of seaweed ecology and biology, which are strongly experimental.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:银屑病和白癜风都是自身免疫性皮肤病。以前的观察研究表明这两种情况之间存在关系,两种疾病同时发作会增加患者的健康风险。然而,有限的研究探讨了银屑病和白癜风之间的因果关系。
    目的:探讨银屑病与白癜风之间是否存在因果关系。
    方法:报道1例诊断为银屑病和白癜风的中国患者。转录组测序是在正常,牛皮癣,白癜风,以及患者的共同皮肤组织,并对共病皮肤组织进行单细胞转录组测序。对IEUOpenGWAS项目的261018名欧洲牛皮癣患者和国立卫生研究院(NIH)基因型和表型数据库的白癜风患者进行了全基因组关联研究(GWAS)的孟德尔随机综合分析。
    结果:病例报告和转录组结果显示,白癜风合并银屑病的皮肤组织表现为白癜风和银屑病。单细胞转录组测序结果显示,与正常皮肤和银屑病皮肤相比,CD8+T细胞的比例,自然杀伤细胞,幼稚T细胞,辅助性T细胞17,调节性T细胞,常规1型树突状细胞,常规2型树突状细胞,白癜风合并银屑病皮肤组织中浆细胞样树突状细胞均增多。孟德尔随机化分析包括4510例银屑病患者和4680例白癜风患者。结果显示白癜风和牛皮癣在向前方向上没有因果关系(p=0.192;比值比[OR],1.059;95%置信区间[CI],0.971-1.155)或反向(p=0.459;或,0.927;95%CI,0.757-1.134)。
    结论:本研究提示银屑病与白癜风的关系可能与免疫密切相关,然而,孟德尔随机化研究不支持因果关系。这些发现对旨在提高对牛皮癣和白癜风的理解和治疗方法的临床医生具有重要意义。
    BACKGROUND: Both psoriasis and vitiligo are autoimmune skin diseases. Previous observational studies have indicated a relationship between the two conditions, and simultaneous onset of both diseases poses increased health risks to patients. However, limited research has explored the causal relationship between psoriasis and vitiligo.
    OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether a causal association exists between psoriasis and vitiligo.
    METHODS: A case of Chinese patients diagnosed with psoriasis and vitiligo has been reported. Transcriptome sequencing was performed on normal, psoriasis, vitiligo, and co-morbid skin tissues of the patients, and single-cell transcriptome sequencing was conducted on the co-morbid skin tissues. A comprehensive Mendelian randomization analysis of Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) was performed on a cohort of 261 018 European individuals with psoriasis from the IEU Open GWAS Project and vitiligo from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Database of Genotypes and Phenotypes.
    RESULTS: Case report and transcriptome results showed that skin tissue with vitiligo combined with psoriasis exhibited both vitiligo and psoriasis. Single-cell transcriptome sequencing results showed that in comparison to normal skin and psoriatic skin, the proportions of CD8+ T cells, natural killer cells, naive T cells, T helper cells 17, regulatory T cells, conventional type 1 dendritic cells, Conventional type 2 dendritic cells, and plasmacytoid dendritic cells were all increased in skin tissue with vitiligo combined with psoriasis. Mendelian randomization analysis included 4510 patients with psoriasis and 4680 patients with vitiligo. The results showed no causal relationship between vitiligo and psoriasis in the forward direction (p = 0.192; odds ratio [OR], 1.059; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.971-1.155) or in the reverse direction (p = 0.459; OR, 0.927; 95% CI, 0.757-1.134).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the association between psoriasis and vitiligo may be closely related to immunity, however, Mendelian randomization studies do not support a causal relationship. These findings hold significant implications for clinicians aiming to enhance their understanding and treatment approaches for psoriasis and vitiligo.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    观察性研究报告了青光眼与中风之间的正相关关系;然而,结果存在争议。重要的是,这种关系的性质仍然未知,因为以前的研究没有设计来检验因果关系.因此,我们旨在调查青光眼与卒中之间可能的因果关系.
    我们的两个样本孟德尔随机化(MR)涵盖了多种族大规模全基因组关联研究,涉及20000多个青光眼病例和260000个对照,超过80000例和630000例中风对照。使用逆方差加权(IVW)方法组合每个SNP的个体效应估计。为了避免潜在的多效性效应,我们通过排除与代谢因素相关的遗传变异来调整主要结果.加权中位数和MR-Egger方法也用于敏感性分析。
    我们的MR分析显示青光眼及其亚型,包括原发性开角型青光眼和原发性闭角型青光眼,与任何中风(AS)没有因果关系,任何缺血性卒中(AIS),大动脉粥样硬化性中风(LAS),小血管冲程(SVS),或心脏栓塞性卒中(CES)在MR分析中(所有P>0.05)。即使在调整了与代谢相关的性状之后,无效关联仍然保持稳健,并且在欧洲和亚洲人群中都是一致的。此外,反向MR分析也没有表明AS的任何显著因果影响,AIS,LAS,或CES对青光眼的风险。
    我们使用大规模人群MR分析的一系列因果推断方法的证据不支持青光眼和卒中之间的因果效应。这些发现表明,在未来的研究中,应仔细评估青光眼管理与中风风险预防之间的关系。反过来,卒中诊断不应简单地应用于青光眼风险预测。
    UNASSIGNED: Observational studies have reported positive associations between glaucoma and stroke; however, controversial results exist. Importantly, the nature of the relationship remains unknown since previous studies were not designed to test causality. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the possible causal relationships between glaucoma and stroke.
    UNASSIGNED: Our two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) encompassed multi-ethnic large-scale genome-wide association studies with more than 20000 cases and 260000 controls for glaucoma, and more than 80000 cases and 630000 controls for stroke. Individual effect estimates for each SNP were combined using the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. To avoid potential pleiotropic effects, we adjusted the main results by excluding genetic variants associated with metabolic factors. The weighted median and MR-Egger methods were also used for the sensitivity analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: Our MR analysis revealed that glaucoma and its subtypes, including primary open-angle glaucoma and primary angle-closure glaucoma, exhibited no causal role in relation to any stroke (AS), any ischemic stroke (AIS), large-artery atherosclerotic stroke (LAS), small-vessel stroke (SVS), or cardioembolic stroke (CES) across MR analyses (all P ​> ​0.05). The null associations remained robust even after adjusting for metabolic-related traits and were consistent in both the European and Asian populations. Furthermore, reverse MR analyses also did not indicate any significant causal effects of AS, AIS, LAS, or CES on glaucoma risk.
    UNASSIGNED: Evidence from our series of causal inference approaches using large-scale population-based MR analyses did not support causal effects between glaucoma and stroke. These findings suggest that the relationship of glaucoma management and stroke risk prevention should be carefully evaluated in future studies. In turn, stroke diagnosis should not be simply applied to glaucoma risk prediction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:循证实践是管理一系列医疗保健实践和超越的原则。然而,它缺乏哲学上的严谨性。本文着手分析循证实践的认识论基础。
    方法:本文采用了概念分析。首先,它描述了在循证实践中工作的内隐认识论。第二,它评价了内隐的认识论基础。
    结果:分析表明,基于证据的实践缺乏明确的认识论基础。它显示,此外,隐含的认识论基础是站不住脚的。
    结论:有必要重新思考以证据为基础的实践的认识论基础。循证实践与科学哲学的发展脱节。
    BACKGROUND: Evidence-based practice is the principle governing a range of healthcare practices and beyond. However, it has suffered from a lack of philosophical rigour. This paper sets out to analyse the epistemological basis of evidence-based practice.
    METHODS: The paper uses a conceptual analysis. First, it describes the implicit epistemology at work in evidence-based practice. Second, it evaluates the implicit epistemological basis.
    RESULTS: The analysis indicates that evidence-based practice lacks an explicit epistemological basis. It shows, moreover, that the implicit epistemological basis is untenable.
    CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to re-think the epistemological basis for evidence-based practice. Evidence-based practice is out of touch with developments within philosophy of science.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文综述了饮用水中锂与心理健康的关系。在调查中引起越来越多关注的主题。锂,一种在精神药物中具有公认作用的金属,在饮用水中发现微量的,研究表明,它与较低的自杀率和某些精神疾病的潜在相关性。然而,这些相关性并不意味着因果关系,有必要审查基本机制。饮用水中的锂浓度在全球范围内各不相同,在为“高”或“低”级别建立通用阈值方面提出了挑战。此外,潜在心理健康益处的最佳剂量仍不确定.锂不被认为是必需营养素,由于可能存在毒性风险,应谨慎进行补充,强调医疗监督的重要性。缺乏因果关系和需要进一步调查的持续需要强调了谨慎解释和透明沟通在导航这一不断发展的领域的重要性。
    This review explores the relationship between lithium in drinking water and mental health, a subject that has garnered increasing attention in investigations. Lithium, a metal with a well-established role in psychiatric medications, is found in trace amounts in drinking water, and studies suggest its potential correlations with lower rates of suicide and certain psychiatric disorders. However, these correlations do not imply causation, necessitating an examination of the underlying mechanisms. Lithium concentrations in drinking water vary globally, presenting challenges in establishing a universal threshold for \"high\" or \"low\" levels. Additionally, the optimal dosage for potential mental health benefits remains uncertain. Lithium is not considered an essential nutrient, and supplementation should be approached with caution due to possible toxicity risks, emphasizing the importance of medical supervision. The lack of causation and ongoing need for further investigation underscores the importance of cautious interpretation and transparent communication in navigating this evolving field.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近媒体对引人注目的颈动脉夹层(CAD)病例的报道引发了有关颈椎操纵(CSM)在引起颈动脉夹层中的作用的讨论。然而,研究不支持颈椎操作和颈椎动脉夹层之间的因果关系。这项研究的目的是回顾最近的10例颈椎推拿和颈椎动脉夹层的病例报告,以令人信服的证据证明颈椎推拿造成颈椎动脉夹层的原因。10例病例报告中有9例没有令人信服的证据表明颈椎操作与颈动脉夹层之间存在因果关系。第10例病例报告是例外,因为CSM因先前存在的颈椎病理而禁忌。我们得出的结论是,这10例病例报告没有提供令人信服的证据证明在健康的颈椎中通过颈椎操纵引起的颈动脉夹层。一例病例报告表明,在存在颈椎病理的情况下进行颈椎操作可导致颈动脉夹层。因此,我们得出的结论是,从业者在进行颈椎手术之前应排除颈椎病理。
    Recent media coverage of high-profile cases of cervical artery dissection (CAD) has ignited the discussion about the role of cervical spine manipulation (CSM) in causing cervical artery dissection. However, research does not support a causal association between cervical spine manipulation and cervical artery dissection in a healthy cervical spine. The objective of this study was to review the 10 most recent case reports of cervical spine manipulation and cervical artery dissection for convincing evidence of the causation of cervical artery dissection by cervical spine manipulation. Nine of 10 case reports showed no convincing evidence of a causal relationship between cervical spine manipulation and cervical artery dissection. The 10th case report was exceptional as the CSM was contraindicated by pre-existing cervical spine pathology. We conclude that these 10 case reports provide no convincing evidence of the causation of cervical artery dissection by cervical spine manipulation in a healthy cervical spine. One case report demonstrated that cervical spine manipulation can cause cervical artery dissection when performed in the presence of pre-existing cervical spine pathology. Therefore, we conclude that practitioners should exclude cervical spine pathology before performing cervical spine manipulation.
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