cancer-specific survival (CSS)

癌症特异性生存率 ( CSS )
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:肾细胞癌(RCC)术前副肿瘤综合征(PNS)的患病率知之甚少。当纳入RCC的预测生存模型时,代表PNS的许多实验室异常已经证明了预后价值。我们试图描述肾切除术后RCC患者PNS基线患病率与总生存期(OS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)之间的关系。
    方法:我们前瞻性维护的肾切除术数据库对任何阶段进行了回顾性分析,2000年至2022年接受手术的主要组织学RCC患者。需要90天内的基线实验室值(最接近使用)。根据建立的实验室截止值定义PNS的存在。Kaplan-Meier曲线估计生存率,多变量Cox比例风险模型检查了肾切除术后PNS与OS和CSS之间的关联。
    结果:2599例患者被纳入列出的分期:1494期I;180期II;616期III;306期IV。从I期(31.3%)到IV期(74.2%),PNS>1的患者比例显着增加(P<.001)。C反应蛋白升高是最普遍的PNS(45.4%)。在多变量分析中,>1PNS的存在与更高的全因风险(HR2.09;P<.001)和癌症特异性死亡率(HR2.55;P<.001)相关.报告的10年操作系统估计:65.2%(无PNS),52.3%(1个PNS),36.6%(>1个PNS);10年CSS估计:88.3%(无PNS),79.3%(1个PNS),61.6%(>1个PNS)。
    结论:主要组织学RCC中PNS患病率增加与全因死亡率和癌症特异性死亡率风险显著增加相关,即使考虑患者和疾病特征。
    BACKGROUND: The prevalence of preoperative paraneoplastic syndromes (PNS) in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is poorly understood. Many laboratory abnormalities representative of PNS have demonstrated prognostic value when incorporated into predictive survival models in RCC. We sought to characterize the relationship between baseline prevalence of PNS with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in RCC patients following nephrectomy.
    METHODS: Our prospectively maintained nephrectomy database was retrospectively reviewed for any stage, major histology RCC patients that underwent surgery from 2000 to 2022. Baseline laboratory values within 90 days (closest used) were required. Presence of PNS was defined according to established laboratory cutoffs. Kaplan-Meier curves estimated survival rates, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models examined the association between PNS with OS and CSS following nephrectomy.
    RESULTS: 2599 patients were included with listed staging: 1494 Stage I; 180 Stage II; 616 Stage III; 306 Stage IV. Proportion of patients presenting with >1 PNS significantly increased from stage I (31.3%) to stage IV (74.2%) RCC (P < .001). Elevated C-reactive protein was the most prevalent PNS (45.4%). On multivariable analysis, the presence of >1 PNS was associated with higher risk of all-cause (HR 2.09; P < .001) and cancer-specific mortality (HR 2.55; P < .001). The 10-year OS estimates as reported: 65.2% (no PNS), 52.3% (1 PNS), 36.6% (>1 PNS); and 10-year CSS estimates: 88.3% (no PNS), 79.3% (1 PNS), 61.6% (>1 PNS).
    CONCLUSIONS: Increased prevalence of PNS in major histology RCC was associated with a significant increase in the risk of all-cause and cancer-specific mortality even when accounting for patient and disease characteristics.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    引言胃癌,一个重大的公共卫生问题,仍然是最具挑战性的恶性肿瘤之一,以有效地治疗。在美国,胃癌的生存率历来很低,部分原因是晚期诊断和获得护理的差距。《平价医疗法案》(ACA)试图通过扩大医疗保健覆盖面和改善获得预防和早期治疗服务的机会来解决这种差距。目的本研究旨在确定ACA实施对胃癌生存率的因果影响,专注于美国两个不同州之间的比较分析:新泽西州,完全接受ACA条款,格鲁吉亚,它没有采取这项政策,截至2023年。方法回顾性分析,我们利用了监控的数据,流行病学,和最终结果计划(SEER)注册表,以评估ACA对胃癌患者癌症特异性生存率(CSS)的影响。该研究涵盖了2000年至2020年的时期,分为ACA前(2000-2013年)和ACA后(2016-2020年),为期两年的清洗(2013-2015)。我们使用差异差异(DiD)方法将佐治亚州(非扩张状态)与新泽西州(自2014年以来的扩张状态)进行了比较。我们根据病人的人口统计进行了调整,收入,大都市地位,疾病阶段,和治疗方式。结果在25,061例患者中,58.7%在新泽西州(14,711),而41.3%在格鲁吉亚(10,350)。ACA前期包括18,878名患者(佐治亚州为40.0%,新泽西州为60.0%),6,183例患者处于ACA后阶段(乔治亚州占45.2%,新泽西州占54.8%)。在胃癌患者中,ACA后时期与死亡率风险降低20%相关。无论居住状态如何(HR=0.80,95%CI:0.73-0.88)。与ACA后居住在佐治亚州的患者相比,新泽西州居民的患者的死亡率降低了12%(HR=0.88,95%CI:0.78-0.99)。与生存结果改善相关的其他因素包括手术(OR=0.30,95%CI:0.28-0.34)和女性(OR=0.83,95%CI:0.76-0.91)。结论本研究强调了ACA对胃癌患者CSS的潜在积极影响,强调医疗政策干预对改善患者预后的重要性。
    Introduction  Gastric cancer, a significant public health concern, remains one of the most challenging malignancies to treat effectively. In the United States, survival rates for gastric cancer have historically been low, partly due to late-stage diagnosis and disparities in access to care. The Affordable Care Act (ACA) sought to address such disparities by expanding healthcare coverage and improving access to preventive and early treatment services.  Objective This study aims to determine the causal effects of the ACA\'s implementation on gastric cancer survival rates, focusing on a comparative analysis between two distinct U.S. states: New Jersey, which fully embraced ACA provisions, and Georgia, which has not adopted the policy, as of 2023.  Methods In this retrospective analysis, we utilized data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) registry to assess the impact of the ACA on cancer-specific survival (CSS) among gastric cancer patients. The study spanned the period from 2000 to 2020, divided into pre-ACA (2000-2013) and post-ACA (2016-2020) periods, with a two-year washout (2013-2015). We compared Georgia (a non-expansion state) to New Jersey (an expansion state since 2014) using a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) approach. We adjusted for patient demographics, income, metropolitan status, disease stage, and treatment modalities.  Results Among 25,061 patients, 58.7% were in New Jersey (14,711), while 41.3% were in Georgia (10,350). The pre-ACA period included 18,878 patients (40.0% in Georgia and 60.0% in New Jersey), and 6,183 patients were in the post-ACA period (45.2% in Georgia and 54.8% in New Jersey). The post-ACA period was associated with a 20% reduction in mortality hazard among gastric cancer patients, irrespective of the state of residence (HR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.73-0.88). Patients who were residents of New Jersey experienced a 12% reduction in mortality hazard compared to those who resided in Georgia in the post-ACA period (HR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.78-0.99). Other factors linked to improved survival outcomes included surgery (OR = 0.30, 95% CI: 0.28-0.34) and female gender (OR=0.83, 95% CI: 0.76-0.91).  Conclusion The study underscores the ACA\'s potential positive impact on CSS among gastric cancer patients, emphasizing the importance of healthcare policy interventions in improving patient outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肝细胞癌(HCC)对生命构成全球性威胁;然而,预测这些患者临床预后的数值工具仍然很少。本研究的主要目的是建立一个临床评分系统,用于评估HCC患者的总体生存率(OS)和癌症特异性生存率(CSS)。
    来自监视,流行病学,和最终结果(SEER)计划,我们确定了45,827例原发性肝癌患者。这些病例被随机分配到一个训练队列(22,914名患者)和一个验证队列(22,913名患者)。单变量和多变量Cox回归分析,再加上Kaplan-Meier方法,用于评估预后相关的临床和人口统计学特征。使用显示预后意义的因素来构建模型。通过C指数评估模型的稳定性和准确性,接收机工作特性(ROC)曲线,校正曲线,和临床决策曲线分析(DCA),而与美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)分期进行了比较。最终,机器学习(ML)对模型中的变量进行量化,建立临床评分系统。
    单变量和多变量Cox回归分析确定了11个人口统计学和临床病理特征作为CSS和OS使用的独立预后指标。两个模型,每个都包含11个特征,被开发,两者均显示出显著的预后相关性。预测CSS和OS的C指数超过了AJCC暂存系统。时间依赖性ROC中的曲线下面积(AUC)在训练集和验证集中均始终超过0.74。此外,内部和外部校准图表明模型预测与观察到的结果密切相关.此外,DCA证明了该模型相对于AJCC分期系统的优越性,产生更大的临床净效益。最终,量化的临床评分系统可以有效区分高危和低危患者.
    在大规模数据集上训练的ML临床评分系统在队列中表现出良好的预测和风险分层性能。这种临床评分系统易于整合到临床实践中,并且在提高HCC管理的准确性和效率方面具有重要价值。
    UNASSIGNED: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) poses a global threat to life; however, numerical tools to predict the clinical prognosis of these patients remain scarce. The primary objective of this study is to establish a clinical scoring system for evaluating the overall survival (OS) rate and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rate in HCC patients.
    UNASSIGNED: From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program, we identified 45,827 primary HCC patients. These cases were randomly allocated to a training cohort (22,914 patients) and a validation cohort (22,913 patients). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, coupled with Kaplan-Meier methods, were employed to evaluate prognosis-related clinical and demographic features. Factors demonstrating prognostic significance were used to construct the model. The model\'s stability and accuracy were assessed through C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision curve analysis (DCA), while comparisons were made with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging. Ultimately, machine learning (ML) quantified the variables in the model to establish a clinical scoring system.
    UNASSIGNED: Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified 11 demographic and clinical-pathological features as independent prognostic indicators for both CSS and OS using. Two models, each incorporating the 11 features, were developed, both of which demonstrated significant prognostic relevance. The C-index for predicting CSS and OS surpassed that of the AJCC staging system. The area under the curve (AUC) in time-dependent ROC consistently exceeded 0.74 in both the training and validation sets. Furthermore, internal and external calibration plots indicated that the model predictions aligned closely with observed outcomes. Additionally, DCA demonstrated the superiority of the model over the AJCC staging system, yielding greater clinical net benefit. Ultimately, the quantified clinical scoring system could efficiently discriminate between high and low-risk patients.
    UNASSIGNED: A ML clinical scoring system trained on a large-scale dataset exhibits good predictive and risk stratification performance in the cohorts. Such a clinical scoring system is readily integrable into clinical practice and will be valuable in enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of HCC management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目前认为以顺铂为基础的联合化疗是转移性上尿路上皮癌(mUTUC)患者的标准治疗方法。然而,关于其他组合的疗效的研究较少。在这项研究中,我们探讨了细胞减灭术在接受不同类型全身治疗的mUTUC患者中的作用.
    从监视中提取了9,436条匿名记录的数据,流行病学,和2008-2018年的最终结果(SEER)数据库。其中,508名个体在诊断为mUTUC后接受了全身治疗。这些患者都接受了全身治疗,如化疗和/或放疗。在开始全身治疗之前,根据细胞减灭术状态将患者分为非手术组或手术组。使用Kaplan-Meier曲线比较总生存期(OS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)。然后使用Cox的比例风险模型分析与OS和CSS相关的预后因素。
    在508个案例中,36.8%(n=187)接受过细胞减灭术和全身治疗。其余63.2%(n=321)单独接受化疗和/或放疗。Kaplan-Meier曲线显示,对于全身治疗的细胞减灭术,11.6%的患者有3年的OS[95%的机密间隔(CI):7.1-17.3],而单独的全身治疗为4.9%(95%CI:2.7-8.0)(P=0.001)。细胞减灭术加全身治疗的3年CSS为14.9%(95%CI:9.4-21.7%),仅全身治疗为6.0%(95%CI:3.4-9.8%)(P=0.003)。在多元回归分析下,主要输尿管部位OS的风险比(HR)为0.74(95%CI:0.58-0.95,P=0.02),CSSHR为0.72(95%CI:0.56-0.94,P=0.01).细胞减灭术OSHR为0.79(95%CI:0.65-0.95,P=0.02),CSSHR为0.75(95%CI:0.61-0.92,P=0.006)。此外,化疗的OSHR为0.46(95%CI:0.33-0.0.65,P<0.001),CSSHR为0.44(95%CI:0.31-0.63,P<0.001).骨骼和肝转移也表明预后较差。通过亚组分析进行验证,表明细胞减灭术仅对接受化疗或联合化疗的患者有效,而对单独放疗无效。
    细胞减灭术为在本研究中接受化疗或联合化疗的mUTUC患者提供了显著增加的OS和CSS。此外,尽管这是一个小且相对均匀的研究队列,但发现原发肿瘤和转移部位与改善患者生存率相关。因此,样本,需要进一步的研究。
    UNASSIGNED: Cisplatin-based combination chemotherapy alone is currently considered the standard of care for patients with metastatic upper tract urothelial carcinoma (mUTUC). However, less research has been done on the efficacy of other combinations. In this study, we explored the role of cytoreductive surgery in patients with mUTUC receiving different types of systemic therapy.
    UNASSIGNED: Data from 9,436 anonymized records were abstracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2008-2018. Of these, 508 individuals received systemic therapy subsequent to being diagnosed with mUTUC. These patients had all been treated with systemic therapies such as chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy. Patients were stratified into either a non-surgical or surgical group based on cytoreductive surgery status before systemic therapeutics commenced. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to compare overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Cox\'s proportional hazard models were then used to analyze prognostic factors related to OS and CSS.
    UNASSIGNED: Of the 508 cases, 36.8% (n=187) had received cytoreductive surgery with systemic treatments. The remaining 63.2% (n=321) received either chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy alone. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that 11.6% had 3-year OS [95% confidential interval (CI): 7.1-17.3] for cytoreductive surgery with systemic treatment and 4.9% (95% CI: 2.7-8.0) for systemic treatment alone (P=0.001). The 3-year CSS was 14.9% for cytoreductive surgery plus systemic treatment (95% CI: 9.4-21.7%) and 6.0% (95% CI: 3.4-9.8%) for systemic treatments alone (P=0.003). Under multivariate regression analysis, primary ureter site OS had a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.74 (95% CI: 0.58-0.95, P=0.02) and a CSS HR of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.56-0.94, P=0.01). The cytoreductive surgery OS HR was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.65-0.95, P=0.02) and the CSS HR was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.61-0.92, P=0.006). Additionally, chemotherapy had an OS HR of 0.46 (95% CI: 0.33-0.0.65, P<0.001) and a CSS HR of 0.44 (95% CI: 0.31-0.63, P<0.001). Bones and liver metastases were also indicative of poorer prognosis. Validation was conducted through subgroup analysis which suggested cytoreductive surgery was effective only for patients who received chemotherapy or combined chemo-radiotherapy but not for radiotherapy alone.
    UNASSIGNED: Cytoreductive surgery provided significantly increased OS and CSS for mUTUC patients who received chemotherapy or combined chemo-radiotherapy in this study. In addition, the primary tumor and metastatic sites were shown to be related to improved patient survival although this was a small and relatively homogeneous cohort of study, sample therefore, further research is required.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    手术是甲状旁腺癌(PC)的唯一治愈性治疗策略。然而,手术的最佳范围仍不确定,特别是关于常规中央淋巴结清扫术(LND)是否赋予PC患者生存优势。本研究旨在评估LND在PC患者中的预后价值。
    在监测中确定了2004年至2018年间诊断为PC的患者,流行病学,和最终结果(SEER)-18登记册。根据纳入和排除标准,共有338例患者作为队列1来描述PC的特征,而215例患者作为队列2,以评估LND对癌症特异性生存率(CSS)的影响.使用单变量和多变量Cox比例风险回归模型来识别与CSS相关的独立危险因素。进行倾向评分匹配(PSM)以调整潜在的混杂变量。通过与CSS相关的预测因子分层,进一步分析LND的预后价值。
    队列1的5年和10年CSS分别为94.4%和87.9%。LND未能显著改善整个队列2和PSM队列2中的CSS。大肿瘤大小(>40mm)和远处转移与差的CSS独立相关。亚组分析显示,LND与侵袭性PC患者的CSS改善没有显着相关,例如肿瘤大小大于40毫米的那些。出乎意料的是,LND可能会损害远端疾病患者的CSS(P=0.03)。
    PC是一种罕见且惰性的内分泌恶性肿瘤。大肿瘤和远处转移的存在是CSS差的独立预测因子。常规中央LND作为初始手术的一部分并没有显着改善PC患者的CSS,即使是那些有大肿瘤的人,淋巴结转移,或远处的疾病。
    UNASSIGNED: Surgery is the only curative treatment strategy for parathyroid carcinoma (PC). However, the optimal extent of surgery remains uncertain, particularly regarding whether routine central lymph node dissection (LND) confers a survival advantage to patients with PC. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of LND in PC patients.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients diagnosed with PC between 2004 and 2018 were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-18 registries. With inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 338 patients were included as cohort 1 to describe the characteristics of PC, while 215 patients were selected as cohort 2 to assess the effect of LND on cancer-specific survival (CSS). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify independent risk factors associated with CSS. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to adjust for potential confounding variables. The prognostic value of LND was further analyzed in subgroups stratified by predictors associated with CSS.
    UNASSIGNED: The 5- and 10-year CSS were 94.4% and 87.9% respectively in cohort 1. LND failed to significantly improve CSS in the entire cohort 2 and the PSM cohort 2. Large tumor size (>40 mm) and distant metastasis were independently associated with poor CSS. Subgroup analyses revealed that LND was not significantly associated with improved CSS in patients with aggressive PC, such as those with a tumor size greater than 40 mm. Unexpectedly, LND may compromise CSS in patients with distant disease (P=0.03).
    UNASSIGNED: PC is a rare and indolent endocrine malignancy. The presence of large tumors and distant metastases are independent predictors of poor CSS. Routine central LND as part of initial surgery does not significantly improve CSS in PC patients, even for those with large tumors, lymph node metastasis, or distant disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肝母细胞瘤(HB)是儿科患者肝癌的一种常见形式,以胚胎性恶性肿瘤为特征。在目前的研究中,我们开发了一种临床预测模型,该模型可以有效评估患者感染HB后生存的可能性。
    来自监视的数据,流行病学,本回顾性研究使用2010年至2019年间HB病例的最终结果(SEER)数据库。有关临床病理特征的信息,治疗性干预措施,和生存结局纳入数据.HB患者以7:3的比例随机分配到训练或验证队列。使用单变量和多变量Cox比例风险回归模型,确定了总生存期(OS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)的预后指标.受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC-ROC),校准图,和一致性指数(C指数)用于评估这些模型的准确性和校准。使用决策曲线分析(DCA)检查了模型的临床实用性。
    多变量Cox回归分析揭示了OS和CSS的多个自主预后决定因素,包括年龄,手术干预,和化疗。重要的是,发现肿瘤大小是OS的强预测因子.1-的AUC值为0.915、0.846和0.847,3-,和5年操作系统,分别,表明基于列线图的模型在预测结果方面非常准确。同样,CSS的AUC值分别为0.871,0.814和0.825.C指数测量,量化模型的歧视性表现,生成的CSS值为0.836,OS值为0.864。此外,校准图准确地代表了实际生存率。同时,DCA验证了基于列线图的模型的临床相关性.
    本研究成功开发并验证了用户友好的基于列线图的模型,允许准确评估儿科HB患者的OS和CSS。这些工具可以实现个性化的生存预测,加强风险分层,加强乙肝管理的临床决策。
    UNASSIGNED: Hepatoblastoma (HB) is a prevalent form of liver cancer in pediatric patients, characterized by an embryonal malignant tumor. In the current study, a clinical prediction model was developed; that can effectively assess the likelihood of a patient\'s survival with HB.
    UNASSIGNED: Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for cases of HB between 2010 and 2019 were used in this retrospective research. Information on clinicopathologic characteristics, therapeutic interventions, and survival outcomes were included in the data. The HB patients were randomly assigned to the training or validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio. Using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models, the prognostic indicators for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were identified. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration plots, and concordance index (C-index) were used to evaluate the accuracy and calibration of these models. The clinical utility of the models was examined using decision curve analysis (DCA).
    UNASSIGNED: The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed multiple autonomous prognostic determinants for the OS and CSS, including age, surgical interventions, and chemotherapy administration. Significantly, tumor size was found to be a strong predictor of OS. AUC values of 0.915, 0.846, and 0.847 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS, respectively, indicated that the nomogram-based models were highly accurate at predicting outcomes. Similarly, the AUC values for CSS were 0.871, 0.814, and 0.825. The C-index measurements, which quantify the discriminatory performance of the models, produced CSS values of 0.836 and OS values of 0.864. Furthermore, the calibration plots accurately represented the actual survival rates. Concurrently, the DCA had validated the clinical relevance of the nomogram-based models.
    UNASSIGNED: The present study successfully developed and validated user-friendly nomogram-based models, allowing for accurate assessment of OS and CSS in pediatric HB patients. These tools enable personalized survival predictions, enhance risk stratification, and strengthen clinical decision-making for managing HB.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    髓样乳腺癌(MBC)是一种罕见的乳腺癌。我们的研究旨在比较MBC和浸润性导管癌(IDC)的临床特征和预后差异。并进一步开发和验证列线图,以预测MBC患者的总体生存率(OS)和癌症特异性生存率(CSS)。
    总共有179,613名来自监测的患者,2010年至2015年的流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库,包括596例MBC患者,使用Kaplan-Meier方法和倾向评分匹配(PSM)进行分析,以比较患者的OS和CSS。Cox比例风险回归模型用于确定MBC患者OS和CSS的独立预后因素。基于Cox回归分析构建列线图,而接收器工作特征(ROC)曲线和校准曲线用于评估预测准确性。
    MBC和IDC的临床特征存在显著差异。根据logrank测试,在PSM之前和之后,MBC具有比IDC更好的OS和CSS。Cox多变量分析表明,年龄,种族,肿瘤大小,淋巴结(LN),和放射治疗是OS的独立预后因素,而年龄,肿瘤大小,美国癌症联合委员会(AJCC)阶段,偏侧性,手术类型,化疗是CSS的独立预后因素。根据独立的预后因素构建OS和CSS的列线图。
    MBC拥有比IDC更好的OS和CSS。基于临床病理特征的列线图在预测MBC患者的OS和CSS方面足够准确。能有效预测MBC患者的生存风险,指导临床医生提供更有效的治疗措施。
    UNASSIGNED: Medullary breast carcinoma (MBC) is a rare type of breast cancer. Our study aimed to compare the differences in clinical characteristics and prognosis between MBC and invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC), and to further develop and validate nomograms to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in MBC patients.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 179,613 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015, including 596 MBC patients, were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and propensity score matching (PSM) to compare patients\' OS and CSS. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to determine independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS in MBC patients. Nomograms were constructed based on Cox regression analysis whereas receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy.
    UNASSIGNED: There were significant differences in the clinical characteristics between MBC and IDC. According to the logrank test, MBC had better OS and CSS than IDC before and after PSM. Cox multivariate analysis showed that age, race, tumor size, lymph node (LN), and radiation therapy were independent prognostic factors for OS, whereas age, tumor size, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, laterality, type of surgery, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for CSS. Nomograms of OS and CSS were constructed based on independent prognostic factors.
    UNASSIGNED: MBC had better OS and CSS than IDC. Nomograms based on clinicopathological features were sufficiently accurate in predicting the OS and CSS for MBC patients, which can effectively predict the survival risk of MBC patients and guide clinicians to provide more effective treatment measures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是开发和验证3-,5-,通过评估LATC患者人群的独立预后预测因子,以及诊断为局部晚期甲状腺癌(LATC)的患者的10年癌症特异性生存率(CSS)和总生存率(OS)。
    人口统计,临床病理特征,治疗,在监测中对2396名LATC患者进行了随访,流行病学,对2004年至2015年的最终结果数据库进行回顾性分析,并根据分期与LATC患者进行比较.我们以7:3的比例将所有LATC患者随机分为训练和验证组。Cox回归分析帮助我们得出LATC患者的独立预后因素。根据这些结果,我们建立并验证了第一个预后列线图和风险分层.
    在我们的研究中,LATC患者的临床资料进行比较,在CSS、OS等相关变量上差异有统计学意义(P<0.05),CSS为82.0%和49.0%,OS分别为70.6%和40.0%,分别。Cox回归分析显示,诊断时的年龄,肿瘤直径,DM的存在,甲状腺外延伸位点,组织学类型,甲状腺切除术范围,放疗状态,LATC患者的放疗和手术的时间顺序与CSS相关,除了上述因素之外,性别,婚姻状况,LATC患者的化疗状态也与OS相关。上述因素的预后预测能力通过Kaplan-Meier存活曲线可视化。CSS和OS的列线图的一致性指数分别为0.933、0.925和0.926(CSS)。0.918、0.909和0.906(OS),分别,和随时间变化的接收器工作特性曲线,曲线下面积,校准曲线和判定曲线分析曲线表明列线图具有良好的判别能力,培训组和验证组的准确性和临床适用性。
    在这些发现中,我们得出结论,T4a和T4bLATC患者的临床信息存在显着差异,我们建立并验证了LATC患者在3年,5年和10年的CSS和OS的第一个预后列线图和风险分层,这将有助于临床医生个性化他们的术后治疗和个性化随访。
    UNASSIGNED: The purpose of this research was to develop and validate the first prognostic nomograms for 3-, 5-, and 10-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) in patients diagnosed with locally advanced thyroid cancer (LATC) by evaluating independent predictors of prognosis in a population of LATC patients.
    UNASSIGNED: Demographics, clinicopathologic characteristics, treatment, and follow-up of 2396 LATC patients in the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database from 2004 to 2015 were retrospectively analyzed and compared with patients with LATC according to staging. We randomized all LATC patients into training and validation groups in a 7:3 ratio. Cox regression analyses helped us to derive independent prognostic factors for LATC patients. According to these results, we established and validated the first prognostic nomograms and risk stratification.
    UNASSIGNED: In our research, the clinical information of LATC patients was compared and significant differences were found in the relevant variables including CSS and OS (P < 0.05), with CSS of 82.0 % and 49.0 %, and OS of 70.6 % and 40.0 %, respectively. Cox regression analyses showed that age at diagnosis, tumor diameter, presence of DM, extrathyroidal extension sites, histological type, thyroidectomy scope, radiotherapy status, and chronological sequence of radiotherapy and surgery were observably correlated with CSS in LATC patients, and in addition to the above factors, gender, marital status, and chemotherapy status were also observably correlated with OS in LATC patients. The prognostic predictive power of the above factors is visualized by the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The concordance index of nomograms for CSS and OS were 0.933, 0.925, and 0.926 (CSS), 0.918, 0.909, and 0.906 (OS), respectively, and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, area under curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis curve indicate that the nomograms have good discriminatory ability, accuracy and clinical applicability in both the training and validation groups.
    UNASSIGNED: In these findings, we drawed a conclusion that there were significant differences in clinical information between patients with T4a and T4b LATC, and we established and validated the first prognostic nomograms and risk stratification of CSS and OS for LATC patients at 3, 5, and 10 years, which will help clinicians to individualize their postoperative treatment and individualized follow-up.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    很少有模型被开发来预测肺腺癌(LUAD)的生存结果。在这项研究中,我们的目的是建立一个列线图,用于预测LUAD患者的癌症特异性生存率(CSS),它可以作为一个方便的基于网络的计算器进一步发展.
    我们对从监测中选择的50,007名LUAD患者进行了回顾性分析,流行病学,和最终结果(SEER)18注册表数据库。为了提高分析的可靠性,患者数据进一步随机分为训练队列(70%)和验证队列(30%).使用X-tile软件确定了最佳年龄截止点,患者分为3个年龄组:10-72岁,73-79岁和80-99岁.我们通过Cox回归从17个变量中选择独立的预后因素,并绘制了一个视觉列线图来预测1-,3-,5年CSS通过一致性指数(C指数)评估列线图的预测性能,校准曲线和受试者工作特性(ROC)曲线。为了便于CSS预测,随后开发了基于网络的计算器。
    我们选择了性别,年龄,种族,婚姻状况,N级,肿瘤大小,手术,放射治疗,化疗,和转移(骨,大脑,肝脏,和肺)作为独立的预后因素。训练集预测模型的C指数为0.779[95%置信区间(CI):0.775-0.783],和0.782(95%CI:0.778-0.786)在验证集中。ROC分析显示1-,曲线下面积(AUC)值分别为0.700,0.733和0.669,训练集中的3年和5年CSS以及验证集中的0.700、0.744和0.669,分别。在列线图校准曲线中,观察值和预测值之间有很强的相关性.基于Web的计算器可以访问:https://hjhlovelfb。shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/.
    该列线图模型具有良好的预测能力,可以帮助临床医生识别出患有癌症相关死亡高风险的LUAD患者。该列线图有望成为预测LUAD患者预后的精确和个性化工具。
    UNASSIGNED: Few models have been developed to predict survival outcomes for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). In this study, we aimed to establish a nomogram for the prediction of cancer-specific survival (CSS) in LUAD patients which can be further developed as a convenient web-based calculator.
    UNASSIGNED: We performed a retrospective analysis of 50,007 LUAD patients selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) 18 registry database. To enhance the reliability of the analysis, the patients\' data were further randomly divided into the training cohort (70%) and validation cohort (30%). The optimal age cut-off points were determined using X-tile software, and patients were divided into three age groups: 10-72, 73-79, and 80-99 years. We selected independent prognostic factors from 17 variables by Cox regression, and plotted a visual nomogram to predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated through the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. To facilitate CSS forecast, a web-based calculator has subsequently been developed.
    UNASSIGNED: We selected sex, age, race, marital status, N stage, tumor size, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and metastasis (bone, brain, liver, and lung) as independent prognostic factors. The C-index was 0.779 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.775-0.783] in the training set prediction model, and 0.782 (95% CI: 0.778-0.786) in the validation set. ROC analysis showed that area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.700, 0.733 and 0.669 for the 1-, 3- and 5-year CSS in the training set and 0.700, 0.744 and 0.669 in the validation set, respectively. In the nomogram calibration curve, there was strong correlation between the observed and predictive values. A web-based calculator can be accessed at: https://hjhlovelfb.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/.
    UNASSIGNED: This nomogram model has good predictive power and can help clinicians identify LUAD patients at high risk of cancer-related death. This nomogram is expected to be a precise and personalized tool for predicting the prognosis of patients with LUAD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在构建和验证基于治疗选择的局部晚期胃癌(LAGC)的总生存率(OS)和癌症特异性生存率(CSS)的列线图,人口因素,和病理特征。
    用于分析的数据是从监测中提取的,流行病学,和结束结果(SEER)数据库。基于Cox回归模型构建列线图。
    整个队列包括21,757例经组织学证实的LAGC患者,并以2:1的比例随机分配到训练组和验证组中,以构建预后预测模型。根据多变量分析,13个变量[即,年龄,婚姻状况,种族,肿瘤位置,病理分级,组织学类型,T和N阶段,手术,放射治疗,化疗,肿瘤大小,和区域节点检查(RNE)]被确认为OS和CSS的独立预测因子。所有重要变量用于创建OS和CSS的列线图。随时间变化的接收机工作特性(ROC)曲线,决策曲线分析(DCA),C指数,和校准曲线用于确定列线图的区别优势。
    使用国家数据库,基于治疗选择以及病理和人口统计学变量,建立并验证了LAGC中OS和CSS的列线图。这项研究旨在帮助临床医生做出更好的临床决策,并鼓励患者积极接受治疗。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to construct and verify nomograms predicting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) based on a therapeutic selection, demographic factors, and pathological features.
    UNASSIGNED: The data used for the analysis were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Nomograms were constructed based on the Cox regression model.
    UNASSIGNED: The entire cohort comprised 21,757 patients with histologically confirmed LAGC, and was randomly distributed into training and verification groups at a ratio of 2:1 for building the prognostic predictive model. According to the multivariate analysis, 13 variables [i.e., age, marital status, race, tumor location, pathological grade, histological type, T and N stage, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, tumor size, and regional nodes examined (RNE)] were confirmed as independent predictors for both OS and CSS. All of the significant variables were used to create the nomograms for OS and CSS. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, a decision curve analysis (DCA), the C-index, and calibration curves were applied to identify the discriminating superiority of the nomograms.
    UNASSIGNED: The nomograms for OS and CSS in LAGC were built and validated based on the therapeutic selection and pathological and demographic variables using a national database. This study aims at helping clinicians make better clinical decisions and encouraging patients receive treatment actively.
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