Virtual patients

虚拟患者
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    反映真实数据的统计特性的合成患者数据的生成在当今世界中起着至关重要的作用,因为它有可能(i)为统计和研究目的提供专有数据访问,以及(ii)增加可用数据(例如,在低密度区域-即,对于特征表现不足的患者)。生成方法采用一系列解决方案来生成合成数据。这项研究的目的是在不同的场景和临床数据集(包括患者协变量和几个药代动力学/药效学终点)中对众多最先进的深度学习生成方法进行基准测试。我们通过实现各种旨在生成合成数据的概率模型来做到这一点,如多层感知器条件生成对抗神经网络(MLPcGAN),时间序列生成对抗网络(TimeGAN),和更传统的方法,如概率自回归(PAR)。我们通过计算判别和预测分数来评估他们的表现。此外,我们使用Kolmogorov-Smirnov和卡方统计检验对真实数据和合成数据的分布进行了比较,分别关注模型的协变量和输出变量。最后,我们采用了与药物计量学相关的指标,以增强对我们的研究方案所特有的结果的解释.结果表明,对于大多数考虑的指标,基于多层感知器的条件生成对抗网络(MLPcGAN)表现出最佳的整体性能。这项工作强调了在临床药理学领域采用合成数据生成的机会,以增强和共享机构之间的专有数据。
    The generation of synthetic patient data that reflect the statistical properties of real data plays a fundamental role in today\'s world because of its potential to (i) be enable proprietary data access for statistical and research purposes and (ii) increase available data (e.g., in low-density regions-i.e., for patients with under-represented characteristics). Generative methods employ a family of solutions for generating synthetic data. The objective of this research is to benchmark numerous state-of-the-art deep-learning generative methods across different scenarios and clinical datasets comprising patient covariates and several pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic endpoints. We did this by implementing various probabilistic models aimed at generating synthetic data, such as the Multi-layer Perceptron Conditioning Generative Adversarial Neural Network (MLP cGAN), Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks (TimeGAN), and a more traditional approach like Probabilistic Autoregressive (PAR). We evaluated their performance by calculating discriminative and predictive scores. Furthermore, we conducted comparisons between the distributions of real and synthetic data using Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Chi-square statistical tests, focusing respectively on covariate and output variables of the models. Lastly, we employed pharmacometrics-related metric to enhance interpretation of our results specific to our investigated scenarios. Results indicate that multi-layer perceptron-based conditional generative adversarial networks (MLP cGAN) exhibit the best overall performance for most of the considered metrics. This work highlights the opportunities to employ synthetic data generation in the field of clinical pharmacology for augmentation and sharing of proprietary data across institutions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:利用大规模患者数据的机器学习(ML)技术是预测个体患者疾病演变的有前途的工具。然而,在单中心数据集上开发的机器学习模型的泛化能力有限,以及它们在现实环境中未经证实的表现,在临床实践中广泛采用它们仍然存在重大限制。解决此问题的一种方法是基于大型多中心数据集进行学习。然而,这样的异构数据集可能会引入由数据来源驱动的进一步偏见,因为医院之间的数据结构和患者队列可能有所不同。方法:本文,我们演示了如何使用机械虚拟患者(VP)建模来捕获患者状态和动力学的特定特征,同时减少异构数据集引入的偏见。我们展示了如何通过从混合来源的观察数据中识别与疑似急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者的疾病状态近似的个性化模型参数,将VP模型用于数据增强。我们在两种情况下比较了无监督学习方法(聚类)的结果:学习基于原始患者数据以及在VP模型与真实患者数据的匹配过程中得出的数据。结果:在使用模型衍生数据的聚类中观察到更稳健的聚类配置。基于VP模型的聚类还减少了由于包含来自不同医院的数据而引入的偏见,并且能够发现具有显著ARDS富集的额外聚类。结论:我们的结果表明,机械VP模型可用于显着减少通过从异构数据集学习引入的偏见,并允许改善由医疗条件驱动的患者队列的发现。
    Goal: Machine learning (ML) technologies that leverage large-scale patient data are promising tools predicting disease evolution in individual patients. However, the limited generalizability of ML models developed on single-center datasets, and their unproven performance in real-world settings, remain significant constraints to their widespread adoption in clinical practice. One approach to tackle this issue is to base learning on large multi-center datasets. However, such heterogeneous datasets can introduce further biases driven by data origin, as data structures and patient cohorts may differ between hospitals. Methods: In this paper, we demonstrate how mechanistic virtual patient (VP) modeling can be used to capture specific features of patients\' states and dynamics, while reducing biases introduced by heterogeneous datasets. We show how VP modeling can be used for data augmentation through identification of individualized model parameters approximating disease states of patients with suspected acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) from observational data of mixed origin. We compare the results of an unsupervised learning method (clustering) in two cases: where the learning is based on original patient data and on data derived in the matching procedure of the VP model to real patient data. Results: More robust cluster configurations were observed in clustering using the model-derived data. VP model-based clustering also reduced biases introduced by the inclusion of data from different hospitals and was able to discover an additional cluster with significant ARDS enrichment. Conclusions: Our results indicate that mechanistic VP modeling can be used to significantly reduce biases introduced by learning from heterogeneous datasets and to allow improved discovery of patient cohorts driven exclusively by medical conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    80%的医疗错误与无效沟通有关,美国每年花费大约120亿美元。教学沟通技巧是与改善患者预后相关的护理课程的组成部分。基于模拟的经验(SBE)是医疗保健专业人员学习沟通技巧的策略。为护士提供执业护士的能力,护士-医生,护士-病人,在心理安全的学习环境中,团队沟通技巧为技能发展和有意义的自我反思提供了机会。SBE支持的多种模式需要通信技术来进行技能开发和获取,以改善患者的预后。
    Ineffective communication is implicated in 80% of medical errors, costing the United States approximately $12 billion annually. Teaching communication skills is a component of nursing curricula linked to improved patient outcomes. Simulation-based experience (SBE) is a strategy for healthcare professionals to learn communication skills. Providing nurses with the ability to practice nurse-nurse, nurse-physician, nurse-patient, and team communication skills in a psychologically safe learning environment provides an opportunity for skill development and meaningful self-reflection. The multiple modalities for SBE support needed communication techniques for skill development and acquisition to improve patient outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:虚拟患者(VP)在卫生专业教育中被广泛使用。当它们很好地融入课程时,它们被认为比松散耦合的附加组件更有效。然而,目前还不清楚什么是他们成功的整合。这项研究的目的是确定和综合文献中发现的主题,利益相关者认为这对于在课程中成功实施VPs很重要。
    方法:我们检索了2000年至2023年9月25日的五个数据库。我们包括定性,定量,混合方法和描述性案例研究定义了,已识别,探索,或评估了一组因素,在学生的感知中,教师,课程主任和研究人员,对副总裁的实施至关重要。我们排除了不考虑实施特征的有效性研究,以及专注于VP设计因素的研究。我们包括英语全文报告和排除会议摘要,简短的意见文件和社论。以Kern的六步模型为初始框架,使用框架合成方法进行结果合成。我们使用QuADS工具评估了研究的质量。
    结果:我们的搜索共产生4808个项目,其中21项研究符合纳入标准.我们确定了14个主题,形成了一个整合框架。主题是:课程目标;实施副总裁的课程阶段;有效利用资源;副总裁与课程学习目标保持一致;使用的优先次序;与其他学习方式的关系;围绕副总裁的学习活动;时间分配;小组设置;存在模式;为学生和教师提供副总裁的方向;技术基础设施;质量保证,维护,和可持续性;评估副总裁学习成果和学习分析。我们调查了研究中主题的发生,以证明框架的相关性。研究的质量并不影响主题的覆盖面。
    结论:由此产生的框架可用于围绕课程中的VPs实施构建计划和讨论。它已经被用来组织欧洲项目的课程实施指南。我们希望它将指导进一步的研究,以加深我们对个人整合主题的了解。
    BACKGROUND: Virtual patients (VPs) are widely used in health professions education. When they are well integrated into curricula, they are considered to be more effective than loosely coupled add-ons. However, it is unclear what constitutes their successful integration. The aim of this study was to identify and synthesise the themes found in the literature that stakeholders perceive as important for successful implementation of VPs in curricula.
    METHODS: We searched five databases from 2000 to September 25, 2023. We included qualitative, quantitative, mixed-methods and descriptive case studies that defined, identified, explored, or evaluated a set of factors that, in the perception of students, teachers, course directors and researchers, were crucial for VP implementation. We excluded effectiveness studies that did not consider implementation characteristics, and studies that focused on VP design factors. We included English-language full-text reports and excluded conference abstracts, short opinion papers and editorials. Synthesis of results was performed using the framework synthesis method with Kern\'s six-step model as the initial framework. We appraised the quality of the studies using the QuADS tool.
    RESULTS: Our search yielded a total of 4808 items, from which 21 studies met the inclusion criteria. We identified 14 themes that formed an integration framework. The themes were: goal in the curriculum; phase of the curriculum when to implement VPs; effective use of resources; VP alignment with curricular learning objectives; prioritisation of use; relation to other learning modalities; learning activities around VPs; time allocation; group setting; presence mode; VPs orientation for students and faculty; technical infrastructure; quality assurance, maintenance, and sustainability; assessment of VP learning outcomes and learning analytics. We investigated the occurrence of themes across studies to demonstrate the relevance of the framework. The quality of the studies did not influence the coverage of the themes.
    CONCLUSIONS: The resulting framework can be used to structure plans and discussions around implementation of VPs in curricula. It has already been used to organise the curriculum implementation guidelines of a European project. We expect it will direct further research to deepen our knowledge on individual integration themes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    临床推理被认为是最重要的能力之一,但不包括在大多数医疗保健课程中。患者接触的数量和多样性是临床推理能力发展的决定性因素。物理真实的患者接触被认为是最佳的,但是虚拟患者案例也促进了临床推理。一个高容量,因此,低保真虚拟患者库可以在安全的环境中支持临床推理培训,并且可以根据来自不同医疗保健专业的学习者的需求进行定制。它也可能激发专业间的理解和团队共同的决策。实施将受到传统的挑战,缺乏教育者的能力和先前的经验以及医学和兽医学校的高密度课程,需要课程经理和教育领导明确解决。
    Clinical reasoning is considered one of the most important competencies but is not included in most healthcare curricula. The number and diversity of patient encounters are the decisive factors in the development of clinical reasoning competence. Physical real patient encounters are considered optimal, but virtual patient cases also promote clinical reasoning. A high-volume, low-fidelity virtual patient library thus can support clinical reasoning training in a safe environment and can be tailored to the needs of learners from different health care professions. It may also stimulate interprofessional understanding and team shared decisions. Implementation will be challenged by tradition, the lack of educator competence and prior experience as well as the high-density curricula at medical and veterinary schools and will need explicit address from curriculum managers and education leads.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:尽管肺静脉隔离(PVI),但持续性房颤(AF)患者的复发率为50%,对于第二次治疗没有共识。我们i-STRATIFICATION研究的目的是为PVI后房颤复发患者的最佳药物和消融治疗分层提供证据。通过计算机内试验。
    方法:800名虚拟患者的队列,随着心房解剖结构的变化,电生理学,和组织结构(低电压区域,LVA),针对从离子电流到心电图的临床数据进行了开发和验证。PVI后出现AF的虚拟患者接受了12次二次治疗。
    结果:522名虚拟患者在PVI后出现持续房颤。仅包括左心房消融术的第二次消融术显示55%的疗效,仅在小右心房(<60mL)成功。当考虑额外的腔静脉-三尖瓣峡部消融时,Marshall-Plan对小左心房(<90mL)足够(66%疗效)。对于更大的左心房,需要更积极的消融方法,例如二尖瓣前线(75%的疗效)或后壁隔离加二尖瓣峡部消融(77%的疗效)。具有LVA的虚拟患者极大地受益于左心房和右心房的LVA消融(100%疗效)。相反,在没有LVA的情况下,协同消融和药物治疗可终止房颤。在没有消融的情况下,患者的离子电流底物调节了抗心律失常药物的反应,是对胺碘酮或vernakalant的最佳分层至关重要的内向流。
    结论:计算机模拟试验根据虚拟患者特征确定房颤治疗的最佳策略,证明人体建模和仿真作为临床辅助工具的力量。
    OBJECTIVE: Patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) experience 50% recurrence despite pulmonary vein isolation (PVI), and no consensus is established for secondary treatments. The aim of our i-STRATIFICATION study is to provide evidence for stratifying patients with AF recurrence after PVI to optimal pharmacological and ablation therapies, through in silico trials.
    RESULTS: A cohort of 800 virtual patients, with variability in atrial anatomy, electrophysiology, and tissue structure (low-voltage areas, LVAs), was developed and validated against clinical data from ionic currents to electrocardiogram. Virtual patients presenting AF post-PVI underwent 12 secondary treatments. Sustained AF developed in 522 virtual patients after PVI. Second ablation procedures involving left atrial ablation alone showed 55% efficacy, only succeeding in the small right atria (<60 mL). When additional cavo-tricuspid isthmus ablation was considered, Marshall-PLAN sufficed (66% efficacy) for the small left atria (<90 mL). For the bigger left atria, a more aggressive ablation approach was required, such as anterior mitral line (75% efficacy) or posterior wall isolation plus mitral isthmus ablation (77% efficacy). Virtual patients with LVAs greatly benefited from LVA ablation in the left and right atria (100% efficacy). Conversely, in the absence of LVAs, synergistic ablation and pharmacotherapy could terminate AF. In the absence of ablation, the patient\'s ionic current substrate modulated the response to antiarrhythmic drugs, being the inward currents critical for optimal stratification to amiodarone or vernakalant.
    CONCLUSIONS: In silico trials identify optimal strategies for AF treatment based on virtual patient characteristics, evidencing the power of human modelling and simulation as a clinical assisting tool.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近,抗肿瘤反应的免疫疗法采用了条件激活的分子,目的是降低全身毒性。其中有条件激活的抗体,如PROBODY®可激活治疗剂(Pb-Tx),工程改造为由肿瘤微环境(TME)中局部发现的蛋白酶蛋白水解激活。这些PROBODY®治疗分子在几种癌症类型中显示出作为PD-L1检查点抑制剂的潜力,包括几个临床试验和影像学研究显示的分子的有效性和作用局部。这里,我们使用我们最近发表的定量系统药理学模型进行了探索性研究,先前对三阴性乳腺癌(TNBC)进行了验证,通过计算预测PROBODY®治疗药物与非修饰抗体相比的有效性和靶向特异性。我们从分析非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)中的抗PD-L1免疫疗法开始。作为第一个贡献,与之前文献中公布的方法相比,我们使用iAtlas数据库门户提供的组学数据改进了之前的虚拟患者选择方法.此外,我们的结果表明,掩蔽抗体可维持其疗效,同时改善TME中活性治疗剂的定位.此外,我们通过评估反应对肿瘤突变负担的依赖性来推广模型,独立于癌症类型,以及其他关键生物标志物,如CD8/TregT细胞和M1/M2巨噬细胞比。虽然我们的结果是从NSCLC的模拟中获得的,我们的研究结果可推广到其他癌症类型,并表明有效和高度选择性的条件激活PROBODY®治疗分子是一种可行的选择.
    Recently, immunotherapies for antitumoral response have adopted conditionally activated molecules with the objective of reducing systemic toxicity. Amongst these are conditionally activated antibodies, such as PROBODY® activatable therapeutics (Pb-Tx), engineered to be proteolytically activated by proteases found locally in the tumor microenvironment (TME). These PROBODY® therapeutics molecules have shown potential as PD-L1 checkpoint inhibitors in several cancer types, including both effectiveness and locality of action of the molecule as shown by several clinical trials and imaging studies. Here, we perform an exploratory study using our recently published quantitative systems pharmacology model, previously validated for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), to computationally predict the effectiveness and targeting specificity of a PROBODY® therapeutics drug compared to the non-modified antibody. We begin with the analysis of anti-PD-L1 immunotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). As a first contribution, we have improved previous virtual patient selection methods using the omics data provided by the iAtlas database portal compared to methods previously published in literature. Furthermore, our results suggest that masking an antibody maintains its efficacy while improving the localization of active therapeutic in the TME. Additionally, we generalize the model by evaluating the dependence of the response to the tumor mutational burden, independently of cancer type, as well as to other key biomarkers, such as CD8/Treg Tcell and M1/M2 macrophage ratio. While our results are obtained from simulations on NSCLC, our findings are generalizable to other cancer types and suggest that an effective and highly selective conditionally activated PROBODY® therapeutics molecule is a feasible option.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人类新陈代谢的计算机模拟器是设计和验证新的糖尿病治疗方法的强大工具。然而,这些平台通常在行为和血糖状况的多样性上受到限制。重放方法利用现场收集的数据来创建代表现实生活条件的临时模拟环境。在以前的出版物中对我们的方法进行了正式验证之后,我们证明了其重现最近一项临床试验的能力.
    方法:使用重放方法,使用来自随机交叉临床试验的数据生成重播模拟器的集合,该数据比较了自动胰岛素输送(AID)中的混合闭环(HCL)和完全闭环(FCL)控制模式,创建64个主题/模态对。每个虚拟受试者暴露于替代AID模式以比较模拟与观察到的血糖结果。对时间进行了等效测试,下面,及以上范围(TIR,TBR,TAR)和葡萄糖指数(LBGI,HBGI)考虑与临床意义相对应的等效边界。
    结果:TIR,TAR,LBGI,HBGI显示原始数据和模拟数据之间的统计和临床等效性,TBR未通过等效性测试。例如,在HCL模式下,模拟TIR为84.89%vs.观察到的84.31%(p=0.0170,CI[-3.96,2.79]),对于FCL模式,TIR为76.58%对77.41%(p=0.0222,CI[-2.54,4.20])。
    结论:临床试验数据证实了UVA重播方法在预测改良胰岛素治疗对血糖的影响方面的先前计算机验证。此体内演示证明了将重放方法应用于T1D患者的个性化和治疗策略的适应性。
    Background: Computer simulators of human metabolism are powerful tools to design and validate new diabetes treatments. However, these platforms are often limited in the diversity of behaviors and glycemic conditions they can reproduce. Replay methodologies leverage field-collected data to create ad hoc simulation environments representative of real-life conditions. After formal validations of our method in prior publications, we demonstrate its capacity to reproduce a recent clinical trial. Methods: Using the replay methodology, an ensemble of replay simulators was generated using data from a randomized crossover clinical trial comparing the hybrid closed loop (HCL) and fully closed loop (FCL) control modalities in automated insulin delivery (AID), creating 64 subject/modality pairs. Each virtual subject was exposed to the alternate AID modality to compare the simulated versus observed glycemic outcomes. Equivalence tests were performed for time in, below, and above range (TIR, TBR, and TAR) and high and low blood glucose indices (HBGI and LBGI) considering equivalence margins corresponding to clinical significance. Results: TIR, TAR, LBGI, and HBGI showed statistical and clinical equivalence between the original and the simulated data; TBR failed the equivalence test. For example, in the HCL mode, simulated TIR was 84.89% versus an observed 84.31% (P = 0.0170, confidence interval [CI] [-3.96, 2.79]), and for FCL mode, TIR was 76.58% versus 77.41% (P = 0.0222, CI [-2.54, 4.20]). Conclusion: Clinical trial data confirm the prior in silico validation of the UVA replay method in predicting the glycemic impact of modified insulin treatments. This in vivo demonstration justifies the application of the replay method to the personalization and adaptation of treatment strategies in people with type 1 diabetes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:历史学习和临床推理是需要知识的重要技能,认知和元认知。重要的是,受训者必须经历与不同患者的多次接触才能练习这些技能。然而,患者安全也很重要,学员不得处理危重病人。为了解决这个问题,我们进行了一项随机对照试验,以确定在眼科研究生住院医师中使用虚拟患者(VP)和标准化患者(SP)来获得临床推理技能的有效性.
    方法:来自拉合尔两家医院的研究生住院医师,巴基斯坦,被随机分配到VP组或SP组,并在预测试验后30分钟通过VP或SP进行临床推理练习。随后进行了后测。这个活动一个月后,进行了随访后测.使用IBM-SPSS版本25收集和分析数据。重复测量ANOVA用于跟踪学习技能随时间的影响。
    结果:居民的平均年龄为28.5±3岁。男女比例为1:1.1。对于SP组,平均得分为12.6±3.08、16.39±3.01和15.39±2.95,VP组,预测试的平均得分分别为12.7±3.84,16.30±3.19和15.65±3.18,后测和后续后测,分别(p值<0.00)。然而,VP组和SP组之间的差异无统计学意义(p=0.896)。此外,在临床推理能力的保留方面,VP组和SP组之间没有统计学上的显着差异。在学习收获方面,与VP组相比,与VP组相比,SP组在临床推理锻炼后立即得分为51.46%,其中49.1%。一个月后,SP组为38.01,VP组为40.12%。
    结论:VP可用于在安全的环境中学习研究生眼科住院医师的临床推理技能。这些设备可以重复使用,对真实患者没有任何风险。虽然同样有用,SP由于无法重复练习而受到限制。
    BACKGROUND: History taking and clinical reasoning are important skills that require knowledge, cognition and meta-cognition. It is important that a trainee must experience multiple encounters with different patients to practice these skills. However, patient safety is also important, and trainees are not allowed to handle critically ill patients. To address this issue, a randomized controlled trial was conducted to determine the effectiveness of using Virtual Patients (VP) versus Standardized Patients (SP) in acquiring clinical reasoning skills in ophthalmology postgraduate residents.
    METHODS: Postgraduate residents from two hospitals in Lahore, Pakistan, were randomized to either the VP group or the SP group and were exposed to clinical reasoning exercise via the VP or SP for 30 min after the pretest. This was followed by a posttest. One month after this activity, a follow-up posttest was conducted. The data were collected and analysed using IBM-SPSS version 25. Repeated measures ANOVA was used to track the effect of learning skills over time.
    RESULTS: The mean age of the residents was 28.5 ± 3 years. The male to female ratio was 1:1.1. For the SP group, the mean scores were 12.6 ± 3.08, 16.39 ± 3.01 and 15.39 ± 2.95, and for the VP group, the mean scores were 12.7 ± 3.84, 16.30 ± 3.19 and 15.65 ± 3.18 for the pretest, posttest and follow-up posttest, respectively (p value < 0.00). However, the difference between the VP and SP groups was not statistically significant (p = 0.896). Moreover, there was no statistically significant difference between the VP and SP groups regarding the retention of clinical reasoning ability. In terms of learning gain, compared with the VP group, the SP group had a score of 51.46% immediately after clinical reasoning exercise as compared to VP group, in which it was 49.1%. After one month, it was 38.01 in SP and 40.12% in VP group.
    CONCLUSIONS: VPs can be used for learning clinical reasoning skills in postgraduate ophthalmology residents in a safe environment. These devices can be used repeatedly without any risk to the real patient. Although similarly useful, SP is limited by its nonavailability for repeated exercises.
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