Underestimation

低估
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:应向暴露于手臂振动的欧盟工人提供健康监测,以发现早期症状,和发现,手臂振动综合征(HAVS)。为了执行强制性的职业康复,雇主需要知道体检中发现的伤害。我们的目的是分析:1)医生如何在斯德哥尔摩研讨会量表(SWS)上对HAVS的神经感觉成分进行分级,与半客观发现相比。2)医生在检查后做出了哪些职业康复决定(VRD)。3)VRD是否与SWS分级相关。
    方法:数据来自660份医疗记录——所有检查都是在瑞典一家大型职业医疗保健公司连续12个月进行的。572个人有来自医生的SWS数据。对于定性分析,我们使用了感应迭代浸渍结晶法。
    结果:60%的受检工人有症状,32%的半客观结果与HAVS一致。在59%的半客观发现病例中,医生的SWS评分被低估了。VRD被分类,相对于与雇主的沟通,如:“足够”(57%),当没有受伤时,通信已经发生,是有计划的,或者在没有进一步暴露的情况下不再需要,“半足够”(18%),如果尚未建立沟通计划,或者仅通过文件进行沟通,并且在下次检查之前的时间较短,和“不足”(25%),当患者拒绝时(20%),或者医生未能与雇主沟通,尽管发现(80%)。在具有半客观发现的组中,HAVS的低估的SWS分级与更多的“不足”VRD显着相关。
    结论:职业医师低估了SWS2-3患者的数量,与半客观结果相比,尽管有HAVS的结果,职业医师经常未能与雇主沟通。对SWS分级的低估,其次是不足的VRD,将许多工人排除在雇主的强制性保护措施之外,这可能会导致受影响个体的无法治疗的伤害加剧,并导致类似暴露的同事的HAVS发展。
    BACKGROUND: EU workers exposed to hand-arm vibration should be offered health surveillance to detect early symptoms, and findings, of Hand-Arm Vibration Syndrome (HAVS). To execute the mandatory vocational rehabilitation, the employer needs to be aware of injuries found in the medical check-up. We aimed to analyse: 1) How physicians graded the neurosensory component of HAVS on the Stockholm Workshop Scale (SWS), compared to semi-objective findings. 2) What vocational rehabilitative decisions (VRD) were taken by physicians after examinations. 3) Whether the VRDs differed in relation to the SWS-grading.
    METHODS: Data came from 660 medical records - all examinations performed during twelve consecutive months in one large Swedish occupational healthcare company. 572 individuals had data on the SWS from the physician. For the qualitative analysis, we used the inductive-iterative immersion-crystallization method.
    RESULTS: 60% of the examined workers had symptoms and 32% had semi-objective findings consistent with HAVS. The physicians\' SWS gradings were underestimated in 59% of the cases with semi-objective findings. The VRDs were classified, relative to communication with the employer, as: \"Adequate\" (57%), when no injury was present, communication had already taken place, was planned, or was no longer needed in the absence of further exposure, \"Semi-adequate\" (18%), if no plan for communication was yet established or only communicated through a document with a shorter time until next check-up, and \"Inadequate\"(25%), when patients refused (20%), or physicians failed to communicate with the employer, despite findings (80%). Underestimated SWS-gradings of HAVS were significantly associated with more \"Inadequate\" VRDs in the group with semi-objective findings.
    CONCLUSIONS: Occupational physicians underestimate the number of individuals with SWS 2-3 compared with semi-objective findings and regularly fail to communicate to the employer despite findings of HAVS. The underestimation of SWS-grading, followed by inadequate VRDs, excludes many workers from the employer\'s mandatory protective measures which may lead to aggravation of an untreatable injury in the affected individual and development of HAVS in their similarly exposed colleagues.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2022年,全球出现了水痘的复苏,与以前的疫情相比,具有不同的临床流行病学特征。假设性接触是主要的传播途径,与男性发生性关系的男性(MSM)社区受到了不成比例的影响。由于与性传播感染相关的耻辱,水痘的真正负担可能会被掩盖。我们量化了16个国家的基本繁殖数(R0)和被低估的水痘病例比例,从疫情爆发到2022年9月初,使用贝叶斯推断和分隔,风险结构(高/低风险人群)和两路(性/非性传播)数学模型。机器学习(ML)被用来识别低估的决定因素。估计的R0介于1.37(加拿大)和3.68(德国)之间。高风险和低风险人群的低估率在25-93%和65-85%之间变化,分别。估计的水痘病例总数,相对于报告的病例,哥伦比亚最高(3.60),加拿大最低(1.08)。在ML分析中,可以确定两组国家,在对2SLGBTQIAP+社区的态度和宗教的重要性方面有所不同。鉴于严重的天花低估,应该加强监视,应组织针对特定国家的运动,反对MSM的污名化,利用基于社区的干预措施。
    In 2022, there was a global resurgence of mpox, with different clinical-epidemiological features compared with previous outbreaks. Sexual contact was hypothesized as the primary transmission route, and the community of men having sex with men (MSM) was disproportionately affected. Because of the stigma associated with sexually transmitted infections, the real burden of mpox could be masked. We quantified the basic reproduction number (R 0) and the underestimated fraction of mpox cases in 16 countries, from the onset of the outbreak until early September 2022, using Bayesian inference and a compartmentalized, risk-structured (high-/low-risk populations) and two-route (sexual/non-sexual transmission) mathematical model. Machine learning (ML) was harnessed to identify underestimation determinants. Estimated R 0 ranged between 1.37 (Canada) and 3.68 (Germany). The underestimation rates for the high- and low-risk populations varied between 25-93% and 65-85%, respectively. The estimated total number of mpox cases, relative to the reported cases, is highest in Colombia (3.60) and lowest in Canada (1.08). In the ML analysis, two clusters of countries could be identified, differing in terms of attitudes towards the 2SLGBTQIAP+ community and the importance of religion. Given the substantial mpox underestimation, surveillance should be enhanced, and country-specific campaigns against the stigmatization of MSM should be organized, leveraging community-based interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    加工食品和饲料挑战官方控制,例如通过修饰蛋白质,这导致对目标的严重低估,基于MS的蛋白质定量。尽管许多研究确定了在基质和加工条件的各种组合中加工诱导的蛋白质变化,半定量研究它们对特定蛋白质序列的影响可能揭示提高蛋白质定量准确性的方法。因此,335翻译后修饰(例如氧化,脱酰胺,羧甲基化,Amadori,通过对37种与食品和饲料相关的牛材料(肉类,骨头,血,牛奶)具有不同的加工程度(生的,喷雾干燥,压力灭菌)。为了模拟目标分析中的蛋白质回收,将标记和参考肽的峰面积与其修饰版本的峰面积进行比较,这揭示了所有样品的肽特异性回收率和差异。详细的分析表明,除了未修饰的标记物之外还掺入两个修饰的版本可以显著提高加工基质中靶向的基于MS的食品和饲料控制的定量准确性。
    Processing food and feed challenges official control e.g. by modifying proteins, which leads to significant underestimation in targeted, MS-based protein quantification. Whereas numerous studies identified processing-induced changes on proteins in various combinations of matrices and processing conditions, studying their impact semi-quantitatively on specific protein sequences might unveil approaches to improve protein quantification accuracy. Thus, 335 post-translational modifications (e.g. oxidation, deamidation, carboxymethylation, Amadori, acrolein adduction) were identified by bottom-up proteomic analysis of 37 bovine materials relevant in food and feed (meat, bone, blood, milk) with varying processing degrees (raw, spray-dried, pressure-sterilized). To mimic protein recovery in a targeted analysis, peak areas of marker and reference peptides were compared to those of their modified versions, which revealed peptide-specific recoveries and variances across all samples. Detailed analysis suggests that incorporating two modified versions additionally to the unmodified marker may significantly improve quantification accuracy in targeted MS-based food and feed control in processed matrices.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:癫痫患者主观和客观认知常表现为弱重叠。可能会出现高估和低估。特别是在癫痫手术后,客观的记忆力下降往往没有主观报道。此外,关于主观认知和客观认知随时间变化的一致性的研究尚缺乏。因此,我们研究了手术和非手术PWE随时间的一致性程度。
    方法:在03/18和12/20(T1)之间使用自我报告问卷评估了切除性癫痫手术的候选人,并进行了神经心理学检查。对于21个手术以及27个非手术的PWE随访数据,在一到三年后(T2)获得。比较各组和时间点之间的注意力和记忆的一致性。此外,计算可靠变化,并在组间进行比较.
    结果:在总样本中,42%的人对他们的注意力表现进行了逼真的评价,25%的人表现出记忆一致性。群体之间的过度估计和低估模式的差异以及随着时间的推移,但不是为了记忆。在操作中,记忆的高估比非操作PWE更频繁,特别是在T2(67%vs.11%)。在手术组中,我们主要观察到主观认知的可靠改善和客观记忆的下降,而非手术PWE表现出更频繁的简单注意力下降。可靠的主观和客观变化没有共同发生。
    结论:主观和客观认知的一致性较低。随着时间的推移,高估和低估可能会持续下去。特定领域的观点是必要的。在神经心理学干预中,应考虑手术后PWE对术后记忆的高估趋势。
    OBJECTIVE: Subjective and objective cognition often show weak overlap in persons with epilepsy (PWE). Over- as well as underestimation may occur. In particular after epilepsy surgery, objective memory decline is often not subjectively reported. Additionally, studies on how concordance of subjective and objective cognition changes over time are missing. Therefore, we study the extent of concordance in operated and non-operated PWE over time.
    METHODS: Candidates for resective epilepsy surgery were assessed between 03/18 and 12/20 (T1) with self-report questionnaires and underwent a neuropsychological examination. For 21 operated as well as 27 non-operated PWE follow-up data was obtained one to three years later (T2). Concordance of attention and memory were compared between groups and time points. Moreover, reliable change was calculated and compared between groups.
    RESULTS: Of the total sample, 42 % rated their attention performance realistically and 25 % showed memory concordance. Differences in patterns of over- and underestimation between groups and over time occurred for attention, but not for memory. Overestimation of memory was more frequent in operated than non-operated PWE, especially at T2 (67% vs. 11 %). In the operated group, we mainly observed reliable improvement in subjective cognition and decline in objective memory, whereas non-operated PWE showed more frequently decline of simple attention. Reliable subjective and objective change did not co-occur.
    CONCLUSIONS: Concordance of subjective and objective cognition is low. Over- as well as underestimation may persist over time. Domain-specific perspectives are necessary. Tendencies of operated PWE to develop overestimation of memory after surgery should be considered in neuropsychological interventions.
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    文章类型: Journal Article
    Accuracy of burn size estimation is critical in acute burn management because it directly affects the patient\'s outcome and prognosis. This study aims to quantify the discrepancies of total body surface area (TBSA) burned between the burn unit (TBSAb) and the referring facilities (TBSAr). Data of all referred adult and paediatric patients admitted to the Hospital Universiti Sains Malaysia Burn Unit within 24 hours post burn were retrospectively reviewed from 2015 to 2019. %TBSA discrepancies were calculated by the differences between TBSAb and TBSAr. A total of 208 patients (111 adults and 97 paediatric patients) were recruited in this study. Of these, the TBSA was overestimated in 60.58% cases, underestimated in 13.46% cases, accurate in 7.69% cases, and in 18.27% cases the referrals had no TBSAr stated. The %TBSA discrepancy was the highest in severe burns (mean 10.80% in adults and 7.59 in paediatric patients; P<0.001). The time interval between referral and reassessment and patients\' body mass index (BMI) were not statistically significant for the magnitude of TBSA discrepancy. The number of burn areas involved correlated with the %TBSA discrepancies, with the highest recorded discrepancy being 21.50% in whole body involvement. There were significant discrepancies in TBSA estimations between the referring facilities and those of the Hospital Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) burn unit, especially among the paediatric patients and those with severe burns. Implementation of educational programs by burn care experts and agreement on a universal method of TBSA assessment are necessary in reducing the discrepancies.
    L’estimation précise de la surface brûlée est cruciale dans la prise en charge des patients. Cette étude a évalué les différences d’évaluation de SB selon sa réalisation en CTB (CTB) ou ailleurs (A). Les données de tous les patients (111 adultes et 97 enfants) hospitalisés entre 2015 et 2019, dans les 24h suivant leur brûlure, dans le CTB du CHU Universiti Sains Malaysia ont été revues rétrospectivement. L’estimation A n’était correcte que dans 7,69% des cas. Elle était exagérée dans 60,58% des cas, minorée dans 13,46% et absente dans 18,27%. L’erreur était plus nette (10,8% chez les adultes, 7,59% chez les enfants) en cas de brûlure grave. Le BMI et la durée entre les évaluations A et CTB n’entraient pas en ligne de compte. L’erreur augmentait avec le nombre de régions touchées, pour atteindre 21,5% si toutes comportaient une brûlure. Ces constatations nous amènent à proposer des actions d’éducation dispensées par des brûlologues et l’acceptation par tous d’une méthode unique de calcul de la SB.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在在启动基于人群的癌症登记计划之前纠正癌症数据的不足,采用创新的贝叶斯方法。
    低估是发展中国家癌症登记处的一个普遍问题。
    这项次要研究利用了癌症登记数据。我们采用贝叶斯方法来纠正2005年至2010年癌症数据的低估,使用Golestan省的病理学与基于人群的数据的比率作为初始值。
    这项研究的结果表明,少计的最低百分比属于呼罗珊·拉扎维省,平均为21%,最高百分比属于锡斯坦和俾路支斯坦省,平均为38%。除Golestan省外,全国所有省份的平均年龄标准化发病率(ASR)等于105.72(置信区间(CI)95%105.35-106.09)每100,000,贝叶斯校正后为137.17(CI95%136.74-137.60)每100,000。2010年,贝叶斯校正前的ASR为女性每100,000人中的100.28(CI95%124.39-127.09),男性每100,000人中的136.49(CI95%171.20-174.38)。此外,在实施贝叶斯修正后,女性的ASR增加到每100,000人中125.74人,男性每100,000人中172.79人。
    该研究证明了贝叶斯方法在纠正癌症登记处的低估方面的有效性。通过利用贝叶斯方法,贝叶斯校正后的平均ASR变化29.74%为137.17/100,000.这些校正后的估算值提供了有关癌症负担的更准确信息,并有助于改善公共卫生计划和政策评估。此外,这项研究强调了贝叶斯方法在解决癌症登记中低估的适用性.它还强调了其在塑造该领域未来调查轨迹方面的关键作用。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aims to correct undercounts in cancer data before initiating a population-based cancer registry program, employing an innovative Bayesian methodology.
    UNASSIGNED: Underestimation is a widespread issue in cancer registries within developing countries.
    UNASSIGNED: This secondary study utilized cancer registry data. We employed the Bayesian approach to correct undercounting in cancer data from 2005 to 2010, using the ratio of pathology to population-based data in the Golestan province as the initial value.
    UNASSIGNED: The results of this study showed that the lowest percentage of undercounting belonged to Khorasan Razavi province with an average of 21% and the highest percentage belonged to Sistan and Baluchestan province with an average of 38%.The average age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) for all provinces of the country except Golestan province was equal to 105.72 (Confidence interval (CI) 95% 105.35-106.09) per 100,000 and after Bayesian correction was 137.17 (CI 95% 136.74-137.60) per 100,000. In 2010 the amount of ASR before Bayesian correction was 100.28 (CI 95% 124.39-127.09) per 100,000 for women and 136.49 (CI 95% 171.20-174.38) per 100,000 for men. Also, after implementing the Bayesian correction, ASR increased to 125.74 per 100,000 for women and 172.79 per 100,000 for men.
    UNASSIGNED: The study demonstrates the effectiveness of the Bayesian approach in correcting undercounting in cancer registries. By utilizing the Bayesian method, the average ASR after Bayesian correction with a 29.74 percent change was 137.17 per 100,000. These corrected estimates provide more accurate information on cancer burden and can contribute to improved public health programs and policy evaluation. Furthermore, this research emphasizes the suitability of the Bayesian method for addressing underestimation in cancer registries. It also underscores its pivotal role in shaping the trajectory of future investigations in this field.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Current guidelines emphasize the diagnostic value of non-cardiac or possibly cardiac chest pain. The goal of this analysis was to determine whether German chest pain units (CPUs) adequately address conditions with \"atypical\" chest pain in existing diagnostic structures.
    METHODS: A total of 11,734 patients from the German CPU registry were included. The analyses included mode of admission, critical time intervals, diagnostic steps, and differential diagnoses.
    RESULTS: Patients with unspecified chest pain were younger, more often female, were less likely to have classic cardiovascular risk factors and tended to present more often as self-referrals. Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) mostly had prehospital medical contact. Overall, there was no difference between these two groups regarding the time from the onset of first symptoms to arrival at the CPU. In the CPU, the usual basic diagnostic measures were performed irrespective of ACS as the primary working diagnosis. In the non-ACS group, further ischemia-specific diagnostics were rarely performed. Extra-cardiac differential diagnoses were not specified.
    CONCLUSIONS: The establishment of broader awareness programs and opening CPUs for low-threshold evaluation of self-referring patients should be discussed. Regarding the rigid focus on the clarification of cardiac causes of chest pain, a stronger interdisciplinary approach should be promoted.
    UNASSIGNED: HINTERGRUND: Aktuelle Leitlinien betonen die diagnostische Wertigkeit auch des nichtkardialen oder möglicherweise nichtkardialen Thoraxschmerzes. In der aktuellen Arbeit wird untersucht, ob die deutschen Chest Pain Units (CPU) Erkrankungen mit „atypischen“ Brustschmerzen innerhalb der bestehender Diagnosestrukturen bereits angemessen behandeln.
    METHODS: Eingeschlossen wurden 11.734 Patienten aus dem deutschen CPU-Register. Die Analysen umfassten Aufnahmeart, kritische Zeitintervalle, diagnostische Schritte und Differenzialdiagnosen.
    UNASSIGNED: Patienten mit nicht näher bezeichneten Brustschmerzen waren jünger, häufiger weiblich, wiesen seltener klassische kardiovaskuläre Risikofaktoren auf und stellten sich tendenziell häufiger als Selbsteinweiser vor. Patienten mit akutem Koronarsyndrom (ACS) hatten meist bereits präklinischen Kontakt zum Gesundheitssystem. Insgesamt gab es keinen Unterschied hinsichtlich des Auftretens der ersten Symptome bis zum Eintreffen in der CPU. Innerhalb der CPU wurden bei allen Patienten und unabhängig von der initialen Arbeitsdiagnose ACS die üblichen Basisdiagnostikmaßnahmen durchgeführt. In der Nicht-ACS-Gruppe wurde selten weitere Ischämiediagnostik durchgeführt. Extrakardiale Differenzialdiagnosen wurden nicht weiter differenziert.
    UNASSIGNED: Die Einrichtung umfassenderer Awarenessprogramme und die niederschwellige Selbstvorstellungsmöglichkeit in die CPU sollten intensiver diskutiert werden. Angesichts der häufig starren Fokussierung auf die Abklärung ischämischer/kardialer Ursachen des akuten Thoraxschmerzes sollte ein stärkerer interdisziplinärer Ansatz gefördert werden.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:百日咳,一种传染性呼吸道疾病,在成年人中被低估了。研究目的是量化五个拉丁美洲国家50岁以上成年人百日咳病例的低估(阿根廷,巴西,智利,墨西哥,秘鲁)。
    方法:对以前发表的概率模型进行了调整,以通过连续的乘法步骤(寻求医疗保健的百日咳病例比例;收集的样本比例;进行确认测试的比例;百日咳阳性比例;被动监测报告的比例)来调整报告给国家监测系统的百日咳病例数量。将每个步骤的比例添加到随机效应模型中,以产生合并的总体比例,最后的乘数被计算为这个比例的简单倒数。将该乘数应用于报告给监测的病例数以估计百日咳病例数。10,000次迭代的蒙特卡洛模拟估计中位数以及90%的上限和下限值。输入数据来自监测系统和公布的来源。
    结果:估计的成人百日咳病例中值低估因子从智利的104例(90%限值40,451例)到阿根廷的114例(90%限值39,419例)不等。在所有五个国家,估计病例数量最多的是50-59岁组。在大多数国家中,每100,000人中的人数最多的是90岁以上的人群。在巴西,百日咳住院的估计中值低估因子为2.3(90%限制1.8、3.3),在智利为2.4(90%限制1.8、3.2)(其他国家没有数据)。
    结论:这项分析表明,在5个拉丁美洲国家,50岁以上的成年人中百日咳病例数是监测数据所记录的约100倍。这些结果可以支持诊断中的决策,管理,和预防成人百日咳疾病。
    BACKGROUND: Pertussis, a contagious respiratory disease, is underreported in adults. The study objective was to quantify underestimation of pertussis cases in adults aged ≥ 50 years in five Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Peru).
    METHODS: A previously published probabilistic model was adapted to adjust the number of pertussis cases reported to national surveillance systems by successive multiplication steps (proportion of pertussis cases seeking healthcare; proportion with a specimen collected; proportion sent for confirmatory testing; proportion positive for pertussis; proportion reported to passive surveillance). The proportions at each step were added in a random effects model to produce a pooled overall proportion, and a final multiplier was calculated as the simple inverse of this proportion. This multiplier was applied to the number of cases reported to surveillance to estimate the number of pertussis cases. Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 iterations estimated median as well as upper and lower 90% values. Input data were obtained from surveillance systems and published sources.
    RESULTS: The estimated median underestimation factor for pertussis cases in adults ranged from 104 (90% limits 40, 451) in Chile to 114 (90% limits 39, 419) in Argentina. In all five countries, the largest estimated number of cases was in the group aged 50-59 years. The highest number per 100,000 population was in the group aged ≥ 90 years in most countries. The estimated median underestimation factor for pertussis hospitalizations was 2.3 (90% limits 1.8, 3.3) in Brazil and 2.4 (90% limits 1.8, 3.2) in Chile (data not available for other countries).
    CONCLUSIONS: This analysis indicates that the number of pertussis cases in adults aged ≥ 50 years in five Latin American countries is approximately 100 times higher than the number captured in surveillance data. These results could support decision-making in the diagnosis, management, and prevention of pertussis disease in adults.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:分析制造工人中噪声引起的永久阈值偏移(NIPTS)低估的影响因素,为修订噪声暴露标准提供基线数据。
    方法:对来自10个行业的35家企业的2702名接触噪声的工人进行了横断面研究。个人噪声暴露水平(LAeq,8h)和噪声峰度水平由噪声剂量计确定。对每个受试者进行问卷调查和听力损失测试。预测的NIPTS是使用ISO1999:2013模型为每个参与者计算的,对实际测量的NIPTS进行年龄和性别校正。调查了影响NIPTS低估的因素。
    结果:使用ISO1999:2013模型在每个测试频率(0.5、1、2、3、4或6kHz)下的预测NIPTS和在2、3、4和6kHz下的平均NIPTS(NIPTS2346)显着低于其相应的测量NIPTS,分别(P<0.001)。ISO模型显著低估了NIPTS234612.36dBHL。多元线性回归分析表明,噪声暴露水平,暴露持续时间,年龄,峰度可能影响NIPTS2346的低估程度。具有(惩罚)样条分量的广义加性模型(GAM)显示了关键因素(年龄、暴露持续时间,噪声级,和峰度)和被低估的NIPTS2346。被低估的NIPTS2346随着暴露持续时间的增加(特别是超过十年)而减少。随着年龄的增长,被低估的NIPTS2346没有明显的趋势。被低估的NIPTS2346随着噪声水平的增加而降低[特别是>90dB(A)]。在调整噪声暴露水平和暴露持续时间并最终表现出线性回归关系后,低估的NIPTS2346随噪声峰度的增加而增加。
    结论:ISO1999预测模型大大低估了制造工人中噪声引起的听力损失。在少于十年的噪声暴露条件下,低估程度变得更加显著,小于90dB(A),和更高的峰度水平。在使用ISO预测模型时,有必要应用峰度来调整听力损失的低估,并考虑噪声能量指标的应用条件。
    To analyze factors influencing the underestimation of noise-induced permanent threshold shift (NIPTS) among manufacturing workers, providing baseline data for revising noise exposure standard.
    A cross-sectional study was designed with 2702 noise-exposed workers from 35 enterprises from 10 industries. Personal noise exposure level(LAeq,8h) and noise kurtosis level were determined by a noise dosimeter. Questionnaires and hearing loss tests were performed for each subject. The predicted NIPTS was calculated using the ISO 1999:2013 model for each participant, and the actual measured NIPTS was corrected for age and sex. The factors influencing the underestimation of NIPTS were investigated.
    The predicted NIPTS at each test frequency (0.5, 1, 2, 3, 4, or 6kHz) and mean NIPTS at 2, 3, 4, and 6kHz (NIPTS2346) using the ISO 1999:2013 model were significantly lower than their corresponding measured NIPTS, respectively (P < 0.001). The ISO model significantly underestimated the NIPTS2346 by 12.36 dB HL. The multiple linear regression analysis showed that noise exposure level, exposure duration, age, and kurtosis could affect the degree of underestimation of NIPTS2346. The generalized additive model (GAM) with (penalized) spline components showed nonlinear relationships between critical factors (age, exposure duration, noise level, and kurtosis) and the underestimated NIPTS2346.The underestimated NIPTS2346 decreased with an increase in exposure duration (especially over ten years). There was no apparent trend in the underestimated NIPTS2346 with age. The underestimated NIPTS2346 decreased with the increased noise level [especially > 90 dB(A)]. The underestimated NIPTS2346 increased with an increase in noise kurtosis after adjusting for the noise exposure level and exposure duration and ultimately exhibiting a linear regression relationship.
    The ISO 1999 predicting model significantly underestimated the noise-induced hearing loss among manufacturing workers. The degree of underestimation became more significant at the noise exposure condition of fewer than ten years, less than 90 dB(A), and higher kurtosis levels. It is necessary to apply kurtosis to adjust the underestimation of hearing loss and consider the applying condition of noise energy metrics when using the ISO predicting model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:我们的多中心研究分析了临床,经真空辅助活检(VAB)诊断的非典型导管增生(ADH)患者的放射学和病理学特征,为了确定与升级风险相关的因素,开发一个评分系统来支持决策。
    方法:在立体定向/断层合成指导下(2012-2022年)在VAB上患有ADH的患者符合条件。纳入标准是对整个病变进行手术组织病理学检查或放射学随访(FUP)≥24个月。将VAB结果与手术病理结果或影像学FUP演变进行比较以评估升级。使用向后逐步线性回归来识别升级的预测因子。通过接收器工作曲线下面积(ROC-AUC)计算模型的判别力;使用Hosmer-Lemeshow检验评估模型校准。积分系统是根据选定的风险因素开发的,并确定与每个积分总数相关的升级概率。
    结果:包括112个ADH病变:91个(91/112,81.3%)接受了手术切除,诊断为恶性肿瘤,而21例(21/112,18.7%)接受了FUP的影像学检查,间隔一次改变(平均FUP时间48个月)。整体升级率为18.7%(21/112)。年龄,更年期状态,并发乳腺癌,BIRADS分类和ADH病灶数量被确定为升级的危险因素。我们的模型显示AUC=0.85(95%CI0.76-0.94)。积分系统表明,当总分≤1时,升级风险<2%。
    结论:我们的评分系统似乎是管理ADH的一个有前途的易于使用的决策支持工具,减少不必要的手术,减少患者的过度治疗和医疗费用。
    OBJECTIVE: Our multicentric study analysed clinical, radiologic and pathologic features in patients with atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH) diagnosed with vacuum-assisted biopsy (VAB), to identify factors associated with the risk of upgrade, to develop a scoring system to support decision making.
    METHODS: Patients with ADH on VAB under stereotactic/tomosynthesis guidance (2012-2022) were eligible. Inclusion criteria were availability of surgical histopathological examination of the entire lesion or radiologic follow-up (FUP) ≥ 24 months. VAB results were compared with surgical pathological results or with imaging FUP evolution to assess upgrade. A backward stepwise linear regression was used to identify predictors of upgrade. The discriminatory power of the model was calculated through the area under the receiver operating curve (ROC-AUC); the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess model calibration. The points system was developed based on the selected risk factors, and the probability of upgrade associated with each point total was determined.
    RESULTS: 112 ADH lesions were included: 91 (91/112, 81.3%) underwent surgical excision with 20 diagnosis of malignancy, while 21 (21/112, 18.7%) underwent imaging FUP with one interval change (mean FUP time 48 months). Overall upgrade rate was 18.7% (21/112). Age, menopausal status, concurrent breast cancer, BIRADS classification and number of foci of ADH were identified as risk factors for upgrade. Our model showed an AUC = 0.85 (95% CI 0.76-0.94). The points system showed that the risk of upgrade is < 2% when the total score is ≤ 1.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our scoring system seemed a promising easy-to-use decision support tool for management of ADH, decreasing unnecessary surgeries, reducing patients\' overtreatment and healthcare costs.
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