Uncertainty management

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    不确定性是生活中不可避免的;它也是教育环境不可或缺的特征。学习外语的过程自然涉及知识的互动和共同构建。在这个过程中,学生可能会遇到来自各种来源的不确定性,包括课程,context,朋友,或者老师。此外,有意义的交流,需要听者和说话者的共同努力来应对不确定性。考虑到这一点,本研究努力理解学习者如何理解和管理语言学习环境中的不确定性。虽然不确定性被认为是一个多学科的研究课题,在文献中发现了有限数量的研究,这些研究研究了学生如何体验不确定性以及他们如何对此做出反应。关于外语学习,相关研究集中在一种特定形式的不确定性上,对歧义的容忍度,它被概念化为一种认知风格。课堂上的笔和纸调查,反光日记帐,录像,刺激召回访谈是用来收集数据的工具。研究结果表明,语言学习者在语言学习过程中经常遇到由于课程相关的不确定性,认知,和社会因素,学习者可能会从积极和消极的角度欣赏不确定性。此外,学习者对不确定性的情绪反应取决于他们对不确定情况的积极或消极评价。通过认识和拥抱不确定性,语言学习者将适应它,并能够通过各种技术来处理它。结果表明,学习者采用了多种策略,比如减少,维护,解决不确定性以及忽略不确定性。
    Uncertainty is unavoidable in life; it is also an indispensable characteristic of educational settings. The process of learning a foreign language naturally involves interaction and coconstruction of knowledge. During this process, students may encounter uncertainty from a variety of sources, including the course, context, friends, or the teacher. Besides, to communicate meaningfully, the mutual effort of both the listener and the speaker is needed to deal with uncertainty. Considering this, the present study makes an effort to comprehend how learners appreciate and manage uncertainty in language learning environments. Although uncertainty is considered a multidisciplinary research topic, a limited number of studies are found in the literature which examine how students experience uncertainty and how they react to it. Regarding foreign language learning, related research focused on a specific form of uncertainty, Tolerance of Ambiguity, which is conceptualized as a cognitive style. In-class pen-and-paper surveys, reflective journals, video recordings, and stimulated recall interviews were the instruments used to gather data. The findings demonstrate that language learners frequently encounter uncertainty during the language learning process due to course-related, cognitive, and social factors, and learners may appreciate uncertainty in both positive and negative ways. Additionally, learners\' emotional reactions to uncertainty depend on their positive or negative appraisals of uncertain situations. By recognizing and embracing uncertainty, language learners will adapt to it and be able to handle it through a variety of techniques. The results suggest that learners employ a variety of strategies, such as reducing, maintaining, and resolving uncertainty as well as ignoring uncertainty.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人工智能大大提高了各个部门的数据利用效率。然而,对低质量数据的过滤不足对不确定性管理提出了挑战,威胁系统稳定性。在这项研究中,我们引入了一种数据评估方法,采用深度强化学习来阐明数据驱动任务中的价值模式。通过迭代采样和反馈进行战略优化,我们的方法在不同的情况下是有效的,并且在准确性和效率上始终优于经典方法。在我国风电功率预测中,排除被认为是低值的总体数据集的25%导致准确度提高10.5%.仅利用42.8%的数据集,该模型识别了80%的线性模式,展示数据的内在和可转移价值。一项全国性的分析确定了10个省的数据价值敏感地理带,根据电力输出和数据值的差异,提出强有力的政策建议,以及地理气候因素。
    Artificial intelligence has substantially improved the efficiency of data utilization across various sectors. However, the insufficient filtering of low-quality data poses challenges to uncertainty management, threatening system stability. In this study, we introduce a data-valuation approach employing deep reinforcement learning to elucidate the value patterns in data-driven tasks. By strategically optimizing with iterative sampling and feedback, our method is effective in diverse scenarios and consistently outperforms the classic methods in both accuracy and efficiency. In China\'s wind-power prediction, excluding 25% of the overall dataset deemed low-value led to a 10.5% improvement in accuracy. Utilizing just 42.8% of the dataset, the model discerned 80% of linear patterns, showcasing the data\'s intrinsic and transferable value. A nationwide analysis identified a data-value-sensitive geographic belt across 10 provinces, leading to robust policy recommendations informed by variances in power outputs and data values, as well as geographic climate factors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在过去几年中,公共卫生危机的不确定性是否以及如何向公众传达一直是重要且尚未解决的问题。作为当代最具威胁性的公共卫生危机,COVID-19大流行重新引起了学者和公共卫生从业人员对这些尚未解决的问题的兴趣。
    目的:本研究的目的是调查关于COVID-19相关威胁和解决方案的沟通不确定性对个人风险认知和错误信息脆弱性的影响,以及这些影响对健康信息处理和预防行为意图的顺序影响。
    方法:对371名中国成年人进行了2×2(威胁不确定性[存在与不存在]×解决方案不确定性[存在与不存在])全分数受试者间在线实验。重点讨论在COVID-19大流行期间发现的无症状病例是否会进一步导致不受控制的大流行,在无症状病例的传染性和控制传播的手段是否以确定性或不确定性呈现方面,新闻文章被操纵。参与者被随机分配到四个实验条件之一,被指示读一篇新闻。在阅读了分配的新闻文章后,参与者被要求回答一系列问题,以评估他们的认知和行为反应.
    结果:当新闻文章中提出某种威胁和不确定的解决方案时,个人更容易相信与COVID-19相关的虚假信息。此外,当暴露于包含不确定解决方案的新闻信息时,个人对危机严重性的看法会增加。错误信息脆弱性和感知严重性都与信息处理呈正相关。信息寻求与保护性行为意图呈正相关,而信息回避与保护性行为意图呈负相关。
    结论:我们的发现意味着不确定性,取决于它的方面,可以在新兴的公共卫生危机期间有效地传达给公众。这些结果对健康传播者和新闻工作者具有理论和实践意义。鉴于其对个体认知和行为反应的影响有限,应该传播与健康威胁相关的不确定性,以满足公众对信息透明度的期望。然而,在传达与潜在解决方案相关的不确定性时,建议谨慎行事,因为这一因素在危机期间对个人反应表现出不同的影响。
    BACKGROUND: Whether and how the uncertainty about a public health crisis should be communicated to the general public have been important and yet unanswered questions arising over the past few years. As the most threatening contemporary public health crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic has renewed interest in these unresolved issues by both academic scholars and public health practitioners.
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of communicating uncertainty about COVID-19-related threats and solutions on individuals\' risk perceptions and misinformation vulnerability, as well as the sequential impact of these effects on health information processing and preventative behavioral intentions.
    METHODS: A 2×2 (threat uncertainty [presence vs absence]×solution uncertainty [presence vs absence]) full-fractional between-subjects online experiment was conducted with 371 Chinese adults. Focusing on the discussion of whether the asymptomatic cases detected during the COVID-19 pandemic would further lead to an uncontrolled pandemic, news articles were manipulated in terms of whether the infectiousness of asymptomatic cases and the means to control the transmission are presented in terms of their certainty or uncertainty. Participants were randomly assigned to one of the four experimental conditions, being instructed to read one news article. After reading the news article assigned, participants were asked to respond to a series of questions to assess their cognitive and behavioral responses.
    RESULTS: Individuals were more susceptible to believing false COVID-19-related information when a certain threat and uncertain solution were framed in the news article. Moreover, individuals\' perceptions of crisis severity increased when exposed to news information containing uncertain solutions. Both misinformation vulnerability and perceived severity were positively associated with information processing. Information seeking was positively associated with protective behavioral intention, whereas information avoidance was negatively associated with protective behavioral intention.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings imply that uncertainty, depending on its aspect, can be effectively communicated to the public during an emerging public health crisis. These results have theoretical and practical implications for health communicators and journalists. Given its limited influence on individuals\' cognitive and behavioral responses, uncertainty related to a health threat should be disseminated to meet the public\'s expectation of information transparency. However, caution is advised when communicating uncertainty related to potential solutions, as this factor exhibited a mixed impact on individual responses during a crisis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    辐射和放射性物质导致放射性废物的产生,需要安全管理和处置,以避免对人类健康和环境的风险。为了确保永久安全处置,放射性废物深层地质处置库的性能是根据国际商定的基于风险的标准进行评估的。评估未来系统演变的后封闭安全性包括功能筛选,事件,和与局势相关的进程(FEP),他们随后发展成场景,最后是安全评估(SA)模型的开发和执行。全球FEP目录描述了重要的自然和人为存储库系统功能,并识别了将来可能影响这些功能的事件和过程。通过结合FEPS,其中许多是不确定的,得出了不同的未来可能的系统演化场景。存储库许可应同时考虑参考或“基础”演变以及可能导致辐射释放的替代未来,污染,或曝光。方案用于推导和考虑基础和替代演化,通常是通过产生特定场景的SA模型,并将其结果重新组合到损害风险评估中。虽然这里概述的基于FEP的情景开发过程自1980年代开发以来已经有所发展,基本思想保持不变。这里给出了一系列常见的方法(例如,自下而上与自上而下的场景开发,概率与不确定性的边界处理),与如何将可能的期货的单个数值模型转换为确定系统是否安全有关(即,如何通过边界或蒙特卡洛方法整合任意不确定性和场景)。
    Radiation and radioactive substances result in the production of radioactive wastes which require safe management and disposal to avoid risks to human health and the environment. To ensure permanent safe disposal, the performance of a deep geological repository for radioactive waste is assessed against internationally agreed risk-based standards. Assessing postclosure safety of the future system\'s evolution includes screening of features, events, and processes (FEPs) relevant to the situation, their subsequent development into scenarios, and finally the development and execution of safety assessment (SA) models. Global FEP catalogs describe important natural and man-made repository system features and identify events and processes that may affect these features into the future. By combining FEPs, many of which are uncertain, different possible future system evolution scenarios are derived. Repository licensing should consider both the reference or \"base\" evolution as well as alternative futures that may lead to radiation release, pollution, or exposures. Scenarios are used to derive and consider both base and alternative evolutions, often through production of scenario-specific SA models and the recombination of their results into an assessment of the risk of harm. While the FEP-based scenario development process outlined here has evolved somewhat since its development in the 1980s, the fundamental ideas remain unchanged. A spectrum of common approaches is given here (e.g., bottom-up vs. top-down scenario development, probabilistic vs. bounding handling of uncertainty), related to how individual numerical models for possible futures are converted into a determination as to whether the system is safe (i.e., how aleatoric uncertainty and scenarios are integrated through bounding or Monte Carlo approaches).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:研究患有痴呆症的父母的前照顾者如何参与个人健康规划。
    方法:归纳,定性研究。
    方法:虚拟、录音,半结构化面试。
    方法:32名中年前主要照顾者,适用于3个月至3年前因晚期痴呆而死亡的父母。
    方法:参与者回答了一系列开放式面试提示。采访记录由受过训练的人转录和评估,多元化的团队来生成共识定性研究(CQR)领域和类别。
    结果:护理人员制定了健康计划展望(即,关于参与个人健康规划的意愿和能力的心态)指导健康规划活动(即,从事健康的生活方式,启动认知/基因测试,保持独立和老化,确保财务和法律安全)。一种真正的前景涉及能够参与健康规划活动的感觉,当护理人员目睹父母健康规划的影响和可行性时,就会出现这种感觉。当护理人员面临障碍时,会出现焦虑诱导和以现在为中心的观点(例如,低自我效能感,缺乏社会支持,认为父母的健康计划不能提高生活质量),并得出结论认为个人健康计划没有价值或不可行。
    结论:照顾患有痴呆症(PLWD)的父母会影响以前的照顾者的个人健康计划。干预措施应支持对健康老龄化形成低自我效能或悲观看法的前护理人员,以支持他们解决健康规划活动。
    To examine how former caregivers for parents living with dementia engage in personal health planning.
    An inductive, qualitative study.
    Virtual, audio-recorded, semi-structured interviews.
    Thirty-two midlife former primary caregivers for parents who died following advanced dementia 3 months to 3 years prior.
    Participants responded to a series of open-ended interview prompts. Interview recordings were transcribed and evaluated by a trained, diverse team to generate Consensual Qualitative Research (CQR) domains and categories.
    Caregivers developed health planning outlooks (ie, mindsets regarding willingness and ability to engage in personal health planning) that guided health planning activities (ie, engaging in a healthy lifestyle, initiating cognitive/genetic testing, maintaining independence and aging in place, ensuring financial and legal security). An agentic outlook involved feeling capable of engaging in health planning activities and arose when caregivers witnessed the impact and feasibility of their parents\' health planning. Anxiety-inducing and present-focused outlooks arose when caregivers faced barriers (eg, low self-efficacy, lack of social support, perception that parent\'s health planning did not enhance quality of life) and concluded that personal health planning would not be valuable or feasible.
    Caregiving for a parent living with dementia (PLWD) shapes former caregivers\' personal health planning. Interventions should support former caregivers who have developed low self-efficacy or pessimistic views on healthy aging to support them in addressing health planning activities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:生育诊所重新开业后,生育工作人员在管理COVID-19相关不确定性方面有哪些经验?
    结论:工作人员确定了许多COVID-19相关不确定性来源,主要是COVID-19健康威胁,大多数诊所和工作人员通过实施安全协议和建立强大的协作环境来有效地响应,这些环境促进了信息的获取和应用,以在快速变化的情况下指导组织的响应。但对工作人员和患者的成本。
    背景:COVID-19对生育保健分娩造成了重大破坏,包括临时诊所关闭和治疗延迟。患者经历了严重的痛苦,包括对COVID-19及其疫苗对生育和怀孕影响的担忧。多项研究表明,与COVID-19相关的不确定性是医护人员的主要威胁和负担,但尚未在生殖医学中进行调查。
    方法:横截面,在线混合方法双语(英语,西班牙语)调查(活跃于2021年1月25日至5月23日)分发给英国各地的生育工作人员,拉丁美洲和非洲。
    方法:资格标准是成为一家生育诊所的医护人员,该诊所自COVID-19相关关闭以来已经重新开业,18岁或以上,并能用英语或西班牙语回答。这项调查是用英语创建的,翻译成西班牙语,使用Qualtrics提供,包括四个部分:1)背景和身心健康,2)关于COVID-19不确定性的开放式问题,3)关于不确定性的感知和影响的评估项目,(4)工作场所的变化。英国生育协会和非洲网络和辅助生殖登记处通过电子邮件超链接和社交媒体平台在英国和非洲分发了这项调查。阿根廷生殖医学学会和拉丁美洲辅助生殖网络以相同的方式在整个拉丁美洲分发了调查。对开放式问题的答复进行了主题分析,以产生基本代码。演绎编码将问题的子主题分为与不确定性管理理论相关的主题。对定量数据使用描述性统计和重复测量方差分析。
    结果:共有382名员工同意了这项调查,107人没有完成(28%的减员),275人完成。63%是女性,69%是医生,79%在私人诊所工作。主题分析产生了727个代码,组织了92个子主题,抽象为18个主题和一个元主题,反映出不确定性是有压力但可管理的。与COVID-19威胁相关的不确定性类型(20.6%),未来的不可预测性(19.5%)沟通失败(11.4%)和工作场所变更(8.4%)。员工对不确定性的负面影响和正面影响的评估显着低于(P<0.001)压力评估,可控性,并拥有应对不确定性的能力。为了处理不确定性,诊所侧重于信息传播(30.8%)和建立协作工作环境(5.8%),而员工采用主动应对(41.8%)和情绪和认知处理(9.6%)。主要的组织反应包括工作重组(41.3%,例如,安全协议),适应逆境(9.5%,例如,用品,准备)和福利支持(13.8%),尽管员工认为缺乏支持(17.5%)。不确定性的负面后果是自我和患者福利更差(12.1%),以及由于虚拟医学和使用口罩而导致的交流更差(9.6%)。积极的后果是工作改进(8.3%),组织适应(8.3%),改善关系(5.6%)和个人适应(3.2%)。92%的参与者认为工作场所因COVID-19而经历的变化是负面的,9.1%也不为阴性也不为阳性,14.9%为阳性。大多数员工认为他们的身体(92.4%)和心理健康(89.5%)都很好。
    结论:参与者是自我选择的,大多数是在拉丁美洲私人诊所工作的医生和胚胎学家。这项研究没有说明国家和地区COVID-19政策的可变性如何影响工作人员的不确定性经历。
    结论:为了解决COVID-19不确定度,诊所需要促进协作(诊所,工作人员,患者)不确定性的处理,明确团队协调和沟通,组织的灵活性,并向工作人员和患者提供支持,强调认知应对,以减少威胁,增加对不确定性的容忍度。针对生育护理定制的不确定性管理干预措施整合了这些组成部分,可能会增加诊所对COVID-19相关不确定性和其他类型不确定性的抵御能力。
    背景:卡迪夫大学资助的研究。S.G.报告FerringPharmaceuticalsA/S的咨询费,演讲者费用来自AccessFertility,SONA-PharmLLC,MeridianoCongressInternational和GedeonRichter,和MerckSeronoLtd.F.Z-H.的赠款报告FerringPharmaceuticalsA/S的演讲者费用,他是拉丁美洲ART注册中心的主席,伦理和公共政策委员会,和智利妇产科学会,和国际监督ART委员会副主席。K.A.,N.C.,G.BandJ.B.reportnoconflictinrelationtothiswork.
    背景:不适用。
    What are fertility staff experiences of managing COVID-19-related uncertainty after fertility clinics re-opened?
    Staff identified many COVID-19-related uncertainty sources, the main being the COVID-19 health threat, to which most clinics and staff responded effectively by implementing safety protocols and building strong collaborative environments that facilitated the acquisition and application of information to guide organizational responses during a rapidly changing situation, but with costs for staff and patients.
    COVID-19 created significant disruption in fertility care delivery, including temporary clinic closure and treatment delay. Patients experienced significant distress, including concerns regarding the impact of COVID-19 and its vaccine on fertility and pregnancy. Multiple studies show that COVID-19-related uncertainty is a major threat and burden for healthcare staff, but this has not been investigated in reproductive medicine.
    A cross-sectional, online mixed-method bilingual (English, Spanish) survey (active 25 January-23 May 2021) was distributed to fertility staff across the UK, Latin America, and Africa.
    Eligibility criteria were being a healthcare worker at a fertility clinic that had re-opened since its COVID-19-related closure, 18 years of age or older and ability to respond in English or Spanish. The survey was created in English, translated to Spanish, made available using Qualtrics, and consisted of four parts: (i) background and physical and mental wellbeing, (ii) open-ended questions regarding COVID-19 uncertainty, (iii) appraisal items regarding perceptions and impact of uncertainty, and (iv) changes in the workplace. The British Fertility Society and the African Network and Registry of Assisted Reproduction circulated the survey across the UK and Africa via email hyperlinks and social media platforms. The Argentinian Society of Reproductive Medicine and the Latin American Network of Assisted Reproduction distributed the survey across Latin America in the same manner. Thematic analysis was performed on responses from open-ended question to produce basic codes. Deductive coding grouped sub-themes across questions into themes related to the theory of uncertainty management. Descriptive statistics and repeated measures analysis of variance were used on the quantitative data.
    In total, 382 staff consented to the survey, 107 did not complete (28% attrition), and 275 completed. Sixty-three percent were women, 69% were physicians, and 79% worked at private clinics. Thematic analysis produced 727 codes, organized in 92 sub-themes, and abstracted into 18 themes and one meta-theme reflecting that uncertainty is stressful but manageable. The types of uncertainties related to the threat of COVID-19 (20.6%), unpredictability of the future (19.5%), failure of communication (11.4%), and change in the workplace (8.4%). Staff appraisals of negative and positive impact of uncertainty were significantly lower (P < 0.001) than appraisals of stress, controllability, and having what it takes to cope with uncertainty. To process uncertainty, clinics focused on information dissemination (30.8%) and building a collaborative work environment (5.8%), while staff employed proactive coping (41.8%) and emotional and cognitive processing (9.6%). Main organizational responses consisted on work restructuring (41.3%, e.g. safety protocols), adapting to adversity (9.5%, e.g. supplies, preparation), and welfare support (13.8%), though staff perceived lack of support (17.5%). Negative consequences of uncertainty were worse self- and patient welfare (12.1%) and worse communication due to virtual medicine and use of mask (9.6%). Positive consequences were work improvements (8.3%), organizational adaptation (8.3%), improved relationships (5.6%), and individual adaptation (3.2%). Ninety-two percent of participants thought changes experienced in the workplace due to COVID-19 were negative, 9.1% nor negative nor positive, and 14.9% positive. Most staff thought that their physical (92.4%) and mental health (89.5%) were good to excellent.
    Participants were self-selected, and most were physicians and embryologists working at private clinics based in Latin America. The study did not account for how variability in national and regional COVID-19 policy shaped staff experiences of uncertainty.
    To address COVID-19 uncertainty, clinics need to promote collaborative (clinic, staff, patients) processing of uncertainty, clear team coordination and communication, organizational flexibility, and provision of support to staff and patients, with an emphasis on cognitive coping to decrease threat of and increase tolerance to uncertainty. Uncertainty management interventions bespoke to fertility care that integrate these components may increase clinics resilience to COVID-19-related and other types of uncertainty.
    Cardiff University funded this research. S.G. reports consultancy fees from Ferring Pharmaceuticals A/S, speaker fees from Access Fertility, SONA-Pharm LLC, Meridiano Congress International, and Gedeon Richter, and grants from Merck Serono Ltd. F.Z.-H. reports speaker fees from Ferring Pharmaceuticals A/S and that he is a chair of the Latin American Registry of ART, Committee of Ethic and Public Policies, and Chilean Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology and a vice chair of the International Committee for monitoring ART. K.A., N.C., G.B., and J.B. report no conflict in relation to this work.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是检查儿童经历的疾病不确定性(IU)以及他们管理这些疾病的方式,以构建一个长期的,为患病儿童提供全面的发展护理。半结构化,对六名日本女性青少年癌症幸存者进行了面对面采访,都是从东京的同一家医院招募的,日本。使用定向内容分析,属于定义的所有转录“该人无法构建自己或他人的疾病相关事件的含义,并且知道状态\“是用数据定义的代码编码的,然后与现有文献交叉引用。结果表明儿童IU的新方面;关于住院的不确定性以及区分和检查有答案和没有答案的IU的必要性。在IU管理方面,我们讨论了信息价值“榜样”,并描述了不确定性接受可能是一种新形式的解决方案。
    The aim of this study is to examine the illness uncertainties (IU) that children experience and the ways they manage them in order to construct a long-term, comprehensive developmental care for children with illness. Semi-structured, in-person interviews were conducted with six Japanese female adolescent cancer survivors, all recruited from the same hospital in Tokyo, Japan. Using directed content analysis, all transcriptions that fell under the definition \"the person is unable to construct the meaning of an illness related event of her/his self or another, and is aware of the state\" were coded with the codes defined from the data, which were then cross-referenced with the existing literature. The results indicated new aspects of children\'s IU; uncertainties regarding hospitalization and the necessity to distinguish and examine IU with and without answers. In terms of IU management, we discuss the informative value \"role models,\" and depict how uncertainty acceptance may be a new form of solution.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对不确定性的管理是健康和疾病不可或缺的一部分。个人通过融入家庭系统的沟通来管理他们健康的不确定性,但是现有的理论侧重于个人,而没有考虑家庭过程。对42个二元的迭代定性分析,家庭访谈(N=84)揭示了(a)在遗传性癌症的背景下,涉及以个人为中心和家庭不确定性评估和管理的时刻,(B)家庭成员沟通策略,促使亲属参与家庭不确定性,(c)用于不确定性管理的家族模型的交流(重新)创建和协商。这些发现阐明了个人在评估和管理遗传性癌症风险不确定性时遇到的紧张关系。这项研究扩展了不确定性管理理论,涵盖了家族不确定性管理,并为遗传性癌症的管理提供了有用的见解。
    The management of uncertainty is integral to health and illness. Individuals manage uncertainty about their health through communication enmeshed in family systems, but existing theorizing focuses on individuals without accounting for family processes. An iterative qualitative analysis of 42 dyadic, family interviews (N = 84) revealed (a) moments in the context of hereditary cancer that involved individual-centered and familial uncertainty appraisal and management, (b) family members\' communication strategies to prompt relatives to engage familial uncertainty, and (c) the communicative (re)creation and negotiation of family models for uncertainty management. The findings illuminate tensions that individuals encounter across their lifespan as they appraise and manage uncertainty about hereditary cancer risks. This study extends uncertainty management theory to encompass familial uncertainty management and contributes insights useful for the management of hereditary cancer.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    从不确定性管理理论出发,我们研究了专制领导和谦卑的领导如何与员工的政治技能互动,以预测令人望而却步的声音。我们对中国一家电力公司的43名经理和176名下属进行了双波调查研究。我们的研究结果表明,专制领导对具有较高政治技能的员工的心理安全具有最小的负面影响,这反过来又对他们禁止性的声音产生了最小的负面影响。此外,谦卑的领导与政治技能较低的员工的禁止性声音正相关。对于具有较高政治技能的员工,没有任何类型的领导行为对他们的禁止性声音有重大影响。我们概述了这些发现对理论和管理实践的影响。
    Drawing from the uncertainty management theory, we examine how authoritarian leadership and humble leadership interact with employee political skill to predict prohibitive voice. We conducted a two-wave survey study of 43 managers and 176 subordinates in a power company in China. Our findings indicate that authoritarian leadership has a minimal negative effect on the psychological safety of employees with higher political skill, which in turn leads to a minimal negative effect on their prohibitive voice. Moreover, humble leadership is positively associated with prohibitive voice for employees with lower political skill. For employees with higher political skill, no type of leadership behavior has a significant influence on their prohibitive voice. We outline the implications of these findings for both theoretical and managerial practices.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    长期COVID综合征的原因和治疗方法尚不清楚。借鉴不确定性管理理论(UMT),这项研究阐明了众包医学的传播性质,作为COVID“长途运输者”对他们知之甚少的疾病做出反应的一种手段。
    分析了长途运输者subreddit(r/covidlonghaulers)上的31,892个帖子,从它的创建日期开始,7月24日,2020年,至2021年1月7日。含义提取方法用于识别在文本观察中数学分组在一起的单词簇。
    分析得出了16个不同的单词因素,我们根据它们的组成进行了主题化,数据,和UMT。16个主题包含症状(例如,疼痛,呼吸,感官),诊断问题(测试,诊断),广泛的健康问题(免疫力,身体活动,饮食),慢性,支持,身份,和焦虑。
    研究结果提供了一个简洁的,但反映信息寻求的一组强大的主题(即,\“这正在发生在我身上\”)和长途运输者的寻求支持功能(即,\“这会发生在您身上吗?”)。研究结果对集体不确定性管理有影响,在线众包,耐心的倡导。
    我们建议医疗保健提供者在解决长途运输者所经历的焦虑时使用敏感性,同时也验证他们的身体症状是真实的。在线社区帮助长途运输者管理他们的不确定性。
    Causes of and treatments for long-COVID syndrome remain unknown. Drawing on uncertainty management theory (UMT), this study elucidates the communicative nature of crowdsourced medicine as a means by which COVID \"long-haulers\" respond to their poorly understood illness.
    31,892 posts on the long-haulers subreddit (r/covidlonghaulers) were analyzed, starting with its creation date, July 24th, 2020, until January 7, 2021. The Meaning Extraction Method was used to identify clusters of words that mathematically group together across the text observations.
    Analyses yielded 16 distinct factors of words, which we thematized based on their composition, the data, and UMT. The 16 themes encompassed symptoms (e.g., pain, respiratory, sensory), diagnostic concerns (testing, diagnosis), broad health concerns (immunity, physical activity, diet), chronicity, support, identity, and anxiety.
    Findings provide a succinct, yet robust set of themes reflecting the information-seeking (i.e., \"This is happening to me\") and support-seeking functions of long-haulers\' talk (i.e., \"Is this happening to you?\"). Findings have implications for collective uncertainty management, online crowdsourcing, and patient advocacy.
    We recommend that health care providers employ sensitivity when addressing the anxiety that long-haulers are experiencing while also validating that their physical symptoms are real. Online communities help long-haulers manage their uncertainty.
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