Trauma Severity Indices

创伤严重程度指数
  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    Traumatic anorectal injuries are rare in pediatric surgical practice. Only several similar cases are described in the world literature. This causes no generally accepted algorithms and tactics for these patients. We demonstrate successful surgical treatment of combined trauma of the rectum and bladder in a child. A 13-year-old boy was hospitalized after the child sat on the leg of an overturned chair. No evidence of penetrating abdominal injury was revealed. The boy underwent sigmoidoscopy under general anesthesia. We found a lacerated wound of anterior wall of the rectum measuring 1/3 of its diameter with damage to posterior wall of the bladder. Diagnostic laparoscopy revealed intact abdominal cavity. Wall defects were sutured (bladder wound was sutured during traditional cystotomy), and we formed protective separate double-barreled sigmostomy. In 3 months after discharge, the child was hospitalized for cystography and fistulography with subsequent closure of stoma. In long-term postoperative period (6 months), the quality of life is satisfactory. There is no pain and disturbances of urination.
    Сочетанная травма (рваные раны) прямой кишки и мочевого пузыря у детей встречаются достаточно редко. Подобные клинические случаи в мировой литературе представлены единичными сообщениями. Это обусловливает отсутствие общепринятых алгоритмов и тактических приемов у данной категории пациентов. В нашей работе продемонстрирован опыт успешного хирургического лечения сочетанной травмы прямой кишки и мочевого пузыря у ребенка. В стационар госпитализирован мальчик 13 лет после того, как ребенок сел на ножку перевернутого стула. В ходе инструментального обследования данных за проникающее ранение брюшной полости не выявлено. Мальчику под общим обезболиванием выполнена ректороманоскопия, на которой обнаружена рвано-ушибленная рана передней стенки прямой кишки на величине 1/3 ее диаметра. При ревизии раны выявлено повреждение задней стенки мочевого пузыря. Выполнена диагностическая лапароскопия — брюшная полость интактна. Дефекты стенок травмированных органов ушиты (рана мочевого пузыря ушита в ходе традиционной цистотомии), сформирована защитная раздельная двуствольная сигмостома. Через 3 мес после выписки из стационара ребенок госпитализирован для обследования (выполнены рентгеноконтрастные исследования — цистография и фистулография), после чего — закрытие сигмостомы. В отдаленном послеоперационном периоде (6 мес) качество жизни пациента удовлетворительное, болевой синдром не беспокоит, мочится самостоятельно.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    澳大利亚创伤性脑损伤倡议(AUS-TBI)的目的是设计一个数据字典,为数据收集提供信息,并促进对澳大利亚中重度创伤性脑损伤(TBI)结果的预测。这一过程吸引了六个领域的不同利益相关者:社会、健康,临床,生物,急性干预措施,和长期结果。这里,我们报告了临床审查的结果.到2022年4月,跨数据库实施了标准化搜索。包括评估至少100例中重度TBI患者临床因素与任何临床结果之间关联的研究的英文报告。摘要,和全文记录,由至少两名审稿人在Covidence中独立筛选。通过共识过程对调查结果进行评估,以确定是否包含在AUS-TBI数据资源中。搜索检索到22,441条记录,其中全文筛选了1137篇,收录了313篇论文。确定的临床结果主要是生存和残疾的指标。与这些结果最相关的临床预测因子是格拉斯哥昏迷量表,瞳孔反应性,和血压测量。在与专家共识小组讨论之后,建议将15个数据包含在数据字典中。该综述确定了许多评估中重度TBI患者临床因素与预后之间关联的研究。少数因素被一致报道,然而,评估这些因素的方式和时间各不相同.这项审查的结果和随后的共识过程为澳大利亚中重度TBI的循证数据词典的开发提供了依据。
    The aim of the Australian Traumatic Brain Injury Initiative (AUS-TBI) is to design a data dictionary to inform data collection and facilitate prediction of outcomes for moderate-severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) across Australia. The process has engaged diverse stakeholders across six areas: social, health, clinical, biological, acute interventions, and long-term outcomes. Here, we report the results of the clinical review. Standardized searches were implemented across databases to April 2022. English-language reports of studies evaluating an association between a clinical factor and any clinical outcome in at least 100 patients with moderate-severe TBI were included. Abstracts, and full-text records, were independently screened by at least two reviewers in Covidence. The findings were assessed through a consensus process to determine inclusion in the AUS-TBI data resource. The searches retrieved 22,441 records, of which 1137 were screened at full text and 313 papers were included. The clinical outcomes identified were predominantly measures of survival and disability. The clinical predictors most frequently associated with these outcomes were the Glasgow Coma Scale, pupil reactivity, and blood pressure measures. Following discussion with an expert consensus group, 15 were recommended for inclusion in the data dictionary. This review identified numerous studies evaluating associations between clinical factors and outcomes in patients with moderate-severe TBI. A small number of factors were reported consistently, however, how and when these factors were assessed varied. The findings of this review and the subsequent consensus process have informed the development of an evidence-informed data dictionary for moderate-severe TBI in Australia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:伤害导致的死亡率不成比例地影响低收入国家。了解谁有不良后果的风险对于指导资源分配和确定重伤的优先次序至关重要。坎帕拉创伤评分(KTS),1996年开发,2002年最后修改为KTSII,在过去的二十年中,仍被广泛用于预测资源有限的环境中的伤害结果,尽管它的一些参数不断受到批评。新创伤评分(NTS)2017年的最新发展显示了死亡率预测的潜力,但是关于它在非洲人口中的表现缺乏证据。
    目的:将NTS与改良的坎帕拉创伤评分(KTSII)在预测30天死亡率方面进行比较,以及乌干达低资源环境中道路交通事故患者的伤害严重程度。
    方法:对15岁及以上患者进行多中心前瞻性队列研究。在194名参与者中,男性占85.1%,平均年龄为31.7岁。在入院后30分钟内确定每位参与者的NTS和KTSII,并随访30天,以确定他们的损伤结果。敏感性,特异性,使用SPSS版本22比较了两种创伤评分之间预测死亡率的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)。伦理许可:坎帕拉国际大学西校区研究与伦理委员会(编号:KIU-2022-125)。
    结果:基于NTSvs.的损伤严重程度分类KTSII轻度(55.7%vs.25.8%),中等(29.9%与30.4%),和严重(14.4%vs.43.8%)。基于NTS的每种损伤严重程度类别的死亡率与KTSII轻度(0.9%v0%),中等(20.7%与5.1%),和严重(50%与28.2%)。NTS的AUC为0.87(95%CI0.808-0.931)与KTSII分别为0.86(95%CI0.794-0.919)。NTS的灵敏度与KTSII预测死亡率为92.6%(95%CI:88.9-96.3)。70.4%(95%CI:63.0-77.8),而特异性为70.7%(95%CI:64.2-77.2)78.4%(95%CI:72.1-84.7),NTS和KTSII分别为17个临界点和6个临界点。
    结论:与KTSII相比,NTS更敏感,但对30天死亡率预测的特异性较低。因此,在资源匮乏的创伤环境中,时间限制和脉搏血氧计令人担忧,KTSII仍然优于NTS。
    BACKGROUND: Mortality due to injuries disproportionately impact low income countries. Knowledge of who is at risk of poor outcomes is critical to guide resource allocation and prioritization of severely injured. Kampala Trauma Score (KTS), developed in 1996 and last modified in 2002 as KTS II, is still widely being used to predict injury outcomes in resource-limited settings with no further revisions in the past two decades, despite ongoing criticism of some of its parameters. The New Trauma Score (NTS), a recent development in 2017, has shown potential in mortality prediction, but a dearth of evidence exist regarding its performance in the African population.
    OBJECTIVE: To compare NTS to the modified Kampala Trauma Score (KTS II) in the prediction of 30-day mortality, and injury severity amongst patients sustaining road traffic crashes in Ugandan low-resource settings.
    METHODS: Multi-center prospective cohort study of patients aged 15 years and above. Of the 194 participants, 85.1% were males with a mean age of 31.7 years. NTS and KTS II were determined for each participant within 30-minutes of admission and followed-up for 30 days to determine their injury outcomes. The sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) for predicting mortality were compared between the two trauma scores using SPSS version 22. Ethical clearance: Research and Ethics Committee of Kampala International University Western Campus (Ref No: KIU-2022-125).
    RESULTS: The injury severity classifications based on NTS vs. KTS II were mild (55.7% vs. 25.8%), moderate (29.9% vs. 30.4%), and severe (14.4% vs. 43.8%). The mortality rates for each injury severity category based on NTS vs. KTS II were mild (0.9% v 0%), moderate (20.7% vs. 5.1%), and severe (50% vs. 28.2%). The AUC was 0.87 for NTS (95% CI 0.808-0.931) vs. 0.86 (95% CI 0.794-0.919) for KTS II respectively. The sensitivity of NTS vs. KTS II in predicting mortality was 92.6% (95% CI: 88.9-96.3) vs. 70.4% (95% CI: 63.0-77.8) while the specificity was 70.7% (95% CI: 64.2-77.2) vs. 78.4% (95% CI: 72.1-84.7) at cut off points of 17 for NTS and 6 for KTS II respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: NTS was more sensitive but its specificity for purposes of 30-day mortality prediction was lower compared to KTS II. Thus, in low-resourced trauma environment where time constraints and pulse oximeters are of concern, KTS II remains superior to NTS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    利用发展中国家的数据,当前的研究开发了一个基于copula的关节建模框架来研究碰撞类型和驾驶员伤害严重程度作为严重程度过程的两个维度。具体而言,研究中估计了基于copula的多项Logit模型(用于碰撞类型)和广义有序Logit模型(用于驾驶员严重程度)。我们分析的数据来自孟加拉国2000年至2015年。鉴于存在多年的数据,我们开发了一种新颖的样条变量生成方法,该方法有助于轻松测试碰撞类型和严重性组件中参数随时间的变化。一套全面的独立变量,包括驾驶员和车辆特征,道路属性,环境和天气信息,分析考虑了时间因素。模型结果确定了几个重要变量(如在药物和酒精的影响下驾驶,超速,车辆类型,机动,车辆健身,位置类型,道路类,道路几何,设施类型,表面质量,一天的时间,季节,和光照条件)影响碰撞类型和严重程度,同时也突出了参数子集的时间不稳定性的存在。通过使用保持样品测试其性能,进一步突出了卓越的模型性能。Further,弹性练习说明了外生变量对碰撞类型和伤害严重程度维度的影响。研究结果可以帮助决策者采取适当的战略,使发展中国家的道路更安全。
    Using data from a developing country, the current study develops a copula-based joint modeling framework to study crash type and driver injury severity as two dimensions of the severity process. To be specific, a copula-based multinomial logit model (for crash type) and generalized ordered logit model (for driver severity) is estimated in the study. The data for our analysis is drawn from Bangladesh for the years of 2000 to 2015. Given the presence of multiple years of data, we develop a novel spline variable generation approach that facilitates easy testing of variation in parameters across time in crash type and severity components. A comprehensive set of independent variables including driver and vehicle characteristics, roadway attributes, environmental and weather information, and temporal factors are considered for the analysis. The model results identify several important variables (such as driving under the influence of drug and alcohol, speeding, vehicle type, maneuvering, vehicle fitness, location type, road class, road geometry, facility type, surface quality, time of the day, season, and light conditions) affecting crash type and severity while also highlighting the presence of temporal instability for a subset of parameters. The superior model performance was further highlighted by testing its performance using a holdout sample. Further, an elasticity exercise illustrates the influence of the exogenous variables on crash type and injury severity dimensions. The study findings can assist policy makers in adopting appropriate strategies to make roads safer in developing countries.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    配备自动驾驶功能的车辆已显示出改善安全性和操作的潜力。先进的驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)和自动驾驶系统(ADS)已经被广泛开发以支持车辆自动化。尽管有关涉及自动驾驶汽车的伤害严重程度的研究仍在进行中,研究ADAS和ADS装备车辆的损伤严重程度结果之间的差异的研究有限.为了确保全面分析,使用多源数据集,其中包括1,001起ADAS事故(SAE2级车辆)和548起ADS事故(SAE4级车辆)。在随机参数的方法中具有异质性的两个随机参数多项Logit模型被认为可以更好地了解影响ADAS(SAE2级)和ADS(SAE4级)车辆的碰撞伤害严重程度结果的变量。研究发现,尽管数据集中有67%的涉及配备ADAS的车辆的撞车事故发生在高速公路上,涉及ADS的事故中有94%发生在更多的城市环境中。模型估计结果还表明,天气指标,驱动程序类型指示器,由制造年份和高/低里程以及前后接触指示器捕获的系统复杂性差异在碰撞伤害严重程度结果中都起作用。该结果使用实际数据对配备ADAS和ADS的车辆的安全性能进行了探索性评估,可供制造商和其他利益相关者使用,以指示其部署和使用方向。
    Vehicles equipped with automated driving capabilities have shown potential to improve safety and operations. Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and automated driving systems (ADS) have been widely developed to support vehicular automation. Although the studies on the injury severity outcomes that involve automated vehicles are ongoing, there is limited research investigating the difference between injury severity outcomes for the ADAS and ADS equipped vehicles. To ensure a comprehensive analysis, a multi-source dataset that includes 1,001 ADAS crashes (SAE Level 2 vehicles) and 548 ADS crashes (SAE Level 4 vehicles) is used. Two random parameters multinomial logit models with heterogeneity in the means of random parameters are considered to gain a better understanding of the variables impacting the crash injury severity outcomes for the ADAS (SAE Level 2) and ADS (SAE Level 4) vehicles. It was found that while 67 percent of crashes involving the ADAS equipped vehicles in the dataset took place on a highway, 94 percent of crashes involving ADS took place in more urban settings. The model estimation results also reveal that the weather indicator, driver type indicator, differences in the system sophistication that are captured by both manufacture year and high/low mileage as well as rear and front contact indicators all play a role in the crash injury severity outcomes. The results offer an exploratory assessment of safety performance of the ADAS and ADS equipped vehicles using the real-world data and can be used by the manufacturers and other stakeholders to dictate the direction of their deployment and usage.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    追尾(RE)事故尤其普遍,对高速公路构成重大风险。本文探讨了跟随和领先车辆之间的速度差(Δν)与RE碰撞风险之间的相关性。三个关节模型,包括不相关和相关的联合随机参数双变量概率(RPBP)方法(统计方法)和交叉缝合多层感知器(CS-MLP)网络(数据驱动方法),对三个独立的模型进行了估计和比较:支持向量机(SVM),极限梯度提升(XGBoost),和MLP网络(所有数据驱动方法)。在两年的时间内收集了15,980辆两车RE撞车事故的数据,从2021年1月1日到2022年12月31日,考虑两种可能的伤害严重程度:后续和领先车辆的驾驶员均无伤害和伤害/死亡。比较性能分析表明,CS-MLP网络优于不相关/相关的联合RPBP模型,SVM,XGBoost,和MLP网络在召回方面,F-1得分,AUC。重要的是,在统计学和数据驱动方法中,众多共同变量影响以下和主要车辆的损伤严重程度结果.在这些因素中,以下车辆(卡车)和领先车辆(乘用车)对两种车辆的伤害严重程度结果具有对比效果。此外,CS-MLP网络的SHapley加性扩张(SHAP)值直观地显示了Δν与损伤严重程度之间的关系,揭示非线性趋势,不同于统计方法显示的平均效应。他们表明,跟随车辆和领先车辆的最小伤害结果发生在0至10英里/小时的Δν,匹配RE崩溃数据中观察到的模式。此外,当速度差增加时,注意到两辆车的SHAP值趋势的显著变化。因此,研究结果肯定了关节模型开发的优越性能,并证实了速度差异对损伤结果的非线性影响.建议采用动态速度控制措施,以减轻两车RE碰撞中的伤害后果。
    Rear-end (RE) crashes are notably prevalent and pose a substantial risk on freeways. This paper explores the correlation between speed difference among the following and leading vehicles (Δν) and RE crash risk. Three joint models, comprising both uncorrelated and correlated joint random-parameters bivariate probit (RPBP) approaches (statistical methods) and a cross-stitch multilayer perceptron (CS-MLP) network (a data-driven method), were estimated and compared against three separate models: Support Vector Machines (SVM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and MLP networks (all data-driven methods). Data on 15,980 two-vehicle RE crashes were collected over a two-year period, from January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2022, considering two possible levels of injury severity: no injury and injury/fatality for both drivers of following and leading vehicles. The comparative performance analysis demonstrates the superior predictive capability of the CS-MLP network over the uncorrelated/correlated joint RPBP model, SVM, XGBoost, and MLP networks in terms of recall, F-1 Score, and AUC. Significantly, numerous shared variables influence the injury severity outcomes for the following and leading vehicles across both statistical and data-driven approaches. Among these factors, the following vehicle (a truck) and the leading vehicle (a passenger car) demonstrate contrasting effects on the injury severity outcomes for both vehicles. Furthermore, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values from the CS-MLP network visually show the relationship between Δν and injury severity, revealing non-linear trends unlike the average effects shown by statistical methods. They indicate that the least injury outcomes for both following and leading vehicles occurs at a Δν of 0 to 10 mph, matching observed patterns in RE crash data. Additionally, a marked variation in the trend of SHAP values for the two vehicles is noted as the speed difference increases. Therefore, the findings affirm the superior performance of joint model development and substantiate the non-linear impacts of speed difference on injury outcomes. The adoption of dynamic speed control measures is recommended to mitigate the injury outcomes involved in two-vehicle RE crashes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:鉴于创伤对世界各地医院系统的巨大影响,已经进行了一些尝试来开发创伤受害者结局的预测模型.最常用的,在许多研究中,最准确的预测模型,是“创伤评分和伤害严重程度评分”(TRISS)。虽然它已经被证明是相当准确和广泛使用,它因无法对更复杂的案件进行分类而面临批评。在这项研究中,我们的目标是开发机器学习模型,比TRISS更好地预测严重创伤患者的死亡率,以前没有使用全国登记册的数据进行研究的东西。
    方法:患者数据从瑞典的国家创伤登记处收集,SweTrau.研究期间为2015年1月1日至2019年12月31日。在特征选择和缺失数据的多重填补之后,三种机器学习(ML)方法(随机森林,极限梯度提升,和广义线性模型)用于创建预测模型。然后测试ML模型和TRISS对30天死亡率的预测能力。
    结果:ML模型经过良好校准,在所有测试的测量中都优于TRISS。在ML模型中,极限梯度提升模型表现最好,AUC为0.91(0.88-0.93)。
    结论:这项研究表明,所有开发的基于ML的预测模型在预测创伤死亡率方面均优于TRISS。
    BACKGROUND: Given the huge impact of trauma on hospital systems around the world, several attempts have been made to develop predictive models for the outcomes of trauma victims. The most used, and in many studies most accurate predictive model, is the \"Trauma Score and Injury Severity Score\" (TRISS). Although it has proven to be fairly accurate and is widely used, it has faced criticism for its inability to classify more complex cases. In this study, we aimed to develop machine learning models that better than TRISS could predict mortality among severely injured trauma patients, something that has not been studied using data from a nationwide register before.
    METHODS: Patient data was collected from the national trauma register in Sweden, SweTrau. The studied period was from the 1st of January 2015 to 31st of December 2019. After feature selection and multiple imputation of missing data three machine learning (ML) methods (Random Forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and a Generalized Linear Model) were used to create predictive models. The ML models and TRISS were then tested on predictive ability for 30-day mortality.
    RESULTS: The ML models were well-calibrated and outperformed TRISS in all the tested measurements. Among the ML models, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting model performed best with an AUC of 0.91 (0.88-0.93).
    CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that all the developed ML-based prediction models were superior to TRISS for the prediction of trauma mortality.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:我们分析了创伤性脑损伤(TBI)后的磁共振成像(MRI)表现,旨在改善创伤性轴索损伤(TAI)的分级,以更好地反映结果。
    方法:四百六十三例(8-70岁)轻度(n=158),中等(n=129),或严重(n=176)TBI和早期MRI前瞻性纳入。TAI存在,数字,在流体衰减反转恢复(FLAIR)和弥散加权成像上记录预定义位置的体积,以及T2*GRE/SWI上的存在和数字。在FLAIR上记录了挫伤的存在和数量。我们用扩展的格拉斯哥结果量表评估结果。进行了多变量逻辑和弹性网络回归分析。
    结果:TAI的存在在轻度(6%)之间有所不同,中等(70%),严重TBI(95%)。在严重的TBI中,中脑或丘脑的双侧TAI和脑桥的双侧TAI预测结果较差,并在TrondheimTAI-MRI分级中被定义为最差等级(分别为4级和5级).TrondheimTAI-MRI分级在重度TBI中的表现优于标准TAI分级(伪R20.19vs.0.16)。在中重度TBI中,包括FLAIR体积的TAI和挫伤的定量模型表现最好(伪R20.19-0.21)。在轻度TBI或格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分为13的患者中,挫伤体积的模型表现最佳(伪R20.25-0.26)。
    结论:我们提出TrondheimTAI-MRI分级(1-5级)与中脑或丘脑的双侧TAI,脑桥的双边TAI成绩最差。定量模型的预测值最高,包括FLAIR体积的TAI和挫伤(GCS评分<13)或FLAIR体积的挫伤(GCS评分≥13),强调人工智能是未来潜在的重要工具。
    结论:TrondheimTAI-MRI分级比目前的标准TAI分级更好地反映了重度TBI患者的预后,并且可以在外部验证后实施。体积模型的预后重要性有望在未来使用人工智能技术。
    结论:创伤性轴索损伤(TAI)是所有TBI严重程度的重要损伤类型。证明哪些MRI发现可以作为未来生物标志物的研究是非常有必要的。这项研究提出了用于预测TBI后6个月患者预后的最佳MRI模型;一个更新的实用模型和一个体积模型。TrondheimTAI-MRI分级,在严重的TBI中,比今天的TAI标准分级更好地反映了患者的预后,并且体积模型在TBI所有严重程度中的预后重要性有望在未来使用AI。
    OBJECTIVE: We analysed magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings after traumatic brain injury (TBI) aiming to improve the grading of traumatic axonal injury (TAI) to better reflect the outcome.
    METHODS: Four-hundred sixty-three patients (8-70 years) with mild (n = 158), moderate (n = 129), or severe (n = 176) TBI and early MRI were prospectively included. TAI presence, numbers, and volumes at predefined locations were registered on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) and diffusion-weighted imaging, and presence and numbers on T2*GRE/SWI. Presence and volumes of contusions were registered on FLAIR. We assessed the outcome with the Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended. Multivariable logistic and elastic-net regression analyses were performed.
    RESULTS: The presence of TAI differed between mild (6%), moderate (70%), and severe TBI (95%). In severe TBI, bilateral TAI in mesencephalon or thalami and bilateral TAI in pons predicted worse outcomes and were defined as the worst grades (4 and 5, respectively) in the Trondheim TAI-MRI grading. The Trondheim TAI-MRI grading performed better than the standard TAI grading in severe TBI (pseudo-R2 0.19 vs. 0.16). In moderate-severe TBI, quantitative models including both FLAIR volume of TAI and contusions performed best (pseudo-R2 0.19-0.21). In patients with mild TBI or Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score 13, models with the volume of contusions performed best (pseudo-R2 0.25-0.26).
    CONCLUSIONS: We propose the Trondheim TAI-MRI grading (grades 1-5) with bilateral TAI in mesencephalon or thalami, and bilateral TAI in pons as the worst grades. The predictive value was highest for the quantitative models including FLAIR volume of TAI and contusions (GCS score <13) or FLAIR volume of contusions (GCS score ≥ 13), which emphasise artificial intelligence as a potentially important future tool.
    CONCLUSIONS: The Trondheim TAI-MRI grading reflects patient outcomes better in severe TBI than today\'s standard TAI grading and can be implemented after external validation. The prognostic importance of volumetric models is promising for future use of artificial intelligence technologies.
    CONCLUSIONS: Traumatic axonal injury (TAI) is an important injury type in all TBI severities. Studies demonstrating which MRI findings that can serve as future biomarkers are highly warranted. This study proposes the most optimal MRI models for predicting patient outcome at 6 months after TBI; one updated pragmatic model and a volumetric model. The Trondheim TAI-MRI grading, in severe TBI, reflects patient outcome better than today\'s standard grading of TAI and the prognostic importance of volumetric models in all severities of TBI is promising for future use of AI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:尽管全球道路交通伤害和死亡人数有所下降,存在巨大的国家和地方异质性,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)。加纳是非洲少数几个收集全面、关于机动车碰撞(MVCs)的空间详细数据。这些数据是提高道路安全性的关键一步,因为准确可靠的信息对于制定有针对性的对策至关重要。
    方法:这里,我们使用ArcGIS中新兴的热点分析来分析16年的警察报告数据,以识别具有伤害严重程度增加趋势的热点(MVC的加权综合度量,轻伤,重伤,和死亡),以及受伤的数量,重伤,加纳城市和农村地区主要道路上的死亡人数。
    结果:我们发现,随着时间的推移,加纳的伤害严重程度指数总和和轻伤计数显着下降,而严重伤害和死亡计数则没有下降。表明后者应成为道路安全工作的重点。我们识别新的,连续的,加剧,2.65%的城市道路和4.37%的农村公路持续热点。就农村地区主要道路的严重程度和频率而言,热点地区正在加剧。
    结论:一些关键路段,特别是在农村地区,显示道路交通伤害严重程度升高,保证有针对性的干预措施。我们评估MVC时空趋势的方法,道路交通伤害,LMIC中的死亡包括在其他国家复制和适应的足够细节,这对针对性对策和跟踪进度很有用。
    BACKGROUND: Although road traffic injuries and deaths have decreased globally, there is substantial national and sub-national heterogeneity, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Ghana is one of few countries in Africa collecting comprehensive, spatially detailed data on motor vehicle collisions (MVCs). This data is a critical step towards improving roadway safety, as accurate and reliable information is essential for devising targeted countermeasures.
    METHODS: Here, we analyze 16 years of police-report data using emerging hot spot analysis in ArcGIS to identify hot spots with trends of increasing injury severity (a weighted composite measure of MVCs, minor injuries, severe injuries, and deaths), and counts of injuries, severe injuries, and deaths along major roads in urban and rural areas of Ghana.
    RESULTS: We find injury severity index sums and minor injury counts are significantly decreasing over time in Ghana while severe injury and death counts are not, indicating the latter should be the focus for road safety efforts. We identify new, consecutive, intensifying, and persistent hot spots on 2.65% of urban roads and 4.37% of rural roads. Hot spots are intensifying in terms of severity and frequency on major roads in rural areas.
    CONCLUSIONS: A few key road sections, particularly in rural areas, show elevated levels of road traffic injury severity, warranting targeted interventions. Our method for evaluating spatiotemporal trends in MVC, road traffic injuries, and deaths in a LMIC includes sufficient detail for replication and adaptation in other countries, which is useful for targeting countermeasures and tracking progress.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:简化烧伤严重程度指数(ABSI)是一个五变量量表,用于帮助评估初始评估时的烧伤严重程度。由于其他研究是在相对较小的患者人群中进行的,这项研究的目的是重新验证ABSI在我们选定的人群(N=1193)中的预后相关性,考虑到过去几十年来严重烧伤治疗的进展。此外,我们评估合并症是否影响严重烧伤患者的生存概率.
    方法:本回顾性研究提供了来自维也纳总医院严重烧伤患者中心的数据。我们纳入了超过20年的1193名患者。回归模型用于描述ABSI的预后准确性。
    结果:ABSI仍然可以用作严重烧伤患者生存概率的预后因素。对于ABSI中每增加一个单位,通过的几率增加了2.059倍,曲线下面积值为0.909。随着时间的推移,生存的可能性增加了。慢性肾脏疾病的存在对严重烧伤患者的生存概率产生负面影响。
    结论:ABSI仍可用于提供有关严重烧伤患者生存机会的准确信息;然而,应考虑进一步探索慢性肾脏病对生存概率的影响,并在ABSI量表中加入变量.在过去的20年里,生存的可能性增加了。
    BACKGROUND: The Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) is a five-variable scale to help evaluate burn severity upon initial assessment. As other studies have been conducted with comparatively small patient populations, the purpose of this study is to revalidate the prognostic relevance of the ABSI in our selected population (N = 1193) 4 decades after its introduction, considering the progress in the treatment of severe burn injuries over the past decades. In addition, we evaluate whether comorbidities influence the survival probability of severely burned patients.
    METHODS: This retrospective study presents data from the Center for Severely Burned Patients of the General Hospital in Vienna. We included 1193 patients for over 20 years. Regression models were used to describe the prognostic accuracy of the ABSI.
    RESULTS: The ABSI can still be used as a prognostic factor for the probability of survival of severely burned patients. The odds of passing increases by a factor of 2.059 for each unit increase in the ABSI with an area under the curve value of 0.909. Over time, the likelihood of survival increased. The existence of chronic kidney disease negatively impacts the survival probability of severely burned patients.
    CONCLUSIONS: The ABSI can still be used to provide accurate information about the chances of survival of severely burned patients; however, further exploration of the impact of chronic kidney disease on the survival probability and adding variables to the ABSI scale should be considered. The probability of survival has increased over the last 20 years.
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