Tetralogy of Fallot (ToF)

法洛四联症 (TOF)
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    研究表明,炎症反应与法洛四联症(TOF)有关。然而,目前尚无系统探讨炎症相关基因(IRGs)在TOF中的作用的研究。因此,基于生物信息学,我们探索了与TOF炎症相关的生物标志物,为其深入研究奠定理论基础。
    从基因表达综合(GEO)数据库下载TOF相关数据集(GSE36761和GSE35776)。在GSE36761中鉴定了TOF和对照组之间的差异表达基因(DEGs)。将TOF组和对照组之间的DEG与IRG相交,以获得差异表达的IRG(DE-IRG)。之后,利用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)和随机森林(RF)来鉴定生物标志物.接下来,进行免疫分析。转录因子(TF)-mRNA,lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA,并建立了miRNA-单核苷酸多态性(SNP)-mRNA网络。最后,预测了靶向生物标志物的潜在药物.
    TOF组和对照组之间有971个DEG,通过DEG和IRG之间的交点获得了29个DE-IRG。接下来,总共有五种生物标志物(MARCO,CXCL6、F3、SLC7A2和SLC7A1)通过两种机器学习算法获得。18种免疫细胞的浸润丰度在TOF组和对照组之间有显著差异。如激活的B细胞,中性粒细胞,CD56dim自然杀伤细胞,等。TF-mRNA网络包含4个mRNA,31TFs,和33个边缘,例如,ELF1-CXCL6、CBX8-SLC7A2、ZNF423-SLC7A1、ZNF71-F3。创建了lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA网络,含有4个mRNA,4个miRNA,和228个lncRNAs。之后,在miRNA-SNP-mRNA网络中鉴定了9个SNP位置。总共预测了21种药物,如鸟氨酸,赖氨酸,精氨酸等。
    我们的发现检测到了五种与炎症相关的生物标志物(MARCO,CXCL6、F3、SLC7A2和SLC7A1)用于TOF,为TOF的进一步研究提供科学参考。
    UNASSIGNED: Studies have revealed that inflammatory response is relevant to the tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). However, there are no studies to systematically explore the role of the inflammation-related genes (IRGs) in TOF. Therefore, based on bioinformatics, we explored the biomarkers related to inflammation in TOF, laying a theoretical foundation for its in-depth study.
    UNASSIGNED: TOF-related datasets (GSE36761 and GSE35776) were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between TOF and control groups were identified in GSE36761. And DEGs between TOF and control groups were intersected with IRGs to obtain differentially expressed IRGs (DE-IRGs). Afterwards, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest (RF) were utilized to identify the biomarkers. Next, immune analysis was carried out. The transcription factor (TF)-mRNA, lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA, and miRNA-single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-mRNA networks were created. Finally, the potential drugs targeting the biomarkers were predicted.
    UNASSIGNED: There were 971 DEGs between TOF and control groups, and 29 DE-IRGs were gained through the intersection between DEGs and IRGs. Next, a total of five biomarkers (MARCO, CXCL6, F3, SLC7A2, and SLC7A1) were acquired via two machine learning algorithms. Infiltrating abundance of 18 immune cells was significantly different between TOF and control groups, such as activated B cells, neutrophil, CD56dim natural killer cells, etc. The TF-mRNA network contained 4 mRNAs, 31 TFs, and 33 edges, for instance, ELF1-CXCL6, CBX8-SLC7A2, ZNF423-SLC7A1, ZNF71-F3. The lncRNA-miRNA-mRNA network was created, containing 4 mRNAs, 4 miRNAs, and 228 lncRNAs. Afterwards, nine SNPs locations were identified in the miRNA-SNP-mRNA network. A total of 21 drugs were predicted, such as ornithine, lysine, arginine, etc.
    UNASSIGNED: Our findings detected five inflammation-related biomarkers (MARCO, CXCL6, F3, SLC7A2, and SLC7A1) for TOF, providing a scientific reference for further studies of TOF.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景虽然法洛四联症(TOF)的总矫正时间是在婴儿期,有时TOF病例在学龄前后出现在医疗机构中,在发展中国家,有些病例甚至出现在青春期之后。这项研究的目的是评估体重为10kg及以上的TOF患者接受了明确的矫正手术技术,例如经环补片(TAP),保留瓣膜的右心室流出道(RVOT)心包补片增强,非脑室切除漏斗切除术治疗术后并发症,住院,术后即刻和随后的门诊随访中的右心室(RV)功能障碍。方法论这个全面的,回顾性队列研究包括在2018年1月16日至2024年1月15日期间收集的单中心数据.该研究包括63例诊断为体重10kg及以上的TOF患者,确保可靠和有代表性的样本。结果在119例接受TOF完全矫正的患者中,63符合研究的纳入标准,即体重超过10公斤的TOF。在63名患者中,55.6%为男性,女性占44.4%。研究参与者的平均体重为33.4kg。平均年龄为15.9岁。在63名患者中,39人接受了TAP手术,18人接受了RVOT贴片增强,6例接受了非脑室切开术漏斗切除术的完全矫正。手术类型和RV功能障碍组之间存在显着差异,TAP组的RV功能障碍发生率较高,表明与该技术相关的潜在风险因素。结论尽管与其他技术相比,TAP具有明显的术后即刻并发症,长期随访表明,长期生存和生活质量,以心力衰竭等主要不良心脏事件衡量,心律失常,和再手术率,在成年期是可以比较的。这表明,尽管最初的挑战,从长远来看,TAP可以提供令人满意的结果。
    Background Although the recommended time for total correction of tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is during infancy, sometimes TOF cases present to healthcare setups after pre-school age, with some cases presenting even beyond adolescence in developing countries. The objective of this study was to assess patients with TOF weighing 10 kg and above who underwent definitive corrective surgical techniques such as transannular patch (TAP), valve-sparing right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) pericardial patch augmentation, non-ventriculotomy infundibular resection for postoperative complications, hospital stay, and right ventricular (RV) dysfunction in the immediate postoperative period and subsequent outpatient department follow-ups. Methodology This comprehensive, retrospective cohort study included single-center data collected between January 16, 2018, and January 15, 2024. The study included 63 patients diagnosed with TOF weighing 10 kg and above, ensuring a robust and representative sample. Results Of the 119 patients who underwent total correction for TOF, 63 met the study\'s inclusion criteria of TOF weighing above 10 kg. Of the 63 patients, 55.6% were males, and 44.4% were females. The mean weight of the study participants was 33.4 kg. The mean age was 15.9 years. Of the 63 patients, 39 underwent TAP surgery, 18 underwent RVOT patch augmentation, and six underwent total correction by non-ventriculotomy infundibular resection. There was a significant difference between the type of surgery groups and RV dysfunction, with the TAP group showing a higher incidence of RV dysfunction, indicating a potential risk factor associated with this technique. Conclusions Although TAP has significant immediate postoperative complications compared to other techniques, its long-term follow-up suggests that long-term survival and quality of life, as measured by major adverse cardiac events such as heart failure, arrhythmias, and reoperation rates, are commensurable in adulthood. This indicates that despite the initial challenges, TAP can provide satisfactory outcomes in the long run.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    背景:肺动脉瓣缺失综合征(APVS)是一种罕见的出生缺陷,其中肺动脉瓣缺失或发育不全。APVS通常与法洛四联症同时发生,(TOF)另一个心脏缺陷。
    方法:一名33岁女性生下一名男性婴儿,患有严重的肺动脉狭窄(PS)和巨大的室间隔缺损(VSD)。婴儿接受手术以关闭VSD并切除狭窄环。两年后,他仍然无症状,闭合性VSD和无肺动脉瓣梯度。
    结论:尽管死亡率很高,随着外科修复技术的进步,长期生存率得到改善.此病例强调了复杂先天性心脏病早期发现和个性化手术策略的重要性。
    结论:早期发现细微症状对于及时干预至关重要,而个性化的手术策略可以优化结果。需要进一步的研究来了解APVS中心脏异常的复杂相互作用,特别是在这种情况下没有动脉导管未闭。
    BACKGROUND: Absent Pulmonary Valve Syndrome (APVS) is a rare birth defect where the pulmonary valve is missing or underdeveloped. APVS often occurs alongside Tetralogy of Fallot, (TOF) another heart defect.
    METHODS: A 33-year-old woman gave birth to a male infant with severe pulmonary stenosis (PS) and a large ventricular septal defect (VSD). The infant underwent surgery to close the VSD and resect the stenotic ring. Two years later, he remained asymptomatic with a closed VSD and no pulmonary valve gradient.
    CONCLUSIONS: Despite high mortality rates, long-term survival has improved with advancements in surgical repair. This case underscores the significance of early detection and personalized surgical strategies for complex congenital heart defects.
    CONCLUSIONS: Early identification of subtle symptoms is crucial for timely intervention, while individualized surgical strategies optimize outcomes. Further research is needed to understand the complex interplay of cardiac anomalies in APVS, particularly the absence of a patent ductus arteriosus in this case.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    法洛四联症手术后急性小脑炎伴梗阻性脑积水极为罕见,但在儿科病例中可以表现出积极的表现。早期诊断对于及时的医疗和手术干预至关重要。我们报告了一个7岁男孩手术后的致命病例,神经症状迅速发展的地方,导致困倦和对命令的间歇性响应。尽管最初的计算机断层扫描显示没有异常,随后的扫描显示小脑炎和脑积水.用类固醇治疗,抗生素,脑脊液引流不成功,尽管血清学检测和培养均为阴性,但该病的病因仍不清楚。这突出了诊断和治疗急性小脑炎的挑战,特别是当没有具体的原因被发现,当恶化是迅速。还讨论了阿片类药物在儿科患者中的作用及其与神经外科并发症的潜在关联。提示进一步调查易感个体的术后症状和阿片类药物相关风险。
    Acute cerebellitis with obstructive hydrocephalus post-Tetralogy of Fallot surgery is extremely rare but can present aggressively in pediatric cases. Early diagnosis is critical for prompt medical and surgical intervention. We report a fatal case in a 7-year-old boy post-surgery, where neurological symptoms rapidly progressed, leading to drowsiness and intermittent response to commands. Despite initial computed tomography scans showing no abnormality, subsequent scans revealed cerebellitis and hydrocephalus. Treatment with steroids, antibiotics, and cerebrospinal fluid drainage was unsuccessful, and the condition\'s etiology remained unclear despite negative serological tests and cultures. This highlights the challenge of diagnosing and treating acute cerebellitis, especially when no specific cause is found and when deterioration is swift. The role of opioids in pediatric patients and their potential association with neurosurgical complications is also discussed, prompting further inquiry into postoperative symptoms and opioid-related risks in susceptible individuals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的20年里,经导管肺动脉瓣置换术(TPVR)的经验已大大增加,已成为治疗肺动脉瓣反流的有效和可靠的方法,右室流出道(RVOT)梗阻,和功能失调的生物人工瓣膜和导管。随着自膨式瓣膜和支架的引入,经导管入路可以解决扩张的天然RVOT。在这篇文章中,作者回顾了目前的做法,技术挑战,和TPVR的结果。
    Over the last 2 decades, experience with transcatheter pulmonary valve replacement (TPVR) has grown significantly and has become an effective and reliable way of treating pulmonary valve regurgitation, right ventricular outflow (RVOT) obstruction, and dysfunctional bioprosthetic valves and conduits. With the introduction of self-expanding valves and prestents, dilated native RVOT can be addressed with the transcatheter approach. In this article, the authors review the current practices, technical challenges, and outcomes of TPVR.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比率(NLR)是一种易于获得且廉价的生物标志物,已被证明可预测先天性心脏手术的发病率和死亡率。然而,其监管机制尚不清楚。本研究旨在比较和关联肿瘤坏死因子α(TNF-α),白细胞介素(IL)-1β,法洛四联症(ToF)和室间隔缺损(VSD)患者中IL-6和IL-10信使RNA(mRNA)与NLR的关系。
    对10名ToF儿童和10名VSD儿童进行了一项前瞻性转化研究,年龄在1至24个月之间。根据手术前24小时的血细胞计数计算NLR。在体外循环之前,在右心房的心肌组织中分析了这些mRNA的表达。
    ToF患者表现出较高的NLR[ToF0.46(四分位距;IQR)0.90;VSD0.28(IQR0.17);P=0.02],更长的机械通气时间[ToF24h(IQR93);VSD5.5h(IQR8);P<0.001],增加血管活性药物的使用[ToF2天(IQR1.75);VSD0(IQR1);P=0.01],和更长的ICU[ToF5.5(IQR1);VSD2(IQR0.75);P=0.02]和住院时间[ToF18天(IQR17.5);VSD8.5天(IQR2.5);P<0.001]。NLR与氧饱和度(SaO2)呈负相关(r=-0.44;P=0.002)。在mRNA表达方面,ToF组IL-10mRNA表达较低(P=0.03)。IL-10-mRNA与SaO2呈正相关(r=0.40;P=0.07),与NLR呈负相关(r=-0.27;P=0.14)。
    ToF患者显示出较高的术前NLR和较低的IL-10mRNA表达,这似乎是紫癜患者的促炎表型。
    UNASSIGNED: The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an easily accessible and inexpensive biomarker that has been shown to predict morbidity and mortality in congenital cardiac surgery. However, its regulatory mechanism remains unclear. This study aims to compare and correlate the tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, and IL-10 messenger RNAs (mRNAs) with the NLR in patients with tetralogy of Fallot (ToF) and ventricular septal defect (VSD).
    UNASSIGNED: A prospective translational study was conducted on 10 children with ToF and 10 with VSD, aged between 1 and 24 months. The NLR was calculated from the blood count taken 24 hours before surgery. The expression of these mRNAs was analyzed in the myocardial tissue of the right atrium prior to cardiopulmonary bypass.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with ToF exhibited a higher NLR [ToF 0.46 (interquartile range; IQR) 0.90; VSD 0.28 (IQR 0.17); P=0.02], longer mechanical ventilation time [ToF 24 h (IQR 93); VSD 5.5 h (IQR 8); P<0.001], increased use of vasoactive drugs [ToF 2 days (IQR 1.75); VSD 0 (IQR 1); P=0.01], and longer ICU [ToF 5.5 (IQR 1); VSD 2 (IQR 0.75); P=0.02] and hospital length of stays [ToF 18 days (IQR 17.5); VSD 8.5 days (IQR 2.5); P<0.001]. A negative correlation was found between NLR and oxygen saturation (SaO2) (r=-0.44; P=0.002). In terms of mRNA expression, the ToF group showed a lower expression of IL-10 mRNA (P=0.03). A positive correlation was observed between IL-10-mRNA and SaO2 (r=0.40; P=0.07), and a negative correlation with NLR (r=-0.27; P=0.14).
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with ToF demonstrated a higher preoperative NLR and lower IL-10 mRNA expression by what appears to be a pro-inflammatory phenotype of cyanotic patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最普遍的紫红色先天性心脏病(CHD)表型是法洛四联症(TOF)。罕见的遗传变异已被确定为CHD的重要危险因素。因此,这项研究试图确定TOF的致病变异和分子病因。
    本研究采用全外显子组测序(WES)和Sanger测序来鉴定TOF患者DNA样本中的致病变异。使用计算机内方法预测变异的致病性。
    我们在这项研究中招募了17名TOF患者。在这些患者中,14个与TOF相关的基因突变,包括GJB2、TBX15、CTNS、SPINK1,GATA6,PRIMOL,GDF15,SLC17A9,AIFM1,FOXC2,KLF13,ABCA4,CPA6,FKBP10,ASPA,SBF1,HBA2,IGLL1,GNE,和KLHL10。我们还收集了三名没有TOF的参与者的WES数据,谁组成了对照组,但是在指定的基因中没有发现变异。进一步剖析显示FKBP10和GNE变异的患者有较严重的临床症状。Sanger测序证实这两种变异体在TOF患者中是杂合的。
    我们确定了几种与TOF相关的遗传变异,并证实FKBP10和GNE变异与TOF严重程度相关。这项研究的发现有助于遗传咨询的研究人员和临床医生验证WES在检测TOF方面的潜力,并有助于对TOF患者实施早期干预措施。
    UNASSIGNED: The most prevalent cyanotic congenital heart disease (CHD) phenotype is tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). Rare genetic variations have been identified as significant risk factors for CHD. Thus, this research sought to identify the pathogenic variations and molecular etiologies of TOF.
    UNASSIGNED: This study employed whole-exome sequencing (WES) and Sanger sequencing to identify pathogenic variations in DNA samples from patients with TOF. The pathogenicity of the variations was predicted using an in-silico approach.
    UNASSIGNED: We enrolled 17 patients with TOF in this study. Among these patients, 14 had mutations in TOF-related genes, including GJB2, TBX15, CTNS, SPINK1, GATA6, PRIMOL, GDF15, SLC17A9, AIFM1, FOXC2, KLF13, ABCA4, CPA6, FKBP10, ASPA, SBF1, HBA2, IGLL1, GNE, and KLHL10. We also gathered WES data from three participants without TOF, who comprised the control group, but no variations were found in the indicated genes. Further analysis showed that the patients with FKBP10 and GNE variants had more serious clinical symptoms. Sanger sequencing confirmed that the two variants were heterozygous in TOF patients.
    UNASSIGNED: We identified several genetic variants associated with TOF and confirmed that FKBP10 and GNE variants were associated with TOF severity. The findings of this study help researchers and clinicians on genetic counseling with the verification of the potential of WES in detecting TOF and help implement early interventions for patients with TOF.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    法洛四联症是一种常见的先天性心脏病,其特征是紫癜。主要治疗方法涉及通常在生命的第一年内进行的矫正手术以实现完全解决。然而,某些患者可能在年龄较大时接受手术。这项研究旨在通过检查在老年人中进行法洛四联症完全矫正的中期结果来评估手术的疗效。
    这项纵向介入研究的重点是在15岁以上的高龄接受完整手术以矫正法洛四联症的患者。所有参与者都被转诊到ShahidRajaei心脏和血管中心,这是伊朗的先天性心脏病转诊中心,从2010年到2020年。这些患者的外科手术包括法洛四联症的初次完全矫正或分流植入后的手术。手术前,从患者的医疗记录中收集了必要的信息。然后对患者进行了5年的监测,在此期间,他们接受了心脏病专家与成人先天性心脏病研究金的定期检查。
    共有94名参与者参加了这项研究,平均年龄26.7±9.6岁。值得注意的是,大多数参与者是男性。该研究报告晚期死亡率为3.2%。此外,17名患者,占队列的18%,接受了二次外科手术。该二次手术包括肺动脉瓣置换术14例(14.8%)和室间隔缺损修复术3例(3.1%)。
    虽然法洛四联症的最佳矫正年龄通常被认为是在生命的第一年内,这项研究表明,在生命后期进行手术干预可以产生良好的中期预后。必须强调,由于多种因素而无法在理想年龄接受手术的个人不应剥夺与手术干预相关的潜在益处。
    UNASSIGNED: Tetralogy of Fallot is a common congenital heart disease characterized by cyanosis. The primary treatment approach involves corrective surgery typically performed within the first year of life to achieve complete resolution. However, certain patients may undergo surgery at an older age. This study seeks to assess the efficacy of surgery by examining the midterm outcomes of total correction of Tetralogy of Fallot when performed in older individuals.
    UNASSIGNED: This interventional-longitudinal study focused on patients who underwent complete surgery to correct tetralogy of Fallot at an advanced age of over 15 years. All of the participants were referred to the Shahid Rajaei Heart and Vascular Center, which is a referral center for congenital heart diseases in Iran, between 2010 and 2020. The surgical procedures for these patients involved primary total correction of tetralogy of Fallot or surgery following by shunt implantation. Prior to the surgery, the necessary information was gathered from the patients\' medical records. The patients were then monitored over a 5-year period, during which they received regular check-ups from cardiologist with fellowship in adult congenital heart disease.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 94 participants were enrolled in the study, with an average age of 26.7 ± 9.6 years. Notably, the majority of the participants were male. The study reported a late mortality rate of 3.2%. Furthermore, 17 patients, constituting 18% of the cohort, underwent a secondary surgical procedure. This secondary surgery encompassed 14 cases of Pulmonary Valve Replacement (14.8%) and 3 cases of Ventricular Septal Defect repair (3.1%).
    UNASSIGNED: While the optimal age for total correction of Tetralogy of Fallot is conventionally considered to be within the first year of life, this study demonstrated that surgical intervention performed at a later stage of life can yield favorable midterm prognoses. It is imperative to emphasize that individuals unable to undergo surgery at the ideal age due to a multitude of factors should not be deprived of the potential benefits associated with surgical intervention.
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  • 文章类型: Observational Study
    背景:法洛四联症(TOF)是一种常见的紫红色先天性心脏畸形,具有很高的右向左分流风险。贫血的特征是血红蛋白(Hb)水平降低,可影响组织氧输送并影响患者术后恢复。由TOF的右向左分流引起的慢性缺氧可导致Hb的代偿性增加以维持全身氧平衡。这项研究旨在探讨术前Hb和血氧饱和度(SpO2)是否可以预测接受TOF矫正手术的儿童的不良结局。
    方法:这项回顾性研究包括2016年1月至2018年12月在阜外医院接受TOF矫正手术的18岁以下患者。不良结果,包括住院死亡,体外膜肺氧合植入,ICU停留>30天,和严重的并发症,被认为是主要结果。进行单变量和多变量逻辑分析以确定不良结局的独立危险因素。还进行了倾向得分匹配(PSM)分析以最小化混杂因素。
    结果:共有596名儿童被纳入研究,其中64人(10.7%)出现不良结局。在单变量和多变量逻辑分析后,Hb*SpO2结论:Hb*SpO2 Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is a common cyanotic congenital heart malformation that carries a high risk of right-to-left shunting. Anemia is characterized by decreased hemoglobin (Hb) levels that can affect tissue oxygen delivery and impact postoperative recovery in patients. Chronic hypoxia caused by right-to-left shunting of TOF could lead to compensatory increases in Hb to maintain systemic oxygen balance. This study aims to investigate whether preoperative Hb and blood oxygen saturation (SpO2) can predict adverse outcomes in children undergoing corrective surgery for TOF.
    This retrospective study included patients under 18 years of age who underwent corrective surgery for TOF at Fuwai Hospital between January 2016 and December 2018. Adverse outcomes, including in-hospital death, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation implantation, ICU stay > 30 days, and severe complications, were considered as the primary outcome. Univariable and multivariable logistic analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for adverse outcomes. Propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis was also conducted to minimize the confounding factors.
    A total of 596 children were included in the study, of which 64 (10.7%) experienced adverse outcomes. Hb*SpO2 < aaHb was identified as an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes (OR = 2.241, 95% CI = 1.276-3.934, P = 0.005) after univariable and multivariable logistic analyses. PSM analysis further confirmed the association between Hb*SpO2 < aaHb and adverse outcomes. Patients with Hb*SpO2 < aaHb had a significantly higher incidence of postoperative adverse outcomes, longer time of mechanical ventilation, and hospital stay, as well as higher in-hospital costs.
    Hb*SpO2 < aaHb is significantly associated with adverse outcomes in children undergoing corrective surgery for TOF. Clinicians can use this parameter to early identify high-risk children and optimize their postoperative management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    低心输出量综合征(LCOS)仍然是法洛四联症(TOF)患儿的严重术后并发症,这往往会导致发病率和死亡率的增加。早期识别LCOS和及时管理对于取得更好的结果至关重要。这项研究旨在开发一种预测模型,该模型结合了儿童TOF手术修复后24小时内LCOS的术前和术中特征。
    训练数据集由2021年接受手术修复的TOF患者组成,而验证数据集由2022年的患者组成。采用单变量和多变量logistic回归分析识别术后LCOS的危险因素,并在训练数据集中建立多变量logistic回归预测模型。使用接受者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)评估模型预测能力。评估列线图的校准,并使用Hosmer-Lemeshow测试来评估良好的拟合。使用决策曲线分析(DCA)来估计不同阈值概率下预测模型的净收益。
    在多变量逻辑分析中,外周血氧饱和度,平均血压,中心静脉压是术后LCOS的独立危险因素。在训练和验证数据集中,术后LCOS预测模型的AUC分别为0.84(95%CI:0.77-0.91)和0.80(95%CI:0.70-0.90),分别。LCOS概率的校准曲线显示出列线图预测与训练和验证数据集中的实际观察结果之间的良好一致性。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验在训练和验证数据集中都产生了不显著的统计量(分别为P=0.69和0.54),表明很适合。DCA显示,与在训练和验证数据集中的全部患者治疗方案或无治疗方案中相比,通过使用列线图预测LCOS将获得更多的净收益。
    这项研究是首次纳入术前和术中特征,以开发儿童TOF手术修复后LCOS的预测模型。这个模型显示出很好的鉴别力,良好的配合和临床效益。
    UNASSIGNED: Low cardiac output syndrome (LCOS) remains a serious postoperative complication for children with tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), which often leads to increased morbidity and mortality. Early identification of LCOS and timely management are critical for better outcomes. This study aimed to develop a prediction model incorporating pre- and intraoperative characteristics for LCOS within 24 hours after surgical repair of TOF in children.
    UNASSIGNED: The training dataset consisted of patients with TOF who underwent surgical repair in 2021, while the validation dataset consisted of patients in 2022. The univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to recognize the risk factors of postoperative LCOS and a predictive model was established based on multivariable logistic regression analysis in the training dataset. Model predictive power was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The calibration of the nomogram was evaluated and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to assess the good fit. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to estimate the net benefits of the prediction model at different threshold probabilities.
    UNASSIGNED: In the multivariable logistic analysis, peripheral oxygen saturation, mean blood pressure, and central venous pressure were independent risk factors for postoperative LCOS. The AUC of the predictive model for postoperative LCOS was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.77-0.91) and 0.80 (95% CI: 0.70-0.90) in the training and validation datasets, respectively. The calibration curve for the probability of LCOS showed good agreement between the prediction by nomogram and actual observation both in the training and validation datasets. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded nonsignificant statistics both in the training and validation datasets (P=0.69 and 0.54, respectively), indicating a good fit. The DCA revealed that more net benefits would be obtained by using the nomogram to predict LCOS than that achieved in either the treat-all-patient scheme or the treat-none scheme both in the training and validation datasets.
    UNASSIGNED: This study is the first to incorporate pre- and intraoperative characteristics to develop a predictive model for LCOS after surgical repair of TOF in children. This model showed good discrimination, good fit and clinical benefits.
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