Surveillance Epidemiology and End results (SEER)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究比较了I期非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)≤2cm患者热消融与楔形切除术后的生存结果。
    方法:对2004年至2019年美国国家癌症研究所监测流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中的数据进行回顾性分析。包括接受热消融或楔形切除术的I期NSCLC和病变≤2cm的患者。接受化疗或放疗的患者被排除在外。使用倾向评分匹配(PSM)来平衡接受两种手术的患者之间的基线特征。
    结果:进行单变量和Cox回归分析以确定研究变量之间的关联,总生存期(OS),癌症特异性生存率(CSS)。PSM之后,328名患者仍有待分析。多变量Cox回归分析显示,与楔形切除术相比,热消融与不良OS的风险显著相关(校正后HR[aHR]:1.34,95%CI:1.09-1.63,p=0.004),但与CSS无关(aHR:1.28,95%CI:0.96-1.71,p=0.094).在分层分析中,无论组织学和分级如何,两种手术在OS和CSS方面均未观察到显著差异.在肿瘤大小为1至2厘米的患者中,与楔形切除术相比,热消融与OS不良的高风险显著相关(aHR:1.35,95%CI:1.10-1.66,p=0.004).相比之下,在肿瘤大小<1cm的患者中,热消融和楔形切除术在OS和CSS上没有发现显着差异。
    结论:在I期非小细胞肺癌且肿瘤大小<1cm的患者中,热消融具有与楔形切除相似的OS和CSS。
    BACKGROUND: This study compared the survival outcomes after thermal ablation versus wedge resection in patients with stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) ≤ 2 cm.
    METHODS: Data from the United States (US) National Cancer Institute Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with stage I NSCLC and lesions ≤ 2 cm who received thermal ablation or wedge resection were included. Patients who received chemotherapy or radiotherapy were excluded. Propensity-score matching (PSM) was applied to balance the baseline characteristics between patients who underwent the two procedures.
    RESULTS: Univariate and Cox regression analyses were performed to determine the associations between study variables, overall survival (OS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS). After PSM, 328 patients remained for analysis. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed, compared to wedge resection, thermal ablation was significantly associated with a greater risk of poor OS (adjusted HR [aHR]: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.09-1.63, p = 0.004) but not CSS (aHR: 1.28, 95% CI: 0.96-1.71, p = 0.094). In stratified analyses, no significant differences were observed with respect to OS and CSS between the two procedures regardless of histology and grade. In patients with tumor size 1 to 2 cm, compared to wedge resection, thermal ablation was significantly associated with a higher risk of poor OS (aHR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.10-1.66, p = 0.004). In contrast, no significant difference was found on OS and CSS between thermal ablation and wedge resection among those with tumor size < 1 cm.
    CONCLUSIONS: In patients with stage I NSCLC and tumor size < 1 cm, thermal ablation has similar OS and CSS with wedge resection.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    保留乳头的乳房切除术(NSM)手术的频率目前正在增加。尽管如此,缺乏NSM的长期预后数据.这项研究比较了NSM与保乳手术(BCS)的长期预后。
    在监测中确定了从2000年到2018年接受NSM或BCS治疗和术后放疗的438,588名女性乳腺癌患者的人口水平数据。流行病学,和最终结果(SEER)数据库;还包括来自中南大学湘雅二医院的321例患者。进行倾向得分匹配(PSM)以减少选择偏倚和混杂变量的影响,以进行有效的比较。Kaplan-Meier分析,对数秩检验,采用Cox回归分析数据。
    接受NSM的患者和接受BCS+放疗(BCS+RT)的患者的长期生存率没有显著差异,总生存期(OS)(p=0.566)和乳腺癌特异性生存期(BCSS)(p=0.431)没有显著差异。Cox回归表明,在调整其他临床病理特征后,NSM和BCSRT具有相当的预后价值(p=0.286)。对于OS和BCSS,亚组分析显示,无论接受NSM还是BCS,大多数患者的预后都相似.两组具有相当的无复发生存率(RFS),没有发现显著差异(p=0.873)。
    这项研究为NSM和BCS治疗乳腺癌的长期安全性和比较有效性提供了宝贵的见解。这些发现可以帮助临床医生根据具体情况做出明智的决定。
    UNASSIGNED: The frequency of nipple-sparing mastectomy (NSM) surgery is presently increasing. Nonetheless, there is a paucity of long-term prognosis data on NSM. This study compared the long-standing prognosis of NSM in relation to breast-conserving surgery (BCS).
    UNASSIGNED: Population-level data for 438,588 female breast cancer patients treated with NSM or BCS and postoperative radiation from 2000 to 2018 were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database; 321 patients from the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University were also included. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to reduce the influence of selection bias and confounding variables to make valid comparisons. The Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank test, and Cox regression were applied to analyze the data.
    UNASSIGNED: There were no significant differences in long-term survival rates between patients who underwent NSM and those who underwent BCS+radiotherapy (BCS+RT), as indicated by the lack of significant differences in overall survival (OS) (p = 0.566) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) (p = 0.431). Cox regression indicated that NSM and BCS+RT had comparable prognostic values (p = 0.286) after adjusting for other clinicopathological characteristics. For OS and BCSS, subgroup analysis showed that the majority of patients achieved an analogous prognosis whether they underwent NSM or BCS. The groups had comparable recurrence-free survival (RFS), with no significant difference found (p = 0.873).
    UNASSIGNED: This study offers valuable insights into the long-term safety and comparative effectiveness of NSM and BCS in the treatment of breast cancer. These findings can assist clinicians in making informed decisions on a case-by-case basis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肺鳞状细胞原位癌(LSCIS)是浸润性鳞状细胞肿瘤,通常被忽略为具有病理和临床意义的潜在亚型,很少有系统的调查。本研究旨在探索其临床特征,预后因素,以及LSCIS患者的最佳治疗方法。
    诊断为LSCIS的患者(n=449),原位肺腺癌(LAIS;n=1,132),IA期肺鳞状细胞癌(LSQCC;n=22,289)和IA期肺腺癌(LUAD;n=68,523)在监测流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中被确定.此外,上海肺科医院诊断为LSCIS的512例患者(n=34),LAIS(n=248),研究包括IALSQCC期(n=118)和IALUAD期(n=112)。构建了Kaplan-Meier存活曲线,和Cox比例风险回归分析用于检查总生存期(OS),肺癌特异性生存率(LCSS),和患者的无进展生存期(PFS)。
    单因素和多因素分析显示,LSCIS患者的生存率明显低于LAIS患者。虽然,单因素分析显示,LSCIS患者的OS和LCSS明显低于IA期LSQCC患者,多变量分析显示,SEER队列中LSCIS的预后与IA期LSQCC相似.在上海肺科医院队列中,LSCIS的预后与IALSQCC阶段相似。单因素和多因素分析显示,年龄(>70岁)和化疗是预后的负面因素。手术是LSCIS患者的有利预后因素。接受局部肿瘤破坏或切除的LSCIS患者的生存率与未接受手术的患者相似。肺叶切除术是LSCIS患者中与最高OS和LCSS相关的外科手术。
    LSCIS的存活率与IALSQCC阶段的存活率相似,但明显比LAIS差。手术是LSCIS患者独立的有利预后因素。肺叶切除术是手术方法的首选,并显著改善了LSCIS患者的当前结局.
    UNASSIGNED: Lung squamous cell cancer in situ (LSCIS) is preinvasive squamous tumor and generally overlooked as a potential subtype of pathological and clinical significance, which has seldom been investigated systematically. This study sought to explore the clinical features, prognostic factors, and optimal treatments for LSCIS patients.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients diagnosed with LSCIS (n=449), lung adenocarcinoma in situ (LAIS; n=1,132), stage IA lung squamous cell cancer (LSQCC; n=22,289) and stage IA lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD; n=68,523) were identified in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Additionally, 512 patients from the Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital diagnosed with LSCIS (n=34), LAIS (n=248), stage IA LSQCC (n=118) and stage IA LUAD (n=112) were included in the study. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed, and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to examine the overall survival (OS), lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS), and progression-free survival (PFS) of the patients.
    UNASSIGNED: The univariate and multivariate analyses showed the patients with LSCIS had significantly worse survival than those with LAIS. Although, the univariate analysis revealed that the LSCIS patients had significantly worse OS and LCSS than the stage IA LSQCC patients, the multivariate analyses showed that the prognosis of the LSCIS was similar to that of the stage IA LSQCC in the SEER cohort. The prognosis of the LSCIS was similar to that of the stage IA LSQCC in the Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital cohort. The univariate and multivariate analyses showed that age (>70 years) and chemotherapy were negative prognostic factors, and surgery was a favorable prognostic factor for the LSCIS patients. The survival of the LSCIS patients who underwent local tumor destruction or excision was similar to that of those who did not receive surgery. Lobectomy was the surgical procedure associated with the highest OS and LCSS in LSCIS patients.
    UNASSIGNED: The survivals of the LSCIS were similar to those of the stage IA LSQCC, but significantly worse than those of the LAIS. Surgery was an independent favorable prognostic factor for the LSCIS patients. Lobectomy was a superior choice of surgical procedure, and significantly improved the current outcomes of the LSCIS patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the incidence and the risk factors of incidence for second primary malignancies (SPMs) onset among survivors diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC).
    METHODS: A large population-based cohort study was performed. Data of patients diagnosed with CRC was identified and extracted from 8 cancer registries of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from January 1990 to December 2017. The outcome of interest was percentage and common sites of SPM onset after primary CRC diagnosis. The cumulative incidence and standardize incidence rates (SIRs) were also reported. Afterwards, we estimated sub-distribution hazards ratios (SHRs) and relative risks (RRs) for SPM occurrence using multivariable competing-risk and Poisson regression models, respectively.
    RESULTS: A total of 152,402 patients with CRC were included to analyze. Overall, 23,816 patients of all CRC survivors (15.6%) were reported SPM occurrence. The highest proportion of SPMs development after primary CRC diagnosis was second CRC, followed by lung and bronchus cancer among all survivors. Also, CRC survivors were more susceptible to develop second gastrointestinal cancers (GICs). Besides, pelvic cancers were analyzed with a relative high proportion among patients who received RT in comparison to those without RT. The cumulative incidence of all SPMs onset was 22.16% (95% CI: 21.82-22.49%) after near 30-year follow-up. Several factors including older age, male, married status, and localized stage of CRC were related to the high risk of SPMs onset. In treatment-specific analyses, RT was related to a higher cumulative incidence of SPMs occurrence (all SPMs: 14.08% vs. 8.72%; GICs: 2.67% vs. 2.04%; CRC: 1.01% vs. 1.57%; all p < 0.01). Furthermore, the increased risk of SPMs onset was found among patients who received RT than patients within the NRT group (SHR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.32-1.71), p < 0.01; RR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.45-1.79, p < 0.01).
    CONCLUSIONS: The present study described the incidence pattern of SPM among CRC survivors and identified the risk factors of the SPM onset. RT treatment for patients diagnosed with CRC may increase the risk of SPMs occurrence. The findings suggest the need for long-term follow-up surveillance for these patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经证实:关于上尿路尿路上皮癌(UTUC)死亡原因的研究很少发表。我们试图探索当代UTUC幸存者的死亡模式。
    UNASSIGNED:我们进行了一项回顾性队列研究,涉及国家癌症研究所监测的上尿路癌患者,流行病学,和最终结果(SEER)数据库(2000年和2015年)。我们使用标准化死亡率比(SMR)来比较普通人群中UTUC患者的死亡率和过度绝对风险(EAR)来量化疾病特异性死亡负担。
    未经批准:共有10,179名UTUC患者,包括7133人死亡,包括在我们的研究中。总的来说,302例(17.17%)患有局部疾病的患者死于UTUC;然而,死于其他原因的患者死于UTUC的可能性增加4.8倍(n=1,457[82.83%]).心血管疾病是最常见的非癌症死亡原因(n=393[占所有死亡的22.34%]);SMR,1.22;95%置信区间[CI],1.1-1.35;EAR,35.96)。共有4,046例(69.99%)区域分期患者在随访中死亡,其中1,413人(34.92%)死于UTUC,其中1,082人(26.74%)死于非癌症原因。UTUC是主要的死亡原因(SMR,242.48;95%CI,230-255.47;耳朵,542.47),其次是非肿瘤原因(SMR,1.18;95%CI,1.11-1.25;耳朵,63.74).大多数远隔期患者(94.94%)在初次诊断后3年内死亡。尽管UTUC是导致死亡的主要原因(n=721[54.29%]),这些患者也比普通人群有更高的非癌症死亡风险(SMR,2.08;95%CI,1.67-2.56;耳朵,288.26)。
    UNASSIGNED:非UTUC死亡占局部疾病患者UTUC幸存者的82.48%。区域/远处阶段的患者最有可能死于UTUC;然而,死于不可忽视的非癌症原因的风险增加。这些数据提供了对UTUC患者死亡原因的最新和最全面的评估。
    UNASSIGNED: Very few studies have been published on the causes of death of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). We sought to explore the mortality patterns of contemporary UTUC survivors.
    UNASSIGNED: We performed a retrospective cohort study involving patients with upper urinary tract carcinoma from the National Cancer Institute\'s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000 and 2015). We used standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) to compare death rates among patients with UTUC in the general population and excess absolute risks (EARs) to quantify the disease-specific death burden.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 10,179 patients with UTUC, including 7,133 who died, were included in our study. In total, 302 (17.17%) patients with the localized disease died of UTUC; however, patients who died from other causes were 4.8 times more likely to die from UTUC (n = 1,457 [82.83%]). Cardiovascular disease was the most common non-cancer cause of death (n = 393 [22.34% of all deaths]); SMR, 1.22; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.1-1.35; EAR, 35.96). A total of 4,046 (69.99%) patients with regional stage died within their follow-up, 1,413 (34.92%) of whom died from UTUC and 1,082 (26.74%) of whom died from non-cancer causes. UTUC was the main cause of death (SMR, 242.48; 95% CI, 230-255.47; EAR, 542.47), followed by non-tumor causes (SMR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25; EAR, 63.74). Most patients (94.94%) with distant stage died within 3 years of initial diagnosis. Although UTUC was the leading cause of death (n = 721 [54.29%]), these patients also had a higher risk of death from non-cancer than the general population (SMR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.67-2.56; EAR, 288.26).
    UNASSIGNED: Non-UTUC deaths accounted for 82.48% of UTUC survivors among those with localized disease. Patients with regional/distant stages were most likely to die of UTUC; however, there is an increased risk of dying from non-cancer causes that cannot be ignored. These data provide the latest and most comprehensive assessment of the causes of death in patients with UTUC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:小肠腺癌(SIA)是一种很少的疾病,没有足够的临床试验,因此其预后因素仍不清楚,尤其是老年患者。在这篇文章中,我们的目的是探索临床病理表现,治疗,结果,以及65岁或以上小肠腺癌患者的预测因素。
    方法:我们从监测流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中检索了2004年至2015年间诊断的小肠腺癌患者的临床病理数据。我们将患者分为两组:手术组和非手术组,并进行了倾向评分匹配(PSM)以比较生存率。我们通过Cox比例风险模型确定了癌症特异性生存率(CSS)和总生存率(OS)的预后指标。
    结果:总计,纳入1018例符合条件的病例,中位生存期为16个月;3年OS和CSS率分别为36%和41.7%,5年OS和CSS率分别为26.5%和33.3%。多变量分析表明,年龄,grade,肿瘤分期,手术,化疗是OS的独立预后因素,虽然等级,肿瘤分期,手术,辐射,化疗是CSS的独立影响因素。PSM之后,只有手术和肿瘤分期(AJCC第6位)是OS和CSS的独立预后因素。
    结论:手术可以为老年SIA患者的生存带来益处,疾病的早期阶段是另一个重要的预后因素。
    BACKGROUND: Small intestine adenocarcinoma (SIA) is a scant disease that has no adequate clinical trials, so its prognostic factors are still unclear, especially in elderly patients. In this article, we aimed to explore the clinicopathology presentation, treatments, outcomes, and predictors of small intestine adenocarcinoma patients aged 65 years or older.
    METHODS: We retrieved clinicopathology data of small intestine adenocarcinoma patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. We clarified patients into two groups: the surgery and the non-surgery group and conducted propensity score matching (PSM) to compare survival outcoming. We identified the prognostic indicators for cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) by the Cox proportional hazards model.
    RESULTS: In total, 1018 eligible cases were enrolled, with a median survival of 16 months; the 3-year OS and CSS rates were 36% and 41.7%, and the 5-year OS and CSS rates were 26.5% and 33.3%. Multivariate analyses revealed that age, grade, tumor stage, surgery, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for OS, while grade, tumor stage, surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy were independent factors for CSS. After PSM, only surgery and tumor stage (AJCC 6th) were independent prognostic factors for OS and CSS.
    CONCLUSIONS: Surgery could bring benefit to survival for elderly SIA patients, and the early stage of the disease was another significant prognostic factor.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED:本研究旨在调查新诊断结直肠癌(CRC)的远处转移模式,并构建和验证预后列线图,以预测具有远处转移的CRC患者的总体生存率(OS)和癌症特异性生存率(CSS)。
    UNASSIGNED:分析中包括2010年至2016年在SEER数据库中最初诊断的原发性CRC患者。影响操作系统的独立风险因素,CSS,全因死亡率,通过Cox回归和Fine-Gray竞争风险模型对患者的CRC特异性死亡率进行筛选。建立列线图模型来预测患者的OS和CSS。采用一致性指数(C指数)和校正曲线评价预测模型的可靠性和准确性。基因芯片GSE41258是从GEO数据库下载的,通过GEO2R在线工具筛选差异表达基因(DEGs)(p<0.05,|logFC|>1.5)。京都基因和基因组百科全书(KEGG)路径和基因本体论(GO)注释和字符串网站用于DEGs的富集分析和蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用(PPI)分析,分别,利用Cytoscape软件构建PPI网络,筛选功能模块和集线器基因。
    未经批准:共有57,835例CRC患者,包括47,823例无远处转移和10,012例(17.31%)有转移,已确定。年纪大了,未婚状态,分化差或未分化等级,右结肠部位,肿瘤较大,N2级,更多的转移部位,癌胚抗原(CEA)升高可能导致预后较差(均p<0.01)。纳入OS和CSS的独立危险因素,构建预测有远处转移的CRC患者OS和CSS的预后预测模型。训练组和验证组的C指数和校准曲线表明,模型具有可接受的预测性能和较高的校准度。此外,通过比较有无肝转移的CRC组织,筛选了158个DEGs和前10个hub基因。Hub基因主要集中在肝功能和凝血功能。
    UNASSIGNED:对公共数据库中的大数据进行计数,并将其转化为可应用于临床的预后评估工具,对有远处转移的CRC患者的治疗方案的制定和预后评估具有一定的临床意义。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to investigate the distant metastasis pattern from newly diagnosed colorectal cancer (CRC) and also construct and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of CRC patients with distant metastases.
    UNASSIGNED: Primary CRC patients who were initially diagnosed from 2010 to 2016 in the SEER database were included in the analysis. The independent risk factors affecting the OS, CSS, all-cause mortality, and CRC-specific mortality of the patients were screened by the Cox regression and Fine-Gray competitive risk model. The nomogram models were constructed to predict the OS and CSS of the patients. The reliability and accuracy of the prediction model were evaluated by consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve. The gene chip GSE41258 was downloaded from the GEO database, and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened by the GEO2R online tool (p < 0.05, |logFC|>1.5). The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) Pathway and Gene Ontology (GO) annotation and String website were used for enrichment analysis and protein-protein interaction (PPI) analysis of DEGs, respectively, and Cytoscape software was used to construct PPI network and screen function modules and hub genes.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 57,835 CRC patients, including 47,823 without distant metastases and 10,012 (17.31%) with metastases, were identified. Older age, unmarried status, poorly differentiated or undifferentiated grade, right colon site, larger tumor size, N2 stage, more metastatic sites, and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) might lead to poorer prognosis (all p < 0.01). The independent risk factors of OS and CSS were included to construct a prognosis prediction model for predicting OS and CSS in CRC patients with distant metastasis. C-index and calibration curve of the training group and validation group showed that the models had acceptable predictive performance and high calibration degree. Furthermore, by comparing CRC tissues with and without liver metastasis, 158 DEGs and top 10 hub genes were screened. Hub genes were mainly concentrated in liver function and coagulation function.
    UNASSIGNED: The big data in the public database were counted and transformed into a prognostic evaluation tool that could be applied to the clinic, which has certain clinical significance for the formulation of the treatment plan and prognostic evaluation of CRC patients with distant metastasis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: As the survival rates of cancer patients continue to increase, most cancer patients now die of non-cancer causes. Several studies have been showing elevated suicide rates among patients with cancer. However, no large-scale study has thoroughly assessed the risk of suicide among adolescent and young adult (AYA) patients with cancer. This study was conducted to characterize suicide mortality among AYA patients in the US and identify risk factors associated with a higher risk of suicide.
    METHODS: Patients aged 15-39 years were residents of the US served by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, who were diagnosed with cancers from 1973 to 2015.
    RESULTS: We report that 981 of the 572,500 AYA patients with cancer committed suicide, for an age-, sex-, and race-adjusted suicide rate of 17.68/100,000 person-years. The rate of suicide was 14.33/100,000 person-years in the corresponding general population, giving a standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of 1.234 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.159-1.313]. Higher suicide rates were associated with male sex, white race, unmarried state, distant tumor stage, and single primary tumor. AYA patients with otorhinolaryngologic, gonad, stomach, soft tissue, and nasopharyngeal cancer were at the greatest risk of suicide compared with those with other types of cancer. In older patients (≥ 40 years), the risk was highest in those with lung, stomach, oral cavity and pharynx, larynx, and bone malignancies. SMRs were highest in the first 5 years after diagnosis for most types of cancer.
    CONCLUSIONS: AYA patients with cancer in the US have over 20% higher the incidence of suicide of the general population, and most suicides occurred in the first 5 years following diagnosis. Suicide rates vary among patients with cancers of different anatomic sites. Further examination of the psychological experience of these young patients with cancer, particularly that of those with certain types of cancer, is warranted.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Nomogram is potentially applied for quantitatively evaluating the probability of distant metastasis. The objective of our research was to establish a nomogram to predict distant metastasis in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients.
    METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis on 37,190 RCC cases diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. A multivariate logistic regression model-based nomogram was applied for predicting the risk factors concerning distant metastasis of RCC individuals. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were utilized to internally validate the discrimination of nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was applied for comparing the predictive performance and clinically practical values between nomogram and conventional clinicopathologic risk factors.
    RESULTS: The nomogram incorporated seven clinical variables and achieved a predictive accuracy with a C-index of 0.863. The calibration plots illustrated optimal accordance between model prediction and practical observation. The DCA indicated the nomogram-based clinical utility. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves also demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.901 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.894-0.908] in the training cohort and 0.892 (95% CI: 0.881-0.903) in the testing cohort.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our proposed novel nomogram potentially serves as an accurate and user-friendly clinical tool to predict occurrence of distant metastases in RCC patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRCC) is a rare disease associated with poor prognosis. A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated in this study to assess GSRCC patients\' overall survival (OS).
    UNASSIGNED: Patients diagnosed with GSRCC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2016) and the First Hospital of China Medical University (CMU1h) were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Univariate and multivariate COX analysis was used to determine independent prognostic factors to construct the prognostic nomogram. Predictions were evaluated by the C-index and calibration curve. In addition, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier analysis were employed to assess the clinical utility of the survival prediction model.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients were classified into two cohorts. We randomly divided patients in the SEER database and CMU1h cohort into a training group (n=3068, 80%) and a validation group (n=764, 20%). Age, race, T stage, N stage, M stage, therapy, and tumor size were significantly associated with the prognosis of GSRCC patients. On this basis, a nomogram was constructed, with a C-index in the training and the validation cohorts at 0.772 (95% CI: 0.762-0.782) and 0.774 (95% CI: 0.752-0.796), respectively. The accuracy of the generated nomogram was verified through calibration plots. Similarly, compared with the traditional AJCC staging system, the results of the area under curve (AUC) calculated by ROC, DCA, and Kaplan-Meier curves, demonstrated a good predictive value of the constructed nomogram, compared to the traditional AJCC staging system.
    UNASSIGNED: In the present study, seven independent prognostic factors of GSRCC were screened out. The established nomogram models based on seven variables provided a visualization of each prognostic factor\'s risk and assisted clinicians in predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS of GSRCC.
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