Supply chains

供应链
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在数字时代,全球贸易的相互联系不仅带来了诱人的机会,而且还蕴含着人工智能(AI)驱动的网络攻击的强大漏洞。本研究探讨了这些破坏性威胁对经济的级联影响,供应链,和贸易,利用可计算一般平衡建模的复杂镜头。通过精心设计的仿真场景,我们阐明了网络攻击的潜在经济后果,重点是严重依赖数字技术和交织的供应链的地区。分析显示实际GDP大幅下降,贸易价格和数量,以及跨区域的贸易路线中断。值得注意的是,像中国这样的经济体,美国,联合王国,和欧盟,由于它们在全球网络中的深度融合,面临明显的漏洞。然而,在这凄凉的风景中,希望以网络弹性的形式出现。该研究展示了主动措施的有效性,如适应性生产系统,多元化的贸易伙伴,以及强大的网络安全基础设施,以减轻网络攻击的不利影响。结合网络弹性显著抑制了报告的负面后果,强调准备在打击数字战争中的关键作用。这项研究强调了全球范式向网络弹性转变的迫切需要。加强网络安全基础设施的集体努力,促进威胁情报方面的国际合作,建立开放和有弹性的贸易框架对于驾驭人工智能驱动的网络攻击的危险迷宫至关重要。通过接受复原力战略和促进全球合作,我们可以为更安全和繁荣的数字未来铺平道路,互联成为进步的工具,不是要利用的漏洞。
    The burgeoning interconnectedness of global trade in the digital age not only presents enticing opportunities but also harbors potent vulnerabilities of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven cyberattacks. This study explores the cascading impacts of these disruptive threats on economies, supply chains, and trade, utilizing the intricate lens of Computable General Equilibrium modeling. Through meticulously designed simulation scenarios, we illuminate the potential economic ramifications of cyberattacks, with a focus on regions heavily reliant on digital technologies and interwoven supply chains. The analysis reveals significant declines in real GDP, trade prices and volumes, and trade route disruptions across regions. Notably, economies like China, the United States, the United Kingdom, and the EU, due to their deep integration in global networks, face pronounced vulnerabilities. However, amidst this bleak landscape, hope emerges in the form of cyber resilience. The study showcases the effectiveness of proactive measures like adaptable production systems, diversified trade partners, and robust cybersecurity infrastructure in mitigating the adverse impacts of cyberattacks. Incorporating cyber resilience significantly dampens the reported negative consequences, highlighting the critical role of preparedness in combating digital warfare. This study underscores the urgent need for a global paradigm shift toward cyber resilience. Collective efforts to bolster cybersecurity infrastructures, foster international cooperation in threat intelligence, and establish open and resilient trade frameworks are crucial in navigating the treacherous labyrinth of AI-driven cyberattacks. By embracing resilience strategies and fostering global collaboration, we can pave the way for a more secure and prosperous digital future, where interconnectedness becomes a tool for progress, not a vulnerability to be exploited.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管中国供应链中的污染物问题已经引起了越来越多的关注,它们内部发生的动态变化尚不清楚。现有的一些研究分析了供应链中的一年或短期数据。中国的总CH4排放量从2000年的41.1Tg上升到2020年的60Tg,因此进行长期分析可以更深入地了解从生产到消费的整个供应链的动态变化。本研究采用环境扩展投入产出分析(EEIOA)和结构路径分析(SPA)方法,研究了2000-2020年中国20个行业部门CH4排放量的动态变化,旨在确定关键供应链和关键部门。结果表明,从最终需求的角度来看,消费,投资和出口拉动52.1%,32%,和2020年15.9%的具体CH4排放量。CH4排放量最高的行业已从2000年的“农业”变为2010年的“建筑”,再到2020年的“其他服务和活动”。CH4排放的供应链路径也从2000年的“农业→农村消费”发展到2010年的“农业→食品和烟草→城市消费”,再到2020年的“农业→城市消费”。值得注意的是,排名靠前的道路,“农业→食品和烟草→农村消费”,表明,在农业和食品工业之间流动的具体CH4排放不容忽视。“煤炭开采→非金属矿产品→建设→资本形成”的供应链路径从2000年的第17位上升到2020年的第3位。因此,有必要控制上游部门的CH4排放,主要受建筑业的影响,部门之间的协调努力也需要有效减少排放。到2020年,城市消费带动的CH4排放量是农村消费的3.1倍。本研究对中国过去二十年的供应链进行了全面分析。特别是,它建议通过控制关键供应链路径和与具体CH4排放相关的关键部门来进行政策干预,从而促进人为CH4排放的协调减少。
    Although the issue of embodied pollutants in China\'s supply chains has garnered increasing attention, the dynamic changes occurring within them are unclear. Several existing studies analyze one-year or short-term data in supply chain. China\'s overall CH4 emissions have risen from 41.1 Tg in 2000 to 60 Tg in 2020, so conducting long-term analyses can yield a deeper understanding of the dynamic changes across the entire supply chain from production to consumption. This study uses the environmentally extended input-output analysis (EEIOA) and structural path analysis (SPA) methods to investigate the dynamic variation of China\'s embodied CH4 emissions in 20 industry sectors from 2000 to 2020, aiming to determine the key supply chain and key sectors. The results reveal that from the final demand perspective, consumption, investment and export drove 52.1%, 32%, and 15.9% of embodied CH4 emissions in 2020. The sector with the highest embodied CH4 emissions has changed from \"Agriculture\" in 2000 to \"Construction\" in 2010 to \"Other service and activities\" in 2020. The top listed supply chain path of embodied CH4 emissions has also evolved (starting from production to consumption) from \"Agriculture → Rural consumption\" in 2000 to \"Agriculture → Food and tobacco → Urban consumption\" in 2010 to \"Agriculture → Urban consumption\" in 2020. Notably, the high-ranked path, \"Agriculture → Food and tobacco → Rural consumption\", shows that the embodied CH4 emission flowing between agriculture and the food industry cannot be ignored. The supply chain path \"Coal Mining → Nonmetal Mineral Products → Construction → Capital Formation\" has risen from 17th in 2000 to 3rd in 2020. Thus, it is necessary to control CH4 emissions from sectors upstream, which are predominantly influenced by the construction industry, and a coordinated effort between sectors is also required to effectively reduce emissions. By 2020, the CH4 emissions driven by urban consumption were 3.1 times that of rural consumption. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of China\'s supply chain over the past two decades. In particular, it suggests policy interventions by controlling critical supply chain paths and key sectors associated with embodied CH4 emission, thereby facilitating the coordinated reduction of anthropogenic CH4 emissions.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    许多前线社区由于生活在高污染的工业来源附近而受到不利的健康影响。确保环境正义需要,在某种程度上,一套全面的量化指标。我们将环境正义和生命周期思想纳入空气质量规划,以评估运营和维护奥克兰港的细颗粒物(PM2.5)暴露和货币化损害。位于旧金山湾区历史上边缘化的西奥克兰社区的主要多式联运港口。评估的暴露域是整个旧金山湾区,超过750万人的家园。在排放清单中包含的14多个来源中,大型集装箱船的排放,或远洋船(OGV),主导PM2.5的摄入量,和供应链来源(材料生产和交付,燃料产量)占年摄入量的3.5%至7.5%。暴露损害,对研究排放源暴露造成的超额死亡率成本进行建模,每年从100美元到2.7亿美元不等。损害的变化是由于使用不同的浓度-反应关系,危险比,和港口重铺面积假设。种族和基于收入的接触差异是明显的。黑人人口和收入最低的五分之一人口中的人暴露的比例要高出2.2和1.9倍,分别,相对于普通人群,港口的污染源。与优先考虑OGV和商业港口船只运营的减排策略(8.7-55%)相比,以港口卡车运营电气化为重点的缓解工作可实现适度的减排(3.5%)。我们的建议强调,基于系统的方法对于确定所有相关的排放源和缓解策略以改善民用基础设施系统的公平性至关重要。
    Many frontline communities experience adverse health impacts from living in proximity to high-polluting industrial sources. Securing environmental justice requires, in part, a comprehensive set of quantitative indicators. We incorporate environmental justice and life-cycle thinking into air quality planning to assess fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure and monetized damages from operating and maintaining the Port of Oakland, a major multimodal marine port located in the historically marginalized West Oakland community in the San Francisco Bay Area. The exposure domain for the assessment is the entire San Francisco Bay Area, a home to more than 7.5 million people. Of the more than 14 sources included in the emissions inventory, emissions from large container ships, or ocean-going vessels (OGVs), dominate the PM2.5 intake, and supply chain sources (material production and delivery, fuel production) represent between 3.5% and 7.5% of annual intake. Exposure damages, which model the costs from excess mortalities resulting from exposure from the study\'s emission sources, range from USD 100 to 270 million per annum. Variations in damages are due to the use of different concentration-response relationships, hazard ratios, and Port resurfacing area assumptions. Racial and income-based exposure disparities are stark. The Black population and people within the lowest income quintile are 2.2 and 1.9 times more disproportionately exposed, respectively, to the Port\'s pollution sources relative to the general population. Mitigation efforts focused on electrifying in-port trucking operations yield modest reductions (3.5%) compared to strategies that prioritize emission reductions from OGVs and commercial harbor craft operations (8.7-55%). Our recommendations emphasize that a systems-based approach is critical for identifying all relevant emission sources and mitigation strategies for improving equity in civil infrastructure systems.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文的目的是提出并测试一种表征城市供应系统并分析其弹性的方法。锚定在经济和网络社会学中,管理科学和地理学的贡献丰富了这种方法,这使得将城市的供应系统概念化为一个社会和空间化的网络成为可能,由运营商和流通差异化产品构成。在蒙彼利埃市测试,米兰条约的签署者,这项研究是基于各种销售商和供应商的主要数据。在确认短供应链和长供应链之间的互补性的同时,结果更广泛地显示了三个空间化市场的衔接如何有利于城市供应的弹性,即使它也是漏洞的来源。因此,这些结果为城市供给弹性和食物系统共存研究的交叉做出了原创性贡献,同时也呼吁进一步研究。
    The objective of this article is to propose and test an approach to characterise a city\'s supply system and analyse its resilience. Anchored in economic and network sociology, the approach has been enriched by contributions from management sciences and geomatics, which have made it possible to conceptualise a city\'s supply system as a network that is both social and spatialised, structured by operators and circulating differentiated products. Tested in the city of Montpellier, a signatory of the Milan Pact, this research was based on the production of primary data from a variety of sellers and suppliers. While confirming the complementarity between short and long supply chains, the results show more broadly how the articulation of three spatialised markets favours the resilience of the city\'s supply, even if it is also a source of vulnerability. Therefore, these results make an original contribution to the intersection of research on the resilience of urban supply and on coexistence in food systems, while also calling for further research.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文涉及英国商业水果和蔬菜种植者关于粮食生产用水可持续性的叙述。在其中,我们探讨了监管机构根据欧盟水框架指令目标限制农业从自然环境中提取水的努力的观点。以及他们对零售商可持续性承诺的看法。语篇分析用于调查种植者如何质疑限制性法规,构建了他们的身份,描绘了其他供应链利益相关者,并传达了他们与他们的社会关系。利用欧文·戈夫曼的前台和后台表演理论,研究了对种植者的水管理决策及其对水的可持续发展议程的内部化的影响。虽然种植者故意歪曲了他们的取水做法,他们的话语说明了环境和农业利益之间的两极分化,他们对环境可持续性的潜在承诺是矛盾的,表达了反环境和亲环境的态度。种植者还经常批评新鲜农产品供应链的表面可持续性。我们认为,鉴于当代农业身份的变化定义,谈判建造的环境可以为传统种植者提供机会,让他们参与真正的环保表演,这可能会加深他们对环境目标的同化和对可持续用水的承诺。
    This article concerns UK commercial fruit and vegetable growers\' narratives regarding the sustainability of water use for food production. In it we explore their perspectives on efforts by regulators to limit agricultural withdrawals of water from the natural environment in line with EU Water Framework Directive objectives, alongside their views on retailer sustainability commitments. Discourse analysis is used to investigate how the growers contested restrictive regulation, constructed their identities, portrayed other supply chain stakeholders, and conveyed their social relations with them. Using Erving Goffman\'s theory of frontstage and backstage performances, the implications for the growers\' water management decisions and their internalisation of sustainability agendas for water are examined. Whilst the growers gave accounts of purposely misrepresenting their water withdrawal practices and their discourse illustrated significant polarisation between environmental and agricultural interests, their underlying commitment to environmental sustainability was ambivalent, with both anti and pro-environmental attitudes expressed. The growers also frequently gave critiques of superficial sustainability in fresh produce supply chains. We argue that, given contemporary shifting definitions of agricultural identities, settings in which their construction is negotiated can provide windows of opportunity for conventional growers to engage in genuine pro-environmental performances that may deepen their assimilation of environmental goals and commitment to sustainable water use.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:COVID-19大流行,极端天气事件,和俄罗斯入侵乌克兰突出了全球粮食系统的脆弱性和缺乏准备和前瞻性计划日益复杂的破坏。这激发了人们对食物系统弹性的兴趣。尽管人们对食物系统弹性的兴趣越来越高,缺乏对国家一级粮食系统抗灾能力的比较分析。对粮食系统复原力状况的更好理解可以支持和指导未来的政策,programs,和规划。
    方法:我们对来自澳大利亚的国家级食品系统复原力活动进行了跨国比较,Aotearoa新西兰,瑞典,和美国。我们开发并调整了Harris和Spiegel提出的复原力框架,以比较来自13个国家粮食系统复原力文件的行动。我们根据政府采取的行动对文件进行编码,包括:利用的粮食系统弹性属性,食品供应链的一部分,特定的冲击或压力源,执行水平,行动的时间焦点,以及对粮食安全的预期影响。我们分析并比较了国家/地区的编码类别和子类别,和类别组合。
    结果:结果表明,这些国家正在解决一些相同的问题,正在使用多管齐下的政策行动来解决粮食系统的弹性问题,并专注于回顾性审查和破坏性事件的前瞻性模型,以告知他们的决定。为应对气候变化和其他自然灾害做了一些工作,对其他冲击或压力源的准备工作较少。
    结论:本文开发并应用了一个植根于文献的框架,以了解国家级食品系统弹性文件的内容。分析确定了潜在的差距,浓度,以及国家粮食系统韧性的主题。该框架可用于增强现有政策,创建新策略,以及补充和补充其他现有框架。
    BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic, extreme weather events, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted global food system vulnerabilities and a lack of preparedness and prospective planning for increasingly complex disruptions. This has spurred an interest in food system resilience. Despite the elevated interest in food system resilience, there is a lack of comparative analyses of national-level food system resilience efforts. An improved understanding of the food system resilience landscape can support and inform future policies, programs, and planning.
    METHODS: We conducted a cross-country comparison of national-level food system resilience activities from Australia, Aotearoa New Zealand, Sweden, and the United States. We developed upon and adapted the resilience framework proposed by Harris and Spiegel to compare actions derived from thirteen national food system resilience documents. We coded the documents based on the actions taken by the governments including: the food system resilience attributes utilized, the part of the food supply chain, the specific shocks or stressors, the implementation level, the temporal focus of action, and the expected impact on food security. We analyzed and compared countries\' coded categories and subcategories, and category combinations.
    RESULTS: The results showed that these countries are addressing some of the same issues, are using multi-pronged policy actions to address food system resilience issues, and are focused on both retrospective reviews and prospective models of disruptive events to inform their decisions. Some work has been done towards preparing for climate change and other natural disasters, and less preparing has been done for other shocks or stressors.
    CONCLUSIONS: This paper develops and applies a framework rooted in literature to understand the content of national-level food system resilience documents. The analysis identified potential gaps, concentrations, and themes in national food systems resilience. The framework can be applied to augment existing policy, create new policy, as well as to supplement and complement other existing frameworks.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    外来物种是对全球生物多样性的主要威胁之一。尽管生命周期评估试图从整体上评估产品和服务对价值链的环境影响,到目前为止,在生命周期影响评估中尚未评估引入外来物种的生态影响。这里,我们制定了国家与国家之间的特定特征因素,表示为由于两个国家之间运输的每单位货物[kg]的外来物种引入而导致的本地陆地物种的时间积分可能消失的部分(PDF;区域和全球)。表征因子是通过分析外来物种的第一批记录的全球数据而产生的,本地物种分布,以及他们的威胁状况,以及1870-2019年的双边贸易伙伴关系。由此产生的表征因子在几个数量级上变化,表明每个运输路线和贸易伙伴的影响差异很大。我们展示了从中国运输1公吨货物到法国的表征因素的适用性和相关性,南非,马达加斯加。结果表明,随着国际商品运输过程中气候变化的影响,外来物种的引入可能对陆地生物多样性造成更大的损害。
    Alien species form one of the main threats to global biodiversity. Although Life Cycle Assessment attempts to holistically assess environmental impacts of products and services across value chains, ecological impacts of the introduction of alien species are so far not assessed in Life Cycle Impact Assessment. Here, we developed country-to-country-specific characterization factors, expressed as the time-integrated potentially disappeared fraction (PDF; regional and global) of native terrestrial species due to alien species introductions per unit of goods transported [kg] between two countries. The characterization factors were generated by analyzing global data on first records of alien species, native species distributions, and their threat status, as well as bilateral trade partnerships from 1870-2019. The resulting characterization factors vary over several orders of magnitude, indicating that impact greatly varies per transportation route and trading partner. We showcase the applicability and relevance of the characterization factors for transporting 1 metric ton of freight to France from China, South Africa, and Madagascar. The results suggest that the introduction of alien species can be more damaging for terrestrial biodiversity as climate change impacts during the international transport of commodities.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    无法获得现代能源服务,或者能源贫困,仍然是社会经济进步和福祉的重大障碍。公共投资之间复杂的联系,激励机制,供应链,本文探讨了能源扶贫工作的财务成功。这项研究考察了世界范围内消除能源贫困的历史,尤其是在中国。它研究了这些方面如何影响减少能源贫困举措的效率和长期可行性。这项研究通过广泛的文献研究,综合了有关政府支出模式及其对减少能源贫困举措的影响的证据。基础设施的发展,能力建设,能源技术的部署在很大程度上取决于政府的支出。金融和监管激励措施也被证明可以鼓励能源行业的私营部门参与和创新。这些激励措施通过创造有利于投资的氛围,帮助扩大弱势群体获得电力的机会。这项研究还考察了供应链在应对能源贫困中的关键作用。为了有效地安装和维护能源项目,高效和有弹性的供应链至关重要,因为它们保证了重要材料和资源的可用性。集成的供应链战略可以改善项目结果,节约成本,消除与后勤困难有关的风险。政府资助,激励机制,和供应链都有一个连接,影响如何良好的能源扶贫计划的财务运作。在首次执行后维持项目需要持续的财务业绩。它探讨了供应网络中断如何影响财务业绩,强调需要强大的供应链管理技术。因此,这项研究增加了对减少能源贫困的复杂过程的全面了解。通过研究政府行为,激励机制,供应链,和财务业绩相互作用。这些观察与从业者相关,投资者,和学者试图增加获得可持续能源和减少贫困,除了决策者。本报告提供了有益的建议,以提高各国为实现全球可持续发展目标而开展的能源减贫活动的有效性和持久性。
    Poor access to modern energy services, or energy poverty, continues to be a significant barrier to socioeconomic progress and well-being. The complicated connections between public investment, incentives, supplier chains, and the financial success of energy poverty alleviation efforts are explored in this paper. This research examines the history of eradicating energy poverty worldwide, particularly in China. It examines how these aspects affect the efficiency and long-term viability of reducing energy poverty initiatives. This research synthesizes the evidence on government expenditure patterns and their impact on initiatives to reduce energy poverty via an extensive literature examination. The development of infrastructure, capacity building, and the deployment of energy technology are all made possible in large part by government spending. Financial and regulatory incentives have also been shown to encourage the energy industry\'s private sector engagement and innovation. These incentives help expand underprivileged groups\' access to electricity by creating an atmosphere conducive to investment. This research also examines supply chains\' crucial role in combating energy poverty. For the effective installation and upkeep of energy projects, efficient and resilient supply chains are crucial because they guarantee the availability of vital materials and resources. An integrated supply chain strategy may improve project results, save costs, and eliminate risks related to logistical difficulties. Government funding, incentives, and supply chains all have a connection that affects how well energy poverty alleviation programs function financially. Maintaining projects after their first execution requires sustained financial performance. It explores how supply network interruptions may affect financial performance, highlighting the need for robust supply chain management techniques. As a result, this study adds to a comprehensive knowledge of the complex processes underpinning the reduction of energy poverty. It offers insights into developing efficient policies and strategies by examining how government actions, incentives, supply chains, and financial performance interact. These observations are relevant for practitioners, investors, and academics trying to increase access to sustainable energy sources and reduce poverty in addition to policymakers. This report provides helpful recommendations for boosting the effectiveness and endurance of energy poverty reduction activities as nations work to reach global sustainable development objectives.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    将全球经济增长与碳排放脱钩对于在保持经济持续增长的同时缓解全球气候变化至关重要。仅传统的生产端解耦分析不足以捕获整个全球供应链中碳排放与增加值之间的解耦状态。本研究从消费和收入的角度调查了1995-2019年期间增加值与温室气体(GHG)排放之间的脱钩状况。我们发现17个地区(特别是俄罗斯,澳大利亚,和马耳他)在多个角度上显示出显著差异。例如,从生产角度来看,马耳他的直接温室气体排放量随着其GDP增长而下降(即,实现了强脱钩)。然而,其基于消费的温室气体排放量随着基于消费的增加值的增长而增加(即,扩张性负解耦)。此外,大多数国际对尚未实现从消费和收入角度的强烈脱钩。国际多边合作对于使全球温室气体排放与全球供应链的经济增长脱钩至关重要。这项研究从消费和收入的角度提供了对具体温室气体排放和附加值之间脱钩的见解。这项研究的结果可以补充现有的全球温室气体减排和可持续发展政策。
    Decoupling global economic growth from carbon emissions is essential for mitigating global climate change while maintaining continuous economic growth. Traditional production-side decoupling analysis alone is insufficient to capture the decoupling status between carbon emissions and the value added throughout global supply chains. This study investigates the decoupling status between value added and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions during 1995-2019 from consumption and income perspectives. We find that the decoupling statuses of 17 regions (especially Russia, Australia, and Malta) show significant differences across multiple perspectives. For example, Malta\'s direct GHG emissions decreased with its GDP growth from a production perspective (i.e., achieved strong decoupling). However, its consumption-based GHG emissions increased with the growth of consumption-based value added (i.e., expansive negative decoupling). Moreover, most international pairs have not yet achieved strong decoupling from consumption and income perspectives. International multilateral cooperation is crucial for decoupling global GHG emissions from economic growth across global supply chains. This study provides insights into the decoupling between embodied GHG emissions and value added from consumption and income perspectives. The findings of this study can complement existing policies on global GHG emission mitigation and sustainable development.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    技术进步是应对全球气候变化的一把双刃剑。这项研究首次揭示了全球价值链(GVC)中与效率相关的TP对温室气体(GHG)排放的反弹和缓解效应。TP的综合效应取决于GVC中部门的定位。上游部门的成本节约TP将刺激下游需求。这产生了比缓解潜力更强的反弹效应,并导致全球温室气体排放增量(例如,中国天然气部门和韩国石油和煤炭产品部门的TP)。相比之下,位于全球价值链尾端的部门通过TP缓解温室气体排放的潜力更大,主要是由于上游投入的减少。(例如中国的建筑行业和美国的住宅行业)。全球温室气体排放和生产产出可以是一种权衡或双赢的关系,因为TP而不是反弹效应,因为不同部门的TP可能会增加或减少GVC的排放强度。这项研究可以通过与效率相关的TP来识别温室气体减排最有成效的地方。为促进全球温室气体减排的国际合作提供了新的视角。
    Technological progress (TP) is a double-edged sword to global climate change. This study for the first time reveals rebound and mitigation effects of efficiency-related TP in global value chains (GVCs) on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The integrated effects of TP depend on the positioning of sectors in GVCs. The cost-saving TP in upstream sectors would stimulate downstream demand. This produces stronger rebound effects than mitigation potentials and leads to global GHG emission increments (e.g. TP in the gas sector of China and petroleum and coal products sector of South Korea). In contrast, sectors located in the trailing end of GVCs have greater potentials for GHG emission mitigation through TP, mainly due to the reduction of upstream inputs. (e.g. the construction sector of China and dwelling sector of the United States). Global GHG emissions and production outputs can be either a trade-off or a win-win relationship on account of TP than rebound effects, because TP in different sectors could possibly increase or decrease the emission intensity of GVCs. This study could recognize the most productive spots for GHG emission mitigation through efficiency-related TP. It provides a new perspective for international cooperation to promote global GHG emission mitigation.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

公众号