Sulfur dioxide

二氧化硫
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    极端PM2.5污染已成为近年来我国面临的重大环境问题,危害人类健康和日常生活。注意到调查极端PM2.5污染原因的重要性,本文基于广义极值(GEV)分布,使用小时站级PM2.5浓度数据,将中国城市分为八类(四组加两个情景),并采用一系列多重选择模型来评估城市分为不同类别的概率。在每个模型中控制气象条件后,考虑了各种因素,例如前体污染物和社会经济因素。结果是二氧化硫浓度,NO2浓度,人口密度是对对数比率贡献最大的三大因素。此外,在左偏和右偏的情况下,二氧化硫浓度增加一个单位对城市陷入不同群体的相对概率的影响呈增加趋势,而NO2浓度呈下降趋势。同时,极端污染水平越高,SO2和NO2浓度对城市陷入归一化情景的概率影响越大。多变量logit模型用于预测和策略模拟。总之,通过分析各种因素的影响及其影响模式的异质性,本文为制定有效的减排政策提供了宝贵的见解。
    Extreme PM 2.5 pollution has become a significant environmental problem in China in recent years, which is hazardous to human health and daily life. Noticing the importance of investigating the causes of extreme PM 2.5 pollution, this paper classifies cities across China into eight categories (four groups plus two scenarios) based on the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution using hourly station-level PM 2.5 concentration data, and a series of multi-choice models are employed to assess the probabilities that cities fall into different categories. Various factors such as precursor pollutants and socio-economic factors are considered after controlling for meteorological conditions in each model. It turns out that SO 2 concentration, NO 2 concentration, and population density are the top three factors contributing most to the log ratios. Moreover, in both left- and right-skewed cases, the influence of a one-unit increase of SO 2 concentration on the relative probability of cities falling into different groups shows an increasing trend, while those of NO 2 concentration show a decreasing trend. At the same time, the higher the extreme pollution level, the bigger the effect of SO 2 and NO 2 concentrations on the probability of cities falling into normalized scenarios. The multivariate logit model is used for prediction and policy simulations. In summary, by analyzing the influences of various factors and the heterogeneity of their influence patterns, this paper provides valuable insights in formulating effective emission reduction policies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    据报道,环境空气污染是妊娠高血压疾病(HDP)的危险因素。过去的研究报告了支持性证据,但是来自中国的证据很少,并且没有整合怀孕过程的不同时期。在这项研究中,对武汉大学人民医院注册网络数据库中1945例HDP孕妇和2016年至2022年的健康妊娠进行分析。地理信息,在分析中融合了该病例的生物学信息和人口学信息。使用机器学习方法来获得变量的权重。然后,我们使用广义线性混合模型来评估HDP不同时期对每种污染物的暴露增加之间的关系,并在不同的组中进行了检查。结果表明,与其他空气污染物相比,SO2对HDP的影响最大(12.65%)。SO2暴露与HDP风险增加相关。单位SO2浓度增加伴随HDP风险增加(OR=1.33,95%CI:1.13,1.566),该效应的易感窗口主要在孕早期(OR=1.242,95%CI:1.092,1.412)。此外,SO2暴露与城市产妇HDP风险增加相关(OR=1.356,95%CI:1.112,1.653),肥胖产妇(OR=3.58,95%CI:1.608,7.971),无高等教育产妇(OR=1.348,95%CI:1.065,1.706),非零分娩产妇(OR=1.981,95%CI:1.439,2.725),产妇与首次产妇(OR=1.247,95%CI:1.007,1.544)等组。总之,妊娠早期SO2暴露是HDP的危险因素之一,和增加的风险HDP由于增加的SO2暴露可能更明显的肥胖,城市,低教育,和非零交付人群。
    Ambient air pollution has been reported to be a risk factor for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). Past studies have reported supportive evidence, but evidence from China is scarce and does not integrate the different periods of the pregnancy course. In this study, 1945 pregnant women with HDP and healthy pregnancies between 2016 and 2022 from the Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University registry network database were analysed. The geographic information, biological information and demographic information of the case were fused in the analysis. Machine learning methods were used to obtain the weight of the variable. Then, we used the generalized linear mixed model to evaluate the relationship between increased exposure to each pollutant at different periods of HDP and examined it in different groups. The results showed that SO2 had the predominate impact (12.65 %) on HDP compared with other air pollutants. SO2 exposure was associated with an increased risk of HDP. Increased unit SO2 concentrations were accompanied by an increased risk of HDP (OR = 1.33, 95 % CI: 1.13, 1.566), and the susceptible window for this effect was mainly in the first trimester (OR = 1.242, 95 % CI: 1.092, 1.412). In addition, SO2 exposure was associated with an increased risk of HDP in urban maternity (OR = 1.356, 95 % CI: 1.112, 1.653), obese maternity (OR = 3.58, 95 % CI: 1.608, 7.971), no higher education maternity (OR = 1.348, 95 % CI: 1.065, 1.706), nonzero delivery maternity (OR = 1.981, 95 % CI: 1.439, 2.725), maternal with first time maternity (OR = 1.247, 95 % CI: 1.007, 1.544) and other groups. In summary, SO2 exposure in early pregnancy is one of the risk factors for HDP, and the increased risk of HDP due to increased SO2 exposure may be more pronounced in obese, urban, low-education, and nonzero delivery populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:燃煤发电厂是环境二氧化硫(SO2)空气污染的主要贡献者。流行病学文献表明,妊娠期SO2暴露与早产(PTB;妊娠<37周)之间存在不良关联。PTB与婴儿死亡率和以后生活发病率的风险增加密切相关。
    目的:我们调查了北卡罗来纳州SO2和PTB之间的关联,并评估了这种关联是否因种族/民族而改变。
    方法:我们进行了回顾性研究,2003-2015年北卡罗来纳州单胎出生的行政队列。我们使用美国EPAEQUATES数据将长期SO2妊娠暴露分配给整个妊娠和妊娠中期的合格分娩。我们使用多变量广义线性回归来估计SO2每增加1-ppb的风险差异(RD(95CI)),并根据妊娠父母的教育进行调整。医疗补助状况,婚姻状况,和受孕季节。针对其他标准空气共污染物(O3,PM2.5,NO2),还对多污染物模型进行了调整。
    结果:暴露窗口的SO2中位数(24小时平均值)为〜1.5(IQR:1.8)ppb。PTB的总体基线风险为每100,000例活产8,756例。当按种族/民族分层时,在非西班牙裔黑人中,PTB的基线风险为每100,000活产12215、7824和7187,非西班牙裔白人,和西班牙裔出生,分别。对于单污染物和多污染物模型,整个怀孕期间SO2平均每增加1-ppb的RD分别为317.0(95CI:279.4,354.5)和568.2(95CI:500.3,636.1)/100,000活产,分别。对于PTB多污染物模型,我们观察到非西班牙裔黑人参与者(669.6[95CI:573.9,765.2])和非西班牙裔白人参与者(635.4[95CI:557.2,713.6])的RD相似,西班牙裔参与者的RD较小(336.8[95CI:241.3,432.2]).
    结论:我们调整后的单污染物和多污染物模型的结果显示,SO2和PTB之间存在不利关联,有一些证据表明,在PTB的子类别中,通过种族/族裔对效果测量进行了修改。
    BACKGROUND: Coal-fired power plants are major contributors of ambient sulfur dioxide (SO2) air pollution. Epidemiological literature suggests an adverse association between SO2 exposure during gestation and preterm birth (PTB; <37 weeks completed gestation). PTB is strongly associated with infant mortality and increased risk for later life morbidities.
    OBJECTIVE: We investigated associations between SO2 and PTB in North Carolina and evaluated whether the associations were modified by race/ethnicity.
    METHODS: We assembled a retrospective, administrative cohort of singleton births in North Carolina from 2003-2015. We used US EPA EQUATES data to assign long-term SO2 gestational exposures to eligible births for the entire pregnancy and by trimester. We used multivariable generalized linear regression to estimate risk differences (RD (95%CI)) per 1-ppb increase in SO2, adjusted for gestational parent education, Medicaid status, marital status, and season of conception. Multi-pollutant models were additionally adjusted for other criteria air co-pollutants (O3, PM2.5, NO2).
    RESULTS: The median SO2 (24-hour average) across exposure windows was ~1.5 (IQR: 1.8) ppb. The overall baseline risk for PTB was 8,756 per 100,000 live births. When stratified by race/ethnicity, the baseline risk for PTB was 12215, 7824, and 7187 per 100,000 live births among non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic births, respectively. RDs per 1-ppb increase in SO2 averaged across the entire pregnancy were 317.0 (95%CI: 279.4, 354.5) and 568.2 (95%CI: 500.3, 636.1) per 100,000 live births for single- and multi-pollutant models, respectively. For the PTB multi-pollutant models, we observed similar RDs for non-Hispanic Black participants (669.6 [95%CI: 573.9, 765.2]) and non-Hispanic white participants (635.4 [95%CI: 557.2, 713.6]) with smaller RDs for Hispanic participants (336.8 [95%CI: 241.3, 432.2]).
    CONCLUSIONS: The results for our adjusted single- and multi-pollutant models showed adverse associations between SO2 and PTB, with some evidence of effect measure modification by race/ethnicity within subcategories of PTB.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:评估环境因素和早产对幼年皮肌炎(JDM)的影响,它的病程和对治疗的难治性。
    方法:一项病例对照研究,其中35例患者在三级医院随访,124例健康对照,圣保罗的所有居民。患者根据单环进行分类,多环或慢性疾病过程和治疗的难治性。污染物(可吸入颗粒物-PM10、二氧化硫-SO2、二氧化氮-NO2、臭氧-O3和一氧化碳-CO)的每日浓度由圣保罗环境公司提供。通过问卷调查获得了来自人群的数据。
    结果:15例患者出现了单环病程,和19个多环/慢性课程。18例患者难以治疗。在多变量逻辑回归模型中,母亲职业暴露于可吸入剂(OR=17.88;IC95%2.15-148.16,p=0.01)和生命第五年暴露于O3(第三三分位数>86.28µg/m3;OR=6.53,IC95%1.60-26.77,p=0.01)是JDM的危险因素。在同一分析中,距离日托/学校200米远的工厂/采石场的存在(OR=0.22;IC95%0.06-0.77;p=0.02)是保护因素。早产,妊娠期母亲居住地和工作场所暴露于空气污染物/香烟烟雾/可吸入污染物来源与JDM无关。早产,孕妇在怀孕期间暴露于职业污染物以及患者在第5年之前暴露于地面污染物与病程和治疗难治性无关。
    结论:JDM的危险因素是母亲职业暴露和第五年暴露于O3。
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the influence of environmental factors and prematurity relating to juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM), its course and refractoriness to treatment.
    METHODS: A case-control study with 35 patients followed up at a tertiary hospital and 124 healthy controls, all residents of São Paulo. Patients were classified according to monocyclic, polycyclic or chronic disease courses and refractoriness to treatment. The daily concentrations of pollutants (inhalable particulate matter-PM10, sulfur dioxide-SO2, nitrogen dioxide-NO2, ozone-O3 and carbon monoxide-CO) were provided by the Environmental Company of São Paulo. Data from the population were obtained through a questionnaire.
    RESULTS: Fifteen patients had monocyclic courses, and 19 polycyclic/chronic courses. Eighteen patients were refractory to treatment. Maternal occupational exposure to inhalable agents (OR = 17.88; IC 95% 2.15-148.16, p = 0.01) and exposure to O3 in the fifth year of life (third tertile > 86.28µg/m3; OR = 6.53, IC95% 1.60-26.77, p = 0.01) were risk factors for JDM in the multivariate logistic regression model. The presence of a factory/quarry at a distance farther than 200 meters from daycare/school (OR = 0.22; IC 95% 0.06-0.77; p = 0.02) was a protective factor in the same analysis. Prematurity, exposure to air pollutants/cigarette smoke/sources of inhalable pollutants in the mother\'s places of residence and work during the gestational period were not associated with JDM. Prematurity, maternal exposure to occupational pollutants during pregnancy as well as patient\'s exposure to ground-level pollutants up to the fifth year of life were not associated with disease course and treatment refractoriness.
    CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for JDM were maternal occupational exposure and exposure to O3 in the fifth year of life.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    三氧化硫(SO3)作为可冷凝颗粒物对大气能见度有显著影响,这很容易引起雾霾的形成。控制工业烟气中的SO3排放势在必行。三种常用的基本吸收剂,选择了Ca(OH)2、MgO和NaHCO3,探讨了温度的影响,SO2浓度对SO3吸收,并进一步阐明了SO3吸收的反应机理。提出了各种吸收剂的适宜反应温度,Ca(OH)2在500℃以上的高温下,MgO在低于320°C的低温下,和NaHCO3在320-500℃的温度范围内。SO2和SO3之间的竞争吸收发现,SO2的添加降低了Ca(OH)2和NaHCO3对SO3的吸收,而对MgO没有影响。SO3的吸收选择性顺序遵循MgO,在这项工作中给定的条件下,NaHCO3和Ca(OH)2。SO3在NaHCO3上的吸收过程遵循收缩核心模型,因此,吸收反应继续进行,直到NaHCO3耗尽,利用率接近100%。SO3在Ca(OH)2和MgO上的吸收过程遵循晶粒模型,致密的产物层阻碍了进一步的吸收反应,导致Ca(OH)2和MgO的利用率低,约为50%。该研究为应用中去除SO3的碱性吸收剂的选择提供了有利的支持。
    Sulfur trioxide (SO3) as a condensable particle matter has a significant influence on atmospheric visibility, which easily arouses formation of haze. It is imperative to control the SO3 emission from the industrial flue gas. Three commonly used basic absorbents, including Ca(OH)2, MgO and NaHCO3 were selected to explore the effects of temperature, SO2 concentration on the SO3 absorption, and the reaction mechanism of SO3 absorption was further illustrated. The suitable reaction temperature for various absorbents were proposed, Ca(OH)2 at the high temperatures above 500°C, MgO at the low temperatures below 320°C, and NaHCO3 at the temperature range of 320-500°C. The competitive absorption between SO2 and SO3 was found that the addition of SO2 reduced the SO3 absorption on Ca(OH)2 and NaHCO3, while had no effect on MgO. The order of the absorption selectivity of SO3 follows MgO, NaHCO3 and Ca(OH)2 under the given conditions in this work. The absorption process of SO3 on NaHCO3 follows the shrinking core model, thus the absorption reaction continues until NaHCO3 was exhausted with the utilization rate of nearly 100%. The absorption process of SO3 on Ca(OH)2 and MgO follows the grain model, and the dense product layer hinders the further absorption reaction, resulting in low utilization of about 50% for Ca(OH)2 and MgO. The research provides a favorable support for the selection of alkaline absorbent for SO3 removal in application.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究探索了利用碱处理的玉米芯(CC)作为固体碳源来改善烟气中NOX和SO2去除的潜力。浸出实验揭示了化学需氧量释放能力的层次结构:0.03mol/L碱处理的CC>0.02mol/L>0.01mol/L>0.005mol/L>对照。在NOX和SO2去除实验中,随着进口NOX浓度从300mg/m3上升到1000mg/m3,平均NOX去除效率从58.56%上升到80.00%。相反,SO2去除效率从99.96%下降到91.05%,但在第18天迅速反弹至98.56%。N中间体(NH4+,NO3-,NO2-)随入口NOx浓度的升高而增加,而S中间体(SO42-,SO32-,S0)根据功能细菌种群的变化而变化。进口NOX浓度的升高刺激了反硝化细菌的生长,提高NOX去除效率。同时,硝酸盐还原硫氧化细菌和硫酸盐还原细菌的数量扩大,有助于S0的积累和SO2的去除。碳源的比较实验证实了碱处理的CC和葡萄糖的NOX和SO2去除效率相当,然而,由于不同的属结构,中间体积累的差异得到了强调。
    This investigation explored the potential of utilizing alkali-treated corn cob (CC) as a solid carbon source to improve NOX and SO2 removal from flue gas. Leaching experiments unveiled a hierarchy of chemical oxygen demand release capacity: 0.03 mol/L alkali-treated CC > 0.02 mol/L > 0.01 mol/L > 0.005 mol/L > control. In NOX and SO2 removal experiments, as the inlet NOX concentration rose from 300 to 1000 mg/m3, the average NOX removal efficiency increased from 58.56 % to 80.00 %. Conversely, SO2 removal efficiency decreased from 99.96 % to 91.05 %, but swiftly rebounded to 98.56 % by day 18. The accumulation of N intermediates (NH4+, NO3-, NO2-) increased with escalating inlet NOX concentration, while the accumulation of S intermediates (SO42-, SO32-, S0) varied based on shifts in the population of functional bacteria. The elevation in inlet NOX concentration stimulated the growth of denitrifying bacteria, enhancing NOX removal efficiency. Concurrently, the population of nitrate-reducing sulfur-oxidizing bacteria and sulfate-reducing bacteria expanded, aiding in the accumulation of S0 and the removal of SO2. The comparison experiments on carbon sources confirmed the comparable NOX and SO2 removal efficiencies of alkali-treated CC and glucose, yet underscored differences in intermediates accumulation due to distinct genus structures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    认知健康受损是各种残疾和疾病的主要原因。在过去的几十年中,空气污染急剧增加,并已被确定为认知健康受损的潜在风险因素。这项研究调查了空气污染物的影响,颗粒物(PM2.5,PM10),二氧化硫(SO2),和地面臭氧,全球认知健康。有关环境污染物和认知健康的数据来自PubMed,WebofScience,Scopus,谷歌学者。最初,在筛选重复项并应用纳入和排除标准后,确定了790篇文章,包括21项研究,并对数据进行合成以得到合并结果。总体结果显示,PM2.5暴露量的增加与认知能力下降呈正相关,并且与认知能力下降呈显著相关(OR1.49;95%CI1.11,1.99;p=0.01)。PM10导致认知障碍的风险(OR1.30;95%CI1.00-1.70,p=0.05),和SO2(OR1.39;95%CI1.27-1.51;p<0.01)暴露也显著增加。研究结果表明,颗粒物PM2.5,PM10和SO2的总体暴露与全球认知功能下降的风险增加有关。研究结果表明,降低空气污染物水平可能是减轻全球人群认知健康风险的战略方法。
    Impaired cognitive health is the leading cause of various disabilities and disorders. Air pollution has been dramatically increasing over the last few decades and has been identified as a potential risk factor for impaired cognitive health. This study investigates the effect of air pollutants, particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and ground-level ozone, on global cognitive health. The data on environmental pollutants and cognitive health were recorded from PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar. Initially, 790 articles were identified after screening for duplicates and applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 21 studies were included, and data was synthesized to get a pooled result. The overall results revealed that increased exposure to PM2.5 was positively and significantly associated with cognitive decline (OR 1.49; 95% CI 1.11, 1.99; p = 0.01). The risk of cognitive impairment due to PM10 (OR 1.30; 95% CI 1.00-1.70, p = 0.05), and SO2 (OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.27-1.51; p < 0.01) exposure were also significantly heightened. The study findings show that overall exposure to particulate matter PM2.5, PM10, and SO2 was associated with an increased risk of a decrease in global cognitive functions. The findings suggest that reducing levels of air pollutants could be a strategic approach to mitigate cognitive health risks in populations worldwide.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空气污染是儿童心理健康的环境风险,迄今为止,仅在城市地区观察到经过验证的关系。了解污染对农村环境的影响同样至关重要。本文的新颖之处在于研究空气污染与行为和发育障碍的关系,注意缺陷多动障碍(ADHD),焦虑,以及生活在农村地区的15岁以下儿童的饮食失调。该方法结合了时空模型,贝叶斯推理和成分数据(CoDa),这使得研究污染监测站很少的地区成为可能。接触二氧化氮(NO2),臭氧(O3)二氧化硫(SO2)与行为和发育障碍有关,焦虑与颗粒物(PM10)有关,O3和SO2,以及整体污染与ADHD和饮食失调有关。总而言之,像他们的城市同行一样,农村儿童还面临与空气污染有关的心理健康风险,以及时空模型的组合,贝叶斯推断和CoDa可以将心理健康问题与农村地区的污染物浓度联系起来,而监测站很少。某些限制仍然存在,与暴露于空气污染物的错误分类以及所使用的数据源中可用的协变量有关。
    Air pollution stands as an environmental risk to child mental health, with proven relationships hitherto observed only in urban areas. Understanding the impact of pollution in rural settings is equally crucial. The novelty of this article lies in the study of the relationship between air pollution and behavioural and developmental disorders, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), anxiety, and eating disorders in children below 15 living in a rural area. The methodology combines spatio-temporal models, Bayesian inference and Compositional Data (CoDa), that make it possible to study areas with few pollution monitoring stations. Exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), and sulphur dioxide (SO2) is related to behavioural and development disorders, anxiety is related to particulate matter (PM10), O3 and SO2, and overall pollution is associated to ADHD and eating disorders. To sum up, like their urban counterparts, rural children are also subject to mental health risks related to air pollution, and the combination of spatio-temporal models, Bayesian inference and CoDa make it possible to relate mental health problems to pollutant concentrations in rural settings with few monitoring stations. Certain limitations persist related to misclassification of exposure to air pollutants and to the covariables available in the data sources used.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    一些研究已经记录了短期暴露于大气二氧化硫(SO2)与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)之间的关系。然而,不同地区的调查结果各不相同。此荟萃分析采用随机效应模型来计算环境SO2浓度每增加10μg/m3的综合风险估计值。亚组分析旨在确定异质性的来源。为了评估潜在的偏见,研究使用世界卫生组织开发的基于领域的评估工具进行评估.敏感性分析,基于偏差风险,探讨了模型假设如何影响关联。使用证据确定性框架来评估总体证据质量。研究方案在PROSPERO(CRD42023446823)注册。我们彻底审查了191篇全文文章,最终在荟萃分析中包括15个。合并的COPD相对风险为1.26(95%CI0.94-1.70)每10-μg/m3环境SO2增加。由于对缺失数据的处理不当,11项研究被认为是高风险的。总体证据确定性被评为中等。鉴于SO2对公共卫生的重大影响,持续监测至关重要。未来的研究应包括非洲和大洋洲国家,以增进全球对大气中SO2相关健康问题的了解。
    Several studies have documented a relationship between short-term exposure to atmospheric sulfur dioxide (SO2) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, findings vary across different regions. This meta-analysis employed a random-effects model to calculate the combined risk estimate for each 10-μg/m3 increase in ambient SO2 concentration. Subgroup analysis aimed to identify sources of heterogeneity. To assess potential bias, studies were evaluated using a domain-based assessment tool developed by the World Health Organization. Sensitivity analyses, based on bias risk, explored how model assumptions influenced associations. An evidence certainty framework was used to evaluate overall evidence quality. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023446823). We thoroughly reviewed 191 full-text articles, ultimately including 15 in the meta-analysis. The pooled relative risk for COPD was 1.26 (95 % CI 0.94-1.70) per 10-μg/m3 increase in ambient SO2. Eleven studies were deemed high risk due to inadequate handling of missing data. Overall evidence certainty was rated as medium. Given SO2\'s significant public health implications, continuous monitoring is crucial. Future research should include countries in Africa and Oceania to enhance global understanding of atmospheric SO2-related health issues.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    钢铁工业(ISI)是中国二氧化硫和颗粒物污染的重要来源。现有关于区域环境规制或ISI减排策略的研究往往忽略了溢出效应和企业视角。在供暖季节,ISI的生产限制是中国京津冀及周边地区重污染城市实现结构性减排的潜在政策措施。我们采用自下而上的建模方法,结合有效生产时间描述企业行为,建立基于贸易理论的定量贸易模型。通过对政策文件中概述的三种生产限制政策进行建模,以京津冀地区大气污染传输通道钢铁生产企业有效生产时间减少为例,评价了结构调整措施的减排效果。结果表明:(1)减少ISI企业的有效生产时间有助于降低污染密集型行业的国内产值和全要素生产率。包括但不限于ISI。它还导致实施区域中各种污染物的排放减少。(2)由于省际贸易和投入产出联系,某些地区的结构性削减措施对几乎所有其他省份的产业结构都有影响。初始产业结构的差异,要素禀赋,和地理位置导致产业结构变化的方向和幅度不同。在欠发达地区,污染密集型产业的份额往往会增加。(3)与使用自上而下策略评估类似地区清洁空气政策的文献相比,我们估计的污染减少量较小。之所以出现这种差异,是因为我们分析了单一的政策工具,而不是自上而下对整个行业的排放波动进行建模。此外,我们的建模方法使我们能够检查比较优势的动态变化。受政策影响地区某些行业生产规模的增加部分抵消了污染排放量的下降。这些发现增强了我们对结构调整减少措施的作用的理解,并突出了其潜在的优势和局限性。
    The iron and steel industry (ISI) is a significant source of sulfur dioxide and particulate matter pollution in China. Existing research on regional environmental regulation or ISI emission reduction strategies tends to overlook spillover effects and the enterprise perspective. During the heating season, production limitations in ISI are potential policy measures for achieving structural emission reductions in heavily polluted cities in China\'s Jing-Jin-Ji and surrounding regions. We adopt a bottom-up modeling approach, incorporating effective production time to describe enterprise behavior and establishing a quantitative trade model based on trade theory. By modeling three types of production restriction policies outlined in policy documents, we evaluate the emission reduction effects of structure-adjustment measures using the example of reduced effective production time for steel-producing enterprises in the air pollution transmission channel in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area. The results indicate the following: (1) Reducing the effective production time of ISI enterprises can help decrease domestic production value and total factor productivity in pollution-intensive industries, including but not limited to ISI. It also leads to reduced emissions of various pollutants in the implementation regions. (2) Due to interprovincial trade and input-output linkages, structural reduction measures in certain regions have implications for almost all other provinces\' industrial structures. Differences in initial industrial structures, factor endowments, and geographical locations contribute to varying directions and magnitudes of industrial structural changes. Pollution-intensive industries\' share tends to increase higher in less developed regions. (3) Our estimated pollution reduction is smaller compared to the literature evaluating clean air policies in similar regions using top-down strategies. This discrepancy arises because we analyze a single policy tool rather than modeling industry-wide emission fluctuations from the top down. Additionally, our modeling approach allows us to examine dynamic changes in comparative advantages. The increase in production scale for certain industries in policy-affected regions partially offsets the decline in pollution emissions. These findings enhance our understanding of structure-adjustment reduction measures\' role and highlight their potential advantages and limitations.
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