Storm surge

风暴潮
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在中国莱州湾以南修建了堤坝,以控制风暴潮灾害,但是它们不足以取代沿海森林来保护土地。这项研究旨在评估堤坝对以Tamarixaustromongolica为主的天然林的影响,并测试大坝-灌木系统是否是优选的更新防御。
    两个典型平地上的沿海森林,一个在堤坝之前,一个在堤坝之后,使用四边形和线条进行了调查。土地意识,评估了植被组成和物种共现;评估了T.austromongolica种群的结构;并使用Ripley的K和K1,2函数分析了种群的空间格局。
    在堤坝之前的区域,84.8%的乌山毛是幼体(基础直径≤3厘米),15.2%是成年人(基础直径>3厘米);在水坝后面,青少年占52.9%,47.1是成年人。在大坝之前的区域,土地覆盖率为13.7%,发生了四个物种,他们都准备与T.austromongolica合作;在水坝后面,土地覆盖率为0%,发生了16种,而它们在一定程度上抵制了与T.austromongolica的共同发生。在大坝之前的区域,乌斯托蒙golica种群聚集在异质斑块中,青少年倾向于与成年人共同出现;在水坝后面,它们过度分散,几乎均匀分布,而青少年可以招募,并且主要独立于成年人。这些结果表明,乌斯托蒙golica物种没有受到非自然水坝的影响,但在人口扩张和发展中受益。总的来说,T.austromongolica物种可以适应人工堤坝,以创建抵御风暴潮的综合防御。
    UNASSIGNED: Embankment dams were built south of the Laizhou bay in China for controlling storm surge disasters, but they are not enough to replace coastal forests in protecting the land. This study was designed to evaluate the effects of embankment dams on natural forests dominated by Tamarix austromongolica and test whether the dam-shrub system is a preferable updated defense.
    UNASSIGNED: Coastal forests on two typical flats, one before and one behind embankment dams, were investigated using quadrats and lines. Land bareness, vegetation composition and species co-occurrence were assessed; structures of T. austromongolica populations were evaluated; and spatial patterns of the populations were analyzed using Ripley\'s K and K1,2 functions.
    UNASSIGNED: In the area before embankment dams, 84.8% of T. austromongolica were juveniles (basal diameter ≤ 3 cm), and 15.2% were adults (basal diameter > 3 cm); behind the dams, 52.9% were juveniles, and 47.1 were adults. In the area before the dams, the land bareness was 13.7%, four species occurred, and they all were ready to co-occur with T. austromongolica; behind the dams, the land bareness was 0%, and 16 species occurred whereas they somewhat resisted co-occurrence with T. austromongolica. In the area before the dams, the T. austromongolica population was aggregated in heterogeneous patches, and the juveniles tended to co-occur with the adults; behind the dams, they were over-dispersed as nearly uniform distributions, while the juveniles could recruit and were primarily independent of the adults. These results indicate that the T. austromongolica species did not suffer from the unnatural dams, but benefited somehow in population expansion and development. Overall, the T. austromongolica species can adapt to artificial embankment dams to create a synthetic defense against storm surges.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在潮间带建立生态系统缓冲区,比如海草草甸,作为减轻风暴驱动的海岸侵蚀的基于自然的解决方案,已经获得了越来越多的关注。本研究提出了使用集成模型框架确定种植海草以减少海岸侵蚀的有效性和策略的假设情景。该框架包括两个级别的仿真包。第一层是区域尺度的耦合水动力模型,它模拟特定风暴的过程,并为形态动力学模型XBeach提供边界力,以在下一层应用,模拟近岸形态演化.该框架适用于北海德国湾的Norderney开放海岸。我们证明,优化海草草甸的位置和大小对于提高减轻陆上沉积物侵蚀的效率至关重要。对于特定的深度范围,根据风暴的强度,通过在允许最大草甸大小的深度开始草甸,可能无法实现最显着的侵蚀减少。保持显著的海岸保护效果,应同时考虑海草密度和茎高,与未受保护的海岸相比,确保侵蚀减少至少80%。这项研究为海草移植作为基于自然的解决方案的设计和实施提供了有价值的见解,强调考虑位置的重要性,尺寸,密度,使用海草草甸进行海岸保护时的茎高度。
    Creating ecosystem buffers in intertidal zones, such as seagrass meadows, has gained increasing attention as a nature-based solution for mitigating storm-driven coastal erosion. This study presents what-if scenarios using an integrated model framework to determine the effectiveness and strategies for planting seagrass to reduce coastal erosion. The framework comprises two levels of simulation packages. The first level is a regional-scale coupled hydrodynamic model that simulates the processes of a specific storm and provides boundary forces for the morphodynamic model XBeach to apply at the next level, which simulates nearshore morphological evolution. The framework is applied to the open coast of Norderney in the German Bight of the North Sea. We demonstrate that optimising the location and size of seagrass meadows is crucial to increase the efficiency of onshore sediment erosion mitigation. For a specific depth range, depending on the storm\'s intensity, the most significant reduction in erosion may not be achieved by starting the meadow at the depth that permits the largest meadow size. To maintain a significant coastal protection effect, seagrass density and stem height should be considered together, ensuring erosion reduction by at least 80 % compared to the unprotected coast. This study provides valuable insights for the design and implementation of seagrass transplantation as a nature-based solution, highlighting the importance of considering location, size, density, and stem height when using seagrass meadows for coastal protection.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    沿海防洪堤在保护沿海地区免受风暴潮和高浪影响方面发挥着作用,它们为淹没损伤模拟提供了重要的输入信息。然而,具有均匀性和足够准确的淹没模拟的沿海堤防数据并不总是很好地发展。在这种背景下,本研究提出了一种通过输入高空间分辨率光学卫星图像产品(RGB图像,数字表面模型(DSM),和可以从DSM图像生成的斜坡图像),在模拟所需的位置和时间具有高数据可用性,深度学习模型。该模型基于U-Net,并引入了噪声去除的后处理,以进一步提高其精度。我们还提出了一种方法,通过为提取的堤坝像素提供DSM值来使用局部最大值滤波器计算堤坝高度。验证是在日本茨城县的沿海地区作为测试区域进行的。通过将这些数据与卫星图像和Google街景视图相结合,手动创建了用于训练的堤防掩模图像,因为茨城县政府创建的堤防GIS数据在某些部分不完整。首先,对深度学习模型进行了比较和评估,结果表明,U-Net在识别堤防方面比Pix2Pix和BBS-Net更准确。接下来,对输入图像的三种情况进行了评估:(情况1)仅RGB图像,(案例2)RGB和DSM图像,和(情况3)RGB,DSM,和斜坡图像。案例3被发现是最准确的,平均马修斯相关系数为0.674。还证明了噪声去除后处理的有效性。此外,提出了一个堤防高度计算实例,并对其有效性进行了评估。总之,这种方法被证明是有效的提取沿海堤防。评估泛化性和在实际淹没模拟中的使用是未来的任务。
    Coastal levees play a role in protecting coastal areas from storm surges and high waves, and they provide important input information for inundation damage simulations. However, coastal levee data with uniformity and sufficient accuracy for inundation simulations are not always well developed. Against this background, this study proposed a method to extract coastal levees by inputting high spatial resolution optical satellite image products (RGB images, digital surface models (DSMs), and slope images that can be generated from DSM images), which have high data availability at the locations and times required for simulation, into a deep learning model. The model is based on U-Net, and post-processing for noise removal was introduced to further improve its accuracy. We also proposed a method to calculate levee height using a local maximum filter by giving DSM values to the extracted levee pixels. The validation was conducted in the coastal area of Ibaraki Prefecture in Japan as a test area. The levee mask images for training were manually created by combining these data with satellite images and Google Street View, because the levee GIS data created by the Ibaraki Prefectural Government were incomplete in some parts. First, the deep learning models were compared and evaluated, and it was shown that U-Net was more accurate than Pix2Pix and BBS-Net in identifying levees. Next, three cases of input images were evaluated: (Case 1) RGB image only, (Case 2) RGB and DSM images, and (Case 3) RGB, DSM, and slope images. Case 3 was found to be the most accurate, with an average Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.674. The effectiveness of noise removal post-processing was also demonstrated. In addition, an example of the calculation of levee heights was presented and evaluated for validity. In conclusion, this method was shown to be effective in extracting coastal levees. The evaluation of generalizability and use in actual inundation simulations are future tasks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化改变了气候条件和海洋环境,导致加速的海岸侵蚀和海岸线形状的转变。从以前的研究来看,东南亚沿海地区正遭受严重的海岸侵蚀。它对气候变化最敏感和脆弱,拥有广阔而人口稠密的海岸线,并承受着生态压力。尽管对与海岸侵蚀有关的气候变化进行了许多研究,但系统审查这些研究的努力仍然不足。海岸侵蚀与海岸群落之间的相关性,以及解决这些问题的适应性措施及其在东南亚的有效性。因此,通过分析现有文献,这次审查的目的是弥合知识差距,并确定气候变化和东南亚海岸侵蚀之间的联系,在海平面上升方面,风暴潮,和季风模式。系统证据综合(ROSES)的修复标准指导了研究方案,包括来自Scopus和Dimension数据库的文章。考虑了五个主要主题:1)气候变化影响,2)海岸侵蚀的影响因素,3)海岸侵蚀对沿海社区的影响,4)适应措施和5)适应措施的有效性使用语法分析。随后,从主题中产生了九个子主题。一般来说,在东南亚,海平面上升反映了海岸侵蚀。回顾过去的文献,探索了一个有趣的结果。由于气候变化导致大气系统和季节性季风的变化,风暴潮也有可能影响海岸侵蚀。同时,需要根据相对的水动力趋势评估当前的侵蚀控制策略,以避免防御结构的失败以及由此对沿海社区的危险。系统地回顾现有的文献是至关重要的,因此,它可以大大有助于知识的身体。它为感兴趣的各方提供有价值的信息,如当局,公众,研究人员,和环保主义者,同时理解现有的适应实践。这种审查可以根据沿海社区的需求制定适应和自然资源管理战略,能力,以及应对环境和其他变化形式的能力。
    Climate change alters the climate condition and ocean environment, leading to accelerated coastal erosion and a shift in the coastline shape. From previous studies, Southeast Asia\'s coastal region is suffering from severe coastal erosion. It is most sensitive and vulnerable to climate change, has broad and densely populated coastlines, and is under ecological pressure. Efforts to systematically review these studies are still insufficient despite many studies on the climate change linked to coastal erosion, the correlation between coastal erosion and coastal communities, and the adaptative measures to address these issues and their effectiveness in Southeast Asia. Therefore, by analyzing the existing literature, the purpose of this review was to bridge the knowledge gap and identify the link between climate change and coastal erosion in Southeast Asia in terms of sea-level rise, storm surge, and monsoon patterns. The RepOrting standards for Systematic Evidence Syntheses (ROSES) guided the study protocol, including articles from the Scopus and Dimension databases. There were five main themes considered: 1) climate change impact, 2) contributing factors to coastal erosion, 3) coastal erosion impact on coastal communities, 4) adaptation measure and 5) effectiveness of adaptation measure using thematical analysis. Subsequently, nine sub-themes were produced from the themes. Generally, in Southeast Asia, coastal erosion was reflected by the rising sea level. Throughout reviewing past literature, an interesting result was explored. Storm surges also had the potential to affect coastal erosion due to alterations of the atmospheric system and seasonal monsoon as the result of climate change. Meanwhile, an assessment of current erosion control strategies in relation to the relative hydrodynamic trend was required to avoid the failure of defence structures and the resulting danger to coastal communities. Systematically reviewing the existing literature was critical, hence it could significantly contribute to the body of knowledge. It provides valuable information for interested parties, such as authorities, the public, researchers, and environmentalists, while comprehending existing adaptation practices. This kind of review could strategize adaptation and natural resource management in line with coastal communities\' needs, abilities, and capabilities in response to environmental and other change forms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化引起的风暴潮事件的增加加剧了对沿海地区海水淹没的不利影响。准确描述水位曲线对于理解风暴潮引起的盐水入侵(SWI)过程至关重要。大多数研究涉及经验激增作为地下水模型的输入,通常简化时空海水淹没过程,这可能会增加垂直海水入侵的不确定性。为了解决这个差距,我们使用风暴潮模型ADCIRC和数值模拟器HydroGeoSphere采用综合建模方法来揭示沿海农场历史风暴潮事件期间的SWI动态。考虑不同的潮涌阶段和台风强度。我们的发现表明,即使在风暴潮期间始终处于最高水位,SWI也会出现明显的变化,视先前的潮汐过程而定。台风每小时登陆的时间产生了不同的水位曲线,改变SWI的功能。有趣的是,SWI在涨潮后加剧,平均盐度高31.2%,强调潮汐水平对SWI的深远调制作用。局部地形显着影响SWI动力学。池塘,例如,保持升高的盐度水平超过15小时,表明比道路更长时间暴露于盐度。这些发现强调了在理解和减轻沿海农业管理中的SWI时,同时考虑潮汐影响和地形因素的重要性。
    The increase in storm surge events caused by climate change exacerbates adverse effects on seawater inundation in coastal areas. An accurate description of the water level curve is crucial for understanding the process of saltwater intrusion (SWI) resulting from storm surge. Most studies involving empirical surges as inputs to groundwater models, often simplify spatial and temporal seawater inundation processes, which may increase the uncertainty in vertical seawater intrusion. To address this gap, we employed a comprehensive modeling approach using storm surge model ADCIRC and numerical simulator HydroGeoSphere to reveal SWI dynamics during a historical storm surge event in a coastal farm, considering varying tidal-surge phases and typhoon intensities. Our findings indicate pronounced SWI variations even with consistently highest water level during a storm surge, contingent on prior tidal processes. The timing of typhoon landfall on an hourly scale yielded diverse water level curves, altering the function of SWI. Intriguingly, SWI exacerbates following a high tide with 31.2 % average salinity higher, highlighting the profound modulation effect of tidal levels on SWI. Local topography significantly influenced SWI dynamics. Ponds, for instance, retained elevated salinity levels for over 15 h, indicating a more prolonged exposure to salinity than roads. These findings underscore the importance of considering both tidal influences and topographical factors in understanding and mitigating SWI in coastal agricultural management.
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  • 文章类型: Review
    背景:海洋大型藻类(\'海藻\')是一组多样化且全球分布的光合生物,它们共同产生可观的初级生产力,为其他生物提供一系列不同的栖息地,并贡献许多重要的生态系统功能和服务。由于人为对海洋系统的持续压力,许多大型藻类物种和栖息地面临着不确定的未来,冒着对全球生产力和生态系统服务提供的重要贡献的风险。
    方法:在简要考虑了海洋大型藻类的显着分类和生态分布之后,我们回顾了人为诱发的应激源组合所带来的威胁如何影响海藻物种和群落。从那里,我们强调了进一步研究探索的五个关键途径(长期监测,功能性状的使用,专注于早期个体发育,生物相互作用,以及海洋凋落物对沿海植被的影响)。
    结论:尽管陆生维管植物对人为应激源造成的许多威胁的反应有相当大的相似之处,我们注意到一些(例如,栖息地丧失)在海洋中的感受比在陆地上的感受要少得多。然而,和陆地植物群落一样,气候变化的影响将不可避免地成为对海藻物种未来持续存在的最有害威胁,社区,和服务提供。虽然了解巨藻对同时环境压力源的反应不可避免地是一项复杂的练习,我们试图强调与地面系统的协同作用,并提供了五个未来的研究重点,以阐明一些重要的趋势和应对机制,可能会为这个目标做出一些小小的贡献。
    BACKGROUND: Marine macroalgae (\'seaweeds\') are a diverse and globally distributed group of photosynthetic organisms that together generate considerable primary productivity, provide an array of different habitats for other organisms, and contribute many important ecosystem functions and services. As a result of continued anthropogenic stress on marine systems, many macroalgal species and habitats face an uncertain future, risking their vital contribution to global productivity and ecosystem service provision.
    METHODS: After briefly considering the remarkable taxonomy and ecological distribution of marine macroalgae, we review how the threats posed by a combination of anthropogenically induced stressors affect seaweed species and communities. From there we highlight five critical avenues for further research to explore (long-term monitoring, use of functional traits, focus on early ontogeny, biotic interactions and impact of marine litter on coastal vegetation).
    CONCLUSIONS: Although there are considerable parallels with terrestrial vascular plant responses to the many threats posed by anthropogenic stressors, we note that the impacts of some (e.g. habitat loss) are much less keenly felt in the oceans than on land. Nevertheless, and in common with terrestrial plant communities, the impact of climate change will inevitably be the most pernicious threat to the future persistence of seaweed species, communities and service provision. While understanding macroalgal responses to simultaneous environmental stressors is inevitably a complex exercise, our attempt to highlight synergies with terrestrial systems, and provide five future research priorities to elucidate some of the important trends and mechanisms of response, may yet offer some small contribution to this goal.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    沿海地区至关重要,因为它们在促进广泛的社会经济活动和提供重要的环境服务方面发挥着关键作用。这些地区,作为陆地和海洋的交汇点,由于气候变化导致的海平面持续上升,面临洪水的巨大风险。此外,他们将来容易受到国王潮汐和大浪等极端事件的影响。本文介绍了一个框架,该框架通过考虑RCP8.5下气候变暖导致的区域海平面上升(RSLR)的影响来估算极端总水位(TWL)。它还包含了涨潮的贡献,100年的风暴潮,以及100年的浪潮设置和启动。拟议的框架用于评估伊朗波斯湾沿岸极端沿海洪水的发生,这个国家拥有重要工业的地区。考虑到气候模型预测的集合,结果表明从2020年到2050年,RSLR估计增加0.23m。极端波设置值估计在0.19至0.66m之间,而整个海岸线的风暴潮预计将在0.4至1.44m之间变化。这些共同产生了沿海岸线在当前海平面以上3.18和3.90m范围内的预计极端TWL。海平面的大幅上升可能导致约513平方公里的低洼沿海土地被淹没,约占研究领域的16%,并可能对该地区的人民及其资产构成严重的洪水威胁。最后,洪泛区的相对排名(即,6个区域)有助于确定洪水暴露机会较高的区域,应优先考虑减灾措施的投资。
    Coastal areas are of paramount importance due to their pivotal role in facilitating a wide range of socio-economic activities and providing vital environmental services. These areas, as the meeting points of land and sea, face significant risks of flooding due to the ongoing rise in sea levels caused by climate change. Additionally, they are susceptible to extreme events like king tides and large waves in the future. This paper introduces a framework for estimating the extreme total water level (TWL) by considering the effects of regional sea level rise (RSLR) resulting from a warming climate under RCP 8.5. It also incorporates the contributions of high tides, 100-year storm surge, and 100-year wave setup and run-up. The proposed framework is utilized to evaluate the occurrence of extreme coastal flooding along the Persian Gulf coast of Iran, an area that is home to significant industries in the country. The results offer an estimated increase of RSLR by 0.23 m from 2020 to 2050 considering an ensemble of climate model projections. Extreme wave setup values are estimated to range between 0.19 and 0.66 m, while storm surge is projected to vary from 0.4 to 1.44 m across the studied coastline. These together yield in a projected extreme TWL along the coastline within the range of 3.18 and 3.90 m above the current sea level. This significant increase in sea level could lead to the inundation of approximately 513 km2 of low-lying coastal land, which accounts for about 16% of the studied domain and could pose serious flooding threat to the people and their assets in this region. Finally, relative ranking of flooded zones (i.e., 6 zones) helps determine the areas with higher chance of flood exposure, at which investment in flood mitigation measures should be prioritized.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    海平面上升(SLR)是对沿海湿地的最重要的气候变化相关威胁。通过沼泽迁移推动沿海地区的重大转型。沼泽迁移引起的景观变化表现为土地覆盖和海拔的水平和垂直变化,分别。这些过程将对尚待探索的盐沼波衰减产生影响。这项研究是对气候变化背景下植被的空间分布波衰减的综合分析。我们的结果表明:i)盐沼覆盖率的变化对洪水的衰减几乎没有影响,而ii)海拔变化可以显着减少洪水范围和水深;iii)陆上波浪高度直接受到沼泽迁移的影响,虽然iv)由海拔高度变化驱动的水深衰减的水深限制效应间接衰减;v)在沼泽边缘附近,盐沼吸积对波衰减的影响很大程度上是明显的,在那里,升高的高度可以通过波浪破碎来驱动主要的波浪能量损失。最后,vi)考虑SLR之间的协同作用,沼泽迁移,与仅考虑SLR和/或水平沼泽迁移的良好效应相比,海拔变化导致的波衰减明显更多,因此应在未来的研究中采用。
    Sea level rise (SLR) is the most significant climate change-related threat to coastal wetlands, driving major transformations in coastal regions through marsh migration. Landscape transformations due to marsh migration are manifested in terms of horizontal and vertical changes in land cover and elevation, respectively. These processes will have an impact on saltmarsh wave attenuation that is yet to be explored. This study stands as a comprehensive analysis of spatially distributed wave attenuation by vegetation in the context of a changing climate. Our results show that: i) changes in saltmarsh cover have little to no effect on the attenuation of floods, while ii) changes in elevation can significantly reduce flood extents and water depths; iii) overland wave heights are directly influenced by marsh migration, although iv) being indirectly attenuated by the water depth limiting effects of water depth attenuation driven by changes in elevation; v) the influence of saltmarsh accretion on wave attenuation is largely evident near the marsh edge, where the increasing elevations can drive major wave energy losses via wave breaking. Lastly, vi) considering the synergy between SLR, marsh migration, and changes in elevation results in significantly more wave attenuation than considering the eustatic effects of SLR and/or horizontal marsh migration alone, and therefore should be adopted in future studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    已进行了综合水文和水动力模型研究,以调查飓风对Woonasquatucket河的影响,罗德岛,美国。以2010年暴雨事件为例进行了模型模拟。水文模型模拟了暴雨的径流,而河流水动力模型模拟受上游降雨径流和下游风暴潮相互作用影响的洪水波。结果表明,上游河流洪水以降雨径流为主,但主要受河口附近下游河流地区的风暴潮影响。
    Integrated hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling study has been conducted to investigate hurricane impact on Woonasquatucket River, Rhode Island, USA. Model simulation was conducted for the case study of 2010 storm event. The hydrological model simulates the runoff from the heavy rainstorm, while the river hydrodynamic model simulates the flood waves affected by the interactions of upstream rainfall runoff and downstream storm surge. Results indicate that the river floods was dominant by rainfall runoff in upper river reaches, but dominant by storm surge in the lower river area near the estuary.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于上游流量和潮汐之间的相互作用,台风引起的风暴潮过程与其他沿海地区有很大不同。调查驱动因素的贡献对于加深对潮段风暴潮的理解至关重要。在这项研究中,首先建立了水文-水动力风暴潮耦合模型,以探索在三个影响最大的台风事件期间马口-大横琴潮汐范围风暴潮的主要驱动因素(Hagupit,Hato和Mangkhut)。之后,集成了机器学习方法,以评估响应风暴潮的水位。风暴潮的驱动因素被分解为远程强迫(上游排放,天文潮汐)和直接局部强迫(风应力,大气压)。偏远强迫的相对贡献在河口附近最高。在距河口40-80公里的区域中,局部强迫对水位的相对贡献更高。局部强迫的最大影响期约为48小时,而远程强迫的相对贡献在这一时期前后都在增加。在Hagupit期间,局部强迫引起的浪涌在上游最高,虽然它在更强大的台风期间在河口口引起极端的浪涌(Hato,Mangkhut)。最大水位和远程强迫引起的最大浪涌总是出现在上游。然而,当本地和远程强制处于同一阶段时,在哈托期间,最大的风暴潮出现在下游。如果本地和远程强制处于同一阶段,最高水位将放大15.04%,黑格比期间的36.23%和40.68%,Hato和Mangkhut,分别。此外,远程强迫比本地强迫对峰值水位的放大贡献更大,占68.5%至100%。
    Due to the interaction between upstream discharge and astronomical tides in tidal reaches, the typhoon-induced storm surge processes are quite different from that in other coastal regions. Investigating the contributions of driving factors is essential to deepen the understanding of storm surges in tidal reaches. In this study, a coupled hydrological-hydrodynamic storm surge model is first developed to explore the main driving factors of storm surges in Makou-Dahengqin tidal reach during the three most influential typhoon events (Hagupit, Hato and Mangkhut). After that, the machine learning method is integrated to assess the water level in response to storm surges. The driving factors of storm surge are decomposed into remote forcing (upstream discharge, astronomical tide) and direct local forcing (wind stress, atmospheric pressure). The relative contributions of remote forcing are the highest near the estuary mouth. The relative contributions of local forcing to water levels are higher in the sections 40-80 km away from the estuary mouth. The most impacting period of the local forcing is about 48 h, while the relative contributions of remote forcing increase before and after the period. The local forcing-induced surges are highest at the upper reach during Hagupit, while it causes extreme surges at the estuary mouth during more powerful typhoons (Hato, Mangkhut). The maximum water levels and remote forcing-induced maximum surges invariably appear at the upper reach. However, when local and remote forcings are in the same phase, the maximum storm surge appears in the lower reaches during Hato. If local and remote forcings are in the same phase, the peak water levels would be amplified by up to 15.04 %, 36.23 % and 40.68 % during Hagupit, Hato and Mangkhut, respectively. Moreover, Remote forcing contributes more to the amplification of peak water levels than local forcing does, accounting for 68.5 % to 100 %.
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