背景:虽然心血管疾病(CVD)之间的关系,压力,财务压力得到了很好的研究,衰退期和宏观经济状况与疾病特异性CVD急诊科(ED)就诊发生率之间的关联尚不明确.
目的:这项回顾性观察性研究旨在评估宏观经济趋势与CVDED访视之间的关系。
方法:本研究使用来自国家医院门诊护理调查(NHAMCS)的数据,美联储经济数据库(FRED)国家经济研究局(NBER),1999年至2020年,美国国家生命统计(NVS)和医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心(CMS)的CVD分组,以分析与宏观经济指标和NBER定义的衰退和扩张相关的ED访问。
结果:从1999年到2020年,CVDED的访问量增长了79.7%,大大超过了ED的总访问量(27.8%,p<0.001)。全国估计有2.132亿CVDED就诊,分析了经济衰退期间2290万人次的访问量。还分析了次要组,包括每次衰退之前和之后的6个月(定义为“扩大的衰退”),以解释衰退的潜在领先和滞后影响。累计访问量为500万人次。与心力衰竭(HF)和其他急性缺血性心脏病(IHD)相关的CVDED访问的比例显着升高在衰退期间,无论是直接还是6个月的领先和滞后(p<0.05)。在衰退期,主动脉瘤和夹层(AAA)和动脉粥样硬化(ASVD)ED就诊的比例显着升高(p=0.024),并有6个月的领先和滞后。当控制常见的人口因素时,经济衰退的经济近似值,如CPI,联邦基金利率,实际可支配收入与CVDED访视增加显著相关.
结论:宏观经济趋势与CVDED就诊的整体组合有显著的关系,代表着对健康的社会决定因素研究不足。
While the relationships between cardiovascular disease (CVD), stress, and financial strain are well studied, the association between recessionary periods and macroeconomic conditions on incidence of disease-specific CVD emergency department (ED) visits is not well established.
This retrospective observational study aimed to assess the relationship between macroeconomic trends and CVD ED visits.
This study uses data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Care Survey (NHAMCS), Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), and CVD groupings from National Vital Statistics (NVS) and Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) from 1999 to 2020 to analyze ED visits in relation to macroeconomic indicators and NBER defined recessions and expansions.
CVD ED visits grew by 79.7% from 1999 to 2020, significantly more than total ED visits (27.8%, p < 0.001). A national estimate of 213.2 million CVD ED visits, with 22.9 million visits in economic recessions were analyzed. A secondary group including a 6-month period before and after each recession (defined as a \"broadened recession\") was also analyzed to account for potential leading and lagging effects of the recession, with a total of 50.0 million visits. A significantly higher proportion of CVD ED visits related to heart failure (HF) and other acute ischemic heart diseases (IHD) was observed during recessionary time periods both directly and with a 6-month lead and lag (p < 0.05). The proportion of aortic aneurysm and dissection (AAA) and atherosclerosis (ASVD) ED visits was significantly higher (p = 0.024) in the recession period with a 6-month lead and lag. When controlled for common demographic factors, economic approximations of recession such as the CPI, federal funds rate, and real disposable income were significantly associated with increased CVD ED visits.
Macroeconomic trends have a significant relationship with the overall mix of CVD ED visits and represent an understudied social determinant of health.