Shock index

冲击指数
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:纤维蛋白原水平降低与创伤出血患者预后较差相关。这项研究的目的是评估院前休克指数(SI)及其衍生物的潜力,年龄冲击指数(aSI)和修正冲击指数(mSI),作为创伤患者低纤维蛋白原血症的预测因子。
    方法:这项回顾性研究纳入了2383例患者,这些患者就诊于某地区创伤中心。我们回顾了进入创伤中心后的血浆纤维蛋白原水平,将患者分为两组:低纤维蛋白原血症组和正常组。SI的预测性能,aSI,通过受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)评估mSI。
    结果:在2383名患者中,235(9.9%)患有低纤维蛋白原血症。与纤维蛋白原水平正常的患者相比,低纤维蛋白原血症患者在4小时内更有可能接受输血,并且住院死亡率明显更高。院前SI的AUC,院前ASI,预测低纤维蛋白原血症的院前mSI为0.75(95%置信区间[CI]0.73-0.77),0.70(95%CI0.68-0.72),和0.75(95%CI0.73-0.77),分别。
    结论:院前SI和院前mSI在识别低纤维蛋白原血症的创伤患者方面表现中等。院前aSI的预测性能较差。在院前环境中,不建议在创伤患者中使用院前SI或院前mSI作为低纤维蛋白原血症的唯一预测因子.
    OBJECTIVE: Reduced fibrinogen levels are associated with worse outcomes in bleeding trauma patients. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential of the prehospital shock index (SI) and its derivatives, the age shock index (aSI) and the modified shock index (mSI), as predictors of hypofibrinogenaemia in trauma patients.
    METHODS: This retrospective study included 2383 patients who presented to a regional trauma center. We reviewed the plasma fibrinogen levels upon admission to the trauma center and patients were divided into two groups: the hypofibrinogenaemia group and the normal group. The predictive performances of the SI, aSI, and mSI were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
    RESULTS: Of the 2383 patients, 235 (9.9%) had hypofibrinogenaemia. Patients with hypofibrinogenaemia were more likely to receive transfusions within 4 h and had significantly greater in-hospital mortality than patients with normal fibrinogen levels. The AUCs of prehospital SI, prehospital aSI, and prehospital mSI for the prediction of hypofibrinogenaemia were 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.77), 0.70 (95% CI 0.68-0.72), and 0.75 (95% CI 0.73-0.77), respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital SI and prehospital mSI demonstrated moderate performance for identifying trauma patients with hypofibrinogenaemia. The prehospital aSI had poor predictive performance. In the prehospital setting, the use of prehospital SI or prehospital mSI as the sole predictor of hypofibrinogenaemia in trauma patients is not recommended.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:确定已发表的关于感染性休克或严重脓毒症患者休克指数(SI)的研究,并描述其主要发现和结论。
    方法:根据PRISMA方案的建议对文献进行系统审查(系统审查和荟萃分析的首选报告项目)。
    方法:查阅了以下数据库:Pubmed,Embase,图书馆Cochrane和紫丁香。
    方法:14岁以上脓毒性休克患者。孕妇和COVID-19人群被排除在外。
    方法:研究报告了休克指数或其修饰变体的测量。
    方法:用集中趋势和离散度测量来评估绝对频率和相对频率。效果估计器(OR,根据每个研究的背景提取RR和HR)。
    结果:包括17篇文章,其中11人调查了SI作为死亡率的预测指标。当比较幸存者与非幸存者时,其中7人发现SI存在显着差异,并观察到SI演变与临床结果之间的关系。其他研究证明了改良的休克指数与心肌抑制之间的关系,以及死亡率。此外,他们确定了舒张休克指数之间的关系,多巴酚丁胺的给药剂量,和死亡率。
    结论:结果表明,SI及其修改版本,特别是在系列评估中,可用于评估患者的预后。SI还可以帮助确定患者的流体管理。
    OBJECTIVE: To identify published research on the Shock Index (SI) in patients with septic shock or severe sepsis and to describe its main findings and conclusions.
    METHODS: Systematic review of the literature following the recommendations of the PRISMA protocol (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses).
    METHODS: The following databases were consulted: Pubmed, Embase, Library Cochrane and Lilacs.
    METHODS: Patients older than 14 years with septic shock. Pregnant women and population with COVID-19 were excluded.
    METHODS: Studies reporting measurement of the shock index or its modified variants.
    METHODS: Absolute frequencies and relative frequencies were assessed with measures of central tendency and dispersion. Effect estimators (OR, RR and HR) were extracted according to the context of each study.
    RESULTS: Seventeen articles were included, of which 11 investigated the SI as a predictor of mortality. Seven of them found significant differences in the SI when comparing survivors to non-survivors and observed a relationship between the SI evolution and clinical outcomes. Additional research evidenced a relation between the Modified Shock Index and myocardial depression, as well as mortality. Furthermore, they identified a relationship between the Diastolic Shock Index, the dose of administered dobutamine, and mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that both the SI and its modified versions, particularly in serial assessments, can be considered for evaluating patient prognosis. The SI can also aid in determining fluid management for patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究旨在评估11种基于生命体征的早期预警评分(EWS)和3种休克指数在急诊科(ED)早期脓毒症预测中的判别性能。
    方法:我们在香港的公共ED中对连续感染超过3个月的成年患者进行了回顾性研究。主要结果是ED出现48小时内的脓毒症(脓毒症-3定义)。使用c统计量和DeLong检验,我们比较了11个EWS,包括国家预警评分2(NEWS2),修改后的预警评分,和值得关注的生理评分系统(WPS),等。,和三个冲击指数(冲击指数[SI],修改后的冲击指数[MSI],和舒张期休克指数[DSI]),全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)和快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)预测主要结局,重症监护室入院,和死亡率在不同的时间点。
    结果:我们分析了601例患者,其中166人(27.6%)发生败血症。NEWS2具有最高点估计值(接收器工作特征曲线下面积[AUROC]0.75,95CI0.70-0.79),并且明显优于SIRS,qSOFA,其他EWS和冲击指数,除了WPS,预测主要结果。然而,NEWS2≥5对脓毒症预测的合并敏感性和特异性分别为0.45(95CI0.37-0.52)和0.88(95CI0.85-0.91),分别。当用于在更遥远的时间点预测死亡率时,所有EWS和休克指数的歧视性表现均下降。
    结论:NEWS2在早期脓毒症预测中与其他EWS和休克指数相比具有优势,但其在通常截止点的低敏感性需要进一步修改脓毒症筛查。
    BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the discriminatory performance of 11 vital sign-based early warning scores (EWSs) and three shock indices in early sepsis prediction in the emergency department (ED).
    METHODS: We performed a retrospective study on consecutive adult patients with an infection over 3 months in a public ED in Hong Kong. The primary outcome was sepsis (Sepsis-3 definition) within 48 h of ED presentation. Using c-statistics and the DeLong test, we compared 11 EWSs, including the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2), Modified Early Warning Score, and Worthing Physiological Scoring System (WPS), etc., and three shock indices (the shock index [SI], modified shock index [MSI], and diastolic shock index [DSI]), with Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) in predicting the primary outcome, intensive care unit admission, and mortality at different time points.
    RESULTS: We analyzed 601 patients, of whom 166 (27.6%) developed sepsis. NEWS2 had the highest point estimate (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] 0.75, 95%CI 0.70-0.79) and was significantly better than SIRS, qSOFA, other EWSs and shock indices, except WPS, at predicting the primary outcome. However, the pooled sensitivity and specificity of NEWS2 ≥ 5 for the prediction of sepsis were 0.45 (95%CI 0.37-0.52) and 0.88 (95%CI 0.85-0.91), respectively. The discriminatory performance of all EWSs and shock indices declined when used to predict mortality at a more remote time point.
    CONCLUSIONS: NEWS2 compared favorably with other EWSs and shock indices in early sepsis prediction but its low sensitivity at the usual cut-off point requires further modification for sepsis screening.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:当受伤的患者到达急诊科(ED)时,及时和适当的护理至关重要。休克指数儿科年龄调整(SIPA)已被证明可以准确识别需要紧急干预的儿科患者。然而,没有研究评估SIPA对年龄校正性心动过速(AT)的作用.这项研究旨在将SIPA与AT在预测死亡率等结果方面进行比较。重伤,以及儿科创伤患者紧急干预的必要性。
    方法:这是从2013-2020年创伤质量改善计划参与者使用文件(TQIPPUFs)提取的患者数据的回顾性横断面分析。包括4-16岁的患者,其损伤机制钝,损伤严重程度评分(ISS)>15。36,517名儿童符合这一标准。灵敏度,特异性,过度审判,并计算了未分诊率,以比较AT和升高的SIPA作为严重损伤和需要紧急干预的预测因子的有效性.紧急干预措施包括开颅手术,气管插管,开胸手术,剖腹手术,或胸管放置在24小时内到达。
    结果:AT将59%的患者归类为“高风险”,“而SIPA提高了26%。与AT患者相比,SIPA升高的患者在24小时内需要输血的比例更高(22%vs.12%,分别为;p<0.001)。SIPA升高组的住院死亡率高于AT(10%vs.5%,分别;p<0.001)以及对紧急手术干预的需求(43%vs.分别为32%;p<0.001)。在SIPA升高患者中,需要输血的3级或更高肝/脾撕裂伤也比AT患者更常见(8%vs.4%,分别为;p<0.001)。在所有结果中,与SIPA相比,AT表现出更高的敏感性,但特异性较低。与SIPA相比,AT显示出过审和过审比率提高,但这归因于确定样本中有很大一部分是“高风险”。\"
    结论:AT在死亡率敏感性方面优于SIPA,儿童创伤患者的损伤严重程度和紧急干预措施,而SIPA在这些结局中的特异性很高。
    BACKGROUND: When an injured patient arrives in the Emergency Department (ED), timely and appropriate care is crucial. Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) has been shown to accurately identify pediatric patients in need of emergency interventions. However, no study has evaluated SIPA against age-adjusted tachycardia (AT). This study aims to compare SIPA with AT in predicting outcomes such as mortality, severe injury, and the need for emergent intervention in pediatric trauma patients.
    METHODS: This is a retrospective cross-sectional analysis of patient data abstracted from the Trauma Quality Improvement Program Participant Use Files (TQIP PUFs) for years 2013-2020. Patients aged 4-16 with blunt mechanism of injury and injury severity score (ISS) > 15 were included. 36,517 children met this criteria. Sensitivity, specificity, overtriage, and undertriage rates were calculated to compare the effectiveness of AT and elevated SIPA as predictors of severe injuries and need for emergent intervention. Emergent interventions included craniotomy, endotracheal intubation, thoracotomy, laparotomy, or chest tube placement within 24 h of arrival.
    RESULTS: AT classified 59% of patients as \"high risk,\" while elevated SIPA identified 26%. Compared to AT patients, a greater proportion of patients with elevated SIPA required a blood transfusion within 24 h (22% vs. 12%, respectively; p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was higher for the elevated SIPA group than AT (10% vs. 5%, respectively; p < 0.001) as well as the need for emergent operative interventions (43% vs. 32% respectively; p < 0.001). Grade 3 or higher liver/spleen lacerations requiring blood transfusion were also more common among elevated SIPA patients than AT patients (8% vs. 4%, respectively; p < 0.001). AT demonstrated greater sensitivity but lower specificity compared to SIPA across all outcomes. AT showed improved overtriage and undertriage rates compared to SIPA, but this is attributed to identifying a large proportion of the sample as \"high risk.\"
    CONCLUSIONS: AT outperforms SIPA in sensitivity for mortality, injury severity and emergent interventions in pediatric trauma patients while the specificity of SIPA is high across these outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大型腹部急诊手术(MAES)患者的死亡率和并发症风险很高。MAES的时间敏感性需要一个易于计算的风险评分工具。休克指数(SI)是通过将心率(HR)除以收缩压(SBP)获得的,可深入了解患者的血液动力学状态。我们旨在评估SI在预测术后死亡率方面的有用性,急性肾损伤(AKI),重症监护病房(ICU)和高依赖性监测的要求,和ICU住院时间(LOS)。
    我们回顾性分析了2013年1月至2020年12月的212,089例MAES患者。队列是倾向匹配的,纳入3960例患者。记录在麻醉图表中的第一HR和SBP用于计算SI。回归模型用于调查SI与结果之间的关联。用Kaplan-Meier曲线探讨SI与生存的关系。
    SI与1个月时的死亡率之间存在显着关联(比值比[OR]2.40[1.67-3.39],P<0.001),3个月(OR2.13[1.56-2.88],P<0.001),在2年(OR1.77[1.38-2.25],P<0.001)。多变量分析显示SI与1个月时的死亡率之间存在显着关系(OR3.51[1.20-10.3],P=0.021)和3个月时(OR3.05[1.07-8.54],P=0.034)。单变量和多变量分析也显示了SI和AKI之间的显著关系(P<0.001)。术后ICU住院时间(P<0.005)和ICU住院时间(P<0.001)。SI不会显著影响2年死亡率。
    SI有助于预测手术后1个月的死亡率,3个月,AKI,术后ICU入院和ICULOS。
    UNASSIGNED: Major abdominal emergency surgery (MAES) patients have a high risk of mortality and complications. The time-sensitive nature of MAES necessitates an easily calculable risk-scoring tool. Shock index (SI) is obtained by dividing heart rate (HR) by systolic blood pressure (SBP) and provides insight into a patient\'s haemodynamic status. We aimed to evaluate SI\'s usefulness in predicting postoperative mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI), requirements for intensive care unit (ICU) and high-dependency monitoring, and the ICU length of stay (LOS).
    UNASSIGNED: We retrospectively reviewed 212,089 MAES patients from January 2013 to December 2020. The cohort was propensity matched, and 3960 patients were included. The first HR and SBP recorded in the anaesthesia chart were used to calculate SI. Regression models were used to investigate the association between SI and outcomes. The relationship between SI and survival was explored with Kaplan-Meier curves.
    UNASSIGNED: There were significant associations between SI and mortality at 1 month (odds ratio [OR] 2.40 [1.67-3.39], P<0.001), 3 months (OR 2.13 [1.56-2.88], P<0.001), and at 2 years (OR 1.77 [1.38-2.25], P<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed significant relationships between SI and mortality at 1 month (OR 3.51 [1.20-10.3], P=0.021) and at 3 months (OR 3.05 [1.07-8.54], P=0.034). Univariate and multivariate analysis also revealed significant relationships between SI and AKI (P<0.001), postoperative ICU admission (P<0.005) and ICU LOS (P<0.001). SI does not significantly affect 2-year mortality.
    UNASSIGNED: SI is useful in predicting postopera-tive mortality at 1 month, 3 months, AKI, postoperative ICU admission and ICU LOS.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:心源性休克(CS)与高住院死亡率相关。客观评估其严重程度和预后对于及时的治疗干预至关重要。这项研究旨在评估休克指数(SI)及其变体作为住院死亡率预后指标的有效性。
    方法:对一项涉及1282例CS患者的回顾性研究进行评估。基线患者特征,临床轨迹,医院结果,并收集和分析了休克指数。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线来确定休克指数在预测住院死亡率中的预测准确性。
    结果:在评估的结果中,866(67.6%)存活至出院。非幸存者年龄较大(66.0±13.7vs.57.4±16.2,P<0.001),心脏病危险因素的发生率较高,并且更有可能出现急性冠状动脉综合征(33.4%vs.16.1%,P<0.001)和院外心脏骤停(11.3%vs.5.3%,P<0.001)。与幸存者相比,非幸存者的所有平均休克指数均显着较高。ROC曲线表明调整后的冲击指数(ASI),年龄修正休克指数(AMSI),休克指数C(SIC)对住院死亡率的预测准确性最高,AUC值分别为0.654、0.667和0.659。亚组分析显示,SIC在STEMI(AUC:0.714)和ACS(AUC:0.696)患者中具有良好的预测能力,而AMSI和ASI在OHCA组中具有明显的预测能力(AUC分别为0.707和0.701)。
    结论:休克指数及其变体,尤其是ASI,AMSI,和SIC,可能有助于预测CS患者的院内死亡率。它们的应用可以指导临床医生进行前期风险分层。SIC,ASI,和AMSI显示出预测特定CS亚群(STEMI和OHCA)住院死亡率的潜力。这是第一项评估CS患者SI及其变体的研究。
    BACKGROUND: Cardiogenic shock (CS) is associated with high in-hospital mortality. Objective assessment of its severity and prognosis is paramount for timely therapeutic interventions. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the shock index (SI) and its variants as prognostic indicators for in-hospital mortality.
    METHODS: A retrospective study involving 1282 CS patients were evaluated. Baseline patient characteristics, clinical trajectory, hospital outcomes, and shock indices were collected and analysed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were employed to determine the predictive accuracy of shock indices in predicting in-hospital mortality.
    RESULTS: Of those evaluated, 866 (67.6%) survived until discharge. Non-survivors were older (66.0 ± 13.7 vs. 57.4 ± 16.2, P < 0.001), had a higher incidence of cardiac risk factors, and were more likely to present with acute coronary syndrome (33.4% vs. 16.1%, P < 0.001) and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (11.3% vs. 5.3%, P < 0.001). All mean shock indices were significantly higher in non-survivors compared with survivors. ROC curves demonstrated that adjusted shock index (ASI), age-modified shock index (AMSI), and shock index-C (SIC) had the highest predictive accuracy for in-hospital mortality, with AUC values of 0.654, 0.667, and 0.659, respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed that SIC had good predictive ability in patients with STEMI (AUC: 0.714) and ACS (AUC: 0.696) while AMSI and ASI were notably predictive in the OHCA group (AUC: 0.707 and 0.701, respectively).
    CONCLUSIONS: Shock index and its variants, especially ASI, AMSI, and SIC, may be helpful in predicting in-hospital mortality in CS patients. Their application could guide clinicians in upfront risk stratification. SIC, ASI, and AMSI show potential in predicting in-hospital mortality in specific CS subsets (STEMI and OHCA). This is the first study to evaluate SI and its variants in CS patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:休克指数(SI)在受伤或疑似败血症的儿童中正在成为一种潜在的有用指标。
    目的:本研究的目的是评估所有就诊于急诊科(ED)的儿童中SI的分布并评估其与临床结局的关系。
    方法:分析了2016年至2021年非联邦美国ED遭遇的复杂调查。在儿童中,儿科年龄调整后的休克指数(SIPA),小儿休克指数(PSI)并对温度和年龄调整后的休克指数(TAMSI)进行了分析。这些标准与处置的关联,敏锐度,药物管理,分析了诊断和程序。
    结果:一项加权调查包括4-16岁儿童的8150万ED访视,包括1-12岁儿童的1.172亿次访视。SI可以计算为78.6%的4-16岁患者和57.9%的1-12岁患者。15.9%存在异常SI,11.1%,使用SIPA时,为31.7%,PSI,和TAMSI,分别。根据所有标准,SI升高与住院时间增加相关.SIPA和PSI与分诊敏锐度相关。所有标准都与医疗干预有关,包括提供静脉输液和采集血培养物。
    结论:SI升高表明ED儿童的资源利用需求增加。使用任何标准时,SI升高与临床重要结局相关.需要进一步的研究来评估SI在儿童中的分布,并调查其在ED儿童现有分类算法中的潜在作用。
    BACKGROUND: The Shock Index (SI) is emerging as a potentially useful measure among children with injury or suspected sepsis.
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the distribution of the SI and evaluate its association with clinical outcomes among all children presenting to the emergency department (ED).
    METHODS: A complex survey of nonfederal U.S. ED encounters from 2016 through 2021 was analyzed. Among children, the Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index (SIPA), Pediatric Shock Index (PSI), and the Temperature- and Age-Adjusted Shock Index (TAMSI) were analyzed. The association of these criteria with disposition, acuity, medication administration, diagnoses and procedures was analyzed.
    RESULTS: A survey-weighted 81.5 million ED visits were included for children aged 4-16 years and 117.2 million visits were included for children aged 1-12 years. SI could be calculated for 78.6% of patients aged 4-16 years and 57.9% of patients aged 1-12 years. An abnormal SI was present in 15.9%, 11.1%, and 31.7% when using the SIPA, PSI, and TAMSI, respectively. With all criteria, an elevated SI was associated with greater hospitalization. The SIPA and PSI were associated with triage acuity. All criteria were associated with medical interventions, including provision of IV fluids and acquisition of blood cultures.
    CONCLUSIONS: An elevated SI is indicative of greater resource utilization needs among children in the ED. When using any criteria, an elevated SI was associated with clinically important outcomes. Further research is required to evaluate the distribution of the SI in children and to investigate its potential role within existing triage algorithms for children in the ED.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:目前的文献对老年创伤患者失血性休克的死亡率和预后的预测因素缺乏明确的共识。本系统评价旨在探讨老年创伤合并失血性休克人群临床结局的预测因素和大量输血方案的需要。
    方法:PubMed,EMBASE,科克伦,ProQuest,和GoogleScholar进行了研究,以评估失血性休克或接受MTP的老年创伤患者。感兴趣的结果包括高龄对临床结果的影响,SI和其他变量在预测死亡率和MTP需求方面的准确性,以及血制品比率与临床结果之间的关联。
    结果:本系统综述包括15项研究。在大多数研究中,高龄是接受MTP休克治疗的老年患者死亡率和并发症发生率的准确预测指标.SI与收缩压(SBP)等其他变量一起是死亡率和MTP需求的敏感预测因子。评估血液产品比率的研究发现,血浆:红细胞比率较高的并发症发生率增加。
    结论:老年患者在接受MTP时高龄与死亡率和并发症增加相关。休克指数和年龄x休克指数是老年创伤人群中死亡率和MTP需求的准确可靠的预测因子,失血性休克患者遭受钝性和/或穿透性损伤。血浆:RBC比值升高与老年患者并发症增多相关。
    BACKGROUND: The current literature lacks a clear consensus on the predictors of mortality and outcomes of geriatric trauma patients in hemorrhagic shock. This systematic review aims to investigate predictors of clinical outcomes and the need for massive transfusion protocol in the geriatric trauma population with hemorrhagic shock.
    METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane, ProQuest, and Google Scholar were searched for studies evaluating geriatric trauma patients in hemorrhagic shock or receiving MTP. Outcomes of interest included the effect of advanced age on clinical outcomes, the accuracy of SI and other variables in predicting mortality and need for MTP, and associations between blood product ratio and clinical outcomes.
    RESULTS: Fifteen studies were included in this systematic review. In most studies, advanced age was an accurate predictor of mortality and complication rates in geriatric patients undergoing management of shock with MTP. SI along with other variables such as systolic blood pressure (SBP) were sensitive predictors of mortality and the need for MTP. Studies evaluating blood product ratio found an increased incidence of complications with higher plasma: red blood cell ratios.
    CONCLUSIONS: Advanced age among geriatric patients is associated with increased mortality and complications when undergoing MTP. Shock Index and age x Shock Index are accurate and reliable predictors of mortality and need for MTP in the geriatric trauma population with hemorrhagic shock suffering blunt and/or penetrating injuries. An increased plasma: RBC ratio was associated with more complications in geriatric patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:已经开发了各种预测评分来预测创伤患者的死亡率,例如冲击指数(SI),修改后的SI(mSI),年龄调整后的SI(aSI),和休克指数(SI)乘以警觉/言语/疼痛/无反应(AVPU)评分(SIAVPU)。SIAVPU是一种新颖的评分系统,但其对创伤结局的预测准确性仍需进一步验证。因此,我们调查了四个评分系统的准确性,包括SI,mSI,aSI,和SIAVPU,在预测死亡率时,入住重症监护病房(ICU),住院时间延长≥30天(LOS)。方法:这项回顾性多中心研究使用了慈济医院创伤数据库中的数据。确定每个结果的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC),以评估其辨别能力并通过Delong检验进行比较。进行亚组分析以研究SIAVPU在不同患者群体中的预测准确性。结果:总的来说,5355例患者被纳入分析。SIAVPU的中位数在严重损伤的患者中明显更高(1.47vs0.63),入住ICU的患者(0.73vs0.62),那些长期住院LOS≥30天(0.83vs0.64)的人,和死亡率(1.08vs0.64)。SIAVPU的AUROC显著高于SI,mSI,24小时死亡率和aSI(AUROC:0.845vs0.533、0.540和0.678),3天死亡率(AUROC:0.803vs0.513、0.524和0.688),7天死亡率(AUROC:0.755vs0.494、0.505和0.648),住院死亡率(AUROC:0.722vs0.510、0.524和0.667),ICU入院(AUROC:0.635vs0.547、0.551和0.563)。在最佳临界值0.9时,SIAVPU预测24小时死亡率的准确率为82.2%,82.8%用于预测3天死亡率,预测7天死亡率的82.8%,用于预测住院死亡率的82.5%,用于预测重症监护病房(ICU)入院的73.9%,81.7%用于预测延长的住院LOS≥30天。结论:我们的结果表明SIAVPU比SI具有更好的准确性,mSI,和ASI预测24小时,3天,7天,和住院死亡率;ICU入院;以及外伤患者的住院LOS≥30天。
    UNASSIGNED: Various prediction scores have been developed to predict mortality in trauma patients, such as the shock index (SI), modified SI (mSI), age-adjusted SI (aSI), and the shock index (SI) multiplied by the alert/verbal/painful/unresponsive (AVPU) score (SIAVPU). The SIAVPU is a novel scoring system but its prediction accuracy for trauma outcomes remains in need of further validation. Therefore, we investigated the accuracy of four scoring systems, including SI, mSI, aSI, and SIAVPU, in predicting mortality, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and prolonged hospital length of stay ≥ 30 days (LOS).
    UNASSIGNED: This retrospective multicenter study used data from the Tzu Chi Hospital trauma database. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was determined for each outcome to assess their discrimination capabilities and comparing by Delong\'s test. Subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate the prediction accuracy of the SIAVPU in different patient populations.
    UNASSIGNED: In total, 5355 patients were included in the analysis. The median of SIAVPU were significantly higher among patients at those with major injury (1.47 vs 0.63), those admitted to the ICU (0.73 vs 0.62), those with prolonged hospital LOS≥ 30 days (0.83 vs 0.64), and those with mortality (1.08 vs 0.64). The AUROC of the SIAVPU was significantly higher than that of the SI, mSI, and aSI for 24-h mortality (AUROC: 0.845 vs 0.533, 0.540, and 0.678), 3-day mortality (AUROC: 0.803 vs 0.513, 0.524, and 0.688), 7-day mortality (AUROC: 0.755 vs 0.494, 0.505, and 0.648), in-hospital mortality (AUROC: 0.722 vs 0.510, 0.524, and 0.667), ICU admission (AUROC: 0.635 vs 0.547, 0.551, and 0.563). At the optimal cutoff value of 0.9, the SIAVPU had an accuracy of 82.2% for predicting 24-h mortality, 82.8% for predicting 3-day mortality, of 82.8% for predicting 7-day mortality, of 82.5% for predicting in-hospital mortality, of 73.9% for predicting Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, and of 81.7% for predicting prolonged hospital LOS ≥30 days.
    UNASSIGNED: Our results reveal that SIAVPU has better accuracy than the SI, mSI, and aSI for predicting 24-h, 3-day, 7-day, and in-hospital mortality; ICU admission; and prolonged hospital LOS ≥30 days among patients with traumatic injury.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:台湾,车辆拥有率很高,在管理由交通碰撞引起的创伤方面面临重大挑战。在台湾,交通碰撞对发病率和死亡率有显著影响,严重出血创伤的发生率很高。休克指数(SI)和改良休克指数(MSI)已被提出作为血流动力学不稳定的早期指标。在这项研究中,我们旨在评估SI和MSI在预测交通碰撞后创伤患者不良结局方面的疗效.
    方法:这项回顾性队列研究于2015年1月至2020年12月在奇美医院进行。综合分析包括662例患者,收集的生命体征和结果数据,如死亡率,输血,紧急手术干预(ESI),经动脉栓塞(TAE),和重症监护病房(ICU)入院。通过计算Youden指数确定了SI和MSI的最佳截止点。Logistic回归分析用于评估结果,根据人口统计学和伤害严重程度变量进行调整。
    结果:SI阈值1.11与死亡风险增加相关,而SI为0.84预测在交通碰撞的背景下需要输血。SI和MSI对死亡率和输血都表现出很高的预测能力,对于TAE具有可接受的精度,ESI,ICU入院。Logistic回归分析证实SI和MSI的独立性是不良结局的危险因素。因此,为他们的临床效用提供有价值的见解。
    结论:SI和MSI是预测因交通碰撞造成的创伤患者的死亡率和输血需求的有价值的工具。这些发现提高了创伤患者从急诊室过渡到ICU的护理质量,促进及时可靠的决策过程,改善创伤患者的护理。
    OBJECTIVE: Taiwan, which has a rate of high vehicle ownership, faces significant challenges in managing trauma caused by traffic collisions. In Taiwan, traffic collisions contribute significantly to morbidity and mortality, with a high incidence of severe bleeding trauma. The shock index (SI) and the modified shock index (MSI) have been proposed as early indicators of hemodynamic instability. In this study, we aimed to assess the efficacy of SI and MSI in predicting adverse outcomes in patients with trauma following traffic collisions.
    METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted at Chi Mei Hospital from January 2015 to December 2020. The comprehensive analysis included 662 patients, with data collected on vital signs and outcomes such as mortality, blood transfusion, emergent surgical intervention (ESI), transarterial embolization (TAE), and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Optimal cutoff points for SI and MSI were identified by calculating the Youden index. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess outcomes, adjusting for demographic and injury severity variables.
    RESULTS: An SI threshold of 1.11 was associated with an increased risk of mortality, while an SI of 0.84 predicted the need for blood transfusion in the context of traffic collisions. Both SI and MSI demonstrated high predictive power for mortality and blood transfusion, with acceptable accuracy for TAE, ESI, and ICU admission. Logistic regression analyses confirmed the independence of SI and MSI as risk factors for adverse outcomes, thus, providing valuable insights into their clinical utility.
    CONCLUSIONS: SI and MSI are valuable tools for predicting mortality and blood transfusion needs in patients with trauma due to traffic collisions. These findings advance the quality of care for patients with trauma during their transition from the emergency room to the ICU, facilitating prompt and reliable decision-making processes and improving the care of patients with trauma.
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