Seasons

季节
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    湖相碳酸盐是古环境信息的强大档案,但容易受到沉积后变化的影响。微生物代谢可以通过原位改变碳酸盐饱和度来驱动这种变化,从而驱动溶解或沉淀。这些微生物过程对初级δ18O的净影响,δ13C,湖相碳酸盐的Δ47值还不完全清楚。我们研究了绿湖两个海岸线上〜30cm沉积物中微生物群落结构的演变以及孔隙水和沉积物地球化学,费耶特维尔,纽约超过2年的季节性采样。我们将孔隙水碳酸盐化学的季节性和深度变化与微生物群落组成联系起来,原位碳循环(使用碳酸盐的δ13C值,溶解无机碳(DIC),和有机物),和占优势的异化相和相。我们解释说,微生物过程是沉积物中碳循环的主要控制,影响孔隙水DIC,水性碳化学,碳酸盐碳和成团同位素地球化学。在所有季节和地点,微生物有机物再矿化降低了孔隙水DIC的δ13C。沉积物孔隙水中碳酸盐饱和度升高(Ω>3)归因于能够还原硫酸盐的微生物组,在5厘米深度以下的沉积物中含量丰富。绿湖近岸碳酸盐沉积物主要由微生物内部/类群组成,木结构植物,较大的方解石晶体,和自生的微晶——每个都有不同的起源。自生微晶被解释为从微生物代谢的过饱和孔隙水中原位沉淀。来自相同深度层位和站点的块状碳酸盐沉积物的稳定碳同位素值(δ13Ccarb)和块状同位素值(Δ47)取决于采样季节和站点内的具体位置,指示对碳和聚集的同位素值的局部(μm至mm)控制。我们的结果表明,生物过程是绿湖海岸线沉积地下碳化学的主要控制因素,从主动形成微生物到孔隙有机质再矿化和微粉碎岩自生。生物活性的结合,水文平衡,沉积物的合金成分形成了稳定的碳,氧气,绿湖碳酸盐沉积物保存的成团同位素信号。
    Lacustrine carbonates are a powerful archive of paleoenvironmental information but are susceptible to post-depositional alteration. Microbial metabolisms can drive such alteration by changing carbonate saturation in situ, thereby driving dissolution or precipitation. The net impact these microbial processes have on the primary δ18O, δ13C, and Δ47 values of lacustrine carbonate is not fully known. We studied the evolution of microbial community structure and the porewater and sediment geochemistry in the upper ~30 cm of sediment from two shoreline sites at Green Lake, Fayetteville, NY over 2 years of seasonal sampling. We linked seasonal and depth-based changes of porewater carbonate chemistry to microbial community composition, in situ carbon cycling (using δ13C values of carbonate, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), and organic matter), and dominant allochems and facies. We interpret that microbial processes are a dominant control on carbon cycling within the sediment, affecting porewater DIC, aqueous carbon chemistry, and carbonate carbon and clumped isotope geochemistry. Across all seasons and sites, microbial organic matter remineralization lowers the δ13C of the porewater DIC. Elevated carbonate saturation states in the sediment porewaters (Ω > 3) were attributed to microbes from groups capable of sulfate reduction, which were abundant in the sediment below 5 cm depth. The nearshore carbonate sediments at Green Lake are mainly composed of microbialite intraclasts/oncoids, charophytes, larger calcite crystals, and authigenic micrite-each with a different origin. Authigenic micrite is interpreted to have precipitated in situ from the supersaturated porewaters from microbial metabolism. The stable carbon isotope values (δ13Ccarb) and clumped isotope values (Δ47) of bulk carbonate sediments from the same depth horizons and site varied depending on both the sampling season and the specific location within a site, indicating localized (μm to mm) controls on carbon and clumped isotope values. Our results suggest that biological processes are a dominant control on carbon chemistry within the sedimentary subsurface of the shorelines of Green Lake, from actively forming microbialites to pore space organic matter remineralization and micrite authigenesis. A combination of biological activity, hydrologic balance, and allochem composition of the sediments set the stable carbon, oxygen, and clumped isotope signals preserved by the Green Lake carbonate sediments.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    沿海区是湖泊生物群的重要组成部分,因为它具有高生产力和多样性。此外,浮游植物预计具有非平衡动力学。该研究的目的是在短期尺度上探索浅湖沿岸带的浮游植物。2016年连续25个夏季日进行了每日采样,在连续温暖的两个边缘点,聚云母,和低质营养亚热带湖泊(曼格埃拉湖,巴西)。蓝藻和绿藻门贡献了总生物量的86%。我们观察到浮游植物结构的高度变异性,随着Diel周期的物种周转。冗余分析表明浮游植物结构与非生物条件的空间差异。营养动态和腐殖质是浮游植物变异的重要驱动因素。浮游植物与SRP呈正相关,与腐殖质呈负相关。我们的结果表明,曼格埃拉湖沿岸浮游植物处于非平衡状态,鉴于非生物条件的高度可变性,即使在很短的距离。由于其高度的时空变异性,littoralzone似乎有助于在浅水湖泊中招募和维持浮游植物的生物多样性。进一步的研究应考虑物种的功能属性以及沿岸带浮游植物和大型植物的复杂生物相互作用。
    The littoral zone is an essential compartment for lake biota because of its high productivity and diversity. Moreover, phytoplankton is expected to have non-equilibrium dynamics on it. The study\'s aimed to explore phytoplankton in the littoral zone of a shallow lake over a short-term scale. Daily sampling was conducted for 25 consecutive summer days in 2016, at two marginal points of a continuously warm, polymictic, and oligo-mesotrophic subtropical lake (Lake Mangueira, Brazil). Cyanobacteria and Chlorophyta contributed 86% of total biomass. We observed high variability in phytoplankton structure, with species turnover over diel cycles. Redundancy analysis indicated spatial differentiation for phytoplankton structure in relation to abiotic conditions. Nutrient dynamics and humic substances were significant drivers for phytoplankton variability. Phytoplankton was positively correlated with SRP and negatively with humic substances. Our results showed a non- equilibrium state for the littoral phytoplankton of Lake Mangueira, given the high variability of abiotic conditions, even at short distances. Due to its high temporal and spatial variability, the littoralzone seems to contribute to the recruitment and maintenance of phytoplankton biodiversity in shallow lakes. Further studies should consider the functional attributes of species and the complex biological interactions of phytoplankton and macrophytes along the littoral zone.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    2020-21年,在COVID-19大流行期间,在宁波的老年居民中启动了免费的流感疫苗接种计划,中国。需要评估COVID-19大流行和免费疫苗接种政策对流感疫苗摄取的影响。12月31日之前出生的人的流感疫苗摄取,1962年宁波从2017-18到2022-23赛季进行了分析。多变量逻辑回归用于估计COVID-19大流行和免费疫苗接种政策的影响。我们的分析包括平均每年1,856,565个人。流感疫苗接种覆盖率从2017-18年的1.14%上升至2022-23年的33.41%。2022-23年免费政策目标人群疫苗接种覆盖率为50.03%。多因素分析显示,免费疫苗接种政策增加流感疫苗接种量最大(OR=11.99,95CI:11.87~12.11)。大流行的初始阶段与对流感疫苗接种的积极影响有关(OR=2.09,95CI:2.07-2.12),但在随后的两季中出现负效应(2021-22年:OR=0.75,95CI:0.73-0.76;2022-23年:OR=0.40,95CI:0.39-0.40)。当前季节的COVID-19疫苗接种是流感疫苗摄取的阳性预测因子,而在2022-23年之前未完成加强COVID-19疫苗接种是阴性预测因子。在上一个季节期间具有流感疫苗史和具有ILI病史也是流感疫苗摄取的阳性预测因子。免费疫苗接种政策提高了老年人群的流感疫苗接种覆盖率。COVID-19大流行在不同季节发挥不同的作用。我们的研究强调了如何针对疫苗接种覆盖率低的弱势群体实施免费疫苗接种政策的必要性。
    In 2020-21, during the COVID-19 pandemic, a free influenza vaccination program was initiated among the elderly residents in Ningbo, China. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and free vaccination policy on influenza vaccine uptake needs to be evaluated. The influenza vaccine uptake among individuals born before 31 December, 1962 from 2017-18 to 2022-23 season in Ningbo was analyzed. Multivariate logistic regressions were used to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and free vaccination policy. Our analysis included an average of 1,856,565 individuals each year. Influenza vaccination coverage increased from 1.14% in 2017-18 to 33.41% in 2022-23. The vaccination coverage among the free policy target population was 50.03% in 2022-23. Multivariate analysis showed that free vaccination policy increased influenza vaccine uptake most (OR = 11.99, 95%CI: 11.87-12.11). The initial phase of the pandemic was associated with a positive effect on influenza vaccination (OR = 2.09, 95%CI: 2.07-2.12), but followed by a negative effect in the subsequent two seasons(2021-22: OR = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.73-0.76; 2022-23: OR = 0.40, 95%CI: 0.39-0.40). COVID-19 vaccination in the current season was a positive predictor of influenza vaccine uptake while not completing booster COVID-19 vaccination before was negative predictor in 2022-23. Having influenza vaccine history and having ILI medical history during the last season were also positive predictors of influenza vaccine uptake. Free vaccination policies have enhanced influenza vaccination coverage among elderly population. The COVID-19 pandemic plays different roles in different seasons. Our study highlights the need for how to implement free vaccination policies targeting vulnerable groups with low vaccination coverage.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在某些树种的叶子中已经证明了对木质部栓塞的抗性的季节性可塑性,但在茎上有争议。在这项研究中,我们调查了在同一地点生长的六个温带木质部对栓塞的抗性(四个落叶和两个常绿树种)的季节性。木质部导管解剖,浓度,木质部汁液中主要阳离子的比例,以及非结构性碳水化合物(包括可溶性糖和淀粉)的含量在每个季节的每个物种进行了测量,以揭示栓塞抗性的季节性变化的潜在机制。随着季节的发展,所有物种的茎都显示出对栓塞的抵抗力增加,春天木质部更脆弱,但其他三个季节没有重大调整。落叶物种的茎栓塞抗性的季节性可塑性大于常绿物种。在季节性尺度上,导管直径和导管内爆阻力,K+/Ca2+和K+/Na+的比值,和淀粉含量通常与栓塞抗性无关,这表明这些可能不是茎栓塞抗性季节性可塑性的主要驱动因素。栓塞抗性的季节性为更好地了解植物水力学响应季节性环境提供了关键信息。尤其是在气候变化下。
    The seasonal plasticity of resistance to xylem embolism has been demonstrated in leaves of some tree species, but is controversial in stems. In this study, we investigated the seasonality of stem xylem resistance to embolism in six temperate woody species (four deciduous and two evergreen tree species) that were grown at the same site. The xylem conduit anatomy, the concentrations, and ratios of the main cation in the xylem sap, as well as the content of nonstructural carbohydrates (including soluble sugars and starch) were measured in each species under each season to reveal the potential mechanisms of seasonal change in embolism resistance. The stem of all species showed increasing resistance to embolism as seasons progressed, with more vulnerable xylem in spring, but no significant adjustment in the other three seasons. The seasonal plasticity of stem embolism resistance was greater in deciduous species than in evergreen. On a seasonal scale, conduit diameter and conduit implosion resistance, the ratios of K+/Ca2+ and K+/Na+, and starch content were generally not correlated with embolism resistance, suggesting that these are probably not the main drivers of seasonal plasticity of stem embolism resistance. The seasonality of embolism resistance provides critical information for better understanding plant hydraulics in response to seasonal environments, especially under climate change.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    黄病毒西尼罗河病毒(WNV),它是由蚊子传播的,对人类和动物都构成重大威胁,它的爆发经常挑战欧洲和其他大陆的公共卫生。近年来,在几个欧洲国家,WNV的发病率有增加的趋势.然而,是否存在全年循环或季节性引入尚待阐明。实时聚合酶链反应(PCR)在2022年冬季检查的146个池中的6个池中鉴定出WNV阳性淡色库蚊,对应于24个研究区域中的3个。位于阿提卡的两个沿海地区,希腊。同一地区六个阳性池的空间分散表明,2022年冬季WNV的聚集循环。这是第一个记录Cx中WNV鉴定的研究。Pipiens种群,在冬季捕获在成人陷阱。我们的发现强调了将昆虫学监测计划扩展到包括冬季的必要性,特别是在温带气候和受WNV历史影响的地区。
    The flavivirus West Nile Virus (WNV), which is transmitted by mosquitoes, poses a significant threat to both humans and animals, and its outbreaks often challenge public health in Europe and other continents. In recent years, there is an increasing trend of WNV incidence rates across several European countries. However, whether there is a year-round circulation or seasonal introduction has yet to be elucidated. Real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) identified WNV-positive Culex pipiens mosquitos in 6 out of 146 pools examined in winter 2022 that correspond to three out of the 24 study areas, located in two coastal regions units in Attica, Greece. Spatial dispersion of the six positive pools in the same region suggests a clustered circulation of WNV during the winter of 2022. This is the first study that documents the identification of WNV in Cx. pipiens populations, captured in adult traps during winter period. Our findings underscore the need to extend entomological surveillance programs to include the winter period, specifically in temperate climates and historically affected areas by WNV.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化减少了积雪,推进融雪物候,推动夏季变暖,改变生长季节的降水制度,并因此改变了山区系统中的植被物候。海拔迁移通过在春季不同海拔的范围之间移动来跟踪季节性植物生长的空间变化,因此,气候驱动的植被变化可能会破坏移民的历史利益。当突然出现不利条件时,海拔移民还可以通过短暂的垂直移动到避难所来应对短期的环境变化。我们在濒临灭绝的高山专家中发现了高地迁徙过程中精细尺度垂直运动变化的驱动因素,内华达山脉大角羊(Oviscanadensissierrae)使用从311个独特个体收集的GPS项圈数据进行了20年的研究。我们使用集成的步长选择分析来确定促进垂直运动的因素,并在垂直运动后驱动目的地的选择。我们的结果表明,相对较高的温度持续驱动上坡运动,而降水可能会推动下坡运动。此外,bighorn选择年度生物量峰值和融雪以来最长时间的目的地。这些结果表明,尽管内华达山脉大角羊寻找与景观物候有关的觅食机会,它们通过进行短暂的上下垂直运动来补偿短期的环境压力源。因此,移民可能会受到未来变暖和风暴频率或强度增加的影响,随着年度移民时间的变化,和精细尺度的垂直运动对环境变化的响应。
    Climate change reduces snowpack, advances snowmelt phenology, drives summer warming, alters growing season precipitation regimes, and consequently modifies vegetation phenology in mountain systems. Elevational migrants track spatial variation in seasonal plant growth by moving between ranges at different elevations during spring, so climate-driven vegetation change may disrupt historic benefits of migration. Elevational migrants can furthermore cope with short-term environmental variability by undertaking brief vertical movements to refugia when sudden adverse conditions arise. We uncover drivers of fine-scale vertical movement variation during upland migration in an endangered alpine specialist, Sierra Nevada bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis sierrae) using a 20-year study of GPS collar data collected from 311 unique individuals. We used integrated step-selection analysis to determine factors that promote vertical movements and drive selection of destinations following vertical movements. Our results reveal that relatively high temperatures consistently drive uphill movements, while precipitation likely drives downhill movements. Furthermore, bighorn select destinations at their peak annual biomass and maximal time since snowmelt. These results indicate that although Sierra Nevada bighorn sheep seek out foraging opportunities related to landscape phenology, they compensate for short-term environmental stressors by undertaking brief up- and downslope vertical movements. Migrants may therefore be impacted by future warming and increased storm frequency or intensity, with shifts in annual migration timing, and fine-scale vertical movement responses to environmental variability.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    This study was to investigate the relationship between spring pollen distribution concentration, species and the detection results of air-borne pollen allergens in Taiyuan City, Shanxi Province during March to May 2022 and March to May 2023.A retrospective study was conducted in the Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery Clinic of the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University.Pollen particles will be monitored by gravity sedimentation method on the roof of the outpatient department of the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University in downtown Taiyuan from March to May 2022-2023, and pollen species and quantity will be observed and recorded under an optical microscope.The air-borne pollen allergen detection results of all allergic rhinitis patients in the otolaryngology Head and Neck surgery Department of the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University were extracted from the relevant outpatient system. SPSS software and Pearson correlation analysis were used to compare the correlation between the allergens and the dominant air-borne pollen monitoring results. Results are as follows: (1)A total of 18 species of spring pollen in Taiyuan City were monitored in 2022-2023, with 101 177.5 grains, and the dominant airborne pollen was poplar (16.69%) and pine (29.06%) pollen. The pollen of poplar (11.96%), elm (7.89%) and cypress (8.68%) were dominant in early spring; Pine (25.16%) pollen predominated in late spring. The two peaks of pollen dispersal in Taiyuan were in late March (15 479 grains) and early and mid May (15 094/15 343 grains).(2) The positive rates of allergens in serum specific IgE detection were: wormwood (46%, 248/541 cases), tree combination (26%, 143/541 cases), ragweed (19%, 101/541 cases), humulus scandens (9%, 49/541 cases).(3)There was a linear positive correlation between the positive rate of air-borne pollen allergens in allergic rhinitis patients in the Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery in the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and the dominant air-borne pollen concentration in the same period (P<0.05, r=0.999). In conclusion, two spring pollen dispersal peaks were formed in late March and early to mid May in Taiyuan City, and the dominant air-borne pollens were poplar and pine pollens. The positive rate of air borne pollen allergen sIgE showed that wormwood allergy was the highest.There was a positive correlation between the concentration of air-borne pollen and the positive rate of air-borne pollen allergens in patients with allergic rhinitis in the Department of otorhinolaryngology and head and neck surgery in Taiyuan in 2022 and 2023.The monitoring of pollen distribution in spring can provide an important scientific basis for clinical workers to formulate prevention and treatment plans for patients with allergic rhinitis in the season, and provide data reference for the epidemiological investigation of allergic diseases in Taiyuan in the future.
    本研究探讨山西省太原市2022年3—5月与2023年3—5月两年间春季花粉播散浓度、种类与患者气传花粉变应原检测结果的关系。采用回顾性研究方法,本研究于山西医科大学第一医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科门诊展开。2022—2023年两年的3—5月在位于太原市中心地区的山西医科大学第一医院门诊部楼顶,利用重力沉降法监测花粉颗粒,并在光学显微镜下观察记录花粉种类和数量。从门诊相关系统中提取所有同期山西医科大学第一医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科门诊过敏性鼻炎患者气传花粉变应原检测结果,利用SPSS软件并采用Pearson 相关性分析法比较其与优势气传花粉监测结果之间的相关性。结果显示,(1)共监测到2022—2023两年太原市春季花粉18种,101 177.5粒,优势气传花粉为杨树(16.69%)和松树(29.06%)花粉。早春以杨树(11.96%)、榆树(7.89%)、柏树(8.68%)花粉播散为主;晚春以松树(25.16%)花粉为主。太原市花粉播散两个高峰期为3月下旬(15 479粒)与5月上中旬(15 094/15 343粒)。(2)变应原血清特异性IgE检测中,变应原的检出阳性率依次是:蒿草(46%,248/541例)、树木组合(26%,143/541例)、豚草(19%,101/541例)、葎草(9%,49/541例)。(3)山西医科大学第一医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科门诊过敏性鼻炎患者气传花粉变应原检测结果阳性率与同期优势气传花粉浓度之间存在线性正相关(P<0.05,r=0.999)。综上,太原市3月下旬与5月上中旬形成两个春季花粉播散高峰期,优势气传花粉为杨树和松树花粉;气传花粉变应原sIgE结果阳性率显示蒿草过敏阳性率最高;2022—2023年两年间太原春季优势气传花粉浓度同耳鼻咽喉头颈外科门诊过敏性鼻炎患者的气传花粉变应原检测结果阳性率呈正相关。春季花粉播散规律的监测,能为制定当季过敏性鼻炎患者预防与治疗方案提供重要依据,并为今后太原市过敏性疾病的流行病学调查提供数据参考。.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生物相互作用在塑造全球生物多样性模式中起着至关重要的作用。尽管一些宏观生态学研究提供了热带地区与高纬度地区相比捕食能力更强的证据,即使在热带地区,结果也是可变的,这种可变性的驱动因素还没有得到很好的理解。我们对无柄海洋无脊椎动物猎物及其相关捕食者的群落进行了两项互补的标准化实验,以测试巴拿马热带大西洋和太平洋海岸线上捕食的空间和季节差异。我们进一步检验了更高的捕食者多样性有助于更强的捕食影响的预测,利用捕食者的直接观察和广泛的珊瑚礁调查数据。我们的结果表明,太平洋的捕食率和捕食者对猎物的影响明显高于大西洋,在热带地区表现出惊人的变化。虽然大西洋区域捕食者的多样性很高,局部尺度的功能多样性明显较低。太平洋的捕食强度峰值发生在潮湿时期,非上升流季节,当海洋温度较高时,捕食者群落在功能上更加多样化。我们的结果强调了区域生物和非生物驱动因素的重要性,这些驱动因素塑造了相互作用强度和热带群落的维持。正在经历快速的环境变化。
    Biotic interactions play a critical role in shaping patterns of global biodiversity. While several macroecological studies provide evidence for stronger predation in tropical regions compared with higher latitudes, results are variable even within the tropics, and the drivers of this variability are not well understood. We conducted two complementary standardized experiments on communities of sessile marine invertebrate prey and their associated predators to test for spatial and seasonal differences in predation across the tropical Atlantic and Pacific coastlines of Panama. We further tested the prediction that higher predator diversity contributes to stronger impacts of predation, using both direct observations of predators and data from extensive reef surveys. Our results revealed substantially higher predation rates and stronger effects of predators on prey in the Pacific than in the Atlantic, demonstrating striking variation within tropical regions. While regional predator diversity was high in the Atlantic, functional diversity at local scales was markedly low. Peak predation strength in the Pacific occurred during the wet, non-upwelling season when ocean temperatures were warmer and predator communities were more functionally diverse. Our results highlight the importance of regional biotic and abiotic drivers that shape interaction strength and the maintenance of tropical communities, which are experiencing rapid environmental change.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鸟类移民能否适应不断变化的世界取决于遗传和环境变化对移民时间和方向的相对重要性。在关于鸟类迁徙的一系列经典田间试验中,A.C.Perdeck发现易位的少年未能到达目标区域,而易位的成年人则执行“真正的目标导航”。他对>14000只普通八哥(Sturnusvulgaris)的易位表明,遗传机制将少年引导到特定的种群方向,即\'矢量导航\'。然而,不能排除涉及青少年释放后社会学习的替代解释.通过添加来自易位站点的历史数据,在Perdeck\的天中不可用的数据,通过包括原始数据在内的综合分析,我们无法解释青少年在发布时可能从社会信息中迁移。尽管他们具有高度的社会性行为,我们的发现与幼年八哥遵循遗传信息并独立到达冬季的想法是一致的。类似于更多单独迁徙的鸣鸟,八哥需要基因变化来调整迁徙路线,以应对全球变化。
    Whether avian migrants can adapt to their changing world depends on the relative importance of genetic and environmental variation for the timing and direction of migration. In the classic series of field experiments on avian migration, A. C. Perdeck discovered that translocated juveniles failed to reach goal areas, whereas translocated adults performed \'true-goal navigation\'. His translocations of > 14 000 common starlings (Sturnus vulgaris) suggested that genetic mechanisms guide juveniles into a population-specific direction, i.e. \'vector navigation\'. However, alternative explanations involving social learning after release in juveniles could not be excluded. By adding historical data from translocation sites, data that was unavailable in Perdeck\'s days, and by integrated analyses including the original data, we could not explain juvenile migrations from possible social information upon release. Despite their highly social behaviour, our findings are consistent with the idea that juvenile starlings follow inherited information and independently reach their winter quarters. Similar to more solitarily migrating songbirds, starlings would require genetic change to adjust the migration route in response to global change.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:空气污染对于像印度这样的发展中国家来说是一个重要问题,空气质量指数(AQI)预测有助于提前预测空气质量水平,并允许个人采取预防措施来保护他们的健康。
    目的:该研究旨在预测工业区的AQI(SIDCUL,HaridwarCity)使用时间序列回归模型。
    方法:从Haridwar市SIDCUL地区的北阿坎德邦污染控制委员会收集了三年的现有AQI数据点(COVID-19后),并试图了解随后12个月的AQI值状况。通过分解过程可以看到趋势和季节性成分。Further,在最终确定最适合预测AQI值的时间序列模型之前,应用增强的Dickey-Fuller检验来检查序列的平稳性.
    结果:借助自相关函数(ACF)/部分ACF图,选择了具有最小akaike信息准则(253.143)和平均绝对百分比误差(17.42%)的季节性自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)(0,1,0)(1,0,0)[12]模型。还预测了下一年该工业区(SIDCUL)的AQI值。
    结论:季节性ARIMA(0,1,0)(1,0,0)[12]模型可能有助于预测非平稳时间序列数据集的AQI值。研究表明,SIDCUL地区的空气将受到中度污染,并可能对哮喘患者的健康造成呼吸不适。科学家可能会将此模型应用于该国的其他污染地区,以便公众和政府可以提前采取预防措施。
    BACKGROUND: Air pollution is a significant issue for a developing country like India and the air quality index (AQI) forecasting helps to predict air quality levels in advance and allows individuals to take precautionary measures to protect their health.
    OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to forecast the AQI for an industrial area (SIDCUL, Haridwar City) using a time series regression model.
    METHODS: Three years of existing AQI data points (post-COVID-19) were collected from the Uttarakhand Pollution Control Board for the SIDCUL area of Haridwar City and tried to know the status of AQI values for the following 12 months. Trend and seasonality components were seen through the decomposition process. Further, the augmented Dickey-Fuller test was applied to check the stationarity of the series before finalizing the best-suited time series model for forecasting the AQI values.
    RESULTS: With the help of autocorrelation function (ACF)/partial ACF plots, a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) (0,1,0) (1,0,0)[12] model was selected with the minimum akaike information criterion (253.143) and mean absolute percentage error (17.42%). The AQI values have also been forecasted for this industrial area (SIDCUL) for the following year.
    CONCLUSIONS: The seasonal ARIMA (0,1,0) (1,0,0)[12] model may be helpful to forecast the AQI values for a nonstationary time series dataset. Research indicates that the air of the SIDCUL area will become moderately polluted and may cause breathing discomfort to asthma patients\' health. The scientists might apply this model to other polluted regions of the country so that the public and the government can take preventive measures in advance.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

公众号