Prediction models

预测模型
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    及时准确地获取作物生长信息是实施作物生长智能化管理的前提,和便携式多光谱成像设备为监测田间作物生长提供了可靠的工具。满足在宽波段范围内获取作物光谱信息的需求,实现多种生长特征的实时判读,我们开发了一种基于作物生长光谱传感的新型便携式快照多光谱成像作物生长传感器(PSMICGS)。设计了一种利用马赛克滤光片光谱结合二向色镜光束分离的宽带共光路成像系统,以获取宽带范围内的作物光谱信息,并增强了设备的便携性和集成性。此外,传感器信息和作物生长监测模型,与基于嵌入式控制模块的处理器系统耦合,旨在实时解释水稻和小麦的地上生物量(AGB)和叶面积指数(LAI)。田间试验表明,水稻AGB和LAI的预测模型,使用PSMICGS建造的,确定系数(R²)为0.7,均方根误差(RMSE)值分别为1.611t/ha和1.051。对于小麦,AGB和LAI预测模型的R²值分别为0.72和0.76,和RMSE值分别为1.711吨/公顷和0.773。总之,这项研究为监测田间作物生长提供了基础工具,这对促进优质高产作物具有重要意义。
    The timely and accurate acquisition of crop-growth information is a prerequisite for implementing intelligent crop-growth management, and portable multispectral imaging devices offer reliable tools for monitoring field-scale crop growth. To meet the demand for obtaining crop spectra information over a wide band range and to achieve the real-time interpretation of multiple growth characteristics, we developed a novel portable snapshot multispectral imaging crop-growth sensor (PSMICGS) based on the spectral sensing of crop growth. A wide-band co-optical path imaging system utilizing mosaic filter spectroscopy combined with dichroic mirror beam separation is designed to acquire crop spectra information over a wide band range and enhance the device\'s portability and integration. Additionally, a sensor information and crop growth monitoring model, coupled with a processor system based on an embedded control module, is developed to enable the real-time interpretation of the aboveground biomass (AGB) and leaf area index (LAI) of rice and wheat. Field experiments showed that the prediction models for rice AGB and LAI, constructed using the PSMICGS, had determination coefficients (R²) of 0.7 and root mean square error (RMSE) values of 1.611 t/ha and 1.051, respectively. For wheat, the AGB and LAI prediction models had R² values of 0.72 and 0.76, respectively, and RMSE values of 1.711 t/ha and 0.773, respectively. In summary, this research provides a foundational tool for monitoring field-scale crop growth, which is important for promoting high-quality and high-yield crops.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    疾病相关的营养不良是癌症患者中普遍存在的问题,影响大约40-80%的接受治疗的人。这种情况与许多不良后果有关,包括延长住院时间,发病率和死亡率增加,伤口愈合延迟,肌肉功能受损,整体生活质量下降。此外,营养不良严重阻碍患者对各种癌症疗法的耐受性,比如手术,化疗,和放射治疗,导致副作用增加,治疗延误,术后并发症,和更高的转诊率。目前,许多国家和地区已经建立了客观的评估模型来预测癌症患者营养不良的风险。随着人工智能等先进技术的出现,与传统方法相比,新的建模技术在准确性方面具有潜在优势。本文旨在提供最新开发的预测癌症患者营养不良风险的模型的详尽概述。在临床决策期间为医疗保健专业人员提供有价值的指导,并为将来开发更有效的风险预测模型提供参考。
    Disease-related malnutrition is a prevalent issue among cancer patients, affecting approximately 40-80% of those undergoing treatment. This condition is associated with numerous adverse outcomes, including extended hospitalization, increased morbidity and mortality, delayed wound healing, compromised muscle function and reduced overall quality of life. Moreover, malnutrition significantly impedes patients\' tolerance of various cancer therapies, such as surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy, resulting in increased adverse effects, treatment delays, postoperative complications, and higher referral rates. At present, numerous countries and regions have developed objective assessment models to predict the risk of malnutrition in cancer patients. As advanced technologies like artificial intelligence emerge, new modeling techniques offer potential advantages in accuracy over traditional methods. This article aims to provide an exhaustive overview of recently developed models for predicting malnutrition risk in cancer patients, offering valuable guidance for healthcare professionals during clinical decision-making and serving as a reference for the development of more efficient risk prediction models in the future.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这篇叙述性综述侧重于临床预测模型在支持重症监护中的知情决策中的作用。强调他们的两种形式:传统分数和基于人工智能(AI)的模型。承认这两种类型都有可能嵌入偏见,作者强调了批判性评估对增加我们对模型的信任的重要性。作者概述了管理AI模型中偏差风险的建议和重症监护示例。作者主张加强对临床医生的跨学科培训,鼓励他们探索各种资源(书籍,期刊,新闻网站,和社交媒体)和事件(Datathons),以加深他们对偏见风险的理解。
    This narrative review focuses on the role of clinical prediction models in supporting informed decision-making in critical care, emphasizing their 2 forms: traditional scores and artificial intelligence (AI)-based models. Acknowledging the potential for both types to embed biases, the authors underscore the importance of critical appraisal to increase our trust in models. The authors outline recommendations and critical care examples to manage risk of bias in AI models. The authors advocate for enhanced interdisciplinary training for clinicians, who are encouraged to explore various resources (books, journals, news Web sites, and social media) and events (Datathons) to deepen their understanding of risk of bias.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    剪切强度(SS)参数对于理解材料的力学行为至关重要。特别是在岩土工程和岩石力学。本研究提出了一种新颖的分层集成模型(HEM)来预测SS参数:内聚力(C)和内部摩擦角(φ)。HEM解决了传统机器学习模型的局限性。使用留一法交叉验证(LOOCV)和袋外(OOB)评估方法验证了其性能。用R平方相关(R2)评估模型的准确性,绝对平均相对误差百分比(AREP),泰勒图,和分位数-分位数图。计算结果表明,所提出的HEM优于使用相同数据库的先前研究。该模型预测φ和C的R2值分别为0.93和0.979。对于φ,AAREP值为1.96%,对于C,AAREP值为4.7%。这些结果表明,HEM显著提高了φ和C的预测质量,具有很强的泛化能力。敏感性分析表明,σ_3maxσ3max(最大主应力)对φ和C的建模影响最大。根据不确定性分析,LOOCV和OOB对φ和C参数具有最宽的不确定带,分别。
    Shear strength (SS) parameters are essential for understanding the mechanical behavior of materials, particularly in geotechnical engineering and rock mechanics. This study proposes a novel hierarchical ensemble model (HEM) to predict SS parameters: cohesion ( C ) and angle of internal friction ( φ ). The HEM addresses the limitations of traditional machine learning models. Its performance was validated using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) and out-of-bag (OOB) evaluation methods. The model\'s accuracy was assessed with R-squared correlation (R2), absolute average relative error percentage (AAREP), Taylor diagrams, and quantile-quantile plots. The computational results demonstrated that the proposed HEM outperforms previous studies using the same database. The model predicted φ and C with R2 values of 0.93 and 0.979, respectively. The AAREP values were 1.96% for φ and 4.7% for C . These results indicate that the HEM significantly improves the prediction quality of φ and C , and exhibits strong generalization capability. Sensitivity analysis revealed that σ_3maxσ3max (maximum principal stress) had the greatest impact on modeling both φ and C . According to uncertainty analysis, the LOOCV and OOB had the widest uncertainty bands for the φ and C parameters, respectively.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大麻被培养用于治疗和娱乐目的,其中δ-9四氢大麻酚(THC)是其治疗效果的主要目标。随着全球大麻产业和大麻素研究的扩大,用于确定大麻素浓度的更有效和更具成本效益的分析方法将有利于提高效率和最大限度地提高生产率。利用机器学习工具开发基于近红外(NIR)光谱的预测模型,这已经通过准确和灵敏的化学分析得到了验证,如气相色谱(GC)或液相色谱质谱(LCMS),是必不可少的。以往针对脱羧大麻素的大麻素预测模型研究,如THC,而不是天然存在的前体,四氢大麻酚酸(THCA),并利用细磨的大麻花序。目前的研究重点是在收获前建立整个大麻花序中THCA浓度的预测模型,通过采用非破坏性筛选技术,因此中耕者可以实时快速表征高性能品种的化学型,从而有利于有针对性地优化杂交育种工作。使用近红外光谱和LCMS创建预测模型,我们可以区分高THCA和甚至比率类别,预测精度为100%。我们还开发了THCA浓度的预测模型,R2=0.78,预测误差平均值为13%。这项研究证明了便携式手持NIR设备在收获前预测整个大麻样品的THCA浓度的可行性。允许更早地评估大麻素的概况,因此增加了高通量和快速的能力。
    Cannabis is cultivated for therapeutic and recreational purposes where delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) is a main target for its therapeutic effects. As the global cannabis industry and research into cannabinoids expands, more efficient and cost-effective analysis methods for determining cannabinoid concentrations will be beneficial to increase efficiencies and maximize productivity. The utilization of machine learning tools to develop near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy-based prediction models, which have been validated from accurate and sensitive chemical analysis, such as gas chromatography (GC) or liquid chromatography mass spectroscopy (LCMS), is essential. Previous research on cannabinoid prediction models targeted decarboxylated cannabinoids, such as THC, rather than the naturally occurring precursor, tetrahydrocannabinolic acid (THCA), and utilize finely ground cannabis inflorescence. The current study focuses on building prediction models for THCA concentrations in whole cannabis inflorescences prior to harvest, by employing non-destructive screening techniques so cultivators may rapidly characterize high-performing cultivars for chemotype in real time, thus facilitating targeted optimization of crossbreeding efforts. Using NIR spectroscopy and LCMS to create prediction models we can differentiate between high-THCA and even ratio classes with 100% prediction accuracy. We have also developed prediction models for THCA concentration with a R2 = 0.78 with a prediction error average of 13%. This study demonstrates the viability of a portable handheld NIR device to predict THCA concentrations on whole cannabis samples before harvest, allowing the evaluation of cannabinoid profiles to be made earlier, therefore increasing high-throughput and rapid capabilities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    镉(Cd)的土壤污染会对健康和环境造成严重影响。该研究调查了几种土壤样品的培养,并进行了定量土壤表征,以评估生物炭(BC)对Cd吸附的影响。目的是使用取决于土壤特性的统计和建模方法来开发Cd浓度的预测模型。与土壤中BC吸附Cd的转化和固定有关的潜在风险可以通过pH值进行保守评估。粘土,阳离子交换能力,有机碳,和导电性。在这项研究中,长短期记忆(LSTM)双向门控递归单元(BiGRU),并将5层CNN卷积神经网络(CNN)应用于风险评估,以建立评估BC修正土壤中Cd风险的框架,以预测Cd的转化。在对照土壤(CK)的情况下,BiGRU模型表现出了值得称赞的性能,R2值为0.85,表明实际Cd的方差约为85.37%。LSTM模型,包含序列数据,产生不太准确的结果(R2=0.84),而5层CNN模型的R2值为0.91,表明CNN模型可以占实际Cd水平变化的91%以上。在施用BC的土壤的情况下,BiGRU模型证明了预测值和实际值与R2(0.93)之间的强相关性,表明该模型解释了Cd浓度变化的93.21%。同样,LSTM模型显示,与BC处理的土壤数据相比,性能显着提高。该模型的R2值为稳健的R2(0.94),反映了随着BC掺入,其预测Cd水平的能力增强。优于两个循环模型,5层CNN模型的精度最高,R2值为0.95,表明实际Cd数据中95.58%的方差可以用CNN模型在BC修正土壤中的预测来解释。因此,这项研究建议开发生态土壤修复策略,可以有效地管理土壤中的重金属污染,以实现环境可持续性。
    Soil pollution with cadmium (Cd) poses serious health and environmental consequences. The study investigated the incubation of several soil samples and conducted quantitative soil characterization to assess the influence of biochar (BC) on Cd adsorption. The aim was to develop predictive models for Cd concentrations using statistical and modeling approaches dependent on soil characteristics. The potential risk linked to the transformation and immobilization of Cd adsorption by BC in the soil could be conservatively assessed by pH, clay, cation exchange capacity, organic carbon, and electrical conductivity. In this study, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), and 5-layer CNN Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) were applied for risk assessments to establish a framework for evaluating Cd risk in BC amended soils to predict Cd transformation. In the case of control soils (CK), the BiGRU model showed commendable performance, with an R2 value of 0.85, indicating an approximate 85.37% variance in the actual Cd. The LSTM model, which incorporates sequence data, produced less accurate results (R2=0.84), while the 5-layer CNN model had an R2 value of 0.91, indicating that the CNN model could account for over 91% of the variation in actual Cd levels. In the case of BC-applied soils, the BiGRU model demonstrated a strong correlation between predicted and actual values with R2 (0.93), indicating that the model explained 93.21% of the variance in Cd concentrations. Similarly, the LSTM model showed a notable increase in performance with BC-treated soil data. The R2 value for this model stands at a robust R2 (0.94), reflecting its enhanced ability to predict Cd levels with BC incorporation. Outperforming both recurrent models, the 5-layer CNN model attained the highest precision with an R2 value of 0.95, suggesting that 95.58% of the variance in the actual Cd data can be explained by the CNN model\'s predictions in BC-amended soils. Consequently, this study suggests developing ecological soil remediation strategies that can effectively manage heavy metal pollution in soils for environmental sustainability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:研究炎症是否与2型糖尿病患者的死亡风险相关,并有助于预测2型糖尿病患者的死亡风险。探讨炎症和色氨酸代谢对死亡风险的交织关系。
    方法:两个前瞻性队列:总Gargano死亡率研究(1,731人;872例全因死亡)作为发现样本,Foggia死亡率研究(490例;256例死亡)作为验证样本。测量了27种炎性标志物。进行了因果介导分析和体外研究,以探索炎症标志物与犬尿氨酸与色氨酸比率(KTR)在形成死亡风险中的联系。
    结果:使用多变量逐步Cox回归分析,IL-4、IL-6、IL-8、IL-13、RANTES和IP-10与死亡独立相关。在发现和验证队列中,包含这六种分子的炎症评分(I评分)与死亡密切相关HR(95CI)=2.13(1.91-2.37)和2.20(1.79-2.72),分别。I-score改善了基于临床变量的两种死亡率预测模型的辨别和重新分类措施(均P<0.01)。因果中介分析显示,28%的KTR对死亡率的影响是由IP-10介导的。在培养的内皮细胞中的研究表明,5-甲氧基色氨酸,一种来源于色氨酸的抗炎代谢产物,降低IP-10的表达,从而为观察到的因果中介提供了功能基础。
    结论:将I评分添加到临床预测模型中可能有助于识别死亡风险更大的个体。深入解决低度炎症和色氨酸代谢失衡在形成死亡风险中的交织关系可能有助于发现针对以这些异常为特征的患者的新疗法。
    OBJECTIVE: To study whether inflammation is associated with and helps predict mortality risk in patients with type 2 diabetes. To explore the intertwined link between inflammation and tryptophan metabolism on death risk.
    METHODS: Two prospective cohorts: the aggregate Gargano Mortality Study (1,731 individuals; 872 all-cause deaths) as discovery sample, the Foggia Mortality Study (490 individuals; 256 deaths) as validation sample. Twenty-seven inflammatory markers were measured. Causal mediation analysis and in vitro studies were carried out to explore the link between inflammatory markers and the kynurenine-to-tryptophan ratio (KTR) in shaping mortality risk.
    RESULTS: Using multivariable stepwise Cox regression analysis, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-13, RANTES and IP-10, were independently associated with death. An inflammation score (I-score) comprising these six molecules is strongly associated with death in both the discovery and the validation cohorts HR (95%CI) = 2.13 (1.91-2.37) and 2.20 (1.79-2.72), respectively. The I-score improved discrimination and reclassification measures (all P<0.01) of two mortality prediction models based on clinical variables. The causal mediation analysis showed that 28% of the KTR effect on mortality was mediated by IP-10. Studies in cultured endothelial cells showed that 5-Methoxy-tryptophan, an anti-inflammatory metabolite derived from tryptophan, reduces the expression of IP-10, thus providing a functional basis for the observed causal mediation.
    CONCLUSIONS: Adding the I-score to clinical prediction models may help identify individuals who are at greater risk of death. Deeply addressing the intertwined relationship between low-grade inflammation and imbalanced tryptophan metabolism in shaping mortality risk may help discover new therapies targeting patients characterized by these abnormalities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:类风湿性关节炎(RA)患者发生严重感染(SI)的风险增加没有RA的个体;在该患者组中预测SI的努力正在进行中。我们使用托法替尼RA临床试验计划的基线数据评估了不同机器学习建模方法预测SI的能力。
    方法:该分析包括来自19项临床试验的数据(2期,n=10;3期,n=6;3b/4期,n=3)。每天两次(BID)接受托法替尼5或10mg的RA患者被纳入分析;每天一次接受托法替尼11mg的患者被视为托法替尼5mgBID。提取所有可用的患者水平基线变量。统计和机器学习方法(逻辑回归,具有线性核的支持向量机,随机森林,极端梯度增强树,和增强的树)被实施以评估基线变量与SI(仅逻辑回归)的关联,并使用5倍交叉验证选择的基线变量来预测SI。每个预测模型单独处理缺失值。
    结果:共有8404例接受托法替尼治疗的RA患者符合纳入条件(总随访15,310例患者-年),其中473例患者报告了SI。在其他基线因素中,年龄,以前的感染,皮质类固醇的使用与SI显著相关。在对来自所有研究的数据应用SI预测建模时,受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)范围为0.656~0.739.在3期和3b/4期研究的数据中,AUROC值范围为0.599至0.730,以及仅来自口腔监测的数据从0.563到0.643。
    结论:托法替尼RA临床试验项目中与SI相关的基线因素与已确定的RA晚期治疗相关的SI危险因素相似。此外,虽然预测SI的模型性能与其他已发布的模型相似,未达到准确预测的阈值(AUROC>0.85).因此,在基线时预测SIs的发生仍然具有挑战性,并且随着时间的推移,RA的病程可能会发生变化。可能需要包括其他与患者相关和医疗保健交付相关的因素,并协调模型中包括的研究持续时间,以改善预测。
    背景:ClinicalTrials.gov:NCT00147498;NCT00413660;NCT00550446;NCT00603512;NCT00687193;NCT01164579;NCT00976599;NCT01059864;NCT01318135150;NCT021475445;NCT
    BACKGROUND: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have an increased risk of developing serious infections (SIs) vs. individuals without RA; efforts to predict SIs in this patient group are ongoing. We assessed the ability of different machine learning modeling approaches to predict SIs using baseline data from the tofacitinib RA clinical trials program.
    METHODS: This analysis included data from 19 clinical trials (phase 2, n = 10; phase 3, n = 6; phase 3b/4, n = 3). Patients with RA receiving tofacitinib 5 or 10 mg twice daily (BID) were included in the analysis; patients receiving tofacitinib 11 mg once daily were considered as tofacitinib 5 mg BID. All available patient-level baseline variables were extracted. Statistical and machine learning methods (logistic regression, support vector machines with linear kernel, random forest, extreme gradient boosting trees, and boosted trees) were implemented to assess the association of baseline variables with SI (logistic regression only), and to predict SI using selected baseline variables using 5-fold cross-validation. Missing values were handled individually per prediction model.
    RESULTS: A total of 8404 patients with RA treated with tofacitinib were eligible for inclusion (15,310 patient-years of total follow-up) of which 473 patients reported SIs. Amongst other baseline factors, age, previous infection, and corticosteroid use were significantly associated with SI. When applying prediction modeling for SI across data from all studies, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve ranged from 0.656 to 0.739. AUROC values ranged from 0.599 to 0.730 in data from phase 3 and 3b/4 studies, and from 0.563 to 0.643 in data from ORAL Surveillance only.
    CONCLUSIONS: Baseline factors associated with SIs in the tofacitinib RA clinical trial program were similar to established SI risk factors associated with advanced treatments for RA. Furthermore, while model performance in predicting SI was similar to other published models, this did not meet the threshold for accurate prediction (AUROC > 0.85). Thus, predicting the occurrence of SIs at baseline remains challenging and may be complicated by the changing disease course of RA over time. Inclusion of other patient-associated and healthcare delivery-related factors and harmonization of the duration of studies included in the models may be required to improve prediction.
    BACKGROUND: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00147498; NCT00413660; NCT00550446; NCT00603512; NCT00687193; NCT01164579; NCT00976599; NCT01059864; NCT01359150; NCT02147587; NCT00960440; NCT00847613; NCT00814307; NCT00856544; NCT00853385; NCT01039688; NCT02187055; NCT02831855; NCT02092467.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    甲状腺眼病(TED)是一种自身免疫性眼眶疾病,以静脉内糖皮质激素(IVGC)治疗为一线治疗。由于不确定的反应率和可能的副作用,已经开发了各种预测模型来预测IVGC治疗结果.
    在PubMed中进行了彻底的搜索,Embase,和WebofScience数据库。数据提取包括出版物详细信息,预测模型内容,和性能。采用R软件进行统计学分析,包括异质性评价,出版偏见,亚组分析,和敏感性分析。森林地块用于结果可视化。
    在12项符合条件的研究中,提取了47个预测模型。所有纳入的研究均表现出低至中等的偏倚风险。受试者工作特征曲线下的合并面积(AUC)以及模型的组合灵敏度和特异性分别为0.81、0.75和0.79。鉴于异质性,进行了多元荟萃回归和亚组分析,表明标记和模型类型可能是异质性的可能原因(P<0.001)。值得注意的是,仅影像学指标(AUC=0.81)或临床特征结合其他标志物(AUC=0.87),结合多元回归(AUC=0.84)或影像组学分析(AUC=0.91),产生了稳健可靠的预测结果。
    本荟萃分析全面回顾了TEDIVGC治疗反应的预测模型。它强调了将临床特征与实验室或影像学指标相结合,并采用多变量回归或影像组学分析等先进技术显着增强了预测的功效。我们的研究结果提供了有价值的见解,可以指导未来对TEDIVGC治疗预测模型的研究。
    UNASSIGNED: Thyroid eye disease (TED) is an autoimmune orbital disease, with intravenous glucocorticoid (IVGC) therapy as the first-line treatment. Due to uncertain response rates and possible side effects, various prediction models have been developed to predict IVGC therapy outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: A thorough search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Data extraction included publication details, prediction model content, and performance. Statistical analysis was performed using R software, including heterogeneity evaluation, publication bias, subgroup analysis, and sensitivity analysis. Forest plots were utilized for result visualization.
    UNASSIGNED: Of the 12 eligible studies, 47 prediction models were extracted. All included studies exhibited a low-to-moderate risk of bias. The pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the combined sensitivity and specificity for the models were 0.81, 0.75, and 0.79, respectively. In view of heterogeneity, multiple meta-regression and subgroup analysis were conducted, which showed that marker and modeling types may be the possible causes of heterogeneity (P < 0.001). Notably, imaging metrics alone (AUC = 0.81) or clinical characteristics combined with other markers (AUC = 0.87), incorporating with multivariate regression (AUC = 0.84) or radiomics analysis (AUC = 0.91), yielded robust and reliable prediction outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: This meta-analysis comprehensively reviews the predictive models for IVGC therapy response in TED. It underscores that integrating clinical characteristics with laboratory or imaging indicators and employing advanced techniques like multivariate regression or radiomics analysis significantly enhance the efficacy of prediction. Our research findings offer valuable insights that can guide future studies on prediction models for IVGC therapy in TED.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:它阐明了在识别和管理高风险闷烧型多发性骨髓瘤(SMM)方面的进展,从观察策略转向干预方法。它强调了将高风险SMM与较不积极的SMM区分开来以防止进展为多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的重要性。
    结果:最近的发展改善了SMM风险分层,整合临床,分子和生物学标记,以准确识别高风险个体。结合疾病演变的动态风险模型的出现和新型诊断技术的应用正在增强对SMM的理解。临床试验探索低强度到高强度的干预措施,在延缓MM发病和改善患者预后方面显示出希望。高风险SMM管理发生重大变化,倾向于早期干预和精准医疗。现在的重点是完善这些方法,探索新的治疗方法,并证明早期干预对最终改善SMM患者护理和预后的持续益处。
    OBJECTIVE: It elucidates advancements in identifying and managing high-risk smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM), moving from observation strategies to intervention approaches. It highlights the significance of differentiating high-risk SMM from its less aggressive counterparts to prevent progression to multiple myeloma (MM).
    RESULTS: Recent developments have improved SMM risk-stratification, integrating clinical, molecular and biological markers to identify high-risk individuals accurately. The advent of dynamic risk models that incorporate disease evolution and the application of novel diagnostic technologies are enhancing the understanding of SMM. Clinical trials exploring low to high intensity interventions, have shown promise in delaying MM onset and improving patient prognosis. There is a significant change in high-risk SMM management, leaning towards early intervention and precision medicine. The focus now is on refining these approaches, exploring new treatments, and proving the sustained benefits of early interventions to ultimately improve SMM patient care and outcomes.
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