Participatory modelling

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    与专家的观点相比,地方观点为灾难规划和响应提供了不同的见解。引诱他们,然而,可能是具有挑战性的,特别是对于那些观点在历史上被排除在规划过程之外的边缘化群体。模糊认知映射(FCM)提供了一种半定量方法来表示不同个体和社区的集体理解或“心理模型”。这项研究涉及对圣马丁三个社区的23次FCM访谈,以了解:(i)飓风伊尔玛(2017)的个人心理模型如何根据其背景而有所不同;(ii)心理模型与政策和规划文件的一致性;(iii)对灾难应对政策的包容性和代表性的影响。研究发现,不同社区的居民对驱动社会生态系统的因素提供了独特的见解,官方政策与优先事项密切相关。本文认为,将不同群体的观点纳入灾难恢复对于公平的过程至关重要。
    Local perspectives provide different insights into disaster planning and response as compared to those of experts. Eliciting them, however, can be challenging, particularly for marginalised groups whose viewpoints have historically been excluded from planning processes. Fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) provides a semi-quantitative approach to representing the collective understanding or \'mental models\' of diverse individuals and communities. This study involved 23 FCM interviews across three neighbourhoods of Saint Martin to comprehend: (i) how individuals\' mental models of Hurricane Irma (2017) differ based on their context; (ii) how aligned mental models are with policy and planning documents; and (iii) the implications for the inclusiveness and representativeness of disaster response policies. It found that the residents of different neighbourhoods provided unique insights into the factors driving the social-ecological system, and that official policies aligned closely with priorities. The paper argues that the inclusion of the perspectives of different groups in disaster recovery is essential for an equitable process.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:模糊认知映射(FCM)是一种图形技术,用于在广泛的应用中描述因果理解。此实践回顾总结了一组参与式研究专家和受训人员的经验,他们使用FCM将利益相关者的观点纳入应对健康挑战的过程中。从研究小组的一次会议上,本实践审查报告了2016年至2023年期间在9个国家使用FCM的25项经验。
    结果:方法,挑战和调整集中在参与式研究实践上。FCM描绘了多种知识来源:利益相关者知识,文献系统综述,和调查数据。方法学进步包括使用贝叶斯程序对比和组合来自不同来源的地图的技术,提高数据收集质量的协议,以及便于分析的工具。SummarygraphcommunicatingFCMfindingssaliseddetailbutfacilitatedstakeholdersdiscussionofthemostimportantrelationships.我们使用地图不是作为预测模型,而是为了揭示和分享变化如何发生的观点,并为对话提供信息。分析包括简单的手动技术和复杂的基于计算机的解决方案。广泛的启动经验,绘图,分析,并传达地图说明了FCM在不同上下文和技能基础上的灵活性。
    结论:强大的核心程序可以促进该技术的更强大应用,同时使FCM适应不同的研究环境。决策通常涉及在不确定性背景下的合理干预和对同一问题的多个可能答案之间的选择。FCM提供了系统和可追溯的方式来记录,对比,有时结合观点,结合利益相关者的经验和因果模型,为决策提供信息。FCM分析的不同深度为在技能有限的环境中应用该技术提供了机会。
    BACKGROUND: Fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) is a graphic technique to describe causal understanding in a wide range of applications. This practice review summarises the experience of a group of participatory research specialists and trainees who used FCM to include stakeholder views in addressing health challenges. From a meeting of the research group, this practice review reports 25 experiences with FCM in nine countries between 2016 and 2023.
    RESULTS: The methods, challenges and adjustments focus on participatory research practice. FCM portrayed multiple sources of knowledge: stakeholder knowledge, systematic reviews of literature, and survey data. Methodological advances included techniques to contrast and combine maps from different sources using Bayesian procedures, protocols to enhance the quality of data collection, and tools to facilitate analysis. Summary graphs communicating FCM findings sacrificed detail but facilitated stakeholder discussion of the most important relationships. We used maps not as predictive models but to surface and share perspectives of how change could happen and to inform dialogue. Analysis included simple manual techniques and sophisticated computer-based solutions. A wide range of experience in initiating, drawing, analysing, and communicating the maps illustrates FCM flexibility for different contexts and skill bases.
    CONCLUSIONS: A strong core procedure can contribute to more robust applications of the technique while adapting FCM for different research settings. Decision-making often involves choices between plausible interventions in a context of uncertainty and multiple possible answers to the same question. FCM offers systematic and traceable ways to document, contrast and sometimes to combine perspectives, incorporating stakeholder experience and causal models to inform decision-making. Different depths of FCM analysis open opportunities for applying the technique in skill-limited settings.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人们越来越要求决策者在应对复杂的城市挑战时采取不同的行动,认识到跨学科融合的价值,跨部门知识,以产生有效的解决方案。参与式建模允许将利益相关者聚集在一起,增强对系统的认识和理解,并确定干预措施对给定问题的影响。本文采用跨学科和系统的方法来研究一个复杂的城市问题,使用参与式系统动力学建模过程作为一种方法,以促进学习和共同产生有关影响城市自然空间使用的因素的知识。利益相关者使用了系统动力学模型和接口,作为一种工具,共同确定改善空间利用和模拟其影响的途径。在知识联合生产的镜头下,本文反映了这种机制如何导致知识和社会学习的共同产生。这些发现还有助于确定增加城市自然空间价值的方法,重点是正在经历自然和社会转型的城市地区,比如Thamesmead案例研究,伦敦,英国。
    Decision-makers are increasingly asked to act differently in how they respond to complex urban challenges, recognising the value in bringing together and integrating cross-disciplinary, cross-sectoral knowledge to generate effective solutions. Participatory modelling allows to bring stakeholders together, enhance knowledge and understanding of a system, and identify the impacts of interventions to a given problem. This paper uses an interdisciplinary and systems approach to investigate a complex urban problem, using a participatory System Dynamics modelling process as an approach to facilitate learning and co-produce knowledge on the factors influencing the use of urban natural space. Stakeholders used a Systems Dynamics model and interface, as a tool to collectively identify pathways for improving the use of space and simulating their impacts. Under the lens of knowledge co-production, the paper reflects how such mechanisms can lead to the co-production of knowledge and social learning. The findings also contribute to identify ways of increasing the value of urban natural space focusing on urban areas undergoing physical and social transformation, such as the Thamesmead case study, London, UK.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当我们面临复杂和动态变化的公共卫生和环境挑战时,模拟建模在公众参与政策中占据着越来越重要的角色。转变不仅发生在公众对建模的更广泛理解方面,而且在科学建模社区中如何概念化建模的价值。我们进行了批判性的文献综述,以综合潜在的认识论,关于模拟建模在一系列领域的文献中的作用和价值的理论和方法论假设(例如,健康,社会科学和环境管理)参与参与式建模方法。我们确定了跨不同研究传统建模价值的四个跨领域叙事概念化:(1)模型模拟并帮助解决复杂问题;(2)模型作为社区参与的工具;(3)模型作为建立共识的工具;(4)模型作为产生社会效应的不稳定技术。探索这些“价值”的想法是如何重叠的,以及它们彼此提供的东西,对参与式模拟建模方法的设计方式有影响,评估并传达给不同的受众。建议对模拟建模可以催化多种社会影响的条件进行更深入的了解。
    As we face complex and dynamically changing public health and environmental challenges, simulation modelling has come to occupy an increasingly central role in public engagements with policy. Shifts are occurring not only in terms of wider public understandings of modelling, but also in how the value of modelling is conceptualised within scientific modelling communities. We undertook a critical literature review to synthesise the underlying epistemic, theoretical and methodological assumptions about the role and value of simulation modelling within the literature across a range of fields (e.g., health, social science and environmental management) that engage with participatory modelling approaches. We identified four cross-cutting narrative conceptualisations of the value of modelling across different research traditions: (1) models simulate and help solve complex problems; (2) models as tools for community engagement; (3) models as tools for consensus building; (4) models as volatile technologies that generate social effects. Exploring how these ideas of \'value\' overlap and what they offer one another has implications for how participatory simulation modelling approaches are designed, evaluated and communicated to diverse audiences. Deeper appreciation of the conditions under which simulation modelling can catalyse multiple social effects is recommended.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    青年精神卫生部门一直受到服务分散和资源分配效率低下等问题的挑战。系统建模和仿真,特别是利用参与性方法,通过在现实世界中实施之前在安全的虚拟环境中测试替代策略,在有限的资源下支持循证决策方面提供了承诺。然而,需要改进评估工作,以了解青年心理健康系统和服务提供的参与性建模所涉及的关键要素,并改进方法。描述了一种评估方案来评估可行性,值,影响,以及参与式系统建模在为青年心理健康提供高级决策支持能力方面的可持续性。本研究采用多尺度综合评价框架,借鉴参与性行动研究原则和形成性原则,总结,process,和结果评估技术。提出了新的数据收集程序,包括包含游戏化功能的在线调查,以实现社交网络分析和患者旅程映射。评估方法还探讨了不同利益相关者的经验,包括患有精神疾病的年轻人。社会和技术机会将被发现,以及在复杂环境中实施这些跨学科方法以改善青年心理健康政策的挑战,规划,和结果。该研究协议也可以适应更广泛的国际应用,学科,和上下文。
    The youth mental health sector is persistently challenged by issues such as service fragmentation and inefficient resource allocation. Systems modelling and simulation, particularly utilizing participatory approaches, is offering promise in supporting evidence-informed decision making with limited resources by testing alternative strategies in safe virtual environments before implementing them in the real world. However, improved evaluation efforts are needed to understand the critical elements involved in and to improve methods for implementing participatory modelling for youth mental health system and service delivery. An evaluation protocol is described to evaluate the feasibility, value, impact, and sustainability of participatory systems modelling in delivering advanced decision support capabilities for youth mental health. This study applies a comprehensive multi-scale evaluation framework, drawing on participatory action research principles as well as formative, summative, process, and outcome evaluation techniques. Novel data collection procedures are presented, including online surveys that incorporate gamification to enable social network analysis and patient journey mapping. The evaluation approach also explores the experiences of diverse stakeholders, including young people with lived (or living) experience of mental illness. Social and technical opportunities will be uncovered, as well as challenges implementing these interdisciplinary methods in complex settings to improve youth mental health policy, planning, and outcomes. This study protocol can also be adapted for broader international applications, disciplines, and contexts.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Participatory modelling seeks to foster stakeholder engagement to better attune models to their decision-making and policy contexts. Such approaches are increasingly advocated for use in the field of health. We review the instrumental and epistemological claims made in support of participatory modelling approaches. These accentuate participatory models as offering a better evidence-base for health policy decisions. By drawing attention to recent modelling experiments in a sector outside of health, that of water management, we outline a different way of thinking about participation and modelling. Here, the participatory model is configured in relation to matters of \'knowledge controversy\', with modelling constituted as an \'evidence-making intervention\' in relation to the making of science and expertise. Rather than presenting participatory models as an improved technical solution to addressing given policy problems within an evidence-based intervention approach, models are alternatively potentiated as sites for the redistribution of expertise among actor networks as they seek to engage politically in a matter of concern. This leads us to consider possible new directions for participatory modelling in the field of health.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    一些障碍仍然阻碍基于自然的解决方案(NBS)的有效实施。在其他人中,这项工作侧重于合作障碍。NBS实施声称不同决策代理之间的有效合作。然而,问题框架中的歧义,这在多主体决策环境中是不可磨灭的,可能会造成合作障碍。这项工作旨在证明,可以通过增强决策代理之间的交互网络来克服NBS实施的协作障碍。为此,采用了一种基于社会网络分析与基于Agent的混合模型/系统动态模型集成的创新方法。分析结果用于设计网络干预措施,即使用社交网络特征的努力,可以增强决策主体之间的交互机制。所开发的方法在MedinadelCampo(西班牙)案例研究中实施。该地区的特点是Duero河流域最关键的地下水体之一。这项工作旨在支持实施适当的NBS,以阻止地下水状况和相关生态系统服务的退化。在NAIAD项目框架内开展的活动表明,通过加强互动机制,问题框架中的歧义仍然可以产生NBS实施的集体行动。
    Several barriers still hamper the effective implementation of Nature-Based Solutions (NBS). Among the others, this work focuses on collaboration barriers. NBS implementation claims for effective collaboration among different decision-agents. However, ambiguity in problem framings, which is ineradicable in multi-agents\' decision environments, could create collaboration barriers. This work aims to demonstrate that collaboration barriers to NBS implementation can be overcome by enhancing the network of interactions among the decision-agents. An innovative method based on the integration between Social Network Analysis and hybrid Agent-Based Model/System Dynamic Model was adopted to this aim. The analysis results were used for designing networking interventions, i.e. efforts using social network characteristics that could enhance interactions mechanisms among decision-agents. The developed method was implemented in the Medina del Campo (Spain) case study. This area is characterised by one of the most critical groundwater bodies of the Duero River Basin. This work aims at supporting the implementation of suitable NBS to stop the degradation of the groundwater status and associated ecosystem services. The activities carried out within the framework of the NAIAD project showed that, by enhancing the interaction mechanisms, ambiguity in problem frames can still yield collective actions for NBS implementation.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于自然的解决方案(NBS)在许多欧洲城市中越来越重要,以减少洪水的影响。然而,它们在减少农村地区干旱影响方面的有效性的证据很少。此外,忽略未来的气候条件或NBS应用的特定社会经济背景可能会降低其长期有效性。这项研究旨在强调开发有关气候变化影响的科学和定制信息的重要性,这是设计和实施NBS的前提。为此,建立了系统动态模型,以分析和了解NBS应对气候变化和社会经济背景的不同情景的动态行为。本文认识到所有社会层面的积极参与是增强和维持生态系统复原力的重要组成部分,因此,NBS1的有效性。因此,进行了参与式建模活动,以使利益相关者参与模型开发过程,以获取相关的自下而上的信息,并在图形结构中组织利益相关者的集体知识,以捕获系统的主要动态。MedinadelCampo地下水体用作分析框架。研究结果强调,需要开发有关气候变化对国家统计局影响的科学和定制信息,作为保持其长期有效性的必要前提。
    Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) have been gaining importance in many European cities to reduce floods\' impacts. However, evidence of their effectiveness in reducing the impacts of droughts in rural areas are scarce. Besides, ignoring future climate conditions or the specific socio-economic context in which NBS is applied could decrease their long-term effectiveness. This study aims to stress the importance of developing scientifically-based and customised information on climate change impacts as a precondition for designing and implementing NBS. For that, a System Dynamic model was developed to analyse and understand the dynamic behaviour of NBS responding to different scenarios of climate change and socio-economic contexts. This article recognises the proactive involvement at all societal levels as an essential component to enhance and maintain ecosystem resilience and, therefore, NBS1effectiveness. Thus, participatory modelling activities were carried out to engage stakeholders in the model development process to obtain relevant bottom-up information and organise stakeholders\' collective knowledge in a graphical structure that captures the system\'s main dynamics. The Medina del Campo Groundwater Body was used as a frame for the analysis. The study results highlight the need for developing scientifically-based and customised information on the impacts of climate change on NBS as an essential precondition to maintain their long-term effectiveness.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    水资源与农业生产之间存在的复杂关系在全球范围内不断增加。几个因素相互作用,影响水资源管理,使系统复杂和动态。为了增加对这些复杂和动态系统的理解,需要相关工具来识别驱动因素之间存在的因果关系及其对系统的影响。基于系统动力学方法的参与式建模提供了一种简化和可视化的工具,可以提高对复杂和动态系统功能的理解。本研究采用了多阶段参与式方法,涉及相关利益相关者使用因果循环图开发集成概念系统动态模型。之所以使用这种方法,是因为它在模型的开发过程中抓住了相关利益相关者的思维过程和心智模型,使其成为政府和个人层面政策和决策的宝贵工具。本研究中建立的集成模型使用因果循环图来解决布雷德河流域的水管理和农业可持续性问题。该模型显示了主要的因果关系和反馈循环,它们决定了整个系统的功能。该模型证明了参与式方法在解决与流域水管理和农业发展有关的问题方面的有用性。
    The complex relationship that exists between water resources and agricultural production has been increasing constantly globally. Several factors are interacting to influence the management of water resources making the system complex and dynamic. To increase the understanding of these complex and dynamic systems, relevant tools are needed to identify the causal relationships that exist between the drivers and their influences on the system. Participatory modelling based on the system dynamics approach provides a simplistic and visualisation tool that can improve the understanding of the functioning of a complex and dynamic system. A multi-stage participatory approach was used in this study involving relevant stakeholders in the development of an integrated conceptual system dynamic model using causal loop diagrams. This approach was used because it captures the thought process and mental model of relevant stakeholders in the development of the model, making it a valuable tool for policy and decision making at government and individual levels. The integrated model built in this study used causal loop diagrams to address problems of water management and agricultural sustainability in the Breede River Catchment. The model shows major causal-relationships and feedback loops that determine the functioning of the overall system. The model demonstrates the usefulness of the participatory approach in solving problems related to water management and agricultural development in the catchment.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The contribution of Nature Based Solutions (NBSs) for supporting climate change adaptation and water-related risks reduction is becoming increasingly relevant for policy and decision-makers, compared to \'grey infrastructures\', thanks to their capability to jointly deal with a multiplicity of societal and environmental challenges, producing several co-benefits besides limiting the impacts of water-related risks. Nevertheless, their mainstreaming is still limited by several barriers, which are often related to socio-institutional (e.g. limited cooperation and stakeholders\' involvement, limited awareness about NBSs impacts) rather than to technical aspects. In this context, innovative tools for NBSs planning, design, implementation and assessment are required, along with effective processes capable of supporting stakeholders\' participation. The present research aims to propose a shift in the approach to NBSs design, based on the early stakeholders\' involvement in the identification, modelling and performance assessment in terms of benefits and, particularly, co-benefits production. A multi-step methodology was implemented for the purpose, combining both individual and participatory activities. Reference is made to one of the case studies of the NAIAD project, namely the Balta Potelu Pond Area (Lower Danube, Romania). Causal Loop Diagrams (CLDs) were used to describe the system in terms of causal connections and mutual influences, incorporating stakeholders\' views and ideas. Inputs from both institutional (e.g. ministries and municipalities) and non-institutional stakeholders (e.g. NGOs and members of the local communities) were integrated. This allowed a comparative assessment of multiple NBSs, based on the analysis of benefits and co-benefits produced, as well as the identification of trade-offs among different stakeholders (e.g. the increase of agricultural production versus biodiversity conservation) and potential side effects. CLDs were then coupled with a Performance Matrix (a basic feature of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis) and fuzzy logic to help decision-makers identify the most suitable NBSs for the area. The whole process was aimed at facilitating the process of NBSs selection and analysis, while considering the multiple impacts associated with their implementation.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

公众号