Pareto solution

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在本文中,我们研究了早期论文结果的敏感性,该论文提出并分析了一个货币联盟的动态博弈模型,该模型具有政府(财政政策制定者)和共同中央银行(货币政策制定者)之间的联盟。在这里,我们检查基础模型参数的替代值,以显示早期结果如何取决于所选择的数值参数值,这是通过校准而不是计量经济学估计获得的。我们证明,对于合理的较小和较大的参数值,主要结果在质量上与原始模型相同。对于少数不同的情况,我们用经济术语解释偏差,并说明其中一个案例因考虑参数的变化而产生的政策及其宏观经济影响。
    In this paper, we examine the sensitivity of the results of an earlier paper which presented and analyzed a dynamic game model of a monetary union with coalitions between governments (fiscal policy makers) and a common central bank (monetary policy maker). Here we examine alternative values of the parameters of the underlying model to show how the earlier results depend on the numerical parameter values chosen, which were obtained by calibration instead of econometric estimation. We demonstrate that the main results are qualitatively the same as in the original model for plausible smaller and larger values of the parameters. For the few cases where they differ, we interpret the deviations in economic terms and illustrate the policies and their macroeconomic effects resulting from the change to the parameter under consideration for one of these cases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究引入了多目标肝癌算法(MOLCA),一种受肝脏肿瘤生长和增殖模式启发的新方法。MOLCA模仿肝脏肿瘤的进化趋势,利用它们的扩展动力学作为解决工程设计中的多目标优化问题的模型。该算法独特地将遗传算子与随机基于对立的学习(ROBL)策略相结合,优化本地和全局搜索功能。通过整合精英非主导排序(NDS),进一步增强信息反馈机制(IFM)和拥挤距离(CD)选择方法,它们的共同目标是有效地识别帕累托最优前沿。MOLCA的性能使用一套全面的标准多目标测试基准进行严格评估,包括ZDT,DTLZ和各种约束(CONSTR,TNK,SRN,BNH,OSY和KITA)和实际工程设计问题,例如无刷直流轮毂电机,安全隔离变压器,螺旋弹簧,双杆桁架和焊接梁。它的功效以突出的算法为基准,例如非主导排序灰狼优化器(NSGWO),多目标多逆优化(MOMVO),非支配排序遗传算法(NSGA-II),基于分解的多目标进化算法(MOEA/D)和多目标海洋捕食者算法(MOMPA)。使用GD进行定量分析,IGD,SP,SD,表示收敛和分布的HV和RT指标,而定性方面是通过帕累托战线的图形表示来呈现的。MOLCA源代码可在以下网址获得:https://github.com/kanak02/MOLCA。
    This research introduces the Multi-Objective Liver Cancer Algorithm (MOLCA), a novel approach inspired by the growth and proliferation patterns of liver tumors. MOLCA emulates the evolutionary tendencies of liver tumors, leveraging their expansion dynamics as a model for solving multi-objective optimization problems in engineering design. The algorithm uniquely combines genetic operators with the Random Opposition-Based Learning (ROBL) strategy, optimizing both local and global search capabilities. Further enhancement is achieved through the integration of elitist non-dominated sorting (NDS), information feedback mechanism (IFM) and Crowding Distance (CD) selection method, which collectively aim to efficiently identify the Pareto optimal front. The performance of MOLCA is rigorously assessed using a comprehensive set of standard multi-objective test benchmarks, including ZDT, DTLZ and various Constraint (CONSTR, TNK, SRN, BNH, OSY and KITA) and real-world engineering design problems like Brushless DC wheel motor, Safety isolating transformer, Helical spring, Two-bar truss and Welded beam. Its efficacy is benchmarked against prominent algorithms such as the non-dominated sorting grey wolf optimizer (NSGWO), multiobjective multi-verse optimization (MOMVO), non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II), decomposition-based multiobjective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA/D) and multiobjective marine predator algorithm (MOMPA). Quantitative analysis is conducted using GD, IGD, SP, SD, HV and RT metrics to represent convergence and distribution, while qualitative aspects are presented through graphical representations of the Pareto fronts. The MOLCA source code is available at: https://github.com/kanak02/MOLCA.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在本文中,我们分析了在存在外部冲击的情况下,与三个财政参与者(有关国家的政府)和一个共同中央银行的货币联盟的动态相互作用。该模型是针对欧元区进行校准的,包括一个财政上更坚实的核心区块,表示为国家1,以及一个财政上更不坚实的外围区块,由国家2和3表示。引入两个外围国家使我们能够捕捉到外围国家对可持续财政绩效目标的不同态度。此外,本研究对不同的联盟方案进行了建模,包括财政联盟,外围国家联盟和财政稳定国家联盟。外部冲击的校准方式是为了描述欧元区最近的重大危机,即金融危机,欧洲主权债务危机,Covid-19危机,和乌克兰战争(能源价格)危机。使用OPTGAME算法,我们计算了模型场景的合作Pareto和非合作反馈Nash均衡解。完全合作的解决方案产生最佳结果。不同的非合作情景可以洞悉经济增长之间的潜在权衡,价格稳定和财政稳定。
    In this paper we analyze dynamic interactions in a monetary union with three fiscal players (the governments of the countries concerned) and a common central bank in the presence of exogenous shocks. The model is calibrated for the euro area and includes a fiscally more solid core block denoted as country 1 as well as a fiscally less solid periphery block represented by countries 2 and 3. Introducing two periphery countries allows us to capture different attitudes of the periphery countries towards the goal of sustainable fiscal performance. Moreover, different coalition scenarios are modelled in this study including a fiscal union, a coalition of periphery countries and a coalition of fiscal-stability oriented countries. The exogenous shocks are calibrated in such a way as to describe the last major crises in the euro area, namely the financial crisis, the European sovereign debt crisis, the Covid-19 crisis, and the Ukraine war (energy price) crisis. Using the OPTGAME algorithm we calculate a cooperative Pareto and non-cooperative feedback Nash equilibrium solutions for the modelled scenarios. The fully cooperative solution yields the best results. The different non-cooperative scenarios allow insights into the underlying trade-off between economic growth, price stability and fiscal stability.
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