Parameter estimation

参数估计
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    珊瑚礁,在地球上最多样化的生态系统中,目前面临污染的主要威胁,不可持续的捕鱼做法,以及气候变化带来的环境参数扰动。珊瑚还经常遭受其他海洋生物和人类活动的伤害。最近的珊瑚礁恢复实践甚至涉及通过系统地破坏珊瑚碎片并重新安置它们以恢复受损的珊瑚礁而故意受伤,一种被称为微破碎的做法。尽管它很重要,很少有研究探索珊瑚伤口愈合的内在机制。已观察到一些造礁珊瑚对受伤的免疫反应与哺乳动物物种中观察到的类似。利用哺乳动物物种伤口愈合的先验模型作为数学基础,我们建立了伤口愈合的机制模型,包括观察鳞翅目珊瑚的免疫反应和组织修复。该模型由四个微分方程组成,跟踪剩余伤口碎片的变化,参与炎症的细胞数量,参与增殖的细胞数量,和通过上皮再形成的伤口闭合量。该模型适合来自活珊瑚碎片上的线性和圆形伤口的实验伤口大小数据。数学方法,包括数值模拟和局部灵敏度分析,用于分析由此产生的模型。还探索了参数空间以调查其他可能的伤口结果的驱动因素。该模型是生成珊瑚伤口愈合数学模型的第一步,这不仅有助于理解整个伤口愈合,而且还有助于优化珊瑚礁恢复实践,并预测重大伤害事件后的恢复行为。
    Coral reefs, among the most diverse ecosystems on Earth, currently face major threats from pollution, unsustainable fishing practices , and perturbations in environmental parameters brought on by climate change. Corals also sustain regular wounding from other sea life and human activity. Recent reef restoration practices have even involved intentional wounding by systematically breaking coral fragments and relocating them to revitalize damaged reefs, a practice known as microfragmentation. Despite its importance, very little research has explored the inner mechanisms of wound healing in corals. Some reef-building corals have been observed to initiate an immunological response to wounding similar to that observed in mammalian species. Utilizing prior models of wound healing in mammalian species as the mathematical basis, we formulated a mechanistic model of wound healing, including observations of the immune response and tissue repair in scleractinian corals for the species Pocillopora damicornis. The model consists of four differential equations which track changes in remaining wound debris, number of cells involved in inflammation, number of cells involved in proliferation, and amount of wound closure through re-epithelialization. The model is fit to experimental wound size data from linear and circular shaped wounds on a live coral fragment. Mathematical methods, including numerical simulations and local sensitivity analysis, were used to analyze the resulting model. The parameter space was also explored to investigate drivers of other possible wound outcomes. This model serves as a first step in generating mathematical models for wound healing in corals that will not only aid in the understanding of wound healing as a whole, but also help optimize reef restoration practices and predict recovery behavior after major wounding events.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于对整个脉管系统进行全面详细的血液动力学模拟是不可行的,数值分析应集中在心血管系统的特定区域,这需要对集总参数进行识别,以表示仿真计算域之外的患者行为。我们提出了一种使用gappy适当正交分解(g-POD)估计心血管模型参数的新技术。对于集总模型参数的不同值,使用FSI模拟构建POD基础,并且应用线性算子来保留可以与可用的患者测量结果进行比较的信息。然后,通过投影患者测量值或通过求解具有约束的最小化问题来计算重建解的POD系数。然后使用POD重建来估计模型参数。在第一个测试用例中,使用人工患者测量来近似3元素Windkessel模型的参数值,获得小于4.2%的相对误差。在第二种情况下,4组3元素Windkessel近似患者的主动脉几何形状,导致流量的误差小于8%,压力的误差小于5%。该方法显示了准确的结果,即使有嘈杂的患者数据。它自动计算测量和模拟之间的延迟,并且在可以处理的患者测量类型方面具有灵活性(在特定点,空间或时间平均)。该方法易于实现,可用于通用FSI软件中的仿真。
    As full-scale detailed hemodynamic simulations of the entire vasculature are not feasible, numerical analysis should be focused on specific regions of the cardiovascular system, which requires the identification of lumped parameters to represent the patient behavior outside the simulated computational domain. We present a novel technique for estimating cardiovascular model parameters using gappy Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (g-POD). A POD basis is constructed with FSI simulations for different values of the lumped model parameters, and a linear operator is applied to retain information that can be compared to the available patient measurements. Then, the POD coefficients of the reconstructed solution are computed either by projecting patient measurements or by solving a minimization problem with constraints. The POD reconstruction is then used to estimate the model parameters. In the first test case, the parameter values of a 3-element Windkessel model are approximated using artificial patient measurements, obtaining a relative error of less than 4.2%. In the second case, 4 sets of 3-element Windkessel are approximated in a patient\'s aorta geometry, resulting in an error of less than 8% for the flow and less than 5% for the pressure. The method shows accurate results even with noisy patient data. It automatically calculates the delay between measurements and simulations and has flexibility in the types of patient measurements that can handle (at specific points, spatial or time averaged). The method is easy to implement and can be used in simulations performed in general-purpose FSI software.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    硫化物氧化细菌用于工业生物脱硫过程中以将硫化物转化为硫。这些细菌可以在空间上将硫化物去除与末端电子转移分开,从而充当硫化物航天飞机。硫化物穿梭的机制尚不清楚。在这项工作中,新获得的硫化物去除数据用于开发厌氧硫化物去除的新模型,并且该模型被证明是对先前发布的两个模型的改进。新模型描述了快速化学步骤和连续的缓慢酶促步骤。改进的模型包括pH、在pH增加的情况下,总硫化物去除率更高,以及在较高硫化物浓度下的部分硫化物去除。两阶段模型得到了厌氧硫化物去除研究的最新发展的支持,并有助于更好地了解潜在机制。该模型是朝着准确模拟工业系统中厌氧硫化物去除迈出的一步。
    Sulfide oxidizing bacteria are used in industrial biodesulfurization processes to convert sulfide to sulfur. These bacteria can spatially separate sulfide removal from terminal electron transfer, thereby acting as sulfide shuttles. The mechanisms underlying sulfide shuttling are not yet clear. In this work, newly obtained sulfide removal data were used to develop a new model for anaerobic sulfide removal and this model was shown to be an improvement over two previously published models. The new model describes a fast chemical step and a consecutive slow enzymatic step. The improved model includes the effect of pH, with higher total sulfide removal at increasing pH, as well as partial sulfide removal at higher sulfide concentrations. The two-stage model is supported by recent developments in anaerobic sulfide removal research and contributes to a better understanding of the underlying mechanisms. The model is a step toward accurately modelling anaerobic sulfide removal in industrial systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    机理模型是色谱过程开发和优化的强大工具。然而,疏水作用色谱(HIC)机理模型缺乏有效的逻辑参数估计方法,特别是多组分系统。在这项研究中,基于保留机制,推导了多组分系统的逐参数方法(称为mPbP-HIC),以估计HIC的Mollerup等温线的六个参数。线性参数(ks,我和Keq,i)和非线性参数(ni和qmax,i)的等温线可以通过线性回归(LR)和线性近似(LA)步骤来估计,分别。剩下的两个参数(kp,我和kkin,i)是通过逆方法(IM)获得的。利用两分量模型系统对所提出的方法进行了验证。结果表明,该模型可以准确预测10g/L的蛋白质洗脱。然而,洗脱曲线拟合对于高负载(12g/L和14g/L)不令人满意,这主要归因于LA步骤的苛刻实验条件和参数qmax的潜在较大估计误差。因此,引入逆方法进一步校准参数qmax,从而减小估计误差,改善曲线拟合。此外,简化线性近似(SLA)是通过合理的假设提出的,它提供了qmax的初始猜测,而无需求解任何复杂的矩阵,并避免了矩阵不可解的问题。在改进的mPbP-HIC方法中,qmax将由SLA初始化,最后由逆方法确定,这个策略被命名为SLA+IM。实验验证表明,改进的mPbP-HIC方法具有较好的曲线拟合效果,SLA+IM的使用降低了误差累积效应。在流程优化中,改进的mPbP-HIC方法估计的参数为模型提供了良好的预测能力和合理的外推。总之,SLA+IM策略使改进的mPbP-HIC方法更加合理,可以方便地应用于蛋白质混合物的实际分离,这将加速生物制药下游HIC的工艺开发。
    Mechanistic models are powerful tools for chromatographic process development and optimization. However, hydrophobic interaction chromatography (HIC) mechanistic models lack an effective and logical parameter estimation method, especially for multi-component system. In this study, a parameter-by-parameter method for multi-component system (called as mPbP-HIC) was derived based on the retention mechanism to estimate the six parameters of the Mollerup isotherm for HIC. The linear parameters (ks,i and keq,i) and nonlinear parameters (ni and qmax,i) of the isotherm can be estimated by the linear regression (LR) and the linear approximation (LA) steps, respectively. The remaining two parameters (kp,i and kkin,i) are obtained by the inverse method (IM). The proposed method was verified with a two-component model system. The results showed that the model could accurately predict the protein elution at a loading of 10 g/L. However, the elution curve fitting was unsatisfactory for high loadings (12 g/L and 14 g/L), which is mainly attributed to the demanding experimental conditions of the LA step and the potential large estimation error of the parameter qmax. Therefore, the inverse method was introduced to further calibrate the parameter qmax, thereby reducing the estimation error and improving the curve fitting. Moreover, the simplified linear approximation (SLA) was proposed by reasonable assumption, which provides the initial guess of qmax without solving any complex matrix and avoids the problem of matrix unsolvable. In the improved mPbP-HIC method, qmax would be initialized by the SLA and finally determined by the inverse method, and this strategy was named as SLA+IM. The experimental validation showed that the improved mPbP-HIC method has a better curve fitting, and the use of SLA+IM reduces the error accumulation effect. In process optimization, the parameters estimated by the improved mPbP-HIC method provided the model with excellent predictive ability and reasonable extrapolation. In conclusion, the SLA+IM strategy makes the improved mPbP-HIC method more rational and can be easily applied to the practical separation of protein mixture, which would accelerate the process development for HIC in downstream of biopharmaceuticals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于应用领域众多,现场人体运动捕获(HMC)引起了越来越多的关注。目前,大量研究投资于基于相机的(无标记的)HMC,优点是身体上不需要基础设施,以及可从周围环境获得的附加上下文信息。然而,基于相机的方法的固有缺点是有限的视野和遮挡。相比之下,惯性HMC(IHMC)不受阻塞,因此是在实验室外捕获人体运动的一种有前途的方法。然而,这种方法的一个主要挑战是空间配准的必要性。通常,在预定义的校准序列期间,每个惯性传感器的方向和位置相对于底层骨架模型进行配准。这项工作有助于免校准IHMC,因为它提出了一个递归估计器,用于同时在线估计所有传感器姿势和运动链模型的关节位置,如人体骨架。提供了从优化目标的完整推导。该方法可以直接应用于来自人体安装的惯性传感器网络的同步数据流。成功的评估是在来自三环节链的嘈杂模拟数据上进行的,来自25名年轻人的真实下半身行走数据,健康的人,和从人形机器人捕获的行走数据。估计和推导的数量,全局和相对传感器方向,关节位置,和段长度可用于人体运动分析和人体测量,以及在混合无标记视觉惯性HMC的背景下。
    In-field human motion capture (HMC) is drawing increasing attention due to the multitude of application areas. Plenty of research is currently invested in camera-based (markerless) HMC, with the advantage of no infrastructure being required on the body, and additional context information being available from the surroundings. However, the inherent drawbacks of camera-based approaches are the limited field of view and occlusions. In contrast, inertial HMC (IHMC) does not suffer from occlusions, thus being a promising approach for capturing human motion outside the laboratory. However, one major challenge of such methods is the necessity of spatial registration. Typically, during a predefined calibration sequence, the orientation and location of each inertial sensor are registered with respect to the underlying skeleton model. This work contributes to calibration-free IHMC, as it proposes a recursive estimator for the simultaneous online estimation of all sensor poses and joint positions of a kinematic chain model like the human skeleton. The full derivation from an optimization objective is provided. The approach can directly be applied to a synchronized data stream from a body-mounted inertial sensor network. Successful evaluations are demonstrated on noisy simulated data from a three-link chain, real lower-body walking data from 25 young, healthy persons, and walking data captured from a humanoid robot. The estimated and derived quantities, global and relative sensor orientations, joint positions, and segment lengths can be exploited for human motion analysis and anthropometric measurements, as well as in the context of hybrid markerless visual-inertial HMC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    色谱分离过程通常以偏微分方程(PDE)的形式建模,以描述复杂的吸附平衡和动力学。然而,在这样的模型中识别参数需要大量的计算工作。在这项工作中,开发了一种使用物理信息神经网络(PINN)模型的新颖参数估计方法,并针对二进制组件系统进行了测试。通过验证其模拟与有限元方法(FEM)的模拟,可以确认我们的PINN模型的数值精度。此外,动力学模型中的模型参数通过PINN模型从色谱柱出口处的观测数据中估计出足够的准确性,其中参数拟合误差可以比常规方法降低35.0%。与传统的数值方法相比,我们的方法可以减少高达95%的计算时间。通过从嘈杂的人工实验数据估计模型参数,也证明了PINN模型的鲁棒性。
    Chromatographic separation processes are most often modeled in the form of partial differential equations (PDEs) to describe the complex adsorption equilibria and kinetics. However, identifying parameters in such a model requires substantial computational effort. In this work, a novel parameter estimation approach using a Physics-informed Neural Network (PINN) model is developed and tested for a binary component system. Numerical accuracy of our PINN model is confirmed by validating its simulations against those of the finite element method (FEM). Furthermore, model parameters in the kinetic model are estimated by the PINN model with sufficient accuracy from the observed data at the column outlet, where parameter fitting error can be reduced by up to 35.0 % from the conventional method. In a comparison with the conventional numerical method, our approach can reduce the computational time by up to 95 %. The robustness of the PINN model has also been demonstrated by estimating model parameters from noisy artificial experimental data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    费城染色体阴性骨髓增殖性肿瘤是一组缓慢进展的血液恶性肿瘤,主要特征是骨髓血细胞过度产生。患者接受各种药物治疗,包括JAK1/2抑制剂鲁索替尼。数学建模可以帮助提出和测试治疗方式的假设。
    我们提出了Cancitis模型的扩展,它描述了骨髓增生性肿瘤的发展及其与炎症的相互作用,明确地模拟祖细胞,并且可以通过影响恶性干细胞对细胞因子信号传导的反应和恶性祖细胞的死亡率来解释鲁索替尼的治疗。该模型已与来自COMFORT-II和RESPONSE研究的JAK2V617F变异等位基因频率的个体患者数据拟合,这些患者的JAK2V617F变异等位基因频率显著降低(基线值的20个百分点或90%)(总共n=24)。
    当允许ruxolitinib治疗影响恶性干细胞和祖细胞时,该模型与患者数据非常吻合,平均均方根误差为0.0249(2.49%)。该平均均方根误差远低于允许ruxolitinib治疗仅影响恶性干细胞或仅影响恶性祖细胞(平均均方根误差为0.138(13.8%)和0.0874(8.74%),分别)。
    系统模拟研究和模型与患者数据的拟合表明,假设鲁索替尼仅影响恶性祖细胞的死亡率,模型可以概括恶性细胞负荷的初始降低,然后单调增加。对于表现出恶性细胞长期减少的患者,该模型预测鲁索利替尼也会影响干细胞参数,如恶性干细胞对细胞因子信号的反应。
    UNASSIGNED: The Philadelphia chromosome-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms are a group of slowly progressing haematological malignancies primarily characterised by an overproduction of myeloid blood cells. Patients are treated with various drugs, including the JAK1/2 inhibitor ruxolitinib. Mathematical modelling can help propose and test hypotheses of how the treatment works.
    UNASSIGNED: We present an extension of the Cancitis model, which describes the development of myeloproliferative neoplasms and their interactions with inflammation, that explicitly models progenitor cells and can account for treatment with ruxolitinib through effects on the malignant stem cell response to cytokine signalling and the death rate of malignant progenitor cells. The model has been fitted to individual patients\' data for the JAK2 V617F variant allele frequency from the COMFORT-II and RESPONSE studies for patients who had substantial reductions (20 percentage points or 90% of the baseline value) in their JAK2 V617F variant allele frequency (n = 24 in total).
    UNASSIGNED: The model fits very well to the patient data with an average root mean square error of 0.0249 (2.49%) when allowing ruxolitinib treatment to affect both malignant stem and progenitor cells. This average root mean square error is much lower than if allowing ruxolitinib treatment to affect only malignant stem or only malignant progenitor cells (average root mean square errors of 0.138 (13.8%) and 0.0874 (8.74%), respectively).
    UNASSIGNED: Systematic simulation studies and fitting of the model to the patient data suggest that an initial reduction of the malignant cell burden followed by a monotonic increase can be recapitulated by the model assuming that ruxolitinib affects only the death rate of malignant progenitor cells. For patients exhibiting a long-term reduction of the malignant cells, the model predicts that ruxolitinib also affects stem cell parameters, such as the malignant stem cells\' response to cytokine signalling.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这项工作中,我们介绍了卵巢卵泡发育的房室模型,基于常微分方程。该模型预测了不同成熟期卵泡数量随衰老的变化。卵巢卵泡可以向前移动到下一个隔室(单向迁移)或退化并消失(死亡)。从第一卵泡区室的迁移对应于静止卵泡的激活,这是导致卵泡储备(卵巢衰老)逐渐耗尽,直到生殖活动停止。该模型由一个数据驱动层嵌入到一个更全面的,知识驱动层包含卵泡发育中的最早事件。数据驱动层是根据小鼠毛囊数量上可用的最密集采样的实验数据集来设计的。它的显着特征是激活率的非线性公式,其公式包括来自生长卵泡的反馈术语。以知识为基础,涂层占对出生前后卵泡发育起始的前沿研究。它的显着特征是两个不同胚胎起源的卵泡亚群共存。然后我们设置一个完整的估计策略,包括结构可识别性的研究,结合不同数据源(卵泡数的初始数据集,连同扰动激活条件下的数据,和区分亚群的数据)用适当的误差模型,和模型选择步骤。最后,我们说明了实验设计(有针对性的新数据采集的建议)和计算机模拟实验的模型潜力。
    In this work, we introduce a compartmental model of ovarian follicle development all along lifespan, based on ordinary differential equations. The model predicts the changes in the follicle numbers in different maturation stages with aging. Ovarian follicles may either move forward to the next compartment (unidirectional migration) or degenerate and disappear (death). The migration from the first follicle compartment corresponds to the activation of quiescent follicles, which is responsible for the progressive exhaustion of the follicle reserve (ovarian aging) until cessation of reproductive activity. The model consists of a data-driven layer embedded into a more comprehensive, knowledge-driven layer encompassing the earliest events in follicle development. The data-driven layer is designed according to the most densely sampled experimental dataset available on follicle numbers in the mouse. Its salient feature is the nonlinear formulation of the activation rate, whose formulation includes a feedback term from growing follicles. The knowledge-based, coating layer accounts for cutting-edge studies on the initiation of follicle development around birth. Its salient feature is the co-existence of two follicle subpopulations of different embryonic origins. We then setup a complete estimation strategy, including the study of structural identifiability, the elaboration of a relevant optimization criterion combining different sources of data (the initial dataset on follicle numbers, together with data in conditions of perturbed activation, and data discriminating the subpopulations) with appropriate error models, and a model selection step. We finally illustrate the model potential for experimental design (suggestion of targeted new data acquisition) and in silico experiments.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    家庭传播数据的建模研究有助于描述儿童在流感和COVID-19流行中的作用。然而,这些研究的估计可能有偏差,因为它们没有考虑家庭接触的异质性。这里,我们量化了家庭成员间接触异质性对儿童相对易感性和传染性估计的影响.我们在假设接触水平不同的1,000个家庭的综合人群中模拟了SARS-CoV-2样和流感样感染的流行。相对接触频率是从家庭接触研究中得出的,根据该研究,父母对中的接触更为频繁,紧随其后的是孩子母亲,儿童-儿童,最后是孩子-父亲对。然后估计儿童易感性和传染性,同时考虑异质接触与否。当忽略接触异质性时,在两种疾病情景中,儿童相对易感性被低估了约20%.当儿童和成人具有不同的传染性水平时,儿童相对传染性被低估了20%。这些结果对我们对欧式家庭接触模式的假设很敏感;但它们强调需要收集疾病和接触数据的家庭研究来评估复杂的家庭接触行为对疾病传播的作用,并改善对关键生物学参数的估计。
    Modeling studies of household transmission data have helped characterize the role of children in influenza and COVID-19 epidemics. However, estimates from these studies may be biased since they do not account for the heterogeneous nature of household contacts. Here, we quantified the impact of contact heterogeneity between household members on the estimation of child relative susceptibility and infectivity. We simulated epidemics of SARS-CoV-2-like and influenza-like infections in a synthetic population of 1,000 households assuming heterogeneous contact levels. Relative contact frequencies were derived from a household contact study according to which contacts are more frequent in the father-mother pair, followed by the child-mother, child-child, and finally child-father pairs. Child susceptibility and infectivity were then estimated while accounting for heterogeneous contacts or not. When ignoring contact heterogeneity, child relative susceptibility was underestimated by approximately 20% in the two disease scenarios. Child relative infectivity was underestimated by 20% when children and adults had different infectivity levels. These results are sensitive to our assumptions of European-style household contact patterns; but they highlight that household studies collecting both disease and contact data are needed to assess the role of complex household contact behavior on disease transmission and improve estimation of key biological parameters.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    与大多数船只相反,升主动脉(ATA)不仅扩张,而且在轴向上伸长。这项研究的目的是研究升胸主动脉(ATA)在心动周期中响应动态轴向拉伸的生物力学行为。此外,研究了在估计ATA的本构模型参数时忽略这种动态轴向拉伸的含义。通过假设代表ATA组织材料的Gasser-Ogden-Holzapfel(GOH)本构模型,通过计算机模拟进行了研究。GOH模型参数是从先前研究中对四种人ATA组织进行的双轴测试获得的。将压力-直径曲线作为综合数据进行模拟,以评估忽略动态轴向拉伸对估算本构模型参数的影响。我们的发现表明,当考虑动态轴向拉伸时,血管中的轴向应力(〜16%)和存储的应变能(〜18%)显着增加,而不是假设一个固定的轴向拉伸。考虑到动态轴向拉伸条件,除一条动脉外,所有动脉均显示出增加的体积顺应性。此外,当忽略ATA的动态轴向拉伸时,我们观察到估计的本构模型参数存在显着差异,与地面实况模型参数相比。这些结果强调了在进行升胸主动脉的体内生物力学表征时,考虑轴向变形的至关重要性。
    Contrary to most vessels, the ascending thoracic aorta (ATA) not only distends but also elongates in the axial direction. The purpose of this study is to investigate the biomechanical behavior of the ascending thoracic aorta (ATA) in response to dynamic axial stretching during the cardiac cycle. In addition, the implications of neglecting this dynamic axial stretching when estimating the constitutive model parameters of the ATA are investigated. The investigations were performed through in silico simulations by assuming a Gasser-Ogden-Holzapfel (GOH) constitutive model representative of ATA tissue material. The GOH model parameters were obtained from biaxial tests performed on four human ATA tissues in a previous study. Pressure-diameter curves were simulated as synthetic data to assess the effect of neglecting dynamic axial stretching on estimating constitutive model parameters. Our findings reveal a significant increase in axial stress (~ 16%) and stored strain energy (~ 18%) in the vessel when dynamic axial stretching is considered, as opposed to assuming a fixed axial stretch. All but one artery showed increased volume compliance while considering a dynamic axial stretching condition. Furthermore, we observe a notable difference in the estimated constitutive model parameters when dynamic axial stretching of the ATA is neglected, compared to the ground truth model parameters. These results underscore the critical importance of accounting for axial deformations when conducting in vivo biomechanical characterization of the ascending thoracic aorta.
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