Outcome predictors

结果预测因子
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:衰弱和少肌症与终末期肝病患者住院和死亡风险增加相关。识别有不良后果风险的虚弱患者的能力可以帮助优化肝移植(LT)评估和移植前护理。这项研究比较了肌肉减少症,通过L3-腰大肌指数(L3-PMI),为了脆弱,通过肝脏衰弱指数(LFI)并分析肝移植(LT)后的相关结局。
    方法:在单个移植中心对连续的肝移植受者进行了5年以上的腹部/盆腔横断面影像回顾性回顾。
    结果:在本研究间隔期间,有四百二十六例患者接受了移植;31%的患者是减少肌节病的。二百八名患者接受了LFI评估:25%的患者虚弱,59%是脆弱的,16%表现强劲。肌肉减少症患者的LFI评分较高,表明虚弱更大(p=0.02)。肌肉减少症和LFI衰弱均与较高的MELD-Na评分相关。在肌少症患者中,LT术后住院时间增加(平均14vs.非肌少症11天,p=0.02)和LFI虚弱患者(平均13vs.10prefrail,8强健,p=0.04)。作为分类变量,LFI虚弱和肌少症均与1年生存率降低无显著相关性(稳健100%,prefrail93.5%,脆弱的91.1%,p=0.31)(非肌少症94.4%,91.4%,p=0.30)。然而,LFI评分与1年死亡率显著相关(OR2.133,p=0.047)。
    结论:由于L3-PMI和LFI均可捕获LT前的体弱患者,因此放射学肌少症是进行体弱评估的合适指标。然而,与肌肉质量测量相比,体格评估能更好地预测LT术后1年死亡率.
    BACKGROUND: Frailty and sarcopenia are associated with an increased risk of hospitalization and mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease. The ability to identify frail patients at risk of adverse outcomes could help optimize liver transplant (LT) evaluations and pre-transplant care. This study compared sarcopenia, via L3-psoas muscle index (L3-PMI), to frailty, via liver frailty index (LFI) and analyzed associated outcomes after liver transplantation (LT).
    METHODS: A retrospective review of consecutive LT-recipients with cross-sectional abdominal/pelvic imaging were reviewed over 5 years at a single transplant center.
    RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty-six patients underwent transplant during this study interval; 31% of patients were sarcopenic. Two hundred eight patients underwent LFI evaluation: 25% were frail, 59% were prefrail, and 16% were robust. Sarcopenic patients had higher LFI scores indicating greater frailty (p = 0.02). Both sarcopenia and LFI-frailty were associated with significantly higher MELD-Na scores. Length of post-LT hospital stay was increased in sarcopenic (mean 14 vs. nonsarcopenic 11 days, p = 0.02) and LFI-frail patients (mean 13 vs. 10 prefrail, 8 robust, p = 0.04). As a categorical variable, neither LFI-frailty nor sarcopenia were significantly associated with reduced survival at 1-year (robust 100%, prefrail 93.5%, frail 91.1%, p = 0.31) (nonsarcopenic 94.4%, sarcopenic 91.4%, p = 0.30). However, LFI score was significantly associated with mortality at 1-year (OR 2.133, p = 0.047).
    CONCLUSIONS: Radiographic sarcopenia is a suitable proxy for in-person frailty assessment as both L3-PMI and LFI capture frail patients\' pre-LT. However, physical assessment with frailty better predicts 1-year mortality post-LT than the measurement of muscle mass.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    很少有研究评估在现代快速ART启动时代开始抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)的HIV感染者临床结局的基线预测因子。
    我们在海地的一个城市诊所对一项针对初治HIV和肺结核症状患者的两种快速治疗启动策略的随机对照试验进行了二次分析。我们使用逻辑回归模型来评估基线特征与(1)在48周时的护理保留之间的关联,(2)在48周时抑制HIV病毒载量(在接受病毒载量测试的参与者中),(3)全因死亡率。
    500名参与者参加了这项研究11/2017-1/2020。88名(18%)参与者被诊断患有结核病,ART在494(99%)开始。调整后,低于中等教育(调整后比值比[AOR]0.21,95%CI0.10-0.46),dolutegravir起始(AOR2.57,95%CI1.22-5.43),年龄(AOR每10年增加1.42,95%CI1.01-1.99),和结核病诊断(AOR3.92,95%CI1.36-11.28)与保留显着相关。年龄(AOR1.36,95%CI1.05-1.75),dolutegravir起始(AOR1.75,95%CI1.07-2.85),和结核病诊断(AOR0.50,95%CI0.28-0.89)与病毒抑制相关。入组时CD4细胞计数较高(未调整比值比[OR]0.69,95%CI0.55-0.87)和贫血(OR4.86,95%CI1.71-13.81)与死亡率相关。
    我们确定了社会人口统计学,治疗相关,临床,和基于实验室的临床结果预测因子。这些特征可以作为亚群体的标志物,其可以受益于额外的干预以支持在快速治疗开始后的治疗成功。
    UNASSIGNED: Few studies have evaluated baseline predictors of clinical outcomes among people with HIV starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the modern era of rapid ART initiation.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial of two rapid treatment initiation strategies for people with treatment-naïve HIV and tuberculosis symptoms at an urban clinic in Haiti. We used logistic regression models to assess associations between baseline characteristics and (1) retention in care at 48 weeks, (2) HIV viral load suppression at 48 weeks (among participants who underwent viral load testing), and (3) all-cause mortality.
    UNASSIGNED: 500 participants were enrolled in the study 11/2017-1/2020. Eighty-eight (18%) participants were diagnosed with tuberculosis, and ART was started in 494 (99%). After adjustment, less than secondary education (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.21, 95% CI 0.10-0.46), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 2.57, 95% CI 1.22-5.43), age (AOR 1.42 per 10-year increase, 95% CI 1.01-1.99), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 3.92, 95% CI 1.36-11.28) were significantly associated with retention. Age (AOR 1.36, 95% CI 1.05-1.75), dolutegravir initiation (AOR 1.75, 95% CI 1.07-2.85), and tuberculosis diagnosis (AOR 0.50, 95% CI 0.28-0.89) were associated with viral suppression. Higher CD4 cell count at enrollment (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.69, 95% CI 0.55-0.87) and anemia (OR 4.86, 95% CI 1.71-13.81) were associated with mortality.
    UNASSIGNED: We identified sociodemographic, treatment-related, clinical, and laboratory-based predictors of clinical outcomes. These characteristics may serve as markers of sub-populations that could benefit from additional interventions to support treatment success after rapid treatment initiation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    胰肾联合移植(SPKT)是选择1型糖尿病和终末期肾病患者的最佳治疗方法。尽管手术技术取得了进展,捐赠者和接受者的选择,和免疫抑制疗法,SPKT仍然是一个复杂的过程,具有相关的手术并发症和不良后果。我们进行了一项回顾性研究,包括2000年5月至2022年12月期间进行的263例SPKT手术。共有65名患者(25%)需要至少一次剖腹手术,导致全因重新剖腹手术发生率为每100个住院日2.04个事件.较低的供体体重指数被确定为与再次手术相关的独立因素(OR.815;95%CI:.725-.917,p=.001)。技术故障(TF)发生在9.9%的病例中,主要归因于胰腺移植物血栓形成,腹腔感染,出血,吻合口漏.90天TF的独立预测因素包括36岁以上的供者年龄(HR2.513;95%CI1.162-5.434),既往腹膜透析(HR2.503;95%CI1.149-5.451),和特定的胰腺移植再干预。研究结果强调了在SPKT中仔细考虑捐赠者和接受者因素的重要性。我们研究人群中TF的发病率与最近的系列一致。持续的努力应侧重于识别和减轻潜在的风险因素,以提高SPKT的结果,从而减少移植后的并发症。
    Simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplantation (SPKT) is the best treatment for selected individuals with type 1 diabetes mellitus and end-stage renal disease. Despite advances in surgical techniques, donor and recipient selection, and immunosuppressive therapies, SPKT remains a complex procedure with associated surgical complications and adverse consequences. We conducted a retrospective study that included 263 SPKT procedures performed between May 2000, and December 2022. A total of 65 patients (25%) required at least one relaparotomy, resulting in an all-cause relaparotomy rate of 2.04 events per 100 in-hospital days. Lower donor body mass index was identified as an independent factor associated with reoperation (OR .815; 95% CI:  .725-.917, p = .001). Technical failure (TF) occurred in 9.9% of cases, primarily attributed to pancreas graft thrombosis, intra-abdominal infections, bleeding, and anastomotic leaks. Independent predictors of TF at 90 days included donor age above 36 years (HR 2.513; 95% CI 1.162-5.434), previous peritoneal dialysis (HR 2.503; 95% CI 1.149-5.451), and specific pancreas graft reinterventions. The findings highlight the importance of carefully considering donor and recipient factors in SPKT. The incidence of TF in our study population aligns with the recent series. Continuous efforts should focus on identifying and mitigating potential risk factors to enhance SPKT outcomes, thereby reducing post-transplant complications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血(aSAH)仍然是一个毁灭性的诊断。已知不良结果高度依赖于初始神经状态。我们的目标是确定其他参数,这些参数有利于aSAH患者的并发症风险和不良预后,并且最初具有良好的神经状况。
    方法:包括2003年1月至2016年6月在我院连续治疗的aSAH病例,最初的世界神经外科学会联合会I-III级。关于人口特征的数据,既往病史,初始aSAH严重程度,收集aSAH后的功能结果。研究终点是脑梗死的发生,住院死亡率,aSAH后6个月的不良结局(改良Rankin量表>3)。
    结果:在最后一组(n=582)中,脑梗塞的发生率,住院死亡率,不良结局为35.1%,8.1%,和17.6%。脑梗死的风险与急性脑积水的存在独立相关(校正比值比[aOR]=2.33,p<0.0001),动脉瘤夹闭(aOR=1.78,p=0.003),与尼莫地平联合使用钙通道阻滞剂(aOR=2.63,p=0.002)。患者年龄(>55岁,OR=4.24,p<0.0001),急性脑积水(aOR=2.43,p=0.036),剪裁(aOR=2.86,p=0.001)预测住院死亡率。与6个月时不良结局相关的基线特征是年龄(aOR=2.77,p=<0.0001),FisherIII-IV级(aOR=2.81,p=0.016),急性脑积水(aOR=2.22,p=0.012),削波(AOR=3.98,p<0.0001),入院C反应蛋白>1mg/dL(aOR=1.76,p=0.035),和治疗间隔(aOR=0.64每5年间隔,p=0.006)。
    结论:尽管脑梗死是aSAH患者的常见并发症,但初始临床条件良好,>80%的这些患者显示良好的长期结果。了解与结果相关的基线特征可能有助于减少对最初出血事件耐受良好的aSAH患者的进一步并发症和不良结局的负担。
    BACKGROUND: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains a devastating diagnosis. A poor outcome is known to be highly dependent on the initial neurological status. Our goal was to identify other parameters that favor the risk of complications and poor outcome in patients with aSAH and initially favorable neurologic status.
    METHODS: Consecutive aSAH cases treated at our hospital between 01/2003 and 06/2016 with the initial World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades I-III were included. Data on demographic characteristics, previous medical history, initial aSAH severity, and functional outcome after aSAH were collected. The study endpoints were the occurrence of cerebral infarcts, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome at 6 months after aSAH (modified Rankin scale > 3).
    RESULTS: In the final cohort (n= 582), the rate of cerebral infarction, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome was 35.1%, 8.1%, and 17.6% respectively. The risk of cerebral infarction was independently related to the presence of acute hydrocephalus (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.33, p<0.0001), aneurysm clipping (aOR=1.78, p=0.003), and use of calcium channel blockers concomitant to nimodipine (aOR=2.63, p=0.002). Patients\' age (>55 years, aOR=4.24, p<0.0001), acute hydrocephalus (aOR=2.43, p=0.036), and clipping (aOR=2.86, p=0.001) predicted in-hospital mortality. Baseline characteristics associated with unfavorable outcome at 6 months were age (aOR=2.77, p=<0.0001), Fisher grades III-IV (aOR=2.81, p=0.016), acute hydrocephalus (aOR=2.22, p=0.012), clipping (aOR=3.98, p<0.0001), admission C-reactive protein>1mg/dL (aOR=1.76, p=0.035), and treatment intervals (aOR=0.64 per-5-year-intervals, p=0.006).
    CONCLUSIONS: Although cerebral infarction is a common complication in aSAH individuals with favorable initial clinical condition, >80% of these patients show favorable long-term outcome. The knowledge of outcome-relevant baseline characteristics might help to reduce the burden of further complications and poor outcome in aSAH patients who tolerated the initial bleeding event well.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肺移植(LTx)受者患COVID-19相关发病率和死亡率的风险很高。在该人群中,使用tixagevimab-cilgavimab进行暴露前预防(PrEP)的数据很少。因此,我们在一项回顾性单中心研究中评估了PrEP后COVID-19突破性感染和COVID-19相关并发症,包括264名在2022年6月至2022年12月期间接受PrEP的LTx接受者,当时OmicronBA.5是主要的传播SARS-CoV-2变体。PrEP适用于血清转化差(抗S<260BAU/mL)的完全接种的患者。在前3个月内,PrEP后COVID-19突破性感染发生率为11.0%,在6个月内增加到17.4%。住院率从27.6%上升到52.9%(p=0.046),虽然ICU入院率和COVID-19死亡率仍然很低,分别在6个月内发生突破性感染的患者占6.5%和4.3%。在OmicronBA.5期间,COVID-19突破性感染和相关住院仍然是一个重要问题,完全接种的LTx接受者血清转换不足,尽管使用tixagevimab-cilgavimab进行了PrEP。然而,ICU入院率和COVID-19死亡率较低。PrEP的中和作用的减弱和循环的SARS-CoV-2变体的变化可能解释了PrEP后COVID-19感染和住院的增加,强调小说的必要性,这些高危患者的长期有效的PrEP策略。
    Lung transplant (LTx) recipients are at high risk for COVID-19 related morbidity and mortality. Data regarding pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with tixagevimab-cilgavimab in this population are scarce. We therefore evaluated COVID-19 breakthrough infections and COVID-19 related complications after PrEP in a retrospective single-center study, including 264 LTx recipients who received PrEP between June 2022 and December 2022, when Omicron BA.5 was the dominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant. PrEP was indicated for fully vaccinated patients with poor seroconversion (anti-S <260 BAU/mL). COVID-19 breakthrough infection after PrEP occurred in 11.0% within the first 3 months, increasing to 17.4% within 6 months. Hospitalization rate rose from 27.6% to 52.9% (p = 0.046), while ICU admissions and COVID-19 mortality remained low, respectively occurring in 6.5% and 4.3% of patients with breakthrough infection within 6 months. COVID-19 breakthrough infection and associated hospitalization remained an important problem during the Omicron BA.5 surge in fully vaccinated LTx recipients with deficient seroconversion, despite PrEP with tixagevimab-cilgavimab. However, ICU admissions and COVID-19 mortality were low. Waning of neutralizing effects of PrEP and changing circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants may explain increases in COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations over time after PrEP, highlighting the need for novel, long-term effective PrEP strategies in these high-risk patients.
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  • 文章类型: Letter
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:丘脑下核(STN)的深部脑刺激(DBS)已证明对多种类型的肌张力障碍有效,但只有少数病例报告和小样本研究研究了STN-DBS对Meige综合征的临床应用,一种罕见但令人痛苦的颅面肌张力障碍。此外,DBS对严重神经心理后遗症的影响,比如抑郁和焦虑,很少检查。在这项研究中,作者研究了STN-DBS对Meige综合征运动和精神症状的疗效。
    方法:作者回顾性回顾了2016年1月至2023年6月在其机构接受双侧STN-DBS治疗的连续Meige综合征患者。运动表现和非运动特征,包括情绪,认知功能,和生活质量(QOL)在基线和最后一次术后随访时使用标准化评定量表进行评估.通过单变量和多变量线性回归模型评估影响术后运动结局的临床和人口统计学因素。
    结果:最终纳入51例患者,平均±SD随访时间为27.3±18.0个月。平均Burke-Fahn-Marsden肌张力障碍量表(BFMDRS)运动评分从手术前的12.9±5.2提高到末次随访时的5.3±4.2(平均改善58.9%,p<0.001),平均BFMDRS残疾评分从5.6±3.3提高到2.9±2.9(平均提高44.6%,p<0.001)。汉密尔顿抑郁和焦虑量表评分也分别提高了35.3%和34.2%,分别,术后36项简短健康调查评分显示QOL显著增强。治疗后总体认知保持稳定。多元线性回归分析确定了疾病持续时间(β=-0.241,p=0.027),术前焦虑严重程度(β=-0.386,p=0.001),和背外侧(感觉运动)STN内激活组织的体积(β=0.483,p<0.001)作为运动结果的独立预测因子。
    结论:这些发现支持STN-DBS作为Meige综合征的运动和非运动症状的有效且有前景的治疗方法。及时诊断,术前焦虑的治疗,和在背外侧STN内的精确电极放置对于最佳临床结果至关重要。
    OBJECTIVE: Deep brain stimulation (DBS) of the subthalamic nucleus (STN) has demonstrated efficacy against multiple types of dystonia, but only a few case reports and small-sample studies have investigated the clinical utility of STN-DBS for Meige syndrome, a rare but distressing form of craniofacial dystonia. Furthermore, the effects of DBS on critical neuropsychological sequelae, such as depression and anxiety, are rarely examined. In this study, the authors investigated the therapeutic efficacy of STN-DBS for both motor and psychiatric symptoms of Meige syndrome.
    METHODS: The authors retrospectively reviewed consecutive patients with Meige syndrome receiving bilateral STN-DBS at their institution from January 2016 to June 2023. Motor performance and nonmotor features including mood, cognitive function, and quality of life (QOL) were evaluated using standardized rating scales at baseline and at final postoperative follow-up. Clinical and demographic factors influencing postoperative motor outcome were evaluated by uni- and multivariable linear regression models.
    RESULTS: Fifty-one patients were ultimately included, with a mean ± SD follow-up duration of 27.3 ± 18.0 months. The mean Burke-Fahn-Marsden Dystonia Rating Scale (BFMDRS) movement score improved from 12.9 ± 5.2 before surgery to 5.3 ± 4.2 at the last follow-up (mean improvement 58.9%, p < 0.001) and the mean BFMDRS disability score improved from 5.6 ± 3.3 to 2.9 ± 2.9 (mean improvement 44.6%, p < 0.001). Hamilton Depression and Anxiety Rating Scale scores also improved by 35.3% and 34.2%, respectively, and the postoperative 36-item Short-Form Health Survey score indicated substantial QOL enhancement. Global cognition remained stable after treatment. Multiple linear regression analysis identified disease duration (β = -0.241, p = 0.027), preoperative anxiety severity (β = -0.386, p = 0.001), and volume of activated tissue within the dorsolateral (sensorimotor) STN (β = 0.483, p < 0.001) as independent predictors of motor outcome.
    CONCLUSIONS: These findings support STN-DBS as an effective and promising therapy for both motor and nonmotor symptoms of Meige syndrome. Timely diagnosis, treatment of preoperative anxiety, and precise electrode placement within the dorsolateral STN are essential for optimal clinical outcome.
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  • 文章类型: Observational Study
    背景:脊髓刺激(SCS)治疗慢性疼痛的使用持续增加。最佳患者选择仍然是SCS成功的最重要因素之一。然而,尽管增加了利用率和存在一般性适应症,预测哪些患者将从神经调节中获益仍然是该疗法的主要挑战之一.因此,本研究旨在确定可能与高频(10kHz)SCS无应答者相关的变量,以区分不太可能从该干预中获益的患者亚组.
    方法:这是一项回顾性的单中心观察性研究,对象是接受10kHzSCS植入的患者。患者分为无反应者和反应者组。在基线时收集人口统计学数据和临床结果,并对两组之间的所有连续和分类变量进行统计分析,以计算统计学上的显着差异。
    结果:研究人群包括237名患者,其中67.51%为应答者,32.49%为无应答者。高水平的运动恐惧症有统计学上的显着差异,自我感知的高度残疾,更大的疼痛强度,以及与无反应者相比,无反应者在基线时的临床相关疼痛灾难化。一些被认为可能相关的变量,比如年龄,性别,脊柱手术史,糖尿病,酒精使用,烟草使用,精神病,基线时的阿片类药物利用率无统计学意义.
    结论:我们的研究是神经调节文献中第一个提高对10kHzSCS治疗无应答者术前高水平运动恐惧症的认识的研究。我们还发现,疼痛强度越大,差异具有统计学意义。自我感知的残疾更高,和临床相关的疼痛灾难在基线时无反应者相对于应答者。术前筛查这些因素可能是合适的,以识别不太可能对SCS反应的患者。如果存在这些可改变的风险因素,在SCS治疗之前,考虑采用疼痛神经科学教育的康复前计划来解决这些因素可能是谨慎的,增强神经调节的成功结果。
    BACKGROUND: The use of spinal cord stimulation (SCS) therapy to treat chronic pain continues to rise. Optimal patient selection remains one of the most important factors for SCS success. However, despite increased utilization and the existence of general indications, predicting which patients will benefit from neuromodulation remains one of the main challenges for this therapy. Therefore, this study aims to identify the variables that may correlate with nonresponders to high-frequency (10 kHz) SCS to distinguish the subset of patients less likely to benefit from this intervention.
    METHODS: This was a retrospective single-center observational study of patients who underwent 10 kHz SCS implant. Patients were divided into nonresponders and responders groups. Demographic data and clinical outcomes were collected at baseline and statistical analysis was performed for all continuous and categorical variables between the two groups to calculate statistically significant differences.
    RESULTS: The study population comprised of 237 patients, of which 67.51% were responders and 32.49% were nonresponders. There was a statistically significant difference of high levels of kinesiophobia, high self-perceived disability, greater pain intensity, and clinically relevant pain catastrophizing at baseline in the nonresponders compared to the responders. A few variables deemed potentially relevant, such as age, gender, history of spinal surgery, diabetes, alcohol use, tobacco use, psychiatric illness, and opioid utilization at baseline were not statistically significant.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first in the neuromodulation literature to raise awareness to the association of high levels of kinesiophobia preoperatively in nonresponders to 10 kHz SCS therapy. We also found statistically significant differences with greater pain intensity, higher self-perceived disability, and clinically relevant pain catastrophizing at baseline in the nonresponders relative to responders. It may be appropriate to screen for these factors preoperatively to identify patients who are less likely to respond to SCS. If these modifiable risk factors are present, it might be prudent to consider a pre-rehabilitation program with pain neuroscience education to address these factors prior to SCS therapy, to enhance successful outcomes in neuromodulation.
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