NLR, negative likelihood ratio

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:由于在整个入院期间影响患者血糖(BG)的因素不断变化,住院患者的血糖管理可能具有挑战性。本研究的目的是根据电子病历(EMR)数据预测患者下一次BG测量的类别。
    方法:从2015年1月1日至2019年5月31日出院的患者中收集了来自约翰·霍普金斯大学卫生系统五家医院的184,361例住院患者的EMR数据,其中包含4,538,418例BG测量值。用于预测的指数BG包括第5至倒数第二个BG测量值(N=2,740,539)。结果是下一次BG测量的类别:低血糖(BG≤70mg/dl),受控(BG71-180mg/dl),或高血糖(BG>180mg/dl)。包含广泛临床协变量的随机森林算法预测了结果,并在内部和外部进行了验证。
    结果:在我们的内部验证测试集中,72·8%,25·7%,和1·5%的BG测量发生在指数BG控制后,高血糖,和低血糖。预测受控的敏感性/特异性,高血糖,和低血糖分别为0·77/0·81、0·77/0·89和0·73/0·91。在四家医院的外部验证中,预测受控,高血糖,和低血糖分别为0·64-0·70/0·80-0·87,0·75-0·80/0·82-0·84和0·76-0·78/0·87-0·90。
    结论:使用EMR数据的机器学习算法可以准确预测住院患者下一次BG测量的类别。进一步的研究应确定将该模型整合到EMR中降低低血糖和高血糖率的有效性。
    BACKGROUND: Inpatient glucose management can be challenging due to evolving factors that influence a patient\'s blood glucose (BG) throughout hospital admission. The purpose of our study was to predict the category of a patient\'s next BG measurement based on electronic medical record (EMR) data.
    METHODS: EMR data from 184,361 admissions containing 4,538,418 BG measurements from five hospitals in the Johns Hopkins Health System were collected from patients who were discharged between January 1, 2015 and May 31, 2019. Index BGs used for prediction included the 5th to penultimate BG measurements (N = 2,740,539). The outcome was category of next BG measurement: hypoglycemic (BG  ≤  70 mg/dl), controlled (BG 71-180 mg/dl), or hyperglycemic (BG > 180 mg/dl). A random forest algorithm that included a broad range of clinical covariates predicted the outcome and was validated internally and externally.
    RESULTS: In our internal validation test set, 72·8%, 25·7%, and 1·5% of BG measurements occurring after the index BG were controlled, hyperglycemic, and hypoglycemic respectively. The sensitivity/specificity for prediction of controlled, hyperglycemic, and hypoglycemic were 0·77/0·81, 0·77/0·89, and 0·73/0·91, respectively. On external validation in four hospitals, the ranges of sensitivity/specificity for prediction of controlled, hyperglycemic, and hypoglycemic were 0·64-0·70/0·80-0·87, 0·75-0·80/0·82-0·84, and 0·76-0·78/0·87-0·90, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: A machine learning algorithm using EMR data can accurately predict the category of a hospitalized patient\'s next BG measurement. Further studies should determine the effectiveness of integration of this model into the EMR in reducing rates of hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多发性骨髓瘤(MM)是第二种无法治愈的血液恶性肿瘤。近年来,由于microRNA(miRNA)的兴起,许多学者参与了其在MM诊断中的价值研究,并获得了良好但不一致的结果。因此,为了确定miRNA在MM早期诊断中的作用,我们进行了荟萃分析.
    我们搜索了相关研究,包括PubMed,WebofScience,EMBASE,科克伦图书馆,中国国家知识基础设施(CNKI)和万方数据库截至2020年7月20日进行本元分析。为了提高准确性,使用诊断准确性研究2(QUADAS-2)的质量评估.我们还应用随机效应模型来总结敏感性和特异性,正似然比(PLR),负似然比(NLR),诊断比值比(DOR)和曲线下面积(AUC)来测量诊断值,和亚组分析用于发现潜在的异质性来源。
    我们最终从15篇文章中收集了32项研究,其中包括2053例MM患者和1118例健康对照。整体灵敏度,特异性,PLR,NLR,DOR和AUC分别为0.81、0.85、5.5、0.22、25和0.90。亚组分析显示,血浆类型样本量较大的microRNA簇下调可以对MM患者进行更好的诊断准确性。此外,未发现发表偏倚.
    循环miRNA可能是MM早期诊断的潜在非侵入性生物标志物。然而,多中心,更严格,需要更大规模的研究来验证我们的结论.
    BACKGROUND: Multiple myeloma (MM) is the second incurable hematological malignancy. In recent years, due to the rise of microRNA (miRNA), many scholars have participated in the study of its value in the diagnosis of MM, and have obtained good but inconsistent results. Therefore, in order to determine the role of miRNA in the early diagnosis of MM, we performed this meta-analysis.
    METHODS: We searched for related studies including PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) and Wanfang Database as of July 20, 2020 to conduct this meta-analysis. To improve the accuracy, the quality assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Study 2 (QUADAS-2) was used. We also applied random effects models to summarize sensitivity and specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and area under the curve (AUC) to measure diagnostic values, and subgroup analysis used to discover potential sources of heterogeneity.
    RESULTS: We finally collected 32 studies from 15 articles that included a total of 2053 MM patients and 1118 healthy controls in this meta-analysis. The overall sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, DOR and AUC were 0.81, 0.85, 5.5, 0.22, 25 and 0.90, respectively. Subgroup analysis shows that the down-regulation of microRNA clusters with larger samples size of plasma type could carry out a better diagnostic accuracy of MM patients. In addition, publication bias was not found.
    CONCLUSIONS: Circulating miRNA could be a potential non-invasive biomarker for early diagnosis of MM. However, multi-center, more rigorous, and larger-scale studies are needed to verify our conclusions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    动物试验用于制药和工业研究,以预测人体毒性,然而,分析表明,动物模型是人类药物安全性的较差预测因子。动物研究的成本很高,药物批准的延误,以及对人类使用的潜在有益药物的损失。人类受试者在动物研究认为安全的药物的临床试验中受到伤害。越来越多,调查人员质疑动物研究的科学价值。这篇综述讨论了在药物开发中使用动物预测人类毒性的问题。第1部分着重于对动物研究有效性的科学关注。第2部分将讨论动物研究的替代品及其在人类药物生产中的验证和使用。
    Animal testing is used in pharmaceutical and industrial research to predict human toxicity, and yet analysis suggests that animal models are poor predictors of drug safety in humans. The cost of animal research is high-in dollars, delays in drug approval, and in the loss of potentially beneficial drugs for human use. Human subjects have been harmed in the clinical testing of drugs that were deemed safe by animal studies. Increasingly, investigators are questioning the scientific merit of animal research. This review discusses issues in using animals to predict human toxicity in pharmaceutical development. Part 1 focuses on scientific concerns over the validity of animal research. Part 2 will discuss alternatives to animal research and their validation and use in production of human pharmaceuticals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: Machine learning (ML) is the application of specialized algorithms to datasets for trend delineation, categorization, or prediction. ML techniques have been traditionally applied to large, highly dimensional databases. Gliomas are a heterogeneous group of primary brain tumors, traditionally graded using histopathologic features. Recently, the World Health Organization proposed a novel grading system for gliomas incorporating molecular characteristics. We aimed to study whether ML could achieve accurate prognostication of 2-year mortality in a small, highly dimensional database of patients with glioma.
    UNASSIGNED: We applied 3 ML techniques (artificial neural networks [ANNs], decision trees [DTs], and support vector machines [SVMs]) and classical logistic regression (LR) to a dataset consisting of 76 patients with glioma of all grades. We compared the effect of applying the algorithms to the raw database versus a database where only statistically significant features were included into the algorithmic inputs (feature selection).
    UNASSIGNED: Raw input consisted of 21 variables and achieved performance of accuracy/area (C.I.) under the curve of 70.7%/0.70 (49.9-88.5) for ANN, 68%/0.72 (53.4-90.4) for SVM, 66.7%/0.64 (43.6-85.0) for LR, and 65%/0.70 (51.6-89.5) for DT. Feature selected input consisted of 14 variables and achieved performance of 73.4%/0.75 (62.9-87.9) for ANN, 73.3%/0.74 (62.1-87.4) for SVM, 69.3%/0.73 (60.0-85.8) for LR, and 65.2%/0.63 (49.1-76.9) for DT.
    UNASSIGNED: We demonstrate that these techniques can also be applied to small, highly dimensional datasets. Our ML techniques achieved reasonable performance compared with similar studies in the literature. Although local databases may be small versus larger cancer repositories, we demonstrate that ML techniques can still be applied to their analysis; however, traditional statistical methods are of similar benefit.
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