OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to analyse the trends in technology appraisals for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treatments performed by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) over the last ten years.
METHODS: A systematic search was conducted for single technology appraisals of NSCLC drugs in the online NICE database from 2012 to 2022. Search terms used were \'non small cell lung cancer\', and \'NSCLC\'. Appraisals that were under development or terminated as well as multiple technology appraisals were considered out of scope.
RESULTS: In the 30 included appraisals for targeted therapies and immunotherapies within NSCLC, a total of 53 different comparators were included by NICE for 41 assorted indications or subgroups. Partitioned survival models were most frequently used, often including three health states and time horizons of up to 30 years. Throughout the decade the use of indirect comparisons was high and became more established and complex over time. Of all appraisals, 90% positively recommended the treatment for use in the UK.
CONCLUSIONS: Technology appraisals became more complex over time due to the emergence of targeted therapies and immunotherapies, leading to multiple different indications, subpopulations and comparators that needed to be included in appraisals. Partitioned Survival Analysis (PartSA) models became the cornerstone within NSCLC, with time horizons up to 30 years and over time methods for indirect treatment comparisons became more established. The majority of the appraisals resulted in a positive recommendation for reimbursement.

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Clinical guidelines for the assessment and management of atrial fibrillation emphasize the importance of taking the patient\'s preferences into account. A detailed examination of those from the National Institute for Excellence in Health and Social Care (NICE) raise serious questions about whether the recommendations embed preferences about crucial trade-offs that pre-empt those of the patient; do not stress the need to provide them with the information on option consequences necessary for them to become an informed patient; and characterise them as \'concordant\' or \'discordant\' rather than independently valid. American and European guidelines do not differ significantly in these respects.

OBJECTIVE: The diagnostic accuracy of Narrow Band Imaging (NBI) in the endoscopic surveillance of ulcerative colitis (UC) has been disappointing in most trials which used the Kudo classification. We aim to compare the performance of NBI in the lesion characterization of UC, when applied according to three different classifications (NICE, Kudo, Kudo-IBD).
METHODS: In a prospective, real-life study, all visible lesions found during consecutive surveillance colonoscopies with NBI (Exera-II CV-180) for UC were classified as suspected or non-suspected for neoplasia according to the NICE, Kudo and Kudo-IBD criteria. The sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), positive (+LR) and negative (-LR) likelihood ratios of the three classifications were calculated, using histology as the reference standard.
RESULTS: 394 lesions (mean size 6 mm, range 2-40 mm) from 84 patients were analysed. Twenty-one neoplastic (5%), 49 hyperplastic (12%), and 324 inflammatory (82%) lesions were found. The diagnostic accuracy of the NICE, Kudo and Kudo-IBD classifications were, respectively: SE 76%-71%-86%; SP 55-69%-79% (p < 0.05 Kudo-IBD vs. both Kudo and NICE); +LR 1.69-2.34-4.15 (p < 0.05 Kudo-IBD vs. both Kudo and NICE); -LR 0.43-0.41-0.18.
CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic accuracy of NBI in the differentiation of neoplastic and non-neoplastic lesions in UC is low if used with conventional classifications of the general population, but it is significantly better with the modified Kudo classification specific for UC.

BACKGROUND: The objectives of the study were to: (1) evaluate satisfaction with the new 2023 National Institute of Health and Care Excellence (NICE) criteria for selecting total hip arthroplasty (THA) over hemiarthroplasty and surgical recommendations for treatment of displaced intracapsular hip fractures; (2) describe why THA is performed when NICE criteria are not met; and (3) determine whether satisfaction with these guidelines is associated with improved outcomes.
METHODS: A retrospective chart review of patients who had a displaced intracapsular hip fracture treated with THA at a single tertiary academic center between 2010 and 2022 was performed. Preoperative patient characteristics were reviewed to determine if the indication for THA met NICE criteria. Operative details, perioperative complications, reoperation, and revision arthroplasty within 12 months of surgery were recorded.
RESULTS: Data from 196 patients (63% women; age 67 ± 10 years) were used. There were 161 THAs (82.1%) that satisfied NICE criteria. The 2 most common reasons for performing a THA when NICE criteria were not met (n = 35) included preoperative radiographic osteoarthritis (Tönnis grade ≥ 2; 48.6%) and decreased patient age (< 65 years; 31.5%). Satisfaction with the NICE criteria was associated with fewer perioperative complications (0.6 versus 37.1%; P < .001), reoperations (0.6 versus 31.4%; P < .001), and revisions (0.6 versus 28.6%; P < .001). The most common reason for revision was periprosthetic fracture, possibly secondary to the use of uncemented femoral stems (171 of 196, 87.2%).
CONCLUSIONS: Satisfaction with the new NICE criteria is associated with improved perioperative outcomes. Further studies are necessary to determine if preexisting hip osteoarthritis and younger age merit consideration in patient selection.

BACKGROUND: Mild hyperglycaemia is associated with increased birth weight but association with other neonatal outcomes is controversial. We aimed to study neonatal outcomes in untreated mild hyperglycaemia using different oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) thresholds.
METHODS: This register-based study included all (n = 4,939) singleton pregnant women participating a 75 g 2-h OGTT in six delivery hospitals in Finland in 2009. Finnish diagnostic cut-offs for GDM were fasting ≥ 5.3, 1 h ≥ 10.0 or 2-h glucose ≥ 8.6 mmol/L. Women who did not meet these criteria but met the International Association of the Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups (IADPSG) criteria (fasting 5.1-5.2 mmol/L and/or 2-h glucose 8.5 mmol/L, n = 509) or the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) criteria (2-h glucose 7.8-8.5 mmol/L, n = 166) were considered as mild untreated hyperglycaemia. Women who met both the Finnish criteria and the IADPSG or the NICE criteria were considered as treated GDM groups (n = 1292 and n = 612, respectively). Controls were normoglycaemic according to all criteria (fasting glucose < 5.1 mmol/L, 1-h glucose < 10.0 mmol/L and 2-h glucose < 8.5 mmol/L, n = 3031). Untreated mild hyperglycemia groups were compared to controls and treated GDM groups. The primary outcome - a composite of adverse neonatal outcomes, including neonatal hypoglycaemia, hyperbilirubinaemia, birth trauma or perinatal mortality - was analysed using multivariate logistic regression.
RESULTS: The risk for the adverse neonatal outcome in untreated mild hyperglycemia was not increased compared to controls (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71-1.44, using the IADPSG criteria; aOR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.60-1.85, using the NICE criteria). The risk was lower compared to the treated IADPSG (aOR 0.38, 95% CI 0.27-0.53) or the treated NICE group (aOR 0.32, 95% CI 0.18-0.57).
CONCLUSIONS: The risk of adverse neonatal outcomes was not increased in mild untreated hyperglycaemia compared to normoglycaemic controls and was lower than in the treated GDM groups. The OGTT cut-offs of 5.3 mmol/L at fasting and 8.6 mmol/L at 2 h seem to sufficiently identify clinically relevant GDM, without excluding neonates with a risk of adverse outcomes.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia and a growing public health epidemic. In the UK, over 1.3 million people have a diagnosis of AF and an estimated 400,000 remain undiagnosed. AF-related strokes account for a quarter of all strokes and, as AF episodes are often asymptomatic, are still often the first manifestation of AF. Early diagnosis and initiation of oral anticoagulation, where appropriate, may prevent some of these thromboembolic strokes. Public Health England is committed to decrease the incidence of AF-related strokes and has sponsored initiatives aimed at improving AF detection by promoting the uptake of wearable technologies. However, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) has not recommended wearable technology in their recent AF diagnosis and management guidelines (NG196). Diagnostic accuracy of single-lead electrocardiography (ECG) generated by the latest iteration of wearable devices is excellent and, in many cases, superior to general practitioner interpretation of the 12-lead ECG. High-quality ECG from wearable devices that unequivocally shows AF can expedite AF detection. Otherwise, there is a real risk of delaying AF diagnosis with the potential of devastating consequences for patients and their families.

In 2023, the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) updated its infective endocarditis (IE) guidelines strongly endorsing antibiotic prophylaxis (AP) before invasive dental procedures (IDPs) for high-risk patients, elevating their recommendation to Class I. The American Heart Association (AHA) is aligned with this view and reaffirmed the need for AP to prevent IE in those at high-risk in its 2021 guidelines. In contrast, the UK\'s National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recommends against routine AP use. Despite considerable new evidence, NICE has not reviewed this recommendation since 2015. In this Personal View, we review the new evidence that has arisen since 2015. Our analysis establishes the association between IDPs and IE and shows that AP is both safe and effective in reducing the IE-risk following IDPs in those at high-risk. Data also show that AP is cost-effective and would result in significant cost savings and health benefits if re-introduced into the UK\'s National Health Service for high-risk patients. Given these insights, we argue it is time NICE reviewed its guidance so that high-risk patients in the UK receive the same protection against IE that is afforded to patients in the rest of the world.
UNASSIGNED: The authors received no specific funding for this work.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence\'s (NICE) new severity modifier, which has replaced the end-of-life (EoL) premium, on future NICE recommendations, considering past decision-making patterns.
METHODS: NICE technology appraisals (TAs) published between January 2020 and December 2022 were reviewed. Summary statistics were generated to assess how the new severity modifier might affect hypothetical decision making in historical TAs.
RESULTS: A total of 138 data points were identified from 132 TAs. Although the EoL premium was applied in 46 appraisals (33%), 57 (39%) qualify for a severity-based quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) multiplier. Only 19 appraisals (14.6%) not receiving an EoL premium met the severity criteria, the majority (17) qualifying for a 1.2× multiplier. In appraisals predicted to meet the severity criteria, 45 (79%) were in oncology, making them 4.04 times (95% CI 1.91-9.02) more likely to qualify for a severity modifier than nononcology indications. Among historically EoL indications, 42 (91%) were predicted to meet the severity criteria, making them 14.8 times (95% CI 6.37-37.6) more likely to qualify for a severity modifier.
CONCLUSIONS: The new severity modifier will predominantly benefit oncology indications, continuing their previous explicit prioritization under the EoL decision modifier. However, the new severity modifier is harder to achieve and less generous; only a fraction of appraisals qualify for the highest effective £51 000 per QALY threshold. The vast majority of indications previously approved at £50 000 per QALY would now need to meet a cost-effectiveness threshold of <£36 000. This may necessitate greater pricing flexibility from manufacturers and increase the likelihood of negative recommendations.

UKCTOCS provides an opportunity to explore symptoms in preclinical invasive epithelial ovarian cancer (iEOC). We report on symptoms in women with pre-clinical (screen-detected) cancers (PC) compared to clinically diagnosed (CD) cancers.
In UKCTOCS, 202638 postmenopausal women, aged 50-74 were randomly allocated (April 17, 2001-September 29, 2005) 2:1:1 to no screening or annual screening till Dec 31,2011, using a multimodal or ultrasound strategy. Follow-up was through national registries. An outcomes committee adjudicated on OC diagnosis, histotype, stage. Eligible women were those diagnosed with iEOC at primary censorship (Dec 31, 2014). Symptom details were extracted from trial clinical-assessment forms and medical records. Descriptive statistics were used to compare symptoms in PC versus CD women with early (I/II) and advanced (III/IV/unable to stage) stage high-grade-serous (HGSC) cancer. ISRCTN-22488978; ClinicalTrials.gov-NCT00058032.
1133 (286PC; 847CD) women developed iEOC. Median age (years) at diagnosis was earlier in PC compared to CD (66.8PC, 68.7CD, p = 0.0001) group. In the PC group, 48% (112/234; 90%, 660/730CD) reported symptoms when questioned. Half PC (50%, 13/26PC; 36%, 29/80CD; p = 0.213) women with symptomatic HGSC had >1symptom, with abdominal symptoms most common, both in early (62%, 16/26, PC; 53% 42/80, CD; p = 0.421) and advanced (57%, 49/86, PC; 74%, 431/580, CD; p = 0.001) stages. In symptomatic early-stage HGSC, compared to CD, PC women reported more gastrointestinal (change in bowel habits and dyspepsia) (35%, 9/26PC; 9%, 7/80CD; p = 0.001) and systemic (mostly lethargy/tiredness) (27%, 7/26PC; 9%, 7/80CD; p = 0.017) symptoms.
Our findings, add to the growing evidence, that we should reconsider what constitutes alert symptoms for early tubo-ovarian cancer. We need a more nuanced complex of key symptoms which is then evaluated and refined in a prospective trial.