NDVI

NDVI
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市森林面临多种人为压力,导致生态系统的结构和功能受损。因此,了解应对持续压力的生态系统结构对于维持生态完整性和人类福祉至关重要。我们旨在结合遥感技术和植被调查来评估昌迪加尔城市森林的干扰及其对植被结构的影响。通过将BFAST(加季和趋势中断)算法应用于MODIS卫星图像数据,将扰动评估为2001年至2021年NDVI(归一化植被指数)的变化。进行了植被调查,以比较物种组成,分类学和系统发育多样性作为森林植被结构的量度。虽然扰动信号很明显,从我们的研究中还没有很好地确定植被结构的变化。Further,该分析表明,由于干扰,植被组成没有显着差异(F1,12=0.91,p=0.575)。然而,受干扰地块的系统发育多样性远低于未受干扰地块,尽管受干扰和不受干扰的地块之间的分类多样性相似。我们的结果证实,干扰对系统发育的影响比分类多样性更为突出。这些发现可以被认为是干扰的早期信号及其对城市森林植被结构的影响,并有助于建立城市生态系统的知识库。我们的研究对促进基于证据的决策和制定城市森林生态系统的可持续管理策略具有重要意义。
    Urban forests face multiple human-mediated pressures leading to compromised ecosystem structure and functioning. Therefore, understanding ecosystem structure in response to ongoing pressures is crucial for sustaining ecological integrity and human well-being. We aim to assess the disturbance and its effects on the vegetation structure of urban forests in Chandigarh using a combination of remote sensing techniques and vegetation surveys. The disturbance was evaluated as a change in NDVI (Normalised Difference Vegetation Index) from 2001 to 2021 by applying the BFAST (Breaks For Additive Season and Trend) algorithm to the MODIS satellite imagery data. A vegetation survey was conducted to compare the species composition, taxonomic and phylogenetic diversity as measures of forest vegetational structure. While signals of disturbance were evident, the changes in vegetation structure were not well established from our study. Further, this analysis indicated no significant differences in vegetation composition due to disturbance (F1,12 = 0.91, p = 0.575). However, the phylogenetic diversity was substantially lower for disturbed plots than undisturbed plots, though the taxonomic diversity was similar among the disturbed and undisturbed plots. Our results confirmed that disturbance effects are more prominent on the phylogenetic than taxonomic diversity. These findings can be considered early signals of disturbance and its impact on the vegetation structure of urban forests and contribute to the knowledge base on urban ecosystems. Our study has implications for facilitating evidence-based decision-making and the development of sustainable management strategies for urban forest ecosystems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自2012年以来,“山体开挖与城市建设”(MECC)项目已在中国黄土高原广泛实施,通过平整黄土山顶以填充山谷,将沟渠转变为平坦的土地,以进行城市扩张。然而,这种前所未有的人类活动对其未知的潜在生态影响引起了广泛的争议。定量评估MECC项目对植被的影响是生态管理和恢复的关键。以黄土高原最大的MECC项目区为例,延安新区(YND),作为研究区域,本研究利用2009年至2023年的多时相归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)时间序列,调查了MECC项目实施前后植被动态的时空格局,并探讨了植被动态对大规模MECC项目的响应。结果表明,由于MECC项目,YND的植被动态表现出显著的时空异质性,受项目影响地区的植被破坏迅速,恢复缓慢。植被破坏仅发生在项目影响区域,其中84%的地区在10年内开始复苏,表明大规模MECC项目对区域植被的影响有限。植被动态与MECC项目具有很强的相关性,说明项目影响区植被的破坏和恢复主要受人为控制,这突出了有针对性的生态政策的重要性。具体来说,MECC项目在土地创建期间对植物种群结构造成了局部人为破坏,但是通过城市化实现了植被的再生和合理配置,逐步形成新的平衡生态环境。这些发现将有助于全面了解植被对此类大规模工程活动的反应,并帮助地方政府采取促进植被恢复的项目或政策。
    Since 2012, the \"Mountain Excavation and City Construction\" (MECC) project has been implemented extensively on the Loess Plateau of China, transforming gullies into flat land for urban sprawl by leveling loess hilltops to fill in valleys. However, this unprecedented human activity has caused widespread controversy over its unknown potential ecological impacts. Quantitative assessment of the impacts of the MECC project on the vegetation is key to ecological management and restoration. Taking the largest MECC project area on the Loess Plateau, Yan\'an New District (YND), as the study area, this study investigated the spatiotemporal pattern of vegetation dynamics before and after the implementation of the MECC project using a multitemporal normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series from 2009 to 2023 and explored the response of vegetation dynamics to the large-scale MECC project. The results showed that the vegetation dynamics in the YND exhibited significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity due to the MECC project, with the vegetation in the project-affected areas showing rapid damage followed by slow recovery. Vegetation damage occurred only in the project-affected area, and 84 % of these areas began recovery within 10 years, indicating the limited impact of the large-scale MECC project on the regional vegetation. The strong correlation between vegetation dynamics and the MECC project suggested that the destruction and recovery of vegetation in the project-affected areas was mainly under anthropogenic control, which highlights the importance of targeted ecological policies. Specifically, the MECC project induced local anthropogenic damage to the plant population structure during the land creation period, but regeneration and rational allocation of the vegetation were achieved through urbanization, gradually forming a new balanced ecological environment. These findings will contribute to a full understanding of the response of vegetation to such large-scale engineering activities and help local governments adopt projects or policies that facilitate vegetation recovery.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    不断努力推进碳中和碳峰值的战略目标,通过践行绿色发展理念,促进全民健身与生态文明的结合,满足公众日益增长的多样化健身需求至关重要。
    要实现此目的,应用OLS回归模型来估计绿地暴露在中国居民参与体育活动中的作用及其潜在机制,使用来自中国综合社会调查(CGSS)数据的微观数据和省级植被覆盖指数(NDVI)匹配的宏观统计数据。
    实证结果表明,绿地暴露显着增加了居民参与体育活动的可能性,创造绿色环境有利于为居民创造良好的体育活动环境。此外,在通过逐年回归检验并解决内生性问题后,核心结论仍然成立。正如机械研究所揭示的那样,绿地暴露通过减少碳排放和促进社会互动的独立中介作用间接影响居民的体育活动参与。根据异质性结果,男性,那些在婚姻中,城市居民群体更倾向于在绿地中进行体育活动。
    结果表明,绿地的暴露有助于增加居民参加体育锻炼的概率,它可以通过两个渠道实现:减少碳排放和加强社会互动。要进一步加强对生态生活方式的保护,充分发挥绿色低碳优势,为全民健身新模式的绿色发展创造有利条件。
    UNASSIGNED: With continuous efforts made to promote the strategic goals of carbon neutrality and carbon peak, it is crucial to meet the growing and diversified needs of the public for fitness by practicing the concept of green development and promote the combination of national fitness and ecological civilization.
    UNASSIGNED: To achieve this purpose, an OLS regression model was applied to estimate the role of green space exposure in Chinese residents\' participation in physical activity and its underlying mechanisms, using the microdata from the China General Social Survey (CGSS) data and the Provincial Vegetation Cover Index (NDVI) matched macrostatistical data.
    UNASSIGNED: The empirical results show that green space exposure significantly increases the probability of residents\' physical activity participation, and creating a green environment is conducive to creating a favorable physical activity environment for residents. Also, the core conclusions still hold after the year-by-year regression test is passed and the endogeneity problem is addressed. As revealed by mechanistic studies, green space exposure has indirect effects on the physical activity participation of residents through the independent mediating roles of reducing carbon emissions and promoting social interaction. According to heterogeneity results, males, those in marriage, and urban dweller groups are more inclined to perform physical activity in green spaces.
    UNASSIGNED: The results show that the exposure of green space can help increase the probability of residents\' participation in physical exercise, and can that it achieved through two channels: reducing carbon emissions and enhancing social interaction. It is necessary to further strengthen the protection of the ecological lifestyle, give full play to the advantages of greenness and low-carbon, and create favorable conditions for the green development of a new model of national fitness.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    斯瓦尔巴特群岛,位于76°30\'N和80°50\'N之间,是世界上温度上升最快的地区之一。我们为斯瓦尔巴群岛处理了MODIS-NDVI的无云时间序列。在2000-2022年期间,以232m像素分辨率将数据集插值为每日数据。生长的开始,有了明确的物候定义,每年都被映射。然后计算了从每年生长开始(O)到平均生长高峰(P)(2000-2022)(OPNDVI)的积分NDVI。OPNDVI以前显示出与基于田间的苔原生产力高度相关。将11个气象站的日平均温度数据与NDVI数据进行了比较。对于所有使用的气象站,OPNDVI值与从开始到生长高峰计算的生长天数具有很高的显着相关性。平均整个斯瓦尔巴群岛,2016年首先是自2000年以来记录的最高绿化(OPNDVI值),然后2018年的绿化超过2016年,然后2020年超过2018年,最后2022年是整个2000-2022年期间整体绿化最高的一年。这表明斯瓦尔巴群岛最近的快速绿化与温度升高密切相关,尽管存在地区差异:斯瓦尔巴群岛东部地区表现出最大的年份变化,很可能是由于邻近地区海冰破裂时间的变化。最后,我们发现,在极地沙漠地区,以苔藓苔原为主的地区需要新的方法,因为苔藓不分享苔原群落的季节性NDVI动态。
    Svalbard, located between 76°30\'N and 80°50\'N, is among the regions in the world with the most rapid temperature increase. We processed a cloud-free time-series of MODIS-NDVI for Svalbard. The dataset is interpolated to daily data during the 2000-2022 period with 232 m pixel resolution. The onset of growth, with a clear phenological definition, has been mapped each year. Then the integrated NDVI from the onset (O) of growth each year to the time of average (2000-2022) peak (P) of growth (OP NDVI) have been calculated. OP NDVI has previously shown high correlation with field-based tundra productivity. Daily mean temperature data from 11 meteorological stations are compared with the NDVI data. The OP NDVI values show very high and significant correlation with growing degree days computed from onset to time of peak of growth for all the meteorological stations used. On average for the entire Svalbard, the year 2016 first had the highest greening (OP NDVI values) recorded since the year 2000, then the greening in 2018 surpassed 2016, then 2020 surpassed 2018, and finally 2022 was the year with the overall highest greening by far for the whole 2000-2022 period. This shows a rapid recent greening of Svalbard very strongly linked to temperature increase, although there are regional differences: the eastern parts of Svalbard show the largest variability between years, most likely due to variability in the timing of sea-ice break-up in adjacent areas. Finally, we find that areas dominated by manured moss-tundra in the polar desert zone require new methodologies, as moss does not share the seasonal NDVI dynamics of tundra communities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大豆木炭腐烂的主要控制,由真菌病原体引起的Macrophominaphaseolina,是为了避免干旱胁迫并种植中等抗性的品种。2011年和2013年在LonMann棉花研究站确定了灌溉和品种的影响,玛丽安娜,AR.四个大豆品种(Hutcheson,奥萨奇,奥扎克,和R01581F),wereplantedinplotswithorwithoutM.phaseolinainsoculumandsubjectedtothreefurrowirrigationregime:fullseasonirration(Full),灌溉终止于R5(CutR5),和非灌溉(NonIrr)。在R3和R6处测量归一化差异营养指数(NDVI)。在收获的时候,收集植物和产量。将根和茎分开,并且用1-5标度(RSS)在根中评估由菜子微菌核可见的定殖程度,并且测量植物高度茎变色百分比(PHSD)。9月和10月的降水量分别比2011年和2013年的30年平均水平低54%和65%。CutR5灌溉处理导致每年比Full少灌溉一次,但R6和产率的CutR5NDVI明显低于Full,与NonIrr没有显著差异。CutR5RSS评级高于Full或NonIrr。在2011年,菜豆的植物定植与产量呈负相关,但在2013年却没有。在任何一年中都没有观察到由木炭腐烂引起的植物过早死亡。这些结果表明,与整个季节的干旱胁迫相比,后期干旱胁迫对木炭腐烂的发展可能更为重要。但是需要其他因素来引发早期植物死亡和随后在种植者田地中观察到的产量损失。
    The primary controls for charcoal rot in soybean, caused by the fungal pathogen Macrophomina phaseolina, are to avoid drought stress and to plant a moderately resistant cultivar. The effects of irrigation and cultivar were determined in 2011 and 2013 at the Lon Mann Cotton Research Station, Marianna, AR. Four soybean cultivars (Hutcheson, Osage, Ozark, and R01581F), were planted in plots with or without added M. phaseolina inoculum and subjected to three furrow irrigation regimes: full season irrigation (Full), irrigation terminated at R5 (CutR5), and non-irrigated (NonIrr). Normalized difference vegetative index (NDVI) was measured at R3 and R6. At harvest, plants and yields were collected. Roots and stems were split and the extent of visible colonization by M. phaseolina microsclerotia was assessed in the roots with a 1-5 scale (RSS) and the percent plant height stem discoloration (PHSD) measured. Precipitation in September and October was 54 and 65% below the 30-year average in 2011 and 2013, respectively. The CutR5 irrigation treatment resulted in one less irrigation than Full each year, but CutR5 NDVI\'s at R6 and yields were significantly lower than those with Full and not significantly different than those of NonIrr. The CutR5 RSS ratings were greater than either Full or NonIrr. Plant colonization by M. phaseolina was negatively correlated to yield in 2011 but not in 2013. No premature plant death caused by charcoal rot was observed in either year. These results indicated that late season drought stress may be more important to charcoal rot development than drought stress throughout the season, but other factors are needed to trigger early plant death and subsequent yield losses observed in grower fields.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:/目的:研究表明,更多地暴露于自然植被(即,绿色)与更好的心理健康相关。然而,关于孕前时期的绿色和心理健康的研究有限,生命历程中的关键暴露窗口。我们使用一组怀孕计划者的横截面数据调查了住宅绿色与感知压力和抑郁症状的关系。
    方法:从2013年到2019年,我们招募了21-45岁的女性参与者,他们试图在不使用生育治疗的情况下怀孕,进入北美孕前队列研究(在线妊娠研究[PRESTO])。在基线问卷上,参与者完成了10项感知压力量表(PSS)和重度抑郁量表(MDI).使用地理编码地址,我们通过卫星图像(归一化植被指数[NDVI])在100m缓冲区中估算了住宅的绿色暴露。我们使用线性回归模型估计了绿色与感知压力和抑郁得分的平均差异和95%置信区间,根据个人和邻里的社会人口特征进行调整。我们还评估了城市化和邻里社会经济地位(SES)对协会的影响程度。
    结果:在9,718名参与者中,平均年龄29.9岁,81.5%被认定为非西班牙裔白人,25%的家庭收入<50,000美元,平均邻里收入为61,932美元。在调整后的模型中,较高的绿度与较低的应激和抑郁评分相关(绿度中每个四分位数范围的平均差:-0.20,95%CI:-0.39,-0.01;和-0.19,95%CI:-0.48,0.10,分别).城市地区SES较低社区的居民之间的关联更强(PSS:-0.57,95%CI:-1.00,-0.15;MDI:-0.72,95%CI:-1.40,-0.04)。
    结论:在怀孕计划者中,较高的绿色暴露与较低的压力和抑郁症状相关,特别是在SES较低的社区。
    BACKGROUND: /Aims: Studies suggest that greater exposure to natural vegetation (i.e., greenness) is associated with better mental health. However, there is limited research on greenness and mental health in the preconception period, a critical window of exposure in the life course. We investigated the associations of residential greenness with perceived stress and depressive symptoms using cross-sectional data from a cohort of pregnancy planners.
    METHODS: From 2013 to 2019, we enrolled female-identified participants aged 21-45 years who were trying to conceive without the use of fertility treatment into a North American preconception cohort study (Pregnancy Study Online [PRESTO]). On the baseline questionnaire, participants completed the 10-item Perceived Stress Scale (PSS) and the Major Depression Inventory (MDI). Using geocoded addresses, we estimated residential greenness exposure via satellite imagery (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index [NDVI]) in a 100m buffer. We estimated mean differences and 95% confidence intervals for the association of greenness with perceived stress and depression scores using linear regression models, adjusting for individual and neighborhood sociodemographic characteristics. We also evaluated the extent to which associations were modified by urbanicity and neighborhood socioeconomic status (SES).
    RESULTS: Among 9,718 participants, mean age was 29.9 years, 81.5% identified as non-Hispanic White, 25% had household incomes <$50,000, and mean neighborhood income was $61,932. In adjusted models, higher greenness was associated with lower stress and depression scores (mean difference per interquartile range in greenness: -0.20, 95% CI: -0.39, -0.01; and -0.19, 95% CI: -0.48, 0.10, respectively). The association was stronger among residents of lower SES neighborhoods in urban areas (PSS: -0.57, 95% CI: -1.00, -0.15; MDI: -0.72, 95% CI: -1.40, -0.04).
    CONCLUSIONS: Higher greenness exposure was associated with lower stress and depressive symptoms among pregnancy planners, particularly in lower-SES neighborhoods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    森林害虫对全球生态系统服务构成重大威胁,需要有效的监控和管理策略。最近,卫星遥感已成为检测这些害虫引起的落叶的宝贵工具。Lymantriadispar,一种原产于日本的主要森林害虫,西伯利亚,和欧洲,以及北美的引进地区,尤其令人关注。在这项研究中,我们使用Sentinel-2卫星图像来估计落叶面积并预测富山县的落叶分布,日本中部。主要目的是了解L.dispar的空间分布。归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)差异分析估计,2022年富山县的落叶面积为7.89km2。MaxEnt建模,使用落叶图作为发生数据,确定在海拔400m和700m处大约35°至50°的落叶林非常适合L.dispar。这种预测的适宜性对于幼虫位置也很高,但对于卵质量位置则很低,可能是由于幼虫栖息地和产卵地点的差异。这项研究是首次尝试利用基于NDVI的估计作为MaxEnt的代理。我们的结果表明,基于包括幼虫在内的发生记录的预测准确性高于先前的研究,成年人,和鸡蛋质量,表明对落叶落叶的分布有更好的区分。因此,我们整合卫星数据和物种分布模型的方法可能会增强对受害虫影响地区的评估,以进行有效的森林管理。
    Forest pests pose a major threat to ecosystem services worldwide, requiring effective monitoring and management strategies. Recently, satellite remote sensing has emerged as a valuable tool to detect defoliation caused by these pests. Lymantria dispar, a major forest pest native to Japan, Siberia, and Europe, as well as introduced regions in North America, is of particular concern. In this study, we used Sentinel-2 satellite imagery to estimate the defoliation area and predict the distribution of L. dispar in Toyama Prefecture, central Japan. The primary aim was to understand the spatial distribution of L. dispar. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) difference analysis estimated a defoliation area of 7.89 km2 in Toyama Prefecture for the year 2022. MaxEnt modeling, using defoliation map as occurrence data, identified the deciduous forests between approximately 35° and 50° at elevations of 400 m and 700 m as highly suitable for L. dispar. This predicted suitability was also high for larval locations but low for egg mass locations, likely due to differences in larval habitats and ovipositing sites. This study is the first attempt to utilize NDVI-based estimates as a proxy for MaxEnt. Our results showed higher prediction accuracy than a previous study based on the occurrence records including larvae, adults, and egg masses, indicating better discrimination of the distribution of L. dispar defoliation. Therefore, our approach to integrating satellite data and species distribution models can potentially enhance the assessment of areas affected by pests for effective forest management.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这个技术进步中,我们描述了一种新的方法来改善遥感植被绿色测量的生态解释,该方法涉及在阿拉斯加中部布鲁克斯山脉639公里处采样24,395Landsat像素(30m)。该方法远远超出了传统的基于绘图的采样的空间尺度,从而更彻底地将地面观测与卫星测量联系起来。我们的示例数据集说明,沿着北方-北极边界,Landsat归一化植被指数(NDVI)最大的植被高于1米,伍迪,和落叶;而NDVI较低的植被往往较短,常绿,或非木质的。野外方法和相关分析推动了利用与遥感图像分辨率紧密匹配的空间尺度收集的野外样本,通过地面植被观测为卫星数据提供信息的努力。
    In this Technical Advance, we describe a novel method to improve ecological interpretation of remotely sensed vegetation greenness measurements that involved sampling 24,395 Landsat pixels (30 m) across 639 km of Alaska\'s central Brooks Range. The method goes well beyond the spatial scale of traditional plot-based sampling and thereby more thoroughly relates ground-based observations to satellite measurements. Our example dataset illustrates that, along the boreal-Arctic boundary, vegetation with the greatest Landsat Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is taller than 1 m, woody, and deciduous; whereas vegetation with lower NDVI tends to be shorter, evergreen, or non-woody. The field methods and associated analyses advance efforts to inform satellite data with ground-based vegetation observations using field samples collected at spatial scales that closely match the resolution of remotely sensed imagery.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    了解尼泊尔植被动态及其驱动因素对实施可持续生态政策具有重要的科学参考价值。本研究使用MODISNDVI数据对2003年至2022年尼泊尔植被覆盖的时空变化进行了全面分析,并探讨了气候因素和人为活动对植被的影响。使用Mann-Kendall检验来评估NDVI的显着趋势,并与Hurst指数整合以预测未来趋势。利用皮尔逊相关性分析了NDVI动力学的驱动因素,偏导数,和残差分析方法。结果表明,在过去的20年里,尼泊尔在0.0013year-1经历了NDVI的增加趋势,其中80%的表面积(植被覆盖率)显示出增加的植被趋势(〜28%,植被显着增加)。温度影响高海拔地区的植被动态,而降水和人为干预影响了低海拔地区。Hurst指数分析预测,与植被退化(褐变)相比,更大区域的植被覆盖率(绿化)有所改善。NDVI残差面积的显着增加表明人为对植被覆盖的积极影响。人为活动对NDVI变化的相对贡献较高,其次是温度,然后是降水。尼泊尔不同地区的残差趋势和Hurst分析结果有助于确定退化地区,无论是现在还是将来。这些信息可以帮助有关当局实施适当的政策,以实现可持续的生态环境。
    Understanding the vegetation dynamics and their drivers in Nepal has significant scientific reference value for implementing sustainable ecological policies. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the spatio-temporal variations in vegetation cover in Nepal from 2003 to 2022 using MODIS NDVI data and explores the effects of climatic factors and anthropogenic activities on vegetation. Mann-Kendall test was used to assess the significant trend in NDVI and was integrated with the Hurst exponent to predict future trends. The driving factors of NDVI dynamics were analyzed using Pearson\'s correlation, partial derivative, and residual analysis methods. The results indicate that over the last 20 years, Nepal has experienced an increasing trend in NDVI at 0.0013 year-1, with 80% of the surface area (vegetation cover) showing an increasing vegetation trend (~ 28% with a significant increase in vegetation). Temperature influenced vegetation dynamics in the higher elevation areas, while precipitation and human interventions influenced the lower elevation areas. The Hurst exponent analysis predicts an improvement in the vegetation cover (greening) for a larger area compared to vegetation degradation (browning). A significantly increased area of NDVI residuals indicates a positive anthropogenic influence on vegetation cover. Anthropogenic activities have a higher relative contribution to NDVI variation followed by temperature and then precipitation. The results of residual trend and Hurst analysis in different regions of Nepal help identify degraded areas, both in the present and future. This information can assist relevant authorities in implementing appropriate policies for a sustainable ecological environment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    迁徙昆虫可能大量移动,甚至在生物量上超过迁徙脊椎动物。长距离迁徙昆虫通过多代完成年度周期,每一代的繁殖成功与不同繁殖地可用的资源有关。据推测,这些地区的气候异常会引发人口迅速爆发。这里,我们推断起源并追踪欧洲洲际规模的彩绘女士(Vanessacardui)蝴蝶的显着爆发的多代路径,中东,和非洲从2019年3月到2019年11月。使用元编码,我们确定了在7个月内由10个国家捕获的264只蝴蝶运输的花粉,并模拟了检测到的398株植物的分布。分析表明,早春在东欧收集的群体起源于阿拉伯和中东,与2018年11月至2019年4月该地区植被生长的正异常相吻合。从那里,该群在春末进入北欧,随后是夏季欧洲西南部的早期逆转。基于花粉的证据与公民科学揭示的时空丰度峰相匹配,这也表明了9月至11月西非爆发的回声效应。我们的研究结果表明,部分物种迁徙范围内的人口暴发可能会在广泛的地理区域中传播多代人口效应。这项研究代表了在洲际尺度上追踪连续多代昆虫迁徙的前所未有的努力。
    Migratory insects may move in large numbers, even surpassing migratory vertebrates in biomass. Long-distance migratory insects complete annual cycles through multiple generations, with each generation\'s reproductive success linked to the resources available at different breeding grounds. Climatic anomalies in these grounds are presumed to trigger rapid population outbreaks. Here, we infer the origin and track the multigenerational path of a remarkable outbreak of painted lady (Vanessa cardui) butterflies that took place at an intercontinental scale in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa from March 2019 to November 2019. Using metabarcoding, we identified pollen transported by 264 butterflies captured in 10 countries over 7 months and modeled the distribution of the 398 plants detected. The analysis showed that swarms collected in Eastern Europe in early spring originated in Arabia and the Middle East, coinciding with a positive anomaly in vegetation growth in the region from November 2018 to April 2019. From there, the swarms advanced to Northern Europe during late spring, followed by an early reversal toward southwestern Europe in summer. The pollen-based evidence matched spatiotemporal abundance peaks revealed by citizen science, which also suggested an echo effect of the outbreak in West Africa during September-November. Our results show that population outbreaks in a part of species\' migratory ranges may disseminate demographic effects across multiple generations in a wide geographic area. This study represents an unprecedented effort to track a continuous multigenerational insect migration on an intercontinental scale.
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