Multi-criteria decision-making

多准则决策
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了应对台湾建筑业激烈竞争的招标环境,本研究采用改进的批评方法(SFmCRITIC)的球形模糊扩展进行创新,一种开创性的方法,旨在完善决策过程。研究集中在准确加权各种重要因素的关键作用,比如金融稳定,市场洞察力,和专业知识,优化中标成功率。SFmCRITIC方法通过定量地结合评标中通常遇到的不确定性和主观性而脱颖而出。这种方法论应用的结果表明,影响因素有明确的层次结构,为建筑公司的战略重点提供细致入微的观点。这种分层的理解不仅有助于公司有针对性的资源分配和战略发展,而且还有望适应台湾以外的不同行业环境,可能在全球范围内彻底改变投标策略。
    In response to the intensely competitive bidding environment in Taiwan\'s construction industry, this study innovates with a spherical fuzzy extension of the modified CRITIC method (SFmCRITIC), a pioneering approach crafted to refine the decision-making process. The research centers on the pivotal role of accurately weighting various significant factors, such as financial stability, market insight, and specialized expertise, to optimize bid success rates. The SFmCRITIC method stands out by quantitatively incorporating the uncertainty and subjectivity typically encountered in bid evaluation. The findings from this methodological application demonstrate a clear hierarchy of influencing factors, offering a nuanced view of strategic priorities for construction firms. This hierarchical understanding not only aids firms in targeted resource distribution and strategic development but also holds promise for adaptation in diverse industry contexts beyond Taiwan, potentially revolutionizing bidding strategies at a global scale.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    纳米材料广泛应用于多种生物医学和环境应用,由于他们的理想属性。然而,合成和表征程序需要大量的成本和具有负面的环境影响。为了控制所生产材料的预合成设计,可以使用各种方法,预测他们的行为并尽量减少一系列的实验。在这项研究中提出了多标准决策,以确定物理化学参数的最佳组合,并在15种不同的纳米结构二氧化钛样品中确定最佳替代方案。特别是,通过避免在测试生物效应和有机污染物的光催化降解之后进行的几项试验,应用了与理想溶液相似的优先顺序技术(TOPSIS)方法来实现可用替代品的最终排名。因此,这种方法有助于我们保持环境和道德上的正确,节省时间,钱,和能源,还提供了开发的纳米材料的优化。
    Nanomaterials are widely used in several biomedical and environmental applications, due to their ideal properties. However, the synthetic and characterization procedure requires significant costs and has a negative environmental impact. Various methods are available in order to control the pre-synthesis design of the produced materials, predicting their behavior and minimizing the series of experiments. Multi-Criteria Decision-Making is proposed in this study in order to determine the best combination of the physicochemical parameters and to define the best alternative among fifteen different samples of nanostructured titanium dioxide. In particular, the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method was applied to achieve a final ranking of the available alternatives by avoiding several of the trials that would follow testing the biological effect and the photocatalytic degradation of organic pollutants. Thus, this approach helps us to stay environmentally and ethically correct, saving time, money, and energy and also providing an optimization of the nanomaterials that are developed.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    灌溉大坝和灌溉适宜性分析对于优化水资源管理非常重要,作物选择和生产力,节约用水,环境可持续性,和农业领域的经济可行性。因此,这项研究的主要目的是在Gedeb河中确定合适的大坝站点和灌溉区,埃塞俄比亚,使用多标准决策分析和3D可视化技术。为了确定合适的坝址,各种参数,如降雨量,径流,水流,矿址,断层区,滑坡现场,岩石类型,高程点,浮雕特征,土壤类型被用来确定一个合适的灌溉面积,不同的参数,如高度,斜坡,土壤,地质构造,距离,并使用了土地利用土地覆盖数据集。从埃塞俄比亚测绘管理局(EMA)收集的用于确定合适的大坝站点和灌溉区的必要数据集,埃塞俄比亚灌溉和能源部自由。此外,对于Gedeb流域的最终灌溉坝址选择和合适的灌溉面积,分别应用了专家判断的多准则决策方法。根据研究结果,占地1886公顷的合适的灌溉水库大坝,潜在持水量为2,961,145,697立方米。结果还显示了一个非常合适的面积为18,362.05公顷,中等适宜面积19,204.05公顷,2095.25公顷的边际合适面积,以及不适合上述用途的2.89公顷面积。本研究中提出的方法论方法和研究结果可以极大地帮助政府和非政府组织的规划者和决策者开发灌溉项目。
    Irrigation dams and irrigation suitability analysis is important for optimal water management, crop selection and productivity, water conservation, environmental sustainability, and economic viability in agriculture arena. Thus, the main objectives of this study were to identify a suitable dam site and irrigation area in the Gedeb River, Ethiopia, using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making analysis and 3D Visualization techniques. To identify a suitable dam site, various parametrs such as rainfall, runoff, stream flow, mineral site, faulting areas, landslide site, rock types, elevation points, relief features, soil types were used while to identify a suitable irrigation area, different parametrs such as altitude, slope, soil, geological structure, distance, and land use land cover datasets were used. The necessary dataset which were used to identify a suitable dam site and irrigation area collected from Ethiopian Mapping Authority (EMA), Ethiopian irrigation and energy ministry freely. In addition, for the final irrigation dam site selection and suitable irrigation area in the Gedeb watershed, multi-criteria decision-making method with expert judgment were applied respectively. Based on the study\'s findings, a suitable irrigation water reservoir dam covering an area of 1886 ha, with a potential water holding capacity of 2,961,145,697 cubic meters was identified. The results also revealed a highly suitable area of 18,362.05 ha, a moderately suitable area of 19,204.05 ha, a marginally suitable area of 2095.25 ha, and a not suitable area of 2.89 ha for the aforementioned purpose. The methodological approach and research findings presented in this study can greatly assist government and non-governmental organization planners and decision-makers in the development of irrigation projects.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多准则决策(MCDM)领域长期以来一直在寻找能够在不确定性中巧妙地捕捉人类决策复杂性的工具。犹豫模糊集(HFS)由于能够在不确定性下捕捉人类决策的复杂性而成为MCDM领域的基石。尽管如此,我们发现传统HFS配方存在显著差距,这往往不能充分利用决策者(DM)的细微差别和隐含偏好。在复杂和不确定的环境中,这一缺点可能导致决策结果不理想。我们引入正常的摇摆犹豫模糊集(NWHFS),一种新颖的结构,将显式和隐式偏好都封装在一个更具代表性的框架内。这项研究开创了NWHFS新相关系数的发展,提供一个强大的定量措施来阐明变量之间的复杂关系。我们的发现表明,NWHFS显著增强了MCDM过程,提供了传统HFS模型无法比拟的细致入微的视角。所提出的相关系数不仅揭示了DM的隐藏偏好,而且拓宽了决策范围,提供对替代方案和标准之间关系的更深刻的理解。我们通过与现有方法的比较分析来说明我们的方法的优越性,突出了它辨别其他模型忽视的微妙之处的能力。此外,我们将NWHFS集成到聚类分析中,展示他们对具有共享属性的数据源进行有效分类的潜力。这种集成特别值得注意的是它能够导航复杂的数据集,为数据挖掘和资源检索提供了新的维度。实质上,我们的研究通过引入NWHFS及其相关系数来重新定义MCDM范式,为决策准确性和洞察力设定新标准。我们工作的意义超出了理论,为现实世界的决策挑战提供实用的解决方案。
    The multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) field has long sought tools capable of adeptly capturing the intricacies of human decision-making amidst uncertainty. Hesitant fuzzy sets (HFS) have become a cornerstone in the MCDM field due to their ability to capture the intricacies of human decision-making under uncertainty. Nonetheless, we identified a significant gap in traditional HFS formulations, which often fail to fully harness the nuanced and implicit preferences of decision-makers (DMs). This shortcoming can lead to suboptimal decision outcomes in complex and uncertain environments. We introduce the normal wiggly hesitant fuzzy set (NWHFS), a novel construct that encapsulates both explicit and implicit preferences within a more representative framework. This study pioneers the development of new correlation coefficients for NWHFSs, offering a robust quantitative measure to elucidate the intricate relationships between variables. Our findings demonstrate that NWHFSs significantly enhance the MCDM process, providing a nuanced perspective that traditional HFS models cannot match. The proposed correlation coefficients not only reveal the concealed preferences of DMs but also broaden the decision-making spectrum, offering a more profound understanding of the relationships between alternatives and criteria. We illustrate the superiority of our approach through comparative analysis with existing methods, highlighting its ability to discern subtleties that other models overlook. Moreover, we integrate NWHFSs into clustering analysis, showcasing their potential to classify data sources with shared attributes effectively. This integration is particularly noteworthy for its ability to navigate complex datasets, offering a new dimension in data mining and resource retrieval. In essence, our study redefines the MCDM paradigm by introducing NWHFSs and their correlation coefficients, setting a new standard for decision-making accuracy and insight. The implications of our work extend beyond theory, offering practical solutions to real-world decision-making challenges.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    正如在行为决策理论中发现的那样,风险投资家(VC)依赖启发式和偏见,由于他们的有限理性,要么是有限的替代品,要么是信息和资源。由于众多不断发展的企业带来的信息过载,印度蓬勃发展的初创企业在决策中挑战了风投,这阻碍了明智的判断。风险投资行为,尽职调查,与决策相关的认知因素一直受到研究者的关注。我们通过识别在基于技术的行业的风险早期阶段影响投资或融资决策的属性,为风险投资公司的最佳决策提供了一种替代方法。通过文献综述,我们确定了八个属性,在内部和外部标准上,风险投资者在做出投资决策时考虑的问题。根据对20位专家的采访,我们进一步确定了八个关键的科技领域。运用灰色系统理论,然后,我们为投资者的早期投资决策确定了8家科技创业公司的排名。本研究提出了一种基于语言变量的灰数方法来决定权重和评级,灰色可能性度对不同的科技创业公司进行比较和排名,根据结果,建议理想的科技创业公司。我们发现农业技术排名第一;因此,投资者应该更喜欢冒险进入这样的初创公司进行早期投资。电子商务和edutech排名第二和第三,分别,其次是电动汽车基础设施,insurtech,fintech,航天技术,和软件即服务。
    As found in behavioral decision theory, venture capitalists (VCs) rely on heuristics and bias, owing to their bounded rationality, either by limited alternatives or information and resources. India\'s booming startup scene challenges VCs in decision-making owing to information overload from numerous evolving ventures, which hinders informed judgment. VC investment behavior, due diligence, and cognitive factors related to decision-making have always drawn the attention of researchers. We provide an alternative approach for an optimal decision by VCs by identifying the attributes that influence investment or funding decisions at an early stage of a venture in tech-based industries. Through a literature review, we identify eight attributes, both on internal and external criteria, that venture investors consider when making investment decisions. Based on interviews with 20 experts, we further identify eight key tech-based sectors. Using grey system theory, we then determine the rankings of eight tech startups for investors\' early-stage investment decisions. This study presents a linguistic variable-based approach of grey numbers to decide weights and ratings, the grey possibility degree to compare and rank different tech startups, and based on the results, suggests the ideal tech startup. We find that agritech ranks first; thus, investors should prefer venturing into such startups for early-stage investment. E-commerce and edutech ranked second and third, respectively, followed by electric vehicle infrastructure, insurtech, fintech, space tech, and software as a service.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    干旱被列为最昂贵的气候灾害,因为它们会对生态系统造成长期和长期的影响,农业,和人类社会。强度,频率,干旱事件的持续时间在过去有所增加,预计在全球范围内将继续上升,大陆,和区域尺度。强调基于自然的解决方案(NBS)是应对这些事件未来影响的有效解决方案。尽管如此,关于国家统计局缓解干旱的有效性的全面研究有限,和现有的适宜性映射框架经常忽略干旱特定的标准。为了解决这个差距,提出了一个新的框架,以在区域范围内确定适合两种应对干旱的NBS类型的区域:滞留盆地和有管理的含水层补给。两种多准则决策技术(MCDM),即布尔逻辑和层次分析法(AHP),用于绘制合适的大规模NBS。新框架考虑了专门解决干旱条件的独特标准。通过结合地表和地下水的气候变化情景,充电,和不同的地下水特征,它确定了能够管理极端干旱事件的合适和可持续的地点。在法兰德斯(比利时)通过布尔逻辑在区域范围内执行,框架的严格方法产生了重要的滞留盆地潜在面积(298.7平方公里)和管理含水层补给(867.5平方公里)。将层次分析法与相同的标准相结合,为决策者带来了更高的灵活性。这种方法显示了佛兰德斯的显着扩张,随着适宜性的水平而变化。结果强调了滞留盆地(2552.2平方公里)和管理含水层补给(2538.7平方公里)的高度合适潜力,强调解决该地区干旱的框架的适应性和可扩展性。由于滞留盆地的潜在补给量与该地区的地下水使用之间的比较表明,滞留盆地可以部分弥补高需水量。因此,建立针对干旱的框架对于水资源短缺情景的可持续管理至关重要。
    Droughts are classified as the most expensive climate disasters as they leave long-term and chronic impacts on the ecosystem, agriculture, and human society. The intensity, frequency, and duration of drought events have increased in the past and are expected to continue rising at global, continental, and regional scales. Nature-based solutions (NBS) are highlighted as effective solutions to cope with the future impacts of these events. Despite this, there has been limited comprehensive research on the effectiveness of NBS for drought mitigation, and existing suitability mapping frameworks often overlook drought-specific criteria. To address this gap, a new framework is proposed to identify areas suitable for two drought-coping NBS types at a regional scale: detention basins and managed aquifer recharge. Two multi-criteria decision-making techniques (MCDM), i.e. Boolean logic and Analytic- Hierarchy Process (AHP), were used to map suitable large-scale NBS. The new framework accounts for unique criteria to specifically address drought conditions. By incorporating climate change scenarios for both surface and groundwater, recharge, and different groundwater characteristics, it identifies suitable and sustainable locations capable of managing extreme drought events. Executed through Boolean logic at a regional scale in Flanders (Belgium), the framework\'s strict approach yields significant potential areas for detention basins (298.7 km²) and managed aquifer recharge (867.5 km²). Incorporating AHP with the same criteria introduces a higher degree of flexibility for decision-makers. This approach shows a notable expansion across Flanders, varying with the level of suitability. The results underscore the highly suitable potential for detention basins (2552.2 km²) and managed aquifer recharge (2538.7 km²), emphasizing the adaptability and scalability of the framework for addressing drought in the region. The comparison between potential recharge volume due to detention basin and groundwater use in the region indicated that the detention basins could partially compensate for the high water demand. Therefore, creating a framework targeting drought is vital for the sustainable management of water scarcity scenarios.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    马来西亚过度的能源消耗导致石油和天然气等传统能源储备的枯竭。尽管马来西亚实施了多项政策以实现可持续的国家能源发展,目前的结果并不令人满意。截至2022年,该国只有2%的电力供应来自可再生能源,占能源结构的不到30%。马来西亚必须确保能源安全和多样化的能源供应,同时确保可持续的能源发展。本文采用基于累积前景理论的模糊多准则决策(MCDM)方法,从技术四个维度帮助决策者选择最适合马来西亚可持续发展的可再生能源,经济,社会,和环境。结果表明,太阳能发电是最适合可持续发展的可再生能源,其次是生物质,风,和水电,但最佳替代方案对前景参数敏感。最后,分析了效率,投资回收期,创造就业,在四个维度下,二氧化碳(CO2)排放是影响马来西亚可再生能源发展的最关键因素。从政策审查中提出了合理的建议,绿色金融,公众意识,工程教育,未来的能源。这项研究提供了深刻的信息,可以帮助马来西亚决策者科学地制定可再生能源的可持续发展道路,分析现阶段可再生能源发展中遇到的问题,并为马来西亚未来可再生能源转型和可持续发展提供建议。
    Malaysia\'s excessive energy consumption has led to the depletion of traditional energy reserves such as oil and natural gas. Although Malaysia has implemented multiple policies to achieve sustainable national energy development, the current results are unsatisfactory. As of 2022, only 2% of the country\'s electricity supply comes from renewable energy, which accounts for less than 30% of the energy structure. Malaysia must ensure energy security and diversified energy supply while ensuring sustainable energy development. This article uses the fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making(MCDM) method based on cumulative prospect theory to help decision-makers choose the most suitable renewable energy for sustainable development in Malaysia from four dimensions of technology, economy, society, and environment. The results show that solar power is the most suitable renewable energy for sustainable development, followed by biomass, wind, and hydropower, but the optimal alternative is sensitive to the prospect parameters. Finally, it was analyzed that efficiency, payback period, employment creation, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are the most critical factors affecting the development of renewable energy in Malaysia under the four dimensions. Reasonable suggestions are proposed from policy review, green finance, public awareness, engineering education, and future energy. This research provides insightful information that can help Malaysian decision-makers scientifically formulate Sustainable development paths for renewable energy, analyze the problems encountered in the current stage of renewable energy development, and provide recommendations for Malaysia\'s future renewable energy transition and sustainable development.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这项研究中,使用Rize的不同区域研究了多准则决策(MCDM)方法在确定最合适的雨水管理策略中的应用。本研究详细介绍了Rize沿海公园和带有TOPSIS的Güneysu-Rize连接高速公路的最合适的雨水管理实践的确定。在这种情况下,讨论了适用于城市地区的常用应用。通过咨询领先研究人员的专家意见,确定了用于评估选定应用程序的标准及其权重。通过TOPSIS方法确定了在不同情况下的最合适应用,例如Rize沿海公园和Güneysu-Rize连接道路的成本或降水量的变化。TOPSIS分析理想解决方案的排名与SWMM模拟的结果一对一匹配。SWMM结果证实,TOPSIS的结果是最大程度地减少地表径流的替代方案。
    In this study, the application of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods in determining the most appropriate stormwater management strategy is examined using different areas in Rize. The determination of the most appropriate stormwater management practices for the Rize coastal park and Güneysu-Rize connection highway with TOPSIS is presented in detail within this study. In this context, commonly used applications suitable for urban areas are discussed. The criteria and their weights used for the evaluation of the selected applications were determined by consulting expert opinions from leading researchers. The most suitable applications in different scenarios such as changes in the cost or the amount of precipitation for Rize coastal park and Güneysu-Rize connection road were determined by the TOPSIS method. The TOPSIS analyses\' ranking of the ideal solutions matches the results of the SWMM simulations one to one. SWMM results confirm that the outcomes of TOPSIS are the alternatives that provide maximum decrease in surface runoff.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于其在不同工业领域的各种优势,氢可以提供基于可持续发展目标的能源,并在国家经济中重现关键功能。在这方面,评估工业规模的制氢技术对于工业发展和经济增长是必要的。因此,这项研究提出了一个全面的,评估伊朗制氢技术的混合模糊决策综合框架。除了考虑可持续性因素,政治,技术,本研究还对可靠性指标进行了评估,以进行全面评估。模糊逐步权重评估比率分析(F-SWARA)技术确定指标的重要性,模糊加权综合产品评价(F-WASPAS)方法对技术进行排名。加权结果表明,投资成本的分项指数,技术基础设施发展,和实施成本被引入作为最重要的子指数,权重分别为0.226、0.151和0.126。F-WASPAS方法的评估结果以及与各种决策方法的比较分析表明,基于太阳能的电解和基于风能技术的电解具有最高的偏好。在这方面,可以通过提出各种激励措施来改善氢气生产的基础设施和成本,例如改善财务状况,同时吸引投资并增加与顶级公司的合作。所以,可持续发展,经济增长,和工业发展。
    Due to its various advantages in different industrial fields, hydrogen can provide energy based on sustainability goals and recreates a critical function in the economy of countries. In this regard, evaluating hydrogen production technologies on an industrial scale is necessary for industrial development and economic growth. Therefore, this study proposes a comprehensive, integrated framework of hybrid fuzzy decision-making for assessing hydrogen production technologies in Iran. In addition to considering sustainability factors, political, technical, and reliability indicators are also assessed in this research to make a comprehensive assessment. The Fuzzy Step-wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (F-SWARA) technique determines the importance of indicators, and the Fuzzy Weighted Aggregates Sum-Product Assessment (F-WASPAS) approach ranks technologies. The weighing findings indicated that the sub-indices of investment cost, technical infrastructure development, and implementation costs were introduced as the most significant sub-indices with weights of 0.226, 0.151, and 0.126, respectively. The evaluation findings with the F-WASPAS method and comparative analysis with various decision-making methods revealed that electrolysis based on solar energy and electrolysis based on wind energy technologies had the highest preference. In this regard, the infrastructure and costs of hydrogen production can be improved by presenting various incentives, such as improving financial conditions while attracting investment and increasing cooperation with top companies. So, sustainable development, economic growth, and industrial development are provided.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于城市中用户数量和交通问题的增加,最后一英里交付(LMD)的要求越来越高。此外,医疗危机(如COVID-19疫情)和空气污染代表了从传统LMD模式向社会和环境可持续LMD模式过渡的额外动机。邮政和物流行业公司面临的一个新问题是如何在不确定性下在多标准设置中确定最佳的LMD模式。
    第一次,提出了图像模糊环境下加权和乘积评估(WASPAS)方法的扩展,以解决LMD模式选择问题。引入的基于图片模糊集(PFS)的多准则决策(MCDM)方法对负责LMD的管理人员非常有益,因为它可以考虑中立/拒绝信息并有效地处理高水平的不精确,含糊,不确定的信息。与现有最先进的基于PFS的MCDM方法的比较分析证实了所提出的图片模糊WASPAS方法的高可靠性。它的高鲁棒性和一致性也得到证实。所提出的方法可用于改善全球城市地区的LMD。此外,它可以应用于在不确定环境中解决其他新兴的MCDM问题。
    提出了贝尔格莱德的真实案例研究,以充分说明图片模糊WASPAS方法的潜力和适用性。结果表明,造口术是贝尔格莱德LMD的最佳模式,其次是货运自行车,无人机,传统交付,自动驾驶汽车,管运输。
    在线版本包含补充材料,可在10.1186/s12544-021-00501-6获得。
    UNASSIGNED: Last-mile delivery (LMD) is becoming more and more demanding due to an increasing number of users and traffic problems in cities. Besides, medical crises (like the COVID-19 outbreak) and air pollution represent additional motives for the transition from traditional to socially and environmentally sustainable LMD mode. An emerging problem for companies in the postal and logistics industry is how to determine the best LMD mode in a multi-criteria setting under uncertainty.
    UNASSIGNED: For the first time, an extension of the Weighted Aggregated Sum Product ASsessment (WASPAS) method under the picture fuzzy environment is presented to solve the LMD mode selection problem. The introduced picture fuzzy set (PFS) based multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method can be highly beneficial to managers who are in charge of LMD since it can take into account the neutral/refusal information and efficiently deal with high levels of imprecise, vague, and uncertain information. The comparative analysis with the existing state-of-the-art PFS-based MCDM methods approved the high reliability of the proposed picture fuzzy WASPAS method. Its high robustness and consistency are also confirmed. The presented method can be used to improve LMD in urban areas worldwide. Besides, it can be applied to solve other emerging MCDM problems in an uncertain environment.
    UNASSIGNED: A real-life case study of Belgrade is presented to fully illustrate the potentials and applicability of the picture fuzzy WASPAS method. The results show that postomates are the best mode for LMD in Belgrade, followed by cargo bicycles, drones, traditional delivery, autonomous vehicles, and tube transport.
    UNASSIGNED: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12544-021-00501-6.
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