OBJECTIVE: To analyze the prognostic accuracy of the scores NEWS, qSOFA, GYM used in hospital emergency department (ED) in the assessment of elderly patients who consult for an infectious disease.
METHODS: Data from the EDEN (Emergency Department and Elderly Need) cohort were used. This retrospective cohort included all patients aged ≥65 years seen in 52 Spanish EDs during two weeks (from 1-4-2019 to 7-4-2019 and 30/3/2020 to 5/4/2020) with an infectious disease diagnosis in the emergency department. Demographic variables, demographic variables, comorbidities, Charlson and Barthel index and needed scores parameters were recorded. The predictive capacity for 30-day mortality of each scale was estimated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and sensitivity and specificity were calculated for different cut-off points. The primary outcome variable was 30-day mortality.
RESULTS: 6054 patients were analyzed. Median age was 80 years (IQR 73-87) and 45.3% women. 993 (16,4%) patients died. NEWS score had better AUC than qSOFA (0.765, 95CI: 0.725-0.806, versus 0.700, 95%CI: 0.653-0.746; P < .001) and GYM (0.716, 95%CI: 0.675-0.758; P = .024), and there was no difference between qSOFA and GYM (P = .345). The highest sensitivity scores for 30-day mortality were GYM ≥ 1 point (85.4%) while the qSOFA score ≥2 points showed high specificity. In the case of the NEWS scale, the cut-off point ≥4 showed high sensitivity, while the cut-off point NEWS ≥ 8 showed high specificity.
CONCLUSIONS: NEWS score showed the highest predictive capacity for 30-day mortality. GYM score ≥1 showed a great sensitivity, while qSOFA ≥2 scores provide the highest specificity but lower sensitivity.

Elevated blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin (BUN/ALB) ratio had been identified as an independent risk factor related to mortality in community-acquired and hospital-acquired pneumonia. This study aimed to investigate whether this clinical index can predict the clinical outcomes of E. coli bacteraemia.
Clinical data were collected from patients with E. coli bacteraemia attended at our hospital between January 2012 and December 2018. The endpoints were mortality within 30 days after the diagnosis of E. coli bacteraemia and intensive care (IC) requirement. Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the risk factors.
A total of 398 patients with E. coli bacteraemia were enrolled in this study and 56 patients died within 30 days after bacteraemia onset. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age greater than 65 years, lymphocyte count<.8×10e9/L, elevated BUN/ALB ratio, increased SOFA score, carbapenem resistance, central venous catheterization before onset of bacteraemia, and infection originating from abdominal cavity were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality (P<.05). The risk factors associated with IC requirement were similar to those for 30-day mortality except central venous catheterization before onset of bacteraemia. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for BUN/ALB ratio predicting 30-day mortality and IC requirement was similar to that for SOFA score, but higher than that for lymphocyte count. The cut-off points of BUN/ALB ratio to predict 30-day mortality and IC requirement were both .3.
BUN/ALB ratio is a simple but independent predictor of 30-day mortality and severity in E. coli bacteraemia. A higher BUN/ALB ratio at the onset of bacteraemia predicts a higher mortality rate and IC requirement.