Piperacillin (PIP)/tazobactam is a frequently prescribed antibiotic; however, over- or underdosing may contribute to toxicity, therapeutic failure, and development of antimicrobial resistance. An external evaluation of 24 published PIP-models demonstrated that model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) can enhance target attainment. Employing various candidate models, this study aimed to assess the predictive performance of different MIPD-approaches comparing (i) a single-model approach, (ii) a model selection algorithm (MSA) and (iii) a model averaging algorithm (MAA). Precision, accuracy and expected target attainment, considering either initial (B1) or initial and secondary (B2) therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM)-samples per patient, were assessed in a multicenter dataset (561 patients, 11 German centers, 3654 TDM-samples). The results demonstrated a slight superiority in predictive performance using MAA in B1, regardless of the candidate models, compared to MSA and the best single models (MAA, MSA, single models: inaccuracy ±3%, ±10%, ±8%; imprecision: <25%, <31%, <28%; expected target attainment >77%, >71%, >73%). The inclusion of a second TDM-sample notably improved precision and target attainment for all MIPD-approaches, particularly within the context of MSA and most of the single models. The expected target attainment is maximized (up to >90%) when the TDM-sample is integrated within 24 hours. In conclusion, MAA streamlines MIPD by reducing the risk of selecting an inappropriate model for specific patients. Therefore, MIPD of PIP using MAA implicates further optimization of antibiotic exposure in critically ill patients, by improving predictive performance with only one sample available for Bayesian forecasting, safety, and usability in clinical practice.

UNASSIGNED: Rising global obesity rates pose a threat to people\'s health. Obesity causes a series of pathophysiologic changes, making the response of patients with obesity to drugs different from that of nonobese, thus affecting the treatment efficacy and even leading to adverse events. Therefore, understanding obesity\'s effects on pharmacokinetics is essential for the rational use of drugs in patients with obesity.
UNASSIGNED: Articles related to physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling in patients with obesity from inception to October 2023 were searched in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library. This review outlines PBPK modeling applications in exploring factors influencing obesity\'s effects on pharmacokinetics, guiding clinical drug development and evaluating and optimizing clinical use of drugs in patients with obesity.
UNASSIGNED: Obesity-induced pathophysiologic alterations impact drug pharmacokinetics and drug-drug interactions (DDIs), altering drug exposure. However, there is a lack of universal body size indices or quantitative pharmacology models to predict the optimal for the patients with obesity. Therefore, dosage regimens for patients with obesity must consider individual physiological and biochemical information, and clinically individualize therapeutic drug monitoring for highly variable drugs to ensure effective drug dosing and avoid adverse effects.

UNASSIGNED: β-Lactams are the most widely used antibiotics in children. Their optimal dosing is essential to maximize their efficacy, while minimizing the risk for toxicity and the further emergence of antimicrobial resistance. However, most β-lactams were developed and licensed long before regulatory changes mandated pharmacokinetic studies in children. As a result, pediatric dosing practices are poorly harmonized and off-label use remains common today.
UNASSIGNED: β-Lactam pharmacokinetics and dose optimization strategies in pediatrics, including fixed dose regimens, therapeutic drug monitoring, and model-informed precision dosing are reviewed.
UNASSIGNED: Standard pediatric doses can result in subtherapeutic exposure and non-target attainment for specific patient subpopulations (neonates, critically ill children, e.g.). Such patients could benefit greatly from more individualized approaches to dose optimization, beyond a relatively simple dose adaptation based on weight, age, or renal function. In this context, Therapeutic Drug Monitoring (TDM) and Model-Informed Precision Dosing (MIPD) emerge as particularly promising avenues. Obstacles to their implementation include the lack of strong evidence of clinical benefit due to the paucity of randomized clinical trials, of standardized assays for monitoring concentrations, or of adequate markers for renal function. The development of precision medicine tools is urgently needed to individualize therapy in vulnerable pediatric subpopulations.

OBJECTIVE: Adalimumab (ADM) therapy is effective for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but a significant number of IBD patients lose response to ADM. Thus, it is crucial to devise methods to enhance ADM\'s effectiveness. This study introduces a strategy to predict individual serum concentrations and therapeutic effects to optimize ADM therapy for IBD during the induction phase.
METHODS: We predicted the individual serum concentration and therapeutic effect of ADM during the induction phase based on pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) parameters calculated using the empirical Bayesian method. We then examined whether the predicted therapeutic effect, defined as clinical remission or treatment failure, matched the observed effect.
RESULTS: Data were obtained from 11 IBD patients. The therapeutic effect during maintenance therapy was successfully predicted at 40 of 47 time points. Moreover, the predicted effects at each patient\'s final time point matched the observed effects in 9 of the 11 patients.
CONCLUSIONS: This is the inaugural report predicting the individual serum concentration and therapeutic effect of ADM using the Bayesian method and PK/PD modelling during the induction phase. This strategy may aid in optimizing ADM therapy for IBD.

We recruited 48 neonates (50 vancomycin treatment episodes) in a prospective study to validate a model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) software. The initial vancomycin dose was based on a population pharmacokinetic model and adjusted every 36-48 h. Compared with a historical control group of 53 neonates (65 episodes), the achievement of a target trough concentration of 10-15 mg/L improved from 37% in the study to 62% in the MIPD group (P = 0.01), with no difference in side effects.

Population pharmacokinetic (pop-PK) models constructed for model-informed precision dosing often have limited utility due to the low number of patients recruited. To augment such models, an approach is presented for generating fully artificial quasi-models which can be employed to make individual estimates of pharmacokinetic parameters. Based on 72 concentrations obtained in 12 patients, one- and two-compartment pop-PK models with or without creatinine clearance as a covariate were generated for piperacillin using the nonparametric adaptive grid algorithm. Thirty quasi-models were subsequently generated for each model type, and nonparametric maximum a posteriori probability Bayesian estimates were established for each patient. A significant difference in performance was found between one- and two-compartment models. Acceptable agreement was found between predicted and observed piperacillin concentrations, and between the estimates of the random-effect pharmacokinetic variables obtained using the so-called support points of the pop-PK models or the quasi-models as priors. The mean squared errors of the predictions made using the quasi-models were similar to, or even considerably lower than those obtained when employing the pop-PK models. Conclusion: fully artificial nonparametric quasi-models can efficiently augment pop-PK models containing few support points, to make individual pharmacokinetic estimates in the clinical setting.

Dose personalization improves patient outcomes for many drugs with a narrow therapeutic index and high inter-individuality variability, including busulfan. Non-compartmental analysis (NCA) and model-based methods like maximum a posteriori Bayesian (MAP) approaches are two methods routinely used for dose optimization. These approaches vary in how they estimate patient-specific pharmacokinetic parameters to inform a dose and the impact of these differences is not well-understood. Using busulfan as an example application and area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) as a target exposure metric, these estimation methods were compared using retrospective patient data (N = 246) and simulated precision dosing treatment courses. NCA was performed with or without peak extension, and MAP Bayesian estimation was performed using either the one-compartment Shukla model or the two-compartment McCune model. All methods showed good agreement on real-world data (correlation coefficients of 0.945-0.998) as assessed by Bland-Altman plots, although agreement between NCA and MAP methods was higher during the first dosing interval (0.982-0.994) compared to subsequent dosing intervals (0.918-0.938). In dose adjustment simulations, both NCA and MAP estimated high target attainment (> 98%) although true simulated target attainment was lower for NCA (63-66%) versus MAP (91-93%). The largest differences in AUC estimation were due to different assumptions for the shape of the concentration curve during the infusion phase, followed by how the methods considered time-dependent clearance and concentration-time points collected in earlier intervals. In conclusion, although AUC estimates between the two methods showed good correlation, in a simulated study, MAP lead to higher target attainment. When changing from one method to another, or changing infusion duration and other factors, optimum estimated exposure targets may require adjusting to maintain a consistent exposure.

UNASSIGNED: Isoniazid (INH) is a crucial first-line anti tuberculosis (TB) drug used in adults and children. However, various factors can alter its pharmacokinetics (PK). This article aims to establish a population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models repository of INH to facilitate clinical use.
UNASSIGNED: A literature search was conducted until August 23, 2022, using PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases. We excluded published popPK studies that did not provide full model parameters or used a non-parametric method. Monte Carlo simulation works was based on RxODE. The popPK models repository was established using R. Non-compartment analysis was based on IQnca.
UNASSIGNED: Fourteen studies included in the repository, with eleven studies conducted in adults, three studies in children, one in pregnant women. Two-compartment with allometric scaling models were commonly used as structural models. NAT2 acetylator phenotype significantly affecting the apparent clearance (CL). Moreover, postmenstrual age (PMA) influenced the CL in pediatric patients. Monte Carlo simulation results showed that the geometric mean ratio (95% Confidence Interval, CI) of PK parameters in most studies were within the acceptable range (50.00-200.00%), pregnant patients showed a lower exposure. After a standard treatment strategy, there was a notable exposure reduction in the patients with the NAT2 RA or nonSA (IA/RA) phenotype, resulting in a 59.5% decrease in AUC0-24 and 83.2% decrease in Cmax (Infants), and a 49.3% reduction in AUC0-24 and 73.5% reduction in Cmax (Adults).
UNASSIGNED: Body weight and NAT2 acetylator phenotype are the most significant factors affecting the exposure of INH. PMA is a crucial factor in the pediatric population. Clinicians should consider these factors when implementing model-informed precision dosing of INH. The popPK model repository for INH will aid in optimizing treatment and enhancing patient outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Cefotaxime is commonly used in treating bacterial infections in neonates. To characterize the pharmacokinetic process in neonates and evaluate different recommended dosing schedules of cefotaxime, a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model of cefotaxime was established in adults and scaled to neonates.
METHODS: A whole-body PBPK model was built in PK-SIM® software. Three elimination pathways are composed of enzymatic metabolism in the liver, passive filtration through glomerulus, and active tubular secretion mediated by renal transporters. The ontogeny information was applied to account for age-related changes in cefotaxime pharmacokinetics. The established models were verified with realistic clinical data in adults and pediatric populations. Simulations in neonates were conducted and 100 % of the dosing interval where the unbound concentration in plasma was above the minimum inhibitory concentration (fT>MIC) was selected as the target index for dosing regimen evaluation.
RESULTS: The developed PBPK models successfully described the pharmacokinetic process of cefotaxime in adults and were scaled to the pediatric population. Good verification results were achieved in both adults\' and neonates\' PBPK models, indicating a good predictive performance. The optimal dosage regimen of cefotaxime was proposed according to the postnatal age (PNA) and gestational age (GA) of neonates. For preterm neonates (GA < 36 weeks), dosages of 25 mg/kg every 8 h in PNA 0-6 days and 25 mg/kg every 6 h in PNA 7-28 days were suggested. For term neonates (GA ≥ 36 weeks), dosages of 33 mg/kg every 8 h in PNA 0-6 days and 33 mg/kg every 6 h in PNA 7-28 days were recommended.
CONCLUSIONS: Our study may provide useful experience in practicing PBPK model-informed precision dosing in the pediatric population.

Currently, model-informed precision dosing uses one population pharmacokinetic model that best fits the target population. We aimed to develop a subgroup identification-based model selection approach to improve the predictive performance of individualized dosing, using vancomycin in neonates/infants as a test case. Data from neonates/infants with at least one vancomycin concentration was randomly divided into training and test dataset. Population predictions from published vancomycin population pharmacokinetic models were calculated. The single best-performing model based on various performance metrics, including median absolute percentage error (APE) and percentage of predictions within 20% (P20) or 60% (P60) of measurement, were determined. Clustering based on median APEs or clinical and demographic characteristics and model selection by genetic algorithm was used to group neonates/infants according to their best-performing model. Subsequently, classification trees to predict the best-performing model using clinical and demographic characteristics were developed. A total of 208 vancomycin treatment episodes in training and 88 in test dataset was included. Of 30 identified models from the literature, the single best-performing model for training dataset had P20 26.2-42.6% in test dataset. The best-performing clustering approach based on median APEs or clinical and demographic characteristics and model selection by genetic algorithm had P20 44.1-45.5% in test dataset, whereas P60 was comparable. Our proof-of-concept study shows that the prediction of the best-performing model for each patient according to the proposed model selection approaches has the potential to improve the predictive performance of model-informed precision dosing compared with the single best-performing model approach.