OBJECTIVE: This study explores the potential of pre-clinical in vitro cell line response data and computational modeling in identifying the optimal dosage requirements of pan-RAF (Belvarafenib) and MEK (Cobimetinib) inhibitors in melanoma treatment. Our research is motivated by the critical role of drug combinations in enhancing anti-cancer responses and the need to close the knowledge gap around selecting effective dosing strategies to maximize their potential.
RESULTS: In a drug combination screen of 43 melanoma cell lines, we identified specific dosage landscapes of panRAF and MEK inhibitors for NRAS vs. BRAF mutant melanomas. Both experienced benefits, but with a notably more synergistic and narrow dosage range for NRAS mutant melanoma (mean Bliss score of 0.27 in NRAS vs. 0.1 in BRAF mutants). Computational modeling and follow-up molecular experiments attributed the difference to a mechanism of adaptive resistance by negative feedback. We validated the in vivo translatability of in vitro dose-response maps by predicting tumor growth in xenografts with high accuracy in capturing cytostatic and cytotoxic responses. We analyzed the pharmacokinetic and tumor growth data from Phase 1 clinical trials of Belvarafenib with Cobimetinib to show that the synergy requirement imposes stricter precision dose constraints in NRAS mutant melanoma patients.
CONCLUSIONS: Leveraging pre-clinical data and computational modeling, our approach proposes dosage strategies that can optimize synergy in drug combinations, while also bringing forth the real-world challenges of staying within a precise dose range. Overall, this work presents a framework to aid dose selection in drug combinations.

The13C-sucrose breath test (13C-SBT) has been proposed to estimate sucrase-isomaltase (SIM) activity and is a promising test for SIM deficiency, which can cause gastrointestinal symptoms, and for intestinal mucosal damage caused by gut dysfunction or chemotherapy. We previously showed how various summary measures of the13C-SBT breath curve reflect SIM inhibition. However, it is uncertain how the performance of these classifiers is affected by test duration. We leveraged13C-SBT data from a cross-over study in 16 adults who received 0, 100, and 750 mg of Reducose, an SIM inhibitor. We evaluated the performance of a pharmacokinetic-model-based classifier,ρ, and three empirical classifiers (cumulative percent dose recovered at 90 min (cPDR90), time to 50% dose recovered, and time to peak dose recovery rate), as a function of test duration using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. We also assessed the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of consensus classifiers. Test durations of less than 2 h generally failed to accurately predict later breath curve dynamics. The cPDR90 classifier had the highest ROC area-under-the-curve and, by design, was robust to shorter test durations. For detecting mild SIM inhibition,ρhad a higher sensitivity. We recommend13C-SBT tests run for at least a 2 h duration. Although cPDR90 was the classifier with highest accuracy and robustness to test duration in this application, concerns remain about its sensitivity to misspecification of the CO2production rate. More research is needed to assess these classifiers in target populations.

UNASSIGNED: This study explores the potential of preclinical in vitro cell line response data and computational modeling in identifying optimal dosage requirements of pan-RAF (Belvarafenib) and MEK (Cobimetinib) inhibitors in melanoma treatment. Our research is motivated by the critical role of drug combinations in enhancing anti-cancer responses and the need to close the knowledge gap around selecting effective dosing strategies to maximize their potential.
UNASSIGNED: In a drug combination screen of 43 melanoma cell lines, we identified unique dosage landscapes of panRAF and MEK inhibitors for NRAS vs BRAF mutant melanomas. Both experienced benefits, but with a notably more synergistic and narrow dosage range for NRAS mutant melanoma. Computational modeling and molecular experiments attributed the difference to a mechanism of adaptive resistance by negative feedback. We validated in vivo translatability of in vitro dose-response maps by accurately predicting tumor growth in xenografts. Then, we analyzed pharmacokinetic and tumor growth data from Phase 1 clinical trials of Belvarafenib with Cobimetinib to show that the synergy requirement imposes stricter precision dose constraints in NRAS mutant melanoma patients.
UNASSIGNED: Leveraging pre-clinical data and computational modeling, our approach proposes dosage strategies that can optimize synergy in drug combinations, while also bringing forth the real-world challenges of staying within a precise dose range.

UNASSIGNED: Successful vaccine promotion communication strategies require knowing how eligible recipients will respond to the opportunity to get vaccinated. Two main classes of recipients are myopic rationalists, those who receive a dose of vaccine only if it maximizes their own instant benefit and if so, do it as soon as possible, and success-based learners, those who learn from others that they perceive to be most successful.
UNASSIGNED: A recent study models these two decision-making types, and estimates the population proportion of myopic rationalists in each U.S. state. In this report, we fit a similar model to data on COVID-19 vaccine uptake across the Canadian provinces and territories.
UNASSIGNED: We estimated that 64% of Canadians behaved as myopic rationalists in taking the first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, compared to an estimated 47% in the United States. Among the provinces, the lowest proportion of myopic rationalists was 0.51 in Saskatchewan, while the highest was 0.74 in Prince Edward Island. The correlation analysis suggested a positive correlation between the proportion of myopic rationalists and the average age across the Canadian provinces (Pearson-r = 0.71).
UNASSIGNED: Canadian health management may benefit from these results in tailoring the vaccine promotion communication strategies.

Constructed wetlands are nature-based solutions able to remove different pollutants from water, including arsenic. Arsenic is a pollutant of concern given its toxicity and its presence in water sources worldwide. Despite the increased interest in investigating the performance of constructed wetlands in the treatment of arsenic-contaminated water at the laboratory scale, the application of these solutions at the pilot and full scale is still limited. To understand and predict the removal of arsenic in constructed wetlands, some numerical models have been developed. Among black box models, only first-order models have been proposed, with unsuccessful results. The model that best describes arsenic retention processes in constructed wetlands is RCB-ARSENIC, a mechanistic model adapted from Retraso-CodeBright that simulates arsenic reactive transport. This model includes arsenic precipitation, arsenic sorption on supporting media, arsenic sorption on plants roots and arsenic uptake by plants; represented in the reactive term of the reactive transport equation. Thus, it includes two of the three main processes that remove arsenic in constructed wetlands: precipitation, sorption, and coprecipitation. Despite this, and what is known about arsenic geochemistry, the formulation of these reactive rates requires improvement. In addition, this model was calibrated and validated using data from a single horizontal subsurface flow constructed wetland system, which treated one type of synthetic water. Therefore, it cannot be applied to other types of arsenic-contaminated water or other constructed wetland systems. Moreover, the reactive transport of relevant species -especially iron- and their role in arsenic removal, along with relevant redox reactions associated to the presence of organic matter, oxides or bacteria-, must be included. A comprehensive mechanistic model able to simulate different design, environmental and operation conditions may be used to guide the design of constructed wetlands targeting the removal of arsenic.

The single-component Mollerup model, with over 40 direct applications and 442 citations, is the most widely used activity model for chromatographic mechanistic modeling. Many researchers have extended this formula to multi-component systems by directly adding subscripts, a modification deemed thermodynamically inconsistent (referred to as the reference model). In this work, we rederived the asymmetric activity model for multi-component systems, using the van der Waals equation of state, and termed it the multi-component Mollerup model. In contrast to the reference model, our proposed model accounts for the contributions of all components to the activity. Three numerical experiments were performed to investigate the impact of the three different activity models on the chromatographic modeling. The results indicate that our proposed model represents a thermodynamically consistent generalization of the single-component Mollerup model to multi-component systems. This communication advocates adopting of the multi-component Mollerup model for activity modeling in multi-component chromatographic separation to enhance thermodynamic consistency.

Since the first autochthonous transmission of West Nile Virus was detected in Germany (WNV) in 2018, it has become endemic in several parts of the country and is continuing to spread due to the attainment of a suitable environment for vector occurrence and pathogen transmission. Increasing temperature associated with a changing climate has been identified as a potential driver of mosquito-borne disease in temperate regions. This scenario justifies the need for the development of a spatially and temporarily explicit model that describes the dynamics of WNV transmission in Germany. In this study, we developed a process-based mechanistic epidemic model driven by environmental and epidemiological data. Functional traits of mosquitoes and birds of interest were used to parameterize our compartmental model appropriately. Air temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity were the key climatic forcings used to replicate the fundamental niche responsible for supporting mosquito population and infection transmission risks in the study area. An inverse calibration method was used to optimize our parameter selection. Our model was able to generate spatially and temporally explicit basic reproductive number (R0) maps showing dynamics of the WNV occurrences across Germany, which was strongly associated with the deviation from daily means of climatic forcings, signaling the impact of a changing climate in vector-borne disease dynamics. Epidemiological data for human infections sourced from Robert Koch Institute and animal cases collected from the Animal Diseases Information System (TSIS) of the Friedrich-Loeffler-Institute were used to validate model-simulated transmission rates. From our results, it was evident that West Nile Virus is likely to spread towards the western parts of Germany with the rapid attainment of environmental suitability for vector mosquitoes and amplifying host birds, especially short-distance migratory birds. Locations with high risk of WNV outbreak (Baden-Württemberg, Bavaria, Berlin, Brandenburg, Hamburg, North Rhine-Westphalia, Rhineland-Palatinate, Saarland, Saxony-Anhalt and Saxony) were shown on R0 maps. This study presents a path for developing an early warning system for vector-borne diseases driven by climate change.

Mechanistic models are powerful tools for chromatographic process development and optimization. However, hydrophobic interaction chromatography (HIC) mechanistic models lack an effective and logical parameter estimation method, especially for multi-component system. In this study, a parameter-by-parameter method for multi-component system (called as mPbP-HIC) was derived based on the retention mechanism to estimate the six parameters of the Mollerup isotherm for HIC. The linear parameters (ks,i and keq,i) and nonlinear parameters (ni and qmax,i) of the isotherm can be estimated by the linear regression (LR) and the linear approximation (LA) steps, respectively. The remaining two parameters (kp,i and kkin,i) are obtained by the inverse method (IM). The proposed method was verified with a two-component model system. The results showed that the model could accurately predict the protein elution at a loading of 10 g/L. However, the elution curve fitting was unsatisfactory for high loadings (12 g/L and 14 g/L), which is mainly attributed to the demanding experimental conditions of the LA step and the potential large estimation error of the parameter qmax. Therefore, the inverse method was introduced to further calibrate the parameter qmax, thereby reducing the estimation error and improving the curve fitting. Moreover, the simplified linear approximation (SLA) was proposed by reasonable assumption, which provides the initial guess of qmax without solving any complex matrix and avoids the problem of matrix unsolvable. In the improved mPbP-HIC method, qmax would be initialized by the SLA and finally determined by the inverse method, and this strategy was named as SLA+IM. The experimental validation showed that the improved mPbP-HIC method has a better curve fitting, and the use of SLA+IM reduces the error accumulation effect. In process optimization, the parameters estimated by the improved mPbP-HIC method provided the model with excellent predictive ability and reasonable extrapolation. In conclusion, the SLA+IM strategy makes the improved mPbP-HIC method more rational and can be easily applied to the practical separation of protein mixture, which would accelerate the process development for HIC in downstream of biopharmaceuticals.

Vaccination against COVID-19 was integral to controlling the pandemic that persisted with the continuous emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants. Using a mathematical model describing SARS-CoV-2 within-host infection dynamics, we estimate differences in virus and immunity due to factors of infecting variant, age, and vaccination history (vaccination brand, number of doses and time since vaccination). We fit our model in a Bayesian framework to upper respiratory tract viral load measurements obtained from cases of Delta and Omicron infections in Singapore, of whom the majority only had one nasopharyngeal swab measurement. With this dataset, we are able to recreate similar trends in URT virus dynamics observed in past within-host modelling studies fitted to longitudinal patient data.We found that Omicron had higher R0,within values than Delta, indicating greater initial cell-to-cell spread of infection within the host. Moreover, heterogeneities in infection dynamics across patient subgroups could be recreated by fitting immunity-related parameters as vaccination history-specific, with or without age modification. Our model results are consistent with the notion of immunosenescence in SARS-CoV-2 infection in elderly individuals, and the issue of waning immunity with increased time since last vaccination. Lastly, vaccination was not found to subdue virus dynamics in Omicron infections as well as it had for Delta infections.This study provides insight into the influence of vaccine-elicited immunity on SARS-CoV-2 within-host dynamics, and the interplay between age and vaccination history. Furthermore, it demonstrates the need to disentangle host factors and changes in pathogen to discern factors influencing virus dynamics. Finally, this work demonstrates a way forward in the study of within-host virus dynamics, by use of viral load datasets including a large number of patients without repeated measurements.

Demand for monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) is rapidly increasing. To achieve higher productivity, there have been improvements to cell lines, operating modes, media, and cultivation conditions. Representative mathematical models are needed to narrow down the growing number of process alternatives. Previous studies have proposed mechanistic models to depict cell metabolic shifts (e.g., lactate production to consumption). However, the impacts of variations of some operating conditions have not yet been fully incorporated in such models. This paper offers a new mechanistic model considering variations in dissolved oxygen and glutamine depletion on cell metabolism applied to a novel Chinese hamster ovary (CHO) cell line. Expressions for the specific rates of lactate production, glutamine consumption, and mAb production were formulated for stirred and shaken-tank reactors. A deeper understanding of lactate metabolic shifts was obtained under different combinations of experimental conditions. Lactate consumption was more pronounced in conditions with higher DO and low glutamine concentrations. The model offers mechanistic insights that are useful for designing advanced operation strategies. It can be used in design space generation and process optimization for better productivity and product quality.