MIMIC‐IV

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于医院的诊断错误率高得惊人,以及大型语言模型(LLM)的最新发展,我们着手测量两种流行的LLM:GPT-4和PaLM2的诊断灵敏度.评估LLM诊断能力的小规模研究显示了有希望的结果,GPT-4在诊断测试用例方面表现出很高的准确性。然而,需要对真实电子患者数据进行更大的评估,以提供更可靠的估计.
    为了填补文献中的这一空白,我们使用了一个去识别的电子健康记录(EHR)数据集,该数据集包含波士顿贝斯以色列女执事医疗中心收治的约30万名患者.这个数据集包含血液,成像,微生物学和生命体征信息以及患者的医疗诊断代码。根据现有的EHR数据,医生为每个病人策划了一套诊断,我们称之为地面真相诊断。然后,我们设计了精心编写的提示,以从LLM中获得患者的诊断预测,并将其与1000名患者的随机样本中的真实诊断进行比较。
    根据正确预测的地面实况诊断的比例,我们估计GPT-4的诊断命中率为93.9%。PaLM2在相同数据集上达到84.7%。在这1000个随机选择的EHR上,GPT-4正确识别1116个独特的诊断。
    结果表明,人工智能(AI)在与临床医生一起工作时具有减少认知错误的潜力,而认知错误每年导致成千上万的误诊。然而,人类对人工智能的监督仍然至关重要:LLM不能取代临床医生,尤其是当涉及到人类的理解和同情。此外,将人工智能纳入医疗保健存在大量挑战,包括伦理,责任和监管障碍。
    UNASSIGNED: Given the strikingly high diagnostic error rate in hospitals, and the recent development of Large Language Models (LLMs), we set out to measure the diagnostic sensitivity of two popular LLMs: GPT-4 and PaLM2. Small-scale studies to evaluate the diagnostic ability of LLMs have shown promising results, with GPT-4 demonstrating high accuracy in diagnosing test cases. However, larger evaluations on real electronic patient data are needed to provide more reliable estimates.
    UNASSIGNED: To fill this gap in the literature, we used a deidentified Electronic Health Record (EHR) data set of about 300,000 patients admitted to the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston. This data set contained blood, imaging, microbiology and vital sign information as well as the patients\' medical diagnostic codes. Based on the available EHR data, doctors curated a set of diagnoses for each patient, which we will refer to as ground truth diagnoses. We then designed carefully-written prompts to get patient diagnostic predictions from the LLMs and compared this to the ground truth diagnoses in a random sample of 1000 patients.
    UNASSIGNED: Based on the proportion of correctly predicted ground truth diagnoses, we estimated the diagnostic hit rate of GPT-4 to be 93.9%. PaLM2 achieved 84.7% on the same data set. On these 1000 randomly selected EHRs, GPT-4 correctly identified 1116 unique diagnoses.
    UNASSIGNED: The results suggest that artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential when working alongside clinicians to reduce cognitive errors which lead to hundreds of thousands of misdiagnoses every year. However, human oversight of AI remains essential: LLMs cannot replace clinicians, especially when it comes to human understanding and empathy. Furthermore, a significant number of challenges in incorporating AI into health care exist, including ethical, liability and regulatory barriers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:急性心肌梗死(AMI)是一种高发病率和死亡率的心血管疾病。我们从重症监护医学信息集市(v2.0)数据库中收集了AMI患者,并探讨了血清白蛋白校正阴离子间隙(ACAG)水平与AMI患者死亡率之间的关系。
    结果:收集成人AMI患者的数据。根据360天的预后,患者分为存活组和非存活组.根据ACAG水平,然后将患者分为正常和高ACAG组。Cox风险比例模型和限制性三次样条(RCS)用于研究ACAG与死亡率之间的相关性。创建Kaplan-Meier曲线以比较高ACAG组和正常ACAG组之间的累积生存率。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析ACAG对AMI患者预后的预测价值。进行敏感性和亚组分析以重新验证结果。最后,包括1783名患者。ACAG升高(>20mmol/L)与30天和360天死亡率显著相关(P<0.001)。针对多个混杂因素进行了调整,Cox比例风险分析显示,ACAG升高(>20mmol/L)是AMI患者全因死亡率增加的独立危险因素(风险比1.423,95%置信区间1.206~1.678,P<0.001).RCS分析进一步显示,ACAG与30天和360天全因死亡风险之间存在非线性趋势关系(χ2=10.750,P=0.013;χ2=13.960,P=0.003)。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线显示,AMI患者30天和360天累积生存率显著降低(log-rank检验,高ACAG组χ2=98.880,P<0.001;χ2=105.440,P<0.001)。ROC曲线分析显示,ACAG的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.651,阴离子间隙(AG)的AUC为0.609,表明ACAG对360天死亡率的预测价值高于AG。当结合序贯器官衰竭评估评分时,ACAG对360天死亡率的预测性能更好,AUC为0.699。进行了敏感性和亚组分析,表明我们的结果是稳定的。
    结论:血清ACAG升高(≥20mmol/L)是AMI危重患者短期和长期死亡的独立危险因素,它可以帮助临床医生和护士识别高危患者。
    OBJECTIVE: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a cardiovascular disease with high morbidity and mortality. We collected patients with AMI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (v2.0) database and explored the association between serum albumin-corrected anion gap (ACAG) level and mortality in patients with AMI.
    RESULTS: Data of adult patients with AMI were collected. According to the 360 day prognosis, patients were divided into survival and non-survival groups. Based on the ACAG level, patients were then divided into normal and high ACAG groups. Cox hazard proportional models and restricted cubic splines (RCSs) were used to investigate the correlation between ACAG and mortality. Kaplan-Meier curves were created to compare the cumulative survival rates between the high and normal ACAG groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyse the predictive value of ACAG for the prognosis of patients with AMI. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were conducted to revalidate the results. Finally, 1783 patients were included. Elevated ACAG (>20 mmol/L) was significantly associated with 30 and 360 day mortality (P < 0.001). Adjusted for multiple confounding factors, the Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that elevated ACAG (>20 mmol/L) was an independent risk factor of increased all-cause mortality in patients with AMI (hazard ratio 1.423, 95% confidence interval 1.206-1.678, P < 0.001). RCS analysis further showed that there was a non-linear trend relationship between ACAG and the risk of all-cause mortality at 30 and 360 days (χ2 = 10.750, P = 0.013; χ2 = 13.960, P = 0.003). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that the 30 and 360 day cumulative survival rates of patients with AMI were significantly lower (log-rank test, χ2 = 98.880, P < 0.001; χ2 = 105.440, P < 0.001) in the high ACAG group. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of ACAG was 0.651, while the AUC of anion gap (AG) was 0.609, indicating that ACAG had a higher predictive value for 360 day mortality than AG. When combined with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, the predictive performance of ACAG for 360 day mortality was better, with an AUC of 0.699. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were conducted suggesting the stability of our results.
    CONCLUSIONS: Elevated serum ACAG (≥20 mmol/L) is an independent risk factor for short-term and long-term mortality in critically ill patients with AMI, and it may assist clinicians and nurses identifying high-risk patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:低钙血症通常发生在重症监护病房(ICU)的急性胰腺炎(AP)患者中。钙治疗可用于纠正低钙血症和维持钙水平,但其对预后的影响尚未得到证实。我们的研究旨在确定钙治疗是否可以使低钙血症的AP患者的多种结局受益。
    方法:我们从BethIsraelDeaconess医疗中心(MIMIC-IV)数据库中提取了807例患有低钙血症的AP患者,并进行了回顾性分析。结果是在医院,28天,ICU死亡率,以及在医院和ICU的住院时间(LOS)。我们进行了倾向匹配(PSM)和逆概率加权(IPTW)以平衡基线差异,并进行了多元回归以研究钙治疗的影响。
    结果:共有620名患者(76.8%)在住院期间接受钙治疗(钙组),而187例患者(非钙组)没有。钙组中的患者在匹配前后两组之间没有显着的生存差异。在包括协变量之后,钙的给药与住院患者无关联(HR:1.03,95%Cl:0.47-2.27,p=.942),28天和ICU死亡率显著相关,并与住院时间延长(效应估计:6.18,95%Cl:3.27-9.09,p<.001)和ICU(效应估计:1.72,95%Cl:0.24-3.20,p<.001)。钙治疗不能使单纯胃肠外输注的亚组患者受益,早期钙治疗(<48小时),或不同程度的低钙血症。
    结论:低钙血症的AP患者不能从钙剂给药中获益,这与多重死亡率无关,并且与医院和ICU中的LOS延长显著相关.
    OBJECTIVE: Hypocalcemia occurs commonly among patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in the intensive care unit (ICU). Calcium therapy could be used to correct hypocalcemia and maintain calcium levels, but its impact on the prognosis has not been demonstrated. Our study aimed to determine whether calcium therapy could benefit the multiple outcomes of AP patients with hypocalcemia.
    METHODS: We extracted 807 AP patients with hypocalcemia from the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (MIMIC-IV) database and performed retrospective analyses. The outcomes were in-hospital, 28 days, ICU mortality, and the length of stay (LOS) in the hospital and ICU. We performed propensity matching (PSM) and inverse probability weighting (IPTW) to balance the baseline differences and conducted multivariate regression to investigate the impact of calcium therapy.
    RESULTS: A total of 620 patients (76.8%) received calcium treatment (calcium group) during hospitalization, while 187 patients (non-calcium group) did not. Patients in the calcium group did not present significant survival differences between groups before and after matching. After including covariates, calcium administration had no association with patients\' in-hospital (HR: 1.03, 95% Cl: 0.47-2.27, p = .942), 28 days and ICU mortality and was significantly associated with prolonged length of stay in the hospital (effect estimate: 6.18, 95% Cl: 3.27-9.09, p < .001) and ICU (effect estimate: 1.72, 95% Cl: 0.24-3.20, p < .001). Calcium therapy could not benefit patients in subgroups with exclusive parenteral infusion, early calcium therapy (<48 h), or various degrees of hypocalcemia.
    CONCLUSIONS: AP patients with hypocalcemia could not benefit from calcium administration, which has no association with multiple mortality and is significantly associated with prolonged LOS in the hospital and ICU.
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