Light absorption

光吸收
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国实施了严格的排放控制措施,但目前尚不清楚它们如何影响黑碳(BC)老化和光吸收。这里,我们使用社区大气模型版本6(CAM6)和四模式版本的模态气溶胶模块以及机器学习(MAM4-ML)来模拟2011-2018和2050/2100期间的BC老化,遵循碳中和场景(SS1-2.6)。分别。在2011-2018年期间,中国东部地区涂料与BC(RBC)的质量比广泛增加(5.4%yr-1)。增加的二次有机气溶胶(SOA)涂层占RBC增加的主导地位(88%),而硫酸盐涂层减少。BC涂层变化的驱动因素来自次级气溶胶前体的不同减排幅度(即,挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)和SO2)和BC。在2011-2018年期间,增加的RBC增强了BC质量吸收横截面(MAC,0.7%yr-1)。在2050/2100中,SS1-2.6的排放控制导致RBC(95/145%)和BCMAC(12/17%)进一步增加。对于2011-2018年和2050/2100年,增强的BCMAC部分抵消了BC由于直接减排而下降的直接辐射效应(DRE)。因此,BC直接减排对BCDRE的全部影响在2011-2018年仅为75%,在2050/2100年仅为90/94%。
    China has implemented strict emission control measures, but it is unclear how they affect black carbon (BC) aging and light absorption. Here, we use the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) with the four-mode version of the Modal Aerosol Module coupled with machine learning (MAM4-ML) to simulate BC aging during 2011-2018 and 2050/2100 following a carbon neutrality scenario (SSP1-2.6), respectively. During 2011-2018, the mass ratio of coatings to BC (RBC) widely increased (5.4% yr-1) over the east of China. The increased secondary organic aerosol (SOA) coatings dominate (88%) the increased RBC, while the sulfate coatings decrease. The drivers of BC coating changes come from the different magnitudes of emission reductions in secondary aerosol precursors (i.e., volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and SO2) and BC. During 2011-2018, the increased RBC enhances the BC mass absorption cross section (MAC, 0.7% yr-1). In 2050/2100 for SSP1-2.6, emission control leads to further increased RBC (95/145%) and BC MAC (12/17%). For both 2011-2018 and 2050/2100, the enhanced BC MAC partly offsets the declining direct radiative effect (DRE) of BC due to direct emission reduction. As a result, the full impact of direct emission reductions of BC on BC DRE is only 75% for 2011-2018 and 90/94% for 2050/2100.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    有机材料具有几个重要的特性,使其适用于光电子学和光信号处理应用。对于吸收和发射最大值,共轭有机发色团的稳定性和光活性可以通过选择合适的母体结构和引入可预测地改变光学特性的取代基来定制。然而,需要高效共轭有机发色团的高通量设计,而不使用试错实验方法。在这项研究中,机器学习(ML)用于设计和测试共轭有机发色团,并预测光吸收和发射行为。许多机器学习模型试图选择最佳模型来预测吸收和发射最大值。极端梯度增强回归量已成为预测吸收最大值的最佳模型。随机森林回归是预测最大排放的最佳模型。破坏反合成感兴趣的化学亚结构(BRICS)用于产生10,000个有机发色团。进行化学相似性分析是为了更深入地了解化合物的特性和作用。此外,利用聚类和热图方法。
    Organic materials have several important characteristics that make them suitable for use in optoelectronics and optical signal processing applications. For absorption and emission maxima, the stabilities and photoactivities of conjugated organic chromophores can be tailored by selecting a suitable parent structure and incorporating substituents that predictably change the optical characteristics. However, a high-throughput design of efficient conjugated organic chromophores without using trial-and-error experimental approaches is required. In this study, machine learning (ML) is used to design and test the conjugated organic chromophores and predict light absorption and emission behavior. Many machine learning models are tried to select the best models for the prediction of absorption and emission maxima. Extreme gradient boosting regressor has appeared as the best model for the prediction of absorption maxima. Random forest regressor stands out as the best model for the prediction of emission maxima. Breaking Retrosynthetically Interesting Chemical Substructures (BRICS) is used to generate 10,000 organic chromophores. Chemical similarity analysis is performed to obtain a deeper understanding of the characteristics and actions of compounds. Furthermore, clustering and heatmap approaches are utilized.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    无机硝酸盐被认为是白天大气中NO2-/HONO的潜在来源。为了更好地评估硝酸盐光化学对NO2-/HONO形成的贡献,硝酸盐在真实大气环境中的光解需要进一步探索。这里,定量了在总水溶性有机碳(WSOC)存在下无机硝酸盐光解产生的NO2。测量了WSOC的物理化学性质,以了解无机硝酸盐与WSOC光解的潜在机理。WSOC增强或抑制了硝酸盐向NO2-的光化学转化,NO2-(ΦNO2-)的量子产率从(0.07±0.02)%到(3.11±0.04)%变化,这取决于WSOC的光吸收特性。从WSOC产生的活性氧(ROS),包括O2-/HO2和OH,在NO2-形成过程中发挥了双重作用。WSOC中的光吸收物质,如含N和羰基芳烃,产生O2-/HO2,增强了NO2向NO2的二次转化。另一方面,来自WSOC光化学的OH抑制了硝酸盐的光降解和NO2的形成。据估计,通过WSOC对硝酸盐进行水光解的HONO源强度低于100ppth-1,在某些情况下,这可能部分有助于大气中的HONO源。
    Inorganic nitrates were considered to be a potential source of atmospheric NO2-/HONO during the daytime. To better evaluate the contribution of nitrate photochemistry on NO2-/HONO formation, the photolysis of nitrates in the real atmospheric environment needs to be further explored. Here, the NO2- generation by the photolysis of inorganic nitrates in the presence of total water-soluble organic carbon (WSOC) was quantified. The physicochemical properties of WSOC were measured to understand the underlying mechanism for the photolysis of inorganic nitrates with WSOC. WSOC enhanced or suppressed the photochemical conversion of nitrates to NO2-, with the quantum yield of NO2- (ΦNO2-) varying from (0.07 ± 0.02)% to (3.11 ± 0.04)% that depended on the light absorption properties of WSOC. Reactive oxygen species (ROS) generated from WSOC, including O2-/HO2 and OH, played a dual role in the NO2- formation. Light-absorbing substances in WSOC, such as N-containing and carbonyl aromatics, produced O2-/HO2 that enhanced the secondary conversion of NO2 to NO2-. On the other hand, OH deriving from the WSOC photochemistry inhibited the nitrate photodegradation and the NO2- formation. HONO source strength by the aqueous photolysis of nitrates with WSOC was estimated to be lower than 100 ppt h-1, which may partly contribute to the atmospheric HONO source in some cases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    褐碳(BrC)是一类光吸收性有机气溶胶(OA),对大气辐射强迫有显著影响。然而,目前对BrC理化性质的了解有限,限制了对其环境影响的准确评估。这里介绍了长江三角洲(YRD)地区冬季BrC的光学特征和化学成分,使用高分辨率气溶胶质谱(HR-AMS)和紫外-可见光谱法对中国进行了测量。我们的结果表明,在竞选期间,PM2.5中的BrC以水溶性有机物为主,由较少氧化的含氧OA(LO-OOA)组成,更多氧化的含氧OA(MO-OOA),化石燃料OA(FFOA)和生物质燃烧OA(BBOA)。MO-OOA和BBOA是365nm处吸收光最强的BrC(Abs365),其次是LO-OOA和FFOA,其质量吸收系数(MAC)为0.74±0.04、0.73±0.03、0.48±0.04和0.39±0.06m2g-1,分别。在低相对湿度(RH<80%)雾度期间,LO-OOA的Abs365占365nm处总光吸收的44%。其次是MO-OOA(31%),FFOA(21%)和BBOA(4%)。相比之下,在高RH(RH>80%)雾霾期Abs365以MO-OOA为主,占Abs365总数的62%,其次是LO-OOA(17%),BBOA(13%)和FFOA(8%)。化学成分分析进一步表明,LO-OOA和MO-OOA是由VOCs的气相光氧化和气溶胶水反应产生的,分别,其中氨显著增强了高RH霾期BrC的形成和光吸收。平均而言,在雾霾事件期间,YRD区域中总Abs365nm的>75%是由LO-OOA和MO-OOA贡献的,这表明中国雾霾期的大气BRC主要是由二次反应形成的。
    Brown carbon (BrC) is a class of light-absorbing organic aerosols (OA) and has significant influence on atmospheric radiative forcing. However, the current limited understanding of the physicochemical properties of BrC restricts the accurate evaluation of its environmental effects. Here the optical characteristics and chemical composition of BrC during wintertime in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region, China were measured by using high-resolution aerosol mass spectrometry (HR-AMS) and UV-vis spectrometry. Our results showed that BrC in PM2.5 during the campaign was dominated by water-soluble organics, which consist of less oxidized oxygenated OA (LO-OOA), more oxidized oxygenated OA (MO-OOA), fossil fuel OA (FFOA) and biomass burning OA (BBOA). MO-OOA and BBOA were the strongest light absorbing BrC at 365 nm (Abs365), followed by LO-OOA and FFOA with a mass absorption coefficient (MAC) being 0.74 ± 0.04, 0.73 ± 0.03, 0.48 ± 0.04 and 0.39 ± 0.06 m2 g-1 during the campaign, respectively. In the low relative humidity (RH < 80 %) haze periods Abs365 of LO-OOA contributed to 44 % of the total light absorption at 365 nm, followed by MO-OOA (31 %), FFOA (21 %) and BBOA (4 %). In contrast, in the high-RH (RH > 80 %) haze periods Abs365 was dominated by MO-OOA, which accounted for 62 % of the total Abs365, followed by LO-OOA (17 %), BBOA (13 %) and FFOA (8 %). Chemical composition analysis further showed that LO-OOA and MO-OOA are produced from gas-phase photooxidation of VOCs and aerosol aqueous reactions, respectively, in which ammonia significantly enhanced the formation and light absorption of BrC in the high RH haze period. On average, >75 % of the total Abs365nm in the YRD region during the haze events was contributed by LO-OOA and MO-OOA, suggesting that atmospheric BrC in China haze periods is predominantly formed by secondary reactions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在阳离子-阴离子共掺杂中,稀土元素擅长调节钙钛矿的电子结构,导致其改进的光催化性能。在这方面,基于不同La浓度为12.5%和25%的BaTiO3的2×2×2超晶胞结构,深入研究了BaTiO3中Ba和Ti位点共掺杂稀土元素对其电子和光催化性能的影响。使用DFT计算。带结构,状态的密度,电荷密度差,光学性质,并对上述共掺杂模型的氧化还原带边缘进行了分析。结果表明,在Ti位点共掺杂25%La的BaTiO3结构在可见光范围内表现出更高的吸收,并显示出显着的光催化水分解性能。在Ti位点引入的La掺杂剂通过在带隙内引入中间能级而有效地降低了电子跃迁所需的能量。我们的计算和研究结果为探索具有优异光催化性能的BaTiO3钙钛矿提供了理论支持和可靠的预测。
    In cation-anion co-doping, rare earth elements excel at regulating the electronic structure of perovskites, leading to their improved photocatalytic performance. In this regard, the impact of co-doping rare earth elements at the Ba and Ti sites in BaTiO3 on its electronic and photocatalytic properties was thoroughly investigated based on 2 × 2 × 2 supercell structures of BaTiO3 with different La concentrations of 12.5% and 25% using DFT calculations. The band structure, density of states, charge density difference, optical properties, and the redox band edge of the co-doped models mentioned above were analyzed. The results indicated that the BaTiO3 structure co-doped with 25% La at the Ti site exhibited higher absorption in the visible range and displayed a remarkable photocatalytic water-splitting performance. The introduced La dopant at the Ti site effectively reduced the energy required for electronic transitions by introducing intermediate energy levels within the bandgap. Our calculations and findings of this study provide theoretical support and reliable predictions for the exploration of BaTiO3 perovskites with superior photocatalytic performances.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    水溶性有机气溶胶(WSOA)在改变辐射强迫和影响人类健康中起着至关重要的作用。然而,我们对三年清洁空气行动计划后中国特大城市WSOA季节性变化的理解有限。在这项研究中,我们使用离线气溶胶质谱仪和光谱技术分析了北京一年(2020-2021年)收集的PM2.5过滤器样品,以表征WSOA化学和光学特性的季节性变化。在观察期间,WSOA的平均质量浓度为8.84±7.12μgm-3,约占OA的64-67%。我们的结果表明,由于清洁空气行动计划后初级排放的大幅减少,次级OA(SOA)的贡献增加了13-28%。WSOA的组成表现出明显的季节性变化,主要贡献来自夏季氧化较少的SOA(61%)和在供暖季节源自煤燃烧和生物质燃烧的主要OA(34%)。WSOA在冬季365nm处的质量吸收效率几乎是夏季的两倍,表明来自初级排放的WSOA具有比SOA更强的吸光能力。平均而言,水溶性棕碳占总棕碳吸附量的33-48%。荧光分析显示,类腐殖质是WSOA最重要的荧光成分,占82%。此外,吸收和荧光发色团都与含氮化合物有关,强调含氮物种在影响WSOA光学性质中的作用。该结果对于化学输运模型准确模拟WSOA及其气候效应具有重要意义。
    Water-soluble organic aerosol (WSOA) plays a crucial role in altering radiative forcing and impacting human health. However, our understanding of the seasonal variations of WSOA in Chinese megacities after the three-year clean air action plan is limited. In this study, we analyzed PM2.5 filter samples collected over one year (2020-2021) in Beijing to characterize the seasonal changes in the chemical and optical properties of WSOA using an offline aerosol mass spectrometer along with spectroscopy techniques. The mean mass concentration of WSOA during the observation period was 8.84 ± 7.12 μg m-3, constituting approximately 64-67 % of OA. Our results indicate the contribution of secondary OA (SOA) increased by 13-28 % due to a substantial reduction in primary emissions after the clean air action plan. The composition of WSOA exhibited pronounced seasonal variations, with a predominant contribution from less oxidized SOA in summer (61 %) and primary OA originating from coal combustion and biomass burning during the heating season (34 %). The mass absorption efficiency of WSOA at 365 nm in winter was nearly twice that in summer, suggesting that WSOA from primary emissions possesses a stronger light-absorbing capability than SOA. On average, water-soluble brown carbon accounted for 33-48 % of total brown carbon absorption. Fluorescence analysis revealed humic-like substances as the most significant fluorescence component of WSOA, constituting 82 %. Furthermore, both absorption and fluorescence chromophores were associated with nitrogen-containing compounds, highlighting the role of nitrogen-containing species in influencing the optical properties of WSOA. The results are important for chemical transport models to accurately simulate the WSOA and its climate effects.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    南亚和东南亚(SSA)排放的黑碳(BC)对青藏高原的冰川和积雪融化以及区域气候变化具有潜在影响。在这项研究中,在线BC测量是在梅里雪山下方明永冰川终点的一个偏远村庄进行的,为期一年。天气研究和预报模型与化学(WRF-Chem)相结合用于研究SSA排放的BC的贡献和潜在影响。此外,研究了BC和棕碳(BrC)的光吸收特性的变化。结果表明,BC的年平均浓度为415±372ngm-3,在4月观察到最高浓度(月平均:930±484ngm-3)。BC全年表现出类似的昼夜变化,在上午(从8:00到9:00)和下午(从16:00到17:00)观察到两个高峰,在夜间甚至更低的价值。在370纳米的短波长下,吸收系数(babs)达到最大值,大多数babs值<20Mm-1,表明大气中没有BC超载。在相同的波长下,BRC对婴儿有很大贡献,年平均值为25.2%±12.8%。SSA是研究区域中BC的最大贡献者(年平均值:51.1%),特别是在春季(65.6%)。然而,它的贡献在夏季达到20.2%,表明其他地区活动产生的不可忽视的排放。在大气中,研究区域的SSABC诱导的辐射强迫(RF)为阳性。在近地表,RF表现出显著的季节性变化,较大的RF值出现在冬季和春季。总的来说,我们的发现强调了控制SSA的BC排放以保护青藏高原免受与污染有关的冰川和积雪融化的重要性。
    South and Southeast Asia (SSA) emitted black carbon (BC) exerts potential effects on glacier and snow melting and regional climate change in the Tibetan Plateau. In this study, online BC measurements were conducted for 1 year at a remote village located at the terminus of the Mingyong Glacier below the Meili Snow Mountains. The Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) was used to investigate the contribution and potential effect of SSA-emitted BC. In addition, variations in the light absorption characteristics of BC and brown carbon (BrC) were examined. The results indicated that the annual mean concentration of BC was 415 ± 372 ngm-3, with the highest concentration observed in April (monthly mean: 930 ± 484 ngm-3). BC exhibited a similar diurnal variation throughout the year, with two peaks observed in the morning (from 8:00 to 9:00 AM) and in the afternoon (from 4:00 to 5:00 PM), with even lower values at nighttime. At a short wavelength of 370 nm, the absorption coefficient (babs) reached its maximum value, and the majority of babs values were < 20 Mm-1, indicating that the atmosphere was not overloaded with BC. At the same wavelength, BrC substantially contributed to babs, with an annual mean of 25.2 % ± 12.8 %. SSA was the largest contributor of BC (annual mean: 51.1 %) in the study area, particularly in spring (65.6 %). However, its contributions reached 20.2 % in summer, indicating non-negligible emissions from activities in other regions. In the atmosphere, the SSA BC-induced radiative forcing (RF) over the study region was positive. While at the near surface, the RF exhibited a significant seasonal variation, with the larger RF values occurring in winter and spring. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of controlling BC emissions from SSA to protect the Tibetan Plateau against pollution-related glacier and snow cover melting.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    封锁期间(从2019年底到2020年初)的“极端”排放减少为研究气溶胶的相应来源特定影响提供了一个实验期。在这项研究中,通过使用人工神经网络(ANN)和源分配环境受体模型,在封锁期间和之后获得了源特异性光吸收(babs)和直接辐射效应(DRE)的变化。结果表明,在这两个时期内,所有来源的babs都有所下降。观察到最多的减少,与交通相关的排放(在封锁期间)为90%,煤炭燃烧(在封锁之后)为85%,分别。在封锁期间,煤和生物质燃烧获得了更高的babs(370nm)值,这归因于大气氧化能力的增强。然而,封锁后babs(880nm)的变化主要是由于氧化减弱和次级前体的排放减少。本研究表明,在封锁期间,大规模减排可以促进babs(370nm)和DRE(34-68%)的还原。主要排放减少(例如,交通排放)可能会增强大气氧化,增加紫外线波长的光吸收和DRE效率。特定于源的减排可能会导致各种辐射效应,有利于控制策略的采用。
    The \'extreme\' emission abatement during the lockdown (from the end of 2019 to the early 2020) provided an experimental period to investigate the corresponding source-specific effects of aerosol. In this study, the variations of source-specific light absorption (babs) and direct radiative effect (DRE) were obtained during and after the lockdown period by using the artificial neural network (ANN) and source apportionment environmental receptor model. The results showed that the babs decreased for all sources during the two periods. The most reductions were observed with ∼90% for traffic-related emissions (during the lockdown) and ∼85% for coal combustion (after the lockdown), respectively. Heightened babs (370 nm) values were obtained for coal and biomass burning during the lockdown, which was attributed to the enhanced atmospheric oxidization capacity. Nevertheless, the variations of babs (880 nm) after the lockdown was mainly due to the weakening of oxidation and reduced emissions of secondary precursors. The present study indicated that the large-scale emission reduction can promote both reductions of babs (370 nm) and DRE (34-68%) during the lockdown. The primary emissions decrease (e.g., Traffic emission) may enhance atmosphere oxidation, increase the ultraviolet wavelength light absorption and DRE efficiencies. The source-specific emission reduction may be contributed to various radiation effects, which is beneficial for the adopting of control strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    棕碳(BrC)是重要的光吸收物质之一,在短波长光下具有较高的光吸收能力。然而,极限研究集中在船舶排放的BrC上。在这项研究中,从三种不同类型的船舶中收集了大小分离的颗粒物(PM),研究了甲醇溶性BrC和水溶性BrC在船舶尾气PM中的光吸收特性和粒径分布。结果表明,四冲程小功率柴油渔船(4-LDF)中甲醇可溶性有机碳(MSOC)和水溶性有机碳(WSOC)的质量浓度最高,其次是2冲程高功率重油容器(2-HHV),和四冲程大功率船用柴油船(4-HMV)。而2-HHV在单位重量PM中的甲醇可溶性BrC(Abs365,M)和水溶性BrC(Abs365,W)的光吸收系数明显高于其他两种类型的船舶。与其他BrC排放源相比,测试船在水提取物(MAE365,W)中的BrC吸收效率相当或更高。大部分BRC集中在细颗粒中,Abs365,M和Abs365,W的粒径分布均呈双峰模式,峰值在0.43-0.65µm和4.7-5.8µm,分别。然而,柴油和重质燃料油船之间的MAE365,M的粒径分布不同。此外,还检测到不同尺寸颗粒的不同波长依赖性。船舶废气可以被确认为不可忽略的BrC排放源,复杂的影响因素会影响船舶排放的光吸收特性。当评估BrC的光吸收能力时,还应当考虑粒度。
    Brown carbon (BrC) is one of the important light absorption substances that have high light absorption ability under short wavelength light. However, limit studies have focused on the BrC emission from ships. In this study, size-segregated particulate matters (PM) were collected from three different types of ships, light absorption characteristics and size distribution of methanol-soluble BrC and water-soluble BrC in PM from ship exhausts were investigated. Results showed that four-stroke low-power diesel fishing boat (4-LDF) had the highest mass concentrations of methanol-soluble organic carbon (MSOC) and water-soluble organic carbon (WSOC), followed by 2-stroke high-power heavy-fuel-oil vessel (2-HHV), and four-stroke high-power marine-diesel vessel (4-HMV). While 2-HHV had obviously higher light absorption coefficients of methanol-soluble BrC (Abs365,M) and water-soluble BrC (Abs365,W) in unit weight of PM than the other two types of ships. The tested ships presented comparable or higher absorption efficiency of BrC in water extracts (MAE365,W) compared with other BrC emission sources. Majority of BrC was concentrated in fine particles, and the particle size distributions of both Abs365,M and Abs365,W showed bimodal patterns, peaking at 0.43-0.65 µm and 4.7-5.8 µm, respectively. However, different particle size distributions were found for MAE365,M between diesel and heavy fuel oil ships. Besides, different wavelength dependence in particles with different size were also detected. Ship exhaust could be confirmed as a non-ignorable BrC emission source, and complex influencing factor could affect the light absorption characteristics of ship emissions. Particle size should also be considered when light absorption ability of BrC was evaluated.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    用于生物经济扩张的新生物质作物杂种需要产量预测,以确定其在面对全球挑战时进行战略土地利用规划的潜力。我们的生物质生长模拟结合了辐射拦截和转换效率。模型通常使用叶面积来预测截留率,这需要准确确定,因此,我们使用低成本的快速光拦截测量,使用简单的实验室制造的线检测仪,并将树冠闭合的动力学与热时间联系起来,以及生物量的测量。我们应用该模型来预测2020-2030年新的市场就绪型混合动力车的欧洲生物质潜力。现场测量更容易收集,校准是季节性动态的,并减少了现场地点之间天气变化的影响。得到的模型是保守的,在生产率较低的(边际)土地上,由不同结构和不同成熟度的作物来校准。这导致了对2020-2030年芒草杂种的保守预测,基于对最低(生产性)草地和耕地进行10%的土地利用转化,以实现农场多样化。显示出欧洲80.7-89.7Mt1年生物量的潜力,具有1.2-1.3EJ年1能源和36.3-40.3Mt年1碳捕获的潜力,播种的芒草×中华表现出最高的产量潜力。必须根据对高土壤水分亏缺的生产力较低的土地的田间测量来查看模拟生物量预测。我们正在尝试对一个雄心勃勃且新颖的项目的结果进行建模,该项目将整个欧洲的新杂种与农艺学相结合,但在生产率较低的地方尚未完善。然而,在能源采购问题上,用于扩大提供生物能源的种子繁殖的芒草杂种提供了可再生能源的替代来源。如果欧洲国家鼓励种植者投资,与目前的商业芒草品种相比,种子杂种可以提高产品的可用性和生物量产量。
    New biomass crop hybrids for bioeconomic expansion require yield projections to determine their potential for strategic land use planning in the face of global challenges. Our biomass growth simulation incorporates radiation interception and conversion efficiency. Models often use leaf area to predict interception which is demanding to determine accurately, so instead we use low-cost rapid light interception measurements using a simple laboratory-made line ceptometer and relate the dynamics of canopy closure to thermal time, and to measurements of biomass. We apply the model to project the European biomass potentials of new market-ready hybrids for 2020-2030. Field measurements are easier to collect, the calibration is seasonally dynamic and reduces influence of weather variation between field sites. The model obtained is conservative, being calibrated by crops of varying establishment and varying maturity on less productive (marginal) land. This results in conservative projections of miscanthus hybrids for 2020-2030 based on 10% land use conversion of the least (productive) grassland and arable for farm diversification, which show a European potential of 80.7-89.7 Mt year-1 biomass, with potential for 1.2-1.3 EJ year-1 energy and 36.3-40.3 Mt year-1 carbon capture, with seeded Miscanthus sacchariflorus × sinensis displaying highest yield potential. Simulated biomass projections must be viewed in light of the field measurements on less productive land with high soil water deficits. We are attempting to model the results from an ambitious and novel project combining new hybrids across Europe with agronomy which has not been perfected on less productive sites. Nevertheless, at the time of energy sourcing issues, seed-propagated miscanthus hybrids for the upscaled provision of bioenergy offer an alternative source of renewable energy. If European countries provide incentives for growers to invest, seeded hybrids can improve product availability and biomass yields over the current commercial miscanthus variety.
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