LR, likelihood ratio

LR,似然比
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经评估:健康的社会决定因素(SDOH)产生了广泛的预期寿命(LE)差异。在中国,从空间角度来看,发现有限的文献报道了连续一段时间在生态水平上SDOH和LE之间的关联。本研究旨在确定存在,量化大小,并解释了中国SDOH和LE之间的关联。
    UNASSIGNED:省级LE是根据2005-2020年中国国家死亡率监测系统的死亡率记录估算的。空间面板Durbin模型用于研究LE相关的SDOH代理。引入空间溢出效应来解释SDOH在长期和短期对LE差异的直接和间接影响。
    未经批准:全国,从2005年到2020年,LE从73.1年(95%置信区间(CI):71.3,74.4年)增加到77.7年(95CI:76.5,78.7年)。观察到LE的空间分布不均,在沿海地区具有高-高聚集性,在西部地区具有低-低聚集性。本地,据估计,SDOH代理与LE的增加有统计学意义,包括国内生产总值(系数:0.02,95CI:0.00,0.03),基尼系数(系数:2.35,95CI:1.82,2.88),医疗机构床位数(系数:0.02,95CI:0.00,0.05)和常住人口自然增长率(系数:0.02,95CI:0.01,0.02)。LE相关SDOH代理在长期和短期的直接和间接效应分解表明,GDP,城镇化率,失业率,受教育程度,基尼系数,医疗机构的床位数量,性别比例,常住人口的总依赖率和自然增长率不仅影响当地的LE,但也对地理邻居产生了空间溢出效应。
    未经评估:中国省级存在LE的空间变异。SDOH关于社会经济发展和公平,医疗资源,以及人口特征不仅影响了当地规模的LE差异,而且影响了附近省份之间的LE差异。应考虑到SDOH代理政策的外部性,以在全国范围内促进卫生公平。应巩固基于人口战略的综合方法,以优化支持性社会经济环境,缩小区域差距,以减少健康差距并增加LE。
    UNASSIGNED:国家重点研究发展计划(批准号2018YFC1315301);教育部人文社会科学总计划(批准号18YJC790138)。
    UNASSIGNED: Social determinants of health (SDOH) produce a broad range of life expectancy (LE) disparities. In China, limited literatures were found to report association between SDOH and LE at ecological level during a consecutive period of time from the spatial perspectives. This study aimed to determine the existence, quantify the magnitude, and interpret the association between SDOH and LE in China.
    UNASSIGNED: Provincial-level LE were estimated from mortality records during 2005-2020 from National Mortality Surveillance System in China. A spatial panel Durbin model was used to investigate LE associated SDOH proxies. Spatial spillover effects were introduced to interpret direct and indirect effects caused by SDOH during long-term and short-term period on LE disparities.
    UNASSIGNED: Nationwide, LE increased from 73.1 (95% confidence interval (CI): 71.3, 74.4) years to 77.7 (95%CI: 76.5, 78.7) years from 2005 to 2020. Unequally spatial distribution of LE with High-High clustering in coastal areas and Low-Low clustering in western regions were observed. Locally, it was estimated that SDOH proxies statistically significant related to an increase of LE, including GDP (coefficient: 0.02, 95%CI: 0.00, 0.03), Gini index (coefficient: 2.35, 95%CI: 1.82, 2.88), number of beds in health care institutions (coefficient: 0.02, 95%CI: 0.00, 0.05) and natural growth rate of resident population (coefficient: 0.02, 95%CI: 0.01, 0.02). Direct and indirect effects decomposition during long-term and short-term of LE associated SDOH proxies demonstrated that GDP, urbanization rate, unemployment rate, education attainment, Gini index, number of beds in health care institutions, sex ratio, gross dependence ratio and natural growth rate of resident population not only affected local LE, but also exerted spatial spillover effects towards geographical neighbors.
    UNASSIGNED: Spatial variations of LE existed at provincial-level in China. SDOH regarding socioeconomic development and equity, healthcare resources, as well as population characteristics not only affected LE disparities at local scale but also among nearby provinces. Externalities of policy of those SDOH proxies should be took into consideration to promote health equity nationally. Comprehensive approaches on the basis of population strategy should be consolidated to optimize supportive socioeconomic environment and narrow the regional gap to reduce health disparities and increase LE.
    UNASSIGNED: National Key Research & Development Program of China (Grant No.2018YFC1315301); Ministry of Education of China Humanities and Social Science General Program (Grant No.18YJC790138).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:肝胆阶段(HBP)图像可以区分良性和恶性肝脏病变,但目前尚不清楚这种方法是否可用于Budd-Chiari综合征(BCS)患者。因此,我们旨在评估HBP图像在BCS患者中的诊断效用.
    方法:这项回顾性研究包括2000年至2019年在肝胆造影剂增强MR成像(HBCA-MRI)上诊断为BCS和局灶性肝脏病变的所有患者。MR图像由2名对病变诊断不知情的放射科医生进行了审查。记录患者和病变特征,HBP成像特点。
    结果:分析了26例患者(平均35±11岁[13-65];21例女性[81%]35±12岁[13-65];5例男性[19%]36±10岁[19-44]),其中99例良性肝脏病变和12例肝细胞癌(HCC)。HCC患者的年龄明显高于良性病变患者(平均50±10vs.33±9岁,p=0.003),甲胎蛋白(AFP)水平较高(3/4[75%]vs.1/22[5%]AFP>15ng/ml,p<0.001)。在14个病变的HBP上发现了均匀的低信号,包括12/12(100%)HCC,和2/99(2%)良性病变(p<0.001)。大多数良性肝脏病变在HBP上显示为外周(n=52/99[53%])或均匀的高强度(n=23/99[23%])。在AFP血清水平>15ng/ml的患者中,HBP信号下降的病变均为HCC。
    结论:大多数良性病变在HBP图像上表现为均匀或周围高强度,而所有HCC均为均匀低信号。HBP图像有助于区分良性病变和HCC,优于其他序列。应系统地获取它们以表征BCS患者的局灶性病变。
    背景:肝胆相位成像是一种最近被证明可以区分肝脏良性和恶性病变的方法。然而,尚不清楚这种成像方法能否有效用于Budd-Chiari综合征患者.在这里,我们已经证明,肝胆期相成像似乎可用于区分Budd-Chiari综合征患者的良性和恶性肝脏病变.
    OBJECTIVE: Hepatobiliary phase (HBP) images can discriminate between benign and malignant liver lesions, but it is unclear if this approach can be used in patients with Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS). Thus, we aimed to assess the diagnostic utility of HBP images in patients with BCS.
    METHODS: This retrospective study included all patients admitted to our institution with a diagnosis of BCS and focal liver lesions on hepatobiliary contrast agent-enhanced MR imaging (HBCA-MRI) from 2000 to 2019. MR images were reviewed by 2 radiologists blinded to the diagnosis of the lesions. Patient and lesion characteristics were recorded, focusing on HBP imaging features.
    RESULTS: Twenty-six patients (mean 35 ± 11 years old [13-65]; 21 women [81%] 35 ± 12 years old [13-65]; 5 men [19%] 36 ± 10 years old [19-44]) with 99 benign liver lesions and 12 hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) were analyzed. Patients with HCC were significantly older than those with benign lesions (mean 50 ± 10 vs. 33 ± 9 years old, p = 0.003), with higher alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels (3/4 [75%] vs. 1/22 [5%] with AFP >15 ng/ml, p <0.001). Homogeneous hypointense signals were identified on HBP in 14 lesions, including 12/12 (100%) HCCs, and 2/99 (2%) benign lesions (p <0.001). Most benign liver lesions showed either peripheral (n = 52/99 [53%]) or homogeneous hyperintensity (n = 23/99 [23%]) on HBP. Lesions with signal hypointensity on HBP in patients with AFP serum levels >15 ng/ml were all HCCs.
    CONCLUSIONS: Most benign lesions showed homogeneous or peripheral hyperintensity on HBP images while all HCCs were homogeneously hypointense. HBP images are helpful to differentiate between benign lesions and HCCs and outperform other sequences. They should be systematically acquired for the characterization of focal lesions in patients with BCS.
    BACKGROUND: Hepatobiliary phase imaging is an approach that has recently been shown to discriminate between benign and malignant lesions in the liver. However, it was not known whether this imaging approach could be used effectively in patients with Budd-Chiari syndrome. Herein, we have shown that hepatobiliary phase imaging appears to be useful for differentiating between benign and malignant liver lesions in patients with Budd-Chiari syndrome.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    动物试验用于制药和工业研究,以预测人体毒性,然而,分析表明,动物模型是人类药物安全性的较差预测因子。动物研究的成本很高,药物批准的延误,以及对人类使用的潜在有益药物的损失。人类受试者在动物研究认为安全的药物的临床试验中受到伤害。越来越多,调查人员质疑动物研究的科学价值。这篇综述讨论了在药物开发中使用动物预测人类毒性的问题。第1部分着重于对动物研究有效性的科学关注。第2部分将讨论动物研究的替代品及其在人类药物生产中的验证和使用。
    Animal testing is used in pharmaceutical and industrial research to predict human toxicity, and yet analysis suggests that animal models are poor predictors of drug safety in humans. The cost of animal research is high-in dollars, delays in drug approval, and in the loss of potentially beneficial drugs for human use. Human subjects have been harmed in the clinical testing of drugs that were deemed safe by animal studies. Increasingly, investigators are questioning the scientific merit of animal research. This review discusses issues in using animals to predict human toxicity in pharmaceutical development. Part 1 focuses on scientific concerns over the validity of animal research. Part 2 will discuss alternatives to animal research and their validation and use in production of human pharmaceuticals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    犬中婴儿利什曼原虫感染的血清诊断依赖于检测针对利什曼原虫粗提物或寄生虫定义的抗原的抗体。犬利什曼病从巴西的地理区域扩展到该疾病正在出现的区域。这一事实使得有必要分析不同地理位置的不同利什曼制剂的血清诊断能力。在本文中,来自感染利什曼原虫的狗的血清,并显示了该疾病的临床形式,在三个不同的巴西州收集,并针对可溶性利什曼虫抗原或作为重组蛋白产生的七个寄生虫个体抗原进行了测试。我们表明,来自这些动物的血清对可溶性利什曼菌抗原的识别受到受感染狗的地理位置的影响。与高疾病流行地区相比,在新流行地区,基于这种粗寄生虫制剂的诊断功效更高。我们还表明,使用三种重组蛋白,即11kDa的寄生虫表面动体膜蛋白(KMP-11),和P蛋白家族的两个成员(P2a和P0),可以提高灵敏度,而不会对犬利什曼病的诊断测定的特异性产生不利影响,独立于居住的地理区域。此外,还用一些抗原制剂测定了临床健康但被感染的狗的血清。我们证明,使用这些蛋白质可以帮助对亚临床感染的利什曼原虫感染动物进行血清诊断。最后,我们提出了使用KMP-11,P2ayP0与总利什曼原草提取物组合的诊断方案。
    Serodiagnosis of Leishmania infantum infection in dogs relies on the detection of antibodies against leishmanial crude extracts or parasitic defined antigens. The expansion of canine leishmaniasis from geographical areas of Brazil in which the infection is endemic to regions in which the disease is emerging is occurring. This fact makes necessary the analysis of the serodiagnostic capabilities of different leishmanial preparations in distinct geographical locations. In this article sera from dogs infected with Leishmania and showing the clinical form of the disease, were collected in three distinct Brazilian States and were tested against soluble leishmanial antigens or seven parasite individual antigens produced as recombinant proteins. We show that the recognition of soluble leishmanial antigens by sera from these animals was influenced by the geographical location of the infected dogs. Efficacy of the diagnosis based on this crude parasite preparation was higher in newly endemic regions when compared with areas of high disease endemicity. We also show that the use of three of the recombinant proteins, namely parasite surface kinetoplastid membrane protein of 11 kDa (KMP-11), and two members of the P protein family (P2a and P0), can improve the degree of sensitivity without adversely affecting the specificity of the diagnostic assays for canine leishmaniasis, independently of the geographical area of residence. In addition, sera from dogs clinically healthy but infected were also assayed with some of the antigen preparations. We demonstrate that the use of these proteins can help to the serodiagnosis of Leishmania infected animals with subclinical infections. Finally, we propose a diagnostic protocol using a combination of KMP-11, P2a y P0, together with total leishmanial extracts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Rapid point-of-care tests provide plausible diagnostic strategy for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) in low resource areas. However, their utility depends upon their overall performance. Our objective was to meta-analyze the diagnostic accuracy of rapid point-of-care tests for HBsAg.
    METHODS: Literature search was done with the help of a metasearch engine Mettā, a query interface for retrieving articles from five leading medical databases. Studies that employed rapid point-of-care tests for detection of HBsAg and compared the results with reference test were included. Two reviewers performed quality assessment of the studies and extracted data for estimating test accuracy. Twenty-seven studies were meta-analyzed and stratified by multiple parameters.
    RESULTS: Twenty-seven studies had evaluated 49 test brands and generated 76 data points. Sensitivity of individual tests varied widely and were heterogeneous (range 43.5%-99.8%); while specificity estimates were more robust and close to 100% (range 90%-100%). Overall pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR), negative LR and diagnostic odds ratio for all tests were 97.1% (95% CI, 96.1%-97.9%), 99.9% (CI, 99.8%-100%), 118.4 (CI, 84.7-165.5), 0.032 (CI, 0.023-0.045) and 4094.7 (CI, 2504.1-6600.8) respectively. This suggested high pooled accuracy for all studies. We found substantial heterogeneity between studies. Three factors (study location, reference standard and study score) appeared most strongly associated with test estimates and observed heterogeneity. The Determine test showed consistency in performance in studies done across developed and developing countries and the Determine and the BinaxNOW tests had significantly higher estimates than pooled estimates of remaining tests. Tests revealed analytical sensitivity of 4 IU/ml against manufacturer\'s claim of 0.5 IU/ml; reduced sensitivity with HBsAg mutants and poor performance in seroconversion panels.
    CONCLUSIONS: Tests with better analytical sensitivity need to be developed and their feasibility and outcomes in various clinical settings need to be addressed.
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