LR

LR
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在开发一种利用临床血液标志物的人工智能模型,超声数据,和乳腺活检病理信息来预测乳腺癌患者的远处转移。
    利用了两个医疗中心的数据,临床血液标志物,超声数据,分别提取和选择乳腺活检病理信息。使用Spearman相关和LASSO回归进行特征降维。使用LR和LightGBM机器学习算法构建预测模型,并在内部和外部验证集上进行验证。对两个模型进行了特征相关性分析。
    LR模型在训练中获得了0.892、0.816和0.817的AUC值,内部验证,和外部验证队列,分别。LightGBM模型在相同的队列中获得了0.971、0.861和0.890的AUC值,分别。临床决策曲线分析显示,LightGBM模型在预测乳腺癌远处转移方面优于LR模型。鉴定的关键特征包括肌酸激酶同工酶(CK-MB)和α-羟基丁酸脱氢酶。
    这项研究使用临床血液标志物开发了一种人工智能模型,超声数据,和病理信息来识别乳腺癌患者的远处转移。LightGBM模型表现出优越的预测准确性和临床适用性,表明它是乳腺癌远处转移的早期诊断工具。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aims to develop an artificial intelligence model utilizing clinical blood markers, ultrasound data, and breast biopsy pathological information to predict the distant metastasis in breast cancer patients.
    UNASSIGNED: Data from two medical centers were utilized, Clinical blood markers, ultrasound data, and breast biopsy pathological information were separately extracted and selected. Feature dimensionality reduction was performed using Spearman correlation and LASSO regression. Predictive models were constructed using LR and LightGBM machine learning algorithms and validated on internal and external validation sets. Feature correlation analysis was conducted for both models.
    UNASSIGNED: The LR model achieved AUC values of 0.892, 0.816, and 0.817 for the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The LightGBM model achieved AUC values of 0.971, 0.861, and 0.890 for the same cohorts, respectively. Clinical decision curve analysis showed a superior net benefit of the LightGBM model over the LR model in predicting distant metastasis in breast cancer. Key features identified included creatine kinase isoenzyme (CK-MB) and alpha-hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase.
    UNASSIGNED: This study developed an artificial intelligence model using clinical blood markers, ultrasound data, and pathological information to identify distant metastasis in breast cancer patients. The LightGBM model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy and clinical applicability, suggesting it as a promising tool for early diagnosis of distant metastasis in breast cancer.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    用于定量分析DNA混合物样品的概率基因分型(PG)系统的开发在法医学中具有革命性。TrueAllele®Casewwork(TA)和STRmix™(STRmix)是美国使用最广泛的两种PG系统。这两个系统受到了48个两个挑战-,三-,和四人模拟案例样本,共152个似然比(LR)比较。TA和STRmix融合在相同的结果上(支持,不支持,或不确定)约91%的特定贡献者比较。当观察到对数(LR)值的中等或实质性差异时,9%影响了混合物的参考关联结论。PG系统对于估计的特定于贡献者的模板数量(〜92%)和产生的对数(LR)(>88%)表现出很高的相关性。当仅比较低模板贡献者(<100pg)的日志(LR)时,R2值降至~68%,差异有统计学意义。在结论不同的14个贡献者比较中,两个是矛盾的(支持与非支持性)和12要么是不确定的,要么是不确定的,要么是不确定的,要么是支持的。不同的结果可能是由于混合物输入文件中的差异,因为STRmix使用实验室定义的分析阈值(AT)和TA模型对每个电泳图的10个RFU。当使用10RFUAT通过STRmix对14种混合物中的7种进行重新分析时,低模板贡献者的日志(LR)变得更类似于TA。这项研究表明,虽然两种系统都可以产生精确和校准的LR,他们的结果可能会偏离,特别是对于低模板,退化的贡献者,偏差通常是可预测的。
    The development of probabilistic genotyping (PG) systems to quantitatively analyze DNA mixture samples has been transformative in forensic science. TrueAllele® Casework (TA) and STRmix™ (STRmix) are the two most widely used PG systems in the United States. The two systems were challenged with 48 two-, three-, and four-person mock casework samples, for a total of 152 likelihood ratio (LR) comparisons. TA and STRmix converged on the same result (supportive, non-supportive, or inconclusive) for ~91% of contributor-specific comparisons. Where moderate or substantial differences in log(LR) values were observed, 9% affected the conclusion of the reference association to the mixture. The PG systems exhibited high correlations for estimated contributor-specific template quantities (~92%) and log(LR)s produced (>88%). When the log(LR)s for only low-template contributors (<100 pg) were compared, the R2 value dropped to ~68% and the difference became statistically significant. Of the 14 contributor comparisons where the conclusion differed, two were contradictory (supportive vs. non-supportive) and 12 were either inconclusive versus non-supportive or inconclusive versus supportive. The differing results were likely due to dissimilarities in the mixture input file as STRmix uses a lab-defined analytical threshold (AT) and TA models to 10 RFUs for each electropherogram. When 7 of the 14 mixtures were reanalyzed by STRmix using a 10 RFU AT, the log(LR)s for the low-template contributors became more similar to TAs. This study shows that while both systems may produce accurate and calibrated LRs, their results can deviate, especially for low-template, degraded contributors, and the deviation is generally predictable.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    创伤性脑损伤(TBI)是年轻人死亡的主要原因,并且以其高死亡率和高发病率而闻名。本文旨在预测TBI患者的24h生存率。
    本次分析共涉及1224个样品,涉及的临床指标包括年龄,性别,血压,MGAP和其他字段,其中目标变量是“结果”,这是一个二进制变量。本文主要涉及的方法包括数据可视化分析,单因素分析,特征工程分析,随机森林模型(RF),K-近邻(KNN)模型,等等。Logistic回归模型(LR)和深度神经网络模型(DNN)。我们将使用SMOTE方法对训练集进行过采样,因为样本本身的标记非常不平衡。
    尽管所有模型的准确性都很高,召回率相对较低。性能最好的DNN模型仅达到0.17,对应的AUC为0.80。重新采样后,我们发现所有模型的阳性样本的召回率都提高了很多,但一些模型的AUC有所下降。最后,最优模型是LR,其阳性样本召回率为0.67,AUC为0.82。
    通过重采样,我们得到了最好的模型是射频模型,其召回率和AUC最好,且AUC水平约为0.87,说明模型的精度表现仍较好。
    UNASSIGNED: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is the major reason for the death of young people and is well known for its high mortality and morbidity. This paper aim to predict the 24h survival of patients with TBI.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 1224 samples were involved in this analysis, and the clinical indicators involved included age, gender, blood pressure, MGAP and other fields, among which the target variable was \"outcome\", which was a binary variable. The methods mainly involved in this paper include data visualization analysis, single factor analysis, feature engineering analysis, random forest model (RF), K-Nearst Neighbors (KNN) model, and so on. Logistic regression model (LR) and deep neural network model (DNN). We will oversample the training set using the SMOTE method because of the very unbalanced labeling of the sample itself.
    UNASSIGNED: Although the accuracy of all models is very high, the recall rate is relatively low. The DNN model with the best performance only reaches 0.17, and the corresponding AUC is 0.80. After resampling, we find that the recall rate of positive samples of all models has increased a lot, but the AUC of some models has decreased. Finally, the optimal model is LR, whose positive sample recall rate is 0.67 and AUC is 0.82.
    UNASSIGNED: Through resampling, we obtained that the best model is the RF model, whose recall rate and AUC are the best, and the AUC level is about 0.87, indicating that the accuracy performance of the model is still good.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在全球气候变化和不断发展的城市化模式中,必须监测土地利用和土地覆盖(LULC)的动态。土地利用的变化对全球流域的水文响应具有重大影响。一些研究已经应用了机器学习(ML)算法,使用历史LULC地图以及高程数据和坡度来预测未来的LULC预测。然而,尚未彻底探索其他驱动因素的影响,例如社会经济和气候因素。在本研究中,采用敏感性分析方法来了解两种物理(海拔,斜坡,方面,等。)和人口密度等社会经济因素,距离建筑,以及到公路和铁路的距离,以及气候因素(平均降水量)对印度东部Brahmani和Baitarni(BB)盆地LULC预测准确性的影响。此外,在没有最近的盆地LULC地图的情况下,三种ML算法,即,随机森林(RF),分类和回归树(CART),和支持向量机(SVM)在2007年,2014年和2021年在GoogleEarth引擎(GEE)云计算平台上用于LULC分类。在这三种算法中,与CART和SVM相比,RF在对建筑区域以及所有其他类别进行分类方面表现最佳。预测结果表明,在对诸如海拔和坡度之类的物理因素进行LULC建模时,靠近建筑物和人口增长占主导地位。对历史数据的分析显示,过去几年(2007-2021年)建成区增长了351%,森林和水域面积分别相应减少12%和36%。虽然未来的预测强调了2028-2070年期间建筑等级的增长从11%到38%不等,但森林面积预计将下降4%至16%。本研究的总体结果表明,BB盆地,尽管主要是农业,森林覆盖率很高,正在通过侵占农业和林地迅速扩大建成区,这可能对该地区的生态系统服务和可持续性产生深远的影响。
    Monitoring the dynamics of land use and land cover (LULC) is imperative in the changing climate and evolving urbanization patterns worldwide. The shifts in land use have a significant impact on the hydrological response of watersheds across the globe. Several studies have applied machine learning (ML) algorithms using historical LULC maps along with elevation data and slope for predicting future LULC projections. However, the influence of other driving factors such as socio-economic and climatological factors has not been thoroughly explored. In the present study, a sensitivity analysis approach was adopted to understand the effect of both physical (elevation, slope, aspect, etc.) and socio-economic factors such as population density, distance to built-up, and distance to road and rail, as well as climatic factors (mean precipitation) on the accuracy of LULC prediction in the Brahmani and Baitarni (BB) basin of Eastern India. Additionally, in the absence of the recent LULC maps of the basin, three ML algorithms, i.e., random forest (RF), classified and regression trees (CART), and support vector machine (SVM) were utilized for LULC classification for the years 2007, 2014, and 2021 on Google earth engine (GEE) cloud computing platform. Among the three algorithms, RF performed best for classifying built-up areas along with all the other classes as compared to CART and SVM. The prediction results revealed that the proximity to built-up and population growth dominates in modeling LULC over physical factors such as elevation and slope. The analysis of historical data revealed an increase of 351% in built-up areas over the past years (2007-2021), with a corresponding decline in forest and water areas by 12% and 36% respectively. While the future predictions highlighted an increase in built-up class ranging from 11 to 38% during the years 2028-2070, the forested areas are anticipated to decline by 4 to 16%. The overall findings of the present study suggested that the BB basin, despite being primarily agricultural with a significant forest cover, is undergoing rapid expansion of built-up areas through the encroachment of agricultural and forested lands, which could have far-reaching implications for the region\'s ecosystem services and sustainability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    流域植被受各种气候因素的影响,如降水和地表温度(LST)。本研究探索了以LST和降水量为输入参数的归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)预测的最佳机器学习模型。该研究还确定了NDVI之间的相关性,LST,和2003年至2021年马哈纳迪盆地的降水。从水文气象与遥感中心(CHRS)门户提取了月降水数据。使用中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)产品使用GoogleEarthEngine(GEE)导出LST和NDVI。使用四种不同的机器学习模型来预测马哈纳迪盆地的NDVI:线性回归(LR),随机森林(RF),支持向量回归(SVR),和k-最近邻(KNN)。决定系数(R2),均方根误差(RMSE),均方误差(MSE),平均绝对误差(MAE),并计算解释方差得分(EVS)来评估模型的性能。结果表明,在这些模型中,RF模型在训练集和测试集中都具有最高的R2值,表明它是预测NDVI的最佳模型。SVR模型在训练集中具有最低的RMSE值,但KNN模型在测试集中具有最低的RMSE值。结果还表明,降水与NDVI之间存在正相关关系,降水量和LST之间呈负相关,在NDVI和LST之间。这项研究提供了对NDVI之间关系的见解,LST,和降水,以及预测NDVI的最佳机器学习模型。这项研究的结果可用于改善流域管理并预测气候变化对植被的影响。
    The vegetation of a river basin is affected by various climate factors, such as precipitation and land surface temperature (LST). This study explores the best machine learning model for the prediction of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) with LST and precipitation as input parameters. The study also determines the correlation between NDVI, LST, and precipitation of the Mahanadi basin from 2003 to 2021. Monthly precipitation data was extracted from the Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing (CHRS) portal. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products were used to derive the LST and NDVI using Google Earth Engine (GEE). Four different machine learning models were used to predict the NDVI of the Mahanadi basin: linear regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN). The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and explained variance score (EVS) were calculated to evaluate the performance of the models. The results show that the RF model has the highest R2 value in both the training and testing sets among these models, indicating that it is the most optimal among these models for predicting NDVI. The SVR model has the lowest RMSE value in the training set, but the KNN model has the lowest RMSE value in the testing set. The results also show that there is a positive correlation between precipitation and NDVI, a negative correlation between precipitation and LST, and between NDVI and LST. This study provides insights into the relationship between NDVI, LST, and precipitation, and the best machine-learning model for predicting NDVI. The findings of this study can be used to improve the management of river basins and to predict the effects of climate change on vegetation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这项研究中,我们专注于使用胰腺来源的微阵列基因数据来检测糖尿病。使用降维(DR)技术来减少高维微阵列基因数据。像贝塞尔函数这样的DR方法,离散余弦变换(DCT),最小二乘线性回归(LSLR),并使用人工藻类算法(AAA)。随后,我们应用元启发式算法,如蜻蜓优化算法(DOA)和大象羊群优化算法(EHO)进行特征选择。分类器,如非线性回归(NLR),线性回归(LR),高斯混合模型(GMM)期望最大值(EM),贝叶斯线性判别分类器(BLDC),Logistic回归(LoR),Softmax判别分类器(SDC),以及具有三种类型内核的支持向量机(SVM),线性,多项式,和径向基函数(RBF),被用来检测糖尿病。分类器的性能是根据精度等参数进行分析的,F1得分,MCC,错误率,FM度量,还有Kappa.如果没有功能选择,SVM(RBF)分类器使用AAADR方法实现了90%的高准确率。使用AAADR方法进行EHO特征选择的SVM(RBF)分类器优于其他分类器,准确率为95.714%。分类器性能精度的提高强调了特征选择方法的作用。
    In this study, we focused on using microarray gene data from pancreatic sources to detect diabetes mellitus. Dimensionality reduction (DR) techniques were used to reduce the dimensionally high microarray gene data. DR methods like the Bessel function, Discrete Cosine Transform (DCT), Least Squares Linear Regression (LSLR), and Artificial Algae Algorithm (AAA) are used. Subsequently, we applied meta-heuristic algorithms like the Dragonfly Optimization Algorithm (DOA) and Elephant Herding Optimization Algorithm (EHO) for feature selection. Classifiers such as Nonlinear Regression (NLR), Linear Regression (LR), Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), Expectation Maximum (EM), Bayesian Linear Discriminant Classifier (BLDC), Logistic Regression (LoR), Softmax Discriminant Classifier (SDC), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) with three types of kernels, Linear, Polynomial, and Radial Basis Function (RBF), were utilized to detect diabetes. The classifier\'s performance was analyzed based on parameters like accuracy, F1 score, MCC, error rate, FM metric, and Kappa. Without feature selection, the SVM (RBF) classifier achieved a high accuracy of 90% using the AAA DR methods. The SVM (RBF) classifier using the AAA DR method for EHO feature selection outperformed the other classifiers with an accuracy of 95.714%. This improvement in the accuracy of the classifier\'s performance emphasizes the role of feature selection methods.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肝炎是地球上最致命的疾病之一。机器学习方法可以基于一些特征来诊断肝炎疾病。在UCI数据集上,作者评估了不同分类器的性能,以制定肝炎疾病诊断的系统策略。使用的分类器是支持向量机,逻辑回归(LR),K-最近邻,和随机森林。分类器在没有类别平衡的情况下使用,并使用SMOTE策略与类别平衡结合使用。两项研究,没有类平衡和类平衡的分类,在不同的性能参数方面进行了比较。采用类平衡后,分类器的效率明显提高。具有SMOTE的LR提供最高水平的准确度(93.18%)。
    Hepatitis is among the deadliest diseases on the planet. Machine learning approaches can contribute toward diagnosing hepatitis disease based on a few characteristics. On the UCI dataset, authors assessed distinct classifiers\' performance in order to develop a systematic strategy for hepatitis disease diagnosis. The classifiers used are support vector machine, logistic regression (LR), K-nearest neighbor, and random forest. The classifiers were employed without class balancing and in conjunction with class balancing using SMOTE strategy. Both studies, classification without class balancing and with class balancing, were compared in terms of different performance parameters. After adopting class balancing, the efficiency of classifiers improved significantly. LR with SMOTE provided the highest level of accuracy (93.18%).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于机器学习(ML)的分类模型广泛用于使用各种生理信号(例如心电图(ECG),心磁图(MCG),心音(HS),和阻抗心动图(ICG)信号。然而,基于ECG的HD识别是临床医生最常用的一种。在目前的调查中,已对ECG记录或受试者进行了采样,并将其用作分类模型的输入,以区分正常和异常患者。该研究采用了不平衡数量的ECG样本来训练各种分类模型。少数机器学习方法,如支持向量机(SVM),逻辑回归(LR),和自适应增强(AdaBoost)已经选择了很少用于HD检测。已在准确性方面评估了开发模型的性能,F1分数,和使用公开提供的受试者的ECG信号的曲线下面积(AUC)值(PTB-ECG,MIT-BIH)数据集。已基于这些性能指标分配了模型的排名,并且发现AdaBoost和LR分类器处于第一和第二位置。这两个模型已经基于多数投票原则进行了整合,并且还确定了该整合模型的性能度量。是的,总的来说,观察到所提出的集成模型在准确性方面展示了PTB-ECG数据集的0.946、0.949和0.951以及MIT-BIH数据集的0.921、0.926和0.950的最佳HD检测性能,F1分数,AUC,分别。所提出的方法也可以用于使用ICG对HD进行分类,MCG,和HS信号作为输入。Further,所提出的方法也可以应用于其他疾病的检测。
    The machine learning (ML)-based classification models are widely utilized for the automated detection of heart diseases (HDs) using various physiological signals such as electrocardiogram (ECG), magnetocardiography (MCG), heart sound (HS), and impedance cardiography (ICG) signals. However, ECG-based HD identification is the most common one used by clinicians. In the current investigation, the ECG records or subjects have been sampled and are used as inputs to the classification model to distinguish between normal and abnormal patients. The study has employed an imbalanced number of ECG samples for training the various classification models. Few ML methods such as support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost) which have been rarely used for HD detection have been selected. The performance of the developed model has been evaluated in terms of accuracy, F1-score, and area under curve (AUC) values using ECG signals of subjects given in publicly available (PTB-ECG, MIT-BIH) datasets. Ranking of the models has been assigned based on these performance metrics and it is found that the AdaBoost and LR classifiers stand in first and second positions. These two models have been ensembled based on the majority voting principle and the performance measure of this ensemble model has also been determined. It is, in general, observed that the proposed ensemble model demonstrates the best HD detection performance of 0.946, 0.949, and 0.951 for the PTB-ECG dataset and 0.921, 0.926, and 0.950 for the MIT-BIH dataset in terms of accuracy, F1-score, and AUC, respectively. The proposed methodology can also be employed for the classification of HD using ICG, MCG, and HS signals as inputs. Further, the proposed methodology can also be applied to the detection of other diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的几十年中,法医界投入了大量的精力来开发法医解释的逻辑框架,这对安全司法至关重要。我们回顾了已发布的研究和指南,并提供了如何在案例工作中实施它们的示例。在讨论了刑事审判中的不确定性和DNA科学家可能扮演的角色之后,我们提出了评估报告的解释原则。我们展示了它们的应用如何有助于避免常见的谬误,并提出了DNA科学家可以应用的策略,以便他们不会对条件进行转置。然后,我们讨论命题的层次结构,并解释为什么它被认为是评估生物学结果的基本概念,以及在源级别或活动级别评估给定命题的结果之间的差异。我们展示了预评估的重要性,尤其是当问题与所谓的活动有关时,当转移和坚持需要由科学家来指导法院的考虑。最后,我们讨论了陈述和证词。这为DNA科学家如何平衡地报告提供了指导,透明,逻辑的方式。
    The forensic community has devoted much effort over the last decades to the development of a logical framework for forensic interpretation, which is essential for the safe administration of justice. We review the research and guidelines that have been published and provide examples of how to implement them in casework. After a discussion on uncertainty in the criminal trial and the roles that the DNA scientist may take, we present the principles of interpretation for evaluative reporting. We show how their application helps to avoid a common fallacy and present strategies that DNA scientists can apply so that they do not transpose the conditional. We then discuss the hierarchy of propositions and explain why it is considered a fundamental concept for the evaluation of biological results and the differences between assessing results given propositions that are at the source level or the activity level. We show the importance of pre-assessment, especially when the questions relate to the alleged activities, and when transfer and persistence need to be considered by the scientists to guide the court. We conclude with a discussion on statement writing and testimony. This provides guidance on how DNA scientists can report in a balanced, transparent, and logical way.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当报告一名涉嫌参与最近枪击事件的人的枪击残留物(GSR)分析结果时,大多数法医专家仅向法院提供原始结果(即发现的GSR颗粒数量)和免责声明,即肯定的发现不能证明嫌疑人参与了枪支射击事件,而否定的发现不能证明他不是。GSR结果的概率分析为法院提供了更多价值,因此,本研究计算了寻找0-8个特征GSR颗粒(含铅,钡和锑)在嫌疑人的手上,基于已发表文献的GSR数据以及作者的研究。国防命题,即除了参与射击事件之外的GSR采集模式,分为三大类:低,中等和重背景。对于发现的每个背景水平和GSR粒子数量,计算最小和最大LR值.因此,对于每个命题,辩方都规定被告手上有GSR,法医专家可以提供一组可能的最小和最大LR值,由法庭审查被告的论点,并根据具体案件的情况决定三种背景模式中哪一种更合理。
    When reporting results of Gunshot Residue (GSR) analysis from a person suspected to be involved in a recent shooting, most forensic experts only provide the court with the raw results (i.e. the number of GSR particles found) and a disclaimer that a positive finding does not prove that the suspect was involved in a firearm shooting incident whilst a negative finding does not prove that he was not. Probabilistic analysis of the GSR results provides more value to the court, so the present study calculated likelihood ratio (LR) values for finding 0-8 characteristic GSR particles (containing Lead, Barium and Antimony) on a suspect\'s hands, based on the available GSR data from the published literature as well as studies by the authors. Defense propositions, i.e. modes for GSR acquisition other than involvement in a shooting event, were divided into three broad categories: low, medium and heavy background. For each background level and number of GSR particles found, minimal and maximal LR values were calculated. Thus, for each proposition the defense provides for the presence of GSR on the defendant\'s hands, the forensic expert can provide a possible set of minimal and maximal LR values, leaving the court to examine the defendant\'s contention and decide which of the three background modes is more plausible according to the circumstances of the specific case.
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