KM, Kaplan-Meier

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目前,中风风险被估计为心血管疾病(CVD)复合风险的一部分。我们调查了复合CVD风险预测工具QRISK3和集合队列方程-PCE,来自中年人,与卒中特异性弗雷明汉卒中风险概况-FSRP和QStroke一样好,可以捕获老年人卒中的真实风险。在英国区域心脏研究的男性(60-79y)中进行了10y卒中结局的外部验证。在单独的验证样本(FSRPn=3762,QStroken=3376,QRISK3n=2669和PCEn=3047)中评估歧视和校准,并/不调整竞争风险。使用观察到的和临床推荐的阈值检查敏感性/特异性。FSRP的性能,QStroke和QRISK3在2441名没有心血管疾病的男性中进行了头对头的比较,包括跨年龄组。观察到的10y风险(/1000PY)范围为6.8(硬性中风)至11(中风/短暂性脑缺血发作)。所有工具歧视都很弱,C指数0.63-0.66。FSRP和QStroke在更高的预测概率下高估了风险。QRISK3和PCE总体上显示出合理的校准,在整个风险范围内略有错误估计。在调整竞争性非中风死亡后,性能恶化。然而,在没有心血管疾病的男性中,QRISK3显示出相对更好的中风事件校准,即使在对竞争性死亡进行调整之后,包括最年长的男人。使用观察到的风险作为截止值,所有工具均显示出相似的灵敏度(63-73%)和特异性(52-54%)。当使用CVD预防阈值评估QRISK3和PCE时,对卒中事件的敏感性为99%,97%的假阳性率提示现有的干预阈值可能需要重新检查以反映年龄相关的卒中负担.
    Stroke risk is currently estimated as part of the composite risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). We investigated if composite-CVD risk prediction tools QRISK3 and Pooled Cohort Equations-PCE, derived from middle-aged adults, are as good as stroke-specific Framingham Stroke Risk Profile-FSRP and QStroke for capturing the true risk of stroke in older adults. External validation for 10y stroke outcomes was performed in men (60-79y) of the British Regional Heart Study. Discrimination and calibration were assessed in separate validation samples (FSRP n = 3762, QStroke n = 3376, QRISK3 n = 2669 and PCE n = 3047) with/without adjustment for competing risks. Sensitivity/specificity were examined using observed and clinically recommended thresholds. Performance of FSRP, QStroke and QRISK3 was further compared head-to-head in 2441 men free of a range of CVD, including across age-groups. Observed 10y risk (/1000PY) ranged from 6.8 (hard strokes) to 11 (strokes/transient ischemic attacks). All tools discriminated weakly, C-indices 0.63-0.66. FSRP and QStroke overestimated risk at higher predicted probabilities. QRISK3 and PCE showed reasonable calibration overall with minor mis-estimations across the risk range. Performance worsened on adjusting for competing non-stroke deaths. However, in men without CVD, QRISK3 displayed relatively better calibration for stroke events, even after adjustment for competing deaths, including in oldest men. All tools displayed similar sensitivity (63-73 %) and specificity (52-54 %) using observed risks as cut-offs. When QRISK3 and PCE were evaluated using thresholds for CVD prevention, sensitivity for stroke events was 99 %, with false positive rate 97 % suggesting existing intervention thresholds may need to be re-examined to reflect age-related stroke burden.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心血管肿瘤研究通常需要考虑潜在的竞争风险,作为其他事件的发生(例如,癌症相关死亡)可能会排除主要的关注事件(例如,心血管结果)。然而,进行竞争风险分析的决定并不总是简单的,即使被认为是必要的,对于适当选择分析方法来解决竞争风险存在误解。鼓励R研究人员在研究设计阶段考虑竞争风险,并提供评估工具,以指导基于研究目标的分析方法决策。现有的竞争风险分析统计方法,包括累积发病率估计和回归模型也进行了审查。心血管肿瘤学特有的例子用于说明这些概念,并突出潜在的陷阱和误解。还为这些分析提供了R代码。
    Cardio-oncology research studies often require consideration of potential competing risks, as the occurrence of other events (eg, cancer-related death) may preclude the primary event of interest (eg, cardiovascular outcome). However, the decision to conduct competing risks analysis is not always straightforward, and even when deemed necessary, misconceptions exist about the appropriate choice of analytical methods to address the competing risks. R researchers are encouraged to consider competing risks at the study design stage and are provided provide an assessment tool to guide decisions on analytical approach on the basis of study objectives. The existing statistical methods for competing risks analysis, including cumulative incidence estimations and regression modeling are also reviewed. Cardio-oncology-specific examples are used to illustrate these concepts and highlight potential pitfalls and misinterpretations. R code is also provided for these analyses.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中心体和纺锤体极相关蛋白(CSP1)是一种中心体和微管结合蛋白,在细胞周期依赖性细胞骨架组织和纤毛形成中起作用。以前的研究表明,CSP1在肿瘤发生中起作用;然而,尚未进行泛癌症分析.本研究系统地调查了CSP1的表达及其与诊断相关的潜在临床结果。预后,和治疗。CSP1广泛存在于组织和细胞中,其异常表达可作为癌症的诊断生物标志物。CSP1失调是由涉及遗传改变的多维机制驱动的,DNA甲基化,和miRNA。CSP1在特定位点的磷酸化可能在肿瘤发生中起作用。此外,CSP1与多种癌症的临床特征和结果相关。以预后不良的脑低级别胶质瘤(LGG)为例,功能富集分析表明CSP1可能在铁凋亡和肿瘤微环境(TME)中发挥作用,包括调节上皮-间质转化,基质反应,和免疫反应。进一步的分析证实,CSP1在LGG和其他癌症中失调铁凋亡,使得基于铁凋亡的药物有可能用于治疗这些癌症。重要的是,CSP1相关肿瘤在不同的TME中浸润,使免疫检查点阻断治疗对这些癌症患者有益。我们的研究首次证明CSP1是与铁凋亡和TME相关的潜在诊断和预后生物标志物。为特定癌症的药物治疗和免疫治疗提供了新的靶点。
    Centrosome and spindle pole-associated protein (CSPP1) is a centrosome and microtubule-binding protein that plays a role in cell cycle-dependent cytoskeleton organization and cilia formation. Previous studies have suggested that CSPP1 plays a role in tumorigenesis; however, no pan-cancer analysis has been performed. This study systematically investigates the expression of CSPP1 and its potential clinical outcomes associated with diagnosis, prognosis, and therapy. CSPP1 is widely present in tissues and cells and its aberrant expression serves as a diagnostic biomarker for cancer. CSPP1 dysregulation is driven by multi-dimensional mechanisms involving genetic alterations, DNA methylation, and miRNAs. Phosphorylation of CSPP1 at specific sites may play a role in tumorigenesis. In addition, CSPP1 correlates with clinical features and outcomes in multiple cancers. Take brain low-grade gliomas (LGG) with a poor prognosis as an example, functional enrichment analysis implies that CSPP1 may play a role in ferroptosis and tumor microenvironment (TME), including regulating epithelial-mesenchymal transition, stromal response, and immune response. Further analysis confirms that CSPP1 dysregulates ferroptosis in LGG and other cancers, making it possible for ferroptosis-based drugs to be used in the treatment of these cancers. Importantly, CSPP1-associated tumors are infiltrated in different TMEs, rendering immune checkpoint blockade therapy beneficial for these cancer patients. Our study is the first to demonstrate that CSPP1 is a potential diagnostic and prognostic biomarker associated with ferroptosis and TME, providing a new target for drug therapy and immunotherapy in specific cancers.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:据报道,在SEAS(辛伐他汀和依泽替米贝治疗主动脉瓣狭窄)试验中,有1,873名患者使用辛伐他汀/依泽替米贝治疗恶性肿瘤的风险增加。
    目的:本研究的目的是在更大样本量的急性冠脉综合征后稳定下来的患者中阐明这一意外发现。我们在IMPROVE-IT(改善降低结局:Vytorin疗效国际试验)中对恶性肿瘤事件进行了前瞻性系统分析.
    方法:在IMPROVE-IT中,在服用≥1剂研究药物的辛伐他汀40mg的背景下,将17,708例急性冠脉综合征后患者随机分为依泽替米贝10mg或匹配的安慰剂。研究者报告的可疑肿瘤(良性和恶性)或从不良事件审查中确定的可疑肿瘤由肿瘤学家在不了解药物分配的情况下裁定。原发性恶性肿瘤终点包括新的,复发,或进行性恶性肿瘤(不包括非黑色素皮肤恶性肿瘤)。次要终点是恶性肿瘤导致的死亡。
    结果:在本试验中,1,470例患者在中位6年的随访中出现了原发性恶性肿瘤终点。最常见的恶性肿瘤部位是前列腺(18.9%),肺(16.8%),和膀胱(8.8%),治疗组之间没有差异(每个位置p>0.05)。Kaplan-Meier7年恶性肿瘤发生率与依泽替米贝和安慰剂相似(10.2%vs.10.3%;危险比:1.03;95%置信区间:0.93至1.14;p=0.56),恶性肿瘤死亡率也是如此(3.8%vs.3.6%;风险比:1.04;95%置信区间:0.88~1.23;p=0.68)。
    结论:在每天接受辛伐他汀40mg的17,708名患者中,在中位随访6年(96,377例患者-年)期间,与接受安慰剂组相比,随机接受每日10mg依泽替米贝的患者的恶性肿瘤发生率和因恶性肿瘤死亡的死亡率相似.(IMPROVE-IT:检查患有急性冠脉综合征的受试者的结果:维托林[依泽替米贝/辛伐他汀]与辛伐他汀[P04103];NCT00202878)。
    BACKGROUND: An increased risk of malignancy was reported with simvastatin/ezetimibe in 1,873 patients in the SEAS (Simvastatin and Ezetimibe in Aortic Stenosis) trial.
    OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to clarify this unexpected finding in a larger sample size of patients stabilized after acute coronary syndrome, we conducted a prospective systematic analysis of malignancy events in IMPROVE-IT (Improved Reduction of Outcomes: Vytorin Efficacy International Trial).
    METHODS: Within IMPROVE-IT, 17,708 patients post-acute coronary syndrome were randomized to either ezetimibe 10 mg or matching placebo on a background of simvastatin 40 mg who took ≥1 dose of the study drug. Suspected tumors (benign and malignant) reported by investigators or identified from a review of adverse events were adjudicated by oncologists without knowledge of drug assignment. The primary malignancy endpoint included new, relapsing, or progressive malignancies (excluding nonmelanotic skin malignancies). The secondary endpoint was death due to malignancy.
    RESULTS: In this trial, 1,470 patients developed the primary malignancy endpoint during a median 6 years of follow-up. The most common malignancy locations were prostate (18.9%), lung (16.8%), and bladder (8.8%) with no differences by treatment group (p > 0.05 for each location). Kaplan-Meier 7-year rates of malignancies were similar with ezetimibe and placebo (10.2% vs. 10.3%; hazard ratio: 1.03; 95% confidence interval: 0.93 to 1.14; p = 0.56), as were the rates for malignancy death (3.8% vs. 3.6%; hazard ratio: 1.04; 95% confidence interval: 0.88 to 1.23; p = 0.68).
    CONCLUSIONS: Among 17,708 patients receiving simvastatin 40 mg daily, those randomized to ezetimibe 10 mg daily had a similar incidence of malignancy and deaths due to malignancy compared with those receiving placebo during a median follow-up of 6 years (96,377 patient-years). (IMPROVE-IT: Examining Outcomes in Subjects With Acute Coronary Syndrome: Vytorin [Ezetimibe/Simvastatin] vs Simvastatin [P04103]; NCT00202878).
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