BACKGROUND: Public long-term care insurance (LTCI) systems can promote equal and wider access to quality long-term care. However, ensuring the financial sustainability is challenging owing to growing care demand related to population aging. To control growing demand, Japan\'s public LTCI system uniquely provided home- and community-based prevention services for functional dependency for older people (ie, adult day care, nursing care, home care, functional screening, functional training, health education, and support for social activities), following nationwide protocols with decentralized delivery from 2006 until 2015. However, evaluations of the effects of these services have been inconclusive.
METHODS: We estimated the marginal gain and technical efficiency of local prevention services using 2009-2014 panel data for 474 local public insurers in Japan, based on stochastic frontier analysis. The outcome was the transformed sex-and age-adjusted ratio of the observed to expected number of individuals aged ≥65 years certified for moderate care. Higher outcome values indicate lower population risk of moderate functional dependency in each region in each year. The marginal gains of the provided quantities of prevention services as explanatory variables were estimated, adjusting for regional medical and welfare access, care demand and supply, and other regional factors as covariates.
RESULTS: Prevention services (except functional screening) significantly reduced the population risk of moderate functional dependency. Specifically, the mean changes in outcome per 1% increase in adult day care, other nursing care, and home care were 0.13%, 0.07%, and 0.04%, respectively. The median technical efficiency of local public insurers was 0.94 (interquartile range: 0.89-0.99).
CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that population-based services with decentralized local operation following standardized protocols could achieve efficient prevention across regions. This study could inform current discussions about the range of benefit coverage in public LTCI systems by presenting a useful option for the provision of preventive benefits.

Long-term care insurance (LTCI) plays a crucial role in providing substantial aid in non-self-sufficient situations and complementing existing state protection mechanisms. With an aging population and increasing demand for healthcare services LTC policies have become indispensable. While individual LTCI policies face adoption challenges, group insurances offer a more streamlined alternative. However, realizing the full potential of these insurances necessitates targeted legislative intervention to improve accessibility and ensure sustainability. This article explores the evolution of LTCI policies in Italy, offering an overview of the current landscape and highlighting the socio-economic and medico-legal factors shaping the present scenario. By providing this analysis, we seek to offer insights into the dynamic evolution of LTCI policies and the crucial role of legislative measures in enhancing their effectiveness and accessibility.

UNASSIGNED: In Japan, the number of older adults requiring long-term care insurance (LTCI) is increasing and the cost is becoming a social problem. In these fields, the role of geriatric rehabilitation includes maintaining the physical function and LTCI certification levels. The prevalence of sarcopenia is high among older adults requiring LTCI certification, and there are many opportunities to assess the handgrip strength, walking speed, and muscle mass. This study aimed to identify sarcopenia-related assessments sensitive to transitions in LTCI certification levels and determine cut-off values to predict them.
UNASSIGNED: This prospective cohort study analyzed 98 daycare users (mean age ± standard error: 78.5 ± 0.8 years) between March 2019 and 2023. The participants received LTCI certification before the study, and their levels were renewed between baseline and follow-up (six months later). The measurements included handgrip strength, usual walking speed, body composition, and SARC-F score. Participants were classified into maintenance, deterioration, and improvement groups according to the changes in their LTCI certification levels. We identified factors contributing to the deterioration of LTCI certification levels using baseline and before and after comparisons, multivariate analyses, and receiver operating characteristic analyses.
UNASSIGNED: No significant differences were observed in the baseline data among the groups. Only the deterioration group showed significant changes in the usual walking speed (baseline: 0.64 ± 0.25 m/s, follow-up: 0.53 ± 0.21 m/s, P = 0.008) and body fat percentage (baseline: 29.2 ± 9.9%, follow-up: 27.7 ± 10.3%, P = 0.047). Binomial logistic regression showed that changes in usual walking speed (P = 0.042) and body fat percentage (P = 0.011) were significantly associated with the deterioration of LTCI certification levels, even after adjustment. The cutoff values of change to discriminate the deterioration of LTCI certification levels were -0.14 m/s at the usual walking speed (P = 0.047) and -1.0% for body fat percentage (P = 0.029).
UNASSIGNED: Decreases in usual walking speed and body fat percentage may predict worse certification levels in older adults requiring LTCI.

UNASSIGNED: This study forecasts the income and expenditures of the long-term care insurance fund, provides a basis for formulating the raising standard of the long-term care insurance fund, and explores the measures to improve the pilot work of long-term care insurance.
UNASSIGNED: By using the exponential smoothing and ARIMA models to forecast the income and expenditure of the old-age care insurance fund in 2022, the problems existing in the operation of the long-term care insurance fund are discussed.
UNASSIGNED: In 2022, the income of the old-age insurance fund was 28.8934 million yuan, and the fund compensation expenditure was 28.4070 million yuan, with a slight balance of the fund. The highest relative errors of income and expenditure forecast models are -2.03% and - 2.76%, respectively. According to the results of fund expenditure, the annual financing standard should be 132.93 yuan/person, and the individual financing standard should be 66.47 yuan/person.
UNASSIGNED: Through the integration of personal payment, welfare, sports lottery public welfare income, social donations, and other ways, we can gradually establish a multi-channel risk-sharing financing. We will appropriately raise the standard for individual financing and the annual contribution standard for individuals from 50 yuan to 66.47 yuan. This will promote sustainable development of long-term insurance system.

Rapid population aging has been placing heavy tolls on Chinese family caregivers. Previous empirical evidence from multiple countries have shown that establishing national long-term care insurance was effective in reducing family care burdens. Utilizing data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) wave 2011 to 2018, this study examined the effects of implementing the pilot long-term care insurance program on family care received by the Chinese older adults, by using a time-varying Difference-in-Differences (DID) method. The results showed that: (1) the implementation of the pilot long-term care insurance program has led to a 17.2% decline in general for family care received by the Chinese older adults. (2) The effect of participating in the pilot program on family care received differed by respondent\'s household registration, health status, marital status, and possesion of retirement pension, and were specifically pronounced among those who were urban residents, having spouse, living with disabilities, and living with no retirement pension. (3) Further results from the mechanism analyses showed that the pilot long-term care insurance program decreased the level of family care by reducing the dual intergenerational financial support between older adults and their adult children. (4) Although participating in the pilot program decreased older adult\'s dependence on their adult children, their physical and mental health status were not negatively affected. This study contributes to the existing literature by evaluating the effects of implementing the pilot long-term care insurance program on family care received by the Chinese older adults, and lends supports to the previous studies that participating in long-term care insurance significantly reduces old adults\' demand for family care, but not in sacrifice of their physical and mental well-being.

OBJECTIVE: In April 2012, the Japanese government launched a new nursing service called the nursing small-scale multifunctional home care (NSMHC) to meet the nursing care demands of individuals with moderate-to-severe activities of daily living (ADLs) dysfunction and who require medical care, thereby allowing them to continue living in the community. We aimed to preliminarily analyse the characteristics of first-time users of NSMHC service.
METHODS: This pooled cross-sectional study used the Japanese long-term care insurance (LTCI) claims data from the users\' first use of NSMHC (from April 2012 to December 2019).
METHODS: NSMHC includes nursing home visits, home care, daycare, overnight stays and medical treatment.
METHODS: The study population included LTCI beneficiaries who received their first long-term care requirement certification in Japan from April 2012 onwards, died between April 2012 and December 2019, and used any LTCI service at least once.
RESULTS: Among the 836 563 individuals who used any LTCI service at least once, 3957 (0.47%) used NSMHC. We analysed 3634 individuals without any missing data regarding long-term care requirement certification. Most individuals were aged 80 years or older, with 64.3% requiring care level 3 or above, indicating complete assistance with ADLs. Regarding ADLs in individuals with dementia, 70.6% were at level 2 or below, indicating they can live almost independently even with dementia. A large proportion of NSMHC users availed the service approximately 6 months before death, with no prior use of any LTCI services; they continued using the service for around 4 months, although some people continued to use NSMHC until their month of death.
CONCLUSIONS: Using individual data on nationwide LTCI, we described the characteristics of first-time users of NSMHC among those who died within 7.5 years from the first certification of care needs. Further studies are needed to investigate the effect of NSMHC use on user outcomes.

We estimate a dynamic structural model of labor supply, retirement, and informal caregiving to study short and long-term costs of informal caregiving in Germany. Incorporating labor market frictions and the German tax and benefit system, we find that in the absence of Germany\'s public long-term insurance scheme, informal elderly care has adverse and persistent effects on labor market outcomes and, thus, negatively affects lifetime earnings and future pension benefits. These consequences of caregiving are heterogeneous and depend on age, previous earnings, and institutional regulations. Policy simulations suggest that while public long-term care insurance policies are fiscally costly and induce negative labor market effects, they can largely offset the personal costs of caregiving and increase welfare, especially for low-income individuals.

With the rapid aging of the population, the health needs of the older adult have increased significantly, resulting in the frequent occurrence of the \"social hospitalization\" problem, which has led to a rapid increase in hospitalization costs. This study investigates whether the \"social hospitalization problem\" arising from the long-term care needs can be solved through the implementation of long-term care insurance, thereby improving the overall health of the older adults and controlling the unreasonable increase in hospitalization costs.
The entropy theory was used as a conceptual model, based on data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) in 2015 and 2018. The least-squares method was used to examine the relationship between long-term care needs and hospitalization costs, and the role that long-term care insurance implementation plays in its path of influence.
The results of this study indicated that long-term care needs would increase hospitalization cost, which remained stable after a series of tests, such as replacing the core explanatory variables and introducing fixed effects. Through the intermediary effect test and mediated adjustment effect test, we found the action path of long-term care needs on hospitalization costs. Long-term care needs increases hospitalization costs through more hospitalizations. Long-term care insurance reduces hospitalization costs. Its specific action path makes long-term care insurance reduce hospitalization costs through a negative adjustment of the number of hospitalizations.
To achieve fair and sustainable development of long-term care insurance, the following points should be achieved: First, long-term care insurance should consider the prevention in advance and expand the scope of participation and coverage; Second, long-term care insurance should consider the control in the event and set moderate levels of treatment payments; Third, long-term care insurance should consider post-supervision and explore appropriate payment methods.

BACKGROUND: China has piloted Long-Term Care Insurance (LTCI) to address increasing care demand. However, many cities neglected adjusting LTCI premiums since the pilot, risking the long-term sustainability of LTCI. Therefore, using Zhejiang Province as a case, this study simulated mortality-adjusted long-term care demand and the balance of LTCI funds through dynamic financing mechanism under diverse life expectancy and disability scenarios.
METHODS: Three-parameter log-quadratic model was used to estimate the mortality from 1990 to 2020. Mortality with predicted interval from 2020 to 2080 was projected by Lee-Carter method extended with rotation. Cohort-component projection model was used to simulate the number of older population with different degrees of disability. Disability data of the older people is sourced from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study 2018. The balance of LTCI fund was simulated by dynamic financing actuarial model.
RESULTS: Life expectancy of Zhejiang for male (female) is from 80.46 (84.66) years in 2020 to 89.39 [86.61, 91.74] (91.24 [88.90, 93.25]) years in 2080. The number of long-term care demand with severe disability in Zhejiang demonstrates an increasing trend from 285 [276, 295] thousand in 2023 to 1027 [634, 1657] thousand in 2080 under predicted mean of life expectancy. LTCI fund in Zhejiang will become accumulated surplus from 2024 to 2080 when annual premium growth rate is 5.25% [4.20%, 6.25%] under various disability scenarios, which is much higher than the annual growth of unit cost of long-term care services (2.25%). The accumulated balance of LTCI fund is sensitive with life expectancy.
CONCLUSIONS: Dynamic growth of LTCI premium is essential in dealing with current deficit around 2050 and realizing Zhejiang\'s LTCI sustainability in the long-run. The importance of dynamic monitoring disability and mortality information is emphasized to respond immediately to the increase of premiums. LTCI should strike a balance between expanding coverage and controlling financing scale. This study provides implications for developing countries to establish or pilot LTCI schemes.

BACKGROUND: China\'s long-term care insurance (LTCI) has been launched since 2016 to ensure that older disabled people obtain affordable care services. However, rigorous evaluations of the health effects of China\'s LTCI pilots have been limited. This paper aimed to examine the effects of LTCI on health among older adults aged 60 years and above.
METHODS: Drawing from panel data of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), we used a propensity score matching (PSM) and difference-in-difference (DID) approach to identify the health effects of the LTCI program and reduce the selection bias. Further, heterogeneity of the effects was examined by physical and intellectual function to evaluate whether the effects differed among subgroups of older population.
RESULTS: The implementation of LTCI significantly improved self-rated health (β = 0.15, P<.05) and cognitive function (β = 0.59, P<.01) for older adults. The results were robust when keeping only those living in pilot cities (β = 0.31, P<.05 for self-rated health status; β = 0.98, P<.001 for cognitive function) or non-pilot cities (β = 0.14, P<.05 for self-rated health status; β = 0.60, P<.01 for cognitive function) as the control group. The effects of LTCI were especially manifested in older adults with physical disability (β = 0.13, P<.01 for self-rated health; β = 0.76, P<.001 for cognitive function) or intellectual disability (β = 0.16, P<.01 for self-rated health).
CONCLUSIONS: From a policy perspective, these findings suggested that LTCI in China could benefit the health outcomes of older adults, especially those with physical or cognitive disabilities. Policy-makers can target resources more effectively to improve health outcomes for the most vulnerable populations.