Hospital readmission

再入院
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    脊柱感染(SI)与各种合并症有关。这些合并症的相互作用及其对护理成本和复杂性的影响尚未得到充分评估。
    这是一项针对城市医院系统中SI患者的回顾性队列研究,旨在描述成年SI患者的合并症和结局。纳入我们医院系统中在2017年7月1日至2019年6月30日期间初次诊断为SI住院的成年患者。结果指标包括SI指数住院的住院时间(LOS),索引住院的费用和付款,出院后一年内再入院。数据是通过使用ICD-10-CM和CPT程序代码查询我们的电子数据仓库(EDW)获得的。斯皮尔曼的相关性被用来总结LOS之间的关系,charges,和付款。多变量线性回归用于评估人口统计学的关联,合并症,以及LOS的其他因素。多变量Cox回归用于评估人口统计学的关联,合并症,和其他因素与医院再入院。
    确定了403例首次诊断为SI的患者。每位患者的平均合并症数为1.3。294(73%)有至少1种医疗合并症,54例(13%)有3例或3例以上合并症。最常见的合并症是糖尿病(26%),静脉注射药物使用(IVDU,26%),营养不良(20%)。112例患者(28%)有手术部位感染(SSI)。DM(p<.001)和SSI(p=.016)在老年患者中更常见,而IVDU在年轻患者中更常见(p<.001)。LOS中位数为12天。在多变量调整后,更多的医疗合并症与更长的LOS(p<.001)相关,而SSI的存在与更短的LOS(p=.007)相关。LOS与费用(r=0.83)和付款(r=0.61)均呈正相关。在389名患者住院后出院,36%的人在1年内再次入院。三种或三种以上合并症患者的再入院率是零合并症患者的两倍(风险比:1.95,p=0.017)。
    SI患者通常有多种合并症,合并症的具体类型与患者的年龄有关。多种合并症的存在与初始LOS相关,护理费用,和再入院率。出院后第一年的再入院率很高。
    UNASSIGNED: Spinal Infection (SI) is associated with various comorbidities. The interaction of these comorbidities and their impact on costs and complexity of care has not been fully assessed.
    UNASSIGNED: This is a retrospective cohort study of SI patients in an urban hospital system to characterize comorbidities and outcomes in adult patients with SI. Adult patients in our hospital system who were hospitalized with an initial diagnosis of SI between July 1, 2017 and June 30, 2019 were included. Outcomes measures included length of stay (LOS) of the index hospitalization for SI, charges and payments for the index hospitalization, and hospital readmissions within one year after discharge from the index hospitalization. Data was obtained by querying our Electronic Data Warehouse (EDW) using ICD-10-CM and CPT procedure codes. Spearman\'s correlation was used to summarize the relationships between LOS, charges, and payments. Multivariable linear regression was used to evaluate associations of demographics, comorbidities, and other factors with LOS. Multivariable Cox regression was used to evaluate associations of demographics, comorbidities, and other factors with hospital readmissions.
    UNASSIGNED: 403 patients with a first diagnosis of SI were identified. The average number of comorbidities per patient was 1.3. 294 (73%) had at least 1 medical comorbidity, and 54 (13%) had 3 or more comorbidities. The most common medical comorbidities were diabetes mellitus (26%), intravenous drug use (IVDU, 26%), and malnutrition (20%). 112 patients (28%) had a surgical site infection (SSI). DM (p<.001) and SSI (p=.016) were more common among older patients while IVDU was more common among younger patients (p<.001). Median LOS was 12 days. A larger number of medical comorbidities was associated with a longer LOS (p<.001) while the presence of a SSI was associated with a shorter LOS (p=.007) after multivariable adjustment. LOS was positively correlated with both charges (r=0.83) and payments (r=0.61). Among 389 patients discharged after the index hospitalization, 36% had a readmission within 1 year. The rate of readmission was twice as high for patients with three or more comorbidities than patients with zero comorbidities (hazard ratio: 1.95, p=.017).
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with SI often have multiple comorbidities, and the specific type of comorbidity is associated with the patient\'s age. The presence of multiple comorbidities correlates with initial LOS, cost of care, and readmission rate. Readmission in the first year post-discharge is high.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    透析患者早期再入院的可能性是后者的两倍。这项研究旨在确定在三级医院接受维持性透析的患者中30天非计划再入院的危险因素。
    我们进行了回顾,无与伦比,病例对照研究。数据来自2018年1月至2020年12月在菲律宾大学-菲律宾综合医院(UP-PGH)接受的维持性血液透析患者。再入院30天的患者作为病例,再入院30天以上的患者作为对照。以30天再入院作为结果的多变量回归用于确定早期再入院的重要预测因素。
    透析患者中30天非计划再入院的患病率为36.96%,95CI[31.67,42.48]。总的来说,对119例病例和203例对照进行分析。两个因素与早期再入院显着相关:慢性肾小球肾炎的存在[OR2.35,95%CI1.36至4.07,p值=0.002]和合并症的数量[OR1.34,95%CI1.12至1.61,p值=0.002]。早期再入院最常见的原因是感染,贫血,尿毒症/透析不足。
    慢性肾小球肾炎和多种合并症患者早期再入院的几率显著增加。仔细的出院计划和对这些患者的密切随访可能会减少早期再入院。
    UNASSIGNED: Patients on dialysis are twice as likely to have early readmissions. This study aimed to identify risk factors for 30-day unplanned readmission among patients on maintenance dialysis in a tertiary hospital.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted a retrospective, unmatched, case-control study. Data were taken from patients on maintenance hemodialysis admitted in the University of the Philippines-Philippine General Hospital (UP-PGH) between January 2018 and December 2020. Patients with 30-day readmission were included as cases and patients with >30-day readmissions were taken as controls. Multivariable regression with 30-day readmission as the outcome was used to identify significant predictors of early readmission.
    UNASSIGNED: The prevalence of 30-day unplanned readmission among patients on dialysis is 36.96%, 95%CI [31.67, 42.48]. In total, 119 cases and 203 controls were analyzed. Two factors were significantly associated with early readmission: the presence of chronic glomerulonephritis [OR 2.35, 95% CI 1.36 to 4.07, p-value=0.002] and number of comorbidities [OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.61, p-value=0.002]. The most common reasons for early readmission are infection, anemia, and uremia/underdialysis.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with chronic glomerulonephritis and multiple comorbidities have significantly increased odds of early readmission. Careful discharge planning and close follow up of these patients may reduce early readmissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:酒精使用障碍(AUD)是一个持续存在的公共卫生问题,对死亡率和发病率有显著影响。本研究旨在评估院内缓释纳曲酮(XR-NTX)给药对酒精相关结局的影响。
    方法:这项回顾性队列研究,在学术医疗中心进行,纳入了141名在2020年12月至2021年6月期间接受XR-NTX的AUD成年患者。在XR-NTX给药之前和之后90天评估主要和次要结局,以确定与酒精相关的住院次数。急诊科(ED)就诊次数和平均住院时间。亚组分析评估了高医院使用率和边缘住房或无住房人群的结果。
    结果:XR-NTX后,ED就诊次数和住院时间显着减少,而再住院次数没有显着差异。亚组分析显示,高医院使用率患者的再入院率和ED就诊率显着减少。我们的样本主要是中年人,男性和白人患者。
    结论:住院开始XR-NTX治疗AUD与ED就诊次数和住院时间显著减少相关。虽然总体上对住院人数没有显著影响,高使用率患者的再入院率和急诊就诊率大幅下降.我们的研究结果表明,院内XR-NTX的潜在益处,强调需要进一步研究以建立因果关系,评估成本效益并探索不同患者人群的有效性。有效的住院干预措施,例如XR-NTX,有望改善患者预后并减轻与AUD相关的医疗负担。
    OBJECTIVE: Alcohol use disorder (AUD) is a persistent public health concern, contributing significantly to mortality and morbidity. This study aims to evaluate the impact of in-hospital extended-release naltrexone (XR-NTX) administration on alcohol-related outcomes.
    METHODS: This retrospective cohort study, conducted at an academic medical centre, included 141 adult patients with AUD who received XR-NTX between December 2020 and June 2021. Primary and secondary outcomes were assessed 90 days before and after XR-NTX administration to identify number of alcohol-related hospitalisations, emergency department (ED) visits and average length of hospital stay. Subgroup analyses assessed outcomes in high hospital utilisers and marginally housed or unhoused populations.
    RESULTS: There was a significant decrease in ED visits and length of hospital stay post XR-NTX and no significant difference in the number of rehospitalisations. Subgroup analysis showed significant reduction in hospital readmissions and ED visits among high hospital utilisers. Our sample was a predominantly middle-aged, male and white patient population.
    CONCLUSIONS: In-hospital initiation of XR-NTX for AUD was associated with a significant decrease in ED visits and length of hospital stay. While no significant impact on the number of hospitalisations was observed overall, there was a substantial reduction in hospital readmissions and ED visits among high utilisers. Our findings suggest the potential benefits of in-hospital XR-NTX, emphasising the need for further research to establish causal relationships, assess cost-effectiveness and explore effectiveness across diverse patient populations. Effective in-hospital interventions, such as XR-NTX, hold promise for improving patient outcomes and reducing the healthcare burden associated with AUD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:关于接受家庭护理(HC)和非卧床护理(AC)服务的患者中营养不良的患病率知之甚少。Further,从医院转行HC或AC的营养不良患者的再入院风险也未得到很好的确定.本研究旨在解决这两个差距。
    方法:对2019年1月至12月新转诊的HC和AC患者进行了描述性队列研究。临床医生使用迷你营养评估简表(MNA-SF)评估营养状况。计算了营养不良和营养不良风险(ARM)的患病率,使用对数二项回归模型估计营养不良患者出院后30天内再入院的相对风险.
    结果:总共返回了3704个MNA-SF,其中2402人(65%)有完整的数据。新转诊的HC和AC患者中营养不良和ARM的估计患病率为21%(95%CI:19%-22%)和55%(95%CI:53%-57%),分别。营养不良患者的估计再入院风险比营养状态正常患者高2.7倍(95%CI:1.9%-3.9%),ARM患者的估计再入院风险高1.9倍(95%CI:1.4%-2.8%)。
    结论:HC和AC患者中营养不良和ARM的患病率较高。营养不良和ARM与出院后30天再次入院的风险增加相关。
    BACKGROUND: Little is known about the prevalence of malnutrition among patients receiving home care (HC) and ambulatory care (AC) services. Further, the risk of hospital readmission in malnourished patients transitioning from hospital to HC or AC is also not well established. This study aims to address these two gaps.
    METHODS: A descriptive cohort study of newly referred HC and AC patients between January and December 2019 was conducted. Nutrition status was assessed by clinicians using the Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF). Prevalence of malnutrition and at risk of malnutrition (ARM) was calculated, and a log-binomial regression model was used to estimate the relative risk of hospital readmission within 30 days of discharge for those who were malnourished and referred from hospital.
    RESULTS: A total of 3704 MNA-SFs were returned, of which 2402 (65%) had complete data. The estimated prevalence of malnutrition and ARM among newly referred HC and AC patients was 21% (95% CI: 19%-22%) and 55% (95% CI: 53%-57%), respectively. The estimated risk of hospital readmission for malnourished patients was 2.7 times higher (95% CI: 1.9%-3.9%) and for ARM patients was 1.9 times higher (95% CI: 1.4%-2.8%) than that of patients with normal nutrition status.
    CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of malnutrition and ARM among HC and AC patients is high. Malnutrition and ARM are correlated with an increased risk of hospital readmission 30 days posthospital discharge.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:(1)评估住院后社会危险因素与计划外再入院和急诊护理的关系。(2)创建社会风险评分指标。
    方法:我们分析了退伍军人事务部(VA)企业数据仓库的管理数据。设置为参加国家社会工作人员配备计划的VA医疗中心。
    方法:我们将社会相关诊断分组,放映,评估,和程序代码分为九个社会风险领域。我们使用逻辑回归来检查领域在出院后30天内预测计划外再入院和急诊科(ED)使用的程度。协变量是年龄,性别,和医疗再入院风险评分。我们使用模型估计来创建一个百分位得分,表明退伍军人与健康相关的社会风险。
    方法:我们纳入了156,690名退伍军人入院,从10月1日起出院回家,2016年9月30日,2022年。
    结果:30天计划外再入院率为0.074,ED使用率为0.240。调整后,再入院概率最大的社会风险是粮食不安全(调整概率=0.091[95%置信区间:0.082,0.101]),法律需要(0.090[0.079,0.102]),和邻里剥夺(0.081[0.081,0.108]);与无社会风险(0.052)相比。ED使用的最大调整概率是那些经历过粮食不安全的人(调整概率0.28[0.26,0.30]),法律问题(0.28[0.26,0.30]),和暴力(0.27[0.25,0.29]),与无社会风险(0.21)相比。社会风险评分在第95百分位数的退伍军人的计划外护理率高于第95百分位数的退伍军人。VA中使用的临床预测工具。
    结论:有社会风险的退伍军人住院后可能需要专门的干预措施和有针对性的资源。我们提出了一种评分方法来对社会风险进行评分,以用于临床实践和未来的研究。
    OBJECTIVE: (1) To estimate the association of social risk factors with unplanned readmission and emergency care after a hospital stay. (2) To create a social risk scoring index.
    METHODS: We analyzed administrative data from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Corporate Data Warehouse. Settings were VA medical centers that participated in a national social work staffing program.
    METHODS: We grouped socially relevant diagnoses, screenings, assessments, and procedure codes into nine social risk domains. We used logistic regression to examine the extent to which domains predicted unplanned hospital readmission and emergency department (ED) use in 30 days after hospital discharge. Covariates were age, sex, and medical readmission risk score. We used model estimates to create a percentile score signaling Veterans\' health-related social risk.
    METHODS: We included 156,690 Veterans\' admissions to a VA hospital with discharged to home from 1 October, 2016 to 30 September, 2022.
    RESULTS: The 30-day rate of unplanned readmission was 0.074 and of ED use was 0.240. After adjustment, the social risks with greatest probability of readmission were food insecurity (adjusted probability = 0.091 [95% confidence interval: 0.082, 0.101]), legal need (0.090 [0.079, 0.102]), and neighborhood deprivation (0.081 [0.081, 0.108]); versus no social risk (0.052). The greatest adjusted probabilities of ED use were among those who had experienced food insecurity (adjusted probability 0.28 [0.26, 0.30]), legal problems (0.28 [0.26, 0.30]), and violence (0.27 [0.25, 0.29]), versus no social risk (0.21). Veterans with social risk scores in the 95th percentile had greater rates of unplanned care than those with 95th percentile Care Assessment Needs score, a clinical prediction tool used in the VA.
    CONCLUSIONS: Veterans with social risks may need specialized interventions and targeted resources after a hospital stay. We propose a scoring method to rate social risk for use in clinical practice and future research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:糖尿病足(DF)是糖尿病自然史的一部分,溃疡是一种严重的并发症,患病率约为6.3%,这造成了巨大的经济负担。在前三十(30)天的再入院被认为是衡量医疗保健质量的指标,并且已经确定,最可预防的原因是在此期间发生的原因。本研究旨在确定与DF患者再入院相关的危险因素。
    方法:通过对数据库进行二次分析,完成了一项病例对照研究。描述性统计用于所有感兴趣的变量,双变量分析,以确定具有统计学意义的变量,和多变量分析的逻辑回归模型。
    结果:575例(113例,462个控件)。确定30天再入院的发生率为20%。在关注机构方面发现了统计学上的显着差异(撒玛利亚塔纳大学医院:OR1.9,p值<0.01,95%CI1.2-3.0;圣伊格纳西奥大学医院:OR0.5,p值<0.01,95%CI0.3-0.8)以及30天之前再次入院的原因,特别是由于手术部位感染(SSI)(OR7.1,p值<0.01,95%CI4.1-12.4),脓毒症(OR8.4,p值0.02,95%CI1.2-94.0),截肢残端开裂(OR16.4,p值<0.01,95%CI4.2-93.1)和其他病变代偿失调(OR3.5,p值<0.01,95%CI2.1-5.7)。
    结论:我们人群30天之前的再入院率与现有文献相比。我们的结果与慢性病变的恶化一致,但是其他研究中没有提到的其他相关变量是照顾患者的医院,SSI的存在,脓毒症,截肢残肢的裂开.我们认为,在门诊环境中对有风险的患者进行周到和密切的筛查可能会确定可能的再入院。
    BACKGROUND: Diabetic foot (DF) is part of the natural history of diabetes mellitus, ulceration being a severe complication with a prevalence of approximately 6.3 %, which confers a significant economic burden. Hospital readmission in the first thirty (30) days is considered a measure of quality of healthcare and it\'s been identified that the most preventable causes are the ones that occur in this period. This study seeks to identify the risk factors associated with readmission of patients with DF.
    METHODS: A case-control study was done by performing a secondary analysis of a database. Descriptive statistics were used for all variables of interest, bivariate analysis to identify statistically significant variables, and a logistic regression model for multivariate analysis.
    RESULTS: 575 cases were analyzed (113 cases, 462 controls). A 20 % incidence rate of 30-day readmission was identified. Statistically significant differences were found in relation to the institution of attention (Hospital Universitario de la Samaritana: OR 1.9, p value < 0.01, 95 % CI 1.2-3.0; Hospital Universitario San Ignacio: OR 0.5, p value < 0.01, 95 % CI 0.3-0.8) and the reasons for readmission before 30 days, especially due to surgical site infection (SSI) (OR 7.1, p value < 0.01, 95 % CI 4.1-12.4), sepsis (OR 8.4, p value 0.02, 95 % CI 1.2-94.0), dehiscence in amputation stump (OR 16.4, p value < 0.01, 95 % CI 4.2-93.1) and decompensation of other pathologies (OR 3.5, p value < 0.01, 95 % CI 2.1-5.7).
    CONCLUSIONS: The hospital readmission rate before 30 days for our population compares to current literature. Our results were consistent with exacerbation of chronic pathologies, but other relevant variables not mentioned in other studies were the hospital in which patients were taken care of, the presence of SSI, sepsis, and dehiscence of the amputation stump. We consider thoughtful and close screening of patients at risk in an outpatient setting might identify possible readmissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:我们探讨卒中后住院30天内患者报告的行为和活动及其在减少卒中后90天内死亡或再入院中的作用。
    方法:我们构建了适当的护理过渡(ATOC)综合评分,测量患者报告的对合格行为和活动的参与(饮食调整,每周锻炼,随访医疗预约出勤,药物依从性,治疗使用,和中毒习惯停止)中风出院后30天内。我们分析了从医院出院到家庭或康复机构的缺血性和脑出血卒中患者的ATOC评分,并纳入了NIH资助的护理卒中差异转移研究(TCSD-S)。我们利用Cox回归分析,随着社会人口统计学变量的逐步调整,健康的社会决定因素,和中风的危险因素,确定30天内ATOC评分与卒中后90天内死亡或再次入院之间的关联.
    结果:在我们的1239名中风患者的样本中(平均年龄64/-14,58%为男性,22%西班牙裔,22%黑色,52%白色,76%出院回家),13%的人在90天内再次入院或死亡(3例死亡,160次再入院,3次再入院,随后死亡)。70%的参与者完成≥75%的ATOC评分。ATOC增加25%与90天内死亡或再入院风险降低20%(95%CI3%-33%)相关。
    结论:ATOC代表卒中后30天内可改变的行为和活动,与卒中后90天内死亡或再入院风险降低相关。ATOC评分应该在其他人群中得到验证,但它可以作为改善卒中护理计划和干预措施过渡的工具.
    OBJECTIVE: We explore patient-reported behaviors and activities within 30-days post-stroke hospitalization and their role in reducing death or readmissions within 90-days post-stroke.
    METHODS: We constructed the adequate transitions of care (ATOC) composite score, measuring patient-reported participation in eligible behaviors and activities (diet modification, weekly exercise, follow-up medical appointment attendance, medication adherence, therapy use, and toxic habit cessation) within 30 days post-stroke hospital discharge. We analyzed ATOC scores in ischemic and intracerebral hemorrhage stroke patients discharged from the hospital to home or rehabilitation facilities and enrolled in the NIH-funded Transitions of Care Stroke Disparities Study (TCSD-S). We utilized Cox regression analysis, with the progressive adjustment for sociodemographic variables, social determinants of health, and stroke risk factors, to determine the associations between ATOC score within 30-days and death or readmission within 90-days post-stroke.
    RESULTS: In our sample of 1239 stroke patients (mean age 64 +/- 14, 58 % male, 22 % Hispanic, 22 % Black, 52 % White, 76 % discharged home), 13 % experienced a readmission or death within 90 days (3 deaths, 160 readmissions, 3 readmissions with subsequent death). Seventy percent of participants accomplished a ≥75 % ATOC score. A 25 % increase in ATOC was associated with a respective 20 % (95 % CI 3-33 %) reduced risk of death or readmission within 90-days.
    CONCLUSIONS: ATOC represents modifiable behaviors and activities within 30-days post-stroke that are associated with reduced risk of death or readmission within 90-days post-stroke. The ATOC score should be validated in other populations, but it can serve as a tool for improving transitions of stroke care initiatives and interventions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:COVID-19住院患者在经过一段时间的初始稳定后,临床上可能会恶化,使最佳出院时机成为临床和手术挑战。
    目的:确定COVID-19住院患者出院后再入院和死亡的风险。
    方法:多中心回顾性观察队列研究,2020-2021年,随访30天。
    方法:2020年3月2日至2021年2月11日期间,在美国180家附属于HCA医疗保健系统的医院之一入院治疗COVID-19呼吸系统疾病的成年人。
    方法:评估HCA医院出院后30天内再入院或死亡。使用内部验证集(HCA队列的33%)计算受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC),并且使用来自与医院医学研究网络(HOMERUN)相关的6个学术中心的类似数据进行外部验证.
    结果:最终的HCA队列包括62,195名患者(平均年龄61.9岁,51.9%男性),其中4704人(7.6%)再次入院或在出院后30天内死亡。死亡或再次入院的独立危险因素包括出院后72小时内发热;呼吸急促,心动过速,或在最后24小时内对氧的需求没有改善;出院时淋巴细胞减少或血小板减少;自SARS-CoV-2首次阳性测试以来≤7天;医院再入院风险评分≥5;以及几种合并症。住院患者接受瑞米西韦或抗凝治疗的几率较低。内部验证集的模型AUC为0.73(95%CI0.71-0.74),外部验证集的模型AUC为0.66(95%CI0.64-0.67)。
    结论:这项大型回顾性研究确定了与出院后再入院或死亡相关的几个因素,这些模型具有良好的区分度。测试阳性后7天或更短的患者以及显示潜在可逆危险因素的患者可能会从延迟出院中受益,直到这些危险因素解决。
    BACKGROUND: Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 can clinically deteriorate after a period of initial stability, making optimal timing of discharge a clinical and operational challenge.
    OBJECTIVE: To determine risks for post-discharge readmission and death among patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
    METHODS: Multicenter retrospective observational cohort study, 2020-2021, with 30-day follow-up.
    METHODS: Adults admitted for care of COVID-19 respiratory disease between March 2, 2020, and February 11, 2021, to one of 180 US hospitals affiliated with the HCA Healthcare system.
    METHODS: Readmission to or death at an HCA hospital within 30 days of discharge was assessed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated using an internal validation set (33% of the HCA cohort), and external validation was performed using similar data from six academic centers associated with a hospital medicine research network (HOMERuN).
    RESULTS: The final HCA cohort included 62,195 patients (mean age 61.9 years, 51.9% male), of whom 4704 (7.6%) were readmitted or died within 30 days of discharge. Independent risk factors for death or readmission included fever within 72 h of discharge; tachypnea, tachycardia, or lack of improvement in oxygen requirement in the last 24 h; lymphopenia or thrombocytopenia at the time of discharge; being ≤ 7 days since first positive test for SARS-CoV-2; HOSPITAL readmission risk score ≥ 5; and several comorbidities. Inpatient treatment with remdesivir or anticoagulation were associated with lower odds. The model\'s AUC for the internal validation set was 0.73 (95% CI 0.71-0.74) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.67) for the external validation set.
    CONCLUSIONS: This large retrospective study identified several factors associated with post-discharge readmission or death in models which performed with good discrimination. Patients 7 or fewer days since test positivity and who demonstrate potentially reversible risk factors may benefit from delaying discharge until those risk factors resolve.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:尽管识别算法偏差的方法越来越多,医疗保健预测模型偏倚评估的可操作性仍然有限.因此,本研究通过对普通医院再入院模型的实证评估,提出了一个偏差评估的过程。该过程包括选择偏差度量,解释,确定差异影响和潜在缓解措施。
    方法:这项回顾性分析评估了预测30天计划外再入院的四种常见模型的种族偏见(即,蕾丝索引,医院评分,和CMS再接纳措施按原样应用并重新培训)。这些模型是使用2016年至2019年马里兰州240万成人住院患者进行评估的。与模型无关的公平性指标,易于计算,和可解释的实施和通知,以选择最合适的偏见措施。进一步评估了改变模型的风险阈值对这些措施的影响,以指导选择最佳阈值来控制和减轻偏差。
    结果:为预测任务选择了四种偏差度量:零一损失差,假阴性率(FNR)平价,假阳性率(FPR)平价,和广义熵指数。基于这些措施,医院评分和经再训练的CMS测量显示种族偏见最低.白人患者显示出较高的FNR,而黑人患者导致较高的FPR和零一损失。随着模型风险阈值的变化,观察到模型公平性和整体性能之间的权衡,评估显示,所有模型的默认阈值对于平衡准确性和偏差都是合理的。
    结论:本研究提出了评估预测模型公平性的应用框架(AFAFAFFPM),并以30天医院再入院模型为例演示了该过程。它提出了应用算法偏差评估来确定优化的风险阈值的可行性,以便可以更公平和准确地使用预测模型。显然,定性和定量相结合的方法和多学科的团队是必要的,以确定,理解并应对现实世界医疗保健环境中的算法偏差。用户还应应用多种偏见措施,以确保更全面、量身定做,平衡的观点。偏差测量的结果,然而,必须谨慎解释,并考虑更大的运营,临床,和政策背景。
    OBJECTIVE: Despite increased availability of methodologies to identify algorithmic bias, the operationalization of bias evaluation for healthcare predictive models is still limited. Therefore, this study proposes a process for bias evaluation through an empirical assessment of common hospital readmission models. The process includes selecting bias measures, interpretation, determining disparity impact and potential mitigations.
    METHODS: This retrospective analysis evaluated racial bias of four common models predicting 30-day unplanned readmission (i.e., LACE Index, HOSPITAL Score, and the CMS readmission measure applied as is and retrained). The models were assessed using 2.4 million adult inpatient discharges in Maryland from 2016 to 2019. Fairness metrics that are model-agnostic, easy to compute, and interpretable were implemented and apprised to select the most appropriate bias measures. The impact of changing model\'s risk thresholds on these measures was further assessed to guide the selection of optimal thresholds to control and mitigate bias.
    RESULTS: Four bias measures were selected for the predictive task: zero-one-loss difference, false negative rate (FNR) parity, false positive rate (FPR) parity, and generalized entropy index. Based on these measures, the HOSPITAL score and the retrained CMS measure demonstrated the lowest racial bias. White patients showed a higher FNR while Black patients resulted in a higher FPR and zero-one-loss. As the models\' risk threshold changed, trade-offs between models\' fairness and overall performance were observed, and the assessment showed all models\' default thresholds were reasonable for balancing accuracy and bias.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study proposes an Applied Framework to Assess Fairness of Predictive Models (AFAFPM) and demonstrates the process using 30-day hospital readmission model as the example. It suggests the feasibility of applying algorithmic bias assessment to determine optimized risk thresholds so that predictive models can be used more equitably and accurately. It is evident that a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods and a multidisciplinary team are necessary to identify, understand and respond to algorithm bias in real-world healthcare settings. Users should also apply multiple bias measures to ensure a more comprehensive, tailored, and balanced view. The results of bias measures, however, must be interpreted with caution and consider the larger operational, clinical, and policy context.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    冠状病毒大流行强调了远程患者监测的必要性,以提供患者护理和教育。2020年11月,在桑德贝地区健康科学中心(TBRHSC)试用了一款为患者教育和监测提供互动工具的移动应用程序。我们旨在检查平台对术后住院时间的影响,医院再入院,安大略省西北部的全髋关节和膝关节置换术患者在手术后60天接受急诊科(ED)访问。
    数据来自2020年3月1日至2022年2月28日在TBRHSC接受原发性全髋关节或膝关节置换术的患者。根据使用基于移动的应用程序(SeamlessMD)的登记,将患者分为2个队列。使用Mann-Whitney或χ2检验确定结果的统计学差异。计算ED就诊的比值比。
    与未参加该计划的患者相比,参加移动应用程序的患者在统计学上有较低的住院时间(U=7779.0,P<.001)和较少的ED就诊(χ2(1,212)=5.570,P=.018)。未入选的患者术后就诊ED的几率是其2.31倍(比值比=0.432,95%置信区间=0.213-0.877,P=0.022)。再入院率无统计学差异。
    基于移动的应用程序在TBRHSC的实施显示了其作为降低医疗保健系统成本和改善患者预后的工具的潜在价值。因此,需要更正式的研究来阐明这种影响的程度。
    UNASSIGNED: The coronavirus pandemic highlighted the need for remote patient monitoring to deliver and provide access to patient care and education. A mobile-based app providing interactive tools for patient education and monitoring was piloted at Thunder Bay Regional Health Sciences Centre (TBRHSC) in November 2020. We aimed to examine the platform\'s impact on postoperative length of stay, hospital readmissions, and emergency department (ED) visits 60 days postsurgery in total hip and knee arthroplasty patients in Northwestern Ontario.
    UNASSIGNED: Data were assessed from patients undergoing primary total hip or knee arthroplasties at TBRHSC from March 1, 2020, to February 28, 2022. Patients were divided into 2 cohorts based on enrollment with the mobile-based app (SeamlessMD). Statistical differences in outcomes were determined using Mann-Whitney or χ2 tests. An odds ratio was calculated for ED visits.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients enrolled in the mobile-based app had statistically lower length of stay (U = 7779.0, P < .001) and fewer ED visits (χ2 (1,212) = 5.570, P = .018) than patients not enrolled in the program. Patients not enrolled had 2.31 times greater odds of visiting the ED postsurgery (odds ratio = 0.432, 95% confidence interval = 0.213-0.877, P = .022). There were no statistical differences found in readmission rates.
    UNASSIGNED: The implementation of the mobile-based app at TBRHSC showed its potential value as a tool to reduce costs in the healthcare system and improve patient outcomes. Consequentially, more formal studies are required to elucidate the magnitude of this effect.
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